In the above discussion it has not been my intention to create alarm, but merely to provide an overview of some of the legal possibilities confronting our industry. Presently, it is unlikely that in the absence of negligence, a forest would be considered to create onerous responsibility of itself. However, the assessment of the degree of risk and associated duty of care is a matter of case by case determination and as the risks from fire intensify with climate change and asset density, public and legal perceptions may also be expected to change.1 The likelihood of this may increase dramatically as the insurance industry is forced to restructure in the face of predicted consequences of climatic instability. It is no accident that the insurance industry has been very active in promoting policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions for the best part of twenty years. I was unreliably informed last year by my insurance man that several companies, in the wake of the Victorian fires, had simply ceased to write policies in rural areas. This, said my man, was likely to become a trend.
The combined frequencies of days with very high and extreme FFDI ratings are likely to increase 4-25% by 2020 and 15-70% by 2050.
Climate change impacts on fire-weather in south-east Australia. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research. * Bushfire re CRC and Australian Bureau of Meteorology