Disclaimer
The author, Amir H. Azadehnia, does hereby certify that, to the best of his knowledge, the views and opinions in this research report reflect his personal views about the companies named. He has not nor will not receive direct or indirect compensation in return for expressing specific viewpoints in this report.
Underlying Facts
Slow Economic Growth Limited Access to Capital
Difficult to Access Resources Large and Complex Projects Skills Shortage Poor Infrastructure in Some Resource Rich Regions, e.g. West Africa e.g. SEMS I & II, Local Content, Higher Tax, etc.
Driver
Demand Growth in Emerging Markets Supply Security
Underlying Facts
Population Growth GDP Growth Supply Diversification from Middle East, Africa and Russia Little Spare Production Capacity Crude Oil > $100/bbl EU and Asia Natural Gas Prices > $12/mBtu Access to Unconventional Resources Increased Regulation
Environmental Concerns
Safety and Reliability
High Prices
Technology
Upstream capacity increase by 5 - 7% p.a. and led by offshore developments Natural gas demand growth at 2% p.a. driven by power generation and industry Gas supply growth in the US, Middle East, FSU, Africa and probably, China Crude oil demand growth at 0.8% p.a. driven by transport Crude oil supply growth in North America and Middle East Midstream supply and demand growth in emerging markets and Middle East
15%
4%
E&P
Subsea FLNG LNG 58% Gas processing Refinery Petrochem
Unclassified
Operators
Midstream
Integrated
Independents
Downstream
Independents
Seismic
Diversified Drilling
Top 10 Contractors
1. Bechtel
Supply Vessels
Floating Production
Decommissioning
4. Fluor 5. Technip