MAINE PEOPLES RESOURCE CENTER

PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY

September 8-10, 2013 N=652

Accuracy
2

Uncannily close Considering the final results, the center receives kudos for its work. Portland Press Herald MPRC is bringing transparency and accountability to a challenging area of public debate MPRC is elevating the discourse around what Maine people actually think and want. Portland Phoenix
While there are conflicting numbers from two pollsters, I tend to believe the Maine People's Resource Center, or MPRC, has the more accurate findings. Over the last two years they have polled eight contests and, without fail, their findings among the published public polls have been closest to the actual results. Former LePage
Administration Communications and Policy Director Dan Demerrit
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

Methodology
3

A survey of 652 likely Maine voters was conducted by interactive voice response from September 8-10, 2013. Calls were made at different times of day to maximize the diversity of possible respondents. Questions were recorded by a female interviewer. Survey results were mathematically weighted by gender, age and geographic area to ensure an accurate representation of the population being surveyed. The sample was not weighted by party or ideology. The margin of error of this survey is 3.84%, 95 times out of 100. Subsamples may have a larger margin of error. Frequencies and percentages may not always add up to the total number of responses or to 100%, due to weighting and rounding.

MPRC is a non-partisan, non-profit organization dedicated to giving people, especially those groups that are under-represented in civic life, skills and information to participate in the decision-making processes that affect them.
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

LePage Favorability
4

Percent

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Governor Paul LePage?

60

40

20

favorable unfavorable not sure not familiar

37.9 56.9 3.4 1.7

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

Cutler Favorability
5

Percent

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Eliot Cutler?

60

40

20

favorable unfavorable not sure not familiar

25.9 46.0 6.7 21.4

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

Michaud Favorability
6

Percent

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Congressman Mike Michaud?

60

40

20

favorable unfavorable not sure not familiar

56.1 31.2 4.0 8.8

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

Governor Three-Way Contest

7

If the race for Maine Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Paul LePage, Democrat Mike Michaud and independent Eliot Cutler, who would you vote for?

40 Percent

20

LePage Michaud Cutler undecided

34.0 40.0 16.8 9.1

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

Governor Two-Way Contest

8

Percent

If the race for Maine Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Paul LePage and Democrat Mike Michaud, who would you vote for?

60

40

20

LePage Michaud undecided

36.1 55.9 7.9

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

U.S. Senate Generic Democrat

9

Percent

If the election for United States Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Susan Collins or for a Democratic candidate?

80
60 40

20 0

Collins democrat undecided

59.5 25.7 14.8

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

U.S. Senate - Cutler

10

Percent

If the election for United States Senate were held today, and the candidates were Republican Susan Collins and independent Eliot Cutler, who would you vote for?

80
60 40

20 0

Collins Cutler undecided

57.5 28.0 14.4

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

Anti-Discrimination Law
11

Maine's non-discrimination law makes it illegal for businesses and organizations to deny services to people based on characteristics like their race, religion or whether or not they are gay or lesbian. Do you support or oppose this law?

60

40 Percent

20

strongly support somewhat support somewhat oppose strongly oppose not sure
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

55.2 19.2 10.4 6.9 8.5

Anti-Discrimination Change
12

Some people have proposed creating new laws in Maine that would allow businesses and organizations to deny services to gays and lesbians if it violates their religious beliefs. Would you support such a law?

80
60

Percent

40

20 0

yes no not sure

27.7 60.5 11.8

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

Immigration Bill
13

As you may know, the U.S. Senate recently voted to pass legislation reforming the immigration system. The bill would allow illegal immigrants already in the country to become citizens after 13 years if they pay a fine and learn English. The bill would also double the number of border patrol agents, and double the amount of fencing along the Mexican border. In general, do you support or oppose this bill?
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

60

40 Percent

20

support oppose not sure

52.8 29.6 17.5

Frequencies
14 Gender Female % 52.9

Ideology Very liberal

Somewhat liberal Moderate

% 11.5
21.7 32.6 18.6 13.4

Male

47.1

Congressional District

Somewhat conservative Very conservative

1
2

52.0
48.0

Not sure

2.3

Age
Party Democratic Republican Independent/other % 36.4 29.6 34.0 18-34

%
18.6

35-49
50-64

23.3
32.9

65+

25.2

MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.