1997~2009
430079
DEA 1997-2009 TFP
TFP
DEA
GDP 30 10%
9.46% 11.04%[1]
1978 3.8%
2009
76807.74 GDP 22.9%
DEA
[2][3][4] 1981~1996
[5]2007
1996~2003
EMJ July 2012 Vol.1 Iss.1 pp.9-15 www.em-j.org 2012 American V-King Scientific Publishing, LTD | 9
k 1
k 1
z x y C
Farrell
K
z x
t
k
k 1
t
k ,n
k xkt ,n , n 1, , N ; z kt 0, k 1, , K
t
Farrell Fi ( y , x | C , S ) 1
t
Fi ( y , x | C , S ) =1
Di ( y , x ) 1 / Fi ( y , x | C , S ) t t+1 Malmquist
t
M it Dit ( x t , y t ) / Dit ( x t 1 , y t 1 )
M it 1 Dit 1 ( x t , y t ) / Dit 1 ( x t 1 , y t 1 )
M i ( x t 1 , y t 1 ; x t , y t ) {[
Dit ( x t , y t )
Dit 1 ( x t , y t ) 1/ 2
]
[
]}
Dit ( x t 1 , y t 1 )
Dit 1 ( x t 1 , y t 1 )
Dit ( x t , y t )
Dit 1 ( x t 1 , y t 1 ) Dit 1 ( x t , y t ) 1/ 2
[
t t t ]
Dit 1 ( x t 1 , y t 1 )
Dit ( x t 1 , y t 1 )
Di ( x , y )
EC ( x t 1 , y t 1 ; x t , y t ) TC ( x t 1 , y t 1 ; x t , y t )
t 1
t 1
EC TC M i ( x , y ; x , y ) 1 t t+1
t 1
t 1
M i ( x , y ; x , y ) 1 t+1 t EC TC 1 1 1
10 | EMJ July 2012 Vol.1 Iss.1 pp.9-15 www.em-j.org 2012 American V-King Scientific Publishing, LTD
D0t ( X t , Yt | C )
D0t 1 ( X t 1 , Yt 1 | C )
D0t ( X t , Yt | C ) / D0t ( X t , Yt | V )
D0t ( X t , Yt | V )
SE0t ( X t , Yt )
D0t ( X t , Yt | V )
SE PTE
SE0t 1 ( X t 1 , Yt 1 ) D0t 1 ( X t 1 , Yt 1 | V )
ECPTESE
M i ( X t , Yt , X t 1 , Yt 1 ) TFP EC TC SE PTE TC
2
2.1
DEA -
1996
1997
6 18
1997 1997~2009
2.2
Goldsmith 1951
[8]
Kit Kit 1 (1 it ) I it
i i
t K
I
1997
Ki
Yi
K1997
Y1997
1997
1 Malmquist
1998
0.838
1.132
0.882
0.953
0.946
1999
0.854
1.078
0.908
0.941
0.921
2000
0.889
1.086
0.869
1.024
0.966
2001
0.951
1.171
0.971
0.979
1.112
2002
0.971
1.113
0.966
1.006
1.081
2003
0.928
1.175
0.94
0.987
1.09
2004
0.919
1.228
0.945
0.972
1.129
2005
1.069
0.986
1.066
1.003
1.055
2006
0.976
1.141
0.991
0.985
1.114
2007
0.893
1.236
0.928
0.963
1.104
2008
0.910
1.183
0.922
0.987
1.076
2009
0.985
1.093
0.961
1.024
1.076
mean
0.930
1.133
0.944
0.985
1.054
3.1
Malmquist TFP
1997-2009
5.4% 13.3% 2005 1
2005 1
1998-2000 1 TFP
2000 TFP
2004 12.9% 22.8% 1999 TPF
0.921 2000 2002 2005
2009 1
2005
1 0.944
3.2
20 90 TFP
2008 DEA 1996-2005 10
0.5%
12 | EMJ July 2012 Vol.1 Iss.1 pp.9-15 www.em-j.org 2012 American V-King Scientific Publishing, LTD
13 TFP
1997-2000 TFP
2000
1999 1
600
2001-2004
TFP 10.3%
17.18%
21 WTO
2005
2005 88604
25.7% 15759 TFP
3.3
DEA
TFP EC TC SE PTE TC , TFP
ln TFP ln EC ln TC ln SE ln TE ln TC
TFP
1.000
1.127
1.000
1.000
1.127
1.000
1.126
1.000
1.000
1.126
1.000
1.120
1.000
1.000
1.120
0.980
1.124
0.982
0.998
1.101
0.979
1.122
0.983
0.996
1.099
0.968
1.131
1.000
0.968
1.095
0.971
1.121
1.000
0.971
1.088
0.958
1.125
0.978
0.979
1.077
0.949
1.131
0.955
0.994
1.073
0.962
1.110
0.966
0.996
1.068
0.940
1.134
0.947
0.993
1.066
0.933
1.141
0.934
1.000
1.065
EMJ July 2012 Vol.1 Iss.1 pp.9-15 www.em-j.org 2012 American V-King Scientific Publishing, LTD | 13
0.934
1.141
0.936
0.998
1.065
0.949
1.121
0.963
0.986
1.064
0.929
1.131
0.939
0.989
1.051
0.917
1.145
0.917
0.999
1.050
0.915
1.139
1.000
0.915
1.042
0.915
1.136
0.917
0.998
1.040
0.918
1.133
0.925
0.992
1.040
0.914
1.137
0.914
1.000
1.039
0.910
1.140
0.910
1.000
1.037
0.906
1.144
0.963
0.941
1.037
0.905
1.141
0.913
0.992
1.033
0.907
1.135
0.910
0.997
1.030
0.901
1.137
0.903
0.998
1.025
0.898
1.137
0.906
0.990
1.020
0.884
1.145
0.914
0.967
1.012
0.898
1.126
0.900
0.998
1.011
0.880
1.142
0.882
0.997
1.004
0.866
1.147
0.884
0.980
0.993
0.871
1.130
0.960
0.908
0.984
mean
0.930
1.133
0.944
0.985
1.054
TFP
1
1
4
Malmquist 1997~2009
14 | EMJ July 2012 Vol.1 Iss.1 pp.9-15 www.em-j.org 2012 American V-King Scientific Publishing, LTD
2009
E-maildongdong997399@163.com
EMJ July 2012 Vol.1 Iss.1 pp.9-15 www.em-j.org 2012 American V-King Scientific Publishing, LTD | 15