Month
12/90
Month
1/91
2/91
3/91
4/91
5/91
6/91
7/91
8/91
9/91
10/91
11/91
12/91
1/92
2/92
3/92
4/92
5/92
6/92
7/92
8/92
9/92
10/92
11/92
12/92
1/93
2/93
3/93
4/93
5/93
T-Bill
Return
0.52%
0.48%
0.44%
0.53%
0.47%
0.42%
0.49%
0.46%
0.46%
0.42%
0.39%
0.38%
0.34%
0.28%
0.34%
0.32%
0.28%
0.32%
0.31%
0.26%
0.26%
0.23%
0.23%
0.28%
0.23%
0.22%
0.25%
0.24%
0.22%
rm-rf
3.90%
6.68%
1.94%
-0.25%
3.81%
-4.99%
4.19%
1.89%
-2.10%
0.92%
-4.43%
11.05%
-2.20%
1.00%
-2.30%
2.59%
0.26%
-1.77%
3.72%
-2.28%
0.89%
0.13%
3.14%
1.03%
0.50%
1.13%
1.90%
-2.69%
2.48%
rmsftrf
30.4%
5.7%
2.3%
-6.7%
10.9%
-6.9%
7.9%
16.0%
4.4%
5.5%
3.6%
14.4%
7.9%
2.9%
-4.1%
-7.0%
9.7%
-13.2%
2.9%
3.1%
8.4%
10.3%
4.9%
-8.3%
1.3%
-3.6%
10.9%
-7.6%
8.3%
6/93
7/93
8/93
9/93
10/93
11/93
12/93
1/94
2/94
3/94
4/94
5/94
6/94
7/94
8/94
9/94
10/94
11/94
12/94
1/95
2/95
3/95
4/95
5/95
6/95
7/95
8/95
9/95
10/95
11/95
12/95
44.00
37.00
37.56
41.25
40.06
40.00
40.31
42.56
41.25
42.35
46.25
53.75
51.63
51.50
58.13
56.13
63.00
62.88
61.13
59.38
63.00
71.13
81.75
84.69
90.38
90.50
92.50
90.50
100.00
87.13
87.75
0.33%
-0.47%
3.81%
-0.74%
2.03%
-0.94%
1.23%
3.35%
-2.70%
-4.35%
1.30%
1.63%
-2.47%
3.31%
4.07%
-2.41%
2.29%
-3.67%
1.46%
2.60%
3.88%
2.96%
2.91%
3.95%
2.35%
3.33%
0.27%
4.19%
-0.35%
4.40%
0.85%
0.25%
0.24%
0.25%
0.26%
0.22%
0.25%
0.23%
0.25%
0.21%
0.27%
0.27%
0.32%
0.31%
0.28%
0.37%
0.37%
0.38%
0.37%
0.44%
0.42%
0.40%
0.46%
0.44%
0.54%
0.47%
0.45%
0.47%
0.43%
0.47%
0.42%
0.49%
0.08%
-0.71%
3.56%
-1.00%
1.81%
-1.19%
1.00%
3.10%
-2.91%
-4.62%
1.03%
1.31%
-2.78%
3.03%
3.70%
-2.78%
1.91%
-4.04%
1.02%
2.18%
3.48%
2.50%
2.47%
3.41%
1.88%
2.88%
-0.20%
3.76%
-0.82%
3.98%
0.36%
-5.0%
-15.9%
1.5%
9.8%
-2.9%
-0.1%
0.8%
5.6%
-3.1%
2.7%
9.2%
16.2%
-3.9%
-0.3%
12.9%
-3.4%
12.2%
-0.2%
-2.8%
-2.9%
6.1%
12.9%
14.9%
3.6%
6.7%
0.1%
2.2%
-2.2%
10.5%
-12.9%
0.7%
Ans 3:
rMSFT rf = variable Y (dependent)
rM rf = variable X (independent)
Output regression excel:
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.36770221
R Square
Adjusted R
Square
0.13520492
Standard Error
0.07760806
0.12029466
Observations
60
ANOVA
df
SS
MS
0.05461613
0.05461613
9.06791139
Residual
58
0.34933465
0.00602301
Total
59
0.40395078
Regression
Coefficients
Standard
Error
t Stat
P-value
Intercept
0.02115175
0.01056691
2.0016966
X Variable 1
1.05442172
0.3501553
3.01129729
Significance F
0.003848816
Lower 95.0%
Upper
95.0%
Lower 95%
Upper 95%
0.05000231
-2.20674E-07
0.04230372
-2.20674E-07
0.04230372
0.00384882
0.353509725
1.75533371
0.353509725
1.75533371
Graphic:
rmsft-rf
40.0%
y = 1.0544x + 0.0212
R = 0.1352
20.0%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.0%
0.00%
rmsft-rf
Linear (rmsft-rf)
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
-20.0%
a. rMSFT rf = + (rM rf )
y=1.0544 x + 0.0212
so, = 1.0544
b. Adjusted R2 = 0.12, it's mean that 12% variability of the model explained by the variation in rM- rf and
88% variation explained by another variable outside the model
You can use the CAPM to estimate Microsofts required return. You calculated Microsofts beta in
question 3. You will need the following additional information:
Short-term
Intermediate-term
Long-term
4.Estimate MSFTs required return (re) using the CAPM and the short-term riskless rate.
Ans 4:
Based on question 3 = 1.0544
re
= rf + (rM-rf)
= 5.13% + 1.0544 ( 8.40%)
= 13.986%
5. Estimate re using the CAPM and the intermediate-term riskless rate.
Ans 5:
Based on question 3 = 1.0544
re
= rf + (rM-rf)
= 5.50% + 1.0544 ( 7.40%)
= 13.302%
6. Estimate re using the CAPM and the long-term riskless rate.
Ans 6:
Based on question 3 = 1.0544
re
= rf + (rM-rf)
= 6.00% + 1.0544 ( 7.00%)
= 13.380%
7. Compare your answers to questions 4,5, and 6. Can you explain why they differ?
Ans 7:
re is different because the period of time that are applied are not the same, whereas in the CAPM
is assumed throughout the investor plan of portfolio for a period that is identical.
8. Why is it important to be consistent in choosing the riskless rate and the market risk premium
when you use the CAPM?
Ans 8:
The selection of the riskless rate and the market risk premium consistently becomes important
because, it will achieve the same determinants for optimal portfolio of risky assets, the portfolio is
efficient at the limit obtained by pulling a tangent from the riskless rate towards the limit.