Projections of future health workforce requirements and supply are based on:
Firstly:
on past and planned production, and movements of the workforce and,
Secondly:
on predictions of how the national situation, health needs and delivery of services will change in the future.
planners in the health ministry or other stakeholder agencies are faced with substantial uncertainties including :
!he nature of changes in the country
situation:
demographic, epidemiological, economic, etc"
n making such projections, however, planners in the health ministry or other stakeholder agencies are faced with substantial uncertainties including
%onflicting priorities between various
systems development
Policy
Finance Leadership Situation Analysis HRM Systems
Implementation
Partnership
Education
!ypical questions that may need to be addressed as part of simulations include (hat are the implications for staffing numbers and mi) if salaries and benefits are increased with no budget change* (hat are training and staffing implications of Substituting one category of health worker in favour of another to alleviate particular shortages* (hat is the political feasibililty of doing this type of substitution* (hat will be the impact of an e)panding private health sector on the training and recruitment of new and e)isting staff in the public sector*
Current staff
+
Existing services Salary & benefits Terms & conditions of employment Management and motivation
New graduates
+
Tranined staff returning to wrk
CHANGE
+
Returne migrants
CHANGE
No.
AFFORDABLE ?
!he appeal of using such models is their potential for e)ploring options about the future depending on the underlying assumptions. %omputational models can be distinguished by whether they are deterministic or stochastic. +eterministic models assume that an outcome is certain, in other words, they always deliver the same result for the same input values. s
10
!hese, are by far, the most commonly used for ,-, Projections for number of reasons, including
!hey provide an unambiguous result that is easy to
understand. !hey can be developed using commonly available computer software and !hey generally do not require advanced information technology programming skills #other than what would normally be e)pected of someone working in data processing and analysis
11
12
13
14
Operationalizing the WHO model for workforce requirements and supply projections
!ypically, the data requirements are as follow
+emographics:
total population distribution in the starting #base$ year" population distribution by age and se), anticipated
average population growth rate over the plan&projection period" urban&rural distribution of the population and how it has been changing
15
Operationalizing the WHO model for workforce requirements and supply projections
6pidemiology:
current major causes of morbidity and mortality" e)pected changes in patterns of sickness and disease
16
Operationalizing the WHO model for workforce requirements and supply projections
!ypically, the data requirements are as follow ,ealth workforce stock and flows: total staff numbers for each cadre in the public and private health sectors, staff distribution by age and se), e)pected annual percentage attrition rate for each category of staff over the plan period" numbers of new graduates from health education and training institutions #both public and private institutions$" net flow of trained health workers into or out of health services industry #for both the public and and private health sectors$
17
Remuneration and other recurrent costs: salary bands for each type of staff #minimally for public health sector staff$, current average annual remuneration for each of the personnel categories including all pay and other benefits" projected changes in the annual real wage costs #e)cluding any changes that are simply correcting for inflation$
18
Economic growth : gross domestic product #8+P$ for the base year" average predicted annual percentage change in 8+P over the plan period" total current recurrent e)penditure for the public health sector as a whole and disaggregated between e)penditure coming from the national government and that coming from donor organi1ations #if any$" current recurrent public health sector e)penditure on personnel, again distinguishing between national versus international sources" recurrent public health sector non.personnel e)penditures over the plan period
19
funding to the private health sector" estimated private sector e)penditure in health care" personnel costs a percentage of private health sector e)penditure
20
Data requirements specific to the creation of projections on the development of services and institutions pertain to
,ealth facilities:
the current and projected number of health facilities of each
type, both those with in.patient beds #such as general hospitals, long.term care hospitals and mental health facilities$ and those without #health centers and sub.centers, maternal and child health centers, health posts, etc$ and across both the public and private health sectors, average capacity of each facility type #e.g. number of beds, bed occupancy rate, number of discharges per year, activity rates, e.g. ambulatory visits, surgeries, etc$.
21
Data requirements specific to the creation of projections on the development of services and institutions pertain to
Facility staffing current number of staff by type
and sector of facility, and by category of staff, current staffing rations #i.e. staff to facilities, staff to beds, skills mi) ratio$" projected changes in staffing norms //
22
!n addition" the health workforce is composed of a large num#er of personnel located outside health facilities$ %his includes health workers in
8overnment ministries and departments" -egional or district health offices" Public health offices 9rmed medical services" 5anagement and support of nongovernmental
organi1ations delivering health services #either for. profit or not.for.profit$ ,ome.based and community.based health services" -esearch institutions" 6ducation and training Self.employment
23
(orkforce projections cannot be undertaken in isolation. !he are highly dependent on other developments in the health system and even the broader social and economic conte)t of the country. %onsequently, they are normally part of some larger strategic process.
24
f the strategic planning process : one that capitali1es on plausible projections : is to be successful, among the considerations that need to be addressed and the related processes coordinate form the initial stages are :
'eadership and commitment by senior officials Priority given to ,-, development and
management 9vailability resources #human, financial and technical$ for data collection, processing and analysis 9vailability and use of appropriate data and tools for ,-, projections
25
strategic objectives 9vailability of resources for implementation of the ,-, strategic plan ,armoni1ation with other national health and development plans
26
ministries of health, finance, education and labour as well as professional associations and the public service commission for early alignment of essential inputs. n a low.income country conte)t, inclusion of development partners and major nongovernmental organi1ations working in health services provision is also recommended. !his can be achieved by creation of a multi.stakeholder worker group which meets regularly
27
28
Professional Behavior
Some definitions of
29
Profession
9n occupation requiring considerable
training and speciali1ed study, e.g. the profession of law, medicine and engineering !he body of qualified person in an occupation or field, e.g. member of the teaching profession
30
Professional
Professional 0f relating to, engaged in, suitable for profession, e.g professional field of medicine Professional 9 person following a profession, especially a learned profession 0ne who ear a living in a giving or implied occupation 9 skilled practitioner" an e)pert
31
Professionalism
Professional status,
32
Behavior
!he manner in which one behave +efinition from Psychology : the
department
33
Professional Behavior
!he manner in which one behave suitable for a
profession e.g. medical, nursing profession !he action or reaction of person or things in response to e)ternal or internal stimuli that suitable for a profession
34
Professionalism
nvolving continuing training or education on a
certain science or speciality 0rientation toward care Profession is determined by standardi1ed education and training Profession student learn based on e)perience that sociali1ed more than other student 'egal aspect of profession practice is conducted by giving license 'egali1ation and profession norm are issued by profession association
35
36
<ruism ,elp others without e)pecting !he best interest of others including patients, colleagues, mentors and trainees, rather than self.interest Honor and integrity ,onesty 'aring and compassion Sensitivity, tolerance, openness, communication Respect +ignity, autonomy, other health care, professional teamwork, building relationship between medical professionals, between specialties, and between professional organi1ation
37
Responsi#ility 9utonomy, self evaluation, motivation, insight &ccounta#ility %ommitment, dedication, duty legal&policy compliment, self regulation, services, timelines, work ethics E(cellence and scholarship 9 conscientious effort to e)ceed e)pectations and to make a commitment to life.long learning )eadership 5anagement and mentoring
38
e)pertise, response the problem in this or her medical practice reflecting the ability of altruism, honor, and integrity, caring and compassion, respect, responsibility and accountability, e)cellence and scholarship and leaderships" including her or his relationship with colleagues and other health professional
39
confidentiality 9rrogance 8reed : fame, power or money 5isrepresentation : lying, not tell the truth
40
41
Competence
Knowledge Skills
Attitude, Behavior, ethic
42
Development of Competence
Beginner Advance Skillful Competent Expert Master
43
44
45
Graduates degree program are expected to have entry-level competence in the following essential public health services:
1. Monitoring health status to identify and solve community health problems 2. Diagnosing and investigating health problems and health hazards in the community 3. Informing, educating, and empowering people about health issues . Mobilizing community partnerships and action to identify and solve health problems !. Developing policies and plans that support individual and community health efforts ". #sing laws and regulations that protect health and ensure safety $. %in&ing people to needed personal health services and assuring the provision of health care when otherwise unavailable '. (valuating effectiveness, accessibility, and )uality of personal and population* based health services +. ,onducting research for new insights and innovative solutions to health problems 1-. ,ommunicating effectively with public health constituencies in oral and written forms
46
47
HOW TO BE PROFESSIONAL?
48
49
50
51
loyalty and cooperation are as important to success in a job as are technical skills.
-esearch studies show that <=> of all
people who lose their jobs are dismissed because they lack good work habits rather than because they lack appropriate job skills
52
Thank you