Bagyong Yolanda at ang Project NOAH

On Earthquakes and Typhoons: A Scientific Discussion BA Racoma ClimateX, DOST Project NOAH 19 November 2013

YOLANDA TIMELINE

Yolanda Timeline
November 2, 2013 A low pressure area was spotted east of Pohnpei, Micronesia November 4, 2013 As it travels west it intensifies into a tropical storm and was named Haiyan November 5, 2013 JMA (Japan) and JTWC (USA) identified Haiyan as a typhoon

Yolanda Timeline
November 6, 2013
PAGASA releases first forecast tracks and names the storm Yolanda. Signal #1: Eastern Visayas and parts of Mindanao

Figure 1. Initial storm track by PAGASA

Yolanda Timeline
November 7, 2013. 11AM update
PAGASA: Forecast Position: Typhoon YOLANDA is expected to make landfall over Guiuan, Eastern Samar (Nov 8, 2013, 9-10 AM).

Figure 2. November 7 storm track by PAGASA

Yolanda Timeline
November 7, 2013. 5PM update
PAGASA: TYPHOON YOLANDA HAS ACCELERATED SLIGHTLY WHILE MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO THREATENS EASTERN VISAYAS. Up to Signal #4 was raised in various regions in Visayas and Mindanao Warnings of flash floods, landslides and storm surges. PAGASA: Likewise, those living in coastal areas under signal #4, #3 and #2 are alerted against storm surges which may reach up to 7-meter wave height.

Yolanda Timeline

Figure 3. Storm warning signal map by Rappler

Yolanda Timeline
November 8, 2013. 2AM update
PAGASA: Typhoon YOLANDA is expected to make landfall this morning (5 am) over Guiuan, Eastern Samar.

Figure 4. November 8, 2013 storm track by PAGASA

Yolanda Timeline
November 8, 2013
4:00 AM: Landfall in Guiuan, Samar 7:00 AM: Landfall in Tolosa, Leyte Consecutive landfalls in Daanbantayan, Bantayan Island, Conception, Busuanga Island

Yolanda Timeline
November 9, 2013
PAGASA: Yolanda exits PAR

Figure 5. November 9 PAGASA storm track for YOLANDA

Yolanda Timeline

November 9

November 8 November 6 November 5 November 4 November 2

Figure 6. YOLANDA storm track, Wikimedia Commons

DOST PROJECT NOAH

DOST Project NOAH

In response to President Aquinos instructions to put in place a responsive program for: 1) flood mitigation, specifically targeting a 6 hour flood early warning system for communities along 18 major river systems; 2) enhancement of geohazard maps and; 3) enhancement of storm surge vulnerability maps

the DOST is presenting the Nationwide Operational Asessment of Hazards

DOST Project NOAH

Maps
High resolution topography via LiDAR Flood susceptibility Land slide susceptibility Storm surge susceptibility

Forecasts
4 hour rainfall 4 day rainfall Storm track

Sensors
Satellite RADAR Automated Weather Sensors Automated Water Level Sensors

Information Education Campaigns for LGUs Public website

1 Satellite
(5 days before landfall)

2 RADAR
(24 hrs before landfall)

4 Water Level Sensors

(3-6 hours before flooding)

3 Auto. Rain Gauges

(6-9 hours before flooding)

Figure 7. NOAH data flow

PROJECT NOAH AND YOLANDA

Project NOAH and Yolanda

November 6 (Wednesday)
Uploaded on the Project NOAH Blog:
Map and list of municipalities expected to be affected by 4060mm 3-hour accumulated rainfall Map and list of municipalities expected to be affected by 60100mm 3-hour accumulated rainfall
Figure 8. List of municipalities expected to be affected by rain

Project NOAH and Yolanda

November 6 (Wednesday)
Initial simulation of storm surge forecast was uploaded to http://noah.dost.gov.ph

Figure 9. Storm surge map as tweeted by Dr Mahar Lagmay

Project NOAH and Yolanda

Figure 10. November 6 to 9 2013 Storm surge simulation

Project NOAH and Yolanda

Figure 11. November 6, 2013. PAGASA forecast track reflected on Project NOAH website as Yolanda enters PAR

Project NOAH and Yolanda

November 6 (Wednesday)
Uploaded on the Project NOAH Blog:
Map and list of barangays with alluvial fans that can lead to debris flow

Figure 12. Landslide and debris flow susceptibility map along Yolandas path

Project NOAH and Yolanda

November 7 (Thursday) The official list of Typhoon Yolanda highest predicted storm surge and tide was forwarded to DILG, NDRRMC Tacloban, Leyte placed third on the list 4.5m predicted height Storm surge warning was given by President Aquino in his televised public address Thursday evening

Project NOAH and Yolanda

Figure 13. November 8, 2013. Recorded rainfall throughout Philippines

Project NOAH and Yolanda

Figure 14. Yolanda Doppler Radar image as it traverses

Project NOAH and Yolanda

Lahat po ng impormasyon na nakaalap ng Project NOAH ay ipinadala sa mga kinauukulang ahensya
DILG, NDRRMC Media

Lahat din po ng ito ay inanunsyo ni President Aquino sa kanyang public address noong Nobyembre 7, 2013 ng gabi.

http://www.gov.ph/crisis-response/mga-paalala-ukol-sa-storm-surge/

STORM SURGE

Ano ang Storm Surge?

Ang storm surge o daluyong ng bagyo ay hindi pangkaraniwang pagtaas ng tubig sa dalampasigan habang papalapit ang bagyo sa baybayin

Figure 15. Infographic ng Storm Surge at bagyo

Ano ang epekto ng Storm Surge?

Ang storm surge ay nagdudulot ng malawakang pagbaha na maaaring umabot ng ilang kilometro mula sa baybaying dagat, depende sa hugis at taas ng alon na ito Kasabay ng malakas na pag-alon at malakas na hangin, ang storm surge ay maaaring makapinsala at tangayin ang anumang bagay na dadaanan nito

Figure 16. Posibleng pinsala ng storm surge

Storm Surge

Eyewitness footage of Typhoon Haiyan washing house away http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rS0gv4Xbw7w

Ano ang pwede gawin tuwing may banta ng Storm Surge?

Ano ang pwede gawin tuwing may banta ng Storm Surge?

CONCLUSIONS

Conclusions
With the available data given by UK Met, JMA, PAGASA and published by Project NOAH, we were able to provide a list and a map of high risk areas. All of these were published through different outlets

Bagyong Yolanda at ang Project NOAH

On Earthquakes and Typhoons: A Scientific Discussion BA Racoma ClimateX, DOST Project NOAH 19 November 2013