The $90 Billion Market Opportunity THE PROLIFERATION OF ELECTRONIC CIGARETTES IN THE U.S. HAS STIRRED MUCH DEBATE BOTH INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE COUNTRY. THE TREND IS SO POPULAR THAT SOME HEALTHCARE AND CONSUMER ADVOCATES ARE CONCERNED THAT ELECTRONIC CIGARETTES WILL MAKE SMOKING FASHIONABLE AGAIN, CREATING A NEW BREED OF VAPERS. This viewpoint is understandable given some the lifestyle marketing campaigns among a few e-cigarette companies. We believe that electronic cigarette manufacturers should only be targeting adult smokers, educating consumers on this unique alternative to traditional tobacco, rather than trying to make vaping hip or cool. Despite the great strides made over the past few decades helping people quit, cigarette smoking is the leading cause of preventable death in the United States, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), accounting for approximately 443,000 deaths each year. Moreover, the economic impact of smoking is devastating, generating $193 billion in annual health-related economic losses.
THE MARKET OPPORTUNITY
Regardless of the health concerns, an estimated
45.3 million American adults continue to smoke cigarettes. The good news is that nearly 70 percent of these smokers want to quit completely. For many of these people, however, conventional smoking smoking traditional tobacco as does an electronic cigarette. Thats why the e-cigarette industry is growing at a record rate, probably reaching $2 billion this year. According to Wall Street estimates, the e-cigarette category in the U.S. alone is expected to reach $90 billion in sales over the next 10 years. Findings from the Wells Fargo Securities Inaugural E-Cig Forum sive growth and market opportunity for electronic cigarettes, reporting that there is vast opportunity for the category and it is only just getting started. that these devices work just as good, if not better
28 January | February 2014
than conventional smoking cessation products. A
University of Auckland study of traditional smokers looking to quit found that 7.3 percent of e-cigarette users had quit within six months, compared with 5.8 percent of those on nicotine patches. The study also found that 57 percent of e-cigarette users cut their daily cigarette intake by half, compared to only 41 percent of people using patches. The medical community also may be coming around. A Wells Fargo public health panel that was moderated by David Sweanor, adjunct professor of law at the University of Ottawa, revealed that etional cigarettes and offer a compelling alternative to smokers. The panel of leading healthcare experts also concluded that more research is needed as well as sensible regulation, but found there is broad bevast public health opportunity.
THE E-CIGARETTE DIFFERENCE
The words vape or vaping are derived from
water vapor, which is emitted when someone draws or takes a puff on an electronic cigarette. The e-liquid is heated until it produces a mist. There is no smoke, ash, smell or even staining. In fact, most electronic cigarettes contain only a handful of ingredients, glycol, which is used as a binding agent in many food products and has been generally recognized as safe (GRAS) for consumption by the FDA. This is a sharp contrast to traditional cigarettes that contain a deadly mix of more than 7,000 chemicals, many of which are toxic and cause cancer. People who enjoy smoking like the idea of an alternative to traditional tobacco. Smokers also like the way e-cigarettes mimic tobacco cigarettes. While municipalities in the U.S. are working to establish local laws where electronic cigarettes can and cant be
used, most places accept their use where
traditional cigarettes are prohibited. Theyre less expensive, too. The cost of most electronic cigarettes is considerably lower than tobacco cigarettes, making it very attractive to traditional smokers. A pack per day smoker of traditional tobacco cigarettes in the US spends an average of $2,200 annually. For example, the
THE COST EQUIVALENT
FOR MISTIC REFILL CARTRIDGES COMPARED TO A PACK OF CIGARETTES IS ONLY $1, MAKING IT 83 PERCENT LESS EXPENSIVE THAN TRADITIONAL TOBACCO CIGARETTES.
compared to a pack of cigarettes is only
$1, making it 83 percent less expensive than traditional tobacco cigarettes.
HIGH MARGINS AND GLOBAL
EXPANSION The e-cigarette category has enormous potential to be a valued player in the global retail sector. Same store sales are rapidly growing for e-cigarette brands like Mistic that have implemented a razor-razorblade model. Because e-cigarette products are rechargeable, repeat sales offer high revenue growth opportunities, with margins reaching the mid 40 percent range by 2017, according to Wells Fargo Securities. Despite the fact that some countries
[Canada] dont allow the sale of nicotine-infused
electronic cigarettes, U.S. companies are exploring international expansion through acquisitions. Many e-cigarette brands also offer zero percent nicotine based Lorillard recently acquired SKYCIG, a premium brand of e-cigarettes based in the United Kingdom, while other American companies are expanding their retail footprints through international distribution. While all signs point to continued disruption of the global $500 billion tobacco market by electronic cigarettes, regulation still hangs in the balance, as tion of rigorous high-quality standards. The recent decision by the European Parliament declining to ban e-cigarettes speaks volumes to the continued growth of these devices as unique alternatives to traditional tobacco. Theres no doubt that electronic cigarettes will win in the end, sooner than later, and that time may already be here. Mistic electronic cigarettes and vapor products are sold in approximately 40,000 retail outlets across the country, including Walmart, Walmart Neighborhood Market Stores, Rite Aid Drug Stores, Kangaroo Express, Circle K, Winn Dixie/Bi-Lo, Food Lion, among many others.