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lk

2014

Issue 05

Week Ending 31-01-2014

Weekly Market Wrap Up


Stat Page
Weekly Stock Trends
S&P SL20 Watch

Pg 02
Pg 03
Pg 04

Local Economy in Brief


Currency Moves
Inflation & Interest Rates
Colombo Tea Auction
Tourism

Pg 05
Pg 06
Pg 06
Pg 06

Global Market
Equity Market Outlook
Global Commodity Trend

Pg 07
Pg 08

Research Chat:
Textured Jersey Lanka Corporate Update

Pg 09

Our Core Coverage

Pg 10- Pg 11

www.randora.lk

Weekly Stat Page


Weekly Market Statistics

Weekly Turnover and Volume

Daily Index Movement


6,300

6,000

500

6,200

400

5,500

6,000
5,900
5,800

300
5,000

200
4,500

('Mn)

LKR ('Mn)

6,100

4,000

0
10-Jan

ASPI

17-Jan

Turnover (LHS)

24-Jan

31-Jan

Volume (RHS)

Weekly Foreign Purchases and Sales

70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

Current
Previous
6248.08
6255.63
3443.25
3478.09
5,280.6
5812.5
370.3
460.8
2,608.3
2602.6

WoW %
-0.1%
-1.0%
-9.2%
-19.6%
0.2%

100

5,700

Daily Foreign Activity

ASPI
S&P SL20
Turnover (LKR 'bn)
Volume ('mn)
Market Cap. (LKR 'bn)

Net Foreign 441

541

188

Weekly Foreign Flow


LKR ('mn)
Foreign Purchases
Foreign Sales
Net Foreign Inflow
Foreign Participation

Current
Previous
1,455.4
2,030.4
1,247.3
1,842.8
208.1
187.7
39%
40%

WoW %
-28.3%
-32.3%
11%
-2.4%

208

Weekly Market Valuations

2,500

Current
Previous
16.9
16.8
2.1
2.1
2.8
2.8

2,000
LKR ('Mn)

PER
PBV
DY

1,500
1,000

WoW %
0.7%
0.5%
0.0%

500

Weekly Sector Statistics

0
10-Jan

Foreign Activity

Linear (Foreign Activity)

17-Jan

Foreign Buying

24-Jan

31-Jan

Foreign Sales

Change in Foreign Holding


Growth in Foreign Holding
HNB (+)
DISTILLERIES
COMMERCIAL BANK (+)
TOKYO CEMENT
HEMAS HOLDINGS

Growth in Growth in
Value
Foreign Decline in Foreign Holding
LKR 'mn
Holding
314.2
33.2
32.5
28.9
22.0

2.6%
0.22%
0.1%
1.45%
1.47%

HNB[X.0000] (+)
CHEVRON (+)
KAHAWATTE (+)
NAT. DEV. BANK (+)
DFCC BANK

Decline in
Value
LKR 'mn
-42.6
-38.8
-19.7
-9.5
-9.0

Decline in
Foreign
Holding
-1.05%
-0.37%
-9.79%
-0.1%
-0.10%

BANKS FINANCE & INS.


BEV. FOOD & TOBACCO
CHEM. & PHARMA.
CONS. & ENG.
DIVERSIFIED
HEALTH CARE
HOTELS & TRAVELS
LAND & PROPERTY
MANUFACTURING
MOTORS
PLANTATIONS
TELECOM

Current
Previous
14,055.6 14,074.7
21,742.2 21,326.3
6,357.1
6,533.1
2,905.3
2,879.0
1,858.7
1,883.6
807.6
754.8
3,212.2
3,219.6
604.8
619.6
3,074.7
3,114.5
15,374.1 15,716.2
755.7
757.3
157.5
160.4

WoW %
-0.1%
2.0%
-2.7%
0.9%
-1.3%
7.0%
-0.2%
-2.4%
-1.3%
-2.2%
-0.2%
-1.8%

Page | 2

www.randora.lk

Weekly Stock Trends


Weekly Top Gainers
Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

CHILAW FINANCE

21.00

15.90

32.08%

21.00

15.90

6,358,016

121,767,082

21.00

9.80

SINHAPUTHRA FIN

112.00

87.60

27.85%

117.00

93.00

23,779

2,499,353

117.00

67.00

SWISSTEK

22.80

19.00

20.00%

22.90

18.30

313,788

6,562,107

22.90

11.50

ASIRI

20.70

17.50

18.29%

21.00

17.00

4,005,626

74,727,927

21.00

10.90

COM.CREDIT

17.60

14.90

18.12%

19.50

14.60

3,951,369

65,793,751

19.50

8.60

Weekly Top Losers


Company
MORISONS
AMANA BANK
PDL

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

230.00

295.00

-22.03%

230.00

230.00

230

361.90

160.00

5.70

7.00

-18.57%

7.10

5.50

7,605,495

50,816,666

7.10

5.50

62.20

70.00

-11.14%

69.00

61.60

691

45,315

75.00

40.20

INDO MALAY

1,340.50

1,500.00

-10.63%

1,450.00

1,340.50

20

27,358

1,540.00

1,250.00

LANKA ASHOK

1,355.00

1,515.00

-10.56%

1,675.00

1,305.00

115

151,890

2,002.20

1,301.00

Weekly Top Performers


Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

Volume

Turnover

52 High

52 Low

HNB

159.80

161.80

-1.24%

161.00

158.20

4,369,477

687,113,282

176.00

140.00

JKH

240.00

247.00

-2.83%

247.40

234.00

2,192,960

521,492,568

299.80

204.00

COMMERCIAL BANK

127.00

129.90

-2.23%

130.00

126.00

1,957,740

249,629,464

131.50

105.00

9.80

9.00

8.89%

9.90

8.80

25,610,259

235,915,949

9.90

6.50

1,287.90

1,251.30

2.92%

1,349.00

1,281.00

178,986

232,736,082

1,400.50

720.00

Volume

Turnover

EXPOLANKA
CEYLON TOBACCO

Weekly Top Volume


Company

Current

Previous

WoW %

High

Low

52 High

52 Low

S M B LEASING

1.50

1.50

0.00%

1.80

1.40

68,311,442

110,934,362

1.80

0.50

S M B LEASING[NON VOTING]

0.50

0.50

0.00%

0.70

0.50

55,089,023

31,976,055

0.70

0.30

EXPOLANKA

9.80

9.00

8.89%

9.90

8.80

25,610,259

235,915,949

9.90

6.50

TOUCHWOOD

3.00

2.90

3.45%

3.30

2.90

13,947,606

43,350,386

8.60

0.90

FLC HOLDINGS

2.20

2.30

-4.35%

2.40

2.20

12,687,837

27,929,210

3.00

2.00

Page | 3

www.randora.lk

S & P SL20 Debrief

Announcements
DIVIDENDS

Daily Index Movement

Company

3,500
3,450
3,400

Dividend (LKR)

XD Date

Aitken Spence Plantations

2.00

05-02-2014

Payment
10-02-2014

Metropolitan Holdings

1.00

06-02-2014

17-02-2014

Textured Jersey Lanka

0.50

07-02-2014

19-02-2014

3,350

Lanka Tiles

2.00

10-02-2014

19-02-2014

3,300

E-Channelling

0.50

10-02-2014

20-02-2014

3,250

Overseas Realty (Ceylon)

3,200
3,150

0.45

To be Notified

To be Notified

0-Jan-1900

1.00

To be Notified

To be Notified

0-Jan-1900

0.00

00-01-1900

RIGHTS ISSUE
Company
S&P SL20

S&P SL20 Companies


JOHN KEELLS HOLDINGS
COMMERCIAL BANK
THE BUKIT DARAH
HATTON NATIONAL BANK
CARSONS CUMBERBATCH
SAMPATH BANK
CEYLON TOBACCO COMPANY
DFCC BANK
AITKEN SPENCE
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT BANK
C T HOLDINGS
DISTILLERIES
HAYLEYS
CHEVRON LUBRICANTS LANKA
DIALOG AXIATA
CARGILLS (CEYLON)
LANKA ORIX LEASING COMPANY
NESTLE LANKA
ASIAN HOTELS & PROPERTIES
LION BREWERY CEYLON

00-01-1900

Current
240.00
127.00
612.60
159.80
345.00
174.00
1,287.90
149.90
103.40
185.50
145.60
210.00
297.60
285.10
9.20
153.90
74.50
2,181.60
65.00
380.20

Previous
247.00
129.90
612.00
161.80
355.00
178.90
1,251.30
150.00
103.80
185.00
150.00
205.00
298.30
291.00
9.50
153.40
73.30
2,150.50
66.00
380.00

WoW %
-2.83%
-2.23%
0.10%
-1.24%
-2.82%
-2.74%
2.92%
-0.07%
-0.39%
0.27%
-2.93%
2.44%
-0.23%
-2.03%
-3.16%
0.33%
1.64%
1.45%
-1.52%
0.05%

Turnover
521,492,568
249,629,464
249,934
687,113,282
3,003,811
38,159,225
232,736,082
24,408,982
207,588,777
97,448,322
468,117
50,594,145
5,186,601
108,269,729
13,166,248
1,680,055
14,063,144
78,977,242
2,625,199
1,798,351

Proportion

XR Date

Renunciation

Pelawatte Sugar

1 for 4 @ LKR18.0

To Be Notified

To Be Notified

Arpico Finance

2 for 3 @ LKR50.0

To Be Notified

To Be Notified

###

###

###

Proportion

EGM Date

XD Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

SCRIP DIVIDEND
Company

CAPITALIZATION OF RESERVES
Company

Proportion

EGM Date

XC Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

SUBDIVISION OF SHARES
Company

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

0-Jan-1900

Proportion

EGM Date

Trading Date

0
0

0
0

0
0

CONSOLIDATION OF SHARES
Company
0-Jan-1900
0-Jan-1900

Page | 4

www.randora.lk

Local Economy
CURRENCY MOVES

LKR
131

USD : LKR

131

LKR
182

EURO : LKR

180

131

210

176

131
130

174

205

130

172

200

LKR
1.35
1.30
1.25
1.20
1.15

Japanese Yen : LKR

LKR
106

105
104
103
102
101
100

GBP : LKR

215

178

131

LKR
220

Singapore Dollar : LKR

LKR
2.16
2.14
2.12
2.10
2.08
2.06
2.04
2.02
2.00

Indian Rupee : LKR

Page | 5

www.randora.lk

Local Economy
BALANCE OF TRADE

TOURISM

Balance of Trade
2,000
1,600
1,200
800
400
0
-400
-800
-1,200

Tourist Arrivals

180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
Jan

Exports

Imports

Nov-13

Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade

Oct-13
1,041
1,535
-494

MoM %
-1%
7%
-25%

Nov-12
828
1,821
-993

Apr

May

Jun

2011

Jul

Aug

2012

Sep

Oct

Dec

Dec-13
2013
153,918
1,274,593

Dec-13
YTD

Nov

2013

For the Month Ending:

YoY %
25%
-10%
38%

INFLATION & INTEREST RATE

2012 Change %
122,252
26%
1,005,605
27%

COLOMBO TEA AUCTION STATISTICS

Inflation and Treasury Bill Rate

14%

Mar

2010

For the Month Ending:


Nov-13
1,032
1,648
-616

Feb

Balance of Trade

Elevation

12%
10%

High Grown
Mid Grown
Low Grown
Total

8%
6%
4%

Sale of
22-Jan-14
453.49
452.98
549.21
515.79

Sale of
13-Jan-14
456.03
451.21
541.82
507.71

WoW %
-0.56%
0.39%
1.36%
1.59%

Corres. 2013
441.52
384.85
430.42
426.31

WoW %
-10.29%
-24.30%

Sale of
31-Dec-13
340.00
411.50

YoY %
2.71%
17.70%
27.60%
20.99%

2%
Jan-13

Mar-13

1-Yr T-Bill

May-13

Point to Point

Jul-13

Sep-13

For the Month Ending:


Point to Point
Annual Average Change
1-Yr T-Bill

Nov-13

Annual Average Change

Jan-14

COLOMBO RUBBER AUCTION STATISTICS

Jan-2014
Dec-13
4.7%
6.9%
8.29%

Jan-14
4.4%
6.5%
7.15%

Basis Points
30
40
114

Elevation
RSS 1
Brown Crepe 1X

Sale of
30-Jan-14
305.00
311.50

Sale of
07-Jan-14
340.00
411.50

WoW %
-10.29%
-24.30%

Page | 6

www.randora.lk

Global Markets
EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK

Index
17,000

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Index
1,900

S&P 500 Index

1,850

16,500

3,000

1,750

15,500

1,700

2,900

15,000

1,650

2,800

Index
6,900
6,800
6,700
6,600
6,500
6,400
6,300
6,200

FTSE 100 Index

Index
17,000
15,000
13,000

11,000
9,000
7,000

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR

3,100

1,800

16,000

Index
3,200

Nikkei 225

Index
24,500
24,000
23,500
23,000
22,500
22,000
21,500
21,000
20,500

Hong Kong Hang Seng Index

Page | 7

www.randora.lk

Global Markets
GLOBAL COMMODITY TREND

USD/bbl
102
100
98
96
94
92
90
88

WTI CRUDE FUTURE

USd/lb.
90

COTTON NO.2 FUTURE

USD/t oz.
1,350

GOLD 100 OZ FUTURE

USd/lb.
350

1,300

340

1,250

330

1,200

320

1,150

310

1,100

300

USd/bu.
800

85

600

80

400

75

200

70

WHEAT FUTURE(CBT)

COPPER FUTURE

Commodity
WTI Crude

USD/bbl

Gold
Copper

USD/t oz.
USd/lb.

Cotton
Wheat

USd/lb.
USd/bu.

This Week

Last
Week

WoW
Change

97.90

97.06

0.9%

1,243.30
320.65

1,270.70
328.15

-2.2%
-2.3%

86.12
553.00

86.83
567.25

-0.8%
-2.5%

Page | 8

www.randora.lk

FY13
10,951
1,016
62%
1.6

FY14E
12,574
1,186
17%
1.8

FY15E
14,315
1,495
26%
2.3

FY16E
16,053
1,691
13%
2.6

We maintain a BUY on TJL based on robust profit growth backed by the commissioning of its multi fuel boiler
during 2QFY15E and steady volume growth fuelled by its 10-12% capacity expansion to be completed during
FY14E. TJL underscores strong valuations offering a one year total return of 32% based on a FY15E DCF fair
value of LKR20.0/share (+23%) and DY of 9%. BUY

17.1
2.0
(206.5)

10.6
1.9
17.1

9.1
1.7
54.1

7.2
1.5
27.6

6.4
1.4
48.2

0.5
50%
2.9%

1.2
80%
7.6%

0.9
50%
5.5%

1.1
50%
7.0%

1.3
50%
7.9%

TJLs 3QFY14 net earnings plunged 17% YoY to LKR301 mn primarily reflecting gross margin erosion of 500 bps
YoY to 11%. Outsourced orders adversely weighed on gross margins amidst the comparative quarter having
recorded an above average gross margin of 16% due to one off gains via provision reversals. Notably gross
margin excluding outsourced business was retained at 11.9% in line with FY13 average gross margin on a YoY
basis. Cumulative net earnings grew 16% YoY to LKR805 mn supported by robust revenue growth of 20% during
1-3QFY14 driven by strong order books.

Y/E March
FY12
Revenue (LKR mn) 12,237
Net Profit (LKR mn)
628
YoY% Growth
-8%
EPS (LKR)
1.0
PER (x)
PBV (x)
PEG (x)
Adjusted DPS (LKR)
Dividend Payout
Dividend Yield (%)

Gross margin dip of 500 bps YoY hampered net earnings. Gross margin during 3QFY14 dipped to 11% cf 16% during 3QFY13 as one-off gains via provision reversals led 3QFY13 to
record an above average performance. Outsourcing orders due to a capacity constraint weighed on overall margins due to a lower level of in-house value addition however gross
margin excluding outsourced business was retained at 11.9% in line with FY13 average. Operating profit margin dipped 300 bps YoY to 9% as result of gross margin erosion amidst
operating expenses remaining broadly flat ( down by 1.2%). As a result 3QFY14 net earnings plunged 17% YoY to LKR301 mn while 1-3QFY14 earnings grew 16% YoY to LKR805 mn
backed by robust top line growth of 20% YoY reflecting strong order books generating a volume growth of 5%.
FY15E earnings to grow 26% YoY to LKR1,495 mn: We expect the commissioning of TJLs multi fuel boiler plant costing USD4.2 mn in 2QFY15E to substantially reduce its energy
cost. The plant is expected to cover its entire furnace oil requirement while generating 1MW electricity resulting in a gross margin expansion to 13% during FY15E (Appendix 1). We
expect FY13-FY16E to record a revenue growth CAGR of 14% backed by strong order books supported by its 10-12% capacity expansion costing USD4.7 mn to be completed during
FY14E (Appendix 2). This is likely to reduce its outsourced orders proportion enabling in house value addition leading to sustained gross margins in FY15E.
Attractive valuations We expect FY14E net earnings to grow 17% YoY to LKR1,186 mn backed by strong order books and a reversal in the adverse one-off impact on gross margin
during 4QFY14E. We forecast FY15E net earnings to grow 26% YoY to LKR1,495 mn with the cost benefit via TJLs power plant and capacity addition directly translating into bottomline growth. TJL currently trades at 9.1x PER and 7.2x PER on FY14E and FY15E net earnings respectively. Dividend payout is maintained at 50% conservatively given its expansion
plans and healthy cash balance of LKR2.3 bn as at 31st December 2013. TJL offers strong valuations offering a one year return of 32% based on a FY15E DCF fair value of
LKR20.0/share (+23%) and DY of 9% (Appendix 3) BUY

Softlogic Equity Research

Page | 9

www.randora.lk

Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price Book Val.

Share

Market

31-Jan-14

Cap.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

('Mn)

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E

Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E

EPS Growth (%)

4Q

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Trailing

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

3,084

25.51

29.00

2,087

57.08

73.94

4Q

PER

DPS

Mar'12

Mar'13 Mar'14E Mar'14E

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12 Dec'13E Dec'13E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

Mar'13
Dec'12

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Banking, Finance & Insurance


Centra l Fi na nce

CFIN.N0000

Ceyl i nco Ins ura nce

CINS.N0000

Commerci a l Ba nk

COMB.N0000 D

Commerci a l Ba nk [X]

COMB.X0000

DFCC Ba nk

Buy

190.00

18,283

104.9

19,928 174.32

1.09

2,675

3,041

1,379.90

14,364

26.4

36,449 543.79

2.54

1,508

1,953

3,437

3,829

32.77

Buy

127.00

58,257

849.2

107,843

68.61

1.85

8,048

10,080

10,685

12,591

9,676

9.48

11.87

12.58

Buy

96.60

58,257

849.2

82,028

68.61

1.41

8,048

10,080

10,685

12,591

9,676

9.48

11.87

DFCC.N0000

MTB

149.90

37,196

265.1

39,738 140.31

1.07

2,900

3,523

3,453

3,915

3,210

10.94

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk

HNB.N0000

Buy

159.80

55,738

399.7

63,869 139.46

1.15

6,149

8,111

9,258

11,113

8,931

Ha tton Na ti ona l Ba nk [X]

Buy

125.30

55,738

399.7

50,080 139.46

0.90

6,149

8,111

9,258

10,908

74.50

21,220

475.2

35,402

44.65

1.67

2,933

1,863

7,099

77.81

1.32

1,714

1,703

2,114

36.51

29.41

46

14

79.01

57

30

7.4

6.6

24.2

18.7

14.83

11.39

46

25

18

13.4

10.7

10.1

12.58

14.83

11.39

46

25

18

10.2

8.1

13.29

13.02

14.77

12.11

(43)

21

(2)

13

13.7

15.38

20.29

23.16

27.81

22.34

28

32

14

20

10.4

8,931

15.38

20.29

23.16

27.81

22.34

1,816

6.17

3.92

3.82

28

32

14

20

(24)

(36)

2,494

1,427

24.75

24.58

30.52

36.01

20.60

68

(1)

24

HNB.X0000

La nka Ori x Lea s i ng Compa ny LOLC.N0000

LB Fi na nce

LFIN.N0000

Buy

102.50

5,389

69.3

Na ti ona l Devel opment Ba nk NDB.N0000

Buy

185.50

24,757

164.7

30,551 150.32

1.23

2,706

8,854

3,533

4,286

9,030

16.43

53.76

21.45

26.03

54.83

26

227

Na ti ons Trus t Ba nk

NTB.N0000

Buy

68.00

11,207

230.6

15,681

48.60

1.40

1,534

1,951

2,211

2,625

2,052

6.65

8.46

9.59

11.38

8.90

41

Pa n As i a Ba nk

PABC.N0000

Buy

17.70

4,128

295.0

5,222

13.99

1.26

824

811

325

633

450

2.79

2.75

1.10

2.14

1.53

Peopl e's Lea s i ng

PLC.N0000

Buy

15.50

18,930

1,579.9

24,488

11.98

1.29

4,542

3,073

3,015

3,590

3,007

2.87

1.95

1.91

2.27

Sa mpa th Ba nk

SAMP.N0000

Buy

174.00

28,856

167.8

29,198 171.96

1.01

4,151

5,212

4,074

6,241

3,881

24.74

31.06

24.28

37.19

Seyl a n Ba nk

SEYB.N0000

65.00

20,799

345.0

22,422

60.29

1.08

1,006

2,063

1,988

2.92

5.98

La nka Ori x Fi na nce

LOFC.N0000

3.60

5,931

2,800.0

10,080

2.12

1.70

1,246

686

617

0.44

0.25

325,055

7,772.7

447,971

41.82

1.38

41,935

52,924

69,861

5.40

6.81

Sample Sector (16)


Full Sector (60)

584,436

898

1,026

0.32

0.37

13

11

5.8

6.5

2.9

1.5

14.6

17.5

12.5

0.9

10.5

8.6

11.1

4.5

3.5

13.8

7.7

6.5

8.5

4.5

4.7

13.8

11.3

11.5

10.1

12.4

5.0

3.3

7.8

7.9

6.9

5.7

7.2

8.5

5.3

11.0

5.4

4.5

8.1

6.2

12.1

19.0

18

4.1

4.2

3.4

(60)

21

11.3

3.5

27

13

19

10.2

128

(2)

(60)

95

1.90

74

(32)

(2)

23.13

19

26

(22)

5.76

(17)

105

0.22

(0)

(45)

8.99

19

26

31

5.2

5.6

8.5

6.8

11.0

19.5

0.5

0.7

13.8

2.8

5.0

6.5

6.3

31.8

8.6

7.1

3.4

15.0

8.1

10.9

8.0

7.1

6.0

7.6

2.1

3.1

13.7

6.3

6.4

16.1

8.3

11.6

1.0

5.6

20.0

19

5.4

8.0

8.1

6.8

8.1

1.3

8.1

24.0

53

7.0

5.6

7.2

4.7

7.5

6.0

3.4

14.4

22.3

10.9

11.3

1.0

1.5

4.8

8.1

14.7

16.3

21.0

10.7

8.5

14

11.2

9.8

6.4

1.48

12.9

9.0

Beverage, Food and Tobacco


Ca rgi l l s

CARG.N0000

153.90

11,755

224.0

34,474

Ceyl on Toba cco Compa ny

CTC.N0000

1,287.90

4,565

187.3

241,254

Di s ti l l eri es

DIST.N0000

210.00

49,925

300.0

63,000 166.42

Li on Brewery

LION.N0000

380.20

6,136

80.0

30,416

Nes tl e (La nka )

NEST.N0000

2,181.60

3,475

53.7

75,856

845.0

LTB

Sample Sector (5)


Full Sector (20)

52.48

2.93

1,079

578

422

4.82

2.58

1.88

(1)

(46)

31.9

59.7

24.37 52.85

6,569

8,176

8,734

9,545

8,603

35.07

43.65

46.63

50.95

45.93

29

24

36.7

29.5

27.6

1.26

5,675

5,520

5,816

6,452

5,577

18.92

18.40

19.39

21.51

18.59

(30)

(3)

11

11.1

11.4

4.96

1,262

1,046

1,107

1,457

965

15.78

13.07

13.83

18.22

12.06

25

(17)

32

24.1

29.1

117,207

64.68 33.73

2,633

2,994

3,513

3,822

3,557

49.01

55.73

65.39

71.14

66.20

39

14

17

44.5

39.1

486,351

89.77

17,219

18,313

19,123

20.38

21.67

22.63

28.2

26.6

76.71

545,794

6.41

81.8

2.0

1.3

9.2

25.3

28.0

45.2

3.5

143.9

10.8

9.8

11.3

3.0

1.4

11.4

27.5

20.9

31.5

4.0

1.1

20.6

33.4

30.7

33.0

54.0

2.5

75.8

25.4

4.61

22.7

22.9

Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals


CIC Hol di ngs

CIC.N0000

51.60

7,577

94.8

4,890

79.95

0.65

863

231

128

9.11

2.44

1.35

(7)

(73)

5.7

21.2

38.2

1.6

3.2

11.4

La nkem Ceyl on

LCEY.N0000

120.40

3,154

24.0

2,890 131.41

0.92

513

297

-226

21.39

12.36

(9.43)

(55)

(42)

5.6

9.7

-12.8

1.5

1.2

16.3

10,730

118.8

7,780

0.73

1,376

528

-99

11.59

4.44

(0.83)

(33)

(62)

5.7

14.7

-78.9

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (10)

90.35

17,872

0.92

12.8

20.6

Construction & Engineering


Col ombo Dockya rd

DOCK.N0000

191.90

Sample Sector (1)

10,477

71.9

13,790 145.80

1.32

1,804

1,977

1,079

25.10

27.51

15.01

(13)

10

7.6

7.0

12.8

10,477

71.9

13,790 145.80

1.32

1,804

1,977

1,079

25.10

27.51

15.01

(13)

10

7.6

7.0

12.8

41,192

2.63

Full Sector (4)

8.0

4.2

17.2
17.2

9.9

Diversified Holdings
Ai tken Spence

SPEN.N0000

103.40

28,815

406.0

41,980

70.97

1.46

3,488

3,267

3,121

8.59

8.05

7.69

38

(6)

12.0

12.9

13.4

1.5

1.5

CT Hol di ngs

CTHR.N0000

145.60

16,707

183.1

26,659

91.25

1.60

1,159

1,150

1,407

6.33

6.28

7.68

34

(1)

23.0

23.2

19.0

0.7

0.4

6.9

Ca rs ons Cumberba tch

CARS.N0000

345.00

30,175

196.4

67,753 153.65

2.25

7,017

4,570

2,988

35.73

23.27

15.21

55

(35)

9.7

14.8

22.7

2.0

0.6

23.3

Expol a nka Hol di ngs

EXPO.N0000

9.80

9,466

1,954.9

19,158

Ha yl eys

HAYL.N0000

297.60

23,074

75.0

Hema s Hol di ngs

HHL.N0000

42.00

12,849

John Keel l s Hol di ngs

JKH.N0000

240.00

Ri cha rd Pei ri s

RICH.N0000

Softl ogi c Hol di ngs

SHL.N0000

Va l l i bel One

VONE.N0000

17.10

LTB

LTB

4.84

2.02

1,033

1,061

1,143

0.53

0.54

0.58

(33)

18.5

18.1

16.8

0.1

1.2

10.9

22,320 307.66

0.97

1,038

1,854

2,150

13.84

24.72

28.67

43

79

21.5

12.0

10.4

4.5

1.5

4.5

515.3

21,642

24.94

1.68

1,165

1,658

1,920

2.26

3.22

3.73

(4)

42

18.6

13.1

11.3

0.8

1.8

9.1

93,134

990.2

237,648

94.06

2.55

9,687

12,201

11,776

9.78

12.32

11.89

17

26

24.5

19.5

20.2

3.5

1.5

10.4

6.70

8,065

1,958.1

13,119

4.12

1.63

2,575

1,903

1,369

1.32

0.97

0.70

53

(26)

5.1

6.9

9.6

0.2

3.0

31.9

11.20

7,327

779.0

8,725

9.41

1.19

483

301

254

0.62

0.39

0.33

(42)

(38)

18.1

29.0

34.4

0.3

2.7

6.6

30,388

1,086.6

18,580

27.97

0.61

2,025

1,403

1,033

1.86

1.29

0.95

250

(31)

9.2

13.2

18.0

0.0

0.0

260,000

8,144.5

477,585

31.92

1.84

29,669

29,367

27,161

3.64

3.61

3.33

30

(1)

16.1

16.3

Sample Sector (10)


Full Sector (18)

510,304

1,302

10,952

10,653

2,323

0.67

11.06

10.76

2.14

23

(10)

(3)

66

14.7

12.1

21.7

22.3

8.0

17.6

1.71

6.7
11.4

17.5

Healthcare
As i ri Hos pi ta l Hol d.

ASIR.N0000

20.70

5,831

1,099.1

22,751

5.31

3.90

609

696

930

0.55

0.63

0.85

219

14

37.3

32.7

24.5

0.5

2.4

10.4

Na wa l oka Hos pi ta l s

NHL.N0000

3.30

3,886

1,409.5

4,651

2.76

1.20

271

454

345

0.19

0.32

0.24

(75)

68

17.2

10.2

13.5

0.1

1.5

7.0

La nka Hos pi ta l s

LHCL.N0000

44.00

27,164

223.7

9,844 121.41

0.36

437

384

564

1.95

1.72

2.52

51

(12)

22.5

25.6

17.4

0.5

1.1

1.6

36,880

2,732.3

1.01

1,317

1,535

1,839

0.48

0.56

0.67

(15)

17

28.3

24.3

20.3

Softlogic Equity Research

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

37,247
52,746

13.50

2.40

1,027

1,082

0.93

0.98

47

22.2

21.0

20.8

3.6

Page | 10

www.randora.lk
Name

Y/E

Rec

Mkt Price Book Val.

Share

Market

31-Jan-14

Cap.
('Mn)

Cap.
('Mn)

('Mn)

NAVPS

Earnings

P / BV

EPS

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E

Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E

EPS Growth (%)

4Q

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Trailing

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

PER

DPS

Mar'12

Mar'13 Mar'14E Mar'14E

Mar'12

Mar'13

Mar'14E Mar'15E

Dec'11

Dec'12 Dec'13E Dec'13E

Dec'11

Dec'12

Dec'13E Dec'14E Trailing

4Q

Mar'13
Dec'12

Trailing

ROE

DY (%)

(%)

Hotels and Travels


Ai tken Sp. Ho. Hol d.

AHUN.N0000 M

70.00

13,283

336.3

23,540

39.50

1.77

1,378

1,782

2,148

1,956

4.10

5.30

6.39

5.82

33

29

21

17.1

13.2

11.0

12.0

1.0

1.4

10.4

Ama ya Lei s ure

CONN.N0000 M

70.20

2,594

48.0

3,372

54.01

1.30

293

377

376

344

6.09

7.84

7.83

7.16

(38)

29

(0)

11.5

9.0

9.0

9.8

4.0

5.7

11.3

As i a n Hotel s & Prop.

AHPL.N0000

65.00

21,335

442.8

28,780

48.19

1.35

2,149

2,494

2,386

2,493

2,480

4.85

5.63

5.39

5.63

5.60

21

16

(4)

13.4

11.5

12.1

11.5

11.6

4.0

6.2

10.1

Keel l s Hotel s

KHL.N0000

12.50

16,771

1,456.1

18,202

11.52

1.09

1,105

1,121

870

994

1,110

0.76

0.77

0.60

0.68

0.76

111

(22)

14

16.5

16.2

20.9

18.3

16.4

0.0

0.0

6.6

Ta j

TAJ.N0000

30.20

2,051

139.6

4,217

14.69

2.06

125

246

293

-165

0.89

1.76

2.10

(1.18)

26

97

19

33.8

17.1

14.4

-25.5

0.0

0.0

6.1

Tra ns As i a

TRAN.N0000

83.50

5,971

200.0

16,700

29.85

2.80

625

1,066

884

1,007

3.12

5.33

4.42

5.04

(5)

71

(17)

26.7

15.7

18.9

16.6

3.0

3.6

10.5

62,006

2,622.9

94,812

23.64

1.53

5,674

7,086

6,957

5,732

2.16

2.70

2.65

2.19

24

25

(2)

16.7

13.4

13.6

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (36)

313,487

927

4.64

18.0

16.5

2.66

9.2

35.2

Land and Property


Col ombo La nd

CLND.N0000

39.80

2,702

199.9

7,955

13.52

2.94

10

335

-90

12

72

0.05

1.68

(0.45)

0.06

0.36

(98)

3,393

(127)

113

829.5

23.7

N/A

662.9

111.2

0.0

0.0

0.4

Overs ea s Rea l i ty

OSEA.N0000

20.80

23,360

843.5

17,544

27.69

0.75

2,681

2,469

1,924

2,158

3,848

3.18

2.93

2.28

2.56

4.56

218

(8)

(22)

12

6.5

7.1

9.1

8.1

4.6

0.3

1.4

11.5

26,062

1,043.4

25,500

24.98

0.98

2,691

2,804

1,834

2,170

3,919

2.58

2.69

1.76

2.08

3.76

102

(35)

18

9.5

9.1

13.9

11.8

6.5

1.0

10.3

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (18)

41,823

0.88

7.7

Manufacturing
ACL Ca bl es

ACL.N0000

69.00

5,848

59.9

4,133

97.63

0.71

485

532

534

8.10

8.88

8.91

127

10

Gra i n El eva tors

GRAN.N0000

38.50

2,794

60.0

2,310

46.56

0.83

388

135

87

93

-94

6.46

2.24

1.45

1.55

(1.56)

(18)

(65)

(35)

Chevron Lubri ca nts

LLUB.N0000

Hold

285.10

5,348

120.0

34,212

44.56

6.40

2,001

2,288

2,562

2,701

2,513

16.67

19.06

21.35

22.51

20.94

33

14

La nka Wa l l ti l e

LWL.N0000

LTB

68.00

5,260

54.6

3,713

96.33

0.71

731

520

545

600

497

13.39

9.52

9.98

10.99

9.10

51

(29)

Pi ra ma l Gl a s s

GLAS.N0000

Hold

4.70

3,373

950.1

4,465

3.55

1.32

686

724

361

532

694

0.72

0.76

0.38

0.56

0.73

19

Roya l Cera mi c

RCL.N0000

LTB

87.20

8,479

110.8

9,661

76.53

1.14

1,243

1,670

1,844

2,190

1,103

11.22

15.07

16.64

19.77

9.96

Textured Jers ey

TJL.N0000

Buy

16.50

6,152

655.0

10,808

9.39

1.76

628

1,017

1,186

1,495

1,192

0.96

1.55

1.81

2.28

Tokyo Cement

TKYO.N0000

Buy

35.30

7,793

334.1

11,795

23.32

1.51

979

893

1,968

1,511

1,883

2.93

2.67

5.89

4.52

45,045

2,344.5

81,096

19.21

1.80

7,141

7,778

8,322

3.05

3.32

Sample Sector (8)


Full Sector (36)

111,004

8.5

7.8

7.7

1.0

1.4

8.3

6.0

17.2

26.6

24.8

-24.7

0.1

0.4

13.9

12

17.1

15.0

13.4

12.7

13.6

15.0

5.3

37.4

10

5.1

7.1

6.8

6.2

7.5

3.0

4.4

13.9

(50)

47

6.5

6.2

12.4

8.4

6.4

0.4

8.1

20.4

(14)

34

10

19

7.8

5.8

5.2

4.4

8.8

2.0

2.3

14.7

1.82

(8)

62

17

26

17.2

10.6

9.1

7.2

9.1

1.2

7.5

10.2

5.63

14

(9)

120

(23)

12.0

13.2

6.0

7.8

6.3

1.0

2.8

12.6

3.55

15

11.4

10.4

4.6

15.9

9.7

1.40

8.8

Motors
Col oni a l Motors

83.00

3,315

15.2

1,262 218.11

0.38

453

120

Di es el & Motor Engi neeri ng DIMO.N0000 M

COLO.N0000

524.30

7,618

8.9

4,654 858.25

0.61

2,702

462

Uni ted Motors

126.40

7,895

67.3

8,503 117.37

1.08

2,281

2,013

1,808

18,829

91.3

14,418 206.13

0.77

5,436

2,595

1,671

21,931

0.96

UML.N0000

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (6)

-210

29.80

7.91

(13.80)

95

(73)

2.8

10.5

-6.0

3.0

3.6

13.7

73 304.36

52.06

8.23

27

(83)

1.7

10.1

63.7

10.0

1.9

35.5

33.91

29.92

26.88

153

(12)

3.7

4.2

4.7

10.0

7.9

28.9

59.51

28.41

18.30

67

(52)

2.7

5.6

8.6

5.6

28.9

10.9

Oil Palms
Buki t Da ra h

BUKI.N0000

612.60

Sample Sector (1)

27,684

102.0

62,485 271.41

2.26

7,299

5,042

2,649

71.56

49.43

25.97

43

(31)

8.6

12.4

23.6

3.0

0.5

26.4

27,684

102.0

62,485 271.41

2.26

7,299

5,042

2,649

71.56

49.43

25.97

43

(31)

8.6

12.4

23.6

3.0

0.5

26.4

93,649

1.82

Full Sector (5)

27.1

Plantations
Ba l a ngoda

BALA.N0000

33.00

2,701

23.6

780 114.26

0.29

25

118

87

1.08

5.01

3.70

(85)

366

30.7

6.6

8.9

1.0

Hora na

HOPL.N0000

24.50

1,394

25.0

613

55.77

0.44

87

220

125

3.49

8.82

4.99

(73)

152

7.0

2.8

4.9

2.0

Kega l l e

KGAL.N0000

102.10

3,264

25.0

2,553 130.55

0.78

769

544

479

30.77

21.74

19.15

(8)

(29)

3.3

4.7

5.3

12.0

11.8

23.6

Kel a ni Va l l ey

KVAL.N0000

78.60

2,558

34.0

2,672

75.23

1.04

460

584

391

13.54

17.19

11.51

44

27

5.8

4.6

6.8

6.0

7.6

18.0

Kota ga l a

KOTA.N0000

36.90

3,187

40.0

1,476

79.67

0.46

439

517

-173

10.97

12.92

(4.32)

(34)

18

3.4

2.9

-8.5

2.5

6.8

13.8

Wa ta wa l a

WATA.N0000 M

10.30

3,883

236.7

2,438

16.41

0.63

455

680

510

1.92

2.87

2.15

(29)

49

5.4

3.6

4.8

0.8

16,986

384.3

10,531

44.20

0.62

2,236

2,664

1,419

5.82

6.93

3.69

(24)

19

4.7

4.0

7.4

Sample Sector (6)


Full Sector (19)

24,718

0.69

0.9
6.3

11.7
13.2

7.5

Power and Energy


La nka IOC

LIOC.N0000

38.30

15,331

532.5

20,396

28.79

1.33

906

2,911

4,371

1.70

5.47

8.21

221

22.5

7.0

4.7

1.0

Va l l i bel

VPEL.N0000

5.90

2,160

747.1

4,408

2.89

2.04

249

289

626

0.33

0.39

0.84

(41)

16

17.7

15.2

7.0

0.3

4.2

11.5

La ugfs Ga s

LGL.N0000

33.50

6,781

387.0

12,965

17.52

1.91

822

1,061

1,484

2.13

2.74

3.83

(4)

29

15.8

12.2

8.7

1.5

4.5

12.1

24,271

1,666.6

37,768

14.56

1.56

1,977

4,261

6,482

1.19

2.56

3.89

(8)

116

19.1

8.9

Sample Sector (3)


Full Sector (8)

43,206

1,414

1,453

3.65

3.75

33

9.2

8.9

5.9

5.8

1.40

8.1

6.0

Telecommunications
Di a l og Axi a ta

DIAL.N0000

9.20

38,620

8,143.8

74,923

4.74

1.94

5,354

6,521

5,016

0.66

0.80

0.62

22

14.0

11.5

14.9

0.3

3.6

Sri La nka Tel ecom

SLTL.N0000

36.50

56,871

1,804.9

65,877

31.51

1.16

4,781

5,329

4,774

2.65

2.95

2.65

21

11

13.8

12.4

13.8

0.9

2.3

95,491

9,948.6

140,800

9.60

1.47

10,135

11,850

9,790

1.02

1.19

0.98

13

17

13.9

11.9

14.4

Sample Sector (2)


Full Sector (2)

140,800

0.00

1.47

13.9
8.4
10.6

14.4

Trading
Browns

BRWN.N0000 M

91.00

14,064

70.9

3.39

(79)

5.5

26.9

11.1

0.5

0.5

8.3

4,875

125.2

11,269

38.94

2.31

661

10.11

9.09

8.21
5.28

(47)

90.00

240
1,138

16.43

SINS.N0000

1,164
1,266

582

Si nger Sri La nka

90

(10)

8.9

9.9

17.1

6.0

6.7

26.0

18,939

196.1

17,718

96.59

0.94

2,431

1,378

1,242

12.40

7.03

6.34

(15)

(43)

7.3

12.9

14.3

Sample Sector (2)

Softlogic Equity Research

Full Sector (8)

Sample Market (70)


Total Market (284)

6,450 198.43

22,511
1,054,312 38,085.0 1,955,852
2,623,735

0.46

0.98
27.68

1.86
1.83

12.8

17.1
138,340 150,101 162,109 183,183 160,190

3.63

3.94

4.26

4.81

4.21

17

13

14.1

13.0

12.1

10.7

12.2
14.4

13.1

Page | 11

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Dimantha Mathew
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