Economics For exams from June 2014 onwards For certification from June 2014 onwards GOE Econom|cs for exams from June 2014 onwards (vers|on 1.4} 18 3.4 n|t 4 EOON4 Econom|cs: The Nat|ona| and lnternat|ona| Economy n|t 4 |s synopt|c. lt |s assumed that the know|edge and sk|||s cand|dates have acqu|red |n other un|ts w||| be used to cons|der concepts, theor|es and |ssues |ntroduced |n th|s un|t. Oand|dates are expected to deve|op further the|r cr|t|ca| approach to econom|c mode|s and methods of enqu|ry. They shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate econom|c mode|s |n wr|tten, numer|ca| and graph|ca| forms. Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to app|y the AD/AS ana|ys|s from n|t 2 to the |ssues ra|sed |n th|s un|t. They shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate the causes of changes |n macroeconom|c |nd|cators |n greater depth than expected at AS |eve|. There |s an emphas|s |n n|t 4 on the consequences of changes |n macroeconom|c |nd|cators. lt |s expected that cand|dates w||| acqu|re a good know|edge of trends and deve|opments |n the economy wh|ch have taken p|ace dur|ng the past ten years and a|so have an awareness of ear||er events where th|s he|ps to g|ve recent deve|opments a |onger term perspect|ve. Oand|dates shou|d apprec|ate the ways |n wh|ch deve|opments |n the n|ted K|ngdom economy can be re|ated to the g|oba| and European n|on (E} contexts. Examp|es of |ssues wh|ch cou|d be exam|ned |n the g|oba| context are the |mpact of Oh|na`s recent |ndustr|a| deve|opment on the K economy or the consequences for the K economy of |ncreased |nward |nvestment by mu|t|nat|ona| compan|es. Examp|es of |ssues |n the EU context are the |mp||cat|ons for the K economy of E en|argement or the poss|b|e consequences of postpon|ng a dec|s|on on K membersh|p of the S|ng|e European Ourrency. Oand|dates shou|d be prepared to propose, ana|yse and eva|uate poss|b|e so|ut|ons to macroeconom|c prob|ems. They w||| be requ|red to assess the |mpact and effect|veness of current government po||c|es to dea| w|th these prob|ems as we|| as cons|der|ng a|ternat|ve po||c|es. 3.4.1 Macroeconomic lndicators The Econom|c Cyc|e and Econom|c Growth Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate the causes of changes |n the var|ous phases of the econom|c cyc|e, |nc|ud|ng demand-s|de and supp|y-s|de shocks. Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate the supp|y-s|de factors that are ||ke|y to determ|ne the |ong-run trend rate of growth, such as |nvestment, techno|ogy, educat|on and tra|n|ng. Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate the var|ous costs and benefts of econom|c growth. There shou|d be the ab|||ty to d|scuss whether or not econom|c growth |s susta|nab|e and to eva|uate the |mpact of growth on |nd|v|dua|s, the economy and the env|ronment. Uses of Nat|ona| Income Data Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to d|scuss the use and ||m|tat|ons of nat|ona| |ncome data to draw conc|us|ons on ||v|ng standards. They shou|d be ab|e to |nterpret d|fferent types of econom|c data, such as the Human Deve|opment lndex, and use them to compare the ||v|ng standards of the res|dents of d|fferent countr|es. They shou|d be ab|e to d|scuss the ||m|tat|ons of us|ng such data to arr|ve at conc|us|ons. Unemp|oyment Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate the causes of unemp|oyment and the consequences for |nd|v|dua|s and the performance of the economy. They shou|d understand the concept of, and the factors wh|ch determ|ne, the natura| rate of unemp|oyment and both the short-run and |ong-run Ph||||ps curves, and be ab|e to d|scuss the |mp||cat|ons of these for econom|c po||cy. ! GOE Econom|cs for exams from June 2014 onwards (vers|on 1.4} 19 ! Inat|on and Deat|on Oand|dates shou|d have an understand|ng of how |ndex numbers are ca|cu|ated and used to measure changes |n the pr|ce |eve|. A|though a deta||ed techn|ca| know|edge |s not expected of |nd|ces such as the Reta|| Pr|ce lndex (RPl} and Oonsumer Pr|ce lndex (OPl}, cand|dates shou|d have an awareness of the under|y|ng features, for examp|e, the Fam||y Expend|ture Survey, the concept of the 'average fam||y`, the basket of goods and serv|ces, and we|ght|ng. Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate the causes of changes |n the pr|ce |eve| and the consequences for both |nd|v|dua|s and the performance of the economy, |nc|ud|ng the potent|a| |mpact of a r|s|ng or fa|||ng pr|ce |eve|. There shou|d be an understand|ng of F|sher`s equat|on of exchange and the Ouant|ty Theory of Money |n re|at|on to the monetar|st mode|. The poss|b|e re|evance of expectat|ons to changes |n the pr|ce |eve| shou|d be understood. 3.4.2 Managing the National Economy Macroeconom|c Mode|s and Po||c|es Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to use macroeconom|c mode|s, |nc|ud|ng the AD/ AS mode|, to ana|yse the causes of poss|b|e conf|cts between po||cy object|ves |n the short run and |ong run. They shou|d be ab|e to d|scuss approaches to reconc|||ng these conf|cts and the monetar|st/supp|y-s|de v|ew that the major macroeconom|c object|ves are compat|b|e |n the |ong run. There shou|d be an awareness of the changes |n monetary and fsca| po||cy wh|ch have occurred |n the |ast ten years or so. F|sca| Po||cy Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to d|scuss the |ssue of the budget ba|ance and be ab|e to eva|uate the poss|b|e econom|c consequences of a budget defc|t or budget surp|us and the poss|b|e correct|ve measures. They shou|d be ab|e to assess the econom|c s|gn|fcance of changes |n the |eve| and d|str|but|on of pub||c expend|ture. They shou|d be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate the m|croeconom|c s|gn|fcance of taxat|on and the var|ous ro|es and re|at|ve mer|ts of the d|fferent K taxes. There shou|d be an awareness of the taxat|on pr|nc|p|es wh|ch are ||ke|y to under||e a taxat|on system, such as the ab|||ty to pay and the |mpact on |ncent|ves. There shou|d be an awareness of the |ntroduct|on of fsca| ru|es such as the Stab|||ty and Growth Pact w|th|n the euro area. Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to assess the econom|c s|gn|fcance of changes |n the |eve| of the nat|ona| debt. !"#$% '()$* #+$ ,$-.(,$/$*#0 "1 #+(0 2*(# 3*4 #+"0$ "1 2*(# 56 (# (0 $78$9#$4 #+3# 93*4(43#$0 :(;; +3)$ 3* .*4$,0#3*4(*' "1 <"#+ #+$ 8"#$*#(3; 4$/3*4=0(4$ 3*4 0.88;>=0(4$ $11$9#0 "1 1(093; 8";(9>6 (*9;.4(*' (#0 /(9,"$9"*"/(9 ,";$ 3*4 #+$ (*1;.$*9$ ")$, #+$ 83##$,* "1 $9"*"/(9 39#()(#>? Supp|y-S|de Po||c|es Oand|dates shou|d deve|op a more soph|st|cated understand|ng of supp|y-s|de po||c|es us|ng A2 concepts such as progress|ve taxat|on and the natura| rate of unemp|oyment. They shou|d understand the contr|but|on of supp|y-s|de po||c|es to the management of the economy and to ach|ev|ng part|cu|ar macroeconom|c po||cy object|ves. They shou|d a|so apprec|ate that supp|y-s|de po||c|es, such as tax changes, pr|vat|sat|on and |abour market reforms, can have m|croeconom|c as we|| as macroeconom|c effects. GOE Econom|cs for exams from June 2014 onwards (vers|on 1.4} 20 Monetary Po||cy, the Money Supp|y and Interest Rates Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to bu||d on the|r know|edge of the ro|e of the Monetary Po||cy Oomm|ttee (MPO} of the Bank of Eng|and from n|t 2 and be ab|e to d|scuss how the Bank can |nfuence the money supp|y (|nc|ud|ng quant|tat|ve eas|ng} and the rate of |nterest. ln part|cu|ar, they shou|d be aware of the object|ves of monetary po||cy. They shou|d be ab|e to |dent|fy and exp|a|n the |nstruments of po||cy wh|ch are current|y emp|oyed by the Bank of Eng|and to ach|eve the |nfat|on target set by the government. Oand|dates shou|d understand how the demand for, and supp|y of, funds |n d|fferent markets affect |nterest rates. Oand|dates shou|d have an understand|ng of the factors cons|dered by the MPO when sett|ng |nterest rates. !"#$% @*":;$4'$ "1 #+$ 9,$4(# /.;#(8;($, 3*4 ;(-.(4(#> 8,$1$,$*9$ #+$",> (0 !"# $78$9#$4? Exchange Rate Po||cy Oand|dates shou|d understand the re|at|onsh|p between |nterest rates and the exchange rate and how the exchange rate m|ght be an |nfuence on po||cy object|ves such as pr|ce stab|||ty and unemp|oyment. 3.4.3 The lnternational Economy G|oba||sat|on Oand|dates shou|d have an understand|ng of the causes of g|oba||sat|on, |ts ma|n character|st|cs, and the d|fferent consequences for deve|op|ng and for deve|oped countr|es. There shou|d be some understand|ng of the ro|e of mu|t|nat|ona| corporat|ons |n the deve|opment of g|oba||sat|on. Trade Oand|dates shou|d understand the mode| of comparat|ve advantage, the d|st|nct|on between comparat|ve and abso|ute advantage, and be ab|e to use a s|mp|e numer|ca| examp|e to |||ustrate th|s d|st|nct|on. They shou|d be ab|e to eva|uate the |mportance and ||m|tat|ons of these concepts as we|| as d|scuss the costs and benefts of trade genera||y. There shou|d be an understand|ng of the reasons for changes |n the pattern of trade between the K and the rest of the wor|d, as we|| as the potent|a| costs and benefts of trade for an economy. Oand|dates shou|d a|so be ab|e to d|scuss the nature and |mportance of trade between deve|oped and deve|op|ng countr|es for both part|es. There shou|d be an awareness of the extent of progress towards free trade |n recent years, espec|a||y through the ro|e of the Wor|d Trade Organ|sat|on (WTO}. Equa||y, cand|dates shou|d understand the causes and consequences of protect|on|st po||c|es such as tar|ffs, quotas and export subs|d|es. The Ba|ance of Payments Oand|dates shou|d know the d|fference between the current and cap|ta| and fnanc|a| accounts on the K ba|ance of payments. !"#$% 93*4(43#$0 :(;; <$ 3:3,$ "1 #+$ 9"/8"0(#("* "1 #+$ 9.,,$*# 399".*# 1,"/ 2*(# 5A 3 4$#3(;$4 @*":;$4'$ "1 #+$ ,$/3(*4$, "1 #+$ 399".*#0 (0 !"# ,$-.(,$46 <.# #+$ *3#.,$ 3*4 0('*(1(93*9$ "1 <"#+ 0+",#=#$,/ 3*4 ;"*'=#$,/ (*#$,*3#("*3; 938(#3; 1;":0 0+".;4 <$ .*4$,0#""4? An understand|ng of the |mportance of the O|ty of |ondon to the trade |n fnanc|a| serv|ces shou|d be conveyed to cand|dates. Oand|dates shou|d understand the poss|b|e s|gn|fcance of defc|ts and surp|uses for an |nd|v|dua| economy. They shou|d a|so understand the poss|b|e |mp||cat|ons for the g|oba| economy of a major economy or econom|es w|th |mba|ances dec|d|ng to take correct|ve act|on. Oand|dates shou|d a|so be ab|e to ana|yse and eva|uate measures wh|ch may be taken to dea| w|th ba|ance of payments defc|ts or surp|uses. ! GOE Econom|cs for exams from June 2014 onwards (vers|on 1.4} 21 ! Exchange Rate Systems Oand|dates shou|d understand how exchange rates are determ|ned |n both fxed and foat|ng exchange rate systems (whether comp|ete|y free or managed per|od|ca||y by the author|t|es}. Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to eva|uate these exchange rate systems and have an understand|ng of the|r |mp||cat|ons for the management of the domest|c economy. The European Un|on (EU| Oand|dates shou|d have an e|ementary understand|ng of the |nst|tut|ona| structure of the E, notab|y the ro|e of the European Oomm|ss|on and the European Oentra| Bank. !"#$% 3 4$#3(;$4 @*":;$4'$ "1 #+$0$ (*0#(#.#("*0 (0 !"# $78$9#$4? Oand|dates shou|d be ab|e to d|scuss the ma|n features of customs un|ons and understand the s|gn|fcance of the E as a customs un|on. The E as a customs un|on shou|d be cons|dered |n re|at|on to the S|ng|e European Market (SEM}. Oand|dates shou|d have an apprec|at|on of the potent|a| |mpact on the K economy of E en|argement. They shou|d be ab|e to eva|uate Econom|c and Monetary n|on (EM} and the s|ng|e European currency |n the context of the debate over K membersh|p.