Enero
Febrero
Marzo
Abril
Mayo
Junio
Demanda
12
11
15
12
16
15
Demanda
12
11
15
12
16
15
Y=81
y=13.5
x2
1
4
9
16
25
36
x2=91
XY
12
22
45
48
80
90
XY=297
Desviacin
0.5
1.5
2
7.5
2
Ventas
890,000
800,000
825,000
Demanda
45
50
52
56
58
= 0.6
= 0.9
= 0.6 y B= 0.1
Demanda
12
25
76
52
1991
1
2
3
4
Demanda
16
32
71
62
1992
1
2
3
4
Demanda
14
45
84
47
Ao
1
2
1991
3
4
1
2
1992
3
4
Dt
16
32
71
62
14
45
84
47
Media
D
45.25
47.5
Ft
43.84 0.563
44.41
44.97
45.53
46.09
46.66
47.22
47.78
48.34
It
0.36
0.71
1.56
1.35
0.30
0.95
1.76
0.97
Media
It
It
0.33
0.83
3.98
1.66
1.16
Media
It-m
0.33
0.84
1.67
1.16
= I 1-4
= I 2-4
= I 3-4
= I 4-4
=
=
=
=
I -3
I -2
I -2
I0
Ao
t TRIM
Dt
1er paso
2do
paso
3er
paso
4to
paso
Ft
Tt
It
Ft+1
1991 1
2
1
2
16
32
45.17
44.33
0.68
0.45
0.33
0.83
37.82
74.35
= 0.2
= 0.15
3
4
1992 1
2
3
4
1993 1
2
3
4
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
71
62
14
45
84
47
18
44.34
46.43
46.09
48.02
49.06
47.93
49.57
0.38
0.64
0.49
0.71
0.76
0.47
0.65
1.66
1.18
0.33
0.85
1.67
1.15
0.33
52.84
15.49
39.43
81.46
57.10
16.21
16.78
42.56
85.89
60.75
= 0.1