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Table of Contents
Page no.
Acknowledgement Preface About the Project Introduction to the Securities market Introduction to the Stock Market About IIFL Objective of the study Scope of the study Introduction to the study MACD & MACD-H Financial Review Budget 2009 Research design & Methodology Questionnaire & Analysis Limitations of the study Suggestions and Findings Bibliography
4 5 6 7 to 9 10 to 15 16 to 24 25 26 27 to 41 42 to 58 59 to 78 79 to 80 80 to 89 90 91 to 92 93
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Acknowledgement
Surpassing milestones towards a mission give us degree of jubilance that we tend to forget the precious help extended by people to whom the success of mission is solely dedicated.
Concentration, dedication, hard work & application are essential but not the only factor to achieve the desired goal .It must be supplemented by guidance, assignment & cooperation of people to make it a success. Every complete successful assignment is the result of many hands joined together and we must thank all of them My summer training at India Infoline ltd. was an ardent, unforgettable and fruitful experience. I was overwhelmed with the friendly and cooperative attitude, the enlightened advice and information extended to me by everyone. To start with, I would like to thank Mr. Harinder Pal Singh (Territory manager) for giving me an opportunity to do my summer training in this esteemed organization. I would like to thanks Mr. SUNNY AHUJA (Training Officer) who helped us to complete our project. They never hesitated to answer our never ending queries I would like to thank Prof. MONIKA THAKUR for smooth and unhurdled completion of my training. At last but not the least, my warmest thanks to my parents and all my friends as their motivation proved to be of great help in the completion of this project
ULLAS BASSI
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PREFACE
Life is too short & art is too long the occasion fleeting experience fallacious and judgment difficult
As a part of degree of MBA, a student has to undergo for training in a commercial organization with the help of this training research students come to know that how the academic knowledge is applied in an actual business situation. They also come to know about the working conditions under which they will have to work in the future In our summer training report we are studied Technical Analysis of Securities. It is the student attempt to watch, record, analyzed and understand the trends of the stocks and practical aspect of the stocks and applying the theoretical knowledge and concept. Today the corporate world is related to the stock exchange in many ways even the political, economic, regional, and many more factors affect the stock exchanges. Basically all these things are inter related and have effect on each other in one or another way. So this report has been prepared keeping all these in minds and it includes the basic of stock market and stock exchange. Every effort has been made to satisfy the readers but in spite of this all the critical appraisals are also welcome.
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LUDHIANA. The project is about the implement of MACD and MAC-H as a tool of Technical Analysis of Securities. For this purpose I have collected some historical data just to make my stand clear on the concept of MACD and MACH as a tool of Technical Analysis of Securities. To make this concept clear to understand I have used some examples, charts with interpretation and some historical data
ULLAS BASSI
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into transaction to purchase and sell the shares, bonds, debentures etc. The securities market is structured to provide liquidity and marketability to the securities industry. It is a place where stock certificates can be turned into cash at the prevailing price. This kind of liquidity makes investing in stock attractive. It provides the market quotation of shares, bonds and debentures, which is sort of buying and selling in the market.
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It is the essential pillar of the private sector and corporate economy. It is the open auction market where buyer sellers met and involve a competitive price for the securities. It reflects hope aspirations and
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market. BSE played a pivotal role in the development of the Indian capital market and its index, SENSEX, is tracked worldwide. The exchange has the nation wide reach with a presence in 417 cities and town in India. It provides an efficient and transparent market for trading in equity, debt instrument and derivatives. NSE on the other hand was in incorporated as a tax paying company in 1992. In 1993 NSE was recognized as a stock exchange under the Securities Contract Regulation Act, 1956 and it commenced operations in the wholesale debt market (WDM) segment in June1994. The capital market equities segment commenced operations in November 1994 and operations
in derivatives segment
were started in June 2000. In October 1995, NSE became the largest stock exchange in the country. NSE launched S&P CNX Nifty in April1996. NSE is one of the largest interactive VSAT based exchanges in the world. Presently, it supports more than three 3000 VSATs. The NSE network is the largest private wide area network in India and first C- Band VSAT. History of stock exchanges of Indian capital market can be back to the 18th century as follows:
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1939- Formation of Lahore and Madras stock exchange 1940- Formation of U.P. and Delhi stock exchange 1956- Securities Contract Regulation Act regulated 1957- Scam of Haridas Mundhra 1988- Securities and exchange board of India set up 1991- Scam of MS Shoes 1992- SEBI given power under SEBI Act, 1992 1993- Formation of National Stock Exchange (NSE) 1995- HARSHAD MEHTA Scam
1995- SESA GOA Scam 1998- BPL and Videocon Scam 20th Century 2000- Depositories came into existence (electronic form of shares) 2001- Ketan parikh Scam 2002- Start of rolling settlement and banning of BADLA Trading 2003- Introduction of T + 3 settlements in April 2003- Introduction of T + 2 settlements in April
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Trading Mechanism
The operation of sale and purchase of scrips is as follows:
Walk to any broker /sub broker See the prices of the shares Scan the counter at broker place It display the 3best bidding offer for all the scrips traded Decide to buy or sell, asks your broker to deal on your behalf Make the payment /margin money/share certificate Collect confirmation slip Visit the same counter on pay out day to collect delivery/payment
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Companies: It provides them the access to market funds, higher rating and
public interests.
Brokers: They receive commission in lieu of their services to investor. Economy and country: There is a large flow of savings, better growth,
higher incomes and it helps the industries to grow. The recognition according to a stock exchange is normally valid for the period of five years. However the Stock Exchange of Bombay, Delhi, Chennai, Hyderabad, and Bangalore have been granted permanent recognition.
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PLACE
Kanpur Ludhiana Delhi Jaipur
East Zone
West Zone Ahmedabad Baroda Indore Mumbai Mumbai Mumbai South Zone Bangalore Chennai Cochin Coimbatore Hyderabad Mangalore
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INDIAINFOLINE LIMITED
Its all about money honey
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INDIAINFOLINE LIMITED
India Infoline is a growing organization, which is an ideal place for individuals with high ambitions. The working atmosphere is highly charged with a young and energetic team of qualified professionals. The average age of the team is 28. Further it provides an environment where conventions, protocols do not come in the way of good ideas. Individuals who are dynamic and result oriented will find their own niche in this environment. The strength of the organization has been to continuously innovate and reinvent itself. The organization as a team is continuously learning and is in sync with the rapidly charging environment. India Infoline ltd. is a one-stop financial services shop, most respected for quality of its advice, personalized service and cutting-edge technology. A network of 1,361 business locations spread over 428 cities and towns across India facilitates the smooth acquisition and servicing of a large customer base. All IIFL offices are connected with the corporate office in Mumbai with cutting edge networking technology . IIFL has overseas offices in Singapore, Dubai and New York. With a team of 25 research analysts, IIFL provides in-depth analysis of India
with plans to extend its presence to other Asia Pacific markets. It is listed on both the leading stock exchanges in India, viz. the Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and is also a member of both the exchanges. It is engaged in the businesses of Equities broking, Wealth Advisory Services and Portfolio Management Services. It offers broking services in the Cash and Derivatives segments of the NSE as well as the Cash segment of the BSE. IIFL is registered with NSDL as well as CDSL as a depository participant, providing a one-stop solution for clients trading in the equities market. IIFL has recently launched its Investment banking and Institutional Broking business.
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HISTORY
India Infoline limited was originally incorporated on October 18, 1995 as Probity Research and Services Private Limited at Mumbai under the Companies Act, 1956 with Registration No. 11 93797. It commenced our operations as an independent provider of information, analysis and research covering Indian businesses, financial markets and economy, to institutional customers. It became a public limited company on April 28, 2000 and the name of the Company was changed to Probity Research and Services Limited. The name of the Company
was changed to India Infoline.com Limited on May 23, 2000 and later to India Infoline Limited on March 23, 2001.
In 1999, they identified the potential of the Internet to cater to a mass retail segment and transformed its business model from providing information services to institutional customers to retail customers. Hence it launched its Internet portal, www.indiainfoline.com in May, 1999 and started providing news and market information, independent research, interviews with business leaders and other specialized features. In May 2000, the name of the Company was changed to India Infoline.com Limited to reflect the transformation of its business. Over a period of time, it has emerged as one of the leading business and financial information services provider in India. In the year 2000, it leveraged its position as a provider of financial information and analysis by diversifying into transactional services, primarily for online trading in shares and securities and online as well as offline distribution of personal financial products, like mutual funds and RBI Bonds. These activities were carried on by its wholly owned subsidiaries.
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Its broking services was launched under the brand name of 5paisa.com through its subsidiary, India Infoline Securities Private
Limited and www.5paisa.com, the e-broking portal, was launched for online trading in July 2000. It combined competitive brokerage rates and research, supported by Internet technology, besides investment advice from an experienced team of research analysts, we also offer real time stock quotes, market news and price charts with multiple tools for technical analysis. India Infoline fixes a price band between Rs 70 and Rs 80 for its forthcoming public issue. The company is coming out
with public issue of 1.18 crore shares with a face value of Rs 10 through the book building route. The issue is slated to open on April 21 and close on April 27. Enam Financial Consultants Private Ltd would be the sole book running lead manager to the issue while In time Spectrum Registry Ltd is the registrar to the issue.
Facilities
IIFL main offices are located in approximately 4,000 square feet of office space located in Mumbai, India. India Infoline Branches
collectively occupy an additional 10,000 square feet of office space located throughout India, as on March 31, 2005, we have 73 branches across 36 locations in India.
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Key executive
S.No 1 2 3 4 5 6
Name Mr. Nirmal Jain Mr. R Venkataraman Mr. Nilesh Vikamsey Mr. Kranti Sinha Mr. A K Purwar Mr. Sat Pal Khattar
Designation Chairman and Managing director Executive Director Independent Director Independent Director Independent Director Non Executive Director
1. Equity 2. Portfolio Management services 3. Research 4. Commodities 5. Mortgages 6. Insurance 7. Wealth Management Services 8. Investment Online a) Investment in MF. b) Apply in IPOs
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Achievements
India Infoline has recently been awarded the 'Best Broker, India' by Finance Asia and the 'Most improved brokerage, India' in the Asia Money polls. India Infoline has also won the 'Fastest Growing Large Broking House' award by Dun & Bradstreet. A forerunner in the field of equity research, India Infoline's research is acknowledged by none other than Forbes as 'Best of the Web' and '...a must read for investors in Asia'. India Infoline's research is available not just over the Internet but also on international wire services like Bloomberg, Thomson First Call and Internet Securities where it is amongst one of the most read Indian brokers.
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COMPETITORS
1) SHARE KHAN LIMITED :
follows;
Online + offline
Internet Telephonic
Also provide software namely Trade Tiger and Fast trade internet services to the customer, who want to operate their own account while sitting at home. Offers- They offer two plans Rs.250+ margin money AMC- Rs.300 p.a. Brokerage - .05 on Intraday .50 on delivery (Excluding taxes) Prepaid plan (Rs.6,000) No such charges .025 on Intraday .25 on delivery (Excluding taxes)
In prepaid plan Rs.6,000 which would be given in advance, is refundable in the form of brokerage with the one year validity. Transaction charges / Scrip charges would be depend on the transaction (max.Rs.16).
Limitations1. They do unauthorized trading on the part of the customers. 2. They give very limited period of debit. 3. Services provided to the customer are not satisfactory. 4. No lifetime plan given by them .
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2.
RELIGARE -
Online + offline
Internet Telephonic
Offers They have only one plan in which the customer have to pay Rs.10,500ce in advance out of which Rs.250 will be deducted as AMC and Rs.100 will be deducted as new account opening. They give four times limit to trade in Intraday by default and two time limits for delivery. They charge .o3%/100 brokerage for Intraday and .30%/100 for delivery (excluding other charges).
Limitations
They have only one plan and no life time plan They 18% p.a. rate of interest on the debit amount They required higher initial investment in the form of margin money. They charge very high scrip charges.
3.HDFC bank-
trough net banking or telephonic banking. But they charge very high rate of brokerage as they avail this services from some other trading firm. HDFC bank also provided this service, they open demat +trading account with Rs.799. No physical place is provided by them to the investors. You can check your account on bank website www.HDfcsee.com.
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Offers- they offer one lifetime plan of Rs. 900. In which no AMC will
be charge in future They give six times limit to trade in Intraday by default and two time limits for delivery.
Limitations
They have only one lifetime plan, no other option for the customers.
They charge very high transaction charges They give very limited period of debit.
DEMAT ACCOUNT -
account we have to fulfill following formalities: PAN CARD Resident proof One cancel cheque. One cheque of margin money.
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1) To determine the expectations and apprehensions of investors in the stock market. 2) To study the awareness level of investors about Technical Analysis 3) To determine the measure which can be taken to improve the quality of technical Research? 4) To determine the investment criteria of investors. 5) To save the existing and initial investor from high losses. 6) To increase the ROI of existing and initial investor. 7) To overcome the difficulties for decision making. 8) To study volatility in different sector of the market.
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The project named TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES is generally related to the investments in INDIAN economy. In this study we find out the factors which effect the investments in INDIA and try to understand the problem in deep to sort out the all the threats and remove all the limitation of the decisions regarding investments. The existing investors and initial investors face many problems while he invests in IPOs & in Equities. Because there are many type of shares which are divided in different categories. This makes the investments a complex decision. There are many difficulties while they invest. In this study we elaborated the factors to be considered before investing in any sector.
Which current sector should be used for high return? How can we use MACD and MACH as a tool of technical analysis
This project is mainly concerned with how we can get knowledge regarding investment in Equities and get best returns on our investments.
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SECURITY ANALYSIS
There are two main types of analysis of predicting the performance of a companys stock FUNDAMENTAL and TECHNICAL analysis. Fundamentalists forecast stock prices on the basis of Economic-IndustryCompany statistics. The principal decision variables ultimately take the form of earning and dividend. The latter looks for peaks, bottoms, trends, patterns, and other factors affecting a stocks price movement and then making a buy/sell decision based on those factors. It is a technique many people attempt though very few are truly successful.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Fundamental Analysis is an approach to determine the expected value of a security. Its objective is to identify the under- priced and overpriced and over-priced securities in the market place so that investment decision (buying &selling ) can be made. The fundamental analysis includes the three components: Economy Analysis Industry Analysis Company Analysis
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ECONOMY ANALYSIS
The economic activity affects corporate profits, investors attitude and expectations and ultimately security prices/ return. Thus the performance of the company depends on the performance of the economy. If the economy is in the recession or stagnation, the performance of the company will be bad in general. If the economy is booming, incomes are rising and the demand is good, the industries in general may be prosperous.
Industry Analysis
The industry analysis can be viewed as one security analysis. Industry analysis involves several steps. As a first step, industries are analyzed in terms of their stage in life-cycle. The analysis indicates the value to investors of selecting certain industries while avoiding others.
Company Analysis
In the company analysis, all the factors affecting the earnings of a particular company are considered. Both internal and external information is considered in the company analysis. Thus the fundamental analysis involves making careful estimates of the expected stream of benefits and the required rate of returns for a common stock.
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Incorrectness of data
An analyst has to often analysis the incorrect data. An experienced and skilled analyst may be able to defect Miss-representation and concealment but sometimes he is mislead by them into wrong conclusion.
Future uncertainties
Future changes are largely unpredictable, more so when the economic and business environment has frequent winds of change.
Fallibility of experts
The investment decision requires interactive reasoning and not linear reasoning. When multiple factors interact in complicated way and point in different directions, human judgments, however well-informed and wellreasoned, tend to be fallible.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Meaning and Concept of Technical Analysis
We can define technical analysis as a study of stock market considering factors related to the supply and demand of the stocks. Technical analysis doesnt look at underlying earnings potential of a company while evaluating stocks. It uses charts and computer programs to study the stocks trading volume and price movement of the stock on the basis of the trend. Technical analyst assumes that the market is efficient and the price has already taken into consideration the other factors related to the company and industry. The technical analysts believe that the past patterns of the market will recur in future and can, therefore, be used for predictive purposes. Technical analysis records historical data on charts, study these charts in an effort to find meaningful patterns, and use these patterns to predictive future prices. Some techniques are used to predict the single security, some are used to predict movement of market index, and some are used to predict both the action of individual securities and the market action. Technical analysis is frequently used as a supplement to fundamental analysis rather than as a substitute for it.
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ASSUMPTIONS Analysis
of
the
Technical
The techniques of Technical Analysis are based on the following main assumptions:
1. Market prices are determined by the interaction of demand and supply forces. 2. Supply and demand are influenced by a variety of factors, both rational and irrational. These include fundamental as well as psychological factors. 3. The stock prices tend to move in fairly persistent trends, expect minor deviations. 4. Shifts in demand and supply bring about changes in trends. 5. Shifts in demand and supply can be detected with the help of charts of market action. 6. Because of the persistence trends and patterns, analysis of past market data can be used to predict future price behaviors. 7.
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1.
Price
The changes in price reflect change in investor attitude and demand for and supply of securities.
2.
Time
The degree of movement in price is the function of time. The longer it takes for reversal in trends, the greater the price change that would follow.
3.Volume
The intensity of price changes is reflected in the volume of the transactions that accompany the change. An increase in price accompanied by a low volume implies that the change is not strong enough.
4.Breadth
The quality of price change is measured by studying whether a change in trend spreads across most sector and industries or is concentrated in few type of scrip. Study of the breadth of the market indicates the extent to which the price changes have taken place in the market in accordance with a certain overall trend.
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Thus we can conclude that speculators, who want to make quick money mostly, use results of technical analysis whereas investors, who invest on long- term basis, use the results of fundamental analysis.
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Technical tools may be used to assess the overall market as well as individual stocks. The following are different tools of Technical Analysis.
Tools of Stock
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Types of Trends
Trends can be classified in to following types. They are
Uptrend
Generally a stock moves in any direction with the phases of consolidation or moving against the trend for short period. But still it creates a higher HIGH and LOWS in case of an uptrend. In short each short rally will create new high for the stock. In an uptrend each, each rally reaches a higher high than the preceding rally and each decline stops at a higher level than the preceding decline. An uptrend emerges when bulls are stronger than bears and their buying forces prices up.
Downtrends
In this case as against Uptrend the stock creates lower Highs and Lows. Furthermore in case of downtrend the fall is much steeper than the rise in case of Uptrend. In a downtrend each decline falls to a lower low than the preceding declined and each rally stops at a lower level than the preceding rally. Downtrend occurs when the Bears are stronger than the Bulls and their selling pushes market down.
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Range bound
In case of such a trend the price moves in a small range for the long period. There is no apparent direction as far as trend is concerned in this case.
Primary, trends
Medium-term
and
Short-term
The main or primary trend often referred to as bull or bear market. Bulls go up and bears go down. They typically last about nine months to two years with bear market troughs separated by just under four years. These trends revolve around the business cycle and tend to repeat whether the weak phase of the cycle is an actual recession, or if there is no recession and just slow growth.
Primary trends
bull market Bear market
Secondary reactions
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Primary trends are not straight-line affairs, but series of rallies and reactions. These series of rallies and reaction are intermediate or medium-term trends. This trend can vary in length from as little as six week to as nine months, or a length of a very short primary trend. Intermediate trends typically develop as a result of changing perceptions concerning economic, financial or political events. It is important to have some understanding of the direction of the main or primary trend because rallies in bull markets strong and reaction are weak. On the other hand, reactions in bear markets are strong and rallies are short, sharp and generally are unpredictable.
BULL TREND
Bull trend: Start and End
Start of bull trend
LH
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BEAR TREND
LH
LL
HL
Approximately 4 years
Bulls and Bears typically last about nine months to two years. Bull trend shows the bullish market and bear trend shows the bearish market. For practical purposes: Only accept the large corrections as trend changes in the primary trend:
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A bull trend start when price rallies above the previous high, A bull trend ends when price declines below the previous lows A bear trend starts at the end of bull trend and vice versa.
Role of Volume
Volume plays a key role in deciding about the kind of future movement in stocks. Whenever there is a sudden rise in the volume of the stock and if it is not followed by a price fall, it is a sign of consolidation and that the price may rise in near future. Generally if any stock break any trend it is
accompanied by huge rise in volume. In case of range bound trend the volume trend to die down to a great extent. Smart investor uses technical analysis to judge the rise in volume and take early positions in the stock during breakthroughs.
APPLICATION
Investors for their short term trading decisions use technical analysis. This short term may be further divided in day trading, short term investment and for hedging purposes. The role played by Technical Analysis in each case is as follows:
Day traders
A day trader is one who takes and square off his position both on the same day. Mostly a day traders count on turnover rather than margin.
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Short-term investors
These people from the biggest clientele base of both the brokers and Technical Analyst.
Hedgers
These are generally big investors, who have lot of money at stake and hence they took to have some hedging of their risk. The strategy followed by this section of investors is that they compare the stock in consideration with the index on the basis of the result of this comparison: they take their position in the stock.
One thing we must realize is that technical analysis provide us only with the trend and judge future on that basis, it can be far form actual in few cases. The best use of technical analysis is to realize the trend and levels at which it will break the trend so that one is prepared to task positions when such trends breaks. It is because of this disadvantage that technical analysis more useful only for short term investing.
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MACD
MACD stands for Moving Average Convergence/Divergence. The MACD method, developed by GERALD AAPLE is a trending indicator, telling us whether the stock is in an uptrend or a downtrend. The direction of the long term trend is the first assessment which one should make out of the market. If it is trending up, one want to be long (buying). If it is trending down, one want to be short (selling). This technique is one of the most often used by the different simulator software as performing the technical analysis of the stock trend using this method is easy and very straightforward. The MACD works well both for a long term, middle term and intraday systems.
The MACD is a trend following indicator momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of the prices.
It is used to signal trend changes and to indicate trend direction. To calculate the MACD subtract the 26-days EMA. A9 day dotted of the MACD called the Signal Line is then plotted on the top of the MACD.
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TERMS USED:MA
The term MA stands for Moving Averages. The moving average is one of the most useful, objective and oldest analytical tools around. Some patterns and indicators can be somewhat subjective, where analysts may disagree on if the pattern is truly forming or if there is a deviation that is might be an illusion. The moving average is more of a cut-and-dry approach to analyzing stock charts and predicting performance, and it is one of the few that doesnt require a genius intelligence to interpret. There are few types of moving averages, the most important (for the technical analysis ) are simple MA (SMA), where all points have equal weight and exponential MA (EMA), that all are assigning higher weight to the latest points, therefore making the method more sensitive to the resent changes in a stock price.
EMA
Exponential MA (EMA), are those averages which assign higher weight to the latest points, therefore making the method more sensitive to the resent changes in the stock price. This approach is better for most applications, however being more sensitive it can produce more false signals. Some traders would suggest using the traditional MA instead (all points have equal weight) for the situations when signals should be more reliable. To calculate the EMA, use the following approach: Current EMA= {2/ (1+Number_of_period_for_EMA)*(Current PricePrevious EMA)} +Previous _EMA. The MACD calculation is usually based on exponential moving averages, meaning that earlier points have less weight than latest ones.
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PRICE LINE
Price line is the line which shows the movement of the stock prices based on its frequency. The frequency may be hourly, daily, weekly, or yearly. It shows ups and downs in the market. The price line is the actual value of the stock price of a particular company in the current market.
SIGNAL LINE
The basic MACD trading rule is to buy when the MACD rises above its signal line; similarly a sell signal occurs when the MACD crosses below its signal line. The crossing of the MACD line above the signal can denote the beginning of a trend. An uptrend typically pauses or stops when the MACD line crosses and falls below the signal line. When the bullish crossover occurs above the zero line, the uptrend gains more momentum and the price raises with more intensity. Bullish MACD crossovers are probably the most common signals and as such can be less reliable. If not used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, these crossovers can leads to whipsaws and many false signals.
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INTERPRETATION
The MACD proves most effective in trending markets rather than choppy, sideways markets. There are two main sets of signals generated by the MACD: Crossovers and Divergence.
Crossovers
There are two main MACD crossover signals: 1. Signal Line Crossovers: MACD crosses above or below the Signal Line 2. Zero Line Crossovers: MACD crosses above or below the zero line
The basic MACD trading rule is to BUY when the MACD rises above its Signal Line. Similarly, a SELL signal occurs when the MACD crosses below its Signal Line. The crossing of the MACD line above the signal line can denote the beginning of a trend. An uptrend typically pauses or stops when the MACD line crosses and falls below the signal line. The location relative to the signal line is also important in Indicating how strong a trend might be. A crossover above the signal line is considered more bullish than one below the signal line.
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has changed from negative to positive or from bullish to bearish. After a positive divergence and bullish MACD crossover, the zero line crossovers can act as a confirmation signal.
DIVERGENCE
MACD can provide forewarning of important market turns through divergence. When the MACD trend diverges from the price trend, it can provide a signal that a trending market may slow or reverse. A negative or bearish divergence occurs when the MACD is making new lows while price fails to reach new lows. A positive or bullish diverges occurs when the MACD is making new highs while price trend fail to reach new highs. Both of these diverges are most significant when they are occur at relatively high /low levels. A positive divergence is shown when MACD begins to advance and the market is still in a downtrend and makes a new low. MACD can either form a series of higher lows or a second low that is higher than the previous low. Positive divergence is not very common, but is usually reliable and can lead to good moves.
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1. Go short [S] MACD crosses to below the signal line after a large swing. 2. Go long [L] when MACD crosses to above signal line. 3. Strong short signal [S] the MACD crosses after a large swing and bearish divergence (shown by the trend line). 4. Go long [L] Flat MACD signals that the market is ranging we are more likely to be whipsawed in /out of our position. 5. Exit long trade [X] but do not go short MACD is significantly below the zero line. 6. Re-enter your long trade [L].
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Combination
The best way is to use the basic MACD is to use a combination of signal to confirm one another. In addition, a fast MACD line can be added to enhance the signals generated and to often provide early warning of changes in trends. Combination with the signal line, the fast MACD line and the slow MACD line. The MACD Histogram is also commonly used to clarify the relationship between the two MACD lines.
When to apply
In order to use buy and sell signals successfully, we need to apply them when the trend is changing. To do it, we need to have a trend to reverse. The MA- sideways, or for trend that are not yet established.
Indicators should be used together, and it is particularly useful to avoid using similar indicator (MA and MACD). MAs can be used not only w ith the prices of stocks, but also with other indicators.
MA & MACD
MOVING AVERAGES
The moving average is one of the most useful, objective and oldest analytical tools around. Some patterns and indicator can be somewhat subjective, where analysts may disagree on if the pattern is truly forming or if there is a deviation that is might be an illusion. The moving average is more of a cut and dry approach to analyzing stock charts and predicting performance.
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1 1 6
2 1 7
3 1 7
4 1 0
5 17
6 18
7 17
8 17
9 17
15. 4
15. 8
15. 8
15. 8
17. 2
You can see that on day 9 there is a big step in the simple moving average, but price has been constant at $17. This distortion is caused by the low price on day 4 dropped from the SMA on day 9.
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If we recalculate the earlier table we see that the exponential moving average presents a far smoother trend:
1 16
2 17
3 17
4 10
5 17
6 18
7 17
8 17
9 17
1 16 1/15 1.07
2 17 2/15 2.27
3 17 3/15 3.40
4 10 4/15 2.67
Weighed values are calculated by multiplying todays price by 5/15, yesterday by 4/15, and so on. The weighted moving average is the sum of the 5 weighted values
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Intel Corporation is plotted with a 63 day exponential moving average. The single moving average is used with two filters: Moving average direction, and The moving average must be crossed by closing price on two consecutive days. 1. Go short two closes below a falling moving average. 2. Go long moving average is now rising and price has closed above the moving average for 2 days. The following dip below the moving average (in early January) is filtered out. 3. The long trade is exited as there are two closes below the moving average. No short trade is entered as the moving average is sloping upwards.
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4. Go long two closes above a rising moving average. 5. Go short as there are two closes below a falling moving average. 6. Go long - two closes above a rising moving average. 7. Go short two closes below a falling moving average. 8. Go long moving average is rising again and there are 2 closes above it. Note how profitable the long trade [2] is during the strong upward trend, compared to when price whipsaws around the relatively flat moving average, frequently switching you in and out of trades. Trend indicators are normally unprofitable, and should be avoided, during ranging markets.
20 day provides a very volatile, choppy line. It isnt the most accurate,
but is probably the most useful for short term traders.
30 day similar to 20 day but more certainty for the trend. 50 day moving average a much less volatile, smooth line. This can
be used to detect somewhat longer trends.
100 day similar to the 5o day, it is less volatile, and one of the most
widely used for long trends.
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MA Trading Signals
Single Moving Average
Compares price to a single moving average. The system is often used with filters.
Filters
when price has crossed the moving average.
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Combination
The best way to use the MA is to use a combination of signals to confirm one another say: fast, middle and slow. For example of such is given as:
Intel Corporation chart with 5 day (fast), 21 day (middle), and 63 day (slow).
1. Close previous long trade as the fast moving average has fallen below the middle moving average. 2. Go long as the middle moving average has risen above the slow moving average (and the fast moving average above the middle moving average).
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3. Close long trade - fast moving average has fallen below middle moving average. 4. We are whipsawed in and out of a long position as the fast moving average crosses to above then back under the middle moving average. 5. Another whipsaw. 6. Go long as the fast moving average crosses to above the middle moving average (and the middle moving average is above the slow moving average).
ASSUMPTION
Technical Analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing generated by market activity, past performance, and volume. The method assumes that the historical performances of stocks are indications of future performance this method is based upon following assumption: Securities move with very predictable trends and patterns. These trends remain intact until something happens to change the trend. Until this change occurs, price levels are predictable.
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Weakness of MACD
MACD is a trend following indicator, and as such, sacrifices early signals in exchange for keeping you in line with the trend. When a significant trend develops, MACD is often able to capture the majority of the move. When the trend is short lived, however, MACD often provide unreliable. This is because moving averages themselves are lagging indicators. Even though the MACD represents the difference between two moving averages, there is still some lag in the indicator itself. This is more likely to be the case with weekly charts more than daily charts. One solution of this problem is the use of the MACD Histogram.
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MACD-Histogram
Intel Corporation is shown with MACD histogram and 21-day Exponential moving average. Trend lines show divergences.
1. Price is ranging - indicated by the flat MA. Go long [L] when the histogram turns up (far from the zero line). Place a stop below the recent Low. 2. Go short [S] as the histogram turns down (far from the zero line). Place a stop above the recent High. 3. Go long [L] - the histogram turns up and is reinforced by a bullish divergence. Place a stop below the recent Low. 4. Go short [S] as the histogram turns down - reinforced by a bearish divergence. Place a stop above the recent High.
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5. Ignore the signal as it is too close to the zero line. 6. Go long [L] as the histogram turns up when well below zero. Place a stop below the recent Low. 7. A further signal to go short [S]. Place a stop above the recent High.
Setup
The default settings are:
Slow moving average - 26 days Fast moving average - 12 days Signal line - 9 day moving average of the difference between fast and slow.
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Financial Review
BUDGET 2009
The Union budget presented on 9thJuly, 2009 was overall touted as being a long-term growth budget. However, many felt that there was definitely lot more that the Finance Minister could have achieved. Broadly, there are three areas which have been given a thrust agriculture and related infrastructure development, initiatives on improving overall health standards, development of rural sector and increasing the literacy rate, not only at primarily level but also higher education. None of these initiatives will result in significant short-term benefits. The benefits will trickle in to begin with impact only if these plans are executed well, will gain momentum and ultimately have significant impact on long-term economic growth. If India has to move to a higher growth plane, it will definitely need to improve the state of the primary sector, on which over 60% of the population is dependent. Conversely, any significant improvement in the primary sector will have a huge impact on national income as there will not only be a growth in production, but consumption too will get a boost as the not-so-well-off people living in rural India will also have more money to spend. An improvement in the health standards and the literacy rate will increase the overall productive capacity of the economy. There will also be productivity related benefits that are linked to a healthy and better educated work force. So, from a long-term perspective, it is a thumbsup. We can only hope that the execution of these plans will be a lot better as compared to the past.
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said that it could not push through many reforms because the Communists who were lending support for five years would not allow them to. So it was natural to expect that when the Communists were out of it, this Government would bring in new reforms. Secondly, the Economic Survey presented by the Finance Ministry had talked about many reform measures though admittedly it had not given any time frame for it. This being so, when the Finance Minister presented a rather routine Budget the markets reacted very negatively sensing a lost opportunity.
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There is something for individual wage earners to take home. Apart from increasing the exemption limit in a modest way, the Budget has removed surcharge on income tax for those whose income exceeds 10 lakhs. This should put lot more disposable money into the hands of the high spending upper middle class.
Best Is To Move On
In India we have learnt to live on hope. So one will hope that all the big things that one lead in the economic survey would get implemented at some point in time. Meanwhile, investors would do well to put this Budget behind as one more event and get back to normal investing..
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JNNURM support raised by 87% The Assam gas cracker project estimated at Rs 5,160 cr. Loan for farmers Rs 300,000 at 7% per annum Govt announces rebate for farmers paying loan on time, and lower Rate of 6% proposed Proposes to extend deadline to farmers to pay off 75% of loans by six months To December 31, 2009 Exporters borne the brunt of eco crisis, will provide adj assistance till March 2010 The market development assistance scheme allocation hiked by 148% to Rs 124 cr. Budget makes subvention of 1% to benefit farmers 30% rise in Rashtriya Krishi Vikash Yojana allocation over 2008-09 Micro and SMEs affected by global crisis;credit flow at reasonable rate out of Rural infra dev fund Special fund of Rs 4,000 cr from Rural Infrastructure Dev fund to help MSME sector Return to FRBM target as soon as possible To increase fertiliser usage - govt proposes to move from product pricing Basis Institutional reforms to cover subsidies, expenditure Fiscal deficit up to 6.2% from 2.7% of GDP IT Saral 2 form to be introduced Proposes people's participation in disinvestment programme Turbulence in world markets left Indian financial sector unaffected
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PSU Banks, insurance firms outside disinvestment plan Only for Internal Circulation 2 Govt to set-up expert committee to advise on petro pricing products Rs 1 lakh crore projects for Infrastructure revival PSUs to remain under govt control Govt wants public shareholding in PSUs to go up 8.5% growth in recent past fuelled by private sector investment Income-tax return forms to be made more user-friendly NREGA min wages set at Rs 100/day NREGA outlay increased by 144% Govt to move food security bill very soon 59% increase in allocation for Pradhan mantri Gram Sadak Yojna Allocation for Indira Awaas Yojana to be increased by 63% Food security to provide rice, wheat at Rs 3 a kg to poor Bharat Nirman outlay raised by 59% Indira Awaas Yojana outlay increased by 63% NHB refinance to rural housing sector to be raised PM's Adarsh Gram Yojana starts with Rs 100 cr funding To launch national mission on female literacy Unorganised Social Security Bill passed by both houses of the Parliament Plan to cut female illiteracy by half in three yrs Govt aims to have social security for informal sector National Web Portal for employer and employee to be launched More than 46 lakh people received biometrics card
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To add handloom clusters in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu Right to Information Act been successful NREGA has been and outstanding success 46 lakh BPL families to come under new health insurance plan Unique ID cards in 12-18 months Govt proposes to launch housing for 1 lakh para military forces Paramilitary housing cost estimated at Rs 1,000 cr Certain Pension related benefits extended to war hounded Paramilitary housing project to cost Rs 1,000 cr Allocation for flagship Bharat Nirman progamme raised by 45% Rashtriya Mahila Kosh corpus to be raised to Rs 500 crore Govt to spend Rs 120 cr in FY10 in unique ID Allocation of Rs 2,113 cr for IIT National Mission for Female Literacy to be launched Govt to build 100,000 homes for paramilitary forces 50% of all rural women to be brought into self-help group programmes Allocation Commonwealth Games raised by more than 50% to Rs 3,472 crore Plan outlay increased by 74% Allocation for new Aligarh Muslim Univ. campuses in Bengal, Kerala at Rs 25 cr each Proposes Rs 500 cr for rehabilitation of displaced persons of northern and eastern areas of Sri Lanka Budget estimates: Rs 10,20,830 cr, Rs 6,95,600 cr non-planned and planned Rs 3,29,100 cr Aila hurricane relief at Rs 1,000 cr
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Plan expenditure up 34% to Rs 3.75 lakh cr Interest payment seen exceeding Rs 2 lakh cr To spend Rs 1.42 lakh on defence Interest payment is a third of expenditure plan Budget estimates: Interest payment expected at Rs 2,25,511 cr Enhance budgetary support by Rs 40,000 cr Only for Internal Circulation 3 Non tax revenue receipts are likely to be better Total estimated expenditure for 2009-10 is Rs 10 lakh crore Fiscal deficit seen at 6.8% in FY10 To eliminate tax distortion Increasing automation in direct tax collection Federal Tax/ GDP ratio is 11.5% TO INTRODUCE GST BY APRIL 1, 2010 To release new direct tax code in 45 days FBT to be abolished To pursue structural changes in Direct Tax New direct tax code to be released in 45 days To finalise New Direct Tax Code in House winter session State finance ministers agreed on GST basic structure Tax rates can be lower if tax base is higher. No change in corporate tax FR10. FY10 non-plan expenditure 6.97 trln rupees Senior citizen income tax limit hiked by 15,000 rupee/yr. Women income tax limit up 10,000 rupee to 190,000 rupee.
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Senior citizens IT exemption hiked to 240,000 rupees. IT exemption limit raised to 190,000 rupees for women. IT exemption hiked to 160,000 rupees for others. MAT rate to be increased to 15% vs 10% of book profit To remove surcharge of 10% on personal income tax Commodity transaction tax abolished Tax holiday extended for commercial production of natural gas Political funding will get 100% tax deduction National Pension Scheme exempted from STT MAT reduced to 15% of book profits, MAT tax credit increased from 7 years to 10 years Dividend under New Pension Scheme to get tax exemption New Pension Scheme investment not to attract STT Alternate dispute redressal mechanism for Tax disputes. Investment boost needs timely Tax disputes resolution. Donation to electoral trust to be 100% exempt for donor. 100% exemption for donations to electoral trust Anonymous donations - grant relief 5% of total income or Rs 1,00,000 whichever is higher Tax holiday on commercial production of mineral oil and natural gas on NELP VII 5% Custom duty on STBs Custom duty reduced on LCD panels from 10% to 5% Life saving drugs, including breast cancer, custom duty reduced to 5% from 10% Life saving devices on heart condition exempted from custom duty
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Custom duty on silver, excluding jewellery, hiked by Rs 500/ kh to Rs 1,000/kg Life saving devices on heart condition exempted from custom duty To extend Customs exemption to some more EoUs Cuts customs duty on wind power equipment by 2.5% To reintroduce CVD exemption on parts of mobile phones. Rough corals exempted from Customs duty. Customs duty on windmill inputs cut to 5% vs 7.5%. Customs duty on life saving drugs cut to 5% from 10%.Only for Internal Circulation 4 Basic customs duty on life-saving drugs down to 5% from 10%. Full Customs duty exemption on rough corals. Customs duty on gold bars up at 200 rupees/10 gms. Customs duty on life-saving equipment down to 5% from 7.5%. Customs duty for permanent magnets down to 5% from 7.5%. 8% excise duty on man made fibre. Excise on pure cotton textiles restored to 4%. Customs duty on silver hiked to 1,000 rupee/kg. Hike on customs duty on silver excludes jewellery. Wool waste, cotton waste customs duty down to 10% vs 15%. 4% excise on paper, paper goods, kitchen appliances. Excise on paper, paperboard articles retained at 4%. Blended petrol To be exempt from excise duties. To scrap excise on petrol, diesel blended with bio-diesel. 4% excise to stay on items of mass consumption. Custom duty on bio-fuel diesel cut to 2.5% from 7.5%.
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Bio-diesel exempt from excise duty FY10. Construction sector gets some excise sops. No excise duty on branded jewellery Excise duty on petrol diven trucks cut No new tax on edible oil imports Some law services brought under service tax Service tax on advise, technical assistance in the field of law on applicable for individuals Over 2000cc vehicle engine surcharge flat at 15,000 rupee. Exporters exempt from paying svc tax to transporters. Service tax levy on goods transported via rail, waterway. Svc tax extended to legal consultancy, not individuals. Direct tax proposals are revenue neutral. 20 bln rupee gain via indirect tax proposals FY10.
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Since 1991 tax system of India has under gone a radical change, in line with liberal economic policy and WTO commitments of the country. Some of the changes are:
Reduction in custom and excise duties Lowering corporate tax Widening of the tax base and toning up the tax administration.
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Direct Taxes
Personal Income Tax
Exemption limit in Personal income tax raised by Rs. 15,000 from 2.25lac to 2.24lac for Senior citizen, by Rs. 10,000 from 1.8lac to 1.9lac for Women tax payers and by Rs. 10.000 from 1.5lac to 1.6lac for all other categories of Individual tax payers. Deduction u/s 80-DD in respect of maintenance, including medical treatment of a dependent who is a person with severe disability being raised from the present limit of Rs. 75,000 to Rs. 1lac. Surcharge on various Direct Taxes to be phased out; in the first instance, by eliminating the surcharge of 10% on Personal Income tax. Fringe benefit on the value of certain fringe benefits provided to employers their employees to be abolished. MAT to be increased to 15% of book profits form 10%. The period allowed to carry forward the tax credit under MAT to be extended from 7 yrs. To 10 yrs. CTT (commodity Transaction Tax) to be abolished.
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The combined GST rate is currently being discussed by the Centre and the EC. The rate is expected to be in the range of 14-16 %. Once the total GST rate is determined, the states and the Centre have to agree on the CGST and SGST rates. Today, services are taxed at 10% and the combined incidence of indirect taxes on most goods is around 20%.
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In fact, the prices of commodities are expected to come down in the long run as dealers pass on the benefits of reduced tax incidence to consumers by slashing the prices of goods. What are the implications of GST on imports and exports? /
Imports would be subject to GST. Exports, however, will be zero-rated, meaning exporters of goods and services need not pay GST on their exports. GST paid by them on the procurement of goods and services will be refunded. What are the benefits of shifting to a dual GST system? /
Dual GST is expected to be a simple and transparent tax structure with only one or two rates of taxes. The result would be a reduction in the number of taxes at the Central and state levels, cut in effective tax rate for many goods, removal of the current cascading effect of taxes, reduction of transaction costs for taxpayers through simplified tax compliance, and increased tax collections due to wider tax base and better compliance. How will dual GST affect the fiscal health of states? /
Being a consumption-based tax, dual GST will result in better revenue collection for states with higher consumption of goods and services. The backward and less-developed states would see fall in collections. The Centre is expected to put in place a mechanism to compensate states for any revenue loss due to GST. The introduction of the GST system is by far the most important tax reform in India. Consensus and coordination among states is required for it to succeed. Before it can be introduced, the Centre and states have to sort out issues like agreement on GST rates, constitutional amendments empowering states to tax services, taxation on inter-state transactions of goods and services, drafting of CGST and SGST laws, consultation with all stakeholders including trade and industry associations before finalization, administrative
preparedness to implement the new tax regime and resolution of all other issues under discussion.
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AGRICULTURE Increased allocation for irrigation and farmer oriented policies Farmer loan waiver period extended by 6 months
ADVANTAGES
DISADVANTAGES
SBI, Dena,Bank, UCO Bank, Vijaya Bank, Andhra Bank, IDBI, PNB, Bank of India & Canara Bank
ADVANTAGES
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AMITY GLOBAL BUSINESS SCHOOL allocation hiked to Rs.7000 crore Siemens, REC, BHEL, Voltamp
ADVANTAGES
Corpus of Rural Infrastructure Development fund to be raised to Rs.14,000 cr. Rs.12,966 crores National Highway Plan
Lanco Infra, GVK Power, GMR Infra, IRB, Mundra Port, Marg Construction, Gammon India & IVRCL Infra.
BRANDED JEWELLERY Full exemption for branded gold, silver jewellery from excise duty
ADVANTAGES
REALTY Allocation to Common Wealth up at Rs.3172 crore Rs.2000 crore allocated for rural housing 100,000 houses to be provided for paramilitary forces Huge infra fillip
AUTO Additional excise duty on cars with engine capacities of 2,000cc and above reduced by Rs 5,000 per unit Duty of petrol-driven trucks to 8 per cent from 20 per cent
NEUTRAL
TEXTILES Extension of the existing 2% interest subvention scheme for exporters till March 2010 restored an optional 4% duty on cotton textiles beyond the fibre stage Levy of 8% duty on man-made fibres and yarn from existing 4%
NEUTRAL
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AMITY GLOBAL BUSINESS SCHOOL GAS To develop a blueprint for long distance gas highways leading to a National Gas Grid. This would facilitate transportation of gas across the length and breadth of the country. Gas distribution pipeline ADVANTAGES
DEFENCE Increase outlay for defense will increased the demand for Defence related Equipments OIL EXPLORATION Tax holiday on commercial production of mineral oil and natural gas on NELP VIII Sec 801B Natural gas benefit extended to
ADVANTAGES
BEL,BEML, Microwaves
Ashok
Leyland,
M&M
&
Astra
ADVANTAGES
ONGC,Hind Oil Exploration, Videocon Industries, Assam Co, Aban.Offshore, Great Offshore, Jindal Drilling & Shiv Vani.
ADVANTAGES
Increase infra investment to 9% of GDP by 2014 Investments to the tune of Rs.100,000 crore to come into the sector NHAI allocation raised by 23% JNNURM allocation stepped up by 87% to 12,887 crore GMR Infra, L&T, GVK , Gammon, IRB Infra, Patel Engg, IVRCL Infra, RIIL
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LCDs
ADVANTAGE
Videocon,
ADVANTAGE
Suzlon,
AVIATION Increased the budget allocation to the civil aviation ministry to almost Rs12,165 crore. Abolition of FBT will save tax on staff hotel accommodation
ADVANTAGES
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Research Methodology
Research methodology is a way to systematically solve the research problem. Research methodology is included the following: 1) Primary data collection 2) Secondary data collection
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Methodology Adopted:
To observe and probe the knowledge level and perceptions of the investors about Technical Analysis of securities, we have prepared a questionnaire containing 14 questions.
Sampling plan:
Sampling is an effective step in collection of primary data and has a great influence of quality of result. This include following: Population: The study is aimed to include the investors in India Infoline ltd. and from the outside also. Sample Size: The sample size for the research is 50 investors.
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QUESTIONNAIRE
1. For how many years you are investing in stock market? 2. What type of investment you prefer? Long term Mid term Short term 3. In which sector you invest. Rate it in ascending order from 1 to 4. Mutual fund Shares Bonds Debentures 4. What information you collect a about company before investing? Past performance History Market value If any other mention 5. Do you know about MACD? YES NO 6. Do you know about technical analysis of stocks? Yes No 7. Do you take any information from CNBCs analysis? Yes No 8. Answer the following Questions:Questions A Cant H.A. say 1. How much you satisfied from
CNBCS Analysis?
H.D. D
2. Do you think that Sensex will bound to 21000 by 2010? 3. Do you prefer investing in stocks in future? 4. Do you think investing in stock market is a risk factor? 5. Do you think investing in share market is based on fundamentals?
H.A-Highly Agree. A- Agree. D- Disagree. H.D.-Highly disagree
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9. Do you think that Technical Analysis Education should be provided to investors? Required Not required Partly required 10. How much do you classify your Financial/Investment knowledge level? High Somewhat Not very high Not at all 11. Which of the following is more important decision for you? Fundamentals Technical Both 12. How do you find the quality of equity research? Excellent Quality of writing Depth of Analysis Quality of recommendation 13. What would you like to add or improve in Technical Research? Good Average Below average
Signature
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ANALYSIS OF QUESTIONAIRE
Analysis & interpretation of facts makes clear the idea about the studied effects. Following are some results from the survey of questionnaire.
Investment Priority
From the analysis of above question we can say that 44%of the investor Term investment, 38% investors prefer mid term investments and remaining 18% prefer short-term investments
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From the rating of the above question, we can analyze that most of the investors in the Stock Market prefer to invest in shares, so Shares is the first preference of the investors. Mutual funds are the third preference and debentures are the least preference of the investors. Q. What information you collect about a company before Investing? Past Performance History Market value Other
From the analysis of the above question we can say that Maximum number of investors pay attention on the Market value of the company before investing in that company, Another Information which the investors collect is to know the history of the company, after that Investors check the past performance of the company and the least attention is paid on any reasons like to take a look on the Profit Earning Ratio of the company, Financial Segment of the company, government policies and the most important is the companys present results.
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MACD
Yes No
From the analysis of the above question we can say that only 30% of the investors know about MACD and remaining 70% of the Investors are unaware of the concept of MACD.
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Percentage
Yes No
Form the analysis of the above question we can say that 62% of the investors have knowledge about Technical Analysis of Stocks but the remaining 38% of the Investors are unaware of Technical Analysis of Stocks.
CNBC's analysts
Yes No
From the analysis of the above question we can say that 74%of the investors information from CNBCs analysts but the remaining 26% of the
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Investors dont take information from CNBCs analysts they invest on their own knowledge.
Q. Answer the following questions: How much you are satisfied from CNBCs analysts? Do you think that sensex will bound to touch 21000 by 2010? Do you prefer investing in stocks in future? Do you think investing in stock market is a risk factor? Do you think investing in stock market is based on fundamentals?
From the analysis of all the above questions we can say that the Investors are agree with the statement that they are satisfied from CNBC analysts. Most of the Investors cant say that the Sensex will bound to touch 20000 by 2010. Many Investors feels that investment in future is very risky. Very few of the Investors are highly agreed that investment in stock market is a risk factor. Very few numbers of Investors are agree that investing in stock market is based on fundamentals.
Technical Analysis
Required NR PR
From the analysis of the above question we can say that 72% of the Investors required Technical Analysis Education should be provided to
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Investors, only 6% say not required but 22% say Technical Analysis Education is partly required for the Investors.
From the analysis of the above question we can say that 46%of the Investors have high knowledge of Financial/Investment, the remaining 30% of the Investors have somewhat knowledge, 18% of the investors have not very high knowledge and the remaining 6% of the Investors have not at all knowledge. They are unaware of the Investment knowledge.
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Q. Which of the below is more important decision for you? Fundamentals Technical Both
From the analysis of the above question we can say that 44% of the investors take Technical Decisions important for them, remaining 22% take Fundamentals Decision important form them, but in the end 34% of the investors take both the decisions important for them.
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Findings of the study are that an investor while investing must kept some basic fundamentals during investment: Must go through the basic knowledge of that company the investor is looking to invest. Must take the budget preview while investing in equities. Must take at the 52 weeks working of the stock. Must take into consideration the market trend. Must take a watch on the global scenario. Must take into account the current taxation standards.
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.SUGGESTIONS
As we all know stock market is done one of the markets which are very difficult to judge. But it is a small try to know the huge market and look to suggest some points for initial investor or existing investor. We can conclude that these are the some points.
1) Must look the working of the company for the past, present and future. 2) While investing must go through the working of the stock in which a investor is looking to invest for at least 52 weeks. 3) Must go through the changes in budget for that very sector or industry. 4) Must look to take High Risk for High Profits. 5) Dont depend only on the tips of the broker. Must do your own analysis also.
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Lack of awareness among investors regarding Technical Analysis of securities. Time is most important constraint of our study. The finding of this study is based on the expressed opinions of the respondents. Volatility in market at this stage is so much which creates lots of doubt in the mind of investor.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
Data collected from the government publications. Journals a) Business Websites www.indibulls.com www.indiainfo.com www.bseindia.com www.icrediblecharts.com www.nseindia.com www.stockcharts.com www.antara.co.in www.economywatch.com b) Business India
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