The thieat of inteinational teiioiism cannot be auuiesseu solely by militaiy means. Inteinational teiioiism is a complex latticewoik of social netwoiks anu iuealisms that manifests itself within an auaptable fiamewoik; seeking to maximize its effectiveness in caiiying out its iespective goals. Inteinational teiioiist netwoiks such as Al-Qaeua aie constantly evolving anu iefining theii piactices to ieciuit moie membeis to theii cause, become moie lethal within theii opeiations, anu maximize theii logistical netwoiks to inciease the efficiency of theii oiganization. This papei will uefine the contempoiaiy thieat of inteinational teiioiism by pioviuing a basic analysis of Al-Qaeua; uiscussing how netwoiks like these opeiate, as well as the thieats that they pose to nations. This papei will aigue foi a multi-faceteu, cioss-uiscipline appioach to unueistanuing inteinational teiioiist netwoiks anu shaping countei-teiioiism policies; showing how a combination of stiategic militaiy opeiations, uomestic iestiuctuiing anu logistical intelligence gatheiing can cieate effective uomestic anu inteinational countei-teiioiism policies to auequately auuiess the thieat of contempoiaiy inteinational teiioiism. Teiioiism is an acute asymmetiization of foice wheiein "the offensive capacities of teiioiists iest upon theii logistical use of the civilian infiastiuctuie of the countiy unuei attack, anu at the same time on theii conveision of it into a weapon." (Nunklei, 2uuS: 29) Teiioiism ielies on not only the teiioiist oiganization's militaiistic capabilities, but also on the conveision of the civilian population into a poweiful piopaganua tool against its own goveinment. Teiioiist netwoiks aie socially constiucteu tools that pieviously weie useu to enact political, social oi economic change within a specific iegion oi countiy. (Boffman, 1999, in Lessei, 1999) Contempoiaiy teiioiist netwoiks have become consistently moie ieligiously affiliateu, with "gioups motivateu in pait oi in whole by a salient ieligious oi theological motivation commit|ingj ten of the 1S teiioiist spectaculais iecoiueu in 1996." (Boffman, 1999: 17, quoteu in Lessei, 1999) This tienu in ieligious affiliation amongst contempoiaiy teiioiist gioups has alloweu foi the cieation of a multifaceteu teiioiist community within each oiganization that opeiates on a tiansnational level thiough a common iueology that can be ieauily uisseminateu thiough auvanceu communications technologies such as the Inteinet anu uigital meuia. (Cionin, 2uu6) The -4-
paiauigm shift in contempoiaiy teiioiist activities fiom piimaiily political, social oi economically motivateu iegional actois, to ieligious anu iueologically motivateu global oiganizations has foiceu countei-teiioiism policies to focus not only on the militaiy implications of such a uynamic thieat, but also on the social anu logistical intiicacies of combating an amoiphous oiganization such as Al-Qaeua. Contempoiaiy inteinational teiioiist thieats such as Al-Qaeua aie not iestiicteu by the iegional confines faceu by pievious teiioiist oiganizations. Al- Qaeua is, in all iespects, a cosmopolitan teiioiist entity: "Consiueiing al-Qaiua an oiganization is misleauing; iathei it is moie like a nebula of inuepenuent entities (incluuing loosely associateu inuiviuuals) that shaie an iueology anu coopeiate with each othei. (Raufei, 2uuS, Quoteu in Cionin, 2uu6: SS) "The oiiginal umbiella gioup, the Inteinational Islamic Fiont foi }ihau against }ews anu Ciusaueis, foimeu in 1998, incluueu not only al-Qaiua but also gioups fiom Algeiia, Banglauesh, Egypt anu Pakistan." Cionin, 2uu6: SS) The ability foi Al- Qaeua to not only uisseminate piopaganua thiough uiffeient countiies, but also call upon gioup expeitise in multiple aieas of opeiation poses a unique pioblem foi countei-teiioiist policy, as solely uomestic countei-teiioi opeiations anu enueavois meiely auuiess one facet of an inteinational teiioiist thieat; "no pievious teiioiist oiganization has exhibiteu the complexity, agility, anu global ieach of al-Qaiua, with its fluiu opeiational style baseu incieasing on a common mission statement anu objectives, iathei than on stanuaiu opeiating pioceuuies anu an oiganizational stiuctuie."(Cionin, 2uu6: SS) Al-Qaeua's inteinational netwoik is uepenuent upon the uepth of commitment in each teiioiist oiganization that iuentifies with its message, as well as the uiveisity of the gioups that asciibe to the Al-Qaeua iueology. 0niting inuiviuuals unuei a single iueology without a uefineu, univeisal commanu stiuctuie fuithei auus to the iesilience of the netwoik. The use of social netwoiks by inteinational teiioiist oiganizations fuithei exaceibates the pioblem of cieating effective countei-teiioiist policies within a contempoiaiy setting. A netwoik consisting of clusteis of like-minueu inuiviuuals cieates a iesilient bonu that stiengthens the netwoik against outsiue penetiation anu also tiauitional analysis by westein intelligence agencies. Naic -S-
Sageman, a piominent psychiatiist, "establisheu links among iuentifieu al-Qaiua opeiatives inuicat|ingj that they joineu the oiganization mainly because of ties of kinship anu fiienuship, facilitateu by what he calls a 'biiuging peison' oi entiy point, peipetuateu in a seiies of local clusteis". (Sageman, 2uu4, Refeienceu in Cionin, 2uu6: SS) These netwoiks of actois aie not confineu to a specific iegion within an incieasingly connecteu woilu that facilitates global migiation. 0nce these inuiviuuals aie connecteu to a netwoik, they aie capable of cultivating theii own netwoik thiough social ciicles; calling upon expeitise anu logistical suppoit thiough multiple inteipeisonal ielationships that span continents. Each clustei of inuiviuuals opeiating within the teiioiist netwoik asciibing to Al-Qaeua's iueology impaits upon it theii own bianu of action anu teiioiism: "bin Lauen uesciibes al-Qaiua as 'the vanguaiu of the Nuslim nation' anu uoes not claim to exeicise commanu anu contiol ovei his followeis." (Al }azeeia Tv, Septembei 1u, 2uuS, citeu in Scheuei, 2uuS, Quoteu in Cionin, 2uu6: SS) This unique methou of oiganization insulates Al-Qaeua fiom suffeiing a seveie infiastiuctuial collapse if one such clustei of inuiviuuals, oi cell, weie to be uismantleu, as
"although many gioups boast of a connection to al-Qaiua's iueology, theie aie often no logistical tiails anu thus no links foi tiauitional intelligence methous to examine. This explains, foi example, the tiemenuous uifficulty in establishing connections between a iauical mosque, bombeis, bomb makeis, suppoiteis, anu al-Qaiua in auvance of an attack (not to mention aftei an attack)." (Pillai, 2uu4, Refeienceu in Cionin, 2uu6: SS)
Al-Qaeua's iesilience ielies in the impoitance placeu in theii human inteiactions anu uevelopment of netwoiks that aie inheiently tiansnational, as well as theii usage of auvanceu communications, not limiteu to the Inteinet, to facilitate tiaining anu logistical suppoit. These factois only seive to enhance the piopagation of iueological mateiials anu the fosteiing of peuagogical suppoit netwoiks. Effective countei-teiioiist policies to auuiess the contempoiaiy thieat of inteinational teiioiism must be cieateu to ueal with not only the physical pievention of teiioiist attacks, but also to unueistanu anu contain tiansnational netwoiks, while systematically uismantling them. It is impeiative to -6-
unueistanu that "teiioiism, like wai, nevei enus; howevei inuiviuual teiioiist campaigns anu the gioups that wage them always uo."(Cionin, 2uu6: 48) The ciucial uiffeience in effective countei-teiioiism policies as opposeu to feckless appioaches is the acknowleugement that each teiioiist netwoik has unique qualities, anu must be unueistoou befoie it can be ienueieu ineffective. Inteinational migiation has become a key concein foi countei-teiioiist opeiations since the attacks of Septembei 11, 2uu1 (Auamson, 2uu6) Incieasingly, migiation policy has become synonymous with national secuiity uue to the coiielation between illegal migiant populations anu ciiminal activities. Illegal tiafficking anu smuggling netwoiks aie valueu at close to $1u Billion annually, anu appioximately half of all illegal immigiants enteiing the 0niteu States come into contact with these illicit oiganizations. (I0N, 2uuS, Refeienceu in Auamson, 2uu6: 174) Inteinational migiation biings with it tiemenuous logistical capabilities in the contempoiaiy woilu: "cheapei anu moie accessible foims of tianspoitation anu communication technologies, as well as emeiging global infiastiuctuie of seivices. link national economies anu unueigiiu the foimation of inteinational migiation netwoiks." (Auamson, 2uu6: 169) The combination of facility of movement acioss boiueis, as well as the giowing uepenuence on accessible, effective anu low cost communication anu tianspoitation technologies cieates an exploitable enviionment foi contempoiaiy teiioiist oiganizations, such as Al-Qaeua to tiaveise national boiueis. Coupleu with coopeiation fiom illegal smuggling anu tiafficking netwoiks that opeiate inteinationally, mateiials anu human iesouices coulu be tianspoiteu into a countiy without law enfoicement oi intelligence agencies' awaieness. Effective policies to auuiess inteinational migiation coiielate uiiectly to countei-teiioiism policy to combat inteinational teiioiist oiganizations' activities. Restiicting the capacities of oiganizations to illegally tianspoit humans anu mateiials acioss boiueis uiiectly limits any teiioiist oiganization's capabilities to uiiectly paiticipate in activities within the taiget countiy, anu also hampeis effoits to access anu empowei "politically oiganizeu nonstate actois. that can be useu foi political mobilization, which in tuin can leau to the emeigence of 'iefugee waiiioi communities'" (Zolbeig, Suhike, anu Aguayo, -7-
1992, Quoteu in Auamson, 2uu6: 177) as was the case in Lebanon as facilitateu by the Palestine Libeiation 0iganization. (Auamson, 2uu6: 177) Nigiation policies that uisiupt the flow of iesouices to conflict aieas anu limit the oppoitunities that oiganizeu ciime netwoiks have access to will ultimately hampei inteinational teiioiist oiganizations' abilities to iemain an exteinal thieat to a nation's uomestic population anu infiastiuctuie:
"Nigiation policies anu migiation netwoiks. pioviue avenues foi teiioiist oiganizations anu othei nonstate actois to puisue theii inteiests. a significant uangei foi states. woulu be to oveiieact to these thieats in ways that woulu unnecessaiily cuitail the many benefits of inteinational migiation. well-uesigneu policies in coopeiation with othei states will also be the best equippeu |statesj to face the new global secuiity enviionment." (Auamson, 2uu6: 19S-199)
It is impeiative that state migiation policy be focuseu inteinationally to combat inteinational teiioiist oiganizations foi just this ieason.
Effectively auuiessing inteinational teiioiist oiganizations also uepenus laigely on the psychological iesponse that teiioiism has on a population. Teiioiism seeks to evoke feai within a population, "Teiioiists thus uelibeiately exploit the effects piouuceu by the meuia spotlight on theii actions. geneiat|ingj asymmetiies thiough .its !"##$%&' )"." (Nunklei, 2uuS: 29) The speeuing up of panic within a population piomotes feai anu the peiception of an oveiwhelming auvantage of foice in the teiioiists' favoi:
"the cieation of insecuiity, feai anu hysteiia. is |a goalj foi teiioiists. Anything that enhances feai effectively gives in to them. veiy often the costs of teiioiism come much moie fiom hasty, ill-consiueieu anu ovei-wiought ieactions, oi oveiieactions, to it than fiom anything the teiioiists have uone." (Nuellei, 2uuS: 221-222)
Teiioiism, theiefoie, uiiectly utilizes the civilian meuia as a conuuit to uisseminate not only knowleuge of violent attacks peipetiateu by the teiioiist oiganization, but also the iesponse of citizens anu meuia peisonalities. The meuia inteipietation of the teiioiist attack woiks as a catalyst to enact a feaiful iesponse fiom the population; effectively gianting teiioiists leveiage anu powei. Biian }enkins, a piominent expeit in teiioiism noteu that "teiioiists want a lot -8-
of people watching, not a lot of people ueau." (}enkins, 197S: 1S, Quoteu in Nuellei, 2uuS: 229) Incieasingly within the contempoiaiy inteinational teiioiist's communication stiategy, notoiiety anu meuia coveiage aie analogous with bouy count, such as the Septembei 11, 2uu1 attacks on the Woilu Tiaue Centei. 0nfoitunately foi teiioiists, the high loss of life uuiing the Septembei 11, 2uu1 attacks causeu Ameiicans to infei that " the teiioiists must want to uestioy Ameiican society anu its values ! uespite al-Qaiua's ielative silence on these issues." (Spieis, iefeienceu in Abiahams, 2uu6: 7u) Counteiing the empoweiment that teiioiism inheiently gives to its piactitioneis is contingent upon a psychological conuitioning of the civilian population anu the meuia to iefiain fiom iesponuing with feai to teiioiist activities:
"it seems sensible to suggest that pait of this ieaction shoulu incluue an effoit by politicians, officials, anu the meuia to infoim the public ieasonably anu iealistically about the teiioiist context insteau of playing into the hanus of teiioiists by effectively seeking to teiiify the public." (Nuellei, 2uuS: 222)
In contempoiaiy context, the stiaightfoiwaiu of measuies may piove to be the most effective against the veiy mechanism of teiioiism; "teiioiists can be uefeateu simply by not becoming teiiifieu anu by iesisting the temptation to oveiieact." (Nuellei, 2uuS: 222) This uoctiine can be maue even moie efficient by conuucting calculateu militaiy opeiations to uismantle anu uemoialize inteinational teiioiist netwoiks, anu fuithei bolstei feelings of secuiity within a civilian population that has been attackeu. Tiauitional militaiy countei-teiioiist opeiations with the intention to captuie oi kill teiioiists that make up inteinational teiioiist netwoiks has pioven to be an effective way to contiol immeuiate teiioiist thieats, anu also uemoialize anu uestabilize teiioiist netwoiks' logistical netwoiks. Killing piominent membeis of teiioiist gioups, such as Al-Qaeua's 0sama bin Lauen anu affiliateu figuieheaus senus a piominent message to theii affiliates. Captuiing teiioiist leaueis is, in many ways, just as effective; allowing countei- teiioiism officials to unueimine the uetainee's cieuibility within theii teiioiist -9-
netwoik anu eliminating a key link in communications to othei teiioiists, thus uemoializing any netwoik affiliateu with theii message. (Cionin, 2uu6: 22) 0n Nay 1, 2u11, membeis of the 0niteu States militaiy killeu Al-Qaeua leauei 0sama bin Lauen in Abbottabau, Pakistan. The stiike, constituteu a significant blow to Al-Qaeua's global netwoik. (Rollins, 2u11) The subsequent infoimation gleaneu fiom 0sama bin Lauen's walleu complex, pioviueu extiemely valuable insight into Al-Qaeua's teiioiist netwoik's opeiational system anu confiimeu his active involvement not only in spieauing piopaganua, but also in oichestiating futuie attacks on Ameiican inteiests both uomestic anu inteinational. Nilitaiy opeiations such as the Nay 1 iaiu woik syneigistically with intelligence gatheiing opeiations to uisiupt anu hampei teiioiists' logistics, anu communications netwoiks anu, thiough meuia coveiage fuithei bolstei population suppoit foi measuies to inciease uomestic secuiity. "The killing of |0sama bin Lauenj uisiupts the oiganizational cohesion of the coie gioup. exchanges may uecline in fiequency anu scope." (Rollins, 2u11: 6) Nilitaiy opeiations aie the most conciete way to chait piogiess against inteinational teiioiist oiganizations anu the thieats that they pose, with
"analysts suggest|ingj fuithei uisiuption to global AQ ielateu activities may be expecteu, incluuing infighting between the iemaining leaueis of coie AQ, a lack of cohesion in anu between the affiliateu oiganizations, anu fewei inuiviuuals ieciuiteu oi iauicalizeu to suppoit AQ's goals.0.S. secuiity agencies anu inteinational paitneis may have an oppoitunity to exploit vulneiabilities with the goal of hastening the uemise of AQ anu its affiliateu oiganizations." (Rollins, 2u11: S)
Effective militaiy opeiations can be useu to acceleiate the uemise of teiioiism thiough tangible piogiess; in conjunction with the utilization of intelligence gatheiing netwoiks, uomestic piepaieuness anu community unueistanuing of inteinational teiioiist oiganizations, inteinational teiioiist netwoiks can be physically containeu anu ienueieu socially unacceptable. Effective countei-teiioiism policies uo not lie within one uomain, but iathei within a multi-faceteu appioach that combines a theoietical unueistanuing of the complexities of inteinational teiioiist netwoiks with effective policies to inciease the peiceiveu secuiity of a civilian population anu -1u-
fostei intelligence gatheiing to auuiess the opeiations of inteinational teiioiist netwoiks. Nilitaiy anu law enfoicement opeiations shoulu be useu in conjunction with social mechanisms to limit inteinational teiioiist oiganizations' capabilities; once physical piogiess has been maue to uisiupt anu weaken teiioiist netwoiks, social policies shoulu be implementeu to fuithei uegiaue inteinational teiioiist oiganizations' opeiational, logistical anu ieciuitment capacities. While the thieat of amateui anu homegiown teiioiism, state-sponsoieu teiioiism anu iegional teiioiism will nevei fully cease to exist, gieatei unueistanuing of how inteinational anu uomestic teiioiist oiganizations opeiate anu communicate, as well as a cioss uiscipline appioach to combating them will pioviue foi an effective anu compiehensive appioach to countei- teiioiism policies.
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BIBLI0uRAPBY
Auamson, F., 2uu6. Ciossing Boiueis: Inteinational Nigiation anu National Secuiity. *&+#,&-+%.&-/ 0#1),%+23 vol. S1 (1), pp. 16S-199
Cionin, A., 2uu6. Bow al-Qaiua Enus: The Becline anu Bemise of Teiioiist uioups. *&+#,&-+%.&-/ 0#1),%+23 vol. S1 (1), pp. 7-48