Economic Management Journal

October 2013, Volume 2, Issue 4, PP.148-153

Apply Game Theory to the Correlation of Total

GDP and Carbon Emissions
Hangfei Song 1, Xuehua Zhang1, 2
1. School of Economics, Tianjin Polytechnic University China, 300387
2. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China, 300072
#Email: xuehua671231@163.com

Abstract
The quality and efficiency of economic growth have been the common concern for all the countries in the worsening climate. The
focus of current research is on how Chinese government achieves rational GDP growth while keeping the reducing amount of
carbon emission in the transition of economic growth mode, thus weakening the effect of economic growth on climate warming,
realizing the harmony between economic and environmental benefit. Game Theory was employed in this paper to analyze the
relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions, then the maximum payoff function points and the dominant strategy
equilibrium were obtained. Also, the reduction target of the amount of carbon emission of China in 2020 was discussed in details
as example, and the results showed that by 2020 the carbon density can be decreased by 40%-45%, that is, by 2020 the carbon
intensity will be no more than 2.067 through the implementation of carbon reduction scheme.
Keywords: GDP Growth; Carbon Emission; Game Theory Analysis

GDP
1, 1,2
1. 300387
2. 300072

GDP
GDP
2020 2020
40%45% 2020 2.067
GDP

GDP GDP
Divisia
10YJA790255

09ZCGYSF02200
12BJY025
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VAR [4-8, 12-13]

GDP

2020 GDP 2005

40% 45% GDP GDP

1.1

GDP

1.2 GDP
CE GDP GDP CE
GDP
GDP

1.2.1

(1)
CECarbon Emissions GDP
i.

CE 10 6.23%

6.23%>6.23%
6.23%
>6.23% 4 6.23% 4 C(CH, CL)

ii.

GDP 10 GDP 16.78% GDP

16.78% GDP GDP >16.78% GDP 16.78%

GDP GDP >16.78% 4 GDPGDP
16.78% 4 GDP G(GH, GL)
(2)
2008 2020 3 4
GDP CE CE GDP
CI
CIT 4 (CE2008 CTS ) / (GDP2008 GTS )

(1)

CI= CE/ GDP

(2)
CIT 4 T+4 C T S CE
s
T

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 GDP GDP T S GDP

CE GDP G(GH, GL)CE C(CH, CL)
(3)
2005 40%-45%
20 2020

2.1
2010 20

1 19912010

1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

56413.47
59029.78
61890.55
65751.96
69898.07
70975.80
69313.59
68967.47
70886.94
71933.89
73376.64
77437.91
91633.44
105965.70
119347.10
131370.50
142458.00
146348.50
154199.60
164302.50

25352.70
27292.50
30158.18
30508.91
32794.00
36115.58
39607.77
40466.10
43174.76
46154.12
46840.73
50790.16
55662.72
64951.61
66753.44
71320.67
75336.43
76192.83
78414.02
82360.68

2760.92
2759.02
2931.45
3101.89
3140.69
3236.84
3254.01
3260.59
3739.53
4258.69
4801.47
5089.58
6111.73
7098.16
8161.64
9978.19
12312.80
14343.68
15907.47
17295.72

2.2
2.2.1

2 /

DOE/EIA

0.702
0.756
0.726
0.728

0.478
0.586
0.583
0.549

0.389
0.449
0.409
0.416

/
0.7143

/
1.4286

/
1.33

Qt Ec c Eo o En n
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(3)

Qt Ec *0.728*1.4 Eo *0.549*0.7 En *0.416*0.7518

(4)

Qt Ec Eo En
c o n
4
4 19912010

1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

21781.5
26923.48
35333.93
48197.86
60793.73
71176.59
78973.04
84402.28
89677.06
99214.55
109655.2
120332.7
135822.8
159878.3
184937.4
216314.4
265810.3
314045.4
340506.9
401202

280214.1
294759
313181.1
331389.9
354175.2
365018.4
366954.3
367696.8
379536.3
392933.7
406096.2
430463.7
496238.4
576331.2
637191.9
698425.2
757371.6
786909.6
827946.9
857496.8

/
12.86
10.95
8.86
6.88
5.83
5.13
4.65
4.36
4.23
3.96
3.70
3.58
3.65
3.60
3.45
3.23
2.85
2.51
2.43
2.14

2008 2020 4
C(CH, CL) C(2653941,2313227)
2.2.2

GDP

GDP GDP G(GH,GL) G(649122.3,647809.8)

2.2.3

GDP

4 2005 3.45 2009 2020

2005 40%45%2020 2.067
GDP
2008 2008 GDP2008= 314045.4, CE2008= 786909.6
20082012 GDP CE CE

CI 2012 (CE2008 CTH ) / GDP2008

(5)

2012 GDP
H
CI 2016 (CE2008 C2012
) / (GDP2008 GTH )

3 CE 1

1 GDP CE
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(6)

 CE GDP 3 2

2 CE GDP

2.3
16 4
H
L
H
G2008
C2012
G2016
1.950
H
L
L
G2008
C2012
G2016
1.951
L
L
H
G2008
C2012
G2016
1.951

L
L
L
G2008
C2012
G2016
1.953

CE GDP 2020
GDP CE 4 1.89
2.07 2005 3.45 40%45% 4
GDP GDP

GDP GDP

2009 2020 40%

45% 2020 2.067 GDP
GDP

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1990-

Email:shfmargaret@163.com

Email: xuehua671231@163.com

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