- 2014 2014
by Eduardo Petazze
In the first quarter of 2014, China's GDP grew 7.4% Y/Y (+1.3% Q/Q), from a growth of 7.7% Y/Y (+1.8% Q/Q) in 4Q2013.
For calendar year 2014 is expected to grow 6.8% from 7.7% growth in 2013, influenced by our expectation of a sharp slowdown in growth in 4Q2014.
The following summary is a preview of our expectation for economic growth for 2014, the People's Republic of China (Mainland). Includes some adjustments on official
estimates published
Link: Economic Development in the First Quarter of 2014
Million USD
1st.
GDP
2001Q1
281,483.5
2,329,954
2001Q2
591,392.3
4,895,086
2001Q3
915,998.8
7,581,819
2001Q4
1,324,820.6 10,965,517
2002Q1
306,579.6
2,537,569
2002Q2
644,447.9
5,334,101
2002Q3
1,003,469.9
8,305,671
2002Q4
1,453,807.2 12,033,269
2003Q1
348,675.3
2,886,181
2003Q2
723,289.6
5,986,887
2003Q3
1,127,539.9
9,332,932
2003Q4
1,640,937.8 13,582,276
2004Q1
403,774.5
3,342,065
2004Q2
850,624.4
7,040,589
2004Q3
1,328,611.3 10,996,757
2004Q4
1,931,652.1 15,987,834
2005Q1
472,632.5
3,911,743
2005Q2
989,700.6
8,191,257
2005Q3
1,539,606.8 12,665,704
2005Q4
2,260,626.5 18,493,737
2006Q1
562,906.9
4,531,583
2006Q2
1,188,473.2
9,542,852
2006Q3
1,840,161.6 14,734,126
2006Q4
2,717,316.9 21,631,443
2007Q1
705,731.0
5,475,589
2007Q2
1,503,151.7 11,599,889
2007Q3
2,351,222.7 18,010,106
2007Q4
3,504,085.6 26,581,031
2008Q1
925,575.0
6,628,378
2008Q2
1,991,546.9 14,047,782
2008Q3
3,110,914.7 21,702,614
2008Q4
4,529,432.0 31,404,543
2009Q1
1,021,297.5
6,981,692
2009Q2
2,169,089.3 14,820,360
2009Q3
3,385,673.4 23,130,333
2009Q4
4,991,043.0 34,090,281
2010Q1
1,210,076.5
8,261,339
2010Q2
2,562,208.6 17,487,883
2010Q3
4,006,468.4 27,262,674
2010Q4
5,942,417.0 40,151,280
2011Q1
1,481,825.0
9,747,954
2011Q2
3,159,243.6 20,648,811
2011Q3
4,965,132.3 32,234,467
2011Q4
7,336,057.6 47,310,405
2012Q1
1,719,587.4 10,847,197
2012Q2
3,608,025.2 22,800,309
2012Q3
5,587,656.7 35,374,155
2012Q4
8,241,698.2 51,947,010
2013Q1
1,910,114.1 11,886,208
2013Q2
4,008,751.4 24,802,445
2013Q3
6,279,274.6 38,710,024
2013Q4
9,263,311.1 56,884,521
2014Q1
2,101,002.7 12,821,300
2014Q2
4,458,655.5 27,041,409
2014Q3
7,008,846.4 42,303,100
2014Q4 10,318,570.9 61,982,934
Last data
Own calculation based on official data
Own estimate
2nd.
203,523
529,710
971,517
1,578,127
218,127
563,521
1,032,558
1,653,702
225,814
577,935
1,086,641
1,738,172
266,354
702,751
1,338,503
2,141,273
292,862
743,631
1,404,380
2,242,000
309,301
797,363
1,505,857
2,404,000
365,404
928,332
1,793,680
2,862,700
467,863
1,169,658
2,186,889
3,370,200
462,703
1,183,070
2,214,223
3,522,600
514,364
1,337,908
2,562,314
4,053,360
595,170
1,562,570
3,019,642
4,748,621
692,155
1,746,987
3,308,587
5,237,363
742,700
1,862,200
3,566,900
5,695,700
777,600
2,006,906
3,858,527
6,156,943
3rd.
1,112,740
2,381,328
3,585,614
4,951,229
1,181,132
2,556,260
3,880,726
5,389,677
1,377,641
2,947,803
4,485,308
6,243,631
1,607,735
3,467,449
5,286,959
7,390,431
1,900,300
4,099,768
6,170,069
8,759,809
2,215,631
4,812,773
7,237,497
10,371,954
2,661,100
5,801,376
8,707,107
12,583,136
3,215,840
7,054,347
10,588,924
14,900,344
3,265,848
7,170,267
10,910,119
15,763,878
3,943,611
8,626,097
12,994,725
18,738,321
4,694,422
10,252,664
15,455,208
22,041,281
5,137,422
11,078,517
16,531,631
23,516,199
5,452,834
11,695,537
17,511,783
24,968,442
5,758,700
12,458,669
18,702,200
26,611,680
1,013,690
1,984,048
3,024,688
4,436,161
1,138,311
2,214,320
3,392,387
4,989,890
1,282,727
2,461,148
3,760,982
5,600,473
1,467,976
2,870,389
4,371,295
6,456,129
1,718,581
3,347,858
5,091,255
7,491,928
2,006,651
3,932,716
5,990,772
8,855,488
2,449,085
4,870,181
7,509,320
11,135,195
2,944,675
5,823,777
8,926,801
13,133,999
3,253,141
6,467,023
10,005,991
14,803,804
3,803,364
7,523,877
11,705,635
17,359,598
4,458,362
8,833,577
13,759,616
20,520,502
5,017,620
9,974,805
15,533,937
23,193,448
5,690,674
11,244,708
17,631,341
26,220,379
6,285,000
12,575,835
19,742,373
29,214,311
Quarterly Data
Reference
Quarter
data
Million USD
Y/Y
2001Q1
281,483.5
2,239,802
8.481%
2001Q2
309,908.8
2,490,875
7.824%
2001Q3
324,606.5
2,622,385
7.743%
2001Q4
408,821.8
3,393,478
9.020%
2002Q1
306,579.6
2,439,532
8.917%
2002Q2
337,868.3
2,712,545
8.899%
2002Q3
359,022.0
2,875,148
9.639%
2002Q4
450,337.3
3,694,825
8.880%
2003Q1
348,675.3
2,703,109 10.804%
2003Q2
374,614.2
2,949,045
8.719%
2003Q3
404,250.3
3,185,867 10.807%
2003Q4
513,397.9
4,058,189
9.834%
2004Q1
403,774.5
2,983,788 10.384%
2004Q2
446,849.9
3,283,515 11.342%
2004Q3
477,986.9
3,496,295
9.744%
2004Q4
603,040.8
4,434,605
9.275%
2005Q1
472,632.5
3,317,946 11.199%
2005Q2
517,068.1
3,638,901 10.823%
2005Q3
549,906.2
3,887,431 11.187%
2005Q4
721,019.8
4,958,072 11.804%
2006Q1
562,906.9
3,730,736 12.441%
2006Q2
625,566.3
4,138,270 13.723%
2006Q3
651,688.5
4,364,622 12.275%
2006Q4
877,155.3
5,578,065 12.505%
2007Q1
705,731.0
4,254,521 14.040%
2007Q2
797,420.6
4,754,977 14.903%
2007Q3
848,071.1
4,992,261 14.380%
2007Q4
1,152,862.8
6,344,247 13.736%
2008Q1
925,575.0
4,734,690 11.286%
2008Q2
1,065,971.9
5,269,819 10.827%
2008Q3
1,119,367.8
5,481,589
9.802%
2008Q4
1,418,517.3
6,825,128
7.580%
2009Q1
1,021,297.5
5,046,862
6.593%
2009Q2
1,147,791.7
5,705,801
8.273%
2009Q3
1,216,584.1
6,007,219
9.589%
2009Q4
1,605,369.7
7,598,181 11.327%
2010Q1
1,210,076.5
5,659,239 12.134%
2010Q2
1,352,132.1
6,301,776 10.445%
2010Q3
1,444,259.8
6,595,203
9.788%
2010Q4
1,935,948.6
8,355,314
9.965%
2011Q1
1,481,825.0
6,218,151
9.876%
2011Q2
1,677,418.6
6,907,742
9.616%
2011Q3
1,805,888.6
7,205,985
9.261%
2011Q4
2,370,925.3
9,101,954
8.936%
2012Q1
1,719,587.4
6,712,934
7.957%
2012Q2
1,888,437.8
7,428,639
7.541%
2012Q3
1,979,631.5
7,738,985
7.397%
2012Q4
2,654,041.6
9,820,596
7.895%
2013Q1
1,910,114.1
7,233,812
7.759%
2013Q2
2,098,637.3
7,984,760
7.486%
2013Q3
2,270,523.2
8,351,424
7.914%
2013Q4
2,984,036.5 10,574,674
7.679%
2014Q1
2,101,002.7
7,767,429
7.377%
2014Q2
2,357,652.8
8,569,168
7.319%
2014Q3
2,550,190.9
8,943,920
7.095%
2014Q4
3,309,724.4 11,182,160
5.745%
Last data
Own calculation based on official data
Seasonally adjusted data is our own estimate
Own estimate
Also see:
China 1Q2014 Statistics
China GDP 4Q2013
1st.
198,494
319,934
425,004
592,597
205,210
323,551
447,155
604,937
212,589
327,239
466,211
613,863
222,402
341,274
502,914
655,434
232,634
359,211
528,381
691,421
243,013
378,930
552,970
727,051
253,618
393,226
577,892
746,963
260,498
408,154
610,396
800,482
269,632
424,576
635,680
837,075
279,794
439,183
664,000
876,125
288,827
451,469
691,571
924,251
299,644
472,285
719,927
970,790
309,662
485,251
747,322
1,019,709
320,569
506,082
772,294
1,045,735
2nd.
1,090,162
1,255,658
1,214,027
1,377,442
1,189,178
1,379,287
1,341,425
1,512,354
1,337,772
1,533,345
1,527,705
1,711,237
1,493,176
1,708,565
1,686,556
1,900,212
1,664,904
1,908,141
1,883,928
2,151,675
1,878,989
2,193,814
2,130,473
2,424,829
2,156,329
2,539,847
2,446,445
2,786,792
2,415,390
2,837,639
2,688,757
2,972,662
2,555,643
3,071,788
2,956,195
3,395,546
2,925,330
3,448,684
3,289,517
3,783,262
3,239,023
3,808,172
3,634,247
4,144,058
3,525,432
4,096,850
3,900,317
4,472,242
3,798,324
4,401,884
4,218,977
4,822,106
4,076,487
4,712,205
4,530,783
5,132,431
3rd.
951,146
915,284
983,353
1,423,439
1,045,144
1,009,706
1,086,568
1,577,535
1,152,748
1,088,461
1,191,951
1,733,088
1,268,211
1,233,676
1,306,825
1,878,960
1,420,408
1,371,549
1,475,122
2,114,976
1,608,733
1,565,526
1,681,179
2,426,185
1,844,574
1,821,903
1,967,924
2,810,492
2,058,802
2,024,026
2,182,436
3,051,984
2,221,587
2,209,437
2,415,345
3,365,560
2,454,115
2,413,909
2,641,686
3,695,926
2,690,301
2,648,100
2,880,167
4,033,645
2,887,857
2,859,504
3,118,741
4,377,564
3,125,827
3,097,625
3,385,125
4,732,858
3,370,373
3,350,881
3,640,843
5,003,994