EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Mutual Funds (MF) have in recent times become one of the most attractive ways for an average person to invest their money. It is said that Bank investment is the first priority of people to invest their savings and the second place is for investment in Mutual Funds and other avenues. A Mutual Fund pools resources from thousands of investors and then diversifies its investment into many different holdings such as stocks, bonds, or Government securities in order to provide high relative safety and returns. The Project is a FINANCE PROJECT which tries to explain in laymans language about the history, growth, & pros and cons of investing in Mutual Funds and the second part of it deals with the analysis of risk and returns of equity and debt schemes of Sahara Mutual Fund in comparison with their respective benchmark indices. The main objective of the project was to get an Overview of Mutual Fund Industry, its set up, its working and to find out the risks and returns of both equity and debt schemes of Sahara Mutual fund. Also generate leads of the prospective investors in Mutual Funds for the Asset Management Company (AMC) to sell Mutual Fund products and to make people aware of the Sahara Mutual Fund and its products. The project includes a brief idea about the growth of MF industry (History), the broad idea about the organization and concept of MF and SEBI Guidelines on Mutual Funds. There are many improvements pending in the field and it has to happen as soon as possible so as to call the MF industry as an Organized and well-developed sector. The past performance of MF is not necessarily indicative of future performance of the scheme and no AMC guarantees Returns and or safety of Principal.
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A Mutual Fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a common financial goal. The money thus collected is then invested in capital market instruments such as shares, debentures and other securities. The income earned through these investments and the capital appreciations realized are shared by its unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned by them. Thus a Mutual Fund is the most suitable investment for the common man as it offers an opportunity to invest in a diversified, professionally managed basket of securities at a relatively low cost. The flow chart below describes broadly the working of a mutual fund:
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Mutual Funds Organization There are many entities involved and the diagrams above (Fig 1, 2 & 3) illustrate the organizational set up of a mutual fund:
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Disadvantages of Mutual Funds No control over the costs No tailor made portfolios
HISTORY OF MUTUAL FUNDS (WORLDWIDE): When three Boston securities executives pooled their money together in 1924 to create the first mutual fund, they had no idea how popular mutual funds would become. The idea of pooling money together for investing purposes started in Europe in the mid-1800s. The first pooled fund in the U.S. was created in 1893 for the faculty and staff of Harvard University. On March 21st, 1924 the first official mutual fund was born. It was called the Massachusetts Investors Trust. After one year, the Massachusetts Investors Trust grew from $50,000 in assets in 1924 to $392,000 in assets (with around 200 shareholders). In contrast, there are over 10,000 mutual funds in the U.S. today totaling around $7 trillion (with approximately 83 million individual investors) according to the Investment Company Institute. The stock market crash of 1929 slowed the growth of mutual funds. In response to the stock market crash, Congress passed the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These laws require that a fund be registered with the SEC and provide prospective
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64,55,00,000
The diagram below shows the three segments and some players in each segment:
4. Fourth phase (2003-06) Following the repeal of the UTI Act in February 2003, it was (UTI) bifurcated into 2 separate entities. One is the specified undertaking of the UTI with asset under management of Rs.29, 835/- Crores as at the end of January 2003. The second is the UTI Mutual Funds Limited, sponsored by State Bank of India, Punjab National Bank, Bank of Baroda and Life Insurance Corporation of India. UTI is functioning under an Administrator and under the Rules framed by the Government of India and does not come under the purview of the Mutual Fund Regulations. The UTI Mutual Funds Limited is registered with SEBI and functions under the Mutual Funds Regulations. With the bifurcation of the Erstwhile UTI, with the setting up of a UTI Mutual Fund, confirming to the SEBI Mutual Fund Regulations and with recent mergers taking place among different
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5. The fifth phase 2006-11 113 new Schemes were launched in the quarter and a sum of Rs.32,828 crores under Income Schemes, Rs.396 crores under Equity Schemes, Rs.68 crores under Gold ETF Schemes, Rs.4 Crores under Fund of Funds Investing Overseas Schemes. Total Funds mobilized during the quarter stood at Rs.22, 06,707 crores as against Rs.26, 69,515
Crores for the corresponding quarter last year representing a decline of 17%. l Redemptions at Rs.22,38,419 crores were 15% lower than the redemptions of Rs.26,40,304 crores in the corresponding quarter last year. l On a net basis, there was an outflow of Rs.31,712 crores during the quarter as against an inflow of Rs.29,211 crores in the corresponding quarter last year. Data on Fund of Funds is given The Assets under Management as on December 31, 2010 stood at Rs. 6, 26,314 crores as against Rs. 6, 65,146 crores as at the end of the previous year representing a decline of 6%.
Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) With the increase in Mutual Fund players in India, a need for Mutual Fund Association in India was generated to function as a non-profit organization. Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) was incorporated on 22nd August, 1995. AMFI is an apex body of all Asset Management Companies (AMC) which has been registered with Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI). Till date all the AMCs are that have launched mutual fund schemes are its members. It functions under the supervision and guidelines of its Board of Directors. Association of Mutual Funds India has brought down the Indian Mutual Fund Industry to a professional and healthy market with ethical lines enhancing and maintaining standards. It
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AMFI interacts with SEBI and works according to SEBIs guidelines in the Mutual Fund industry. Associations of Mutual Fund of India do represent the Government of India, the Reserve Bank of India and other related bodies on matters relating to the Mutual Fund Industry. It develops a team of well qualified and trained Agent distributors. It implements a programme of training and certification for all intermediaries and other engaged in the mutual fund industry. AMFI undertakes all India awareness programme for investors in order to promote proper understanding of the concept and working of Mutual Funds. At last but not the least Association of Mutual Fund of India also disseminate information on Mutual Fund Industry and undertakes studies and research either directly or in association with other bodies. The sponsors of Association of Mutual Funds in India Bank Sponsored SBI Fund Management Ltd. BOB Asset Management Co. Ltd. Canbank Investment Management Services Ltd. UTI Asset Management Company Pvt. Ltd. Institutions
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Private Sector Indian: Benchmark Asset Management Co. Pvt. Ltd. Cholamandalam Asset Management Co. Ltd. Credit Capital Asset Management Co. Ltd. Escorts Asset Management Ltd. JM Financial Mutual Fund Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Co. Ltd. Reliance Capital Asset Management Ltd. Sahara Asset Management Co. Pvt. Ltd Sundaram Asset Management Company Ltd. Tata Asset Management Private Ltd.
Predominantly India Joint Ventures: Birla Sun Life Asset Management Co. Ltd. DSP Merrill Lynch Fund Managers Limited HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd.
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Association of Mutual Funds in India Publications: AMFI publishes mainly two types of bulletin. One is on the monthly basis and the other is quarterly. These publications are of great support for the investors to get intimation of the knowhow of their parked money.
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SEBI REGULATIONS ON MUTUAL FUNDS The Government brought Mutual Funds in the Securities market under the regulatory framework of the Securities and Exchange board of India (SEBI) in the year 1993.
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By Investment Objective Growth/Equity Schemes General Purpose Income/Debt Funds Money Market Guilt Funds Balanced Schemes Other Schemes
Special Schemes: Sector Specific Schemes Index Schemes Open Ended Schemes The units offered by these schemes are available for sale and repurchase on any business day at NAV based prices. Hence, the unit capital of the schemes keeps changing each day. Such schemes thus offer very high liquidity to investors and are becoming increasingly popular in India. Please note that an open-ended fund is NOT obliged to keep selling/issuing new units at
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General Purpose Equity Schemes The investment objectives of general-purpose equity schemes do not restrict them to invest in specific industries or sectors. They thus have a diversified portfolio of companies across a large spectrum of industries. While they are exposed to equity price risks, diversified general-purpose equity funds seek to reduce the sector or stock specific risks through diversification. They mainly have market risk exposure. Sahara Wealth plus Fund is an Equity Fund which is a generalpurpose equity scheme.
These schemes, also commonly known as Income Schemes, invest in debt securities such as corporate bonds, debentures and government securities. The prices of these schemes tend to be more stable compared with equity schemes and most of the returns to the investors are generated through dividends or steady capital appreciation. These schemes are ideal for conservative investors or those who are not in a position to take higher equity risks. However, as compared to the money market schemes they do have a higher price fluctuation risk and compared to a Gilt fund they have a higher credit risk. These schemes invest in money markets, bonds and debentures of corporate companies with medium and long-term maturities. These schemes primarily target current income instead of capital appreciation. Hence, a substantial part of the distributable surplus is given back to the investor by way of dividend distribution. These schemes usually declare quarterly dividends and are suitable for conservative investors who have medium to long-term investment horizon and are looking for regular income through dividend or steady capital appreciation. Sahara Income Fund is an example of Income/Debt/Bond scheme. Money Market Schemes These schemes invest in short term instruments such as commercial paper ("CP"), certificates of deposit ("CD"), treasury bills ("T-Bill") and overnight money ("Call"). The schemes are the least volatile of all the types of schemes because of their investments in money market instrument
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Comparison of Mutual Funds with other Products/ Investment opportunities The mutual fund sector operates under stricter regulations as compared to most other investment avenues. Apart from the tax efficiency and legal comfort how do mutual funds compare with other products? Here the investment in Mutual Funds is compared with: 1. Company Fixed Deposits. 2. Bank Fixed Deposits. 3. Bonds and Debentures. 4. Equity. 5. Life Insurance
1. Company Fixed Deposits versus Mutual Funds Fixed deposits are unsecured borrowings by the company accepting the deposits. Credit rating of the fixed deposit program is an indication of the inherent default risk in the investment. The moneys of investors in a mutual fund scheme are invested by the AMC in specific investments under that scheme. These investments are held and managed in-trust for the benefit of schemes investors. On the other hand, there is no such direct correlation between a companys fixed deposit mobilization, and the avenues where these resources are deployed. A corollary of such linkage between mobilization and investment is that the gains and losses from the mutual fund scheme entirely flow through to the investors. Therefore, there can be no certainty of yield, unless a named guarantor assures a return or, to a lesser extent, if the investment is in a serial gilt scheme. On the other hand, the return under a fixed deposit is certain, subject only to the default risk of the borrower. Both fixed deposits and mutual funds offer liquidity, but subject to some differences: The provider of liquidity in the case of fixed deposits is the borrowing company. In mutual funds, the liquidity provider is the scheme itself (for open-end schemes) or the market (in the case of closed-end schemes).
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2. Bank Fixed Deposits versus Mutual Funds Bank fixed deposits are similar to company fixed deposits. The major difference is that banks are more stringently regulated than are companies. They even operate under stricter requirements regarding Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) and Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR). While the above are causes for comfort, bank deposits too are subject to default risk. However, given the political and economic impact of bank defaults, the Government as well as Reserve Bank of India (RBI) tries to ensure that banks do not fail. Further, bank deposits up to Rs 1, 00, 000 are protected by the Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation (DICGC), so long as the bank has paid the required insurance premium of 5 paisa per annum for every Rs 100 of deposits. The monetary ceiling of Rs 100,000 is for all the deposits in all the branches of a bank, held by the depositor in the same capacity and right.
3. Bonds and Debentures versus Mutual Funds As in the case of fixed deposits, credit rating of the bond / debenture is an indication of the inherent default risk in the investment. However, unlike fixed deposits, bonds and debentures are transferable securities. While an investor may have an early encashment option from the issuer (for instance through a put option), generally liquidity is through a listing in the market. Implications of this are: If the security does not get traded in the market, then the liquidity remains on paper. In this respect, an open-end scheme offering continuous sale / re-purchase option is superior. The value that the investor would realize in an early exit is subject to market risk. The investor could have a capital gain or a capital loss. This aspect is similar to a MF scheme. It is possible for an astute investor to earn attractive returns by directly investing in the debt market, and actively managing the positions. Given the market realities in India, it is difficult for most investors to actively manage their debt portfolio. Further, at times, it is difficult to execute trades in the debt market even when the transaction size is as high as Rs 1 crore. In this respect, investment in a debt scheme would be beneficial.
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FUTURE OF MUTUAL FUNDS IN INDIA At the end of 2006 March, Indian mutual fund industry reached Rs. 2, 57, 499 Crores. The annual composite rate of growth is expected 13.4% during the rest of the decade. In the last 5 years we have seen annual growth rate of 9%. According to the current growth rate, by year 2010, mutual fund assets will be double. Going by the above facts and generally, mutual funds have often been considered a good route to invest and earn returns with reasonable safety. Small and big investors have both invested in instruments that have suited their needs. And so equity and debt funds have attracted investments alike. The performance of the investments, equity in particular, for the last one-year, has however been disappointing for the investors. The fall in NAVs of equity funds, and it is really steep in some, even to the extent of 60-70 percent, has left investors disgusted. Such backlash was only to be expected when funds, in a hurry to post good returns invested in volatile tech stocks. The move, though good under
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Till now, Investor education has been one of the issues, less cared for, by the industry. The industry focused upon the amounts and not why a person wanted to invest or whether a particular product suited him or not. While educating the customer might not have been on the cards earlier, the things are beginning to change now. With SEBI passing on the guidelines, the funds will engage in investor education. The guidelines state that funds will utilize the income earned on unclaimed money lying with them for a period exceeding three years to educate the investors. AMFI has started a certification program for intermediaries. This will be made mandatory for the intermediaries and is aimed at educating the investors about the risks attached to the schemes and to inculcate adequate skills into the intermediaries to help the investors choose the right kind of fund. Steps such as these are aimed at obliterating various flaws in the system by standardizing the knowledge base of intermediaries, as they are the interface between the investor and the funds. Although the investors themselves are also guilty of picking funds that were not suited for them, the blame cant lie square on their shoulders alone. The industry has also got to bear some of it. With such programs becoming mandatory, it can be ensured to some extent that ignorance ceases to be an aspect associated with the industry. Till now, investors have been ignorant about the kind of fund to be picked or how to select a fund. Teaching an investor how to select a fund is thus an important aspect. Educated investors can, on their part, ask pertinent questions to find funds that qualify to be in their portfolio as per their risk bearing capacity. It would not be improper to say that investor education is still the key to managing the funds handed over by investors. The investors are important to the industry and likewise, mutual funds form an important avenue for an investor. It would thus be of critical importance to educate people for an informed investor is in the best position to pick up Schemes as per his need. This would also infuse some confidence in the minds of the investors who under the current scenario seem to be losing faith on account of the falls suffered in recent times.
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STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM: The project deals with the Overview of Mutual Industry in India and evaluation study of Risk and Returns of Debt and Equity Schemes of Sahara Mutual Fund in comparison with their respective benchmark indices. NEED FOR THE STUDY: The evaluation study of risk and returns of Equity and Debt Schemes of Sahara Mutual Fund is useful to know the performance of schemes and it helps the investors to invest in Mutual Fund schemes either- Equity, Debt or Balanced. The performance of different schemes however helps the prospective investors to choose the best schemes that suit his objective. SCOPE OF THE STUDY: The study was limited to just finding the risk and returns associated with the schemes. The study covers the six different schemes provided by Sahara Mutual Fund. The study covers the period of past three and half months from February 10, 2006 to May 26, 2006. The study covers only the open-ended funds.
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LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY: The study was limited only to Sahara Mutual Fund schemes. Time duration for the study was very short as it was restricted to just 10 weeks. Out of eight schemes only six have been taken for analysis. The study was limited to the extent of just finding the risks and returns of each schemes of the fund.
COMPANY PROFILE Sahara Asset Management Co. Pvt. Ltd. The registered office of the AMC is situated at Units A and B, Eighth floor, Riyaz Garden, #29, Kodambakkam High Road, Chennai-34. In terms of the investment management agreement dated July 18, 1996 the trustee has appointed Sahara Asset Management Company Pvt. Ltd. to manage the Mutual Fund. The paid up share capital of the AMC is Rs. 25.80 Crores. The Sahara Asset Management Company was sponsored by Sahara India Financial Corporation Ltd (SIFL) which is the flagship company of Sahara India Group. Incorporated in 1987, SIFL is the First Residuary Non-Banking Company (RNBC) in India that has been granted certificate of registration by RBI and is considered to be a leading public deposit mobilization company in the private sector. The Sahara India Group has over the years emerged as a multi-service and multi-product business conglomerate with diverse interests in fields such as Aviation, Life Insurance, Para banking, Housing, Infrastructure & Tourism, Consumer products, Media& Entertainment. TABLE 4 No. of Schemes Number of Schemes including options Debt Schemes Short term debt Schemes Gilt Fund Equity Schemes
08 35 02 01 01 04
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Recently, Sahara Mutual Fund has launched Open-ended equity fund Sahara Wealth plus Fund. The objective of the scheme is to generate long-term capital growth from a diversified portfolio of predominantly equity and equity related instruments. It is estimated that, the fund will invest 70%-100% in equity & equity related securities and 0-30% in debt and money market Instruments. Out of 0-30% in debt and money market instruments 0-20% will be in securitized debt. The scheme offers growth, dividend and dividend reinvestment options. The following are the main features of this new scheme: Simply timeless Simply trustworthy Simply unstructured Simply consistent Sahara Mutual Fund also pioneered several service initiatives that helped to increase transactional ease. It was the first mutual fund to initiate: Across the counter redemptions for all classes of investors in liquid funds. Next day redemptions for non-liquid funds. Phone transacts service wherein investors can redeem without having any Personal Identification Numbers.
PRODUCT PROFILE
Different products/Schemes of Sahara Mutual Fund I. EQUITY ORIENTED SCHEMES Equity-oriented schemes are popularly known as Growth schemes. Since they invest a majority of their funds in equities, these schemes deliver higher returns in the long run, and are hence ideal for investors who have a long term investment horizon. Since the value of equity funds fluctuate with changes in the social, political and economic scenarios, equity-oriented schemes are not suitable for investors seeking regular income or returns in the near future. Sahara Mutual Fund offers four equity-oriented schemes:
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II. DEBT - ORIENTED SCHEMES Debt-oriented schemes are also known as Income schemes. Since these schemes invest in debt securities such as debentures, bonds and government securities, their prices are more stable than those of equity-oriented schemes. It is for this reason that debt-oriented schemes are preferred by medium-risk investors such as retired individuals who may be unable to take high equity risks. While they are more stable than equities, debt-oriented schemes fluctuate more than money market schemes and are subject to a higher credit risk than gilt funds, which invest in government debt. Sahara Mutual Fund offers four debt-oriented schemes: Sahara Short Term Plan Sahara Income Fund Sahara Liquid Fund Sahara Gilt fund
I) 1. Sahara Growth Fund Scheme Objective: The investment objective of the scheme is to achieve capital appreciation by investing in equity and equity related instruments. Scheme Type: Open ended growth fund Investor Profile: Ideal for investors seeking high returns at a relatively medium risk across long horizon. Investment Option: Investors under the Sahara Growth Fund have the choice of Growth, Dividend payout Option & Dividend Reinvestment Option. Inception Date: March 30, 2011 Benchmark Index: S & P CNX Nifty
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3. Sahara Midcap Fund Investment Objective: The investment objective of the scheme is to achieve long term capital growth at medium level of risks by investing primarily in mid-cap stocks. The investment manager will have the discretion to invest up to 100% of the assets in the portfolio in equity/equity related instruments at a given point of time. Scheme Type: An open ended growth fund Investor profile: Ideal for investors seeking high returns at relatively medium risk across long term horizon. Investment Option: Investors under the Sahara Mid Cap Fund have the choice of Growth plan, Dividend plan, Growth Auto-payout plan and Bonus plan. Inception Date: March 31, 2011 Benchmark index: CNX Midcap Index 4. Sahara Wealth plus Fund Investment Objective: The primary objective of the scheme would be to invest in equity & equity related instruments of companies that would be wealth builders in the long term. Scheme Type: open- ended growth fund Investor profile: Ideal for investors seeking high returns at relatively medium risk across long term horizon. Investment Option: Investors under the Sahara Wealth plus Fund have the choice of Variable pricing option and Fixed pricing option. Sub options: Under variable pricing option Growth, Dividend, Dividend Reinvestment option. Inception Date: April 30, 2011 Benchmark Index: S & P CNX 500 II) 1. Sahara Short Term Plan Investment Objective: The primary objective of the scheme would be to generate regular income and secondary objective is growth of capital through investment in debt instruments, money market and related instruments, whilst at all times emphasizing the importance of capital preservation.
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3. Sahara Liquid Fund Investment Objective: To create a highly liquid portfolio of good quality debt as well as money market instruments with a view to provide high liquidity and reasonable returns to the Unit holders. Scheme Type: open- ended Liquid Fund. Investor profile: Ideal for investors who wish to park their short term surpluses at relatively low risk. Corporate and High Net Worth investors who have temporary surpluses can benefit from this scheme. Investment Option: Investors under the Sahara Liquid Fund have the choice of Growth and Dividend Reinvestment options. Inception date: February 19, 2011 Benchmark Index: CRISIL Liquid Fund index
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INTRODUCTION: A detail study is done on various Investment Schemes provided by Sahara Mutual Fund. Analysis is done on the Risk and Returns of Debt and Equity Scheme provided by the organization. Where it is useful to the investors to mobilize the savings in the respective schemes provided by the Company.
RESEARCH DESIGN: A Research design is a method and procedure for acquiring information needed to solve the problem. A research design is the basic plan that helps in the data collection or analysis. It specifies the type of information to be collected the sources and data collection procedure. METHOD OF RESEARCH DESIGN USED UNDER STUDY IS: DESCRIPTIVE RESEARCH: Descriptive research is study of existing facts to come to a conclusion. In this research an attempt has been made to analyze the past performance of the Sahara Mutual schemes and to know the benefits to the investors. The study is done on different schemes provided by the company to know the companys performance for the past few months and to know the risk and returns of the funds. OPERATIONAL DEFINITIONS OF THE CONCEPT RISK: The dictionary meaning of risk is the possibility of loss or injury. Any rational investor, before investing his/her investible wealth in the security, analyzes the risk associated with a particular security. The actual return he receives from a security may vary from his expected return and the risk is expressed in term of variability of return. The down side of risk may be caused by several factors, either common to all securities or specific to a particular security. Investor in general
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RATE OF RETURN: The compounded annual return on a mutual fund scheme represents the return to investors from a scheme since the date of issue. It is calculated on NAV basis or price basis. On NAV basis it reflects the return generated by the fund manager on NAV. On price basis it reflects the return to investors by way of market or repurchase price Net Asset Value (NAV): The net asset value of the fund is the cumulative market value of the assets fund of its liabilities. In other words, if the fund is dissolved or liquidated, by selling off all the assets in the fund, this is the amount that the shareholders would collectively own. This gives rise to the concept of net asset value per unit, which is the value, represented by the ownership of one unit in the fund. It is calculated simply by dividing the net asset value of tumbler of units. However, most people refer
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NAV =
METHODOLOGY OF DATA COLLECTION: SOURCES OF DATA: SECONDARY DATA used for the study: Internet sources. Newspapers. Announcements and publishings by the company.
CONCEPTUAL DESIGN: Sample unit: Schemes of Sahara Mutual Fund. Sample size: 16 weeks NAV of the Schemes. Sampling Procedure: Direct.
SCHEMES CONSIDERED FOR THE EVALUATION STUDY In this project I have considered total of six schemes. Their relative Benchmark Indices are: SAHARA INCOME FUND CRISIL COMPOSITE BOND INDEX SAHARA SHORT TERM FUND CRISIL LIQUID FUND INDEX
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TOOLS & TECHNIQUES USED FOR THE STUDY To analyze the data in the project various statistical tools are used. They are: i. Beta: = NXY(X)(Y) NY2 (Y)2 = Beta of the fund; N = Number of Observations; X = Weekly return of NAV; Y = Weekly return of the Index. ii. Standard Deviation: =
d=(XX/) Where = Standard Deviation; N = Number of observations; d = Deviations from actual mean;
iii. Rate of Return for a period: X= Where, A = NAV at the end of the period of the period; B = NAV at the beginning of the period; D = Dividend paid during the period;
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Index date 10/01/2011 17/01/2011 24/01/2011 03/02/2011 10/02/2011 17/02/2011 24/02/2011 03/03/2011 10/03/2011 17/03/2011 24/03/2011 31/03/2011 07/04/2011 14/04/2011 21/04/2011 28/04/2011
Index value
5904.600 5922.624 5940.828 5959.046 5977.281 5995.531 6013.794 6032.067 6050.354 6068.664 6086.987 6105.371 6123.769 6142.183 6160.606 6179.046
Weekly returns ----0.363% 0.044% 0.187% 0.136% -0.022% -0.083% 0.148% 0.293% 0.149% 0.019% 0.114% 0.138% 0.079% 0.192% 0.082%
NAV in Rs 18.0236 18.2047 18.2179 18.2347 18.2504 18.2626 18.2730 18.2874 18.3100 18.3230 18.3836 18.3979 18.4143 18.4233 18.4395 18.4509
Dividend -----------------------------------------------------------------
Returns ----0.084% 0.073% 0.092% 0.086% 0.067% 0.057% 0.079% 0.124% 0.071% 0.331% 0.078% 0.089% 0.049% 0.088% 0.062%
RISK CALCULATIONS The table showing the calculation of Beta and Standard Deviation of Sahara Income Fund X 0.084 0.073 0.092 D -0.003893 -0.014893 0.004106 d 0.000051 0.022180 0.000016 Y 0.363 0.044 0.187 Y 0.131769 0.001936 0.034969 X*Y 0.030492 0.003212 0.017204
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CALCULATION OF BETA AND STANDARAD DEVIATION FOR SAHARA INCOME FUND = [15*0.163237 (1.3184) (1.839)]/[15*0.219073 (0.1839) = [2.448555 2.4245376]/[3.286095 0.03381921] = [0.0240174/3.25227579] = 0.007384798
2
= = ( ) )
= 0.010212266 (
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Inference: As the is less than 1 it can be said that the scheme is less risky. For One percent change in the market index causes 0.007384 percent change in the scheme return. The scheme is less volatile compared to the market. The Standard Deviation of the scheme is 0.1007308.which means the schemes returns vary with the index to the extent of 0.1007308. 2. The table showing the weekly returns of CRISIL Liquid Fund Index And that of Sahara Short -Term Fund Index Date Index Value
1669.00
Weekly Returns ----0.090 0.076 0.091 0.079 0.096 0.083 0.059 0.104 0.896 0.111 0.090 0.099 0.074 0.085 0.084
NAV in Rs
DIVIDEN D ----------------------------------------------------------------
RETURNS
10/01/2011 17/01/2011 24/01/2011 31/01/2011 07/02/2011 14/02/2011 21/02/2011 28/02/2011 07/03/2011 14/03/2011 21/03/2011 28/03/2011 04/04/2011 11/04/2011 18/04/2011 25/04/2011
18.02360 18.02361 18.02374 18.02386 18.02397 18.02408 18.02419 18.02432 18.02443 18.02459 18.02554 18.02569 18.02584 18.02600 18.02617 18.02633
1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02 1669.02
----0.007% 0.073% 0.067% 0.058% 0.062% 0.060% 0.070% 0.066% 0.085% 0.526% 0.084% 0.084% 0.088% 0.094% 0.091%
RISK CALCULATIONS The table showing the calculation of Beta and Standard Deviation of
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CALCULATION OF BETA AND STANDARD DEVIATION FOR SAHARA SHORT TERM FUND ==[ = 15*0.211351 (1.515) (2.117000)]/[15*0.911589 (2.117000) = [3.170265 3.207255]/[13.673835 4.481689] = [-0.03699/9.192146] = -0.00402408 =
2
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= 0.119419686 Inference: The beta of the scheme is negative. This means that the scheme is moving in the opposite direction to that of the market. If the market declines by 1 percent then the scheme gains by 0.00402408 percent. The standard deviation of the scheme is 0.119419686, which means the fund does not have much variation in the returns. 3. The table showing the weekly returns of I-Sec Composite Index And that of Sahara Gilt Fund Index date 10/02/2011 17/02/2011 24/02/2011 03/03/2011 10/03/2011 17/03/2011 24/03/2011 31/03/2011 07/04/2011 14/04/2011 21/04/2011 28/04/2011 05/05/2011 12/05/2011 19/05/2011 26/05/2011 Index value
5904.600 5921.602 5938.604 5955.607 5972.609 5989.612 6006.615 6023.618 6040.621 6057.625 6074.628 6091.632 6108.635 6125.639 6142.643 6159.647
Weekly returns ----0.714% 0.182% 0.354% 0.177% -0.407% -0.508% 0.226% 0.655% 0.311% -0.154% 0.177% 0.188% 0.095% 0.426% 0.109%
NAV in Rs Dividend
17.00200 ----17.00236 ----17.00248 ----17.00261 ----17.00278 ----17.00285 ----17.00291 ----17.00314 ----17.00344 ----17.00356 ----17.00359 ----17.00374 ----17.00393 ----17.00396 ----17.00413 ----17.00421 -----
Returns ---0.209% 0.075% 0.077% 0.099% 0.041% 0.036% 0.136% 0.173% 0.073% 0.014% 0.092% 0.110% 0.018% 0.098% 0.050%
RISK CALCULATIONS The table showing the calculation of Beta and Standard Deviation of Sahara Gilt Fund X 0.209 0.075 D 0.122266 7 0.011733 d 0.014949 1 0.000137 66 Y 0.714 0.182 Y 0.609796 0.033124 X*Y 0.149226 0.01365
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CALCULATION OF BETA AND STANDARD DEVIATION FOR SAHARA GILT FUND = = [15*0.423171 (1.301) (2.545)]/[15*2.092871 (2.545) = [6.347565 3.311045]/[31.393065 6.477025] = [3.03652/24.91604] = 0.121870088
2
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5. The table showing the weekly returns of S&P CNX Nifty Index And of Sahara Growth Fund
Index date
Index Value
Weekly Returns
NAV Rs
in DIVIDEN D
RETURN S ---0.113% 0% -1.035% 0% 1.806% 2.585% 2.258% 1.011% 1.777% 0.571% 4.987% -1.402% 3.105%
10/02/2011 17/02/2011 24/02/2011 03/03/2011 10/03/2011 17/03/2011 24/03/2011 31/03/2011 07/04/2011 14/04/2011 21/04/2011 28/04/2011 05/05/2011 12/05/2011
---------------------
-----------------------------
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2.507% 2.867%
77.14617 77.16248
---------
3.193% 2.114%
RISK CALCULATIONS The table showing the calculation of Beta and Standard Deviation of Sahara Growth Fund X 0.113 0 -.035 0 1.806 2.585 2.258 1.011 1.777 0.571 4.987 -1.402 3.105 3.193 2.114 21.768 N=15; X=21.768; Y =17.133; Y=52.1443; XY=44.17012; D -1.3382 -1.4512 -1.812 -1.4512 0.3548 1.1338 0.8068 -0.4402 0.3258 -0.8802 3.5358 -2.8532 1.6538 1.7418 0.6628 -0.0108 d 1.70779 2.10598 3.28334 2.10598 0.12588 1.28550 0.65092 0.19377 0.10614 0.77475 12.5018 8.14075 2.73505 3.03386 0.43930 39.19081 Y 0.505 0.672 2.656 -0.006 1.850 0.452 0.073 2.859 2.145 -1.484 2.156 -1.878 1.759 2.507 2.867 17.133 Y 0.25502 0.45158 7.05433 0.000036 3.4225 0.204304 0.005329 8.173881 4.601025 2.202256 4.648336 3.526884 3.094081 6.285049 8.219689 52.1443 X*Y 0.057065 0 -0.09296 0 3.3411 1.16842 0.166805 2.890449 3.811665 -0.84736 10.751972 2.632956 5.461695 8.004851 6.060838 44.17012
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NAV in Rs
DIVIDEND ---------------------------------
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---------------------------------
RISK CALCULATIONS The table showing the calculation of Beta and Standard Deviation of Sahara Midcap Fund X 2.683 2.664 -.831 -.082 2.115 3.178 4.053 -0.633 2.589 2.193 5.561 -1.090 1.934 3.042 1.229 D 1.042667 1.023667 -6.471333 -1.72233 0.474667 1.537667 2.412667 -2.27333 0.948667 0.552667 3.92067 -2.273033 0.29367 1.401667 -0.41133 d 1.08715447 1.04789412 41.8781508 2.966240629 0.22530876 2.364419803 5.820962053 5.168029289 0.899969076 0.305440812 15.37165325 5.166679019 0.086242068 1.964670379 0.169192368 Y 2.297 -0.024 -1.938 -0.493 2.776 3.319 4.331 1.199 1.425 0.160 3.582 -1.974 2.137 2.581 2.769 Y 5.276209 0.000576 3.755844 0.243049 7.706176 11.015761 18.757561 1.437601 2.030625 0.0256 12.830724 3.896676 4.566769 6.661561 7.667361 X*Y 6.612851 -.063936 9.362478 0.040426 5.87124 10.547782 17.5535 0.758967 5.257288125 0.35088 19.919502 2.15166 4.132958 7.851402 3.403101
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Y = 22.147; XY=94.02009913;
= [15*94.02009913 (24.605) (22.147)]/[15*50.223402 (22.147) = [1410.301487-544.926935]/[753.35103-490.4896] = [865.374552/262.86143] = 3.292132102 = =284.522183770.457321515 = 0.2091415825.634812251225 = 05.6348122510.000929518144 = 5.633882733 = 2.373580151 Inference: The beta of the scheme is more than +2 means the scheme is prone to more risk. This means that the scheme is more volatile. If the market declines by 1 percent then the scheme also declines but by 3%percent or more. The standard deviation of the scheme is 2.373580151, which means the fund has very much variation in the returns when compared with its benchmark index CNX Midcap Index.
2
HYPOTHESIS H : There is no significant difference in the risk and returns between Sahara Mutual Fund
0
schemes. H : There is significant difference in the risk and returns between Sahara Mutual Fund schemes.
A
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Income fund 113.648392 113.840364 114.009006 114.220519 114.417252 114.571334 114.7041 114.886242 115.173678 115.339008 116.10709 116.290342 116.499642 116.614081 116.821511 116.968551
Short term fund 111.4861457 111.5030403 111.6678293 111.8179354 111.9490964 112.0888038 112.224361 112.3833212 112.5339072 112.7270593 113.9236023 114.1158063 114.3081723 114.511401 114.7276632 114.9376968
Liquid fund 104.831 104.8289 104.831 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289 104.8289
Gilt fund 108.839143 109.29657 109.461814 109.63137 109.849265 109.941516 110.021219 110.2416 110.62622 110.788255 110.819834 111.024154 111.270852 111.31305 111.532609 111.644582
Growth fund 308.0025 308.7049 308.7049 302.4121 302.4121 313.6441 330.5124 345.96 353.0641 365.9569 370.1776 410.0625 398.8009 424.7721 453.2641 473.0625
Mid cap fund 117.7963 124.3827 131.2858 119.4627 117.5078 122.6423 130.8278 142.115 140.3325 147.8924 154.5994 173.3436 169.5829 176.3398 187.5804 192.2798
1. X2 = 15212.0708 2. X2 = 15212.0708 N 96 = 158.4590711 3. Sum of squares of funds = 115.2569446 + 112.9316151 + 104.82919 + 110.3938784 + 360.594606 + 146.7482 = 950.7544264 4. Total sum of squares = 15212.0708 - 158.4590711 = 15053.61175 5. Sum of squares due to different fund = 950.7544264 - 158.4590711 = 792.2953554
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ANOVA TABLE Sources of variance Between funds Error Total Hypothesis Testing: F cal < F tab then H0 is accepted F cal > F tab then HA is accepted Conclusion: Since F cal is less than F tab, H0 i.e., null hypothesis is accepted. Sum of Degrees squares freedom 792.2953554 5 14261.3164 15053.61175 90 95 of Mean square 158.4590711 158.4590711 F cal 1 F tab 2.30
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CONCLUSIONS: From the findings it can be concluded that: The beta of Sahara Income Fund is 0.007384798 hence can be said the scheme is less volatile compared to the market. The Sahara Short-Term Fund has not given stable returns the beta of the fund is 0.00402408 that means the fund is less volatile than the market but its inconsistency in movement with the market is a major concern. The beta of the fund is negative which means the fund moves in the opposite direction to that of the market.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY BOOKS REFERRED Investment and Portfolio Management by Prasanna Chandra. Security Analysis and Portfolio Management by Punithavathy Pandian. Security Analysis and Portfolio Management by V.K.Bhalla. Investment Management by Preeti Singh. Indian Financial System by M.Y.Khan. Invest India Economic Foundations Mutual Fund Industry guide. MAGAZINES ICFAI university presss monthly periodical journal CHARTERED FINANCIAL ANALYST. Outlook Money by fortnightly magazines. Business Today. Business World. NEWS PAPERS Business Standard. Economic Times. Business Line. WEB SITES www.saharamutual.com
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