RETURN ON INVESTMENT pg 19
Projections - Burnt Man film
($25,000, $50,000, $100,000 investments)
Burnt Man - feature (budget $1.5 million)
Sameer Ketkar - executive producer
$ Millions
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Pro ected
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Exp
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Production Budget $1.50 $1.50 $1.50
TOTAL PROFIT $5.68 $13.27 $20.90
Producers' Share
(30%) $1.70 $3.98 $6.27
Director/Talent Share
(20%) $1.14 $2.65 $4.18
Investors' Share
(50%) $2.84 $6.64 $10.45
$ Real Values
$100,000 Investment
% of Budget 6.67% 6.67% 6.67%
$100,000
Investment Return $189,333.00 $442,666.00 $696,666.00
$50,000 Investment %
of Budget 3.33% 3.33% 3.33%
$50,000 Investment
Return $94,666.00 $221,333.00 $348,333.00
$25,000 Investment %
of Budget 1.67% 1.67% 1.67%
$25,000 Investment
Return $47,333.00 $110,666.00 $174,166.00
ROI OVER 3
YEARS 189.33% 442.67% 696.67%
According to the low projection of the film's profit potential, an investor would earn a
percentage of the $5,680,000 profit. A $25,000 investment is 1.67% of the film's budget
For profit sharing, investors will share 50% of the film's total profit of $5,680,000,
or $2,840,000. 1.67% of $2,840,000 equals a dividend of $47,333 (at which
point the initial $25,000 will have already been repaid).
For detailed profit/loss breakdowns of low, expected and better projections for the film's
box office performance, please see Table 2 (low projections), Table 3 (expected
projections), Table 4 (better projections), and Table 5 (breakeven projections).
Table 2.
Return on Investment pg 20
(LOW PROJECTIONS)
Burnt Man - feature (budget $1.5 million)
Sameer Ketkar - executive producer Total Profit: $5.68 million
TELEVISION MARKETS
Pay TV $1
% total gross sales all
markets 3.57%
Network TV $0.25
% total gross sales all
markets 0.89%
Syndicated TV $0.25
% total gross sales all
markets 0.89%
Television Market % Total
Gross Sales 3.57% 5.36%
TOTAL GROSS, ALL
MARKETS $16.50 $27.50 $28.00
Yearly Gross $16.50 $11.00 $0.50
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
Table 2.
(cont'd)
pg 21
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
$ Millions LOW PROJECTIONS
FEES AND PAYMENTS
DISTRIBUTION FEES
Distributor Gross Estimated
Collection (70% YR1, 20%
YR2, 10% YR3) $11.55 $2.20 $0.05
Theatrical Exhibitor Share
(10%) $1.65
Return on Investment pg 22
(Expected Projections)
Burnt Man - feature (budget $1.5 million)
Sameer Ketkar - executive producer Total Profit: $13.27 million
(cont'd)
pg 23
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
$ Millions EXPECTED PROJECTIONS
FEES AND PAYMENTS
DISTRIBUTION FEES
Distributor Gross
Estimated Collection
(70% YR1, 20% YR2,
10% YR3) $15.40 $4.76 $0.15
Theatrical Exhibitor
Share (10%) $2.20
DVD Distribution Fee
(35%) $7.70
Return on Investment pg 24
(Better Projections)
Burnt Man - feature (budget $1.5 million)
Sameer Ketkar - executive producer Total Total
Profit: $20.90 million
TELEVISION MARKETS
Pay TV $3
% total gross sales all
markets 4.35%
Network TV $1.50
% total gross sales all
markets 2.17%
Syndicated TV $1.50
% total gross sales all
markets 2.17%
Television Market %
Total Gross Sales 4.35% 8.70%
TOTAL GROSS, ALL
MARKETS $34.00 $66.00 $69.00
Yearly Gross $34.00 $32.00 $3.00
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
Table 4.
(cont'd)
pg 25
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
$ Millions BETTER PROJECTIONS
FEES AND PAYMENTS
DISTRIBUTION FEES
Distributor Gross
Estimated Collection
(70% YR1, 20% YR2,
10% YR3) $23.80 $6.40 $0.30
Theatrical Exhibitor
Share (10%) $3.40
DVD Distribution Fee
(35%) $10.15
Return on Investment pg 26
(Breakeven Projections)
Burnt Man - feature (budget $1.5 million)
Sameer Ketkar - executive producer Total Profit: $0
(cont'd)
pg 27
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3
$ Millions BREAKEVEN PROJECTIONS
FEES AND PAYMENTS
DISTRIBUTION FEES
Distributor Gross
Estimated Collection
(70% YR1, 20% YR2,
10% YR3) $3.57 $0.80 $0.02
Theatrical Exhibitor
Share (10%) $0.51
DVD Distribution Fee
(35%) $1.23
Given the distribution between theatrical, DVD and TV grosses, a total gross of $9.3 million is
needed to break even on Burnt Man. Anything more is profit.
Table 6.
pg 28
Return on Investment
~ Comparable Films ~
($25,000, $50,000, $100,000 investments)
On Burnt Man, the producers will share 30% profits, directors and talent will share 20%,
and investors will share 50%.
Using the Burnt Man business model, the chart below shows how an investment of $25,000,
$50,000, or $100,000 would pay out for five comparable films. PLEASE NOTE, investment
return is profit after the initial investment has already been repaid.
$ Real Values
$100,000
investment % of
budget 8.33% 1.67% 2.08% 6.67% 1.25%
$100,000
Investment
Return $3,152,499.00 $145,958.00 $190,424.00 $450,333.00 $687.50
$50,000 investment
% of budget 4.17% 0.83% 1.04% 3.33% 0.63%
$50,000
investment return ### $73,416.00 $95,212.00 $225,166.00 $343.75
$25,000 investment
% of budget 2.08% 0.42% 0.52% 1.67% 0.31%
$25,000
Investment
Return $786,864.00 $36,708.00 $47,606.00 $112,583.00 $171.88
ROI OVER 3
YEARS 3152.50% 145.96% 190.42% 450.33% 0.69%
For the film Saw, its total net profit after all fees and expenses were paid, was $75,660,000.
The investors' share, using the Burnt Man business model, is 50%, or $37,830,000.
An investment of $100,000 is 8.33% of the budget. For profit participation, the investor
will receive 8.33% of $37,830,000, for a total dividend of $3,152,499. The initial $100,000
will have been repaid earlier.
For a description of how the total profit was calculated for each film, see Table 7.
Table 7.
pg 29
Comparable Films -- Successes
Burnt Man - feature (budget $1.5 million)
Sameer Ketkar - executive producer
This chart describes how the total global profit for 5 sample films was calculated.
The time period is three years.
Theatrical Exhibitor
Share (10%)
Total Global $10.31 $5.70 $8.06 $3.06 $2.27
Revenue $248.05 $99.41 $137.46 $76.55 $41.53
TOTAL PROFIT $75.66 $17.48 $18.31 $13.51 $0.11
Global ROI 6305% 291% 382% 901% 1%
TOTAL PROFIT is Total Global Revenue minus production budget, minus prints and
advertising costs, minus distributor fees, minus DVD distribution fees, minus television
exhibitor fees, minus theatrical exhibitor share.
Total Global Revenue is the domestic box office gross, plus foreign box office gross,
plus domestic and foreign DVD and television grosses.
Table 8.
The five films below are gory, supernatural, or torture-porn films that were not financially
successful. Only one of them turned a profit.
Foreign BoxBox
Worldwide Office $8.28 $2.61 $7.63 $2.77 $4.24
Office $10.91 $5.23 $14.65 $4.10 $11.99
DVD Revenue $10.17 $4.00 $16.13 $3.80 $13.93
Foreign DVD
Revenue $2.00 $2.00 $6.00 $1.50 $5.00
Theatrical Exhibitor
Share (10%)
Total Global $1.09 $0.52 $1.47 $0.41 $1.20
Revenue $24.08 $11.73 $37.28 $9.90 $31.42
TOTAL PROFIT $(16.69) $(0.78) $1.21 $(2.97) $(5.26)
Global ROI -98.19% -27.33% 12.14% -54.00% -35.06%
TOTAL PROFIT is Total Global Revenue minus production budget, minus prints and
advertising costs, minus distributor fees, minus DVD distribution fees, minus television
exhibitor fees, minus theatrical exhibitor share.
Total Global Revenue is the domestic box office gross, plus foreign box office gross,
plus domestic and foreign DVD and television grosses.
Table 9.
POST PRODUCTION
Crew/Equipment 3 weeks $8,000.00
SUBTOTAL: 4 weeks $23,000.00