Chapter 8 - The Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment
Political Ideology and FDI
- Radical View - Pragmatic ationalism - Free !ar"et The Radical View # !ar$ist view% !E&s e$ploit less-developed host co'ntries - E$tract profits - (ive nothing of val'e in e$change - Instr'ment of domination) not development - *eep less-developed co'ntries relatively +ac"ward and dependent on capitalist nations for investment) ,o+s) and technology # -y the end of the ./80s radical view was in retreat - Collapse of comm'nism - -ad economic performance of co'ntries that em+raced the radical view - 1trong economic performance of co'ntries who em+raced capitalism rather than the radical view The Free Market View # ations speciali2e in goods and services that they can prod'ce most efficiently # Reso'rce transfers +enefit and strengthen the host co'ntry # Positive changes in laws and growth of +ilateral agreements attest to strength of free mar"et view # 3ll co'ntries impose some restrictions on FDI Pragmatic Nationalism # FDI has +enefits and costs # 3llow FDI if +enefits o'tweigh costs - -loc" FDI that harms indigeno's ind'stry - Co'rt FDI that is in national interest # Ta$ +rea"s # 1'+sidies The Benefits of FDI to Host Contries # Fo'r main +enefits of FDI for a host co'ntry - Reso'rce-transfer effect - Employment effect - -alance-of-Payments effect - Effect on competition and economic growth # In a free mar"et view - Economists arg'e that the +enefits of FDI so o'tweigh the costs associated with pragmatic nationalism that it is misg'ided - The +est policy wo'ld +e for co'ntries to forgo all intervention in an !E&s investment decisions Resorce!Transfer "ffects # FDI can ma"e a positive contri+'tion to a host economy +y s'pplying - Capital - Technology - !anagement "m#loyment "ffects # -rings ,o+s that otherwise wo'ld not +e created - Direct% 4iring host-co'ntry citi2ens - Indirect% # 5o+s created +y local s'ppliers # 5o+s created +y increased spending +y employees of the m'lti- national enterprise Balance!of!Payments "ffects # -alance-of-Payments 3cco'nts are divided into two main sections - The c'rrent acco'nt records transactions that pertain to three categories% merchandise goods) services) and investment income - The capital acco'nt records transactions that involve the p'rchase or sale of assets # C'rrent acco'nt deficits occ'r when a co'ntry imports more goods) services) and income than it e$ports # C'rrent acco'nt s'rpl'ses occ'r when a co'ntry e$ports more goods) services) and income than it imports # 4ost co'ntry +enefits from initial capital inflow when !C esta+lishes +'siness - 4ost co'ntry records c'rrent acco'nt de+it on repatriated earnings of !C # 4ost co'ntry +enefits if FDI s'+stit'tes for imports of goods and services # 4ost co'ntry +enefits when !C 'ses its foreign s'+sidiary to e$port to other co'ntries "ffect on Com#etition and "conomic $rowth # (reenfield investments increases the amo'nt of competition) which can% - Drive down prices - Increase the economic welfare of cons'mers # Increased competition tends to stim'late capital investments # 6ong-term res'lts may incl'de - Increased prod'ctivity growth - Prod'ct and process innovations - (reater economic growth Costs of FDI to Host Contries # 3dverse effects on competition # 3dverse effects on the +alance of payments - 3fter the initial capital inflow there is normally a s'+se7'ent o'tflow of earnings - Foreign s'+sidiaries co'ld import a s'+stantial n'm+er of inp'ts # ational sovereignty and a'tonomy - 1ome host governments worry that FDI is accompanied +y some loss of economic independence res'lting in the host co'ntry&s economy +eing controlled +y a foreign corporation Benefits of FDI to the Home Contry # Improves +alance of payments for inward flow of foreign earnings # Creates a demand for e$ports8 # E$port demand can create ,o+s # Increased "nowledge from operating in a foreign environment # -enefits the cons'mer thro'gh lower prices # Frees 'p employees and reso'rces for higher val'e activities Costs of FDI to the Home Contry # Can drive o't local competitors or prevent their development # Profits +ro'ght home 9h'rt& :de+it; a host&s capital acco'nt # Parts imported for assem+ly h'rt trade +alance # Can affect sovereignty and national defense The Natre of Negotiation # <+,ective% reach an agreement that +enefits +oth parties # In the international conte$t) we m'st - 'nderstand the infl'ence of norms and val'e systems - +e sensitive to how these factors infl'ence a company&s approach to negotiations Negotiation and Bargaining Power # The o'tcome of any negotiated agreement depends on the relative +argaining power of +oth parties # -argaining power depends on three factors - The val'e each side places on what the other has to offer - The n'm+er of compara+le alternatives availa+le to each side - Each party&s time hori2on -a+ 8 - The Political Economy Investasi 3sing 6angs'ng Ideologi politi" dan FDI - Radical View - Pragmatis asionalisme - Free !ar"et Radi"al View # pandangan !ar$is% !E=s menge"sploitasi "'rang +er"em+ang negara-negara t'an r'mah - 3m+il "e'nt'ngan - -eri"an apa-apa tentang nilai dalam pert'"aran - Instr'men dari dominasi) pem+ang'nan tida" - 5a'h"an negara-negara +er"em+ang relatif ter+ela"ang dan tergant'ng pada negara- negara "apitalis 'nt'" investasi) pe"er,aan) dan te"nologi # Pada a"hir tah'n ./80-an pandangan radi"al di m'nd'r - *er'nt'han "om'nisme - -ad "iner,a e"onomi negara-negara yang mengan't pandangan radi"al - 1trong "iner,a e"onomi negara-negara yang memel'" "apitalisme daripada pandangan radi"al The Free !ar"et View # +arang meng"h's's"an -angsa dan ,asa yang mere"a dapat menghasil"an paling efisien # 1'm+er Daya transfer "e'nt'ngan dan memper"'at negara t'an r'mah # per'+ahan dalam h'"'m positif dan pert'm+'han per,an,ian +ilateral menegas"an "e"'atan pasar +e+as view # 1em'a negara menerap"an +e+erapa pem+atasan FDI Pragmatis asionalisme # FDI memili"i manfaat dan +iaya # Per+oleh"an FDI ,i"a manfaatnya le+ih +esar daripada +iaya - -lo"ir FDI yang mer'gi"an ind'stri pri+'mi - Pengadilan FDI yang ada di dalam "epentingan nasional # Pa,a" istirahat # 1'+sidi !anfaat FDI to 4ost Co'ntries # Empat "e'nt'ngan 'tama FDI 'nt'" negara t'an r'mah - Reso'rce-efe" transfer - Employment efe" - 1aldo-of-efe" Pem+ayaran - Efe" pada persaingan dan pert'm+'han e"onomi # Dalam pasar +e+as melihat - Para e"onom +erpendapat +ahwa manfaat dari FDI ,adi le+ih +esar daripada +iaya yang +er"aitan dengan nasionalisme pragmatis +ahwa it' "elir' - *e+i,a"an ter+ai" +agi negara-negara a"an mengor+an"an sem'a intervensi dalam "ep't'san investasi !E Reso'rce-Transfer Effects # FDI +isa mem+'at "ontri+'si positif "epada e"onomi negara t'an r'mah dengan menyedia"an - !odal - Te"nologi - !ana,emen Employment Effects # !em+awa pe"er,aan yang lain tida" a"an dicipta"an - Direct% 4iring host-warga negara - Tida" 6angs'ng% # 5o+s dicipta"an oleh pemaso" lo"al # Pe"er,aan dicipta"an oleh pening"atan pengel'aran oleh "aryawan dari per'sahaan m'lti-nasional 1aldo-of-Pem+ayaran Effects # -alance-of-Pem+ayaran 3cco'nt di+agi men,adi d'a +agian 'tama - 3cco'nt saat ini mencatat transa"si yang +er"aitan dengan tiga "ategori% +arang +arang) ,asa) dan pendapatan investasi - Para neraca modal mencatat transa"si yang meli+at"an pem+elian ata' pen,'alan aset # C'rrent acco'nt defisit ter,adi "eti"a se+'ah negara mengimpor le+ih +anya" +arang) ,asa) dan pendapatan daripada e"spor # C'rrent acco'nt s'rpl's ter,adi "eti"a se+'ah negara e"spor le+ih +anya" +arang) ,asa) dan pendapatan daripada impor # negara 4ost manfaat dari ar's mas'" modal awal "eti"a !C mendiri"an +isnis - egara 4ost catatan re"ening de+et pada pendapatan dip'lang"an !C # negara 4ost manfaat ,i"a FDI s'+stit'si 'nt'" impor +arang-+arang dan ,asa # negara 4ost manfaat "eti"a !C mengg'na"an ana" per'sahaan l'ar negeri 'nt'" e"spor "e negara-negara lain Efe" Persaingan dan Pert'm+'han E"onomi # investasi (reenfield mening"at"an ,'mlah "ompetisi) yang dapat% - Drive men'r'n"an harga - !ening"at"an "ese,ahteraan e"onomi "ons'men # !ening"atnya persaingan cender'ng 'nt'" merangsang investasi modal # hasil ,ang"a pan,ang dapat melip'ti - Pening"atan pert'm+'han prod'"tivitas - Prod'" dan proses inovasi - (reater pert'm+'han e"onomi -iaya FDI to 4ost Co'ntries # efe" yang mer'gi"an pada persaingan # efe" yang mer'gi"an pada neraca pem+ayaran - 1etelah ar's mas'" modal awal +iasanya ada aliran +eri"'tnya pendapatan - Foreign ana" per'sahaan dapat mengimpor se,'mlah +esar mas'"an # asional "eda'latan dan otonomi - -e+erapa pemerintah host "hawatir +ahwa FDI disertai oleh +e+erapa "ehilangan "emerde"aan e"onomi yang menga"i+at"an pere"onomian negara t'an r'mah di"endali"an oleh per'sahaan asing !anfaat FDI "e 4ome Co'ntry # !ening"at"an neraca pem+ayaran aliran +atin pendapatan asing # !em+'at permintaan 'nt'" e"spor8 # Permintaan e"spor dapat mencipta"an lapangan "er,a # !ening"at"an pengetah'an dari asing yang +eroperasi di ling"'ngan # *e'nt'ngan "ons'men melal'i harga yang le+ih rendah # !em+e+as"an atas "aryawan dan s'm+er daya 'nt'" a"tivitas nilai yang le+ih tinggi -iaya FDI "e 4ome Co'ntry # Dapat meng'sir pesaing lo"al ata' mencegah per"em+angan mere"a # *e'nt'ngan mem+awa p'lang =mel'"ai= :de+et; s'at' neraca modal t'an # Parts diimpor 'nt'" pera"itan neraca perdagangan terl'"a # Dapat mempengar'hi "eda'latan dan pertahanan nasional The at're of egotiation # 1asaran% mencapai "esepa"atan yang meng'nt'ng"an "ed'a +elah piha" # Dalam "onte"s internasional) "ita har's - !emahami pengar'h norma-norma dan sistem nilai - Pe"a terhadap +agaimana fa"tor-fa"tor terse+'t mempengar'hi pende"atan per'sahaan 'nt'" negosiasi egosiasi dan -argaining Power # 4asil dari setiap perset','an dinegosiasi"an +ergant'ng pada daya tawar relatif dari "ed'a +elah piha" # daya Tawar tergant'ng pada tiga fa"tor - ilai masing-masing sisi tempat pada apa yang ditawar"an lain - 5'mlah se+anding alternatif yang tersedia 'nt'" masing-masing sisi - 1etiap partai hori2on wa"t'