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Peru GDP 1Q2014

by Eduardo Petazze
In the 1Q2014 GDP of Peru grew by 4.75% Y/Y, NSA (-0.75% Q/Q, SA own estimate)
By 2014 growth of between 4.0% to 4.8% is expected, since an increase of 5.76% / 5.82% in 2013 (INEI / Central Bank)

INEI data
The INEI release its estimate of the GDP for the 1Q2014
Links: INEI press release pdf, 2 pages INEI Technical Report pdf, 49 pages
They had previously released its monthly proxy indicator of the national production for March 2014 (pdf, 50 pages)
The following summary includes our projection for the rest of the year

Gross data
NSA
Private Public
2007
192,316 33,424
2008
209,377 35,226
2009
215,279 39,811
2010
234,031 42,036
2011
248,045 44,063
2012
263,183 47,634
2013
277,236 50,802
2014
289,572 55,250
NSA
Private Public
2007Q1
46,181
7,999
2007Q2
47,902
7,888
2007Q3
48,878
8,475
2007Q4
49,355
9,062
2008Q1
50,176
8,446
2008Q2
53,701
8,409
2008Q3
53,685
8,923
2008Q4
51,815
9,448
2009Q1
51,806
9,405
2009Q2
54,145
9,432
2009Q3
55,210 10,205
2009Q4
54,118 10,769
2010Q1
55,143 10,137
2010Q2
59,025
9,873
2010Q3
60,848 10,588
2010Q4
59,015 11,438
2011Q1
59,634 10,135
2011Q2
63,479 10,368
2011Q3
63,389 11,266
2011Q4
61,543 12,294
2012Q1
63,409 10,716
2012Q2
67,003 11,276
2012Q3
66,892 11,997
2012Q4
65,879 13,645
2013Q1
66,574 11,576
2013Q2
70,587 12,160
2013Q3
70,322 12,706
2013Q4
69,753 14,360
2014Q1
69,925 13,073
2014Q2
73,651 13,164
2014Q3
73,803 13,892
2014Q4
72,193 15,121
Last data
Own estimate
NSA
Private Public
2008
8.87% 5.39%
2009
2.82% 13.02%
2010
8.71% 5.59%
2011
5.99% 4.82%
2012
6.10% 8.10%
2013
5.34% 6.65%
2014
4.45% 8.76%
NSA
Private Public
2008Q1
8.65% 5.59%
2008Q2 12.11%
6.60%
2008Q3
9.83% 5.29%
2008Q4
4.98% 4.26%
2009Q1
3.25% 11.35%
2009Q2
0.83% 12.17%
2009Q3
2.84% 14.37%
2009Q4
4.44% 13.98%
2010Q1
6.44% 7.78%
2010Q2
9.01% 4.68%
2010Q3 10.21%
3.75%
2010Q4
9.05% 6.21%
2011Q1
8.14% -0.02%
2011Q2
7.55% 5.01%
2011Q3
4.18% 6.40%
2011Q4
4.28% 7.48%
2012Q1
6.33% 5.73%
2012Q2
5.55% 8.76%
2012Q3
5.53% 6.49%
2012Q4
7.05% 10.99%
2013Q1
4.99% 8.03%
2013Q2
5.35% 7.84%
2013Q3
5.13% 5.91%
2013Q4
5.88% 5.24%
2014Q1
5.03% 12.93%
2014Q2
4.34% 8.26%
2014Q3
4.95% 9.33%
2014Q4
3.50% 5.30%

GCF
Exports Imports
70,436 100,774
77,257
92,260 108,616
96,556
73,443 105,185
81,134
100,474 108,498 102,659
110,663 120,288 116,007
123,596 124,988 128,128
137,789 121,111 130,835
147,835 117,908 136,272
GCF
Exports Imports
16,148
22,161
17,578
19,420
24,117
18,268
16,624
26,507
20,522
18,244
27,989
20,889
20,193
26,182
22,675
25,324
26,643
24,444
22,636
28,054
25,633
24,107
27,737
23,804
19,139
23,994
19,459
18,767
25,378
18,869
16,447
26,616
20,513
19,090
29,197
22,293
22,321
25,299
23,018
25,864
26,147
23,594
24,359
27,991
27,739
27,930
29,061
28,308
25,921
28,042
26,654
27,467
30,382
29,272
26,701
31,112
30,086
30,574
30,752
29,995
25,334
33,174
29,847
32,686
29,229
31,314
32,597
31,591
34,209
32,979
30,994
32,758
31,908
29,417
32,048
36,268
29,425
32,733
33,998
31,615
34,032
35,615
30,654
32,022
33,447
28,422
32,336
38,669
28,425
33,792
36,733
30,598
35,994
38,986
30,462
34,150

GCF
Exports Imports
30.98%
7.78% 24.98%
-20.40%
-3.16% -15.97%
36.81%
3.15% 26.53%
10.14% 10.87% 13.00%
11.69%
3.91% 10.45%
11.48%
-3.10%
2.11%
7.29%
-2.65%
4.16%
GCF
Exports Imports
25.05% 18.14% 29.00%
30.40% 10.47% 33.81%
36.16%
5.84% 24.90%
32.14%
-0.90% 13.95%
-5.22%
-8.36% -14.18%
-25.89%
-4.75% -22.81%
-27.34%
-5.13% -19.97%
-20.81%
5.26%
-6.35%
16.63%
5.44% 18.29%
37.82%
3.03% 25.04%
48.11%
5.17% 35.23%
46.31%
-0.47% 26.98%
16.13% 10.84% 15.80%
6.20% 16.20% 24.07%
9.61% 11.15%
8.46%
9.47%
5.82%
5.96%
-2.26% 18.30% 11.98%
19.00%
-3.80%
6.98%
22.08%
1.54% 13.70%
7.87%
0.79%
9.21%
25.95% -11.33%
7.37%
10.96%
0.67%
4.53%
4.30%
0.08%
-0.52%
7.99%
-1.10%
-2.25%
4.82%
-3.38%
0.90%
6.62%
-3.40%
3.23%
8.05%
-3.22%
5.77%
9.47%
-0.63%
6.65%

GDP
Taxes
319,693 26,503
348,923 30,079
352,584 29,831
382,380 33,847
407,052 35,770
431,273 38,246
456,103 39,986
474,292 41,250
GDP
Taxes
74,911
6,346
81,059
6,629
79,962
6,800
83,761
6,728
82,322
7,287
89,633
7,591
87,665
7,779
89,303
7,422
84,885
7,557
88,853
7,280
87,965
7,617
90,881
7,377
89,882
7,996
97,315
8,591
96,047
8,740
99,136
8,520
97,078
8,991
102,424
8,838
102,382
9,185
105,168
8,756
102,786
9,373
108,880
9,503
108,868
9,731
110,739
9,639
107,427
9,883
115,707 10,124
114,609 10,060
118,360
9,919
112,531 10,127
120,118 10,385
119,032 10,500
122,612 10,238

GDP
Taxes
9.14% 13.49%
1.05% -0.82%
8.45% 13.46%
6.45%
5.68%
5.95%
6.92%
5.76%
4.55%
3.99%
3.16%
GDP
Taxes
9.89% 14.83%
10.58% 14.51%
9.63% 14.40%
6.62% 10.32%
3.11%
3.71%
-0.87% -4.10%
0.34% -2.08%
1.77% -0.61%
5.89%
5.81%
9.52% 18.01%
9.19% 14.74%
9.08% 15.49%
8.01% 12.44%
5.25%
2.88%
6.60%
5.09%
6.08%
2.77%
5.88%
4.25%
6.30%
7.52%
6.34%
5.94%
5.30% 10.08%
4.52%
5.44%
6.27%
6.53%
5.27%
3.38%
6.88%
2.90%
4.75%
2.47%
3.81%
2.58%
3.86%
4.38%
3.59%
3.22%

GVA
293,190
318,844
322,753
348,533
371,282
393,027
416,117
433,042
GVA
68,565
74,430
73,162
77,033
75,035
82,042
79,886
81,881
77,328
81,573
80,348
83,504
81,886
88,724
87,307
90,616
88,087
93,586
93,197
96,412
93,413
99,377
99,137
101,100
97,544
105,583
104,549
108,441
102,404
109,732
108,532
112,374

INEI data Million (2007) nuevos soles, NSA


Agri
Fish
Mining Mfg. Constr. Electr. Trade Transp. Hotels
19,074
2,364 45,892 52,807 16,317
5,505 32,537
15,885
9,143
20,600
2,436 49,599 57,354 19,061
5,950 36,105
17,250 10,126
20,873
2,352 50,076 53,502 20,360
6,013 35,936
17,176 10,216
21,766
1,891 50,714 59,255 23,993
6,501 40,420
19,232 11,061
22,658
2,892 51,043 64,330 24,848
6,994 44,034
21,491 12,265
23,991
1,960 52,473 65,265 28,779
7,401 47,218
23,373 13,554
24,329
2,315 55,026 69,002 31,392
7,811 49,995
24,918 14,423
24,804
2,193 56,127 70,077 33,596
8,185 52,422
26,062 15,245
Agri
Fish
Mining Mfg. Constr. Electr. Trade Transp. Hotels
4,222
376 10,658 12,009
3,533
1,353
7,351
3,877
2,252
6,493
1,025 11,055 13,678
3,714
1,349
8,018
3,870
2,259
4,262
217 11,893 12,896
4,250
1,359
8,109
4,051
2,345
4,097
746 12,286 14,224
4,820
1,444
9,059
4,087
2,287
4,450
394 11,577 13,578
4,209
1,487
8,047
4,220
2,487
7,024
1,033 12,161 15,171
4,584
1,491
9,194
4,248
2,522
4,715
235 12,693 14,059
5,037
1,499
9,198
4,410
2,609
4,411
774 13,168 14,546
5,231
1,473
9,666
4,372
2,508
4,572
308 12,189 13,089
4,407
1,518
8,145
4,241
2,536
7,060
1,062 12,240 13,527
4,567
1,474
8,695
4,231
2,549
4,769
241 12,734 12,825
5,342
1,468
9,193
4,313
2,575
4,472
741 12,913 14,061
6,044
1,553
9,903
4,391
2,556
4,770
378 12,289 13,611
5,047
1,592
8,932
4,671
2,656
7,322
800 12,731 15,240
5,660
1,606
9,894
4,728
2,762
4,869
320 12,664 14,826
6,269
1,596 10,411
4,840
2,846
4,805
393 13,030 15,578
7,017
1,707 11,183
4,993
2,797
4,958
542 12,464 15,415
5,325
1,712
9,851
5,269
2,957
7,522
1,085 12,411 16,313
5,570
1,727 10,768
5,337
3,045
5,257
400 12,903 16,058
6,359
1,744 11,359
5,393
3,162
4,921
865 13,265 16,544
7,594
1,811 12,056
5,492
3,101
5,128
358 12,762 15,712
6,116
1,836 10,739
5,712
3,295
8,188
812 12,920 16,483
6,583
1,838 11,602
5,790
3,390
5,407
401 13,408 16,422
7,632
1,833 12,146
5,882
3,460
5,268
389 13,383 16,648
8,448
1,894 12,731
5,989
3,409
5,408
388 12,592 15,995
6,765
1,921 11,304
6,107
3,513
8,155
719 13,828 17,409
7,620
1,947 12,300
6,286
3,635
5,380
392 14,227 17,124
8,215
1,939 12,765
6,255
3,665
5,386
816 14,379 18,474
8,792
2,004 13,626
6,270
3,610
5,449
391 13,182 16,465
7,126
2,032 11,896
6,353
3,718
8,391
800 13,822 17,780
7,935
2,036 12,964
6,513
3,835
5,546
315 14,368 17,306
8,882
2,022 13,380
6,568
3,883
5,418
686 14,754 18,526
9,653
2,095 14,183
6,628
3,808

GVA
8.75%
1.23%
7.99%
6.53%
5.86%
5.87%
4.07%
GVA
9.44%
10.23%
9.19%
6.29%
3.06%
-0.57%
0.58%
1.98%
5.89%
8.77%
8.66%
8.52%
7.57%
5.48%
6.75%
6.40%
6.05%
6.19%
6.37%
4.86%
4.42%
6.24%
5.46%
7.26%
4.98%
3.93%
3.81%
3.63%

INEI data Y/Y


Fish
Mining Mfg. Constr. Electr. Trade Transp. Hotels
3.05% 8.08% 8.61% 16.82%
8.08% 10.97%
8.59% 10.75%
-3.45% 0.96% -6.72%
6.81%
1.06% -0.47% -0.43%
0.89%
-19.60% 1.27% 10.75% 17.84%
8.12% 12.48% 11.97%
8.27%
52.93% 0.65% 8.56%
3.56%
7.58%
8.94% 11.75% 10.89%
-32.23% 2.80% 1.45% 15.82%
5.82%
7.23%
8.76% 10.51%
18.11% 4.87% 5.73%
9.08%
5.54%
5.88%
6.61%
6.41%
-5.29% 2.00% 1.56%
7.02%
4.79%
4.85%
4.59%
5.70%
Fish
Mining Mfg. Constr. Electr. Trade Transp. Hotels
4.79% 8.62% 13.07% 19.13%
9.90%
9.47%
8.85% 10.44%
0.78% 10.00% 10.92% 23.42% 10.53% 14.67%
9.77% 11.64%
8.29% 6.73% 9.02% 18.52% 10.30% 13.43%
8.86% 11.26%
3.75% 7.18% 2.26%
8.53%
2.01%
6.70%
6.97%
9.66%
-21.83% 5.29% -3.60%
4.70%
2.08%
1.22%
0.50%
1.97%
2.81% 0.65% -10.84% -0.37% -1.14% -5.43% -0.40%
1.07%
2.55% 0.32% -8.78%
6.06% -2.07% -0.05% -2.20% -1.30%
-4.26% -1.94% -3.33% 15.54%
5.43%
2.45%
0.43%
1.91%
22.73% 0.82% 3.99% 14.52%
4.87%
9.66% 10.14%
4.73%
-24.67% 4.01% 12.66% 23.93%
8.96% 13.79% 11.75%
8.36%
32.78% -0.55% 15.60% 17.35%
8.72% 13.25% 12.22% 10.52%
-46.96% 0.91% 10.79% 16.10%
9.92% 12.93% 13.71%
9.43%
43.39% 1.42% 13.25%
5.51%
7.54% 10.29% 12.80% 11.33%
35.63% -2.51% 7.04% -1.59%
7.53%
8.83% 12.88% 10.25%
25.00% 1.89% 8.31%
1.44%
9.27%
9.11% 11.43% 11.10%
120.10% 1.80% 6.20%
8.22%
6.09%
7.81%
9.99% 10.87%
-33.95% 2.39% 1.93% 14.85%
7.24%
9.01%
8.41% 11.43%
-25.16% 4.10% 1.04% 18.19%
6.43%
7.75%
8.49% 11.33%
0.25% 3.91% 2.27% 20.02%
5.10%
6.93%
9.07%
9.42%
-55.03% 0.89% 0.63% 11.25%
4.58%
5.60%
9.05%
9.93%
8.38% -1.33% 1.80% 10.61%
4.63%
5.26%
6.92%
6.62%
-11.45% 7.03% 5.62% 15.75%
5.93%
6.02%
8.57%
7.23%
-2.24% 6.11% 4.27%
7.64%
5.78%
5.10%
6.34%
5.92%
109.77% 7.44% 10.97%
4.07%
5.81%
7.03%
4.69%
5.90%
0.77% 4.69% 2.94%
5.34%
5.78%
5.24%
4.03%
5.84%
11.33% -0.04% 2.13%
4.14%
4.56%
5.40%
3.61%
5.50%
-19.64% 0.99% 1.06%
8.12%
4.29%
4.81%
5.01%
5.96%
-15.92% 2.61% 0.28%
9.79%
4.55%
4.08%
5.70%
5.50%

Agri
8.00%
1.33%
4.28%
4.10%
5.88%
1.41%
1.95%
Agri
5.40%
8.18%
10.63%
7.66%
2.74%
0.51%
1.15%
1.38%
4.33%
3.71%
2.10%
7.45%
3.94%
2.73%
7.97%
2.41%
3.43%
8.85%
2.85%
7.05%
5.46%
-0.40%
-0.50%
2.24%
0.76%
2.90%
3.08%
0.60%

Info.
Finance Business Public
8,517 10,279
13,555 13,723
9,958 10,941
15,203 14,786
10,777 11,819
15,514 17,482
11,858 13,016
17,362 18,843
13,235 14,404
18,886 19,678
14,486 15,687
20,487 20,803
15,698 17,331
21,721 21,889
16,720 18,851
23,106 22,761
Info.
Finance Business Public
1,997
2,588
3,425
3,296
2,074
2,562
3,435
3,225
2,145
2,721
3,335
3,546
2,301
2,408
3,360
3,656
2,569
2,723
3,720
3,519
2,381
2,714
3,921
3,420
2,434
2,904
3,810
3,767
2,574
2,600
3,752
4,080
2,780
3,018
3,900
4,142
2,661
2,987
4,073
4,082
2,687
3,081
3,767
4,538
2,649
2,733
3,774
4,720
2,901
3,339
4,219
4,615
2,865
3,284
4,534
4,385
2,998
3,419
4,216
4,788
3,094
2,974
4,393
5,055
3,396
3,690
4,645
4,438
3,259
3,617
4,957
4,635
3,337
3,816
4,619
5,106
3,243
3,281
4,665
5,499
3,772
3,950
5,109
4,831
3,521
3,933
5,392
4,884
3,552
4,177
4,954
5,326
3,641
3,627
5,032
5,762
4,096
4,272
5,390
5,092
3,822
4,333
5,673
5,139
3,812
4,628
5,292
5,603
3,968
4,098
5,366
6,055
4,347
4,823
5,806
5,352
4,107
4,723
6,062
5,359
4,096
4,940
5,586
5,816
4,170
4,365
5,653
6,234

Other
47,592
49,475
50,657
52,621
54,524
57,550
60,267
62,893
Other
11,628
11,673
12,033
12,258
12,055
12,178
12,516
12,726
12,483
12,365
12,815
12,994
12,866
12,913
13,245
13,597
13,425
13,340
13,684
14,075
14,093
14,041
14,537
14,879
14,701
14,717
15,252
15,597
15,463
15,406
15,824
16,201

Info.
Finance Business Public Other
16.92%
6.44%
12.16%
7.75% 3.96%
8.22%
8.02%
2.05% 18.23% 2.39%
10.03% 10.13%
11.91%
7.79% 3.88%
11.61% 10.66%
8.78%
4.43% 3.62%
9.45%
8.91%
8.48%
5.72% 5.55%
8.37% 10.48%
6.02%
5.22% 4.72%
6.51%
8.77%
6.38%
3.98% 4.36%
Info.
Finance Business Public Other
28.64%
5.22%
8.61%
6.77% 3.67%
14.80%
5.93%
14.15%
6.05% 4.33%
13.47%
6.73%
14.24%
6.23% 4.01%
11.86%
7.97%
11.67% 11.60% 3.82%
8.21% 10.83%
4.84% 17.70% 3.55%
11.76% 10.06%
3.88% 19.36% 1.54%
10.39%
6.10%
-1.13% 20.47% 2.39%
2.91%
5.12%
0.59% 15.69% 2.11%
4.35% 10.64%
8.18% 11.42% 3.07%
7.67%
9.94%
11.32%
7.42% 4.43%
11.57% 10.97%
11.92%
5.51% 3.36%
16.80%
8.82%
16.40%
7.10% 4.64%
17.06% 10.51%
10.10% -3.84% 4.34%
13.75% 10.14%
9.33%
5.70% 3.31%
11.31% 11.61%
9.56%
6.64% 3.31%
4.82% 10.32%
6.19%
8.78% 3.52%
11.07%
7.05%
9.99%
8.86% 4.98%
8.04%
8.74%
8.78%
5.37% 5.25%
6.44%
9.46%
7.25%
4.31% 6.23%
12.27% 10.55%
7.87%
4.78% 5.71%
8.59%
8.15%
5.50%
5.40% 4.31%
8.55% 10.17%
5.21%
5.22% 4.81%
7.32% 10.80%
6.82%
5.20% 4.92%
8.98% 12.99%
6.64%
5.09% 4.83%
6.13% 12.90%
7.72%
5.11% 5.18%
7.45%
9.00%
6.85%
4.28% 4.68%
7.46%
6.74%
5.55%
3.79% 3.75%
5.09%
6.52%
5.35%
2.96% 3.87%

Seasonally adjusted data (own estimate)


SA
Private Public
2007Q1
47,184
8,245
2007Q2
46,705
8,230
2007Q3
47,992
8,417
2007Q4
50,435
8,532
2008Q1
51,184
8,616
2008Q2
52,510
8,764
2008Q3
52,595
8,826
2008Q4
53,088
9,019
2009Q1
53,015
9,572
2009Q2
52,820
9,829
2009Q3
54,143 10,161
2009Q4
55,301 10,249
2010Q1
56,394 10,499
2010Q2
57,910 10,385
2010Q3
59,499 10,445
2010Q4
60,228 10,707
2011Q1
60,931 10,687
2011Q2
61,944 10,901
2011Q3
62,274 11,198
2011Q4
62,896 11,278
2012Q1
64,623 11,486
2012Q2
65,229 11,782
2012Q3
66,120 11,969
2012Q4
67,211 12,397
2013Q1
67,786 12,339
2013Q2
68,977 12,696
2013Q3
69,550 12,739
2013Q4
70,923 13,029
2014Q1
71,285 13,751
2014Q2
72,118 13,803
2014Q3
72,529 13,798
2014Q4
73,639 13,898
Last data
Own estimate

GCF
Exports Imports
16,892
23,234
18,356
18,383
24,692
18,700
17,519
26,036
19,775
17,642
26,812
20,426
21,197
27,627
23,733
23,859
27,344
25,000
23,875
27,371
24,579
23,329
26,274
23,244
19,992
25,337
20,322
17,572
26,020
19,468
17,420
26,155
19,686
18,458
27,674
21,659
22,490
26,841
23,941
25,043
26,601
24,435
26,043
27,424
26,916
26,899
27,632
27,368
27,824
28,194
27,763
26,148
31,173
29,762
27,258
30,544
28,793
29,433
30,378
29,690
27,263
33,398
30,819
31,194
30,004
31,204
33,020
30,707
32,937
32,120
30,878
33,168
34,612
29,330
32,925
34,142
30,719
33,040
34,095
30,729
32,556
34,940
30,333
32,313
35,546
28,906
33,454
36,830
29,362
34,354
37,588
29,810
34,494
37,871
29,830
33,970

Seasonally adjusted data (own estimate), based in INEI data Million (2007) nuevos soles
GDP
Taxes
GVA
Agri
Fish
Mining Mfg. Constr. Electr. Trade Transp. Hotels
77,198
6,292 70,907 4,772
598 10,978 12,442
3,945
1,332
7,992
3,848
2,244
79,310
6,608 72,703 4,798
642 11,234 13,290
3,960
1,356
8,074
3,895
2,249
80,188
6,664 73,524 4,706
444 11,759 13,160
4,100
1,380
7,960
4,045
2,310
82,996
6,939 76,057 4,799
680 11,922 13,915
4,313
1,436
8,510
4,098
2,340
84,891
7,211 77,680 5,043
658 11,983 14,072
4,634
1,459
8,779
4,211
2,474
87,477
7,571 79,906 5,156
602 12,377 14,640
4,840
1,495
9,183
4,281
2,511
88,088
7,628 80,460 5,195
551 12,532 14,464
4,836
1,520
9,056
4,386
2,575
88,467
7,668 80,798 5,207
626 12,706 14,178
4,750
1,476
9,087
4,371
2,566
87,594
7,549 80,045 5,167
498 12,601 13,618
4,921
1,494
8,886
4,221
2,531
86,774
7,222 79,551 5,195
644 12,393 13,040
4,826
1,480
8,717
4,268
2,536
88,193
7,450 80,742 5,270
530 12,591 13,115
5,136
1,491
9,028
4,294
2,533
90,024
7,609 82,414 5,241
680 12,490 13,729
5,477
1,547
9,304
4,393
2,616
92,283
7,883 84,400 5,362
523 12,561 14,032
5,691
1,573
9,695
4,609
2,650
95,504
8,557 86,947 5,422
462 12,896 14,842
6,097
1,614 10,029
4,729
2,738
96,495
8,589 87,906 5,373
571 12,586 15,143
6,089
1,633 10,228
4,873
2,812
98,098
8,818 89,280 5,610
336 12,671 15,239
6,115
1,681 10,469
5,021
2,861
99,873
8,968 90,905 5,601
720 12,707 15,927
6,039
1,697 10,660
5,202
2,956
100,404
8,776 91,628 5,552
678 12,531 15,906
5,986
1,731 10,878
5,334
3,018
102,481
9,029 93,451 5,815
595 12,798 16,134
6,174
1,776 11,133
5,427
3,113
104,294
8,996 95,298 5,691
899 13,007 16,363
6,649
1,790 11,363
5,529
3,177
105,951
9,266 96,684 5,803
498 13,215 16,307
6,883
1,823 11,599
5,662
3,291
107,006
9,464 97,542 6,081
549 13,014 16,220
7,007
1,839 11,725
5,750
3,356
108,879
9,634 99,245 6,023
582 13,159 16,506
7,409
1,859 11,919
5,914
3,419
109,438
9,882 99,556 6,084
331 13,085 16,232
7,479
1,880 11,975
6,047
3,487
111,141
9,854 101,287 6,127
566 13,147 16,721
7,600
1,907 12,222
6,083
3,516
113,493 10,024 103,468 6,006
492 13,826 17,100
7,980
1,943 12,399
6,235
3,587
114,557
9,986 104,571 6,023
543 13,940 17,235
7,909
1,970 12,543
6,279
3,628
116,912 10,121 106,791 6,173
713 14,113 17,946
7,902
1,992 12,831
6,322
3,691
116,034 10,067 105,967 6,168
563 13,626 17,111
8,018
2,014 12,890
6,306
3,718
117,759 10,292 107,468 6,186
516 13,893 17,339
8,404
2,033 13,042
6,478
3,788
119,230 10,379 108,852 6,175
496 14,188 17,518
8,602
2,060 13,153
6,604
3,841
121,268 10,513 110,755 6,275
618 14,419 18,110
8,572
2,078 13,337
6,674
3,898

SA
Private Public
2008Q1
1.49% 0.98%
2008Q2
2.59% 1.71%
2008Q3
0.16% 0.71%
2008Q4
0.94% 2.18%
2009Q1
-0.14% 6.13%
2009Q2
-0.37% 2.69%
2009Q3
2.50% 3.37%
2009Q4
2.14% 0.87%
2010Q1
1.98% 2.44%
2010Q2
2.69% -1.08%
2010Q3
2.74% 0.58%
2010Q4
1.23% 2.51%
2011Q1
1.17% -0.19%
2011Q2
1.66% 2.00%
2011Q3
0.53% 2.72%
2011Q4
1.00% 0.71%
2012Q1
2.75% 1.85%
2012Q2
0.94% 2.58%
2012Q3
1.37% 1.59%
2012Q4
1.65% 3.58%
2013Q1
0.86% -0.47%
2013Q2
1.76% 2.89%
2013Q3
0.83% 0.34%
2013Q4
1.97% 2.28%
2014Q1
0.51% 5.55%
2014Q2
1.17% 0.37%
2014Q3
0.57% -0.03%
2014Q4
1.53% 0.73%

GCF
Exports Imports
20.15%
3.04% 16.19%
12.56% -1.02%
5.34%
0.07%
0.10% -1.68%
-2.29% -4.01% -5.43%
-14.30% -3.57% -12.57%
-12.11%
2.70% -4.20%
-0.87%
0.52%
1.12%
5.96%
5.81% 10.03%
21.84% -3.01% 10.53%
11.35% -0.89%
2.06%
3.99%
3.09% 10.15%
3.29%
0.76%
1.68%
3.44%
2.03%
1.44%
-6.02% 10.57%
7.20%
4.24% -2.02% -3.26%
7.98% -0.54%
3.12%
-7.37%
9.94%
3.80%
14.42% -10.16%
1.25%
5.85%
2.34%
5.56%
-2.72%
0.56%
0.70%
7.76% -5.01% -0.73%
-1.36%
4.73%
0.35%
-0.14%
0.03% -1.47%
2.48% -1.29% -0.75%
1.73% -4.71%
3.53%
3.61%
1.58%
2.69%
2.06%
1.52%
0.41%
0.75%
0.07% -1.52%

GDP
Taxes
2.28% 3.92%
3.05% 5.00%
0.70% 0.75%
0.43% 0.53%
-0.99% -1.55%
-0.94% -4.33%
1.64% 3.16%
2.08% 2.13%
2.51% 3.60%
3.49% 8.55%
1.04% 0.37%
1.66% 2.67%
1.81% 1.70%
0.53% -2.14%
2.07% 2.89%
1.77% -0.37%
1.59% 3.00%
1.00% 2.14%
1.75% 1.79%
0.51% 2.58%
1.56% -0.28%
2.12% 1.73%
0.94% -0.38%
2.06% 1.35%
-0.75% -0.53%
1.49% 2.23%
1.25% 0.85%
1.71% 1.29%

GVA
2.13%
2.86%
0.69%
0.42%
-0.93%
-0.62%
1.50%
2.07%
2.41%
3.02%
1.10%
1.56%
1.82%
0.80%
1.99%
1.98%
1.45%
0.89%
1.75%
0.31%
1.74%
2.15%
1.07%
2.12%
-0.77%
1.42%
1.29%
1.75%

Info.
Finance Business Public
1,879
2,461
3,364
3,361
2,106
2,528
3,264
3,421
2,177
2,609
3,434
3,481
2,356
2,680
3,493
3,460
2,400
2,609
3,654
3,554
2,419
2,681
3,731
3,622
2,496
2,791
3,905
3,716
2,643
2,861
3,913
3,894
2,635
2,877
3,844
4,158
2,713
2,949
3,879
4,336
2,733
2,961
3,871
4,472
2,696
3,032
3,920
4,515
2,759
3,144
4,139
4,754
2,883
3,215
4,276
4,629
3,018
3,297
4,380
4,687
3,197
3,360
4,568
4,772
3,225
3,492
4,568
4,648
3,311
3,553
4,679
4,913
3,376
3,648
4,801
5,007
3,323
3,712
4,837
5,111
3,520
3,790
5,013
5,151
3,573
3,877
5,100
5,162
3,639
3,971
5,140
5,208
3,754
4,049
5,233
5,282
3,830
4,125
5,292
5,366
3,885
4,264
5,360
5,434
3,928
4,396
5,493
5,503
4,055
4,545
5,576
5,586
4,094
4,612
5,709
5,595
4,158
4,635
5,720
5,655
4,188
4,725
5,801
5,712
4,280
4,879
5,877
5,798

Other
11,692
11,885
11,959
12,056
12,150
12,368
12,436
12,521
12,593
12,575
12,716
12,774
12,909
13,115
13,217
13,380
13,464
13,559
13,655
13,846
14,128
14,288
14,496
14,638
14,786
14,956
15,179
15,346
15,543
15,621
15,788
15,940

Seasonally adjusted data (own estimate),Q/Q


Agri
Fish
Mining Mfg. Constr. Electr. Trade Transp. Hotels
5.08% -3.34% 0.52% 1.13% 7.45% 1.62% 3.17%
2.76% 5.72%
2.23% -8.48% 3.29% 4.03% 4.45% 2.45% 4.60%
1.68% 1.48%
0.76% -8.43% 1.25% -1.20% -0.08% 1.65% -1.38%
2.45% 2.56%
0.22% 13.51% 1.39% -1.98% -1.78% -2.87% 0.33% -0.34% -0.34%
-0.76% -20.39% -0.83% -3.95% 3.60% 1.21% -2.20% -3.44% -1.39%
0.55% 29.40% -1.65% -4.25% -1.94% -0.92% -1.90%
1.10% 0.23%
1.43% -17.76% 1.60% 0.58% 6.43% 0.76% 3.57%
0.62% -0.13%
-0.55% 28.28% -0.80% 4.68% 6.63% 3.75% 3.05%
2.32% 3.28%
2.31% -23.08% 0.57% 2.20% 3.92% 1.63% 4.20%
4.90% 1.31%
1.11% -11.72% 2.66% 5.77% 7.14% 2.66% 3.45%
2.61% 3.32%
-0.90% 23.63% -2.40% 2.03% -0.13% 1.15% 1.98%
3.05% 2.69%
4.41% -41.14% 0.68% 0.64% 0.42% 2.94% 2.36%
3.02% 1.74%
-0.16% 114.37% 0.28% 4.51% -1.25% 0.95% 1.82%
3.61% 3.33%
-0.87% -5.86% -1.38% -0.13% -0.87% 1.99% 2.05%
2.53% 2.10%
4.73% -12.16% 2.13% 1.44% 3.13% 2.62% 2.34%
1.74% 3.14%
-2.13% 50.95% 1.63% 1.42% 7.71% 0.81% 2.06%
1.88% 2.07%
1.97% -44.56% 1.60% -0.35% 3.52% 1.83% 2.08%
2.42% 3.58%
4.79% 10.20% -1.52% -0.53% 1.80% 0.89% 1.08%
1.54% 1.98%
-0.96%
5.91% 1.12% 1.76% 5.74% 1.08% 1.66%
2.85% 1.87%
1.02% -43.04% -0.57% -1.66% 0.93% 1.09% 0.47%
2.25% 2.00%
0.70% 70.93% 0.47% 3.01% 1.63% 1.44% 2.06%
0.59% 0.81%
-1.97% -13.07% 5.17% 2.27% 5.00% 1.90% 1.45%
2.50% 2.03%
0.29% 10.39% 0.82% 0.79% -0.89% 1.38% 1.16%
0.70% 1.15%
2.49% 31.32% 1.24% 4.13% -0.10% 1.13% 2.30%
0.69% 1.74%
-0.08% -21.07% -3.45% -4.66% 1.48% 1.11% 0.46% -0.25% 0.71%
0.29% -8.34% 1.95% 1.33% 4.80% 0.96% 1.18%
2.72% 1.90%
-0.18% -3.96% 2.13% 1.03% 2.36% 1.30% 0.85%
1.95% 1.40%
1.62% 24.57% 1.63% 3.38% -0.34% 0.90% 1.39%
1.05% 1.47%

Info.
Finance Business Public
1.88% -2.67%
4.62% 2.73%
0.80%
2.76%
2.11% 1.91%
3.17%
4.10%
4.64% 2.60%
5.90%
2.50%
0.21% 4.80%
-0.30%
0.58%
-1.75% 6.78%
2.95%
2.50%
0.90% 4.28%
0.74%
0.39%
-0.19% 3.14%
-1.35%
2.41%
1.25% 0.95%
2.33%
3.69%
5.58% 5.30%
4.50%
2.26%
3.31% -2.62%
4.69%
2.56%
2.44% 1.24%
5.93%
1.89%
4.30% 1.82%
0.85%
3.93%
0.01% -2.61%
2.69%
1.75%
2.43% 5.70%
1.94%
2.68%
2.61% 1.92%
-1.57%
1.76%
0.75% 2.08%
5.92%
2.11%
3.64% 0.79%
1.52%
2.28%
1.72% 0.21%
1.85%
2.44%
0.80% 0.88%
3.14%
1.95%
1.80% 1.42%
2.05%
1.89%
1.12% 1.59%
1.41%
3.37%
1.29% 1.27%
1.13%
3.10%
2.48% 1.28%
3.21%
3.39%
1.50% 1.51%
0.96%
1.46%
2.39% 0.17%
1.58%
0.51%
0.19% 1.06%
0.72%
1.93%
1.43% 1.02%
2.20%
3.27%
1.30% 1.51%

Other
0.79%
1.79%
0.55%
0.68%
0.57%
-0.14%
1.12%
0.46%
1.06%
1.60%
0.78%
1.23%
0.63%
0.70%
0.71%
1.40%
2.04%
1.13%
1.45%
0.98%
1.01%
1.15%
1.49%
1.10%
1.29%
0.50%
1.07%
0.96%

Central bank data


The Central Reserve Bank of Peru released its tables 082 and 083 (xls file) with information on the GDP expenditure approach, for 1Q2014
The following is a summary, including our own estimate for the rest of the year
2012
435,739.9
263,183.0
47,634.0
124,922.9
120,881.9
97,637.0
23,244.9
4,040.9
116,487.2
120,954.0
431,273.0
0.0
431,273.0
38,246.0
393,027.0
23,991.0
1,960.0
52,473.0
65,265.0
7,401.0
28,779.0
47,218.0
165,940.0
2012
8.02%
6.10%
8.10%
12.26%
16.26%
15.60%
19.13%
3.72%
11.33%
5.95%
5.95%
6.92%
5.86%
5.88%
-32.23%
2.80%
1.45%
5.82%
15.82%
7.23%
7.42%
Last data
Own estimate

2013
2014
466,283.6
277,447.6
50,802.0
138,034.0
130,014.8
103,854.7
26,160.1
8,019.3
115,416.4
125,318.1
456,381.8
1.8
456,383.6 478,208.4
40,065.6 41,057.1
416,318.0 437,151.3
24,332.0 24,562.0
2,314.2
2,723.9
55,027.1 57,369.4
68,999.3 71,739.5
7,810.8
8,245.4
31,352.5 32,771.6
49,984.3 52,623.8
176,497.8 187,115.8
2013
2014
7.01%
5.42%
6.65%
10.50%
7.56%
6.37%
12.54%
-0.92%
3.61%
5.82%
5.82%
4.78%
4.76%
2.47%
5.93%
5.00%
1.42%
0.95%
18.07%
17.70%
4.87%
4.26%
5.72%
3.97%
5.54%
5.56%
8.94%
4.53%
5.86%
5.28%
6.36%
6.02%

(Millons of nuevos soles from 2007)


I. Domestic Demand
a. Private Consumption
b. Public Consumption
c. Gross Domestic Investment
Gross Fixed Investment
i. Private
ii. Public
Change on Inventories
II. Exports
III. Imports
IV. GDP (expenditure)
Discrepancy
GDP (production approach)
Taxes
GVA
Agri
Fishing
Mining
Mfg.
Elect.
Constr.
Commerce
Other
Y/Y
I. Domestic Demand
a. Private Consumption
b. Public Consumption
c. Gross Domestic Investment
Gross Fixed Investment
i. Private
ii. Public
II. Exports
III. Imports
IV. GDP (expenditure)
GDP (production approach)
Taxes
GVA
Agri
Fishing
Mining
Mfg.
Elect.
Constr.
Commerce
Other

2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
99,163.1 110,378.1 111,551.5 114,647.2 109,299.9 118,376.5 117,187.2 121,420.0
63,409.0 67,003.0 66,892.0 65,879.0 66,626.9 70,639.9 70,374.9 69,805.9
9,530.1 10,549.4 11,104.7 16,449.8 10,145.1 11,487.8 11,975.4 17,193.7
26,224.0 32,825.7 33,554.8 32,318.4 32,527.9 36,248.9 34,836.9 34,420.3
25,810.2 28,163.7 30,788.6 36,119.4 28,301.8 31,920.0 32,814.9 36,978.0
22,534.8 23,724.8 25,213.5 26,164.0 24,528.5 26,160.5 26,350.9 26,814.7
3,275.4
4,439.0
5,575.1
9,955.4
3,773.3
5,759.5
6,463.9 10,163.3
413.8
4,662.0
2,766.2
-3,801.0
4,226.1
4,328.9
2,022.0
-2,557.7
29,407.8 26,971.9 30,597.8 29,509.7 26,050.9 27,588.1 31,339.1 30,438.4
27,902.1 29,389.2 32,524.5 31,138.3 30,043.4 31,161.2 33,063.2 31,050.3
100,668.8 107,960.9 109,624.8 113,018.5 105,307.3 114,803.4 115,463.1 120,808.0
-56.3
-14.2
-16.6
87.0
-59.2
-14.4
-17.7
93.0
100,612.6 107,946.7 109,608.2 113,105.6 105,248.1 114,789.0 115,445.5 120,901.0
9,099.7
9,299.6
9,642.2 10,204.5
9,659.8
9,935.1
9,971.5 10,499.2
91,512.8 98,647.1 99,966.0 102,901.1 95,588.3 104,853.9 105,474.0 110,401.9
5,186.2
8,064.0
5,488.0
5,252.9
5,469.6
8,031.4
5,460.7
5,370.3
369.6
802.7
389.1
398.6
400.4
707.2
380.2
826.4
12,725.5 12,931.6 13,458.1 13,357.8 12,555.6 13,839.6 14,279.9 14,352.0
15,792.0 16,318.8 16,481.4 16,672.8 16,076.0 17,235.4 17,186.0 18,501.8
1,831.7
1,835.7
1,845.5
1,888.1
1,916.7
1,944.2
1,952.3
1,997.6
5,880.0
6,439.0
7,440.6
9,019.4
6,503.9
7,453.2
8,008.8
9,386.6
10,976.1 11,518.6 12,538.5 12,184.9 11,535.7 12,250.3 13,193.9 13,004.4
38,751.7 40,736.8 42,324.8 44,126.6 41,130.4 43,392.5 45,012.1 46,962.7
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
4.39%
8.36%
10.84%
8.28%
10.22%
7.25%
5.05%
5.91%
6.33%
5.55%
5.53%
7.05%
5.07%
5.43%
5.21%
5.96%
-3.19%
7.81%
4.25%
19.36%
6.45%
8.89%
7.84%
4.52%
2.77%
14.77%
26.13%
5.76%
24.04%
10.43%
3.82%
6.50%
17.42%
18.10%
16.63%
13.76%
9.65%
13.34%
6.58%
2.38%
15.67%
17.29%
14.94%
14.67%
8.85%
10.27%
4.51%
2.49%
31.11%
22.67%
24.95%
11.43%
15.20%
29.75%
15.94%
2.09%
16.92%
-2.94%
2.73%
-0.26%
-11.42%
2.28%
2.42%
3.15%
10.94%
6.95%
16.89%
10.44%
7.67%
6.03%
1.66%
-0.28%
5.97%
5.66%
6.84%
5.35%
4.61%
6.34%
5.33%
6.89%
5.96%
5.65%
6.83%
5.38%
4.61%
6.34%
5.33%
6.89%
5.26%
6.52%
7.71%
8.07%
6.15%
6.83%
3.42%
2.89%
6.03%
5.57%
6.74%
5.13%
4.45%
6.29%
5.51%
7.29%
3.68%
8.48%
3.51%
6.75%
5.46%
-0.40%
-0.50%
2.24%
-32.82%
-27.27%
-2.97%
-52.39%
8.32%
-11.89%
-2.29% 107.30%
3.02%
4.64%
4.03%
-0.29%
-1.34%
7.02%
6.11%
7.44%
1.98%
-0.82%
3.28%
1.46%
1.80%
5.62%
4.27%
10.97%
6.69%
5.37%
6.37%
4.90%
4.64%
5.91%
5.79%
5.80%
17.40%
19.27%
19.77%
9.61%
10.61%
15.75%
7.64%
4.07%
8.40%
6.89%
6.83%
6.93%
5.10%
6.35%
5.23%
6.73%
7.44%
6.72%
7.50%
7.96%
6.14%
6.52%
6.35%
6.43%

Note: INEI data have certain differences, in constant currency, with those published by the central bank.
Also see: Peru Monthly Gross Domestic Product

2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
114,212.6
70,029.2
11,109.3
33,074.1
29,006.7
24,919.0
4,087.6
4,067.4
26,116.0
30,012.2
110,316.4
-61.9
110,254.5 119,992.4 121,264.7 126,696.8
9,878.8 10,148.1 10,239.6 10,790.6
100,375.7 109,844.3 111,025.2 115,906.1
5,510.7
8,119.1
5,531.7
5,400.5
403.7
833.0
465.9
1,021.3
13,145.8 14,203.9 15,012.7 15,007.0
16,540.4 17,967.4 17,917.5 19,314.2
2,027.1
2,047.0
2,059.9
2,111.4
6,847.3
7,698.7
8,444.4
9,781.2
12,133.6 12,928.8 13,897.1 13,664.3
43,767.0 46,046.5 47,696.0 49,606.3
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
4.49%
5.11%
9.50%
1.68%
2.49%
1.59%
8.33%
0.25%
-0.10%
4.76%
4.76%
4.53%
5.04%
4.79%
2.27%
2.14%
2.69%
2.78%
5.01%
4.76%
5.26%
4.99%
0.75%
1.09%
1.30%
0.56%
0.85%
17.78%
22.55%
23.58%
4.70%
2.63%
5.13%
4.56%
2.89%
4.25%
4.26%
4.39%
5.76%
5.29%
5.51%
5.69%
5.28%
3.29%
5.44%
4.20%
5.18%
5.54%
5.33%
5.07%
6.41%
6.12%
5.96%
5.63%

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