Mehmet Sardereli July 21, 2007

Math 201: Statistics

Summer 2007 FINAL EXAM
With calculator , 150 min.
Instructions: There are eight questions in this exam !ach question is on a se"arate "age
#lease ins"ect the exam and ma$e sure you ha%e all & "ages o' questions I' you use the (ac$
o' a "age, ma$e sure to indicate that )ou may use t*o sheets +si,e -./ o' notes and your
calculator
Rememer! You must show your work to get proper credit.
-cademic 0onesty 1ode: 2o3 4ni%ersity -cademic 0onesty 1ode sti"ulates that 5co"ying
'rom others or "ro%iding ans*ers or in'ormation, *ritten or oral, to others is cheating6 7y
ta$ing this exam, you are assuming 'ull res"onsi(ility 'or o(ser%ing the -cademic 0onesty
1ode
NAME! 88888888888888888888888888 INS"R#$"%R ! 888888888888888888888
LE$"#RE "IME ! 8888888888888888888
1

10
2

19

:

20
.

20

9

20
;

19
7

10
&

90

Total:

1;0


&ue'tion 1!
There are 21 num(ers in the set o' all odd integers (et*een 9 and .9
a/ The $<th num(er in this data set is the 70
th
"ercentile =hat is $>
(/ ?ind the 70
th
"ercentile 'or the data set o' all e%en integers (et*een 9 and .9
:
&ue'tion 2!
Sa(iha 0anm is in%ited to t*o tea "arties this a'ternoon @ne is at her 'riend Mele$<s house,
and the other at her cousin AB$riye<s a"artment Mele$ ma$es incredi(le ya"ra$ dolmas, and
AB$riye is an ex"ert at ma$ing $sr I' Sa(iha goes to AB$riye 'irst, the "ro(a(ility that there
is no ya"ra$ dolmas le't *hen she later goes to Mele$, is 0& I' Sa(iha goes to Mele$ 'irst,
the "ro(a(ility that there is no $sr le't *hen she later goes to AB$riye, is 07 Since Sa(iha
lo%es ya"ra$ dolmasi, she *ill go to Mele$ 'irst *ith "ro(a(ility 0&9
a/ =hat is the "ro(a(ility that Sa(iha *ill eat ya"ra$ dolmasi and $sr this a'ternoon>
(/ Ci%en that Sa(iha has eaten $sr this a'ternoon, *hat is the "ro(a(ility that she *ent 'irst
to Mele$>
+)ou must do this "ro(lem (y using a "ro(a(ility tree/
.
&ue'tion (!
Mr Sea Stayman is the leader o' the Social !quality #arty +S!#/ The S!# conducts a "oll
among .:9 randomly chosen %oters, and 112 o' these say that they *ill %ote 'or the S!# -t
the same time, the ri%al Dational ?ront #arty +D?#/ also conducts a "oll among 2;9 randomly
chosen %oters, and .& o' these say that they *ill %ote 'or the D?#
a/ Is the "ercentage o' %oters *ho *ill %ote 'or the S!# in the next elections more than 219E>
Test *ith signi'icance 0029
(/ =hat is the #F%alue 'or the test in "art +a/>
c/ Mr Stayman thin$s that his "arty *ill get a higher "ro"ortion o' the %otes than the D?# Is
he right> Test *ith signi'icance 001
9
&ue'tion )!
In 7eGi$taG, :9E o' all %oters *ill %ote 'or the S!#
a/ =hat is the "ro(a(ility that more than : (ut less than 10 out o' 20 %oters *ill %ote 'or S!#>
4se the ta(le
(/ =hat is the "ro(a(ility that more than : (ut less than 12 out o' 20 %oters *ill not %ote 'or
the S!#> 4se the ta(le
c/ =hat is the "ro(a(ility that more than 19 (ut less than 21 %oters out o' 90 *ill %ote 'or the
S!#>
;
&ue'tion 5!
#o"ulation 1 has a mean o' 7: *ith standard de%iation 11, and "o"ulation 2 has a mean o'
;& *ith standard de%iation 21
a/ ?or #o"ulation 1, *hat is the ex"ected %alue o' the a%erage o' sam"les o' si,e .> =hat is
the %ariance o' the sum o' the elements o' sam"les o' si,e .>
(/ ?or #o"ulation 2, *hat is the ex"ected %alue o' the sum o' the elements o' sam"les o' si,e
:> =hat is the %ariance o' the a%erage o' sam"les o' si,e :>
c/ Het X (e the a%erage o' sam"les o' si,e .9 'rom #o"ulation 1, and Y (e the a%erage o'
sam"le o' si,e 99 'rom #o"ulation 2 ?ind #ro( + 1 > Y X /
7
&ue'tion *!
#airs o' measurements +1;,1/, +2.,19/, +:,2/, +:.,29/, +.,:/ yield the 'ollo*ing data:
. 1.
9
1
=

= i
i
x
,
10
9
1
=

= i
i
y
,
9 22
9
1
2
=

= i
i
y
,
7 :1
9
1
=

= i
i i
y x

a/ ?ind the leastFsquare line +regression line/ 'or these measurements
(/ =hat is the sum o' squares o' %ertical errors 'or the regression line>
&
&ue'tion 7!
The si,e o' the oranges gro*ing in Tur$ey has a normal distri(ution *ith a mean diameter
+3a"/ o' &12 cm, and a standard de%iation o' : cm - com"any in Ja"an has a %ery selecti%e
im"ort "olicy They only acce"t oranges *ith a diameter larger than 1. cm Ilhan Mor, a
"roducer in Tur$ey, has 900 oranges, and *ants to sell them to this com"any =hat is the
"ro(a(ility that more than 20 o' his oranges *ill (e ex"orted>
J
&ue'tion +!
a/
: :
0
= H
,
: :
1
H
K *ith D L 120, s L 2.&, #F%alue: 00120
=hat is X >
(/
0 :
2 1 0
= H
,
0 :
2 1 1
> H
, 01 0 =

1&
1
= N
,
1.
2
= N
,
1 1
1
= s
,
& 0
2
= s
, 2 & = X
I'
9 2 =
sc
T
, *hat isY > Mo *e reNect
0
H
>
c/ Oe"eat "art +(/ *ith
. 0
2
= s
d/
1. :
0
= H
,
1. :
1
H
K *ith D L 12, s L 2., X L 1992.J
?ind the #F%alue

e/ In a sam"le o' D L 120, 99 ha%e the characteristic 7ased on this sam"le, test *ith
029 0 = *hether the "ro"ortion o' this characteristic in the "o"ulation is more than 0.
'/
. :
0
= H
,
. :
1
H
K *ith D L 12, 2 . = X , s L 11
I' 09 0 = , do *e reNect
0
H
>

10