GASBUMI DAN INDUSTRI PETROKIMIA Peluangdan TantanganBagi BangsaI ndonesia Seminar Nasional Teknologi Proses Kimia V Fakultas Teknik Universitas Indonesia Jakarta, 26 Maret 2003 Djatnika S Puradinata PT MEDCO METHANOL BUNYU TANTANGAN STRATEGIS BANGSA INDONESIA Pemanfaatan sumber daya alam secara berkelanjutan (sustainable utilization of natural resources) Penurunan cadangan sumber daya alam yang tidak terbarukan, khususnya minyak & gas bumi Pengembangan sumber daya manusia Penguasaan teknologi Pengembangan bisnis secara berkelanjutan(Sustainable business development) Pengembangan jaringan kerja (network) yang berorientasi kepentingan bangsa Kebijakan publik yang sinergis untuk kepentingan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan kekuatan bangsa Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-2
Million 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 World 5840 5926 5982 6067 6137 6215 Asia 3552 3604 3637 3684 3720 3766 European Union 374 375 376 377 378 381 USA 268 270 273 281 285 287 Japan 126 126 127 127 127 127 China 1237 1243 1254 1265 1273 1281 India 970 989 987 1002 1033 1050 Indonesia 204 207 212 212 206 217 Vietnam 75 79 80 79 79 80 Philippines 73 75 75 80 77 80 Thailand 61 61 62 62 62 63 World Population 1997-2002 World / Regional Economic Growths 1997-2003 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 % World Asia European Union USA Japan China India Indonesia Thailand Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-3
Million 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 World 5840 5926 5982 6067 6137 6215 Asia 3552 3604 3637 3684 3720 3766 European Union 374 375 376 377 378 381 USA 268 270 273 281 285 287 Japan 126 126 127 127 127 127 China 1237 1243 1254 1265 1273 1281 India 970 989 987 1002 1033 1050 Indonesia 204 207 212 212 206 217 Vietnam 75 79 80 79 79 80 Philippines 73 75 75 80 77 80 Thailand 61 61 62 62 62 63 World Population 1997-2002 World / Regional Economic Growths 1997-2003 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 % World Asia European Union USA Japan China India Indonesia Thailand DRIVERS FOR PETROLEUM& PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIES DESIRE FOR BETTER LIVING MOBI LI TY VEHI CLES (Cars, Truck, Boat, Plane, etc.) FUELS HYDROCARBONS COMFORT (Food, Clothing, Homes, Medicine) PETROCHEMICALS PRODUCTS (Plastics, Fibre, Rubber) PETROCHEMICAL FEEDSTOCKS Naptha or Natural Gasoline (NGL); is in the form of liquid; (many definitions) extracted for petrochemical uses. C5 C9 Butane, removed and sold as LPG C4 (C4H10) Propane, extracted and sold as petrochemicals and LPG C3(C3H8) Ethane, the the next major constituent, extracted for petrochemicals feedstock C2 (C2H6) Methane, the bulk of natural gas usually 80 %, mainly used as fuel C1 (CH4) Hydrogen : H Carbon : C HYDROCARBON + Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-4
THE GAS VALUE CHAIN E & P Transportation Distribution Power/Utilities/LPG E & P: Exploration & Production A gas business development concept (Integrated Gas Major model by BG) based on three key consumptions : - Gas presents opportunities - Gas needs Chains - Chains need skills A Gas Chain : Gas Production Transmission/Distribution/even LNG ports/terminal Marketing Power Plant Skills in each link must be developed Performance oriented culture developed through annual KPI targets and Benchmarking Knowledge sharing is also a key technique ensuring individual asset experiences and achievements are shared across the business segment portfolio MAIN ISSUES IN GAS BUSINESS (Re: Dr. Patrick Berminghamof British Gas at Gasex 2000) Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-5 Downstream Producer Crude Sales LPG Sales Condensate Sales LNG Tanks; Loading at Berthing Disposal Natural Gas Separation From NGLs Gas Cleaning Liquefaction Conversion to LNG Natural Gas Liquids Typical LNG Downstream Flow Natural Gas Separation From Crude Oil THE PETROCHEMICAL CHAINS FEEDSTOCKS (Ethane,LPG,NGL,Naptha AROMATICS (Benzene, Toluene, Xylene) OLEFINS (Ethylene, Propylene, Mixed C4S) ALKANE (Methane) Polymer products (eg. PE,PP,PVC,PET,PS,etc.) INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS (EG.EDC/VCM,PTA/MEG,SM,etc.) FEEDSTOCKS UPSTREAM INTERMEDIATE DOWNSTREAM Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-6
Exploration & Production Exploration & Production Natural gas Conden- sate Crude Other HC Gas Separation Plant Condesate Splitter Refinery Fuels Feed stocks Feed stocks Feed stocks Fuels Others Upstream Petrochemicals Sol-vent LubeBase Carbon Black Bitumen Sul- phur Intermediate Intermediate Intermediate Intermediate Intermediate Downstream, Plastics, Fibres *Rub/Elast *Coatg/Adhs Conversion Industry Olefins Aromatics Alkanes 1 st Layer Processing 2 nd Layer Processing 4 th Layer Processing *Rub = Rubbers Elast. =Elastomer Coatg = Coating Adhs. =Adhesive Materials Petroleum-Petrochemical Synergy 3 rd Layer Processing WHAT CAN CONDENSATE DO FOR YOU ? S P L I T T E R LIGHT NAPHTA OLEFIN PLANTS ETHYLENE PROPYLENE AROMATICS PLANT HEAVY NAPHTA DISTILATION SECTION TURBINE REFORMATE BENZENE TOLUENE ORTHO XYLENE PARA XYLENE KEROSINE DIESEL FUEL OIL POWER CONDENSATE Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-7
FUELS vs CHEMICALS OR Butadiene Butenes Butadiene Butenes Aromatics Aromatics Fuel for Above Fuel for Above Ethylene Ethylene Propylene Propylene GASOLINE FOR 650 MILE TRIP 19 GALLONS NAPTHA ONE BARREL OIL 42 GALLONS 500 PAIRS PANTY HOSE 500 PAIRS PANTY HOSE ETHYLENE GLYCOL ETHYLENE GLYCOL POLYETHYLENE POLYPROPYLENE POLYPROPYLENE ACRYLONITRILE ELASTOMERS ELASTOMERS CAPROLACTAM CAPROLACTAM 21 SHIRTS 21 SHIRTS 6 GARBAGE CANS OR 276 SQUARE METERS OF FILM FOR GREENHOUSES 6 GARBAGE CANS OR 276 SQUARE METERS OF FILM FOR GREENHOUSES 4 BEER CASES OR 30 ROLLS OF TWINE 4 BEER CASES OR 30 ROLLS OF TWINE 21 SWEATERS OR 5 BLANKETS 21 SWEATERS OR 5 BLANKETS 1 CAR TIRE OR 13 BICYCLE TIRES 1 CAR TIRE OR 13 BICYCLE TIRES 3 AUTOMOBILES TUBES OR 17 BICYCLE TUBES 3 AUTOMOBILES TUBES OR 17 BICYCLE TUBES SUCCESS FACTORS FOR PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY Feedstock Position Infrastructure Position / Logistic Advantage Proximity to markets Economy of scale Advance Technology Marketing and Distribution Capability to meet customer needs Regional + Global linkages Financial Position Human Resources Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-8 Polymer Consumption Growth Rate 2002-2008 -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% LD LL HD PP PVC PS/EPS A v e r a g e
A n n u a l
G r o w t h World* Asia** Northeast Asia Southeast Asia Middle East Japan China India Note: * World consumption growth is gathered from various sources. ** Asia including Northeast Asian countries, Southeast Asian countries and India WORLD POLYPROPYLENE Per Capita Consumption -5 5 15 25 35 45 55 N . A m e r i c a U S A S . A m e r i c a W . E u r o p e A f r i c a n / M . E a s t J a p a n C h i n a K o r e a I n d i a I n d o n e s i a M a l a y s i a T h a i l a n d W o r l d K g
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C a p i t a 2001 2006 As of March 2002 Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-9 WORLD POLYETHYLENE Per Capita Consumption 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 N. America S. America W. Europe African/M. East Japan China Korea India Indonesia Malaysia Thailand World Kg per Capita 2001 2006 As of March 2002 unit: KTA Balance Mid E Japan E. AsiaS. Korea China Taiwan Phili Indo Viet Thai Malay Sing H.K. India 2002 3.702 587 1.314 1.587 (2.494) 313 85 128 (230) 488 483 1.109 (123) (32) 2005 6.664 506 (559) 1.287 (3.138) 230 9 (34) (310) 601 402 1.101 (122) (584) Regional PE Suply/Demand Balance (2002, 2005) (4.000) (2.000) 0 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 M i d E J a p a n E .
A s i a S .
K o r e a C h i n a T a i w a n P h i l i I n d o V i e t T h a i M a l a y S i n g H . K . I n d i a ( K T A ) 2002 2005 Source: PTIT, December 2002 Note: Supply/ Demand Balance = 90%Capacity Utilization - Consumption Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-10
Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Capacity 550 550 750 750 750 750 750 750 750 750 1.230 1.230 90% Capacity 495 495 675 675 675 675 675 675 675 675 1.107 1.107 Consumption 630 414 390 457 501 547 594 651 709 770 833 898 Cap./Cons Balance (80) 136 360 293 249 203 156 99 41 (20) 397 332 Indonesia : PE Capacity/Consumption Balance 0 200 400 600 800 1.000 1.200 1.400 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 ( K T A ) Capacity 90% Capacity Consumption Source: PTIT, December 2002 INDONESIA Ethylene Monomer Trade 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Thousand Tons imports exports As of January 2002 Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-11
Key success factors in the PE industry Backward integration to crackers Market/Service leadership in core segments World scale production units Leadership in high and low pressure technology Global presence Long term competitiveness Access to low cost feedstock Cost leadership PENUTUP Industri Petrokimia meningkatkan nilai gas bumi, sekaligus dapat mendorong tumbuhnya industri hilir yang menghasilkan komoditi yang dibutuhkan masyarakat. Pembangunan industri petrokimia harus memperhatikan faktor- faktor penentu keberhasilan (Key success factors), sekaligus mempersiapkannya dengan sebaik-baiknya agar tercapai manfaat yang optimum bagi kepentingan nasional. Indonesia adalah pasar utama untuk produk petrokimia, yang dengan mudah akan bisa direbut oleh pihak lain apabila kita tak mampu membangun pabriknya pada saat yang tepat.. Pengembangan sumberdaya manusia dan penguasaan teknologi harus menjadi satu kesatuan strategi dengan pengembangan industri. Potensi sumberdaya gas bumi masih terbuka luas untuk pemanfaatannya sebagai bahan baku industri petrokimia. Makalah Plenary Lecturer I Inovasi Produk dan Proses Kimia A-12 CURRICULUM VITAE -Persatuan Insinyur Indonesia, PII. Ketua Pengurus Pusat -Majelis Penilai Insinyur Profesional BKK PII, Anggota -Badan Kejuruan Kimia PII, BKKPII, Ketua II. -Yayasan Pengembangan Teknologi Indonesia, Ketua Dewan Pengawas. -American Institute of Chemical Engineers, AIChE. Anggota -American Society of Mechanical Engineers, ASME. Anggota Lain-lain 2001 sekarang PT Medco Methanol Bunyu 1976 2001 PT Pupuk Kujang 1999 2001 PT Pupuk Sriwidjaja 1993 1999 PT Aneka Gas Industri Pengalaman Kerja S1 Teknik Kimia ITB S2 Studi Pembangunan ITB Berbagai kursus & training di dalamdan luar negeri Pendidikan PT Medco Methanol Bunyu Direktur Utama Data Pekerjaan : a. Instansi b. Jabatan Kawin, 3 Anak Status Purwakarta, 1 Pebruari 1950 Tempat & Tanggal Lahir Djatnika S Puradinata Nama