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APPENDIX I

R code for calculating Beale’s F-type Statistic:

c1 <- 22
c2 <- 18
k1 <- c1^(-2/4)
k2 <- c2^(-2/4)
w1 <- 433.1
w2 <- 625.3
f <- ((w2-w1)/w1)*((70-c1)*k1)/((70-c2)*k2-(70-c1)*k1)
print(f )
pf(0.95, df1=k2*(70-c2)-(70-c1)*k1, df2=k1*(70-c1))
f > pf(0.95, df1=k2*(70-c2)-(70-c1)*k1, df2=k1*(70-c1))
# if true, choose clustering with higher number of clusters
APPENDIX II- SAS OUPUT

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 1

Obs newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

1 64.2845 336.711 32.4186 97.2557


2 15.8351 160.462 16.8907 32.7258
3 21.5268 206.496 21.3919 42.9862
4 34.7171 161.644 12.1879 47.3974
5 47.6086 289.430 19.0434 66.9543
6 22.2840 370.108 19.8618 42.1459
7 29.5735 242.242 29.4285 59.1470
8 42.5145 427.039 31.8858 74.8212
9 31.7778 216.549 28.7582 60.8236
10 33.0126 328.191 31.1527 64.5372
11 53.2828 352.704 32.5355 85.8184
12 38.3076 427.984 24.1754 62.9135
13 47.7747 654.889 30.5973 78.3720
14 39.9447 273.252 19.6449 59.8703
15 43.7197 170.430 17.0236 62.0975
16 39.8540 256.660 23.5936 63.4475
17 48.6529 348.441 31.3024 81.7441
18 24.8226 323.218 21.1517 45.9743
19 40.8828 205.978 22.1123 63.2083
20 30.9771 216.197 15.8576 46.9062
21 29.8695 199.081 17.8040 47.9678
22 58.7476 588.639 31.4096 91.3205
23 35.6514 265.822 8.1310 44.1577
24 45.8040 288.686 23.2033 69.6100
25 35.8676 286.941 33.6041 70.6905
26 21.0847 201.672 12.5567 33.8766
27 29.9964 267.076 20.5999 50.5963
28 53.8088 322.272 26.2652 80.4227
29 31.8979 438.596 30.3030 62.2010
30 28.0800 278.665 16.9137 44.9936
31 55.0466 706.431 30.7999 86.5018
32 50.7304 310.738 29.3645 80.4236
33 41.8034 261.588 25.3354 67.1387
34 46.6951 738.682 18.5655 66.9483
35 53.1369 305.210 29.5787 83.2391
36 30.3803 265.544 14.2027 44.8035
37 27.2962 262.988 23.0967 50.3929
38 45.9381 254.913 19.9162 65.8543
39 41.8407 272.924 25.3347 67.1754
40 39.1544 361.180 14.3833 53.5377
41 34.8628 326.838 31.0496 65.9124
42 64.0135 380.188 35.3227 99.4804
43 74.4175 308.736 19.6418 94.0593
44 32.8701 356.000 26.1847 59.2776
45 35.9019 340.691 26.0500 62.0850
46 44.9667 293.738 14.7652 60.1794
47 38.7793 317.780 28.4265 68.0832
48 23.5229 349.159 31.2145 54.8382
49 32.9006 257.387 11.4286 44.4678
50 50.8746 383.376 33.1593 84.3367
51 52.4176 272.442 25.0224 78.0871

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 2

Obs newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

52 36.3085 374.485 31.4981 67.873


53 46.5798 256.498 24.3478 71.416
54 54.4604 472.666 39.9480 94.720
55 49.7610 301.931 9.9004 59.726
56 41.3568 274.214 17.8995 59.338
57 29.1472 272.160 20.6758 49.967
58 43.1137 234.815 7.3124 50.602
59 26.6851 206.765 11.6487 38.453
60 45.6529 352.098 27.9624 73.901
61 29.6878 231.775 12.3670 42.301
62 39.9208 443.437 36.1872 76.682
63 45.2450 324.345 13.1299 58.730
64 77.1583 483.894 32.4477 110.257
65 53.7047 326.410 30.3740 85.179
66 42.6643 271.254 18.9778 62.070
67 51.8546 302.518 14.9157 67.171
68 55.8176 391.162 23.5137 79.331
69 46.3710 269.394 18.7692 65.361
70 46.2073 306.806 38.0844 84.558

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 3

Temp Temp Temp


Obs April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

1 51.4000 61.6129 70.0667 76.0968 68.4516 63.7333 -2.59742


2 56.7667 67.4839 74.9333 83.2258 79.9032 70.2667 -5.77401
3 65.3667 69.1290 75.1667 79.3871 82.1290 73.3000 -4.00079
4 72.0000 76.6452 81.9667 83.4516 88.5161 81.6667 8.26811
5 58.0667 66.6452 73.9000 80.2258 77.8710 77.2333 2.01369
6 72.0333 74.7419 80.5000 81.8710 85.2903 76.3000 4.48913
7 49.4000 58.4194 71.2000 76.0323 71.6452 67.3667 6.72094
8 46.1333 59.8387 68.5667 74.5806 68.0645 64.4667 2.51458
9 62.2333 65.9677 73.6333 79.0645 79.6774 69.3667 0.53066
10 49.8000 61.8710 70.5667 78.5806 70.5484 63.6667 1.25153
11 55.3000 63.7742 73.2667 79.1935 72.9677 67.0667 -3.08945
12 50.5667 61.2581 70.4000 76.4194 69.3548 65.1667 -4.30625
13 68.2667 71.8548 78.3667 82.0323 84.3387 75.0833 -2.64460
14 55.1667 65.0323 74.7333 80.3548 73.3226 68.1000 -3.24023
15 42.5333 53.4839 63.0333 71.3226 69.0323 57.9000 8.53664
16 74.9000 78.8387 82.9667 82.9355 84.3871 79.8000 5.98796
17 53.8333 63.8065 72.7333 78.6452 71.5806 67.0000 -3.47475
18 53.1667 63.0000 71.1000 78.6774 75.6774 67.3333 2.21860
19 42.5917 54.3306 63.4167 73.1720 70.6452 58.9889 6.96790
20 68.2833 73.8871 82.1167 86.0484 90.2097 79.2667 3.47606
21 63.4333 74.3548 80.2333 81.3226 81.4839 75.6667 9.70463
22 58.0000 65.6452 74.7667 79.6452 74.6129 68.5000 -8.25527
23 58.7333 68.2258 76.2000 80.7097 78.6452 77.4333 4.01151

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

1 2.9776 9.3160 10.1753 -1.3167 -5.4473


2 3.3453 6.7535 13.4359 8.1736 -6.5235
3 2.8535 -1.9897 -0.0305 13.6344 2.2994
4 2.1398 -5.5971 -11.3581 9.2746 11.6430
5 10.1284 14.0376 13.9645 9.5357 16.2752
6 13.4318 0.1609 -3.6472 8.2088 3.4473
7 2.6733 7.3469 7.7088 3.5155 -3.5027
8 9.0380 13.3186 15.9207 1.0480 0.3954
9 2.7441 4.2031 3.6292 12.7265 -6.9343
10 6.0385 7.6226 7.0373 -0.5158 0.0429
11 3.1260 4.7007 5.7707 0.9676 -4.9646
12 3.4514 9.1086 9.1632 0.2957 -4.3639
13 2.9716 -2.1978 -5.9310 7.2687 6.1511
14 5.2574 14.5176 7.3581 2.5967 -7.1603
15 8.9151 5.4381 5.8312 2.1564 -2.5394
16 4.8851 -5.2161 -13.0445 -5.0587 7.7383
17 2.9661 8.3600 8.3384 0.7234 -3.7851
18 10.2754 12.0268 19.8456 16.1971 1.9847
19 12.1597 8.0521 11.4697 6.8247 -1.1549
20 5.2499 1.2840 0.5819 19.9481 9.1287
21 9.3137 7.6609 5.2615 5.6874 0.4456
22 1.0679 2.0634 2.7001 2.6426 -0.4325
23 12.9835 14.8018 16.4152 9.8696 13.5157
MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 4

Temp Temp Temp


Obs April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

24 51.5000 62.5806 71.6333 78.6129 69.7419 64.5667 -4.89325


25 49.0667 61.2258 69.5667 74.9032 68.0000 62.9667 -3.30959
26 73.1667 76.7742 82.1667 83.3226 87.0968 78.1667 6.53232
27 65.7667 69.4194 76.4667 80.7419 80.8387 74.0333 3.96797
28 55.2667 64.5484 74.0000 79.5161 72.6129 67.2667 -6.14490
29 69.5000 71.7742 79.7000 82.1935 84.2258 75.3667 0.10213
30 53.5667 63.5484 74.3667 81.0968 76.5484 69.5333 4.06688
31 47.8000 60.3226 69.7667 76.0000 69.0968 64.9333 0.84099
32 54.8000 63.6452 71.7667 81.1613 76.5484 65.9667 -1.13202
33 53.6667 64.3387 72.6167 82.0000 77.8871 65.8167 4.28449
34 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 8.25349
35 61.4000 66.3871 75.1333 78.8387 78.0000 70.1000 1.39910
36 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 5.58612
37 73.4000 76.9032 81.5667 82.5161 85.7419 78.4333 6.51440
38 61.2000 75.5806 85.4667 88.4194 88.1935 81.9333 8.86449
39 56.7000 65.5161 73.6667 79.8065 75.9355 68.9333 -6.40648
40 51.0667 61.8710 70.4000 80.8387 74.1935 64.1333 3.05017
41 72.2333 75.1290 80.7000 82.5484 86.0968 77.8667 6.32986
42 59.5000 67.8065 76.5000 83.4839 78.7742 72.2667 -1.95398
43 65.6833 71.1129 78.9000 84.4677 84.2097 75.1667 2.31853
44 67.2667 71.4194 79.9000 83.9355 82.9032 75.4333 -2.24268
45 78.0000 78.8387 81.0667 84.1613 83.8065 82.1000 7.48433
46 58.5167 64.8226 71.7333 74.3387 74.9032 73.4167 7.20520

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

24 2.5078 6.7268 6.3050 -5.7237 -5.0256


25 3.9831 8.5222 7.1289 -6.8933 -9.5720
26 6.4918 -4.4637 -7.1414 7.2114 8.3122
27 9.1020 6.4593 3.3874 15.2416 10.0658
28 2.6241 4.6211 4.1704 -3.3937 -2.3107
29 3.5189 -2.0668 -5.8030 10.5212 1.5682
30 5.1239 11.9726 21.1476 9.2866 -2.5867
31 7.3021 5.8602 10.3271 -1.5896 -6.2976
32 5.7234 0.9810 5.5242 3.4300 -3.1669
33 10.5564 7.0183 11.9288 8.9702 1.9942
34 6.4617 7.5877 3.5178 -3.3418 -2.3785
35 5.3193 3.9502 -0.0561 7.6415 -0.0521
36 10.9744 9.0467 5.5017 5.2416 2.4389
37 8.3299 -2.7520 -5.1370 5.5211 3.6854
38 15.7920 15.3006 5.3280 5.5927 -0.3099
39 3.4592 3.4754 5.2706 7.5647 1.0119
40 3.8878 0.5766 1.2496 -3.6920 -2.7020
41 3.9044 -6.4831 -12.5135 3.5228 6.4176
42 3.5216 3.0344 3.9898 5.7273 -1.2057
43 8.3827 2.2919 0.9441 16.0051 5.4395
44 3.4254 0.2333 -1.4341 11.6956 1.0011
45 7.7844 -8.5097 -12.2927 -8.1683 -2.3517
46 10.4089 8.5813 12.2299 4.5215 7.4796

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 5

Temp Temp Temp


Obs April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

47 62.8333 67.9032 76.8000 82.1935 79.6129 72.0333 5.99371


48 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 -0.85701
49 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 9.22982
50 61.5333 68.3226 75.9000 82.4194 84.9677 71.3667 5.96884
51 51.5556 62.2581 70.8222 80.6882 73.3548 64.0889 -0.40624
52 53.8000 64.1613 73.1000 81.3871 77.7097 70.1667 7.16699
53 66.1333 80.0323 89.1333 91.4516 93.2258 87.6333 7.66572
54 52.1000 61.2581 69.6000 76.2581 69.1935 64.4000 -0.36179
55 62.9714 73.6037 79.1238 85.4378 84.6636 80.8048 5.01962
56 58.3267 64.2581 71.2067 73.6258 74.4387 73.2867 6.71122
57 71.4333 76.3548 82.0667 83.0968 86.4194 80.5667 6.96342
58 59.2889 66.7957 71.2667 76.7312 75.5054 72.8778 3.62120
59 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 8.75283
60 69.6333 72.1935 80.0333 83.1290 86.1290 75.5000 5.17327
61 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 9.37348
62 58.8000 67.0323 75.0667 83.1613 76.7419 69.9667 -0.48566
63 58.2222 64.5484 71.5667 74.1183 74.5161 73.0222 7.35334
64 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.64822
65 46.8333 60.9032 69.9667 75.1613 69.0968 65.1000 1.04130
66 48.7667 52.0968 58.3333 62.6774 65.0323 61.0333 7.19013
67 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.92602
68 50.9000 62.8387 71.0333 77.4516 69.9677 65.3333 -5.91671
69 56.2000 65.4516 73.3000 82.5161 81.4839 67.2333 5.00061

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

47 8.8557 10.2495 5.6462 11.4303 5.2406


48 0.3905 7.4703 15.8371 6.1029 -3.1651
49 8.3519 0.9472 1.2300 -2.9679 0.5575
50 11.1463 2.9474 6.2657 20.3420 5.5170
51 0.8112 -0.8071 4.5477 -1.0881 6.4413
52 10.1299 10.4305 18.1820 10.9228 -1.0916
53 11.8096 8.4950 8.8198 9.5064 -0.6348
54 4.9377 10.6607 14.6198 2.4950 -2.8201
55 14.2865 15.4135 8.7508 8.3247 3.6302
56 7.9368 5.9901 7.9478 4.2798 8.0364
57 5.3762 -1.3773 -8.6641 2.1612 9.4445
58 12.9680 15.0344 8.3781 9.9923 1.1010
59 8.2189 -0.0051 1.6848 -3.9427 -1.0731
60 6.0310 1.6275 -0.7434 13.2357 3.1967
61 14.2964 10.1229 4.6612 6.4446 4.6599
62 4.1664 1.4408 8.4464 5.2479 -1.9683
63 8.1715 5.1208 7.3916 2.5567 5.3487
64 6.5928 -5.1627 -2.3514 -2.4759 1.1570
65 6.9690 12.5221 12.5066 -0.1769 1.0708
66 5.7665 -1.5010 -0.3845 -3.4556 -0.7950
67 7.3299 -4.6847 -3.0803 -2.3865 1.7117
68 -1.5588 9.1269 8.0693 -0.3838 -3.3277
69 10.3495 0.0144 9.1460 16.5816 3.6771

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 6

Temp Temp Temp


Obs April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

70 47.3889 58.7312 68.9111 73.3978 69.3441 65.3778 6.90519

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

70 2.5181 8.5516 7.6622 -1.8237 -7.1056

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 7

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

1 Akron 0 64.2845 336.711 32.4186 97.2557 51.4000 61.6129 70.0667


2 Arlington 1 15.8351 160.462 16.8907 32.7258 56.7667 67.4839 74.9333
3 Atlanta 1 21.5268 206.496 21.3919 42.9862 65.3667 69.1290 75.1667
4 Austin 1 34.7171 161.644 12.1879 47.3974 72.0000 76.6452 81.9667
5 Bakersfield 1 47.6086 289.430 19.0434 66.9543 58.0667 66.6452 73.9000
6 Baton Rouge 1 22.2840 370.108 19.8618 42.1459 72.0333 74.7419 80.5000
7 Boston 1 29.5735 242.242 29.4285 59.1470 49.4000 58.4194 71.2000
8 Buffalo 1 42.5145 427.039 31.8858 74.8212 46.1333 59.8387 68.5667
9 Charlotte 1 31.7778 216.549 28.7582 60.8236 62.2333 65.9677 73.6333
10 Chicago 0 33.0126 328.191 31.1527 64.5372 49.8000 61.8710 70.5667
11 Cincinnati 0 53.2828 352.704 32.5355 85.8184 55.3000 63.7742 73.2667
12 Cleveland 0 38.3076 427.984 24.1754 62.9135 50.5667 61.2581 70.4000
13 ColumbusGA 1 47.7747 654.889 30.5973 78.3720 68.2667 71.8548 78.3667
14 ColumbusOH 0 39.9447 273.252 19.6449 59.8703 55.1667 65.0323 74.7333
15 Colorado Springs 0 43.7197 170.430 17.0236 62.0975 42.5333 53.4839 63.0333
16 Corpus Christi 1 39.8540 256.660 23.5936 63.4475 74.9000 78.8387 82.9667
17 Dayton 0 48.6529 348.441 31.3024 81.7441 53.8333 63.8065 72.7333
18 Washington 0 24.8226 323.218 21.1517 45.9743 53.1667 63.0000 71.1000
19 Denver 0 40.8828 205.978 22.1123 63.2083 42.5917 54.3306 63.4167
20 Dallas/Fort Worth 1 30.9771 216.197 15.8576 46.9062 68.2833 73.8871 82.1167
21 El Paso 1 29.8695 199.081 17.8040 47.9678 63.4333 74.3548 80.2333
22 Evansville 0 58.7476 588.639 31.4096 91.3205 58.0000 65.6452 74.7667
23 Fresno 1 35.6514 265.822 8.1310 44.1577 58.7333 68.2258 76.2000

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

1 76.0968 68.4516 63.7333 -2.59742 2.9776 9.3160 10.1753 -1.3167 -5.4473


2 83.2258 79.9032 70.2667 -5.77401 3.3453 6.7535 13.4359 8.1736 -6.5235
3 79.3871 82.1290 73.3000 -4.00079 2.8535 -1.9897 -0.0305 13.6344 2.2994
4 83.4516 88.5161 81.6667 8.26811 2.1398 -5.5971 -11.3581 9.2746 11.6430
5 80.2258 77.8710 77.2333 2.01369 10.1284 14.0376 13.9645 9.5357 16.2752
6 81.8710 85.2903 76.3000 4.48913 13.4318 0.1609 -3.6472 8.2088 3.4473
7 76.0323 71.6452 67.3667 6.72094 2.6733 7.3469 7.7088 3.5155 -3.5027
8 74.5806 68.0645 64.4667 2.51458 9.0380 13.3186 15.9207 1.0480 0.3954
9 79.0645 79.6774 69.3667 0.53066 2.7441 4.2031 3.6292 12.7265 -6.9343
10 78.5806 70.5484 63.6667 1.25153 6.0385 7.6226 7.0373 -0.5158 0.0429
11 79.1935 72.9677 67.0667 -3.08945 3.1260 4.7007 5.7707 0.9676 -4.9646
12 76.4194 69.3548 65.1667 -4.30625 3.4514 9.1086 9.1632 0.2957 -4.3639
13 82.0323 84.3387 75.0833 -2.64460 2.9716 -2.1978 -5.9310 7.2687 6.1511
14 80.3548 73.3226 68.1000 -3.24023 5.2574 14.5176 7.3581 2.5967 -7.1603
15 71.3226 69.0323 57.9000 8.53664 8.9151 5.4381 5.8312 2.1564 -2.5394
16 82.9355 84.3871 79.8000 5.98796 4.8851 -5.2161 -13.0445 -5.0587 7.7383
17 78.6452 71.5806 67.0000 -3.47475 2.9661 8.3600 8.3384 0.7234 -3.7851
18 78.6774 75.6774 67.3333 2.21860 10.2754 12.0268 19.8456 16.1971 1.9847
19 73.1720 70.6452 58.9889 6.96790 12.1597 8.0521 11.4697 6.8247 -1.1549
20 86.0484 90.2097 79.2667 3.47606 5.2499 1.2840 0.5819 19.9481 9.1287
21 81.3226 81.4839 75.6667 9.70463 9.3137 7.6609 5.2615 5.6874 0.4456
22 79.6452 74.6129 68.5000 -8.25527 1.0679 2.0634 2.7001 2.6426 -0.4325
23 80.7097 78.6452 77.4333 4.01151 12.9835 14.8018 16.4152 9.8696 13.5157

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 8

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

24 Fort Wayne 0 45.8040 288.686 23.2033 69.610 51.5000 62.5806 71.6333


25 Grand Rapids 0 35.8676 286.941 33.6041 70.690 49.0667 61.2258 69.5667
26 Houston 1 21.0847 201.672 12.5567 33.877 73.1667 76.7742 82.1667
27 Huntsville 1 29.9964 267.076 20.5999 50.596 65.7667 69.4194 76.4667
28 Indianapolis 0 53.8088 322.272 26.2652 80.423 55.2667 64.5484 74.0000
29 Jackson 1 31.8979 438.596 30.3030 62.201 69.5000 71.7742 79.7000
30 Jersey City 1 28.0800 278.665 16.9137 44.994 53.5667 63.5484 74.3667
31 Johnstown 0 55.0466 706.431 30.7999 86.502 47.8000 60.3226 69.7667
32 Kansas CityMO 0 50.7304 310.738 29.3645 80.424 54.8000 63.6452 71.7667
33 Kansas CityKS 0 41.8034 261.588 25.3354 67.139 53.6667 64.3387 72.6167
34 Kingston 1 46.6951 738.682 18.5655 66.948 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778
35 Knoxville 0 53.1369 305.210 29.5787 83.239 61.4000 66.3871 75.1333
36 Los Angeles 1 30.3803 265.544 14.2027 44.804 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667
37 Lafayette 1 27.2962 262.988 23.0967 50.393 73.4000 76.9032 81.5667
38 Las Vegas 0 45.9381 254.913 19.9162 65.854 61.2000 75.5806 85.4667
39 Lexington 0 41.8407 272.924 25.3347 67.175 56.7000 65.5161 73.6667
40 Lincoln 0 39.1544 361.180 14.3833 53.538 51.0667 61.8710 70.4000
41 Lake Charles 1 34.8628 326.838 31.0496 65.912 72.2333 75.1290 80.7000
42 Louisville 0 64.0135 380.188 35.3227 99.480 59.5000 67.8065 76.5000
43 Little Rock 0 74.4175 308.736 19.6418 94.059 65.6833 71.1129 78.9000
44 Memphis 0 32.8701 356.000 26.1847 59.278 67.2667 71.4194 79.9000
45 Miami 1 35.9019 340.691 26.0500 62.085 78.0000 78.8387 81.0667
46 Modesto 1 44.9667 293.738 14.7652 60.179 58.5167 64.8226 71.7333

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

24 78.6129 69.7419 64.5667 -4.89325 2.5078 6.7268 6.3050 -5.7237 -5.0256


25 74.9032 68.0000 62.9667 -3.30959 3.9831 8.5222 7.1289 -6.8933 -9.5720
26 83.3226 87.0968 78.1667 6.53232 6.4918 -4.4637 -7.1414 7.2114 8.3122
27 80.7419 80.8387 74.0333 3.96797 9.1020 6.4593 3.3874 15.2416 10.0658
28 79.5161 72.6129 67.2667 -6.14490 2.6241 4.6211 4.1704 -3.3937 -2.3107
29 82.1935 84.2258 75.3667 0.10213 3.5189 -2.0668 -5.8030 10.5212 1.5682
30 81.0968 76.5484 69.5333 4.06688 5.1239 11.9726 21.1476 9.2866 -2.5867
31 76.0000 69.0968 64.9333 0.84099 7.3021 5.8602 10.3271 -1.5896 -6.2976
32 81.1613 76.5484 65.9667 -1.13202 5.7234 0.9810 5.5242 3.4300 -3.1669
33 82.0000 77.8871 65.8167 4.28449 10.5564 7.0183 11.9288 8.9702 1.9942
34 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 8.25349 6.4617 7.5877 3.5178 -3.3418 -2.3785
35 78.8387 78.0000 70.1000 1.39910 5.3193 3.9502 -0.0561 7.6415 -0.0521
36 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 5.58612 10.9744 9.0467 5.5017 5.2416 2.4389
37 82.5161 85.7419 78.4333 6.51440 8.3299 -2.7520 -5.1370 5.5211 3.6854
38 88.4194 88.1935 81.9333 8.86449 15.7920 15.3006 5.3280 5.5927 -0.3099
39 79.8065 75.9355 68.9333 -6.40648 3.4592 3.4754 5.2706 7.5647 1.0119
40 80.8387 74.1935 64.1333 3.05017 3.8878 0.5766 1.2496 -3.6920 -2.7020
41 82.5484 86.0968 77.8667 6.32986 3.9044 -6.4831 -12.5135 3.5228 6.4176
42 83.4839 78.7742 72.2667 -1.95398 3.5216 3.0344 3.9898 5.7273 -1.2057
43 84.4677 84.2097 75.1667 2.31853 8.3827 2.2919 0.9441 16.0051 5.4395
44 83.9355 82.9032 75.4333 -2.24268 3.4254 0.2333 -1.4341 11.6956 1.0011
45 84.1613 83.8065 82.1000 7.48433 7.7844 -8.5097 -12.2927 -8.1683 -2.3517
46 74.3387 74.9032 73.4167 7.20520 10.4089 8.5813 12.2299 4.5215 7.4796

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 9

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

47 Nashville 0 38.7793 317.780 28.4265 68.083 62.8333 67.9032 76.8000


48 New York 1 23.5229 349.159 31.2145 54.838 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778
49 Oakland 1 32.9006 257.387 11.4286 44.468 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333
50 Oklahoma City 0 50.8746 383.376 33.1593 84.337 61.5333 68.3226 75.9000
51 Omaha 0 52.4176 272.442 25.0224 78.087 51.5556 62.2581 70.8222
52 Philadelphia 0 36.3085 374.485 31.4981 67.873 53.8000 64.1613 73.1000
53 Phoenix 0 46.5798 256.498 24.3478 71.416 66.1333 80.0323 89.1333
54 Pittsburgh 0 54.4604 472.666 39.9480 94.720 52.1000 61.2581 69.6000
55 Riverside 1 49.7610 301.931 9.9004 59.726 62.9714 73.6037 79.1238
56 Sacramento 1 41.3568 274.214 17.8995 59.338 58.3267 64.2581 71.2067
57 San Antonio 1 29.1472 272.160 20.6758 49.967 71.4333 76.3548 82.0667
58 San Bernardino 1 43.1137 234.815 7.3124 50.602 59.2889 66.7957 71.2667
59 San Jose 1 26.6851 206.765 11.6487 38.453 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333
60 Shreveport 1 45.6529 352.098 27.9624 73.901 69.6333 72.1935 80.0333
61 Santa Ana/Anaheim 1 29.6878 231.775 12.3670 42.301 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667
62 St. Louis 0 39.9208 443.437 36.1872 76.682 58.8000 67.0323 75.0667
63 Stockton 1 45.2450 324.345 13.1299 58.730 58.2222 64.5484 71.5667
64 St. Petersburg 1 77.1583 483.894 32.4477 110.257 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000
65 Syracuse 1 53.7047 326.410 30.3740 85.179 46.8333 60.9032 69.9667
66 Tacoma 1 42.6643 271.254 18.9778 62.070 48.7667 52.0968 58.3333
67 Tampa 1 51.8546 302.518 14.9157 67.171 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000
68 Toledo 0 55.8176 391.162 23.5137 79.331 50.9000 62.8387 71.0333
69 Wichita 0 46.3710 269.394 18.7692 65.361 56.2000 65.4516 73.3000

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

47 82.1935 79.6129 72.0333 5.99371 8.8557 10.2495 5.6462 11.4303 5.2406


48 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 -0.85701 0.3905 7.4703 15.8371 6.1029 -3.1651
49 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 9.22982 8.3519 0.9472 1.2300 -2.9679 0.5575
50 82.4194 84.9677 71.3667 5.96884 11.1463 2.9474 6.2657 20.3420 5.5170
51 80.6882 73.3548 64.0889 -0.40624 0.8112 -0.8071 4.5477 -1.0881 6.4413
52 81.3871 77.7097 70.1667 7.16699 10.1299 10.4305 18.1820 10.9228 -1.0916
53 91.4516 93.2258 87.6333 7.66572 11.8096 8.4950 8.8198 9.5064 -0.6348
54 76.2581 69.1935 64.4000 -0.36179 4.9377 10.6607 14.6198 2.4950 -2.8201
55 85.4378 84.6636 80.8048 5.01962 14.2865 15.4135 8.7508 8.3247 3.6302
56 73.6258 74.4387 73.2867 6.71122 7.9368 5.9901 7.9478 4.2798 8.0364
57 83.0968 86.4194 80.5667 6.96342 5.3762 -1.3773 -8.6641 2.1612 9.4445
58 76.7312 75.5054 72.8778 3.62120 12.9680 15.0344 8.3781 9.9923 1.1010
59 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 8.75283 8.2189 -0.0051 1.6848 -3.9427 -1.0731
60 83.1290 86.1290 75.5000 5.17327 6.0310 1.6275 -0.7434 13.2357 3.1967
61 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 9.37348 14.2964 10.1229 4.6612 6.4446 4.6599
62 83.1613 76.7419 69.9667 -0.48566 4.1664 1.4408 8.4464 5.2479 -1.9683
63 74.1183 74.5161 73.0222 7.35334 8.1715 5.1208 7.3916 2.5567 5.3487
64 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.64822 6.5928 -5.1627 -2.3514 -2.4759 1.1570
65 75.1613 69.0968 65.1000 1.04130 6.9690 12.5221 12.5066 -0.1769 1.0708
66 62.6774 65.0323 61.0333 7.19013 5.7665 -1.5010 -0.3845 -3.4556 -0.7950
67 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.92602 7.3299 -4.6847 -3.0803 -2.3865 1.7117
68 77.4516 69.9677 65.3333 -5.91671 -1.5588 9.1269 8.0693 -0.3838 -3.3277
69 82.5161 81.4839 67.2333 5.00061 10.3495 0.0144 9.1460 16.5816 3.6771

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 10

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

70 Worcester 1 46.2073 306.806 38.0844 84.558 47.3889 58.7312 68.9111

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

70 73.3978 69.3441 65.3778 6.90519 2.5181 8.5516 7.6622 -1.8237 -7.1056

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 11

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 4 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

Within Covariance Matrix Information

Natural Log of the


Covariance Determinant of the
coast Matrix Rank Covariance Matrix

0 4 15.57201
1 4 15.47987
Pooled 4 15.80345

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 12

The DISCRIM Procedure


Test of Homogeneity of Within Covariance Matrices

Notation: K = Number of Groups

P = Number of Variables

N = Total Number of Observations - Number of Groups

N(i) = Number of Observations in the i'th Group - 1

__ N(i)/2
|| |Within SS Matrix(i)|
V = -----------------------------------
N/2
|Pooled SS Matrix|
_ _ 2
| 1 1 | 2P + 3P - 1
RHO = 1.0 - | SUM ----- - --- | -------------
|_ N(i) N _| 6(P+1)(K-1)

DF = .5(K-1)P(P+1)
_ _
| PN/2 |
| N V |
Under the null hypothesis: -2 RHO ln | ------------------ |
| __ PN(i)/2 |
|_ || N(i) _|

is distributed approximately as Chi-Square(DF).

Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

17.923615 10 0.0563

Since the Chi-Square value is significant at the 0.1 level, the within
covariance matrices will be used in the discriminant function.
Reference: Morrison, D.F. (1976) Multivariate Statistical
Methods p252.

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 13

The DISCRIM Procedure

Pairwise Generalized Squared Distances Between Groups

2 _ _ -1 _ _
D (i|j) = (X - X )' COV (X - X ) + ln |COV |
i j j i j j

Generalized Squared Distance to coast

From coast 0 1

0 15.57201 16.84623
1 17.37277 15.47987

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 14

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.GENERAL
Resubstitution Summary using Quadratic Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X ) + ln |COV |
j j j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 22 10 32
68.75 31.25 100.00
1 6 32 38
15.79 84.21 100.00

Total 28 42 70
40.00 60.00 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.3125 0.1579 0.2352


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 15


Effect of Coast on Mortality

The GLM Procedure

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 16


Effect of Coast on Mortality

The GLM Procedure


Multivariate Analysis of Variance

E = Error SSCP Matrix

newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

newcopd 8462.4470383 33646.228809 1190.5009748 9726.0940452


newcvd 33646.228809 849528.93547 24206.838565 58676.169704
newpneu 1190.5009748 24206.838565 3543.0990866 4755.8275604
newresp 9726.0940452 58676.169704 4755.8275604 14587.381199

Partial Correlation Coefficients from the Error SSCP Matrix / Prob > |r|

DF = 68 newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

newcopd 1.000000 0.396825 0.217415 0.875390


0.0007 0.0727 <.0001

newcvd 0.396825 1.000000 0.441222 0.527089


0.0007 0.0001 <.0001

newpneu 0.217415 0.441222 1.000000 0.661524


0.0727 0.0001 <.0001

newresp 0.875390 0.527089 0.661524 1.000000


<.0001 <.0001 <.0001

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 17


Effect of Coast on Mortality

The GLM Procedure


Multivariate Analysis of Variance

H = Type III SSCP Matrix for coast

newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

newcopd 1768.2279153 6593.3637208 1119.0089599 2917.2991868


newcvd 6593.3637208 24585.317752 4172.5577432 10878.017735
newpneu 1119.0089599 4172.5577432 708.15591226 1846.1895668
newresp 2917.2991868 10878.017735 1846.1895668 4813.0868605
Characteristic Roots and Vectors of: E Inverse * H, where
H = Type III SSCP Matrix for coast
E = Error SSCP Matrix

Characteristic Characteristic Vector V'EV=1


Root Percent newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

0.37951828 100.00 -0.06036113 -0.00040115 -0.05571805 0.06774461


0.00000000 0.00 -0.32885220 -0.00017496 -0.32745291 0.32532213
0.00000000 0.00 -0.00338330 0.00117676 0.00133345 -0.00112040
0.00000000 0.00 -0.00596076 -0.00038217 0.01580911 -0.00158734

MANOVA Test Criteria and Exact F Statistics for the Hypothesis of No Overall coast Effect
H = Type III SSCP Matrix for coast
E = Error SSCP Matrix

S=1 M=1 N=31.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.72489072 6.17 4 65 0.0003


Pillai's Trace 0.27510928 6.17 4 65 0.0003
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.37951828 6.17 4 65 0.0003
Roy's Greatest Root 0.37951828 6.17 4 65 0.0003

H = Type III SSCP Matrix for Intercept

newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

newcopd 70464.399683 513957.07904 40484.286518 111591.03139


newcvd 513957.07904 3748728.1561 295286.49559 813928.74701
newpneu 40484.286518 295286.49559 23259.652566 64112.989086
newresp 111591.03139 813928.74701 64112.989086 176721.27122

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 18


Effect of Coast on Mortality

The GLM Procedure


Multivariate Analysis of Variance

Characteristic Roots and Vectors of: E Inverse * H, where


H = Type III SSCP Matrix for Intercept
E = Error SSCP Matrix

Characteristic Characteristic Vector V'EV=1


Root Percent newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp

12.3556739 100.00 0.02139226 0.00011282 0.02318113 -0.01407612


0.0000000 0.00 -0.01084949 0.00112044 -0.00308131 0.00280836
0.0000000 0.00 -0.01208734 -0.00062723 0.00919855 0.00718428
0.0000000 0.00 -0.33333582 -0.00024662 -0.33158730 0.33191860

MANOVA Test Criteria and Exact F Statistics for the Hypothesis of No Overall Intercept Effect
H = Type III SSCP Matrix for Intercept
E = Error SSCP Matrix

S=1 M=1 N=31.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.07487454 200.78 4 65 <.0001


Pillai's Trace 0.92512546 200.78 4 65 <.0001
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 12.35567394 200.78 4 65 <.0001
Roy's Greatest Root 12.35567394 200.78 4 65 <.0001
MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 19
Effect of Coast on Mortality

The MEANS Procedure

N
coast Obs Variable N Mean Std Dev Minimum Maximum
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
0 32 newcopd 32 46.9256059 10.4654806 24.8226145 74.4175238
newcvd 32 342.2685421 104.0352160 170.4295948 706.4312769
newpneu 32 26.9604181 6.1229006 14.3832579 39.9480052
newresp 32 74.3137923 13.2431913 45.9742789 99.4803952

1 38 newcopd 38 36.8365308 11.7025433 15.8350620 77.1583167


newcvd 38 304.6484248 117.8645380 160.4619615 738.6820742
newpneu 38 20.5756272 8.0217809 7.3123619 38.0844329
newresp 38 57.6683982 15.7261493 32.7257948 110.2571727
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 20


Effect of Coast on Mortality

Obs city coast res1 res2 res3 res4

1 Akron 0 17.3589 -5.558 5.4581 22.9419


2 Chicago 0 -13.9130 -14.077 4.1923 -9.7766
3 Cincinnati 0 6.3572 10.436 5.5751 11.5046
4 Cleveland 0 -8.6180 85.715 -2.7850 -11.4003
5 ColumbusOH 0 -6.9809 -69.017 -7.3155 -14.4435
6 Colorado Springs 0 -3.2059 -171.839 -9.9368 -12.2163
7 Dayton 0 1.7273 6.172 4.3420 7.4303
8 Washington 0 -22.1030 -19.050 -5.8088 -28.3395
9 Denver 0 -6.0428 -136.290 -4.8482 -11.1055
10 Evansville 0 11.8220 246.370 4.4492 17.0067
11 Fort Wayne 0 -1.1216 -53.583 -3.7571 -4.7038
12 Grand Rapids 0 -11.0580 -55.328 6.6437 -3.6233
13 Indianapolis 0 6.8832 -19.997 -0.6952 6.1089
14 Johnstown 0 8.1210 364.163 3.8395 12.1880
15 Kansas CityMO 0 3.8048 -31.531 2.4041 6.1098
16 Kansas CityKS 0 -5.1222 -80.681 -1.6250 -7.1750
17 Knoxville 0 6.2113 -37.059 2.6183 8.9253
18 Las Vegas 0 -0.9875 -87.356 -7.0442 -8.4595
19 Lexington 0 -5.0849 -69.344 -1.6257 -7.1384
20 Lincoln 0 -7.7712 18.911 -12.5772 -20.7761
21 Louisville 0 17.0879 37.920 8.3623 25.1666
22 Little Rock 0 27.4919 -33.533 -7.3186 19.7455
23 Memphis 0 -14.0555 13.731 -0.7758 -15.0362
24 Nashville 0 -8.1463 -24.488 1.4661 -6.2306
25 Oklahoma City 0 3.9490 41.108 6.1989 10.0229
26 Omaha 0 5.4920 -69.827 -1.9380 3.7733
27 Philadelphia 0 -10.6171 32.217 4.5377 -6.4412
28 Phoenix 0 -0.3458 -85.771 -2.6126 -2.8980
29 Pittsburgh 0 7.5348 130.398 12.9876 20.4067
30 St. Louis 0 -7.0048 101.169 9.2268 2.3687
31 Toledo 0 8.8919 48.894 -3.4467 5.0175
32 Wichita 0 -0.5546 -72.875 -8.1912 -8.9527
33 Arlington 1 -21.0015 -144.186 -3.6849 -24.9426
34 Atlanta 1 -15.3097 -98.153 0.8162 -14.6822
35 Austin 1 -2.1194 -143.005 -8.3877 -10.2709
36 Bakersfield 1 10.7721 -15.218 -1.5322 9.2859
37 Baton Rouge 1 -14.5525 65.460 -0.7138 -15.5225
38 Boston 1 -7.2630 -62.407 8.8529 1.4786
39 Buffalo 1 5.6779 122.390 11.3102 17.1528
40 Charlotte 1 -5.0587 -88.099 8.1826 3.1552
41 ColumbusGA 1 10.9382 350.241 10.0217 20.7036
42 Corpus Christi 1 3.0174 -47.989 3.0179 5.7791
43 Dallas/Fort Worth 1 -5.8594 -88.451 -4.7180 -10.7622
44 El Paso 1 -6.9670 -105.567 -2.7716 -9.7006
45 Fresno 1 -1.1851 -38.826 -12.4446 -13.5107
46 Houston 1 -15.7519 -102.977 -8.0189 -23.7918
47 Huntsville 1 -6.8401 -37.572 0.0243 -7.0721
48 Jackson 1 -4.9386 133.948 9.7274 4.5326
49 Jersey City 1 -8.7566 -25.983 -3.6620 -12.6748
50 Kingston 1 9.8585 434.034 -2.0101 9.2799

MV EXAM2 18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 21


Effect of Coast on Mortality

Obs city coast res1 res2 res3 res4

51 Los Angeles 1 -6.4563 -39.105 -6.3730 -12.8649


52 Lafayette 1 -9.5404 -41.660 2.5211 -7.2755
53 Lake Charles 1 -1.9738 22.190 10.4740 8.2440
54 Miami 1 -0.9346 36.043 5.4743 4.4166
55 Modesto 1 8.1302 -10.910 -5.8104 2.5110
56 New York 1 -13.3137 44.511 10.6389 -2.8302
57 Oakland 1 -3.9359 -47.262 -9.1470 -13.2006
58 Riverside 1 12.9245 -2.718 -10.6752 2.0577
59 Sacramento 1 4.5203 -30.435 -2.6761 1.6696
60 San Antonio 1 -7.6894 -32.488 0.1002 -7.7018
61 San Bernardino 1 6.2772 -69.834 -13.2633 -7.0669
62 San Jose 1 -10.1514 -97.883 -8.9269 -19.2157
63 Shreveport 1 8.8163 47.449 7.3867 16.2322
64 Santa Ana/Anaheim 1 -7.1488 -72.873 -8.2086 -15.3677
65 Stockton 1 8.4085 19.696 -7.4457 1.0614
66 St. Petersburg 1 40.3218 179.246 11.8721 52.5888
67 Syracuse 1 16.8682 21.762 9.7984 27.5109
68 Tacoma 1 5.8278 -33.395 -1.5979 4.4017
69 Tampa 1 15.0180 -2.130 -5.6599 9.5023
70 Worcester 1 9.3708 2.158 17.5088 26.8897

MULTNORM macro: Univariate and Multivariate Normality Tests 22


18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009

The MODEL Procedure

Normality Test
Equation Test Statistic Value Prob

res1 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.96 0.0947


res2 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.83 <.0001
res3 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.97 0.1579
res4 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.96 0.1232
System Mardia Skewness 139.4 <.0001
Mardia Kurtosis 7.95 <.0001
Henze-Zirkler T 6.83 <.0001

MULTNORM macro: Chi-square Q-Q plot 23


18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009

Plot of mahdist*chisq. Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.


30 ˆ

‚ A




25 ˆ





S ‚
q 20 ˆ
u ‚
a ‚
r ‚
e ‚
d ‚

D 15 ˆ
i ‚ A A
s ‚
t ‚ A
a ‚ AA A
n ‚
c ‚
e 10 ˆ
‚ A
‚ A
‚ A
‚ A

‚ AA
5ˆ AA A
‚ BAA
‚ ABAAA
‚ BABBAB
‚ BBB
‚ BBCBBBB
‚ A ABABBBB

Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Chi-square quantile

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 24


PCA for Monthly Average Temperature

The PRINCOMP Procedure

Observations 70
Variables 6

Simple Statistics

TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep

Mean 58.94818708 66.59422317 74.11575284 79.25106210 77.18855826 70.98567120


StD 8.63420426 6.63610816 6.05594370 5.36009810 6.95429017 6.41753881

Covariance Matrix

TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep

TempApril 74.54948326 52.73167090 41.46605954 26.32568310 50.19128481 48.74207506


TempMay 52.73167090 44.03793148 37.99894263 28.17872912 42.23109172 39.88678788
TempJune 41.46605954 37.99894263 36.67445406 29.53024667 38.84360144 34.19826478
TempJuly 26.32568310 28.17872912 29.53024667 28.73065163 31.35367184 23.69063811
TempAug 50.19128481 42.23109172 38.84360144 31.35367184 48.36215179 39.40518827
TempSep 48.74207506 39.88678788 34.19826478 23.69063811 39.40518827 41.18480436

Total Variance 273.53947658

Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 240.547597 218.394415 0.8794 0.8794


2 22.153182 17.060157 0.0810 0.9604
3 5.093025 0.955167 0.0186 0.9790
4 4.137857 3.200044 0.0151 0.9941
5 0.937814 0.267811 0.0034 0.9976
6 0.670003 0.0024 1.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 25


PCA for Monthly Average Temperature

The PRINCOMP Procedure

Eigenvectors

Prin1 Prin2 Prin3 Prin4 Prin5 Prin6

TempApril 0.516475 -.647457 -.431514 0.123839 0.197359 0.271225


TempMay 0.422504 -.025767 0.065324 0.381422 -.192403 -.796277
TempJune 0.371905 0.328773 0.075812 0.328594 -.623603 0.500992
TempJuly 0.279665 0.639452 -.232952 0.218592 0.638239 0.059077
TempAug 0.429021 0.217752 -.224042 -.812513 -.196741 -.139449
TempSep 0.392631 -.125417 0.836253 -.152471 0.298485 0.135834

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 26


PCA for Monthly Average Temperature

The FACTOR Procedure


Initial Factor Method: Principal Components

Prior Communality Estimates: ONE

Eigenvalues of the Correlation Matrix: Total = 6 Average = 1

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 5.25001474 4.73909181 0.8750 0.8750


2 0.51092293 0.40330129 0.0852 0.9602
3 0.10762164 0.01748935 0.0179 0.9781
4 0.09013229 0.06373441 0.0150 0.9931
5 0.02639787 0.01148734 0.0044 0.9975
6 0.01491054 0.0025 1.0000

1 factor will be retained by the MINEIGEN criterion.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 27


PCA for Monthly Average Temperature

The FACTOR Procedure


Initial Factor Method: Principal Components

Scree Plot of Eigenvalues







‚ 1










E ‚
i ‚
g ‚
e ‚
n ‚
v3ˆ
a ‚
l ‚
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e ‚
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‚ 2


‚ 3 4
0ˆ 5 6
Šƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒ
0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Number

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 28


PCA for Monthly Average Temperature

The FACTOR Procedure


Initial Factor Method: Principal Components

Factor Pattern

Factor1

TempApril 0.89270
TempMay 0.98337
TempJune 0.97189
TempJuly 0.85385
TempAug 0.96272
TempSep 0.94107

Variance Explained by Each Factor

Factor1

5.2500147

Final Communality Estimates: Total = 5.250015

TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep

0.79691806 0.96700837 0.94457202 0.72906184 0.92683842 0.88561603

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 29


PCA for Monthly Average Ozone

The PRINCOMP Procedure


Observations 70
Variables 6

Simple Statistics

O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

Mean 2.867204331 6.606144213 4.862347903 4.839117060 4.860274651 1.093176544


StD 4.870968343 3.802739068 5.979171119 7.597983938 6.535203562 5.260907195

Covariance Matrix

O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

O3April 23.72633260 11.39312798 -3.85632986 -7.72979788 1.36407039 9.64344898


O3May 11.39312798 14.46082442 7.99450540 5.73552664 7.70482402 7.02882174
O3June -3.85632986 7.99450540 35.75048727 37.59784422 4.71539086 -6.10625848
O3July -7.72979788 5.73552664 37.59784422 57.72935992 7.81740222 -11.01889795
O3Aug 1.36407039 7.70482402 4.71539086 7.81740222 42.70888559 14.98348097
O3Sep 9.64344898 7.02882174 -6.10625848 -11.01889795 14.98348097 27.67714451

Total Variance 202.05303431

Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 91.4204695 34.1181979 0.4525 0.4525


2 57.3022716 27.7307075 0.2836 0.7361
3 29.5715640 17.1594150 0.1464 0.8824
4 12.4121490 4.6460029 0.0614 0.9438
5 7.7661461 4.1857120 0.0384 0.9823
6 3.5804341 0.0177 1.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 30


PCA for Monthly Average Ozone

The PRINCOMP Procedure

Eigenvectors

Prin1 Prin2 Prin3 Prin4 Prin5 Prin6

O3April -.124969 0.289350 0.699708 -.375257 0.271089 0.443577


O3May 0.098041 0.297491 0.422217 -.159242 -.318382 -.772589
O3June 0.574772 0.020593 0.195581 0.208177 -.646820 0.411396
O3July 0.773086 -.025798 0.033534 0.044283 0.612052 -.154855
O3Aug 0.141406 0.731448 -.530701 -.382715 -.062154 0.114064
O3Sep -.163555 0.540065 0.105453 0.801283 0.168218 0.010352

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 31


PCA for Monthly Average Ozone

The FACTOR Procedure


Initial Factor Method: Principal Components

Prior Communality Estimates: ONE

Eigenvalues of the Correlation Matrix: Total = 6 Average = 1


Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 2.09525561 0.02916709 0.3492 0.3492


2 2.06608852 1.02899216 0.3443 0.6936
3 1.03709635 0.62520164 0.1728 0.8664
4 0.41189472 0.15859958 0.0686 0.9351
5 0.25329514 0.11692547 0.0422 0.9773
6 0.13636967 0.0227 1.0000

3 factors will be retained by the MINEIGEN criterion.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 32


PCA for Monthly Average Ozone

The FACTOR Procedure


Initial Factor Method: Principal Components

Scree Plot of Eigenvalues






2.5 ˆ





‚ 1 2
2.0 ˆ




E ‚
i ‚
g 1.5 ˆ
e ‚
n ‚
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e 1.0 ˆ
s ‚





0.5 ˆ
‚ 4

‚ 5

‚ 6

0.0 ˆ



Šƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Number

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 33


PCA for Monthly Average Ozone
The FACTOR Procedure
Initial Factor Method: Principal Components

Factor Pattern

Factor1 Factor2 Factor3

O3April 0.73088 -0.25121 -0.54093


O3May 0.83665 0.28204 -0.30873
O3June 0.10673 0.93991 -0.08205
O3July -0.00900 0.94529 0.01804
O3Aug 0.56551 0.17983 0.72067
O3Sep 0.72788 -0.33779 0.35036

Variance Explained by Each Factor

Factor1 Factor2 Factor3

2.0952556 2.0660885 1.0370964

Final Communality Estimates: Total = 5.198440

O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

0.88989918 0.87484780 0.90155177 0.89397063 0.87151343 0.76665766

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 34


Data with PC scores from Temp and Ozone

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July TempAug

1 Akron 0 64.2845 336.711 32.4186 97.2557 51.4000 61.6129 70.0667 76.0968 68.4516
2 Arlington 1 15.8351 160.462 16.8907 32.7258 56.7667 67.4839 74.9333 83.2258 79.9032
3 Atlanta 1 21.5268 206.496 21.3919 42.9862 65.3667 69.1290 75.1667 79.3871 82.1290
4 Austin 1 34.7171 161.644 12.1879 47.3974 72.0000 76.6452 81.9667 83.4516 88.5161
5 Bakersfield 1 47.6086 289.430 19.0434 66.9543 58.0667 66.6452 73.9000 80.2258 77.8710
6 Baton Rouge 1 22.2840 370.108 19.8618 42.1459 72.0333 74.7419 80.5000 81.8710 85.2903
7 Boston 1 29.5735 242.242 29.4285 59.1470 49.4000 58.4194 71.2000 76.0323 71.6452
8 Buffalo 1 42.5145 427.039 31.8858 74.8212 46.1333 59.8387 68.5667 74.5806 68.0645
9 Charlotte 1 31.7778 216.549 28.7582 60.8236 62.2333 65.9677 73.6333 79.0645 79.6774
10 Chicago 0 33.0126 328.191 31.1527 64.5372 49.8000 61.8710 70.5667 78.5806 70.5484

Obs TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2 PCT3

1 63.7333 -2.59742 2.9776 9.3160 10.1753 -1.3167 -5.4473 -14.9869 0.67431 -0.74777
2 70.2667 -5.77401 3.3453 6.7535 13.4359 8.1736 -6.5235 1.5472 4.88127 -1.07394
3 73.3000 -4.00079 2.8535 -1.9897 -0.0305 13.6344 2.2994 7.8431 -3.00296 -1.72760
4 81.6667 8.26811 2.1398 -5.5971 -11.3581 9.2746 11.6430 24.1355 -2.31523 1.03536
5 77.2333 2.01369 10.1284 14.0376 13.9645 9.5357 16.2752 2.5044 0.48683 5.21203
6 76.3000 4.48913 13.4318 0.1609 -3.6472 8.2088 3.4473 18.8700 -3.81007 -2.61150
7 67.3667 6.72094 2.6733 7.3469 7.7088 3.5155 -3.5027 -14.1691 2.62259 2.33049
8 64.4667 2.51458 9.0380 13.3186 15.9207 1.0480 0.3954 -19.3166 2.49105 2.34841
9 69.3667 0.53066 2.7441 4.2031 3.6292 12.7265 -6.9343 1.6325 -1.64374 -3.36313
10 63.6667 1.25153 6.0385 7.6226 7.0373 -0.5158 0.0429 -13.9503 3.92124 -1.10673

Obs PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

1 3.34990 -0.46525 -0.06240 7.2086 -10.7570 -1.7173 0.9151 -0.65715 0.61300


2 -0.88940 0.67658 -1.13189 10.2075 -5.3432 -9.3266 -2.8348 1.24694 -1.56791
3 -2.23032 -0.07069 -0.11761 -6.1692 3.9501 -12.4227 -0.8587 0.44206 -1.19877
4 -1.88439 -0.61332 -0.41074 -20.7477 9.3629 -1.9257 2.5538 1.23829 4.66429
5 -1.45462 2.30347 0.42333 10.9585 12.3735 2.1102 12.4493 0.56094 -0.04786
6 0.00562 -1.30199 0.00649 -8.7079 6.3426 1.2839 -2.4453 -3.69869 -4.76767
7 -0.90634 -0.53725 2.55027 3.3409 -3.5435 1.8472 -3.3435 1.75667 5.12471
8 1.39937 -0.90051 -0.76557 13.2850 -2.6556 4.7551 2.8961 0.56255 -0.71447
9 -1.80680 -0.02224 0.57017 1.0243 -0.3890 -8.4562 -8.1418 -1.55721 2.67765
10 2.26395 0.01041 -0.60606 2.8437 -5.1358 1.9857 2.5846 -0.53973 -0.10706

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 35


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newcopd

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 13 3047.71424 234.43956 1.83 0.0610


Error 56 7182.96071 128.26716
Corrected Total 69 10231

Root MSE 11.32551 R-Square 0.2979


Dependent Mean 41.44868 Adj R-Sq 0.1349
Coeff Var 27.32417

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 20.28952 30.21802 0.67 0.5047


TempApril 1 -0.19539 0.96740 -0.20 0.8407
TempMay 1 -0.48570 1.67049 -0.29 0.7723
TempJune 1 -0.16807 1.57222 -0.11 0.9153
TempJuly 1 1.12896 1.19635 0.94 0.3494
TempAug 1 -1.52321 1.66760 -0.91 0.3649
TempSep 1 1.61922 1.07314 1.51 0.1370
O3April 1 0.15609 0.51604 0.30 0.7634
O3May 1 -0.03675 0.81499 -0.05 0.9642
O3June 1 -0.31666 0.69463 -0.46 0.6502
O3July 1 -0.16258 0.51643 -0.31 0.7541
O3Aug 1 -0.15963 0.66349 -0.24 0.8107
O3Sep 1 0.29670 0.38927 0.76 0.4491
coast 1 -12.50162 4.65428 -2.69 0.0095

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 36


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newcvd

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 13 236190 18168 1.59 0.1143


Error 56 637924 11391
Corrected Total 69 874114
Root MSE 106.73096 R-Square 0.2702
Dependent Mean 321.84619 Adj R-Sq 0.1008
Coeff Var 33.16210

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 -193.94372 284.77292 -0.68 0.4986


TempApril 1 10.72090 9.11669 1.18 0.2446
TempMay 1 -39.54714 15.74261 -2.51 0.0149
TempJune 1 26.74436 14.81647 1.81 0.0764
TempJuly 1 22.51034 11.27431 2.00 0.0507
TempAug 1 -24.88893 15.71541 -1.58 0.1189
TempSep 1 8.86207 10.11322 0.88 0.3846
O3April 1 -5.95457 4.86311 -1.22 0.2259
O3May 1 14.62094 7.68038 1.90 0.0621
O3June 1 -9.52123 6.54615 -1.45 0.1514
O3July 1 -0.69330 4.86684 -0.14 0.8872
O3Aug 1 -1.42830 6.25265 -0.23 0.8201
O3Sep 1 -0.95663 3.66843 -0.26 0.7952
coast 1 39.53147 43.86164 0.90 0.3713

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 37


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newpneu

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 13 2030.33507 156.17962 3.94 0.0002


Error 56 2220.91993 39.65928
Corrected Total 69 4251.25500

Root MSE 6.29756 R-Square 0.4776


Dependent Mean 23.49439 Adj R-Sq 0.3563
Coeff Var 26.80454

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 18.99406 16.80276 1.13 0.2631


TempApril 1 0.32595 0.53792 0.61 0.5470
TempMay 1 -0.98947 0.92888 -1.07 0.2913
TempJune 1 2.39558 0.87423 2.74 0.0082
TempJuly 1 0.19842 0.66523 0.30 0.7666
TempAug 1 -1.37459 0.92727 -1.48 0.1438
TempSep 1 -0.47947 0.59672 -0.80 0.4251
O3April 1 0.15236 0.28694 0.53 0.5975
O3May 1 -0.13786 0.45317 -0.30 0.7621
O3June 1 -0.54554 0.38625 -1.41 0.1634
O3July 1 0.17302 0.28716 0.60 0.5493
O3Aug 1 0.29330 0.36893 0.80 0.4300
O3Sep 1 -0.30819 0.21645 -1.42 0.1600
coast 1 -1.39572 2.58802 -0.54 0.5918

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 38


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newresp

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 13 7402.54091 569.42622 2.66 0.0058


Error 56 11998 214.24870
Corrected Total 69 19400

Root MSE 14.63724 R-Square 0.3816


Dependent Mean 65.27772 Adj R-Sq 0.2380
Coeff Var 22.42302

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 40.02573 39.05417 1.02 0.3098


TempApril 1 0.12833 1.25028 0.10 0.9186
TempMay 1 -1.50822 2.15896 -0.70 0.4877
TempJune 1 2.27612 2.03195 1.12 0.2674
TempJuly 1 1.33574 1.54617 0.86 0.3913
TempAug 1 -2.91614 2.15523 -1.35 0.1815
TempSep 1 1.12797 1.38694 0.81 0.4195
O3April 1 0.32036 0.66693 0.48 0.6329
O3May 1 -0.17657 1.05330 -0.17 0.8675
O3June 1 -0.85262 0.89775 -0.95 0.3463
O3July 1 0.00097820 0.66745 0.00 0.9988
O3Aug 1 0.11777 0.85750 0.14 0.8913
O3Sep 1 -0.00352 0.50309 -0.01 0.9944
coast 1 -13.97280 6.01525 -2.32 0.0238

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 39


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 1

Error Matrix (E)

7182.9607091 26200.250916 1232.2889422 8466.6544963


26200.250916 637923.87939 14196.002201 40972.094964
1232.2889422 14196.002201 2220.9199306 3462.4529769
8466.6544963 40972.094964 3462.4529769 11997.927153

Hypothesis Matrix (H)

3047.7142445 14039.341614 1077.2209926 4176.7387357


14039.341614 236190.37383 14183.394107 28582.092475
1077.2209926 14183.394107 2030.3350682 3139.5641502
4176.7387357 28582.092475 3139.5641502 7402.5409062
Multivariate Statistics and F Approximations

S=4 M=4 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.24917223 1.72 52 207.38 0.0041


Pillai's Trace 1.11977412 1.67 52 224 0.0057
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 1.78180977 1.77 52 145.56 0.0042
Roy's Greatest Root 0.95974748 4.13 13 56 <.0001

NOTE: F Statistic for Roy's Greatest Root is an upper bound.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 40


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 2

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.96444398 0.49 4 53 0.7441


Pillai's Trace 0.03555602 0.49 4 53 0.7441
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.03686686 0.49 4 53 0.7441
Roy's Greatest Root 0.03686686 0.49 4 53 0.7441

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 41


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 3

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.88980204 1.64 4 53 0.1777


Pillai's Trace 0.11019796 1.64 4 53 0.1777
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.12384548 1.64 4 53 0.1777
Roy's Greatest Root 0.12384548 1.64 4 53 0.1777

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 42


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 4

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.84234630 2.48 4 53 0.0549


Pillai's Trace 0.15765370 2.48 4 53 0.0549
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.18716019 2.48 4 53 0.0549
Roy's Greatest Root 0.18716019 2.48 4 53 0.0549

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 43


Regression Model Using PC Scores
The REG Procedure
Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 5

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.92653793 1.05 4 53 0.3901


Pillai's Trace 0.07346207 1.05 4 53 0.3901
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.07928662 1.05 4 53 0.3901
Roy's Greatest Root 0.07928662 1.05 4 53 0.3901

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 44


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 6

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.94200591 0.82 4 53 0.5209


Pillai's Trace 0.05799409 0.82 4 53 0.5209
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.06156447 0.82 4 53 0.5209
Roy's Greatest Root 0.06156447 0.82 4 53 0.5209

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 45


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 7

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.91390002 1.25 4 53 0.3019


Pillai's Trace 0.08609998 1.25 4 53 0.3019
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.09421160 1.25 4 53 0.3019
Roy's Greatest Root 0.09421160 1.25 4 53 0.3019

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 46


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 8

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.93289162 0.95 4 53 0.4409


Pillai's Trace 0.06710838 0.95 4 53 0.4409
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.07193588 0.95 4 53 0.4409
Roy's Greatest Root 0.07193588 0.95 4 53 0.4409
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 47
Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 9

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.91007588 1.31 4 53 0.2785


Pillai's Trace 0.08992412 1.31 4 53 0.2785
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.09880948 1.31 4 53 0.2785
Roy's Greatest Root 0.09880948 1.31 4 53 0.2785

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 48


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 10

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.93923011 0.86 4 53 0.4956


Pillai's Trace 0.06076989 0.86 4 53 0.4956
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.06470181 0.86 4 53 0.4956
Roy's Greatest Root 0.06470181 0.86 4 53 0.4956

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 49


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 11

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.98410336 0.21 4 53 0.9295


Pillai's Trace 0.01589664 0.21 4 53 0.9295
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.01615343 0.21 4 53 0.9295
Roy's Greatest Root 0.01615343 0.21 4 53 0.9295

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 50


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 12

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.97481245 0.34 4 53 0.8481


Pillai's Trace 0.02518755 0.34 4 53 0.8481
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.02583835 0.34 4 53 0.8481
Roy's Greatest Root 0.02583835 0.34 4 53 0.8481

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 51


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 13

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.93532901 0.92 4 53 0.4615


Pillai's Trace 0.06467099 0.92 4 53 0.4615
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.06914251 0.92 4 53 0.4615
Roy's Greatest Root 0.06914251 0.92 4 53 0.4615

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 52


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 14

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=25.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.82519020 2.81 4 53 0.0346


Pillai's Trace 0.17480980 2.81 4 53 0.0346
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.21184182 2.81 4 53 0.0346
Roy's Greatest Root 0.21184182 2.81 4 53 0.0346

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 53


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Dependent Variable: newcopd

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 7 2691.18077 384.45440 3.16 0.0064


Error 62 7539.49419 121.60474
Corrected Total 69 10231

Root MSE 11.02745 R-Square 0.2631


Dependent Mean 41.44868 Adj R-Sq 0.1798
Coeff Var 26.60508

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 48.11297 2.35922 20.39 <.0001


PCT1 1 0.13659 0.14265 0.96 0.3420
PCT2 1 -0.02778 0.45660 -0.06 0.9517
PCO1 1 -0.01593 0.23089 -0.07 0.9452
PCO2 1 -0.26565 0.22445 -1.18 0.2411
PCO3 1 0.41358 0.26720 1.55 0.1268
PCO4 1 0.69546 0.37992 1.83 0.0720
coast 1 -12.27632 3.60446 -3.41 0.0012

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 54


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Dependent Variable: newcvd

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 7 106907 15272 1.23 0.2981


Error 62 767207 12374
Corrected Total 69 874114

Root MSE 111.23989 R-Square 0.1223


Dependent Mean 321.84619 Adj R-Sq 0.0232
Coeff Var 34.56306

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 328.24533 23.79872 13.79 <.0001


PCT1 1 0.88349 1.43895 0.61 0.5415
PCT2 1 2.34210 4.60600 0.51 0.6129
PCO1 1 0.03544 2.32912 0.02 0.9879
PCO2 1 -4.82485 2.26414 -2.13 0.0371
PCO3 1 -0.93247 2.69542 -0.35 0.7306
PCO4 1 2.95725 3.83243 0.77 0.4433
coast 1 -11.78788 36.36016 -0.32 0.7469

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 55


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Dependent Variable: newpneu

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 7 1539.98653 219.99808 5.03 0.0001


Error 62 2711.26847 43.73014
Corrected Total 69 4251.25500

Root MSE 6.61288 R-Square 0.3622


Dependent Mean 23.49439 Adj R-Sq 0.2902
Coeff Var 28.14662

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 24.82633 1.41476 17.55 <.0001


PCT1 1 0.02900 0.08554 0.34 0.7358
PCT2 1 0.27819 0.27381 1.02 0.3136
PCO1 1 -0.04426 0.13846 -0.32 0.7503
PCO2 1 -0.38240 0.13460 -2.84 0.0061
PCO3 1 -0.36996 0.16023 -2.31 0.0243
PCO4 1 -0.24137 0.22783 -1.06 0.2935
coast 1 -2.45358 2.16150 -1.14 0.2607

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 56


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Dependent Variable: newresp

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 7 6433.51824 919.07403 4.39 0.0005


Error 62 12967 209.14435
Corrected Total 69 19400

Root MSE 14.46182 R-Square 0.3316


Dependent Mean 65.27772 Adj R-Sq 0.2562
Coeff Var 22.15430

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 73.31611 3.09397 23.70 <.0001


PCT1 1 0.16035 0.18707 0.86 0.3947
PCT2 1 0.26899 0.59881 0.45 0.6548
PCO1 1 -0.06609 0.30280 -0.22 0.8280
PCO2 1 -0.65850 0.29435 -2.24 0.0289
PCO3 1 0.05854 0.35042 0.17 0.8679
PCO4 1 0.46664 0.49824 0.94 0.3526
coast 1 -14.80757 4.72703 -3.13 0.0026

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 57


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 15

Error Matrix (E)

7539.4941866 29085.936933 1285.9646192 8876.7069283


29085.936933 767207.46523 17876.798444 47584.083796
1285.9646192 17876.798444 2711.268467 4013.9030106
8876.7069283 47584.083796 4013.9030106 12966.949821

Hypothesis Matrix (H)

2691.1807669 11153.655597 1023.5453156 3766.6863037


11153.655597 106906.78799 10502.597864 21970.103643
1023.5453156 10502.597864 1539.9865318 2588.1141165
3766.6863037 21970.103643 2588.1141165 6433.5182383

Multivariate Statistics and F Approximations

S=4 M=1 N=28.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.40016927 2.21 28 214.15 0.0008


Pillai's Trace 0.77299870 2.12 28 248 0.0013
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 1.10449325 2.28 28 138.03 0.0009
Roy's Greatest Root 0.61881147 5.48 7 62 <.0001

NOTE: F Statistic for Roy's Greatest Root is an upper bound.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 58


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 16

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=28.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.95476897 0.70 4 59 0.5959


Pillai's Trace 0.04523103 0.70 4 59 0.5959
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.04737379 0.70 4 59 0.5959
Roy's Greatest Root 0.04737379 0.70 4 59 0.5959

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 59


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 17

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=28.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.95974123 0.62 4 59 0.6509


Pillai's Trace 0.04025877 0.62 4 59 0.6509
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.04194752 0.62 4 59 0.6509
Roy's Greatest Root 0.04194752 0.62 4 59 0.6509

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 60


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 18

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=28.5


Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.98808517 0.18 4 59 0.9490


Pillai's Trace 0.01191483 0.18 4 59 0.9490
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.01205851 0.18 4 59 0.9490
Roy's Greatest Root 0.01205851 0.18 4 59 0.9490

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 61


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 19

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=28.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.86059448 2.39 4 59 0.0610


Pillai's Trace 0.13940552 2.39 4 59 0.0610
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.16198747 2.39 4 59 0.0610
Roy's Greatest Root 0.16198747 2.39 4 59 0.0610

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 62


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 20

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=28.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.82493451 3.13 4 59 0.0211


Pillai's Trace 0.17506549 3.13 4 59 0.0211
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.21221745 3.13 4 59 0.0211
Roy's Greatest Root 0.21221745 3.13 4 59 0.0211

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 63


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 21

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=28.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.90040515 1.63 4 59 0.1783


Pillai's Trace 0.09959485 1.63 4 59 0.1783
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.11061116 1.63 4 59 0.1783
Roy's Greatest Root 0.11061116 1.63 4 59 0.1783

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 64


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL2
Multivariate Test 22

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics


S=1 M=1 N=28.5

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.82627376 3.10 4 59 0.0220


Pillai's Trace 0.17372624 3.10 4 59 0.0220
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.21025263 3.10 4 59 0.0220
Roy's Greatest Root 0.21025263 3.10 4 59 0.0220

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 65


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newcopd

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 2 1982.23971 991.11986 8.05 0.0007


Error 67 8248.43524 123.11097
Corrected Total 69 10231

Root MSE 11.09554 R-Square 0.1938


Dependent Mean 41.44868 Adj R-Sq 0.1697
Coeff Var 26.76934

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 47.53327 2.01485 23.59 <.0001


PCO3 1 0.33993 0.25782 1.32 0.1918
coast 1 -11.20846 2.79424 -4.01 0.0002

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 66


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newcvd

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 2 27557 13779 1.09 0.3419


Error 67 846557 12635
Corrected Total 69 874114

Root MSE 112.40632 R-Square 0.0315


Dependent Mean 321.84619 Adj R-Sq 0.0026
Coeff Var 34.92548
Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 340.00412 20.41201 16.66 <.0001


PCO3 1 -1.26673 2.61194 -0.48 0.6293
coast 1 -33.44881 28.30781 -1.18 0.2415

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 67


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newpneu

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 2 973.00012 486.50006 9.94 0.0002


Error 67 3278.25487 48.92918
Corrected Total 69 4251.25500

Root MSE 6.99494 R-Square 0.2289


Dependent Mean 23.49439 Adj R-Sq 0.2059
Coeff Var 29.77281

Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 26.28443 1.27022 20.69 <.0001


PCO3 1 -0.37815 0.16254 -2.33 0.0230
coast 1 -5.13954 1.76157 -2.92 0.0048

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 68


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: newresp

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Analysis of Variance

Sum of Mean
Source DF Squares Square F Value Pr > F

Model 2 4813.98986 2406.99493 11.06 <.0001


Error 67 14586 217.70863
Corrected Total 69 19400

Root MSE 14.75495 R-Square 0.2481


Dependent Mean 65.27772 Adj R-Sq 0.2257
Coeff Var 22.60335
Parameter Estimates

Parameter Standard
Variable DF Estimate Error t Value Pr > |t|

Intercept 1 74.27432 2.67937 27.72 <.0001


PCO3 1 -0.02208 0.34285 -0.06 0.9488
coast 1 -16.57268 3.71581 -4.46 <.0001

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 69


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 1

Error Matrix (E)

8248.4352399 34443.727254 1428.5761439 9739.9955879


34443.727254 846557.11908 23319.669827 58624.366679
1428.5761439 23319.669827 3278.2548744 4740.3629358
9739.9955879 58624.366679 4740.3629358 14586.478198

Hypothesis Matrix (H)

1982.2397136 5795.8652761 880.93379085 2903.3976441


5795.8652761 27557.134138 5059.7264811 10929.82076
880.93379085 5059.7264811 973.00012443 1861.6541914
2903.3976441 10929.82076 1861.6541914 4813.9898616

Multivariate Statistics and F Approximations

S=2 M=0.5 N=31

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.60171700 4.63 8 128 <.0001


Pillai's Trace 0.44493264 4.65 8 130 <.0001
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.58438328 4.63 8 89.135 <.0001
Roy's Greatest Root 0.38078287 6.19 4 65 0.0003

NOTE: F Statistic for Roy's Greatest Root is an upper bound.


NOTE: F Statistic for Wilks' Lambda is exact.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 70


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 2

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=31

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.83007961 3.28 4 64 0.0166


Pillai's Trace 0.16992039 3.28 4 64 0.0166
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.20470373 3.28 4 64 0.0166
Roy's Greatest Root 0.20470373 3.28 4 64 0.0166

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 71


Regression Model Using PC Scores

The REG Procedure


Model: MODEL1
Multivariate Test 3

Multivariate Statistics and Exact F Statistics

S=1 M=1 N=31

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.73775886 5.69 4 64 0.0006


Pillai's Trace 0.26224114 5.69 4 64 0.0006
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 0.35545645 5.69 4 64 0.0006
Roy's Greatest Root 0.35545645 5.69 4 64 0.0006

MULTNORM macro: Univariate and Multivariate Normality Tests 72


18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009

The MODEL Procedure

Normality Test
Equation Test Statistic Value Prob

res1 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.96 0.0580


res2 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.83 <.0001
res3 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.97 0.2716
res4 Shapiro-Wilk W 0.96 0.1260
System Mardia Skewness 137.5 <.0001
Mardia Kurtosis 7.52 <.0001
Henze-Zirkler T 6.79 <.0001

MULTNORM macro: Chi-square Q-Q plot 73


18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009

Plot of mahdist*chisq. Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.


30 ˆ



‚ A


25 ˆ





S ‚
q 20 ˆ
u ‚
a ‚
r ‚
e ‚
d ‚

D 15 ˆ A
i ‚
s ‚ A A
t ‚
a ‚ A
n ‚ A
c ‚
e 10 ˆ A
‚ AA
‚ AA



‚ AA
5ˆ AA
‚ AAAA
‚ AABAAAA
‚ AABBAA
‚ BBBA
‚ BBCBBBB
‚ A ABABBBB

Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Chi-square quantile

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 74


Plots of first two PC's to determine Number of Clusters

Plot of PCT1*PCT2. Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.

PCT1 ‚

40 ˆ



‚ A
30 ˆ

‚ A
‚ C A
‚ A AA A
20 ˆ A A
‚ A
‚ AA A
‚ A A A
‚ A
10 ˆ
‚ AA A
‚ A
‚ A A
‚ AA A A
0ˆ A A
‚ A A A
‚ AB A AA
‚ AA A B A
‚ AA
-10 ˆ B AA
‚ AA
‚ AA A A A
‚ A
‚ AA A
-20 ˆ A


‚ B A
‚ A
-30 ˆ
‚ A



-40 ˆ

Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10

PCT2

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 75


Plots of first two PC's to determine Number of Clusters
Plot of PCO1*PCO2. Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.

PCO1 ‚

20 ˆ

‚ A A

15 ˆ A
‚ A A

‚ AA A
10 ˆ A A AA
‚ A
‚ A A A
‚ A AB
5ˆ A A AA
‚ A A A
‚ A A A A A
‚ A A B A AA A A
0ˆ A A
‚ A A A
‚ A
‚ A A
-5 ˆ A A
‚ A A A A A A

‚ A A
-10 ˆ
‚ A
‚ A A
‚ AA
-15 ˆ
‚ A A


-20 ˆ
‚ A A
‚ A A

-25 ˆ

Šˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒ
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20

PCO2

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 76


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 240.547597 218.394415 0.8794 0.8794


2 22.153182 17.060157 0.0810 0.9604
3 5.093025 0.955167 0.0186 0.9790
4 4.137857 3.200044 0.0151 0.9941
5 0.937814 0.267811 0.0034 0.9976
6 0.670003 0.0024 1.0000

Root-Mean-Square Total-Sample Standard Deviation = 6.75203


Root-Mean-Square Distance Between Observations = 23.38972

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

69 Kingston New York 2 0.0000 1.00 .


. . . 0 T
68 Oakland San Jose 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. . . 0 T
67 Los Angeles Santa Ana/Anaheim 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. . . 0 T
66 St. Petersburg Tampa 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. . . 0
65 Sacramento Stockton 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 5429 . 0.0315
64 Modesto CL65 3 0.0000 1.00 .
. 2192 2.0 0.0419
63 Lincoln Omaha 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1452 . 0.0487
62 Cincinnati Indianapolis 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1140 . 0.0507
61 Akron Pittsburgh 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 913 . 0.0582
60 Johnstown Syracuse 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 776 . 0.0611
59 Fort Wayne Toledo 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 650 . 0.0712
58 Houston Lafayette 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 567 . 0.0739
57 Jersey City CL69 3 0.0001 1.00 .
. 476 . 0.0775

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 77


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

56 ColumbusGA Jackson 2 0.0001 .999 .


. 440 . 0.0791
55 CL61 Cleveland 3 0.0001 .999 .
. 400 2.4 0.083
54 Baton Rouge Lake Charles 2 0.0001 .999 .
. 379 . 0.0833
53 CL62 ColumbusOH 3 0.0001 .999 .
. 347 3.9 0.0906
52 Evansville Lexington 2 0.0001 .999 .
. 329 . 0.0944
51 Kansas CityMO Kansas CityKS 2 0.0001 .999 .
. 316 . 0.0957
50 Corpus Christi CL66 3 0.0002 .999 .
. 291 . 0.1014
49 Little Rock Memphis 2 0.0001 .998 .
. 282 . 0.1017
48 CL57 Philadelphia 4 0.0002 .998 .
. 266 3.6 0.1041
47 Atlanta Huntsville 2 0.0002 .998 .
. 260 . 0.1045
46 Austin San Antonio 2 0.0002 .998 .
. 256 . 0.106
45 Chicago CL59 3 0.0002 .998 .
. 249 2.7 0.1079
44 Charlotte Knoxville 2 0.0002 .998 .
. 246 . 0.1092
43 Buffalo CL60 3 0.0002 .997 .
. 240 4.0 0.1096
42 CL56 Shreveport 3 0.0002 .997 .
. 236 2.4 0.1138
41 Colorado Springs Denver 2 0.0002 .997 .
. 233 . 0.1215
40 CL53 Dayton 4 0.0003 .997 .
. 226 3.1 0.124
39 CL43 Worcester 4 0.0003 .996 .
. 221 2.1 0.1274
38 Bakersfield Fresno 2 0.0002 .996 .
. 220 . 0.129
37 CL55 CL45 6 0.0006 .995 .
. 202 5.5 0.1379
36 CL54 CL58 4 0.0005 .995 .
. 193 5.3 0.1402

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 78


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

35 Louisville St. Louis 2 0.0003 .995 .


. 192 .
0.1522
34 CL39 Grand Rapids 5 0.0005 .994 .
. 187 2.4 0.1557
33 CL64 San Bernardino 4 0.0006 .994 .
. 181 26.0 0.1628
32 Arlington CL35 3 0.0004 .993 .
. 180 1.2 0.1651
31 CL42 CL49 5 0.0008 .992 .
. 171 5.1 0.1697
30 CL50 Miami 4 0.0006 .992 .
. 168 5.8 0.1703
29 Washington CL51 3 0.0006 .991 .
. 167 4.3 0.1786
28 CL29 CL48 7 0.0013 .990 .
. 154 6.3 0.1923
27 CL40 CL52 6 0.0012 .989 .
. 146 8.0 0.1932
26 CL46 CL36 6 0.0011 .988 .
. 141 5.6 0.1952
25 CL47 Nashville 3 0.0007 .987 .
. 141 4.7 0.2029
24 CL27 CL28 13 0.0032 .984 .
. 120 8.6 0.2374
23 CL37 CL34 11 0.0034 .980 .
. 106 15.1 0.2378
22 CL23 Boston 12 0.0011 .979 .
. 107 2.0 0.2436
21 CL26 CL30 10 0.0034 .976 .
. 98.2 10.0 0.2596
20 CL25 Oklahoma City 4 0.0013 .974 .
. 100 2.9 0.2649
19 CL32 Wichita 4 0.0014 .973 .
. 102 3.8 0.273
18 CL31 El Paso 6 0.0018 .971 .
. 103 5.8 0.2896
17 CL19 CL44 6 0.0024 .969 .
. 103 4.1 0.2906
16 CL24 CL63 15 0.0036 .965 .
. 99.5 6.3 0.3031
15 CL68 Tacoma 3 0.0021 .963 .
. 102 . 0.3328

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 79


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

14 CL18 Riverside 7 0.0026 .960 .949


2.19 104 4.3 0.3515
13 CL17 CL20 10 0.0056 .955 .945
1.67 100 6.4 0.3564
12 CL13 CL38 12 0.0046 .950 .941
1.50 100 3.6 0.378
11 CL21 Dallas/Fort Worth 11 0.0033 .947 .936
1.66 105 4.9 0.3846
10 CL67 CL33 6 0.0063 .940 .930
1.45 105 41.7 0.4115
9 CL11 CL14 18 0.0186 .922 .923
-.16 89.9 19.6 0.4564
8 CL22 CL16 27 0.0336 .888 .915
-2.5 70.4 47.6 0.4669
7 Las Vegas Phoenix 2 0.0033 .885 .904
-1.7 80.8 . 0.4773
6 CL8 CL10 33 0.0273 .858 .890
-2.5 77.1 14.6 0.5451
5 CL6 CL12 45 0.0844 .773 .870
-5.5 55.4 35.3 0.6857
4 CL9 CL7 20 0.0205 .753 .842
-4.6 67.0 9.9 0.7172
3 CL41 CL15 5 0.0170 .736 .794
-1.9 93.3 21.7 0.7192
2 CL5 CL3 50 0.1286 .607 .667
-1.6 105 29.9 1.1237
1 CL2 CL4 70 0.6072 .000 .000
0.00 . 105 1.3406

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 80


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures

Plot of _CCC_*_NCL_. Symbol is value of _NCL_.






‚ 1

C ‚ 11
u ‚ 11
b ‚
i 1ˆ
c ‚

C ‚
l 0ˆ 1
u ‚ 9
s ‚
t ‚
e -1 ˆ
r ‚
i ‚ 2
n ‚ 7
g -2 ˆ 3

C ‚ 68
r ‚
i -3 ˆ
t ‚
e ‚
r ‚
i -4 ˆ
o ‚
n ‚ 4

-5 ˆ

‚ 5

-6 ˆ

Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Number of Clusters

NOTE: 125 obs had missing values.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 81


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 61.53333333 68.32258065 75.90000000 82.41935484 84.96774194 71.36666667
2 58.51666667 64.82258065 71.73333333 74.33870968 74.90322581 73.41666667
3 61.20000000 75.58064516 85.46666667 88.41935484 88.19354839 81.93333333
4 69.63333333 72.19354839 80.03333333 83.12903226 86.12903226 75.50000000
5 66.13333333 80.03225806 89.13333333 91.45161290 93.22580645 87.63333333
6 78.00000000 78.83870968 81.06666667 84.16129032 83.80645161 82.10000000
7 58.81666667 63.38709677 65.66666667 71.51612903 70.09677419 68.60000000
8 49.06666667 61.22580645 69.56666667 74.90322581 68.00000000 62.96666667
9 54.80000000 55.67741935 59.83333333 62.19354839 64.09677419 63.86666667
10 42.53333333 53.48387097 63.03333333 71.32258065 69.03225806 57.90000000
11 53.08888889 62.62365591 73.07777778 80.87096774 75.84946237 69.56666667

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 1.5757

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 10 2.0489 6.0740 2 9.0021
2 5 1.6267 6.2134 1 9.0021
3 2 2.4135 4.1804 4 9.6229
4 9 1.9133 7.2480 6 8.5285
5 1 . 0 3 14.0939
6 8 1.3488 4.5910 4 8.5285
7 2 0 0 2 10.9251
8 12 1.3755 4.3986 11 10.1381
9 3 1.8350 5.1901 10 16.3540
10 2 0.8203 1.4208 8 14.0807
11 16 1.6956 6.6970 2 9.1851
Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
TempApril 8.63420 2.21434 0.943760 16.780915
TempMay 6.63611 1.27664 0.968354 30.599945
TempJune 6.05594 1.18205 0.967423 29.696715
TempJuly 5.36010 1.49190 0.933757 14.096017
TempAug 6.95429 1.99991 0.929284 13.141115

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 82


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
TempSep 6.41754 1.69823 0.940123 15.700985
OVER-ALL 6.75203 1.68522 0.946735 17.773921

Pseudo F Statistic = 104.87

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.68370

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 40.670

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 61.29333333 67.76774194 75.58000000 81.32258065 79.92903226 72.01333333
2 58.48422222 65.41397850 71.93466667 75.80795699 75.44688172 73.96733333
3 62.08571429 74.59216590 82.29523810 86.92857143 86.42857143 81.36904762
4 68.48148148 72.94086022 80.05000000 83.06093190 84.98745520 76.18333333
5 66.13333333 80.03225806 89.13333333 91.45161290 93.22580645 87.63333333
6 74.01250000 77.55241936 81.82500000 83.38709677 85.49596774 80.35000000
7 58.81666667 63.38709677 65.66666667 71.51612903 70.09677419 68.60000000
8 49.40740741 60.90501792 70.10648148 76.12455197 69.37544803 64.75648148
9 52.78888889 54.48387096 59.33333333 62.35483871 64.40860215 62.92222222
10 42.56250000 53.90725807 63.22500000 72.24731183 69.83870968 58.44444445
11 54.26666667 63.86525538 72.92465278 80.45430107 75.38340054 67.51701389

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 83


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2.913646055 1.099806057 0.968924567 1.806259591 2.311342787 2.438133265
2 0.478633858 1.210382109 1.119676539 2.745233058 1.419320950 1.838046734
3 1.252589154 1.397920776 4.485077303 2.108286117 2.496054354 0.798020511
4 2.826897647 1.568522471 1.074192203 1.507671542 2.452604555 1.438797725
5 . . . . . .
6 2.041392110 1.003848326 0.597813477 0.535356156 1.738513236 1.440238076
7 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.000000000
8 1.987346806 1.372243351 0.912962620 1.547813096 1.029836464 1.109235370
9 3.483346622 2.067286447 0.866025404 0.279363029 0.540101864 1.635825767
10 0.041247900 0.598759772 0.271057604 1.307767376 1.140494811 0.769960718
11 1.818220537 1.186113737 1.326198455 1.124188277 2.460072118 1.860887736

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 84


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures
11 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1042.78
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 85


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 54.80000000 55.67741935 59.83333333 62.19354839 64.09677419 63.86666667
2 56.20000000 65.45161290 73.30000000 82.51612903 81.48387097 67.23333333
3 62.97142857 73.60368664 79.12380952 85.43778802 84.66359447 80.80476190
4 78.00000000 78.83870968 81.06666667 84.16129032 83.80645161 82.10000000
5 58.81666667 63.38709677 65.66666667 71.51612903 70.09677419 68.60000000
6 42.53333333 53.48387097 63.03333333 71.32258065 69.03225806 57.90000000
7 66.13333333 80.03225806 89.13333333 91.45161290 93.22580645 87.63333333

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.2976

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 3 1.8350 5.1901 6 16.9724
2 24 2.3985 9.8498 5 10.1841
3 11 2.1764 8.3718 4 11.4727
4 11 1.7302 8.3212 3 11.4727
5 12 2.3120 8.2913 6 8.8515
6 7 2.5393 7.8255 5 8.8515
7 2 3.2224 11.1628 4 14.6483

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
TempApril 8.63420 2.78129 0.905259 9.555044
TempMay 6.63611 1.92274 0.923351 12.046466
TempJune 6.05594 1.82038 0.917501 11.121329
TempJuly 5.36010 2.29335 0.832857 4.982899
TempAug 6.95429 1.99256 0.925044 12.341137
TempSep 6.41754 2.62731 0.846970 5.534684
OVER-ALL 6.75203 2.26858 0.896930 8.702160

Pseudo F Statistic = 91.37

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 86


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.58008

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 39.048

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 52.78888889 54.48387096 59.33333333 62.35483871 64.40860215 62.92222222
2 56.73606482 65.16173835 73.49912037 79.77585125 76.49923835 70.17861111
3 65.65952381 71.00795978 78.23549784 82.47821533 83.22748220 74.88679654
4 73.15000000 76.74340176 81.62878788 83.41495601 85.96041056 79.65757576
5 52.47962963 62.04569892 69.98240741 76.88799283 70.68548387 65.55462963
6 46.04960317 58.40514593 67.60396826 74.07680492 69.03993855 62.81904762
7 63.66666667 77.80645161 87.30000000 89.93548387 90.70967742 84.78333333

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 3.483346622 2.067286447 0.866025404 0.279363029 0.540101864 1.635825767
2 2.668725412 1.621903295 1.547236310 2.729201535 2.271558855 3.124588994
3 2.778721179 2.091273831 1.828891790 1.718547848 1.995731202 2.458299229
4 2.467668717 1.645010344 0.720034372 1.099193038 2.034859621 1.816289924
5 3.163535874 1.423777322 2.167531337 2.999754590 1.712476269 1.845876640
6 2.546336244 3.184729020 3.032364374 1.564019412 0.885878696 3.104395624
7 3.488393451 3.147765669 2.592724860 2.144130237 3.558343799 4.030508653

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 87


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperatures
7 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
2217.25
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 88


Plot of first 2 PCs: Clustered by Temp

Plot of PCT1*PCT2. Symbol is value of CLUSTER.

PCT1 ‚

40 ˆ



‚ 1
30 ˆ

‚ 4
‚ 4 4
‚ 4 44 4
20 ˆ 4 1
‚ 4
‚ 77 7
‚ 7 7 7
‚ 7
10 ˆ
‚ 88 8
‚ 8
‚ 8 8
‚ 88 8 8
0ˆ 8 8
‚ 5 1 1
‚ 55 1 11
‚ 11 1 1 1
‚ 11
-10 ˆ 3 11
‚ 66
‚ 66 6 6 6
‚ 6
‚ 66 6
-20 ˆ 6


‚ 2 9
‚ 9
-30 ˆ
‚ 2



-40 ˆ

Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10

PCT2

NOTE: 6 obs hidden.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 89


Cities in their Clusters

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

1 Cincinnati 55.3000 63.7742 73.2667 79.1935 72.9677 67.0667 1 CL16


2 ColumbusOH 55.1667 65.0323 74.7333 80.3548 73.3226 68.1000 1 CL16
3 Dayton 53.8333 63.8065 72.7333 78.6452 71.5806 67.0000 1 CL16
4 Evansville 58.0000 65.6452 74.7667 79.6452 74.6129 68.5000 1 CL16
5 Indianapolis 55.2667 64.5484 74.0000 79.5161 72.6129 67.2667 1 CL16
6 Jersey City 53.5667 63.5484 74.3667 81.0968 76.5484 69.5333 1 CL16
7 Kansas CityKS 53.6667 64.3387 72.6167 82.0000 77.8871 65.8167 1 CL16
8 Kansas CityMO 54.8000 63.6452 71.7667 81.1613 76.5484 65.9667 1 CL16
9 Kingston 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 1 CL16
10 Lexington 56.7000 65.5161 73.6667 79.8065 75.9355 68.9333 1 CL16
11 Lincoln 51.0667 61.8710 70.4000 80.8387 74.1935 64.1333 1 CL16
12 New York 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 1 CL16
13 Omaha 51.5556 62.2581 70.8222 80.6882 73.3548 64.0889 1 CL16
14 Philadelphia 53.8000 64.1613 73.1000 81.3871 77.7097 70.1667 1 CL16
15 Washington 53.1667 63.0000 71.1000 78.6774 75.6774 67.3333 1 CL16
16 Oakland 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 2 CL15
17 San Jose 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 2 CL15
18 Tacoma 48.7667 52.0968 58.3333 62.6774 65.0323 61.0333 2 CL15
19 Los Angeles 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 3 CL67
20 Santa Ana/Anaheim 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 3 CL67
21 Austin 72.0000 76.6452 81.9667 83.4516 88.5161 81.6667 4 CL11
22 Baton Rouge 72.0333 74.7419 80.5000 81.8710 85.2903 76.3000 4 CL11
23 Corpus Christi 74.9000 78.8387 82.9667 82.9355 84.3871 79.8000 4 CL11
24 Dallas/Fort Worth 68.2833 73.8871 82.1167 86.0484 90.2097 79.2667 4 CL11
25 Houston 73.1667 76.7742 82.1667 83.3226 87.0968 78.1667 4 CL11
26 Lafayette 73.4000 76.9032 81.5667 82.5161 85.7419 78.4333 4 CL11
27 Lake Charles 72.2333 75.1290 80.7000 82.5484 86.0968 77.8667 4 CL11
28 Miami 78.0000 78.8387 81.0667 84.1613 83.8065 82.1000 4 CL11
29 San Antonio 71.4333 76.3548 82.0667 83.0968 86.4194 80.5667 4 CL11
30 St. Petersburg 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 4 CL11
31 Tampa 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 4 CL11
32 Modesto 58.5167 64.8226 71.7333 74.3387 74.9032 73.4167 5 CL33
33 Sacramento 58.3267 64.2581 71.2067 73.6258 74.4387 73.2867 5 CL33
34 San Bernardino 59.2889 66.7957 71.2667 76.7312 75.5054 72.8778 5 CL33
35 Stockton 58.2222 64.5484 71.5667 74.1183 74.5161 73.0222 5 CL33
36 Akron 51.4000 61.6129 70.0667 76.0968 68.4516 63.7333 6 CL22
37 Boston 49.4000 58.4194 71.2000 76.0323 71.6452 67.3667 6 CL22
38 Buffalo 46.1333 59.8387 68.5667 74.5806 68.0645 64.4667 6 CL22
39 Chicago 49.8000 61.8710 70.5667 78.5806 70.5484 63.6667 6 CL22
40 Cleveland 50.5667 61.2581 70.4000 76.4194 69.3548 65.1667 6 CL22
41 Fort Wayne 51.5000 62.5806 71.6333 78.6129 69.7419 64.5667 6 CL22
42 Grand Rapids 49.0667 61.2258 69.5667 74.9032 68.0000 62.9667 6 CL22
43 Johnstown 47.8000 60.3226 69.7667 76.0000 69.0968 64.9333 6 CL22
44 Pittsburgh 52.1000 61.2581 69.6000 76.2581 69.1935 64.4000 6 CL22
45 Syracuse 46.8333 60.9032 69.9667 75.1613 69.0968 65.1000 6 CL22
46 Toledo 50.9000 62.8387 71.0333 77.4516 69.9677 65.3333 6 CL22
47 Worcester 47.3889 58.7312 68.9111 73.3978 69.3441 65.3778 6 CL22
48 ColumbusGA 68.2667 71.8548 78.3667 82.0323 84.3387 75.0833 7 CL14
49 El Paso 63.4333 74.3548 80.2333 81.3226 81.4839 75.6667 7 CL14

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 90


Cities in their Clusters

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

50 Jackson 69.5000 71.7742 79.7000 82.1935 84.2258 75.3667 7 CL14


51 Little Rock 65.6833 71.1129 78.9000 84.4677 84.2097 75.1667 7 CL14
52 Memphis 67.2667 71.4194 79.9000 83.9355 82.9032 75.4333 7 CL14
53 Riverside 62.9714 73.6037 79.1238 85.4378 84.6636 80.8048 7 CL14
54 Shreveport 69.6333 72.1935 80.0333 83.1290 86.1290 75.5000 7 CL14
55 Arlington 56.7667 67.4839 74.9333 83.2258 79.9032 70.2667 8 CL12
56 Atlanta 65.3667 69.1290 75.1667 79.3871 82.1290 73.3000 8 CL12
57 Bakersfield 58.0667 66.6452 73.9000 80.2258 77.8710 77.2333 8 CL12
58 Charlotte 62.2333 65.9677 73.6333 79.0645 79.6774 69.3667 8 CL12
59 Fresno 58.7333 68.2258 76.2000 80.7097 78.6452 77.4333 8 CL12
60 Huntsville 65.7667 69.4194 76.4667 80.7419 80.8387 74.0333 8 CL12
61 Knoxville 61.4000 66.3871 75.1333 78.8387 78.0000 70.1000 8 CL12
62 Louisville 59.5000 67.8065 76.5000 83.4839 78.7742 72.2667 8 CL12
63 Nashville 62.8333 67.9032 76.8000 82.1935 79.6129 72.0333 8 CL12
64 Oklahoma City 61.5333 68.3226 75.9000 82.4194 84.9677 71.3667 8 CL12
65 St. Louis 58.8000 67.0323 75.0667 83.1613 76.7419 69.9667 8 CL12
66 Wichita 56.2000 65.4516 73.3000 82.5161 81.4839 67.2333 8 CL12
67 Colorado Springs 42.5333 53.4839 63.0333 71.3226 69.0323 57.9000 9 CL41
68 Denver 42.5917 54.3306 63.4167 73.1720 70.6452 58.9889 9 CL41
69 Las Vegas 61.2000 75.5806 85.4667 88.4194 88.1935 81.9333 10 Las Vegas
70 Phoenix 66.1333 80.0323 89.1333 91.4516 93.2258 87.6333 11 Phoenix

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 91


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 91.4204695 34.1181979 0.4525 0.4525


2 57.3022716 27.7307075 0.2836 0.7361
3 29.5715640 17.1594150 0.1464 0.8824
4 12.4121490 4.6460029 0.0614 0.9438
5 7.7661461 4.1857120 0.0384 0.9823
6 3.5804341 0.0177 1.0000

Root-Mean-Square Total-Sample Standard Deviation = 5.80306


Root-Mean-Square Distance Between Observations = 20.10239

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

69 St. Petersburg Tampa 2 0.0001 1.00 .


. 242 . 0.0648
68 Cleveland Dayton 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 190 . 0.0815
67 Oakland San Jose 2 0.0002 1.00 .
. 136 . 0.1109
66 Akron CL68 3 0.0004 .999 .
. 78.8 4.6 0.1572
65 Sacramento Stockton 2 0.0004 .999 .
. 65.0 . 0.1703
64 Riverside San Bernardino 2 0.0005 .998 .
. 56.8 . 0.1804
63 Denver Phoenix 2 0.0005 .998 .
. 50.7 . 0.1945
62 Atlanta Memphis 2 0.0006 .997 .
. 46.9 . 0.1976
61 Kansas CityMO St. Louis 2 0.0006 .997 .
. 44.3 . 0.201
60 CL67 Tacoma 3 0.0008 .996 .
. 40.3 4.6 0.2134
59 Buffalo Syracuse 2 0.0007 .995 .
. 38.2 . 0.2263
58 Fort Wayne Indianapolis 2 0.0008 .994 .
. 36.3 . 0.2405
57 CL61 Louisville 3 0.0009 .993 .
. 34.4 1.6 0.2412

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 92


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

56 El Paso Los Angeles 2 0.0009 .992 .


. 33.1 . 0.253
55 Bakersfield Fresno 2 0.0009 .991 .
. 32.1 . 0.2559
54 CL63 Kansas CityKS 3 0.0012 .990 .
. 30.6 2.2 0.267
53 Little Rock Shreveport 2 0.0011 .989 .
. 29.8 . 0.271
52 CL66 Toledo 4 0.0017 .987 .
. 27.9 6.1 0.2878
51 Houston Lafayette 2 0.0012 .986 .
. 27.3 . 0.2926
50 Oklahoma City Wichita 2 0.0013 .985 .
. 26.7 . 0.2985
49 ColumbusGA Jackson 2 0.0014 .984 .
. 26.2 . 0.3125
48 CL52 Cincinnati 5 0.0019 .982 .
. 25.1 2.5 0.3153
47 Modesto CL65 3 0.0018 .980 .
. 24.4 4.2 0.3158
46 CL59 Pittsburgh 3 0.0017 .978 .
. 23.9 2.3 0.3196
45 CL56 Santa Ana/Anaheim 3 0.0017 .976 .
. 23.6 1.8 0.3211
44 Boston Worcester 2 0.0015 .975 .
. 23.5 . 0.3262
43 Evansville Lexington 2 0.0016 .973 .
. 23.5 . 0.3302
42 Colorado Springs Kingston 2 0.0017 .972 .
. 23.5 . 0.3386
41 CL60 CL69 5 0.0036 .968 .
. 22.0 10.2 0.3407
40 Jersey City Philadelphia 2 0.0018 .966 .
. 22.0 . 0.3544
39 CL51 San Antonio 3 0.0022 .964 .
. 21.9 1.7 0.3652
38 Arlington New York 2 0.0020 .962 .
. 22.0 . 0.3681
37 Chicago Johnstown 2 0.0020 .960 .
. 22.1 . 0.3757
36 CL48 CL58 7 0.0041 .956 .
. 21.1 4.2 0.3763

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 93


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

35 Las Vegas CL64 3 0.0027 .953 .


. 21.0 5.6 0.382
34 Huntsville Nashville 2 0.0022 .951 .
. 21.2 . 0.3899
33 Dallas/Fort Worth CL53 3 0.0027 .948 .
. 21.3 2.5 0.3965
32 CL62 CL49 4 0.0036 .945 .
. 21.0 3.7 0.3988
31 CL57 Knoxville 4 0.0033 .942 .
. 20.9 4.3 0.4097
30 Austin Lake Charles 2 0.0025 .939 .
. 21.3 . 0.4143
29 CL54 CL45 6 0.0053 .934 .
. 20.7 4.9 0.4144
28 CL44 CL42 4 0.0036 .930 .
. 20.7 2.2 0.4223
27 Lincoln CL41 6 0.0039 .926 .
. 20.8 3.4 0.4422
26 CL36 CL37 9 0.0057 .921 .
. 20.4 3.6 0.4548
25 CL40 Washington 3 0.0034 .917 .
. 20.8 1.9 0.4551
24 CL43 CL31 6 0.0054 .912 .
. 20.7 3.4 0.4553
23 CL30 CL39 5 0.0047 .907 .
. 20.9 2.4 0.4655
22 CL29 CL47 9 0.0079 .899 .
. 20.4 4.7 0.4665
21 CL26 Grand Rapids 10 0.0043 .895 .
. 20.9 2.0 0.4781
20 CL33 CL50 5 0.0071 .888 .
. 20.8 4.2 0.519
19 CL21 ColumbusOH 11 0.0053 .883 .
. 21.3 2.2 0.5219
18 CL20 CL34 7 0.0070 .876 .
. 21.5 2.4 0.5384
17 CL22 CL35 12 0.0127 .863 .
. 20.8 5.6 0.5543
16 Charlotte CL24 7 0.0065 .856 .
. 21.5 2.8 0.573
15 Corpus Christi Miami 2 0.0048 .852 .
. 22.5 . 0.5748

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 94


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

14 CL38 CL46 5
0.0109 .841 .833
0.70 22.7
7.4 0.6126
13 CL19 CL14 16
0.0222 .818 .822
-.27 21.4
7.5 0.6411
12 CL32 CL16 11
0.0209 .798 .809
-.93 20.8
7.9 0.6494
11 CL23 Baton Rouge 6 0.0088 .789 .796
-.53 22.0 3.3 0.66
10 CL28 CL27 10 0.0253 .763 .781
-1.2 21.5 13.2 0.6872
9 CL12 Omaha 12 0.0099 .754 .763
-.56 23.3 2.2 0.7162
8 CL18 CL17 19 0.0558 .698 .743
-2.4 20.4 16.7 0.802
7 CL11 CL15 8 0.0228 .675 .719
-2.2 21.8 5.7 0.8471
6 CL13 CL9 28 0.0950 .580 .689
-4.8 17.7 20.8 0.8789
5 CL55 CL25 5 0.0246 .555 .651
-4.2 20.3 12.0 0.8849
4 CL6 CL10 38 0.0854 .470 .600
-5.3 19.5 12.1 0.8964
3 CL5 CL8 24 0.0475 .422 .522
-3.4 24.5 7.3 0.9117
2 CL4 CL3 62 0.2127 .210 .354
-4.1 18.0 24.0 1.0401
1 CL2 CL7 70 0.2097 .000 .000
0.00 . 18.0 1.2794

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 95


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone

Plot of _CCC_*_NCL_. Symbol is value of _NCL_.




‚ 1



0ˆ 1

C ‚ 1
u ‚ 91
b ‚
i ‚
c -1 ˆ 1
‚ 1
C ‚
l ‚
u ‚
s ‚
t -2 ˆ
e ‚ 7
r ‚ 8
i ‚
n ‚
g ‚
-3 ˆ
C ‚
r ‚
i ‚ 3
t ‚
e ‚
r -4 ˆ
i ‚ 2 5
o ‚
n ‚

‚ 6
-5 ˆ

‚ 4



-6 ˆ
Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Number of Clusters

NOTE: 125 obs had missing values.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 96


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
3 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=3 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -3.30958634 3.98311820 8.52224439 7.12891093 -6.89333214 -9.57197828
2 8.26810673 2.13984674 -5.59714122 -11.35809613 9.27459675 11.64296533
3 4.01150951 12.98353884 14.80178876 16.41516523 9.86961223 13.51574845

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 4.1148

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 30 3.9221 13.4133 3 14.6635
2 18 4.7236 18.9730 1 17.7182
3 22 4.1250 14.1240 1 14.6635
Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
O3April 4.87097 4.10453 0.310519 0.450366
O3May 3.80274 2.50816 0.577582 1.367326
O3June 5.97917 3.74635 0.618793 1.623244
O3July 7.59798 4.60614 0.643135 1.802182
O3Aug 6.53520 5.64898 0.274483 0.378328
O3Sep 5.26091 3.95173 0.452128 0.825245
OVER-ALL 5.80306 4.20153 0.490991 0.964602

Pseudo F Statistic = 32.31

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.36687

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 6.061

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 97


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
3 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=3 Maxiter=1

Cluster Means

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -0.20307758 4.07192245 5.82244924 6.77264454 1.17191651 -2.95667761
2 4.52865729 5.80365272 -2.57800579 -5.11282431 5.92576272 4.39970909
3 5.69458179 10.71848511 9.64068091 10.34498617 9.01809097 3.91036012

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.994072144 2.452057404 3.807017439 3.966595612 4.553170323 3.222263526
2 4.204102492 2.707159103 3.032091341 4.789332229 7.868298195 3.850926801
3 2.236205285 2.415563775 4.161942614 5.233977516 4.802547642 4.845580928

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 98


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
3 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
7111.38
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 99


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
5 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=5 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds
Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -3.30958634 3.98311820 8.52224439 7.12891093 -6.89333214 -9.57197828
2 -2.24268385 3.42536915 0.23333572 -1.43411370 11.69564504 1.00111745
3 8.86449487 15.79199284 15.30057713 5.32796804 5.59274612 -0.30986960
4 7.48432721 7.78439194 -8.50971825 -12.29273944 -8.16825369 -2.35173186
5 2.01369361 10.12843346 14.03764848 13.96454628 9.53565765 16.27516873

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 3.6648

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 21 3.3848 12.2849 3 13.6787
2 18 4.4022 17.2345 4 15.7258
3 16 3.3962 13.9199 5 11.3517
4 11 3.7464 11.7913 2 15.7258
5 4 3.8702 12.1822 3 11.3517

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
O3April 4.87097 3.50504 0.512225 1.050124
O3May 3.80274 2.66327 0.537938 1.164213
O3June 5.97917 3.26968 0.718296 2.549819
O3July 7.59798 4.75557 0.630961 1.709739
O3Aug 6.53520 4.22203 0.606822 1.543377
O3Sep 5.26091 3.75839 0.519221 1.079956
OVER-ALL 5.80306 3.75579 0.605405 1.534242

Pseudo F Statistic = 24.93

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.51809

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 100


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
5 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=5 Maxiter=1

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 5.195

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -1.37261200 3.66326749 7.32669792 8.37155670 0.52532044 -3.91449985
2 1.64288672 5.60831177 0.69776353 0.08985295 11.20782635 3.92822043
3 6.46443827 10.64547646 9.91652553 9.51041115 6.76657723 1.56084536
4 7.37065246 6.40253442 -3.10617794 -4.84578661 -1.90386415 2.16274421
5 3.86225122 10.94909096 12.36187552 15.61380618 10.03097306 9.81379379

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.436830395 2.204788517 3.346896460 3.486642350 3.757750292 2.591409946
2 4.047557712 3.525714219 3.169695819 5.301443896 5.382104031 4.510351631
3 2.149778708 2.792820385 3.462461526 4.995105759 3.198001249 3.100799417
4 1.992242725 1.730462649 3.115685245 5.848870468 4.021864110 4.142337911
5 2.402521820 1.361128457 2.778883533 3.302557782 4.783516207 6.382205181

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 101


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
5 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
5640.93
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 102


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.06688135 5.12388166 11.97256249 21.14757640 9.28659646 -2.58668876
2 -3.30958634 3.98311820 8.52224439 7.12891093 -6.89333214 -9.57197828
3 5.96883894 11.14634118 2.94742139 6.26571927 20.34200926 5.51697099
4 8.86449487 15.79199284 15.30057713 5.32796804 5.59274612 -0.30986960
5 2.01369361 10.12843346 14.03764848 13.96454628 9.53565765 16.27516873
6 -0.40624116 0.81119803 -0.80711924 4.54770896 -1.08807176 6.44134763
7 7.48432721 7.78439194 -8.50971825 -12.29273944 -8.16825369 -2.35173186

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 3.4034

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 8 3.6501 12.0363 4 12.3583
2 14 2.9824 11.5876 6 12.6695
3 8 3.5398 13.3005 6 13.1548
4 13 2.7978 9.8745 1 12.3583
5 3 3.0132 7.9883 4 12.9437
6 16 3.9889 11.7918 2 12.6695
7 8 3.8285 15.7380 6 14.1402

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
O3April 4.87097 3.90818 0.412226 0.701335
O3May 3.80274 2.77176 0.514925 1.061538
O3June 5.97917 2.63120 0.823186 4.655660
O3July 7.59798 3.29188 0.828611 4.834682
O3Aug 6.53520 4.31568 0.601827 1.511472
O3Sep 5.26091 3.47637 0.601322 1.508292
OVER-ALL 5.80306 3.45028 0.677236 2.098240
Pseudo F Statistic = 22.03

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 103


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.59957

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 5.259

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 1.25194369 6.27621403 10.64438574 16.43691346 6.75613013 -1.59201189
2 -0.92859996 3.59488084 7.99777370 7.33803545 -1.20594602 -4.65707045
3 2.80439454 6.98237597 2.10474696 2.89753242 15.96437469 4.04872784
4 6.89865845 11.23352997 9.45713320 7.45510164 6.69291103 2.17356838
5 4.41013437 11.17363991 12.47357236 14.20321659 7.97560399 12.42350471
6 1.07504956 5.12323397 0.47084355 0.76563573 3.77020191 0.77926428
7 7.64253012 5.56306129 -5.18681072 -8.80575147 0.51006816 5.50906065

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 3.815392153 3.490876049 2.378852816 3.052768390 5.530930456 2.761349245
2 4.932208160 2.193674268 2.428324794 1.968586953 2.925368817 2.428952433
3 3.250716101 3.252401724 2.567536739 3.426180248 2.910498198 5.218806262
4 1.937112654 2.568467482 3.663109917 2.374145409 2.843290457 3.078799117
5 2.618608595 1.573681236 3.392408206 2.102796675 2.995962130 4.498362815
6 5.135403795 3.194126421 2.025326436 4.326755314 5.269868944 2.881014290
7 1.502757850 1.887672663 2.006388596 4.269784959 6.061095442 4.809473248

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 104


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
4864.81
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 105


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
9 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=9 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 8.75283294 8.21885676 -0.00513983 1.68478128 -3.94270346 -1.07305408
2 7.48432721 7.78439194 -8.50971825 -12.29273944 -8.16825369 -2.35173186
3 5.96883894 11.14634118 2.94742139 6.26571927 20.34200926 5.51697099
4 8.26810673 2.13984674 -5.59714122 -11.35809613 9.27459675 11.64296533
5 4.01150951 12.98353884 14.80178876 16.41516523 9.86961223 13.51574845
6 4.48912974 13.43180690 0.16090450 -3.64721296 8.20881388 3.44726784
7 4.06688135 5.12388166 11.97256249 21.14757640 9.28659646 -2.58668876
8 -5.91670883 -1.55883656 9.12688041 8.06928022 -0.38384097 -3.32774353
9 8.86449487 15.79199284 15.30057713 5.32796804 5.59274612 -0.30986960

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.9420

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 12 3.5213 11.4839 8 13.0045
2 2 3.3359 5.7779 4 14.2735
3 5 2.5549 7.2640 6 12.4498
4 4 2.2664 5.6117 6 12.6695
5 3 3.0132 7.9883 9 12.5150
6 8 2.9851 8.6343 3 12.4498
7 7 3.4787 9.9324 9 11.9530
8 18 3.2438 12.9188 1 13.0045
9 11 2.6511 10.2040 7 11.9530

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
O3April 4.87097 2.70501 0.727362 2.667867
O3May 3.80274 2.60711 0.584468 1.406551
O3June 5.97917 3.37796 0.717832 2.543992
O3July 7.59798 2.95157 0.866590 6.495668
O3Aug 6.53520 3.84097 0.694617 2.274577
O3Sep 5.26091 3.02915 0.706910 2.411918
OVER-ALL 5.80306 3.11355 0.745505 2.929354

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 106


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
9 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=9 Maxiter=1

Pseudo F Statistic = 22.34

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.65542

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 6.644

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 7.09671412 5.80823047 1.95068875 2.91728846 -1.41213621 -0.40667652
2 6.73614450 6.33473816 -6.86289131 -12.66860511 -6.61350101 2.69328726
3 4.14640229 8.84607284 2.59942184 4.06500615 17.62368070 6.76560179
4 7.02342693 4.47806879 -4.48030574 -9.91927649 5.54248032 8.95430358
5 4.41013437 11.17363991 12.47357236 14.20321659 7.97560399 12.42350471
6 1.09874471 5.73519245 -0.37928667 -2.84780007 9.71589421 2.66212463
7 2.25565093 6.69491908 11.20023032 16.86562694 6.55363531 -0.88751870
8 -3.24204291 3.48350440 6.13523080 7.04665691 1.68218503 -3.96840747
9 6.70841642 11.72265832 10.21670856 7.60850509 7.48134490 2.31337570

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2.986954364 2.700008859 4.743887698 3.799293203 2.646506989 3.773629563
2 1.058090131 2.050120045 2.328964990 0.531554321 2.198752326 7.134734461
3 1.402965098 2.278399434 2.425237216 3.639739580 2.354371490 2.707947965
4 0.870833345 1.884868362 2.227655916 2.455765274 3.277525013 2.184521450
5 2.618608595 1.573681236 3.392408206 2.102796675 2.995962130 4.498362815
6 3.958574969 3.633564959 2.324302830 2.571176241 2.987359060 1.911492449
7 2.753317399 3.546968885 1.928325959 3.026087409 5.941970905 2.064862845
8 2.725690209 1.942719792 3.445345603 2.727510740 4.964051672 2.824853239
9 2.043062526 2.485592110 3.460027213 2.544380846 2.290962059 2.850258697

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 107


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
9 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
3635.23
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 108


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -3.30958634 3.98311820 8.52224439 7.12891093 -6.89333214 -9.57197828
2 -8.25527047 1.06793709 2.06343332 2.70012585 2.64255828 -0.43247144
3 5.96883894 11.14634118 2.94742139 6.26571927 20.34200926 5.51697099
4 8.26810673 2.13984674 -5.59714122 -11.35809613 9.27459675 11.64296533
5 2.01369361 10.12843346 14.03764848 13.96454628 9.53565765 16.27516873
6 4.48912974 13.43180690 0.16090450 -3.64721296 8.20881388 3.44726784
7 8.75283294 8.21885676 -0.00513983 1.68478128 -3.94270346 -1.07305408
8 4.06688135 5.12388166 11.97256249 21.14757640 9.28659646 -2.58668876
9 0.53066296 2.74408439 4.20306990 3.62915275 12.72652324 -6.93428130
10 7.48432721 7.78439194 -8.50971825 -12.29273944 -8.16825369 -2.35173186
11 8.86449487 15.79199284 15.30057713 5.32796804 5.59274612 -0.30986960

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.7245

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 11 2.8285 10.0096 2 9.2142
2 8 2.6940 9.9624 1 9.2142
3 5 2.5549 7.2640 9 12.8845
4 4 2.2664 5.6117 6 10.4025
5 4 3.3857 8.5462 11 10.8253
6 5 2.9641 7.5750 9 9.0370
7 8 2.6678 8.0140 2 14.0015
8 8 3.6501 12.0124 11 12.3746
9 4 2.7489 9.7050 6 9.0370
10 2 3.3359 5.7779 4 14.2735
11 11 2.6389 9.7479 5 10.8253

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
O3April 4.87097 3.05149 0.664420 1.979917
O3May 3.80274 2.47022 0.639189 1.771535
O3June 5.97917 2.96705 0.789443 3.749309
O3July 7.59798 2.50061 0.907381 9.796941
O3Aug 6.53520 3.30080 0.781866 3.584334

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 109


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
O3Sep 5.26091 2.88092 0.743585 2.899921
OVER-ALL 5.80306 2.87706 0.789822 3.757866

Pseudo F Statistic = 22.17

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.69873

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 8.009

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -1.09268516 3.46514677 8.64175868 8.11577446 -1.01048508 -5.04955317
2 -3.48425008 3.06246315 2.43870700 5.05249131 2.63728193 -0.82443600
3 4.14640229 8.84607284 2.59942184 4.06500615 17.62368070 6.76560179
4 7.02342693 4.47806879 -4.48030574 -9.91927649 5.54248032 8.95430358
5 4.98540518 10.36442721 10.85269907 12.63935970 7.05165975 11.32672332
6 2.72686671 6.85666709 -1.04563577 -4.25233241 8.95112472 3.60972339
7 8.07341687 6.94058169 0.39950800 0.96214565 -2.51325451 -0.75772415
8 1.25194369 6.27621403 10.64438574 16.43691346 6.75613013 -1.59201189
9 -1.07842822 3.58557214 1.59923885 0.52710356 11.42451333 -0.92147529
10 6.73614450 6.33473816 -6.86289131 -12.66860511 -6.61350101 2.69328726
11 6.76679150 11.74399646 10.13768412 7.55794238 7.32469658 2.06903749

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 110


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1
Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.469460589 2.302012577 2.228338570 1.290021061 3.110606160 2.533996015
2 3.044371546 1.599552755 1.893820845 1.690314861 3.670540899 3.435289684
3 1.402965098 2.278399434 2.425237216 3.639739580 2.354371490 2.707947965
4 0.870833345 1.884868362 2.227655916 2.455765274 3.277525013 2.184521450
5 2.427993678 2.066466188 4.263942985 3.567972726 3.065705668 4.278071573
6 3.846352978 4.252022685 1.863006008 2.161245966 2.998710843 1.645390578
7 2.202958792 1.635527457 4.439329167 2.928916538 1.965294863 1.739311787
8 3.815392153 3.490876049 2.378852816 3.052768390 5.530930456 2.761349245
9 2.491516828 1.193803886 3.002951501 2.169497532 2.643428349 4.122293824
10 1.058090131 2.050120045 2.328964990 0.531554321 2.198752326 7.134734461
11 2.052303188 2.450602601 3.574254784 2.542489940 2.573278076 2.388372016

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 111


Clustering based on Monthly Average Ozone
11 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
3117.59
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 112


Plot of first 2 PCs: Clustered by Ozone

Plot of PCO1*PCO2. Symbol is value of CLUSTER.

PCO1 ‚

20 ˆ

‚ 9 9

15 ˆ 9
‚ 2 5

‚ 22 5
10 ˆ 2 2 33
‚ 2
‚ 2 3 3
‚ 2 33
5ˆ 2 2 22
‚ 8 8 6
‚ 2 2 3 3 6
‚ 2 4 8 4 33 3 6
0ˆ 2 6
‚ 8 4 4
‚ 4
‚ 4 6
-5 ˆ 1 6
‚ 1 1 1 4 4 6

‚ 1 7
-10 ˆ
‚ 4
‚ 4 7
‚ 11
-15 ˆ
‚ 7 7


-20 ˆ
‚ 7 7
‚ 1 1

-25 ˆ

Šˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒ
-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20

PCO2

NOTE: 2 obs hidden.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 113


Cities in their Clusters

Obs city O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

1 Lincoln 3.05017 3.8878 0.5766 1.2496 -3.6920 -2.7020 1 CL27


2 Oakland 9.22982 8.3519 0.9472 1.2300 -2.9679 0.5575 1 CL27
3 San Jose 8.75283 8.2189 -0.0051 1.6848 -3.9427 -1.0731 1 CL27
4 St. Petersburg 9.64822 6.5928 -5.1627 -2.3514 -2.4759 1.1570 1 CL27
5 Tacoma 7.19013 5.7665 -1.5010 -0.3845 -3.4556 -0.7950 1 CL27
6 Tampa 9.92602 7.3299 -4.6847 -3.0803 -2.3865 1.7117 1 CL27
7 Akron -2.59742 2.9776 9.3160 10.1753 -1.3167 -5.4473 2 CL13
8 Arlington -5.77401 3.3453 6.7535 13.4359 8.1736 -6.5235 2 CL13
9 Buffalo 2.51458 9.0380 13.3186 15.9207 1.0480 0.3954 2 CL13
10 Chicago 1.25153 6.0385 7.6226 7.0373 -0.5158 0.0429 2 CL13
11 Cincinnati -3.08945 3.1260 4.7007 5.7707 0.9676 -4.9646 2 CL13
12 Cleveland -4.30625 3.4514 9.1086 9.1632 0.2957 -4.3639 2 CL13
13 ColumbusOH -3.24023 5.2574 14.5176 7.3581 2.5967 -7.1603 2 CL13
14 Dayton -3.47475 2.9661 8.3600 8.3384 0.7234 -3.7851 2 CL13
15 Fort Wayne -4.89325 2.5078 6.7268 6.3050 -5.7237 -5.0256 2 CL13
16 Grand Rapids -3.30959 3.9831 8.5222 7.1289 -6.8933 -9.5720 2 CL13
17 Indianapolis -6.14490 2.6241 4.6211 4.1704 -3.3937 -2.3107 2 CL13
18 Johnstown 0.84099 7.3021 5.8602 10.3271 -1.5896 -6.2976 2 CL13
19 New York -0.85701 0.3905 7.4703 15.8371 6.1029 -3.1651 2 CL13
20 Pittsburgh -0.36179 4.9377 10.6607 14.6198 2.4950 -2.8201 2 CL13
21 Syracuse 1.04130 6.9690 12.5221 12.5066 -0.1769 1.0708 2 CL13
22 Toledo -5.91671 -1.5588 9.1269 8.0693 -0.3838 -3.3277 2 CL13
23 Denver 6.96790 12.1597 8.0521 11.4697 6.8247 -1.1549 3 CL17
24 El Paso 9.70463 9.3137 7.6609 5.2615 5.6874 0.4456 3 CL17
25 Kansas CityKS 4.28449 10.5564 7.0183 11.9288 8.9702 1.9942 3 CL17
26 Las Vegas 8.86449 15.7920 15.3006 5.3280 5.5927 -0.3099 3 CL17
27 Los Angeles 5.58612 10.9744 9.0467 5.5017 5.2416 2.4389 3 CL17
28 Modesto 7.20520 10.4089 8.5813 12.2299 4.5215 7.4796 3 CL17
29 Phoenix 7.66572 11.8096 8.4950 8.8198 9.5064 -0.6348 3 CL17
30 Riverside 5.01962 14.2865 15.4135 8.7508 8.3247 3.6302 3 CL17
31 Sacramento 6.71122 7.9368 5.9901 7.9478 4.2798 8.0364 3 CL17
32 San Bernardino 3.62120 12.9680 15.0344 8.3781 9.9923 1.1010 3 CL17
33 Santa Ana/Anaheim 9.37348 14.2964 10.1229 4.6612 6.4446 4.6599 3 CL17
34 Stockton 7.35334 8.1715 5.1208 7.3916 2.5567 5.3487 3 CL17
35 Atlanta -4.00079 2.8535 -1.9897 -0.0305 13.6344 2.2994 4 CL12
36 Charlotte 0.53066 2.7441 4.2031 3.6292 12.7265 -6.9343 4 CL12
37 ColumbusGA -2.64460 2.9716 -2.1978 -5.9310 7.2687 6.1511 4 CL12
38 Evansville -8.25527 1.0679 2.0634 2.7001 2.6426 -0.4325 4 CL12
39 Jackson 0.10213 3.5189 -2.0668 -5.8030 10.5212 1.5682 4 CL12
40 Kansas CityMO -1.13202 5.7234 0.9810 5.5242 3.4300 -3.1669 4 CL12
41 Knoxville 1.39910 5.3193 3.9502 -0.0561 7.6415 -0.0521 4 CL12
42 Lexington -6.40648 3.4592 3.4754 5.2706 7.5647 1.0119 4 CL12
43 Louisville -1.95398 3.5216 3.0344 3.9898 5.7273 -1.2057 4 CL12
44 Memphis -2.24268 3.4254 0.2333 -1.4341 11.6956 1.0011 4 CL12
45 St. Louis -0.48566 4.1664 1.4408 8.4464 5.2479 -1.9683 4 CL12
46 Bakersfield 2.01369 10.1284 14.0376 13.9645 9.5357 16.2752 5 CL55
47 Fresno 4.01151 12.9835 14.8018 16.4152 9.8696 13.5157 5 CL55
48 Dallas/Fort Worth 3.47606 5.2499 1.2840 0.5819 19.9481 9.1287 6 CL18
49 Huntsville 3.96797 9.1020 6.4593 3.3874 15.2416 10.0658 6 CL18
50 Little Rock 2.31853 8.3827 2.2919 0.9441 16.0051 5.4395 6 CL18

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 114


Cities in their Clusters
Obs city O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

51 Nashville 5.99371 8.8557 10.2495 5.6462 11.4303 5.2406 6 CL18


52 Oklahoma City 5.96884 11.1463 2.9474 6.2657 20.3420 5.5170 6 CL18
53 Shreveport 5.17327 6.0310 1.6275 -0.7434 13.2357 3.1967 6 CL18
54 Wichita 5.00061 10.3495 0.0144 9.1460 16.5816 3.6771 6 CL18
55 Austin 8.26811 2.1398 -5.5971 -11.3581 9.2746 11.6430 7 CL11
56 Baton Rouge 4.48913 13.4318 0.1609 -3.6472 8.2088 3.4473 7 CL11
57 Houston 6.53232 6.4918 -4.4637 -7.1414 7.2114 8.3122 7 CL11
58 Lafayette 6.51440 8.3299 -2.7520 -5.1370 5.5211 3.6854 7 CL11
59 Lake Charles 6.32986 3.9044 -6.4831 -12.5135 3.5228 6.4176 7 CL11
60 San Antonio 6.96342 5.3762 -1.3773 -8.6641 2.1612 9.4445 7 CL11
61 Boston 6.72094 2.6733 7.3469 7.7088 3.5155 -3.5027 8 CL28
62 Colorado Springs 8.53664 8.9151 5.4381 5.8312 2.1564 -2.5394 8 CL28
63 Kingston 8.25349 6.4617 7.5877 3.5178 -3.3418 -2.3785 8 CL28
64 Worcester 6.90519 2.5181 8.5516 7.6622 -1.8237 -7.1056 8 CL28
65 Jersey City 4.06688 5.1239 11.9726 21.1476 9.2866 -2.5867 9 CL25
66 Philadelphia 7.16699 10.1299 10.4305 18.1820 10.9228 -1.0916 9 CL25
67 Washington 2.21860 10.2754 12.0268 19.8456 16.1971 1.9847 9 CL25
68 Corpus Christi 5.98796 4.8851 -5.2161 -13.0445 -5.0587 7.7383 10 CL15
69 Miami 7.48433 7.7844 -8.5097 -12.2927 -8.1683 -2.3517 10 CL15
70 Omaha -0.40624 0.8112 -0.8071 4.5477 -1.0881 6.4413 11 Omaha

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 115


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 285.283713 203.395757 0.5998 0.5998


2 81.887956 39.494856 0.1722 0.7720
3 42.393101 13.859056 0.0891 0.8612
4 28.534044 14.839302 0.0600 0.9212
5 13.694742 4.186735 0.0288 0.9500
6 9.508008 2.984154 0.0200 0.9700
7 6.523854 2.367906 0.0137 0.9837
8 4.155948 2.266869 0.0087 0.9924
9 1.889079 1.064172 0.0040 0.9964
10 0.824907 0.355112 0.0017 0.9981
11 0.469796 0.042433 0.0010 0.9991
12 0.427363 0.0009 1.0000

Root-Mean-Square Total-Sample Standard Deviation = 6.295451


Root-Mean-Square Distance Between Observations = 30.84129

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

69 St. Petersburg Tampa 2 0.0000 1.00 .


. 569 . 0.0422
68 Oakland San Jose 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 294 . 0.0723
67 Akron Cleveland 2 0.0002 1.00 .
. 161 . 0.1118
66 Sacramento Stockton 2 0.0002 1.00 .
. 131 . 0.1136
65 Buffalo Syracuse 2 0.0004 .999 .
. 90.0 . 0.1656
64 Cincinnati Dayton 2 0.0004 .999 .
. 75.0 . 0.1662
63 Los Angeles Santa Ana/Anaheim 2 0.0005 .998 .
. 63.3 . 0.188
62 Bakersfield Fresno 2 0.0005 .998 .
. 56.4 . 0.1934
61 Houston Lafayette 2 0.0006 .997 .
. 51.7 . 0.1988
60 Louisville St. Louis 2 0.0006 .997 .
. 48.5 . 0.2011

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 116


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

59 Modesto CL66 3 0.0008 .996 .


. 44.4 4.1 0.2083
58 Jackson Memphis 2 0.0006 .995 .
. 42.9 . 0.2089
57 CL67 Toledo 3 0.0008 .994 .
. 40.5 4.5 0.2123
56 Evansville Lexington 2 0.0007 .994 .
. 39.2 . 0.2268
55 CL64 Indianapolis 3 0.0009 .993 .
. 37.5 2.3 0.2332
54 Little Rock Shreveport 2 0.0008 .992 .
. 36.6 . 0.2367
53 Jersey City Philadelphia 2 0.0008 .991 .
. 36.0 . 0.2396
52 CL57 Fort Wayne 4 0.0011 .990 .
. 34.5 2.3 0.2516
51 ColumbusGA CL58 3 0.0011 .989 .
. 33.6 1.7 0.2562
50 CL61 San Antonio 3 0.0011 .988 .
. 32.8 1.9 0.2584
49 Boston Worcester 2 0.0010 .987 .
. 32.4 . 0.2685
48 Chicago Johnstown 2 0.0011 .986 .
. 31.9 . 0.2798
47 CL65 Pittsburgh 3 0.0014 .984 .
. 30.9 3.6 0.2855
46 CL50 Lake Charles 4 0.0014 .983 .
. 30.3 1.6 0.2873
45 CL68 Tacoma 3 0.0016 .981 .
. 29.5 20.9 0.2882
44 Huntsville Nashville 2 0.0012 .980 .
. 29.5 . 0.2901
43 Colorado Springs Denver 2 0.0013 .979 .
. 29.5 . 0.2961
42 CL52 CL55 7 0.0031 .976 .
. 27.3 4.5 0.3088
41 Knoxville CL60 3 0.0017 .974 .
. 27.0 3.0 0.3172
40 CL53 Washington 3 0.0019 .972 .
. 26.6 2.3 0.3364
39 Oklahoma City Wichita 2 0.0017 .970 .
. 26.6 . 0.338

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 117


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis
Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

38 Atlanta CL51 4 0.0021 .968 .


. 26.3 2.5 0.3391
37 CL56 Kansas CityMO 3 0.0020 .966 .
. 26.2 2.7 0.3408
36 Austin CL46 5 0.0021 .964 .
. 26.0 2.1 0.3447
35 CL49 CL48 4 0.0024 .962 .
. 25.8 2.2 0.3467
34 Arlington New York 2 0.0018 .960 .
. 26.1 . 0.3519
33 CL37 CL41 6 0.0030 .957 .
. 25.6 2.4 0.3564
32 Las Vegas Riverside 2 0.0019 .955 .
. 26.0 . 0.3576
31 Lincoln Omaha 2 0.0019 .953 .
. 26.4 . 0.3638
30 Dallas/Fort Worth CL54 3 0.0023 .951 .
. 26.6 2.9 0.3665
29 CL42 Grand Rapids 8 0.0030 .948 .
. 26.6 2.7 0.3866
28 CL40 Kansas CityKS 4 0.0027 .945 .
. 26.8 1.9 0.3924
27 CL35 CL47 7 0.0049 .940 .
. 26.0 3.9 0.4003
26 Corpus Christi Miami 2 0.0023 .938 .
. 26.5 . 0.4022
25 CL63 CL59 5 0.0051 .933 .
. 26.0 10.4 0.4092
24 CL29 ColumbusOH 9 0.0035 .929 .
. 26.2 2.6 0.4225
23 CL26 CL69 4 0.0041 .925 .
. 26.4 3.5 0.429
22 Charlotte CL33 7 0.0035 .921 .
. 26.8 2.2 0.4335
21 CL36 Baton Rouge 6 0.0042 .917 .
. 27.2 3.2 0.4557
20 CL25 San Bernardino 6 0.0040 .913 .
. 27.7 2.4 0.4602
19 CL38 CL30 7 0.0073 .906 .
. 27.3 5.3 0.4632
18 CL44 CL39 4 0.0048 .901 .
. 27.9 3.3 0.4635

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 118


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

17 CL24 CL27 16 0.0135 .888 .


. 26.2
7.7 0.4734
16 Kingston CL31 3 0.0038 .884 .
. 27.4 2.0 0.4795
15 El Paso CL32 3 0.0041 .880 .
. 28.8 2.2 0.4926
14 CL34 CL22 9 0.0076 .872 .840
3.33 29.4 4.0 0.5064
13 CL21 CL23 10 0.0126 .860 .829
2.88 29.1 6.4 0.5399
12 CL17 CL16 19 0.0120 .848 .818
2.64 29.3 4.7 0.5581
11 CL19 CL18 11 0.0191 .829 .806
1.87 28.5 7.9 0.6282
10 CL15 Phoenix 4 0.0072 .821 .793
2.32 30.7 2.4 0.6337
9 CL28 CL20 10 0.0207 .801 .777
1.76 30.6 10.3 0.6362
8 CL12 CL14 28 0.0420 .759 .760
-.09 27.8 14.3 0.6471
7 CL62 CL9 12 0.0153 .743 .740
0.25 30.4 4.1 0.6729
6 CL43 CL45 5 0.0165 .727 .715
0.66 34.1 16.9 0.7181
5 CL8 CL7 40 0.0708 .656 .684
-1.4 31.0 15.7 0.7668
4 CL11 CL10 15 0.0377 .618 .642
-1.1 35.6 9.1 0.828
3 CL4 CL13 25 0.0808 .538 .579
-1.5 38.9 15.4 0.8797
2 CL5 CL6 45 0.0824 .455 .460
-.13 56.8 13.6 0.9913
1 CL2 CL3 70 0.4551 .000 .000
0.00 . 56.8 1.2321

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 119


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

Plot of _CCC_*_NCL_. Symbol is value of _NCL_.







‚ 1


C ‚ 1
u ‚
b ‚ 1
i ‚
c ‚ 1

C 2ˆ
l ‚ 1
u ‚ 9
s ‚
t ‚
e ‚
r ‚
i 1ˆ
n ‚
g ‚ 6

C ‚
r ‚ 7
i ‚
t 0ˆ 1
e ‚ 2 8
r ‚
i ‚
o ‚
n ‚

-1 ˆ
‚ 4
‚ 5

‚ 3


-2 ˆ
Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Number of Clusters

NOTE: 125 obs had missing values.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 120


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
4 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=4 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 48.76666667 52.09677419 58.33333333 62.67741935 65.03225806 61.03333333
2 53.16666667 63.00000000 71.10000000 78.67741935 75.67741935 67.33333333
3 66.13333333 80.03225806 89.13333333 91.45161290 93.22580645 87.63333333
4 78.00000000 78.83870968 81.06666667 84.16129032 83.80645161 82.10000000

Initial Seeds

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 7.19013409 5.76648873 -1.50100552 -0.38450774 -3.45561888 -0.79503158
2 2.21860178 10.27544411 12.02678501 19.84557496 16.19708024 1.98466104
3 7.66572201 11.80961340 8.49498390 8.81982164 9.50636708 -0.63483665
4 7.48432721 7.78439194 -8.50971825 -12.29273944 -8.16825369 -2.35173186

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 3.9178

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 11 4.2099 18.4836 2 18.0678
2 35 4.0895 21.8517 1 18.0678
3 12 4.0930 19.2151 4 20.2164
4 12 3.1739 16.4983 3 20.2164

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
TempApril 8.63420 3.58228 0.835348 5.073400
TempMay 6.63611 2.80236 0.829425 4.862521
TempJune 6.05594 3.18264 0.735816 2.785238
TempJuly 5.36010 3.76332 0.528490 1.120844
TempAug 6.95429 3.31603 0.782517 3.598058
TempSep 6.41754 3.42381 0.727745 2.673026
O3April 4.87097 4.59173 0.150002 0.176474
O3May 3.80274 3.74238 0.073604 0.079452
O3June 5.97917 4.33973 0.496106 0.984544
O3July 7.59798 4.63757 0.643649 1.806219

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 121


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
4 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=4 Maxiter=1

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
O3Aug 6.53520 5.02865 0.433657 0.765715
O3Sep 5.26091 4.56564 0.279596 0.388110
OVER-ALL 6.29545 3.97134 0.619360 1.627153

Pseudo F Statistic = 35.80

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.29082

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 27.953

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 49.24671717 57.96456500 65.89040404 71.94623656 68.33919843 62.85151515
2 55.15488889 64.08878648 72.29146032 78.61342550 74.54233487 68.80215873
3 65.00873016 72.24654378 79.93670635 84.07949309 84.88056836 76.84484127
4 72.84444444 76.15994624 81.15555556 82.97849462 85.32661290 78.95138889

Cluster Means

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 3.69758351 6.05352022 4.77133841 5.69810499 -2.03855381 -3.74136546
2 1.10057721 6.19532135 7.60732865 9.26417159 5.03996545 0.39237546
3 4.32578140 8.85402774 5.83110597 3.56477483 12.55367256 3.75165367
4 5.80010879 6.06306603 -4.02917863 -7.58035535 2.96670468 4.91036609

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.121536484 3.805748527 5.031814888 6.678800959 3.011353105 2.467708853
2 3.934195829 2.271364692 2.520751302 3.232875244 3.567428831 3.434815562
3 2.655702245 3.498801109 4.075126855 3.398531735 4.024752704 4.723897873
4 2.580671486 2.400911700 1.229217813 0.754682457 1.482278327 2.452966235

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 122


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
4 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=4 Maxiter=1

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 5.327931072 3.171683126 3.995092087 4.170524160 3.785561664 3.160767453
2 4.771176291 3.995518374 4.387663429 5.241756013 4.999302363 5.316745190
3 4.097936885 4.029076812 5.748855442 3.623129765 4.869887843 3.485385040
4 3.680081275 3.051228802 2.436336539 3.895790304 6.142412947 4.057940470
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 123
Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
4 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
12893.41
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 124


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=10 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 48.76666667 52.09677419 58.33333333 62.67741935 65.03225806 61.03333333
2 78.00000000 78.83870968 81.06666667 84.16129032 83.80645161 82.10000000
3 68.28333333 73.88709677 82.11666667 86.04838710 90.20967742 79.26666667
4 49.06666667 61.22580645 69.56666667 74.90322581 68.00000000 62.96666667
5 58.06666667 66.64516129 73.90000000 80.22580645 77.87096774 77.23333333
6 53.56666667 63.54838710 74.36666667 81.09677419 76.54838710 69.53333333
7 61.20000000 75.58064516 85.46666667 88.41935484 88.19354839 81.93333333
8 58.81666667 63.38709677 65.66666667 71.51612903 70.09677419 68.60000000
9 62.23333333 65.96774194 73.63333333 79.06451613 79.67741935 69.36666667
10 51.55555556 62.25806452 70.82222222 80.68817204 73.35483871 64.08888889

Initial Seeds

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 7.19013409 5.76648873 -1.50100552 -0.38450774 -3.45561888 -0.79503158
2 7.48432721 7.78439194 -8.50971825 -12.29273944 -8.16825369 -2.35173186
3 3.47606096 5.24987066 1.28404527 0.58188360 19.94808850 9.12871030
4 -3.30958634 3.98311820 8.52224439 7.12891093 -6.89333214 -9.57197828
5 2.01369361 10.12843346 14.03764848 13.96454628 9.53565765 16.27516873
6 4.06688135 5.12388166 11.97256249 21.14757640 9.28659646 -2.58668876
7 8.86449487 15.79199284 15.30057713 5.32796804 5.59274612 -0.30986960
8 9.37348405 14.29642133 10.12286454 4.66115447 6.44455839 4.65990880
9 0.53066296 2.74408439 4.20306990 3.62915275 12.72652324 -6.93428130
10 -0.40624116 0.81119803 -0.80711924 4.54770896 -1.08807176 6.44134763

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.7042

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4 2.9366 13.8596 4 22.9418
2 9 2.8101 14.6155 3 18.2404
3 8 2.7773 12.6844 9 16.0047
4 15 2.8638 20.1393 10 12.4500
5 2 1.2173 2.9818 8 19.0119
6 5 2.5129 10.0314 9 16.4453
7 4 3.4654 13.3569 3 20.4409
8 6 2.4102 11.5659 6 16.8092
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 125
Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=10 Maxiter=1

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
9 10 3.2979 16.4383 10 15.6403
10 7 2.6906 11.5433 4 12.4500

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
TempApril 8.63420 2.71109 0.914267 10.664167
TempMay 6.63611 1.78292 0.937232 14.931587
TempJune 6.05594 2.09750 0.895686 8.586458
TempJuly 5.36010 2.08021 0.869030 6.635326
TempAug 6.95429 2.26374 0.907859 9.852982
TempSep 6.41754 2.20784 0.897080 8.716245
O3April 4.87097 3.65227 0.511125 1.045512
O3May 3.80274 3.00564 0.456770 0.840840
O3June 5.97917 2.86279 0.800658 4.016514
O3July 7.59798 3.23390 0.842472 5.348062
O3Aug 6.53520 4.01055 0.672515 2.053573
O3Sep 5.26091 3.43973 0.628268 1.690109
OVER-ALL 6.29545 2.86062 0.820457 4.569700

Pseudo F Statistic = 30.46

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.51400

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 39.188

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 126


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=10 Maxiter=1

Cluster Means

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 50.22500000 54.23387097 60.25833333 64.59677420 65.56451613 61.66666667
2 73.81481481 77.28315412 81.70000000 83.29390681 85.56272401 80.07407407
3 68.30416667 72.05040323 79.49791667 83.05241936 84.76814516 75.76875000
4 49.63203704 60.93530466 70.14407407 76.37777778 69.87025090 64.74444445
5 58.40000000 67.43548387 75.05000000 80.46774194 78.25806452 77.33333333
6 53.45777778 63.53440860 72.85222222 80.80645161 76.73440860 68.48333333
7 63.43452381 75.89285714 83.48928571 86.65783410 86.89170507 81.50952381
8 58.66462963 64.53315412 69.51777778 73.64103943 73.25949821 71.63388889
9 60.13333333 67.10000000 75.01000000 81.40967742 79.72258065 70.48333333
10 54.15396826 63.48079877 72.58571429 80.27342550 74.30568357 66.65555556

Cluster Means
Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 8.42735652 7.81310810 1.21979265 2.09034770 -2.05246827 -0.96249425
2 7.51718232 5.87049292 -4.91627841 -8.39811544 1.06685456 5.30643024
3 1.82997686 6.51416098 0.97405435 -1.58067614 12.76561087 4.99978721
4 -0.12383629 4.74806912 9.30752800 9.58602505 -0.06163228 -3.87025491
5 3.01260156 11.55598615 14.41971862 15.18985576 9.70263494 14.89545859
6 3.37599070 7.29521793 9.78368250 17.38821006 10.29590287 -0.57291501
7 7.81361623 12.80045074 11.71749727 7.04002120 7.27781689 0.78278207
8 6.64176001 10.79268081 8.98267494 7.68504968 5.50608850 4.84406018
9 0.02720004 5.57609041 3.40790411 5.57430505 10.90698730 0.10620526
10 -1.10345949 3.38600682 2.81762913 3.92581152 -0.63935013 -1.35912789

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 5.863722432 1.760430487 1.980530232 4.489669031 2.353512662 2.844227424
2 1.999521548 1.238661140 0.673300330 0.573532702 1.638515285 1.581207149
3 2.120960211 1.645442223 1.655161179 1.701981420 2.710924355 1.544946641
4 3.183667616 2.526638315 2.423236340 2.041659618 1.465037018 2.121486617
5 0.471404516 1.117684911 1.626345597 0.342148444 0.547437509 0.141421356
6 0.313620829 0.734019641 1.175965588 1.263223501 1.026498830 1.840063405
7 2.040516936 2.877378353 4.669900686 4.321909775 5.034043531 4.909729336
8 0.391858766 1.257432139 2.989304390 1.964393465 2.478754371 2.357696486
9 3.044566096 1.243826240 1.196708449 1.894369163 2.657163088 1.794109017
10 2.421376240 1.339068978 1.634047644 0.792808299 1.476461387 2.075369967

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 127


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=10 Maxiter=1

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 0.874175643 1.397390871 2.987298702 2.647224803 2.833962451 1.269819397
2 1.455130452 1.992115061 2.044770243 4.177042595 5.910572564 4.539734083
3 3.055716615 3.604273431 2.748118412 3.326926442 4.235830128 3.330760554
4 4.381407402 3.266728038 2.454737455 2.902769426 3.400267179 3.054225587
5 1.412669166 2.018864375 0.540328774 1.732849278 0.236141549 1.951204792
6 2.955176005 4.470528901 2.410417628 3.640483355 3.727408867 2.458412706
7 2.041939453 2.845878277 4.216627152 2.015643637 1.952036170 1.951496565
8 1.925052872 2.538308612 3.520163215 2.653394805 2.539635250 2.728416378
9 4.633593049 3.261455863 3.396100492 4.120355220 4.948672508 4.391789114
10 5.564782327 2.153533841 2.934143540 1.593519207 3.008924889 3.690570351

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 128


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
6142.87
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 129


Cities in their Clusters

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

1 St. Petersburg 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.64822


2 Tampa 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.92602
3 Houston 73.1667 76.7742 82.1667 83.3226 87.0968 78.1667 6.53232
4 Lafayette 73.4000 76.9032 81.5667 82.5161 85.7419 78.4333 6.51440
5 San Antonio 71.4333 76.3548 82.0667 83.0968 86.4194 80.5667 6.96342
6 Lake Charles 72.2333 75.1290 80.7000 82.5484 86.0968 77.8667 6.32986
7 Austin 72.0000 76.6452 81.9667 83.4516 88.5161 81.6667 8.26811
8 Corpus Christi 74.9000 78.8387 82.9667 82.9355 84.3871 79.8000 5.98796
9 Miami 78.0000 78.8387 81.0667 84.1613 83.8065 82.1000 7.48433
10 Baton Rouge 72.0333 74.7419 80.5000 81.8710 85.2903 76.3000 4.48913
11 Oakland 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 9.22982
12 San Jose 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 8.75283
13 Tacoma 48.7667 52.0968 58.3333 62.6774 65.0323 61.0333 7.19013
14 Akron 51.4000 61.6129 70.0667 76.0968 68.4516 63.7333 -2.59742
15 Cleveland 50.5667 61.2581 70.4000 76.4194 69.3548 65.1667 -4.30625
16 Buffalo 46.1333 59.8387 68.5667 74.5806 68.0645 64.4667 2.51458
17 Syracuse 46.8333 60.9032 69.9667 75.1613 69.0968 65.1000 1.04130
18 Cincinnati 55.3000 63.7742 73.2667 79.1935 72.9677 67.0667 -3.08945
19 Dayton 53.8333 63.8065 72.7333 78.6452 71.5806 67.0000 -3.47475
20 Toledo 50.9000 62.8387 71.0333 77.4516 69.9677 65.3333 -5.91671
21 Indianapolis 55.2667 64.5484 74.0000 79.5161 72.6129 67.2667 -6.14490
22 Fort Wayne 51.5000 62.5806 71.6333 78.6129 69.7419 64.5667 -4.89325

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

1 6.5928 -5.1627 -2.3514 -2.4759 1.1570 1 CL13


2 7.3299 -4.6847 -3.0803 -2.3865 1.7117 1 CL13
3 6.4918 -4.4637 -7.1414 7.2114 8.3122 1 CL13
4 8.3299 -2.7520 -5.1370 5.5211 3.6854 1 CL13
5 5.3762 -1.3773 -8.6641 2.1612 9.4445 1 CL13
6 3.9044 -6.4831 -12.5135 3.5228 6.4176 1 CL13
7 2.1398 -5.5971 -11.3581 9.2746 11.6430 1 CL13
8 4.8851 -5.2161 -13.0445 -5.0587 7.7383 1 CL13
9 7.7844 -8.5097 -12.2927 -8.1683 -2.3517 1 CL13
10 13.4318 0.1609 -3.6472 8.2088 3.4473 1 CL13
11 8.3519 0.9472 1.2300 -2.9679 0.5575 2 CL45
12 8.2189 -0.0051 1.6848 -3.9427 -1.0731 2 CL45
13 5.7665 -1.5010 -0.3845 -3.4556 -0.7950 2 CL45
14 2.9776 9.3160 10.1753 -1.3167 -5.4473 3 CL12
15 3.4514 9.1086 9.1632 0.2957 -4.3639 3 CL12
16 9.0380 13.3186 15.9207 1.0480 0.3954 3 CL12
17 6.9690 12.5221 12.5066 -0.1769 1.0708 3 CL12
18 3.1260 4.7007 5.7707 0.9676 -4.9646 3 CL12
19 2.9661 8.3600 8.3384 0.7234 -3.7851 3 CL12
20 -1.5588 9.1269 8.0693 -0.3838 -3.3277 3 CL12
21 2.6241 4.6211 4.1704 -3.3937 -2.3107 3 CL12
22 2.5078 6.7268 6.3050 -5.7237 -5.0256 3 CL12

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 130


Cities in their Clusters

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

23 Boston 49.4000 58.4194 71.2000 76.0323 71.6452 67.3667 6.72094


24 Worcester 47.3889 58.7312 68.9111 73.3978 69.3441 65.3778 6.90519
25 Chicago 49.8000 61.8710 70.5667 78.5806 70.5484 63.6667 1.25153
26 Johnstown 47.8000 60.3226 69.7667 76.0000 69.0968 64.9333 0.84099
27 Pittsburgh 52.1000 61.2581 69.6000 76.2581 69.1935 64.4000 -0.36179
28 Lincoln 51.0667 61.8710 70.4000 80.8387 74.1935 64.1333 3.05017
29 Omaha 51.5556 62.2581 70.8222 80.6882 73.3548 64.0889 -0.40624
30 Grand Rapids 49.0667 61.2258 69.5667 74.9032 68.0000 62.9667 -3.30959
31 ColumbusOH 55.1667 65.0323 74.7333 80.3548 73.3226 68.1000 -3.24023
32 Kingston 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 8.25349
33 Sacramento 58.3267 64.2581 71.2067 73.6258 74.4387 73.2867 6.71122
34 Stockton 58.2222 64.5484 71.5667 74.1183 74.5161 73.0222 7.35334
35 Los Angeles 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 5.58612
36 Santa Ana/Anaheim 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 9.37348
37 Modesto 58.5167 64.8226 71.7333 74.3387 74.9032 73.4167 7.20520
38 San Bernardino 59.2889 66.7957 71.2667 76.7312 75.5054 72.8778 3.62120
39 Bakersfield 58.0667 66.6452 73.9000 80.2258 77.8710 77.2333 2.01369
40 Fresno 58.7333 68.2258 76.2000 80.7097 78.6452 77.4333 4.01151
41 Louisville 59.5000 67.8065 76.5000 83.4839 78.7742 72.2667 -1.95398
42 St. Louis 58.8000 67.0323 75.0667 83.1613 76.7419 69.9667 -0.48566
43 Evansville 58.0000 65.6452 74.7667 79.6452 74.6129 68.5000 -8.25527
44 Lexington 56.7000 65.5161 73.6667 79.8065 75.9355 68.9333 -6.40648

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

23 2.6733 7.3469 7.7088 3.5155 -3.5027 3 CL12


24 2.5181 8.5516 7.6622 -1.8237 -7.1056 3 CL12
25 6.0385 7.6226 7.0373 -0.5158 0.0429 3 CL12
26 7.3021 5.8602 10.3271 -1.5896 -6.2976 3 CL12
27 4.9377 10.6607 14.6198 2.4950 -2.8201 3 CL12
28 3.8878 0.5766 1.2496 -3.6920 -2.7020 3 CL12
29 0.8112 -0.8071 4.5477 -1.0881 6.4413 3 CL12
30 3.9831 8.5222 7.1289 -6.8933 -9.5720 3 CL12
31 5.2574 14.5176 7.3581 2.5967 -7.1603 3 CL12
32 6.4617 7.5877 3.5178 -3.3418 -2.3785 3 CL12
33 7.9368 5.9901 7.9478 4.2798 8.0364 4 CL20
34 8.1715 5.1208 7.3916 2.5567 5.3487 4 CL20
35 10.9744 9.0467 5.5017 5.2416 2.4389 4 CL20
36 14.2964 10.1229 4.6612 6.4446 4.6599 4 CL20
37 10.4089 8.5813 12.2299 4.5215 7.4796 4 CL20
38 12.9680 15.0344 8.3781 9.9923 1.1010 4 CL20
39 10.1284 14.0376 13.9645 9.5357 16.2752 5 CL62
40 12.9835 14.8018 16.4152 9.8696 13.5157 5 CL62
41 3.5216 3.0344 3.9898 5.7273 -1.2057 6 CL14
42 4.1664 1.4408 8.4464 5.2479 -1.9683 6 CL14
43 1.0679 2.0634 2.7001 2.6426 -0.4325 6 CL14
44 3.4592 3.4754 5.2706 7.5647 1.0119 6 CL14

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 131


Cities in their Clusters

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

45 Knoxville 61.4000 66.3871 75.1333 78.8387 78.0000 70.1000 1.39910


46 Kansas CityMO 54.8000 63.6452 71.7667 81.1613 76.5484 65.9667 -1.13202
47 Arlington 56.7667 67.4839 74.9333 83.2258 79.9032 70.2667 -5.77401
48 New York 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 -0.85701
49 Charlotte 62.2333 65.9677 73.6333 79.0645 79.6774 69.3667 0.53066
50 Jackson 69.5000 71.7742 79.7000 82.1935 84.2258 75.3667 0.10213
51 Memphis 67.2667 71.4194 79.9000 83.9355 82.9032 75.4333 -2.24268
52 Little Rock 65.6833 71.1129 78.9000 84.4677 84.2097 75.1667 2.31853
53 Shreveport 69.6333 72.1935 80.0333 83.1290 86.1290 75.5000 5.17327
54 ColumbusGA 68.2667 71.8548 78.3667 82.0323 84.3387 75.0833 -2.64460
55 Huntsville 65.7667 69.4194 76.4667 80.7419 80.8387 74.0333 3.96797
56 Nashville 62.8333 67.9032 76.8000 82.1935 79.6129 72.0333 5.99371
57 Oklahoma City 61.5333 68.3226 75.9000 82.4194 84.9677 71.3667 5.96884
58 Wichita 56.2000 65.4516 73.3000 82.5161 81.4839 67.2333 5.00061
59 Atlanta 65.3667 69.1290 75.1667 79.3871 82.1290 73.3000 -4.00079
60 Dallas/Fort Worth 68.2833 73.8871 82.1167 86.0484 90.2097 79.2667 3.47606
61 Jersey City 53.5667 63.5484 74.3667 81.0968 76.5484 69.5333 4.06688
62 Philadelphia 53.8000 64.1613 73.1000 81.3871 77.7097 70.1667 7.16699
63 Washington 53.1667 63.0000 71.1000 78.6774 75.6774 67.3333 2.21860
64 Kansas CityKS 53.6667 64.3387 72.6167 82.0000 77.8871 65.8167 4.28449
65 Colorado Springs 42.5333 53.4839 63.0333 71.3226 69.0323 57.9000 8.53664
66 Denver 42.5917 54.3306 63.4167 73.1720 70.6452 58.9889 6.96790

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

45 5.3193 3.9502 -0.0561 7.6415 -0.0521 6 CL14


46 5.7234 0.9810 5.5242 3.4300 -3.1669 6 CL14
47 3.3453 6.7535 13.4359 8.1736 -6.5235 6 CL14
48 0.3905 7.4703 15.8371 6.1029 -3.1651 6 CL14
49 2.7441 4.2031 3.6292 12.7265 -6.9343 6 CL14
50 3.5189 -2.0668 -5.8030 10.5212 1.5682 7 CL11
51 3.4254 0.2333 -1.4341 11.6956 1.0011 7 CL11
52 8.3827 2.2919 0.9441 16.0051 5.4395 7 CL11
53 6.0310 1.6275 -0.7434 13.2357 3.1967 7 CL11
54 2.9716 -2.1978 -5.9310 7.2687 6.1511 7 CL11
55 9.1020 6.4593 3.3874 15.2416 10.0658 7 CL11
56 8.8557 10.2495 5.6462 11.4303 5.2406 7 CL11
57 11.1463 2.9474 6.2657 20.3420 5.5170 7 CL11
58 10.3495 0.0144 9.1460 16.5816 3.6771 7 CL11
59 2.8535 -1.9897 -0.0305 13.6344 2.2994 7 CL11
60 5.2499 1.2840 0.5819 19.9481 9.1287 7 CL11
61 5.1239 11.9726 21.1476 9.2866 -2.5867 8 CL28
62 10.1299 10.4305 18.1820 10.9228 -1.0916 8 CL28
63 10.2754 12.0268 19.8456 16.1971 1.9847 8 CL28
64 10.5564 7.0183 11.9288 8.9702 1.9942 8 CL28
65 8.9151 5.4381 5.8312 2.1564 -2.5394 9 CL43
66 12.1597 8.0521 11.4697 6.8247 -1.1549 9 CL43

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 132


Cities in their Clusters

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city April TempMay June July TempAug TempSep O3April

67 Las Vegas 61.2000 75.5806 85.4667 88.4194 88.1935 81.9333 8.86449


68 Riverside 62.9714 73.6037 79.1238 85.4378 84.6636 80.8048 5.01962
69 El Paso 63.4333 74.3548 80.2333 81.3226 81.4839 75.6667 9.70463
70 Phoenix 66.1333 80.0323 89.1333 91.4516 93.2258 87.6333 7.66572

Obs O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep CLUSTER CLUSNAME

67 15.7920 15.3006 5.3280 5.5927 -0.3099 10 CL10


68 14.2865 15.4135 8.7508 8.3247 3.6302 10 CL10
69 9.3137 7.6609 5.2615 5.6874 0.4456 10 CL10
70 11.8096 8.4950 8.8198 9.5064 -0.6348 10 CL10

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 133


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 240.547597 218.394415 0.9157 0.9157


2 22.153182 0.0843 1.0000

Root-Mean-Square Total-Sample Standard Deviation = 11.46082


Root-Mean-Square Distance Between Observations = 22.92164

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

69 Kingston New York 2 0.0000 1.00 .


. . . 0 T
68 Oakland San Jose 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. . . 0 T
67 Los Angeles Santa Ana/Anaheim 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. . . 0 T
66 St. Petersburg Tampa 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. . . 0
65 Johnstown Syracuse 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 21E3 . 0.0161
64 Charlotte Knoxville 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 9903 . 0.0201
63 Lincoln Omaha 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 6999 . 0.0212
62 Corpus Christi CL66 3 0.0000 1.00 .
. 5052 . 0.0225
61 Sacramento Stockton 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 4154 . 0.0265
60 Cincinnati Indianapolis 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 3436 . 0.0302
59 Fort Wayne Toledo 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 3019 . 0.0305
58 Houston San Antonio 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 2720 . 0.0317
57 Jersey City Philadelphia 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 2476 . 0.0336
56 Akron Pittsburgh 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 2300 . 0.0342
55 Kansas CityMO CL69 3 0.0000 1.00 .
. 2067 . 0.035

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 134


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

54 Evansville Lexington 2 0.0000 1.00 .


. 1931 . 0.0389
53 Modesto CL61 3 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1756 2.9 0.0415
52 Dayton Washington 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1654 . 0.0433
51 Grand Rapids Worcester 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1554 . 0.0464
50 Boston Cleveland 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1471 . 0.0476
49 Fresno Nashville 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1407 . 0.048
48 Atlanta Huntsville 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1352 . 0.0495
47 ColumbusGA Jackson 2 0.0000 1.00 .
. 1284 . 0.0544
46 El Paso Little Rock 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 1196 . 0.0625
45 Kansas CityKS CL55 4 0.0001 .999 .
. 1061 7.6 0.0662
44 Baton Rouge Lake Charles 2 0.0001 .999 .
. 1008 . 0.0667
43 CL58 Lafayette 3 0.0001 .999 .
. 937 5.9 0.0686
42 CL46 Memphis 3 0.0001 .999 .
. 876 1.6 0.0762
41 CL56 CL50 4 0.0002 .999 .
. 777 6.1 0.0783
40 CL60 CL52 4 0.0002 .999 .
. 698 8.4 0.0807
39 CL57 CL45 6 0.0002 .999 .
. 614 7.0 0.0844
38 Buffalo CL51 3 0.0001 .999 .
. 592 4.2 0.0854
37 Chicago CL59 3 0.0001 .998 .
. 573 10.3 0.0864
36 ColumbusOH CL39 7 0.0001 .998 .
. 558 2.0 0.0875
35 Arlington St. Louis 2 0.0001 .998 .
. 555 . 0.0889
34 Austin CL43 4 0.0002 .998 .
. 543 3.0 0.0905

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 135


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

33 CL38 CL65 5
0.0002 .998 .
. 514
4.3 0.0938
32 Bakersfield CL64 3 0.0002 .998 .
. 507 29.0 0.0943
31 CL47 Shreveport 3 0.0002 .997 .
. 498 4.4 0.1027
30 CL49 Oklahoma City 3 0.0002 .997 .
. 490 6.2 0.1061
29 CL34 CL62 7 0.0005 .997 .
. 446 8.8 0.108
28 Colorado Springs Denver 2 0.0002 .997 .
. 448 . 0.1141
27 CL41 CL37 7 0.0005 .996 .
. 416 6.9 0.1159
26 CL35 Wichita 3 0.0002 .996 .
. 420 1.9 0.1159
25 CL53 San Bernardino 4 0.0003 .996 .
. 418 14.5 0.1172
24 CL30 Louisville 4 0.0003 .995 .
. 419 2.4 0.1265
23 CL40 CL36 11 0.0015 .994 .
. 341 18.9 0.1558
22 CL31 CL42 6 0.0009 .993 .
. 316 9.8 0.1614
21 CL29 CL44 9 0.0012 .992 .
. 291 10.4 0.1756
20 CL23 CL54 13 0.0014 .990 .
. 268 6.8 0.1873
19 CL27 CL33 12 0.0025 .988 .
. 228 20.2 0.1921
18 CL22 Riverside 7 0.0008 .987 .
. 232 2.9 0.1967
17 CL32 CL24 7 0.0019 .985 .
. 218 13.7 0.2131
16 CL21 Miami 10 0.0013 .984 .
. 219 5.1 0.2356
15 CL26 CL17 10 0.0028 .981 .
. 203 7.5 0.25
14 CL19 CL63 14 0.0028 .978 .975
1.29 194 8.8 0.2593
13 Dallas/Fort Worth Las Vegas 2 0.0011 .977 .972
1.82 203 . 0.2811

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 136


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis
Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

12 CL48 CL18 9 0.0039 .973 .968


1.49
192 12.7 0.3105
11 CL68 Tacoma 3 0.0019 .971 .964
1.97 200 . 0.3156
10 CL20 CL25 17 0.0102 .961 .959
0.46 165 39.3 0.3573
9 CL15 CL10 27 0.0212 .940 .953
-2.1 119 26.7 0.4058
8 CL16 CL13 12 0.0092 .931 .945
-2.1 119 21.0 0.4696
7 CL12 CL8 21 0.0265 .904 .935
-3.5 99.1 25.8 0.4897
6 CL14 CL67 16 0.0140 .890 .921
-3.1 104 29.7 0.5402
5 CL6 CL9 43 0.0842 .806 .902
-6.5 67.5 56.0 0.6213
4 CL28 CL11 5 0.0170 .789 .874
-5.0 82.3 24.1 0.7161
3 CL7 Phoenix 22 0.0155 .774 .825
-1.9 114 6.7 0.7964
2 CL5 CL4 48 0.1240 .650 .695
-1.3 126 34.6 1.0972
1 CL2 CL3 70 0.6496 .000 .000
0.00 . 126 1.3378

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 137


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs

Plot of _CCC_*_NCL_. Symbol is value of _NCL_.



2ˆ 1
‚ 1
‚ 11

C ‚
u ‚ 1
b ‚
i 0ˆ 1
c ‚

C ‚
l ‚ 2
u ‚
s ‚
t -2 ˆ 3 89
e ‚
r ‚
i ‚
n ‚ 6
g ‚ 7

C -4 ˆ
r ‚
i ‚
t ‚
e ‚ 4
r ‚
i ‚
o -6 ˆ
n ‚
‚ 5




-8 ˆ

Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Number of Clusters

NOTE: 125 obs had missing values.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 138


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
6 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=4 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -28.99302565 2.11735872
2 -10.70761073 -8.80120169
3 7.10205831 2.54042760
4 31.80245481 9.14494722

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 4.9597

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 10 6.6024 15.7266 2 14.1879
2 24 4.0985 9.6044 3 13.2925
3 20 4.4703 9.4856 2 13.2925
4 16 4.4878 12.6290 3 17.6139

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 4.79223 0.908679 9.950427
PCT2 4.70672 4.61424 0.080696 0.087779
OVER-ALL 11.46082 4.70408 0.838857 5.205656

Pseudo F Statistic = 114.52

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.87366

Cubic Clustering Criterion = -2.390

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 139


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
6 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=4 Maxiter=1
Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -22.63592343 -2.28701890
2 -8.86349998 1.12121166
3 4.42595184 0.83555914
4 21.91026232 -1.29687960

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 5.403296513 7.614931949
2 3.964806246 4.227986793
3 5.780142003 2.560834497
4 4.136150227 4.813808736

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 140


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
6 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
3443.82
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 141


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -1.48244429 -3.37764387
2 4.05087904 3.28666006
3 31.80245481 9.14494722
4 26.17447188 -7.17847001
5 16.77777720 -1.25650104
6 20.76507818 8.92838212
7 -28.99302565 2.11735872
8 -17.13076388 2.98732592
9 -10.70761073 -8.80120169
10 -25.24870940 -14.59398355
11 -5.76840458 4.47692301

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.0521

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 7 2.2972 3.6943 2 7.6959
2 9 2.6961 5.2824 1 7.6959
3 1 . 0 6 11.0395
4 9 1.5927 3.6463 5 8.5441
5 9 2.6755 5.8194 4 8.5441
6 1 . 0 5 10.3820
7 2 1.3076 1.3076 8 12.4384
8 12 1.7656 3.8435 11 9.6042
9 2 0 0 1 10.7848
10 3 2.9535 4.8230 7 16.0024
11 15 2.1747 5.2756 1 7.7135

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 2.52006 0.977425 43.297218
PCT2 4.70672 1.83825 0.869571 6.667016
OVER-ALL 11.46082 2.20566 0.968330 30.575663

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 142


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Pseudo F Statistic = 180.40

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.96404

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 1.109

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -1.78476234 -2.74352281
2 4.83676492 1.17853666
3 31.80245481 9.14494722
4 23.30670087 -4.13857205
5 15.74570435 -0.15957217
6 20.76507818 8.92838212
7 -27.90943209 2.84922500
8 -15.49449227 2.08637051
9 -10.70761073 -8.80120169
10 -27.16955932 -13.13602015
11 -6.02667046 3.69889107

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2.444285502 2.140040512
2 2.795242812 2.593223408
3 . .
4 1.642922651 1.540860056
5 2.969514394 2.344903825
6 . .
7 1.532432705 1.035015216
8 2.248937663 1.084852191
9 0.000000000 0.000000000
10 3.327009663 2.525266688
11 2.726564437 1.422741638

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 143


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
11 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
589.5693873
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 144


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
13 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=13 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -10.70761073 -8.80120169
2 -0.92288883 5.03435131
3 7.84308181 -3.00296132
4 15.69438709 3.21336035
5 -25.24870940 -14.59398355
6 18.87002003 -3.81007102
7 26.17447188 -7.17847001
8 -18.43210136 1.22793573
9 20.76507818 8.92838212
10 31.80245481 9.14494722
11 -7.86891703 2.60659500
12 -3.25721263 -4.40197237
13 -28.99302565 2.11735872

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 1.8781

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2 0 0 12 10.5786
2 7 2.2024 4.1056 11 6.2334
3 6 2.2135 4.4945 2 7.5822
4 6 1.7307 3.8344 6 5.5907
5 3 2.9535 4.8230 13 16.0024
6 4 2.5369 5.9056 7 5.0628
7 8 1.4719 3.1787 6 5.0628
8 12 1.7656 3.8338 11 8.7290
9 1 . 0 6 10.5156
10 1 . 0 9 11.0395
11 12 1.8439 3.9518 2 6.2334
12 6 2.1772 3.7456 2 6.3401
13 2 1.3076 1.3076 8 12.4384

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 145


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
13 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=13 Maxiter=1
Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 2.10732 0.984749 64.571141
PCT2 4.70672 1.78724 0.880889 7.395497
OVER-ALL 11.46082 1.95385 0.975991 40.650961

Pseudo F Statistic = 193.09

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.97173

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 1.413

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -10.70761073 -8.80120169
2 -0.72337074 2.92934854
3 6.41921208 0.38507971
4 14.07443988 0.18143341
5 -27.16955932 -13.13602015
6 19.40662567 -1.49905884
7 23.67481312 -4.22195788
8 -15.49449227 2.08637051
9 20.76507818 8.92838212
10 31.80245481 9.14494722
11 -6.91168465 3.67746207
12 -1.64566175 -3.34332109
13 -27.90943209 2.84922500

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 146


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
13 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=13 Maxiter=1

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 0.000000000 0.000000000
2 2.421674916 1.958795366
3 1.801270875 2.560110617
4 1.302910943 2.071905260
5 3.327009663 2.525266688
6 2.081383950 2.922259210
7 1.300389031 1.625395227
8 2.248937663 1.084852191
9 . .
10 . .
11 2.199983009 1.400064525
12 2.647056206 1.572819464
13 1.532432705 1.035015216

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 147


Clustering based on First two Temperature PCs
13 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure


Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
493.7919436
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 148


Cities in their Clusters

Obs city PCT1 PCT2 CLUSTER CLUSNAME

1 Kingston -5.7684 4.4769 1 CL20


2 New York -5.7684 4.4769 1 CL20
3 Cincinnati -6.7571 1.6912 1 CL20
4 Indianapolis -6.1580 2.0379 1 CL20
5 Jersey City -4.3017 4.8683 1 CL20
6 Philadelphia -3.5652 4.6440 1 CL20
7 Kansas CityMO -5.9731 3.7010 1 CL20
8 Evansville -2.6194 0.8553 1 CL20
9 Lexington -2.9717 1.6754 1 CL20
10 Dayton -8.4739 1.8203 1 CL20
11 Washington -7.8689 2.6066 1 CL20
12 Kansas CityKS -5.1993 5.5430 1 CL20
13 ColumbusOH -4.8662 2.9176 1 CL20
14 Oakland -25.2487 -14.5940 2 CL68
15 San Jose -25.2487 -14.5940 2 CL68
16 Los Angeles -10.7076 -8.8012 3 CL67
17 Santa Ana/Anaheim -10.7076 -8.8012 3 CL67
18 St. Petersburg 23.7667 -4.8977 4 CL16
19 Tampa 23.7667 -4.8977 4 CL16
20 Corpus Christi 24.2833 -4.9156 4 CL16
21 Houston 22.8477 -2.9608 4 CL16
22 San Antonio 22.3267 -2.4535 4 CL16
23 Baton Rouge 18.8700 -3.8101 4 CL16
24 Lake Charles 20.3618 -3.4715 4 CL16
25 Lafayette 22.0975 -4.1566 4 CL16
26 Austin 24.1355 -2.3152 4 CL16
27 Miami 26.1745 -7.1785 4 CL16
28 Johnstown -16.7821 2.8679 5 CL14
29 Syracuse -17.1308 2.9873 5 CL14
30 Lincoln -10.9795 5.2255 5 CL14
31 Omaha -10.8258 4.7645 5 CL14
32 Fort Wayne -12.3593 2.8851 5 CL14
33 Toledo -12.7102 2.2801 5 CL14
34 Akron -14.9869 0.6743 5 CL14
35 Pittsburgh -14.3237 0.2579 5 CL14
36 Grand Rapids -17.3701 1.2652 5 CL14
37 Worcester -18.4321 1.2279 5 CL14
38 Boston -14.1691 2.6226 5 CL14
39 Cleveland -14.4028 1.5558 5 CL14
40 Buffalo -19.3166 2.4911 5 CL14
41 Chicago -13.9503 3.9212 5 CL14
42 Charlotte 1.6325 -1.6437 6 CL15
43 Knoxville 1.4423 -1.2235 6 CL15
44 Fresno 4.9179 1.2236 6 CL15
45 Nashville 5.8323 0.6114 6 CL15
46 Arlington 1.5472 4.8813 6 CL15
47 St. Louis 0.9640 2.9282 6 CL15
48 Bakersfield 2.5044 0.4868 6 CL15
49 Oklahoma City 7.1021 2.5404 6 CL15
50 Wichita -0.9229 5.0344 6 CL15

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 149


Cities in their Clusters

Obs city PCT1 PCT2 CLUSTER CLUSNAME

51 Louisville 4.0509 3.2867 6 CL15


52 Sacramento -4.2394 -4.9783 7 CL25
53 Stockton -3.9697 -4.4348 7 CL25
54 Modesto -3.2572 -4.4020 7 CL25
55 San Bernardino -1.4824 -3.3776 7 CL25
56 Atlanta 7.8431 -3.0030 8 CL48
57 Huntsville 8.7691 -2.3486 8 CL48
58 ColumbusGA 14.0706 -1.9498 9 CL18
59 Jackson 15.2773 -2.2649 9 CL18
60 El Paso 12.1305 0.5803 9 CL18
61 Little Rock 13.2797 1.4361 9 CL18
62 Memphis 13.9942 0.0735 9 CL18
63 Shreveport 16.7778 -1.2565 9 CL18
64 Riverside 15.6944 3.2134 9 CL18
65 Colorado Springs -28.9930 2.1174 10 CL28
66 Denver -26.8258 3.5811 10 CL28
67 Dallas/Fort Worth 21.6169 2.5418 11 CL13
68 Las Vegas 20.7651 8.9284 11 CL13
69 Tacoma -31.0113 -10.2201 12 Tacoma
70 Phoenix 31.8025 9.1449 13 Phoenix

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 150


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 91.4204695 34.1181979 0.4794 0.4794


2 57.3022716 27.7307075 0.3005 0.7799
3 29.5715640 17.1594150 0.1551 0.9349
4 12.4121490 0.0651 1.0000

Root-Mean-Square Total-Sample Standard Deviation = 6.904825


Root-Mean-Square Distance Between Observations = 19.5298

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

69 St. Petersburg Tampa 2 0.0000 1.00 .


. 388
. 0.0511
68 Cleveland Dayton 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 252 . 0.0745
67 Oakland San Jose 2 0.0002 1.00 .
. 165 . 0.104
66 Akron CL68 3 0.0004 .999 .
. 88.0 5.3 0.1527
65 Kansas CityKS San Bernardino 2 0.0003 .999 .
. 74.6 . 0.1549
64 Kansas CityMO St. Louis 2 0.0003 .999 .
. 68.2 . 0.1551
63 Atlanta Memphis 2 0.0004 .998 .
. 63.7 . 0.1606
62 Denver Phoenix 2 0.0004 .998 .
. 60.6 . 0.1639
61 CL64 Louisville 3 0.0004 .997 .
. 58.3 1.2 0.1648
60 Sacramento Stockton 2 0.0004 .997 .
. 56.2 . 0.1742
59 Johnstown Worcester 2 0.0005 .997 .
. 54.2 . 0.1822
58 El Paso Los Angeles 2 0.0006 .996 .
. 51.7 . 0.1979
57 CL67 Tacoma 3 0.0008 .995 .
. 47.2 5.4 0.2153
56 CL66 ColumbusOH 4 0.0009 .994 .
. 43.6 3.6 0.2179

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 151


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

55 Buffalo Syracuse 2 0.0007 .993 .


. 42.4 . 0.2197
54 Oklahoma City Wichita 2 0.0007 .993 .
. 41.4 . 0.2264
53 Arlington New York 2 0.0008 .992 .
. 40.2 . 0.2371
52 Little Rock Shreveport 2 0.0008 .991 .
. 39.4 . 0.2385
51 Modesto Riverside 2 0.0008 .990 .
. 38.7 . 0.2407
50 Fort Wayne Indianapolis 2 0.0009 .989 .
. 38.2 . 0.2433
49 Baton Rouge Lafayette 2 0.0009 .988 .
. 37.6 . 0.2516
48 Bakersfield Fresno 2 0.0009 .988 .
. 37.2 . 0.2537
47 CL62 CL65 4 0.0016 .986 .
. 35.1 4.4 0.2624
46 Boston Colorado Springs 2 0.0011 .985 .
. 34.6 . 0.2765
45 Houston San Antonio 2 0.0012 .984 .
. 34.1 . 0.2909
44 CL58 Santa Ana/Anaheim 3 0.0015 .982 .
. 33.2 2.6 0.294
43 Cincinnati CL61 4 0.0017 .980 .
. 32.2 4.6 0.2969
42 CL56 Toledo 5 0.0019 .979 .
. 31.1 4.0 0.3056
41 CL44 CL60 5 0.0023 .976 .
. 29.7 2.8 0.3133
40 ColumbusGA Jackson 2 0.0014 .975 .
. 29.7 . 0.3155
39 CL55 Pittsburgh 3 0.0017 .973 .
. 29.4 2.4 0.3174
38 Jersey City Philadelphia 2 0.0016 .971 .
. 29.4 . 0.3344
37 CL57 CL69 5 0.0036 .968 .
. 27.6 10.3 0.3382
36 Evansville Lexington 2 0.0017 .966 .
. 27.8 . 0.3391
35 CL47 Las Vegas 5 0.0026 .964 .
. 27.2 3.3 0.3656

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 152


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

34 CL35 CL51 7
0.0037 .960 .
. 26.1
3.1 0.3709
33 CL46 Kingston 3 0.0023 .958 .
. 26.1 2.1 0.374
32 CL45 Lake Charles 3 0.0023 .955 .
. 26.2 1.9 0.3741
31 Dallas/Fort Worth CL52 3 0.0025 .953 .
. 26.2 3.1 0.3817
30 Huntsville Nashville 2 0.0022 .951 .
. 26.5 . 0.387
29 Austin CL32 4 0.0024 .948 .
. 26.8 1.4 0.3877
28 CL43 Knoxville 5 0.0030 .945 .
. 26.8 3.7 0.3898
27 Chicago CL59 3 0.0028 .942 .
. 27.0 5.8 0.3906
26 CL63 CL40 4 0.0037 .939 .
. 26.9 4.1 0.3981
25 CL50 Grand Rapids 3 0.0029 .936 .
. 27.3 3.4 0.4045
24 CL33 CL27 6 0.0039 .932 .
. 27.4 2.3 0.4087
23 CL34 CL41 12 0.0090 .923 .
. 25.6 6.3 0.4322
22 CL38 Washington 3 0.0031 .920 .
. 26.2 1.9 0.4336
21 CL42 CL25 8 0.0069 .913 .
. 25.7 5.9 0.438
20 CL30 CL54 4 0.0042 .909 .
. 26.2 2.9 0.4401
19 CL28 CL36 7 0.0053 .903 .
. 26.5 3.7 0.4424
18 Lincoln CL37 6 0.0040 .899 .
. 27.4 3.5 0.4438
17 CL31 CL20 7 0.0072 .892 .
. 27.4 3.4 0.4935
16 CL29 CL49 6 0.0086 .884 .
. 27.4 5.0 0.5371
15 Charlotte CL19 8 0.0060 .878 .
. 28.2 2.9 0.5468
14 Corpus Christi Miami 2 0.0046 .873 .863
1.10 29.6 . 0.563

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 153


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

13 CL21 CL53 10 0.0126 .860 .852


0.80
29.3 6.9 0.5884
12 CL24 CL39 9 0.0166 .844 .841
0.27 28.5 8.9 0.6127
11 CL15 Omaha 9 0.0076 .836 .828
0.73 30.1 2.9 0.6133
10 CL13 CL12 19 0.0287 .807 .813
-.46 28.0 8.6 0.6459
9 CL26 CL11 13 0.0258 .782 .796
-.94 27.3 9.0 0.6852
8 CL23 CL22 15 0.0303 .751 .777
-1.5 26.8 14.0 0.7463
7 CL14 CL18 8 0.0215 .730 .753
-1.3 28.4 9.8 0.7887
6 CL16 CL7 14 0.0418 .688 .723
-1.8 28.2 10.0 0.8114
5 CL17 CL8 22 0.0673 .621 .684
-3.0 26.6 17.7 0.8411
4 CL10 CL9 32 0.0980 .523 .632
-4.6 24.1 20.5 0.8639
3 CL48 CL5 24 0.0323 .490 .551
-2.1 32.2 4.9 0.9213
2 CL4 CL3 56 0.2073 .283 .374
-2.6 26.9 26.8 1.0175
1 CL2 CL6 70 0.2831 .000 .000
0.00 . 26.9 1.218

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 154


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

Plot of _CCC_*_NCL_. Symbol is value of _NCL_.







‚ 1

‚ 1
C ‚ 1
u ‚
b ‚ 1
i ‚
c 0ˆ 1

C ‚
l ‚ 1
u ‚
s ‚
t -1 ˆ 9
e ‚
r ‚ 7
i ‚ 8
n ‚
g ‚ 6
-2 ˆ
C ‚ 3
r ‚
i ‚
t ‚ 2
e ‚
r -3 ˆ 5
i ‚
o ‚
n ‚


-4 ˆ



‚ 4

-5 ˆ
Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Number of Clusters

NOTE: 125 obs had missing values.


18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 155
Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
3 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=3 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
2 -20.74774458 9.36293579 -1.92570126 2.55375831
3 13.82101526 12.50743969 4.47700609 9.17367551

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 4.7510

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 29 4.5063 13.4106 3 14.7904
2 19 5.5477 18.8948 1 17.5661
3 22 4.6497 14.1085 1 14.7904

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCO1 9.56141 5.69407 0.655628 1.903833
PCO2 7.56983 4.75413 0.617002 1.610982
PCO3 5.43797 5.13406 0.134486 0.155383
PCO4 3.52309 3.56941 0.003281 0.003292
OVER-ALL 6.90483 4.85087 0.520754 1.086610

Pseudo F Statistic = 36.40

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.55068

Cubic Clustering Criterion = -1.102

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 156


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
3 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=3 Maxiter=1

Cluster Means

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2.52934352 -6.80822598 -1.36379318 0.06427548
2 -12.17424022 2.79509062 -1.30450328 -0.31672371
3 7.17998192 6.56053780 2.92434384 0.18880735

Cluster Standard Deviations


Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 5.201439311 3.904577754 5.318259590 3.262226081
2 6.498660672 6.044588685 6.127024911 2.606909878
3 5.583049748 4.523855294 3.769243568 4.542504510

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 157


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
3 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
6320.20
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 158


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
2 17.62711647 0.88212599 -0.58601647 -2.65441445
3 -11.44422976 2.81056112 -7.90445907 -2.17044852
4 1.52543058 15.88510614 -3.98916959 -4.60274869
5 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
7 0.69294273 2.31650915 5.60732222 2.52557376

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 3.8438

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 15 3.4459 11.3124 7 13.6328
2 10 4.2811 10.5994 7 11.5030
3 14 4.7529 14.1964 4 12.8179
4 5 2.6444 5.5282 3 12.8179
5 2 1.7516 2.4771 2 16.6073
6 7 4.1232 10.3505 3 14.5622
7 17 3.7709 11.4221 2 11.5030

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCO1 9.56141 4.62682 0.786197 3.677199
PCO2 7.56983 4.34278 0.699493 2.327707
PCO3 5.43797 3.59701 0.600515 1.503225
PCO4 3.52309 3.05951 0.311429 0.452282
OVER-ALL 6.90483 3.95494 0.700452 2.338361
Pseudo F Statistic = 24.55

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.75268

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 159


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Cubic Clustering Criterion = -2.756

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2.84397806 -9.53534110 -2.41821342 0.48466906
2 12.48137463 0.64423392 -0.03406928 -0.39434054
3 -7.73331730 2.61289128 -5.02796250 -0.32401842
4 -0.96230978 13.40910737 -4.80312556 -1.68161474
5 12.38974643 12.44046106 3.29361838 10.81149395
6 -17.05517812 -2.69532263 4.80065288 0.29501831
7 2.36537223 1.58518229 5.34289353 -0.82767147

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.075603834 3.359063089 3.591456936 2.589242636
2 3.141533633 5.779486817 4.736585299 2.757880052
3 6.362183875 4.079347641 4.398117806 3.728212400
4 2.962695791 2.191393654 2.201513909 3.089334743
5 2.024119787 0.094722089 1.673562940 2.316225053
6 5.384034254 4.534083909 2.648019271 3.382987673
7 4.242361014 4.813229684 2.703036672 2.899401819

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 160


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
4136.98
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 161


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
2 -2.47944102 -7.31440494 -9.72389792 4.00458550
3 1.52543058 15.88510614 -3.98916959 -4.60274869
4 -20.74774458 9.36293579 -1.92570126 2.55375831
5 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 -8.70793720 6.34263287 1.28387081 -2.44534488
7 -0.73428048 -6.26858594 8.18331923 -1.13214014
8 17.61728069 9.43806143 -2.92259233 -1.80934960
9 1.02427673 -0.38896807 -8.45618803 -8.14182229
10 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
11 6.01546199 5.37368726 3.75060905 -4.85953725

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.9235

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 11 3.0571 9.3685 2 9.5064
2 6 3.0179 8.3019 9 8.3569
3 5 2.6444 5.5282 6 12.2280
4 4 2.5455 4.8528 10 12.2204
5 2 1.7516 2.4771 11 15.1732
6 8 3.4461 9.5181 3 12.2280
7 9 3.3251 8.3565 2 10.9030
8 3 2.7842 5.2081 11 12.4154
9 4 3.5552 9.3990 2 8.3569
10 4 3.7335 7.7465 4 12.2204
11 14 2.9945 10.8409 8 12.4154

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCO1 9.56141 3.69088 0.872585 6.848387
PCO2 7.56983 2.99439 0.866202 6.473980
PCO3 5.43797 2.91456 0.754373 3.071219
PCO4 3.52309 2.78476 0.465765 0.871836
OVER-ALL 6.90483 3.11603 0.825859 4.742478

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 162


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
11 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=11 Maxiter=1

Pseudo F Statistic = 27.98

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.82791

Cubic Clustering Criterion = -0.176

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 7.07383203 -9.34134391 -1.80262162 1.11823967
2 -1.43330571 -6.65303140 -4.91109013 2.17179398
3 -0.96230978 13.40910737 -4.80312556 -1.68161474
4 -18.69669877 5.50237011 0.15441716 2.21866066
5 12.38974643 12.44046106 3.29361838 10.81149395
6 -8.38977621 3.71852383 -5.29950407 -1.23041433
7 -2.06872113 -5.57519460 5.21821190 -1.66330223
8 16.59424712 5.21250871 -0.30784348 -2.98640689
9 3.39292549 -2.67161604 -7.93845830 -2.46814563
10 -18.02539876 -4.66355725 6.35012675 -0.45634479
11 5.72074176 4.49062570 4.91536308 -0.13933857

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2.893172583 3.958920669 2.941973115 2.164347285
2 2.299494070 3.266873517 2.629878590 3.681802171
3 2.962695791 2.191393654 2.201513909 3.089334743
4 2.946096069 3.183263103 2.052113596 1.701158164
5 2.024119787 0.094722089 1.673562940 2.316225053
6 3.476586897 2.334811494 5.029578315 2.160489928
7 5.095903372 2.521901730 2.742625447 2.091537363
8 1.780470941 4.278930920 2.764352418 1.373483514
9 4.554554997 2.125639791 2.369217393 4.436574354
10 5.363176134 3.261352302 1.041538456 3.908011016
11 3.732698281 2.748202273 2.363208564 2.966268669

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 163


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
11 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
2393.05
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 164


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
15 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=15 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -22.66652374 -3.02164952 4.85089941 5.33374256
2 10.20747823 -5.34320472 -9.32655058 -2.83482547
3 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
4 -20.74774458 9.36293579 -1.92570126 2.55375831
5 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 -8.70793720 6.34263287 1.28387081 -2.44534488
7 2.46756897 7.36839188 8.35769514 -0.32727043
8 9.88540526 -4.15693670 3.30173918 4.47144343
9 1.02427673 -0.38896807 -8.45618803 -8.14182229
10 -6.70417273 -5.44491369 8.18469507 -1.98514609
11 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
12 1.52543058 15.88510614 -3.98916959 -4.60274869
13 17.61728069 9.43806143 -2.92259233 -1.80934960
14 -12.53842840 1.94963998 -7.87801441 3.83149139
15 -2.47944102 -7.31440494 -9.72389792 4.00458550

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.4715

Cluster Summary
Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 1 . 0 4 10.9626
2 6 2.4733 6.8679 11 7.9834
3 1 . 0 1 10.9961
4 4 2.5455 4.8528 1 10.9626
5 2 1.7516 2.4771 7 15.3329
6 4 2.9132 6.1180 14 8.8956
7 13 2.6604 6.1079 8 10.2385
8 5 3.0465 6.8723 2 8.2961
9 2 2.9239 4.1351 15 8.5762
10 8 3.0844 8.7202 6 12.1344
11 5 2.7361 5.9629 2 7.9834
12 5 2.6444 5.5282 6 11.6846
13 3 2.7842 5.2081 7 12.8646
14 4 2.4565 5.5913 6 8.8956
15 7 3.0656 8.3019 9 8.5762

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 165


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
15 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=15 Maxiter=1

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCO1 9.56141 3.37235 0.900840 9.084720
PCO2 7.56983 2.56716 0.908326 9.908173
PCO3 5.43797 2.43799 0.839785 5.241595
PCO4 3.52309 2.62773 0.556567 1.255132
OVER-ALL 6.90483 2.77542 0.871215 6.764865

Pseudo F Statistic = 26.58

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = .

Cubic Clustering Criterion = .

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -22.66652374 -3.02164952 4.85089941 5.33374256
2 7.88395965 -7.85814683 -5.11345459 0.47142780
3 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
4 -18.69669877 5.50237011 0.15441716 2.21866066
5 12.38974643 12.44046106 3.29361838 10.81149395
6 -7.69108129 4.61154248 -1.12988423 -2.28461912
7 5.13887854 5.04033517 4.92769142 -0.37283395
8 8.15892570 -4.17977099 2.24611064 1.49916044
9 1.29085711 -1.80914335 -6.45454177 -4.82455265
10 -6.92011057 -4.77893729 6.49914228 -1.76880067
11 4.63683566 -12.14931763 0.69619350 -0.54082484
12 -0.96230978 13.40910737 -4.80312556 -1.68161474
13 16.59424712 5.21250871 -0.30784348 -2.98640689
14 -9.08847114 2.82550518 -9.46912391 -0.17620954
15 -1.11676068 -5.94902302 -5.56924855 2.23458745

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 166


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
15 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=15 Maxiter=1

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 . . . .
2 2.454817121 2.496458732 2.495119724 2.446337632
3 . . . .
4 2.946096069 3.183263103 2.052113596 1.701158164
5 2.024119787 0.094722089 1.673562940 2.316225053
6 3.932585551 3.146044705 2.842928239 0.708825285
7 3.155823720 1.897084473 2.459236831 2.950439104
8 4.782371815 1.134536469 2.004800748 2.991227265
9 0.377001589 2.008431143 2.830755287 4.691327724
10 5.178836874 2.395441127 2.056201886 1.125663140
11 1.841047912 3.412301888 2.676378506 2.783803747
12 2.962695791 2.191393654 2.201513909 3.089334743
13 1.780470941 4.278930920 2.764352418 1.373483514
14 3.381592872 0.834018918 2.140408564 2.724942527
15 2.260044128 3.516121931 2.965764442 3.365113741

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 167


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
15 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1710.36
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 168


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
17 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=17 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 1.52543058 15.88510614 -3.98916959 -4.60274869
2 10.20747823 -5.34320472 -9.32655058 -2.83482547
3 1.48386155 4.77635995 4.61654050 4.50366152
4 -20.74774458 9.36293579 -1.92570126 2.55375831
5 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 -13.54687767 -2.70109629 7.02300182 -1.83322352
7 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
8 9.88540526 -4.15693670 3.30173918 4.47144343
9 1.02427673 -0.38896807 -8.45618803 -8.14182229
10 6.86169418 4.44840029 9.59601036 -2.92321872
11 -5.67936378 7.83580785 -3.67216244 -3.21430018
12 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
13 -2.47944102 -7.31440494 -9.72389792 4.00458550
14 -12.53842840 1.94963998 -7.87801441 3.83149139
15 17.61728069 9.43806143 -2.92259233 -1.80934960
16 -22.66652374 -3.02164952 4.85089941 5.33374256
17 -0.73428048 -6.26858594 8.18331923 -1.13214014
Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 2.3527

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 5 2.6444 5.9448 11 10.2709
2 6 2.4733 6.8679 7 7.5824
3 6 2.2612 5.4501 10 5.8473
4 4 2.5455 4.8528 16 10.9626
5 2 1.7516 2.4771 3 14.9129
6 4 2.6120 6.8263 17 10.9797
7 4 2.5056 5.0458 2 7.5824
8 4 2.7305 6.5793 2 8.6733
9 2 2.9239 4.1351 13 8.5762
10 7 2.3005 5.4527 3 5.8473
11 3 2.6964 6.4348 14 8.6819
12 1 . 0 16 10.9961
13 7 3.0656 8.3019 9 8.5762
14 4 2.4565 5.1532 11 8.6819
15 3 2.7842 5.2081 10 10.8866
16 1 . 0 4 10.9626

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 169


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
17 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=17 Maxiter=1

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
17 7 3.1951 7.0061 6 10.9797

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCO1 9.56141 2.96775 0.925999 12.513340
PCO2 7.56983 2.78198 0.896256 8.639137
PCO3 5.43797 2.52205 0.834781 5.052577
PCO4 3.52309 2.31250 0.669066 2.021750
OVER-ALL 6.90483 2.65779 0.886195 7.786965

Pseudo F Statistic = 25.79

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = .

Cubic Clustering Criterion = .

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -0.96230978 13.40910737 -4.80312556 -1.68161474
2 7.88395965 -7.85814683 -5.11345459 0.47142780
3 2.97906143 5.30091883 5.12443761 1.89472710
4 -18.69669877 5.50237011 0.15441716 2.21866066
5 12.38974643 12.44046106 3.29361838 10.81149395
6 -12.16402506 -2.16026933 5.07591979 -1.78577945
7 4.84771526 -12.84627157 -0.27931047 0.31966457
8 9.36342443 -4.33884319 2.34584716 2.70981952
9 1.29085711 -1.80914335 -6.45454177 -4.82455265
10 6.99015035 4.81697774 4.75905184 -2.31645771
11 -6.01936028 4.96470924 -1.96606689 -2.43086751
12 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
13 -1.11676068 -5.94902302 -5.56924855 2.23458745

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 170


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
17 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=17 Maxiter=1

Cluster Means

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
14 -9.08847114 2.82550518 -9.46912391 -0.17620954
15 16.59424712 5.21250871 -0.30784348 -2.98640689
16 -22.66652374 -3.02164952 4.85089941 5.33374256
17 -1.75382580 -5.56333755 5.64478525 -2.31134569

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 2.962695791 2.191393654 2.201513909 3.089334743
2 2.454817121 2.496458732 2.495119724 2.446337632
3 2.071430940 2.436551781 2.398261035 2.114925824
4 2.946096069 3.183263103 2.052113596 1.701158164
5 2.024119787 0.094722089 1.673562940 2.316225053
6 2.015622800 4.080395693 2.547245510 0.298168035
7 2.054947326 3.505249432 1.790702634 2.323030553
8 4.563185175 1.244000632 2.300576500 1.469223593
9 0.377001589 2.008431143 2.830755287 4.691327724
10 2.771198256 1.457542922 2.689006632 2.033134798
11 2.535731993 3.754735058 2.815697576 0.790770751
12 . . . .
13 2.260044128 3.516121931 2.965764442 3.365113741
14 3.381592872 0.834018918 2.140408564 2.724942527
15 1.780470941 4.278930920 2.764352418 1.373483514
16 . . . .
17 4.695246851 2.898645454 2.839964692 1.523632114

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 171


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
17 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1549.80
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 172


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis
Eigenvalues of the Covariance Matrix

Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative

1 285.029670 204.037162 0.6286 0.6286


2 80.992508 40.219962 0.1786 0.8073
3 40.772546 15.214273 0.0899 0.8972
4 25.558273 13.068800 0.0564 0.9536
5 12.489474 3.924713 0.0275 0.9811
6 8.564761 0.0189 1.0000

Root-Mean-Square Total-Sample Standard Deviation = 8.692978


Root-Mean-Square Distance Between Observations = 30.11336

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

69 St. Petersburg Tampa 2 0.0000 1.00 .


. 922 . 0.0332
68 Oakland San Jose 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 364 . 0.0675
67 Akron Cleveland 2 0.0001 1.00 .
. 228 . 0.0899
66 Sacramento Stockton 2 0.0002 1.00 .
. 158 . 0.1147
65 Johnstown Worcester 2 0.0003 .999 .
. 115 . 0.1412
64 Louisville St. Louis 2 0.0003 .999 .
. 96.8 . 0.1448
63 Cincinnati Dayton 2 0.0004 .999 .
. 83.4 . 0.1595
62 Buffalo Syracuse 2 0.0004 .998 .
. 75.9 . 0.1607
61 ColumbusOH New York 2 0.0004 .998 .
. 69.1 . 0.1746
60 Bakersfield Fresno 2 0.0005 .997 .
. 63.5 . 0.1846
59 Los Angeles Santa Ana/Anaheim 2 0.0005 .997 .
. 59.4 . 0.1899
58 Houston San Antonio 2 0.0005 .996 .
. 56.6 . 0.1902
57 CL67 Toledo 3 0.0007 .996 .
. 52.9 5.7 0.1907

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 173


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

56 Baton Rouge Lafayette 2


0.0006 .995 .
. 51.4 .
0.1956
55 Jackson Memphis 2
0.0006 .994 .
. 49.9 .
0.2053
54 Boston Chicago 2 0.0006 .994 .
. 48.6 . 0.2092
53 Modesto CL66 3 0.0008 .993 .
. 46.6 4.1 0.21
52 Little Rock Shreveport 2 0.0007 .992 .
. 46.0 . 0.2131
51 Jersey City Philadelphia 2 0.0007 .992 .
. 45.4 . 0.2184
50 Evansville Lexington 2 0.0007 .991 .
. 44.8 . 0.2219
49 CL63 Indianapolis 3 0.0009 .990 .
. 43.7 2.4 0.2281
48 CL57 Fort Wayne 4 0.0010 .989 .
. 42.3 2.7 0.2381
47 ColumbusGA CL55 3 0.0010 .988 .
. 41.3 1.7 0.2528
46 Knoxville CL64 3 0.0011 .987 .
. 40.1 3.7 0.2532
45 CL58 Lake Charles 3 0.0011 .986 .
. 39.5 2.1 0.2552
44 CL62 Pittsburgh 3 0.0012 .985 .
. 38.7 3.1 0.2595
43 CL49 Kansas CityMO 4 0.0012 .983 .
. 38.1 2.0 0.2659
42 Austin CL45 4 0.0011 .982 .
. 37.8 1.4 0.2663
41 CL54 CL65 4 0.0016 .981 .
. 36.8 3.5 0.2674
40 CL68 Tacoma 3 0.0015 .979 .
. 36.2 22.3 0.2779
39 Huntsville Nashville 2 0.0012 .978 .
. 36.3 . 0.2866
38 Colorado Springs Denver 2 0.0012 .977 .
. 36.4 . 0.2897
37 CL48 Grand Rapids 5 0.0017 .975 .
. 35.8 2.9 0.3011
36 Arlington CL61 3 0.0018 .973 .
. 35.4 4.0 0.3134

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 174


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

35 Oklahoma City Wichita 2 0.0014 .972 .


. 35.5 . 0.3153
34 CL51 Washington 3 0.0017 .970 .
. 35.4 2.5 0.3184
33 Charlotte CL46 4 0.0020 .968 .
. 35.2 2.7 0.3261
32 Atlanta CL47 4 0.0019 .966 .
. 35.1 2.3 0.3272
31 CL53 San Bernardino 4 0.0021 .964 .
. 34.9 4.4 0.3305
30 Kingston Lincoln 2 0.0016 .963 .
. 35.4 . 0.334
29 Las Vegas Riverside 2 0.0017 .961 .
. 35.9 . 0.3417
28 CL43 CL50 6 0.0033 .957 .
. 35.0 4.2 0.3459
27 Dallas/Fort Worth CL52 3 0.0021 .955 .
. 35.4 3.2 0.3481
26 CL34 Kansas CityKS 4 0.0022 .953 .
. 35.8 1.8 0.361
25 CL37 CL41 9 0.0055 .948 .
. 33.9 6.3 0.363
24 CL42 CL56 6 0.0038 .944 .
. 33.6 4.6 0.3636
23 CL59 CL31 6 0.0038 .940 .
. 33.5 4.2 0.3677
22 Corpus Christi Miami 2 0.0021 .938 .
. 34.5 . 0.3781
21 CL39 CL35 4 0.0030 .935 .
. 35.2 2.3 0.3862
20 CL22 CL69 4 0.0035 .931 .
. 35.7 3.4 0.3963
19 El Paso CL29 3 0.0027 .929 .
. 36.9 1.6 0.4105
18 CL25 CL44 12 0.0073 .921 .
. 35.9 5.5 0.4166
17 CL28 Omaha 7 0.0035 .918 .
. 37.0 2.7 0.4231
16 CL32 CL27 7 0.0074 .911 .
. 36.6 5.8 0.4593
15 CL33 CL17 11 0.0104 .900 .
. 35.4 7.0 0.469

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 175


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

The CLUSTER Procedure


Average Linkage Cluster Analysis

Cluster History
NCL -----------Clusters Joined------------ FREQ SPRSQ RSQ ERSQ
Norm T
RMS i
CCC PSF PST2 Dist e

14 CL36 CL15 14 0.0089 .891 .861


3.52 35.3 4.1 0.4798
13 CL24 CL20 10 0.0116 .880 .851
3.04 34.7 7.3 0.5061
12 CL18 CL30 14 0.0098 .870 .841
2.91 35.2 5.4 0.5334
11 CL26 CL23 10 0.0197 .850 .829
1.91 33.5 13.0 0.6049
10 CL19 Phoenix 4 0.0069 .843 .817
2.35 35.9 3.2 0.6069
9 CL12 CL14 28 0.0426 .801 .802
-.12 30.6 16.6 0.6119
8 CL16 CL21 11 0.0197 .781 .785
-.33 31.6 9.2 0.6195
7 CL60 CL11 12 0.0151 .766 .766
0.01 34.3 4.7 0.6565
6 CL38 CL40 5 0.0168 .749 .741
0.44 38.2 18.3 0.722
5 CL9 CL7 40 0.0713 .678 .710
-1.6 34.2 17.3 0.7509
4 CL8 CL10 15 0.0343 .643 .668
-1.2 39.7 8.9 0.7896
3 CL4 CL13 25 0.0831 .560 .604
-1.6 42.7 17.5 0.8699
2 CL5 CL6 45 0.0840 .476 .481
-.14 61.8 14.6 0.9919
1 CL2 CL3 70 0.4762 .000 .000
0.00 . 61.8 1.2417

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 176


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone

Plot of _CCC_*_NCL_. Symbol is value of _NCL_.





‚ 1



3ˆ 1
C ‚ 1
u ‚
b ‚
i ‚
c ‚ 1

C 2ˆ
l ‚ 1
u ‚
s ‚
t ‚
e ‚
r ‚
i 1ˆ
n ‚
g ‚

C ‚ 6
r ‚
i ‚
t 0ˆ 1 7
e ‚ 2 9
r ‚ 8
i ‚
o ‚
n ‚

-1 ˆ
‚ 4


‚ 3
‚ 5

-2 ˆ
Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Number of Clusters

NOTE: 125 obs had missing values.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 177


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
4 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=4 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -31.01125917 -10.22009334 -9.18543209 -6.09763360 5.46469736 -1.37489115
2 -7.86891703 2.60659500 17.61728069 9.43806143 -2.92259233 -1.80934960
3 31.80245481 9.14494722 6.01546199 5.37368726 3.75060905 -4.85953725
4 26.17447188 -7.17847001 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 5.2174

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 12 5.5526 17.8311 2 17.5462
2 34 5.4820 21.1966 1 17.5462
3 12 5.4127 18.6490 4 20.0149
4 12 4.1447 15.7688 3 20.0149

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 6.17489 0.848381 5.595493
PCT2 4.70672 4.35516 0.181031 0.221048
PCO1 9.56141 5.81890 0.645731 1.822716
PCO2 7.56983 6.07908 0.383122 0.621066
PCO3 5.43797 5.25498 0.106772 0.119535
PCO4 3.52309 3.45512 0.080027 0.086989
OVER-ALL 8.69298 5.28306 0.646712 1.830554

Pseudo F Statistic = 40.27

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.60808

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 1.928

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 178


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
4 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=4 Maxiter=1

Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -20.18231599 -1.30353686 0.48354999 -7.39947177 3.38307143 -1.10284303
2 -5.62934905 1.13094555 5.39201920 -0.81459922 -0.97827613 0.81488076
3 14.63395787 1.87184768 0.26283141 8.20665894 -1.68614211 -1.57424310
4 21.49818042 -3.77265655 -16.02376915 1.50084397 1.07485306 0.36825730

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 6.906015493 7.324488412 6.005657969 5.456048386 3.441848621 2.441823824
2 6.105267778 3.783909904 6.144693930 6.875219454 5.164466580 4.125980011
3 7.447101298 3.854530255 5.538411862 4.707878484 6.879426710 2.303293295
4 3.714916660 1.531389973 4.810791518 5.290850375 5.147891433 3.047697559

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 179


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
4 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
11432.91
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 180


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
6 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=6 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 13.99418618 0.07354821 -6.20202551 2.59170848 -9.67136849 -1.50718189
2 -10.82576302 4.76445441 -5.35884936 -4.24289791 -2.13502111 7.51994881
3 31.80245481 9.14494722 6.01546199 5.37368726 3.75060905 -4.85953725
4 26.17447188 -7.17847001 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
5 -7.86891703 2.60659500 17.61728069 9.43806143 -2.92259233 -1.80934960
6 -31.01125917 -10.22009334 -9.18543209 -6.09763360 5.46469736 -1.37489115

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 4.4689

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 15 4.6937 16.8693 5 21.0409
2 23 3.9954 13.1130 5 15.9183
3 3 4.1332 10.0686 1 21.1088
4 9 3.6262 13.8299 1 21.4104
5 15 5.3097 17.2741 2 15.9183
6 5 5.0465 19.9474 2 22.8851

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 5.42809 0.886388 7.801906
PCT2 4.70672 3.62458 0.449940 0.817984
PCO1 9.56141 5.10318 0.735778 2.784701
PCO2 7.56983 4.82438 0.623259 1.654346
PCO3 5.43797 4.25091 0.433213 0.764332
PCO4 3.52309 3.38669 0.142892 0.166714
OVER-ALL 8.69298 4.49923 0.751532 3.024659

Pseudo F Statistic = 38.72

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.69027

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 181


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
6 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=6 Maxiter=1

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 3.517

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means
Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 10.84594210 -0.42865226 -3.70775989 6.01489111 -4.74546218 -1.53365754
2 -10.29628927 2.57026011 3.28644661 -7.74162600 -1.68380542 0.88689011
3 22.75397336 7.09556323 7.50822759 5.58344771 6.23973017 -2.24559934
4 23.30670087 -4.13857205 -17.73273716 0.76747707 3.04409326 0.57815439
5 -4.43794427 -0.20107529 8.74714012 5.20207681 2.05489707 1.11996897
6 -27.46550843 -6.74192209 -2.82180474 -2.77095152 6.59399425 -2.53194711

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 6.182223082 2.195744564 4.892030266 5.817820981 4.819220654 2.853212577
2 5.480553004 1.377956687 4.759108706 3.752306013 4.336468470 2.882568442
3 8.236154412 3.363829595 1.900388753 1.253164057 3.017640261 3.010497360
4 1.642922651 1.540860056 4.207946977 5.891985392 3.460164643 3.070447413
5 6.020309011 5.137052571 5.924057452 5.154839308 4.575388353 4.891375412
6 2.507151304 8.950682588 6.949559006 3.643019108 1.625025385 1.481654855

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 182


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
6 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
8387.71
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 183


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -10.70761073 -8.80120169 2.46756897 7.36839188 8.35769514 -0.32727043
2 20.76507818 8.92838212 6.86169418 4.44840029 9.59601036 -2.92321872
3 -12.71018409 2.28009744 5.22705667 -11.18952550 -6.33433535 4.09184056
4 26.17447188 -7.17847001 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
5 2.50439360 0.48683436 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 21.61690260 2.54182208 -4.73772104 15.18448813 -8.14898308 -0.28153788
7 -31.01125917 -10.22009334 -9.18543209 -6.09763360 5.46469736 -1.37489115

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 4.1893

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 6 3.4340 14.3459 5 13.9276
2 4 4.4309 12.7349 6 19.9419
3 27 4.5168 17.1683 1 15.7092
4 9 3.6262 13.1614 6 18.4882
5 10 4.7478 15.0220 1 13.9276
6 9 3.7924 12.3759 4 18.4882
7 5 5.0465 19.9474 3 23.7482

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 5.59069 0.881363 7.429049
PCT2 4.70672 3.10454 0.602762 1.517381
PCO1 9.56141 4.95196 0.755092 3.083166
PCO2 7.56983 4.27468 0.708843 2.434576
PCO3 5.43797 3.97273 0.512702 1.052134
PCO4 3.52309 3.50303 0.097325 0.107819
OVER-ALL 8.69298 4.31553 0.774980 3.444042

Pseudo F Statistic = 36.16

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 184


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=7 Maxiter=1

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.71779

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 3.982

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -5.23987876 -5.44015847 1.73378868 3.96861450 4.34465880 1.55014480
2 20.09811228 5.46673711 6.02340699 4.95906063 6.17520453 -2.49196720
3 -9.21854462 2.52337903 3.67394061 -7.01410809 -2.13035206 0.44541718
4 23.30670087 -4.13857205 -17.73273716 0.76747707 3.04409326 0.57815439
5 -0.29838069 2.41808660 9.89674353 8.75285733 0.29966444 0.16362200
6 14.49984104 -1.17570428 -6.55072596 7.23909773 -6.29030226 -0.61545978
7 -27.46550843 -6.74192209 -2.82180474 -2.77095152 6.59399425 -2.53194711

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4.711450904 2.921492576 3.337512459 2.384933998 4.099134951 2.528419894
2 8.569551835 4.260969897 3.350585095 1.614429824 2.467270300 2.506960588
3 6.791434443 1.585165858 5.056653082 3.943071421 4.685132295 3.271878387
4 1.642922651 1.540860056 4.207946977 5.891985392 3.460164643 3.070447413
5 5.134192293 2.781488416 6.104534677 4.496610059 2.948674246 5.913635689
6 4.396409998 2.110941436 3.880516206 4.973735433 4.133929182 2.371422316
7 2.507151304 8.950682588 6.949559006 3.643019108 1.625025385 1.481654855

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 185


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
7371.11
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 186


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=10 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -28.99302565 2.11735872 0.82753041 -1.62598581 6.13963538 -4.20728037
2 21.61690260 2.54182208 -4.73772104 15.18448813 -8.14898308 -0.28153788
3 -25.24870940 -14.59398355 -6.70417273 -5.44491369 8.18469507 -1.98514609
4 -4.30168153 4.86827149 17.62711647 0.88212599 -0.58601647 -2.65441445
5 2.50439360 0.48683436 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 20.76507818 8.92838212 6.86169418 4.44840029 9.59601036 -2.92321872
7 26.17447188 -7.17847001 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
8 -10.70761073 -8.80120169 2.46756897 7.36839188 8.35769514 -0.32727043
9 1.63252491 -1.64373523 1.02427673 -0.38896807 -8.45618803 -8.14182229
10 -10.97946361 5.22546624 -6.11627726 -9.05656062 2.16020546 -0.45484752

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 3.4515

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 5 3.9382 10.0294 10 14.1206
2 9 4.0529 15.9716 9 17.3408
3 3 2.0010 5.5370 1 22.2312
4 7 3.6847 10.3631 9 15.4070
5 3 3.5561 9.5323 4 16.6547
6 4 4.4309 12.7349 2 18.8141
7 9 3.6262 13.1614 2 19.2516
8 5 2.4573 6.5855 4 15.8331
9 9 3.9815 13.7406 4 15.4070
10 16 3.5005 11.7523 1 14.1206

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 3.98083 0.942714 16.456278
PCT2 4.70672 2.26787 0.798116 3.953348
PCO1 9.56141 4.31734 0.822707 4.640388
PCO2 7.56983 4.72337 0.661442 1.953701
PCO3 5.43797 3.06625 0.723533 2.617070
PCO4 3.52309 3.06043 0.343826 0.523985
OVER-ALL 8.69298 3.66760 0.845215 5.460559

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 187


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=10 Maxiter=1

Pseudo F Statistic = 36.40

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.77671


Cubic Clustering Criterion = 5.862

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -22.13967359 2.48095299 7.08561916 -2.96878269 4.71507087 -0.96823772
2 14.41750510 -0.55977218 -5.69576691 8.56520829 -5.35324848 -1.03146529
3 -27.16955932 -13.13602015 -7.52447780 -5.06162668 7.34988669 -1.47792820
4 -4.72174041 3.09696825 12.41008922 1.98124480 -0.72723325 -1.82531655
5 4.41819412 0.77393161 9.52678317 11.19681170 2.58533352 7.35250808
6 20.09811228 5.46673711 6.02340699 4.95906063 6.17520453 -2.49196720
7 23.30670087 -4.13857205 -17.73273716 0.76747707 3.04409326 0.57815439
8 -6.57631370 -6.28349794 2.81470239 4.61920000 5.91557237 2.18676526
9 1.21844578 1.42122864 0.24689498 -0.53131208 -7.42812844 -1.47577622
10 -11.62438124 2.62795653 2.63510659 -8.72343483 -0.93334433 1.02440571

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 5.378972289 0.890094499 4.913692284 4.452080685 1.005789866 4.283901995
2 4.541215420 2.310438449 4.729791174 5.545417694 3.473143630 2.721922864
3 3.327009663 2.525266688 1.438464580 1.271733954 1.636176032 0.464353724
4 1.968764046 3.044439589 4.170314685 6.297626412 3.065877283 1.366221719
5 1.719298805 0.394336093 5.161221397 2.155104953 1.704525973 6.210974087
6 8.569551835 4.260969897 3.350585095 1.614429824 2.467270300 2.506960588
7 1.642922651 1.540860056 4.207946977 5.891985392 3.460164643 3.070447413
8 3.788373577 2.309705105 2.271767694 1.983790948 1.579671930 2.225194804
9 3.338685289 2.896641670 4.606600927 5.587896248 3.167754125 3.619117657
10 3.918442181 1.463277271 4.584847355 3.757197057 3.574910062 2.847756369

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 188


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
10 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
5003.40
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 189


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
12 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=12 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 26.17447188 -7.17847001 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
2 -10.70761073 -8.80120169 2.46756897 7.36839188 8.35769514 -0.32727043
3 -25.24870940 -14.59398355 -6.70417273 -5.44491369 8.18469507 -1.98514609
4 15.69438709 3.21336035 9.64752659 6.92825558 5.37257111 1.04595794
5 2.50439360 0.48683436 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 7.10205831 2.54042760 1.52543058 15.88510614 -3.98916959 -4.60274869
7 31.80245481 9.14494722 6.01546199 5.37368726 3.75060905 -4.85953725
8 -3.56521911 4.64405000 14.53834421 5.31733870 2.58507837 -4.49545662
9 -17.37009706 1.26523049 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
10 15.27726935 -2.26486488 -11.44422976 2.81056112 -7.90445907 -2.17044852
11 -2.61936587 0.85526687 -2.47944102 -7.31440494 -9.72389792 4.00458550
12 -28.99302565 2.11735872 0.82753041 -1.62598581 6.13963538 -4.20728037

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 3.2143

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 4 3.1188 7.7695 10 17.1734
2 5 2.4573 6.5855 8 15.9065
3 3 2.0010 5.5370 12 22.3710
4 3 3.3808 7.4931 6 16.5952
5 2 1.6050 2.7799 8 18.1556
6 5 3.3009 9.1883 4 16.5952
7 1 . 0 4 16.9798
8 6 3.4267 10.1461 2 15.9065
9 14 3.3776 12.7382 11 13.7872
10 12 4.2603 14.8563 1 17.1734
11 12 3.7447 13.3224 9 13.7872
12 3 3.8989 9.8108 9 15.3279

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 4.03964 0.942975 16.536219
PCT2 4.70672 2.16630 0.821934 4.615896
PCO1 9.56141 4.55043 0.809611 4.252417

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 190


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
12 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=12 Maxiter=1

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCO2 7.56983 3.53734 0.816447 4.448015
PCO3 5.43797 3.40829 0.669799 2.028457
PCO4 3.52309 2.96819 0.403357 0.676045
OVER-ALL 8.69298 3.52745 0.861591 6.224978

Pseudo F Statistic = 32.82

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = 0.80497

Cubic Clustering Criterion = 5.257

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 24.49777868 -5.47238895 -18.02539876 -4.66355725 6.35012675 -0.45634479
2 -6.57631370 -6.28349794 2.81470239 4.61920000 5.91557237 2.18676526
3 -27.16955932 -13.13602015 -7.52447780 -5.06162668 7.34988669 -1.47792820
4 16.19666477 4.24066707 6.02605532 4.82085176 6.98340302 -1.70277719
5 3.71115371 0.85519515 12.38974643 12.44046106 3.29361838 10.81149395
6 6.81204174 1.45473342 0.74540576 12.11411234 -2.93957618 -1.53839990
7 31.80245481 9.14494722 6.01546199 5.37368726 3.75060905 -4.85953725
8 -4.69766055 3.12686922 12.95214051 3.66940870 -0.42525706 -1.94305107
9 -13.70279042 2.43343231 4.36087337 -8.81609733 0.49605322 0.54009370
10 18.35158318 -2.08553457 -11.91432883 5.51887269 -3.86811983 0.03189563
11 -2.54452498 2.15597866 0.87157245 -4.83639202 -5.60578112 0.03385954
12 -25.04516757 2.72983444 7.24979109 -0.44182497 5.22513527 -1.77661652

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 191


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
12 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=12 Maxiter=1

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 1.144013073 1.137418707 5.363176134 3.261352302 1.041538456 3.908011016
2 3.788373577 2.309705105 2.271767694 1.983790948 1.579671930 2.225194804
3 3.327009663 2.525266688 1.438464580 1.271733954 1.636176032 0.464353724
4 4.339132619 4.267822663 4.103606783 1.948067075 2.282986047 2.385445831
5 1.706616504 0.520940813 2.024119787 0.094722089 1.673562940 2.316225053
6 5.160759188 2.700433173 2.690856181 2.727543521 2.573483652 3.185564482
7 . . . . . .
8 2.155543456 3.333890328 4.289725504 4.863432958 3.242457619 1.457202198
9 3.512110502 1.434072335 4.301082535 3.815844432 3.749107703 2.634856657
10 4.844350652 1.853547378 5.858750860 3.871147016 5.125885237 2.532650710
11 4.498573662 2.068916401 4.624717864 3.658788132 2.858468388 4.083222535
12 5.078012278 0.760519933 6.237731004 2.987388106 0.792083603 4.047791085

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 192


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
12 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
4339.33
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 193


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=50 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -7.86891703 2.60659500 17.61728069 9.43806143 -2.92259233 -1.80934960
2 1.54718311 4.88127310 10.20747823 -5.34320472 -9.32655058 -2.83482547
3 7.84308181 -3.00296132 -6.16920087 3.95011115 -12.42265368 -0.85869913
4 24.13549460 -2.31522955 -20.74774458 9.36293579 -1.92570126 2.55375831
5 2.50439360 0.48683436 10.95847761 12.37348243 2.11023068 12.44931239
6 18.87002003 -3.81007102 -8.70793720 6.34263287 1.28387081 -2.44534488
7 -3.96970822 -4.43483810 0.69294273 2.31650915 5.60732222 2.52557376
8 -19.31663853 2.49105331 13.28496355 -2.65559737 4.75509464 2.89610135
9 1.63252491 -1.64373523 1.02427673 -0.38896807 -8.45618803 -8.14182229
10 -13.95026216 3.92123596 2.84372256 -5.13575493 1.98571299 2.58459092
11 31.80245481 9.14494722 6.01546199 5.37368726 3.75060905 -4.85953725
12 -31.01125917 -10.22009334 -9.18543209 -6.09763360 5.46469736 -1.37489115
13 -28.99302565 2.11735872 0.82753041 -1.62598581 6.13963538 -4.20728037
14 14.07056791 -1.94979421 -12.53842840 1.94963998 -7.87801441 3.83149139
15 -14.32370049 0.25789423 11.43960634 -5.40708377 -0.65915818 0.88714238
16 24.28326217 -4.91563523 -22.66652374 -3.02164952 4.85089941 5.33374256
17 21.61690260 2.54182208 -4.73772104 15.18448813 -8.14898308 -0.28153788
18 -8.47392895 1.82027023 5.36416814 -8.59663006 -3.49199781 1.51693244
19 -26.82583853 3.58109128 7.63687931 2.95610827 4.78067579 -4.01867055
20 12.13052904 0.58025875 1.56894518 3.08589940 5.98162759 -3.23107078
21 -2.61936587 0.85526687 -2.47944102 -7.31440494 -9.72389792 4.00458550
22 -12.35931012 2.88510974 2.27700435 -14.51029140 -1.77494551 3.16558403
23 15.69438709 3.21336035 9.64752659 6.92825558 5.37257111 1.04595794
24 -17.37009706 1.26523049 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
25 22.32666260 -2.45349958 -16.40553692 3.57519633 2.98679251 4.48657294
26 8.76906458 -2.34860854 -0.09681579 13.57050486 -2.47553032 2.67415329
27 -6.15795637 2.03785071 -0.53023004 -11.65566108 -4.03533635 4.36754609
28 23.76669035 -4.89772528 -13.21754614 -3.39438963 6.43731625 -2.08912917
29 -4.30168153 4.86827149 17.62711647 0.88212599 -0.58601647 -2.65441445
30 -18.43210136 1.22793573 3.79331726 -9.36150186 4.59820937 -3.98278246
31 -5.19929675 5.54301971 7.36407668 4.93954603 1.23284668 -1.24908142
32 -5.97310220 3.70101563 -0.79353059 -4.86430426 -3.59730755 -2.00247898
33 -5.76840458 4.47692301 -0.73428048 -6.26858594 8.18331923 -1.13214014
34 1.44229595 -1.22346114 -3.67077986 0.71568701 -3.50990904 -1.63295747
35 -1.48244429 -3.37764387 9.83646851 5.98694735 2.59902230 -0.97958320
36 20.36180286 -3.47148538 -21.69368282 2.30940782 -0.24742673 0.77882556
37 20.76507818 8.92838212 6.86169418 4.44840029 9.59601036 -2.92321872
38 -0.92288883 5.03435131 1.87836862 11.48901258 -3.67852511 -4.63067019
39 -10.97946361 5.22546624 -6.11627726 -9.05656062 2.16020546 -0.45484752
40 13.27969971 1.43609222 -3.38081128 10.91642514 -5.72341968 -1.56727024
41 -10.70761073 -8.80120169 2.46756897 7.36839188 8.35769514 -0.32727043
42 0.96403506 2.92824421 1.55743749 -3.22931863 -4.45289551 -1.50728300
43 13.99418618 0.07354821 -6.20202551 2.59170848 -9.67136849 -1.50718189
44 26.17447188 -7.17847001 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 194


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=50 Maxiter=1

Initial Seeds

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
45 -3.25721263 -4.40197237 6.58956560 5.47373504 6.46936475 4.11502522
46 5.83227494 0.61140452 3.80085666 8.70951297 1.16876380 0.43453632
47 -5.76840458 4.47692301 10.72955647 -4.54756726 -5.45988088 -0.47042111
48 -25.24870940 -14.59398355 -6.70417273 -5.44491369 8.18469507 -1.98514609
49 7.10205831 2.54042760 1.52543058 15.88510614 -3.98916959 -4.60274869
50 -10.82576302 4.76445441 -5.35884936 -4.24289791 -2.13502111 7.51994881

Criterion Based on Final Seeds = 0.8654

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 1 . 0 29 9.0077
2 1 . 0 47 9.0632
3 1 . 0 43 8.5178
4 1 . 0 25 7.2216
5 2 1.6050 2.7799 46 14.2984
6 2 1.7000 2.9444 25 7.7558
7 2 0.9975 1.7276 45 6.0820
8 2 1.3973 2.4202 15 9.7616
9 1 . 0 34 9.5030
10 2 1.8184 3.1495 30 7.1000
11 1 . 0 37 12.7028
12 1 . 0 48 8.3054
13 1 . 0 19 8.7226
14 1 . 0 43 6.9568
15 3 1.7052 4.0186 18 6.3610
16 1 . 0 36 9.6732
17 1 . 0 40 9.9778
18 2 1.8168 4.1826 15 6.3610
19 1 . 0 13 8.7226
20 1 . 0 46 10.6243
21 2 1.9292 3.3415 42 8.5452
22 1 . 0 18 6.6506
23 1 . 0 37 10.2896
24 1 . 0 22 7.5117
25 2 1.6534 2.8637 36 7.1317
26 1 . 0 46 8.6316
27 1 . 0 32 7.4806

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 195


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=50 Maxiter=1

Cluster Summary

Maximum Distance
RMS Std from Seed Radius Nearest Distance Between
Cluster Frequency Deviation to Observation Exceeded Cluster Cluster Centroids
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
28 2 0.2883 0.4994 6 10.5770
29 2 1.8985 3.2882 1 9.0077
30 2 1.2271 2.1254 10 7.1000
31 1 . 0 29 9.3320
32 2 1.5423 5.3429 27 7.4806
33 1 . 0 39 10.0594
34 1 . 0 42 7.3057
35 1 . 0 45 7.4793
36 1 . 0 25 7.1317
37 1 . 0 23 10.2896
38 1 . 0 49 9.4956
39 1 . 0 33 10.0594
40 2 1.8525 3.2086 43 9.0321
41 2 1.6511 2.8597 7 8.9801
42 2 1.2590 2.1807 34 7.3057
43 2 1.7843 3.0905 14 6.9568
44 1 . 0 16 11.3847
45 1 . 0 7 6.0820
46 1 . 0 26 8.6316
47 2 1.5174 2.6282 18 8.8599
48 2 0.5864 1.0157 12 8.3054
49 1 . 0 26 9.4824
50 1 . 0 39 10.2970

Statistics for Variables

Variable Total STD Within STD R-Square RSQ/(1-RSQ)


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
PCT1 15.50960 1.30491 0.997948 486.368872
PCT2 4.70672 0.83436 0.990891 108.786028
PCO1 9.56141 1.83083 0.989372 93.094654
PCO2 7.56983 2.10645 0.977555 43.554275
PCO3 5.43797 1.46426 0.978984 46.583321
PCO4 3.52309 1.48286 0.948651 18.474584
OVER-ALL 8.69298 1.55622 0.990711 106.649818

Pseudo F Statistic = 43.53

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 196


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=50 Maxiter=1

Approximate Expected Over-All R-Squared = .

Cubic Clustering Criterion = .

WARNING: The two values above are invalid for correlated variables.

Cluster Means

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 -7.86891703 2.60659500 17.61728069 9.43806143 -2.92259233 -1.80934960
2 1.54718311 4.88127310 10.20747823 -5.34320472 -9.32655058 -2.83482547
3 7.84308181 -3.00296132 -6.16920087 3.95011115 -12.42265368 -0.85869913
4 24.13549460 -2.31522955 -20.74774458 9.36293579 -1.92570126 2.55375831
5 3.71115371 0.85519515 12.38974643 12.44046106 3.29361838 10.81149395
6 20.48376703 -3.98333310 -10.70709077 4.94733753 1.33126728 -2.14560942
7 -4.10456722 -4.70655697 1.08840214 3.54643455 5.11193136 3.51461764
8 -18.22370121 2.73918962 11.58518441 -3.40626704 4.02841691 3.68377239
9 1.63252491 -1.64373523 1.02427673 -0.38896807 -8.45618803 -8.14182229
10 -14.05965632 3.27191235 3.09232667 -4.33961857 1.91643878 -0.37944249
11 31.80245481 9.14494722 6.01546199 5.37368726 3.75060905 -4.85953725
12 -31.01125917 -10.22009334 -9.18543209 -6.09763360 5.46469736 -1.37489115
13 -28.99302565 2.11735872 0.82753041 -1.62598581 6.13963538 -4.20728037
14 14.07056791 -1.94979421 -12.53842840 1.94963998 -7.87801441 3.83149139
15 -14.57113611 0.82933095 8.42196430 -8.49609497 -1.96844140 1.14873831
16 24.28326217 -4.91563523 -22.66652374 -3.02164952 4.85089941 5.33374256
17 21.61690260 2.54182208 -4.73772104 15.18448813 -8.14898308 -0.28153788
18 -10.59205652 2.05018384 5.29561241 -9.89307778 -4.91316658 2.80438650
19 -26.82583853 3.58109128 7.63687931 2.95610827 4.78067579 -4.01867055
20 12.13052904 0.58025875 1.56894518 3.08589940 5.98162759 -3.23107078
21 -2.79554950 1.26534339 -0.84846574 -4.51968883 -9.62104850 3.30796687
22 -12.35931012 2.88510974 2.27700435 -14.51029140 -1.77494551 3.16558403
23 15.69438709 3.21336035 9.64752659 6.92825558 5.37257111 1.04595794
24 -17.37009706 1.26523049 4.47086690 -16.90830816 0.47613678 -0.44864696
25 22.58719078 -2.70714127 -16.17268384 5.16856842 1.39539831 2.77102939
26 8.76906458 -2.34860854 -0.09681579 13.57050486 -2.47553032 2.67415329
27 -6.15795637 2.03785071 -0.53023004 -11.65566108 -4.03533635 4.36754609
28 23.76669035 -4.89772528 -13.38221190 -3.04774296 6.73015904 -1.96117634
29 -3.93345032 4.75616074 16.08273034 3.09973234 0.99953095 -3.57493553
30 -17.60709632 2.04790584 4.61386868 -9.28550112 3.24853484 -3.16809198
31 -5.19929675 5.54301971 7.36407668 4.93954603 1.23284668 -1.24908142
32 -6.36508991 2.69610433 0.33864010 -6.88473706 -3.90397417 -1.28482716
33 -5.76840458 4.47692301 -0.73428048 -6.26858594 8.18331923 -1.13214014
34 1.44229595 -1.22346114 -3.67077986 0.71568701 -3.50990904 -1.63295747
35 -1.48244429 -3.37764387 9.83646851 5.98694735 2.59902230 -0.97958320
36 20.36180286 -3.47148538 -21.69368282 2.30940782 -0.24742673 0.77882556

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 197


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=50 Maxiter=1

Cluster Means
Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
37 20.76507818 8.92838212 6.86169418 4.44840029 9.59601036 -2.92321872
38 -0.92288883 5.03435131 1.87836862 11.48901258 -3.67852511 -4.63067019
39 -10.97946361 5.22546624 -6.11627726 -9.05656062 2.16020546 -0.45484752
40 15.02873846 0.08979559 -4.53008753 9.37611650 -4.69779106 -2.39078521
41 -10.70761073 -8.80120169 2.65357102 5.26469794 6.44231718 -0.10521711
42 2.50745705 3.10745214 0.32442172 -3.08253450 -5.10861627 -0.89947259
43 14.63572776 -1.09565833 -8.82312764 2.70113480 -8.78791378 -1.83881520
44 26.17447188 -7.17847001 -22.67064748 -9.53709355 7.08928951 -3.23676902
45 -3.25721263 -4.40197237 6.58956560 5.47373504 6.46936475 4.11502522
46 5.83227494 0.61140452 3.80085666 8.70951297 1.16876380 0.43453632
47 -5.31731208 3.69724271 9.94366900 -6.34765295 -3.99948563 -0.79466529
48 -25.24870940 -14.59398355 -6.69400065 -4.54362322 8.29248136 -1.52944673
49 7.10205831 2.54042760 1.52543058 15.88510614 -3.98916959 -4.60274869
50 -10.82576302 4.76445441 -5.35884936 -4.24289791 -2.13502111 7.51994881

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
1 . . . . . .
2 . . . . . .
3 . . . . . .
4 . . . . . .
5 1.706616504 0.520940813 2.024119787 0.094722089 1.673562940 2.316225053
6 2.282182900 0.245029575 2.827230094 1.973245591 0.067028723 0.423889953
7 0.190719426 0.384268508 0.559264064 1.739377183 0.700588469 1.398719272
8 1.545646789 0.350917727 2.403850722 1.061607227 1.027677504 1.113935066
9 . . . . . .
10 0.154706709 0.918282261 0.351579294 1.125906839 0.097968523 4.191776242
11 . . . . . .
12 . . . . . .
13 . . . . . .
14 . . . . . .
15 0.362247568 0.662685889 2.629999883 2.769422546 1.451248301 0.429093875
16 . . . . . .
17 . . . . . .
18 2.995484736 0.325146939 0.096952448 1.833453949 2.009836145 1.820734997
19 . . . . . .
20 . . . . . .
21 0.249161278 0.579935785 2.306547353 3.952325421 0.145451047 0.985167513
22 . . . . . .
23 . . . . . .
24 . . . . . .

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 198


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method

The FASTCLUS Procedure


Replace=FULL Radius=0 Maxclusters=50 Maxiter=1

Cluster Standard Deviations

Cluster PCT1 PCT2 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4


ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
25 0.368442484 0.358703518 0.329303978 2.253368426 2.250571271 2.426144949
26 . . . . . .
27 . . . . . .
28 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.232872554 0.490232422 0.414142235 0.180952617
29 0.520757566 0.158548536 2.184091806 3.136168989 2.242302664 1.301813407
30 1.166733304 1.159612849 1.160434949 0.107481279 1.908728022 1.152146320
31 . . . . . .
32 0.554354344 1.421159187 1.601131149 2.857323468 0.433692093 1.014912930
33 . . . . . .
34 . . . . . .
35 . . . . . .
36 . . . . . .
37 . . . . . .
38 . . . . . .
39 . . . . . .
40 2.473514313 1.903950956 1.625322057 2.178325376 1.450457903 1.164626034
41 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.263046631 2.975072499 2.708753492 0.314030821
42 2.182728316 0.253438278 1.743747619 0.207584113 0.927329198 0.859573726
43 0.907276814 1.653507748 3.706798176 0.154752186 1.249393635 0.469000338
44 . . . . . .
45 . . . . . .
46 . . . . . .
47 0.637941133 1.102634454 1.111412727 2.545705600 2.065310762 0.458550510
48 0.000000000 0.000000000 0.014385486 1.274617197 0.152432838 0.644456214
49 . . . . . .
50 . . . . . .

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 199


Clustering based on Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
7 Clusters, NH method
Beale's Intracluster Residual SS

The MEANS Procedure

Analysis Variable : DISTANCE Distance to Cluster Seed

USS
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ
314.5639380
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒ

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 200


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

The CANCORR Procedure

VAR Variables 6
WITH Variables 6
Observations 70

Means and Standard Deviations

Standard
Variable Mean Deviation

TempApril 58.948187 8.634204


TempMay 66.594223 6.636108
TempJune 74.115753 6.055944
TempJuly 79.251062 5.360098
TempAug 77.188558 6.954290
TempSep 70.985671 6.417539
O3April 2.867204 4.870968
O3May 6.606144 3.802739
O3June 4.862348 5.979171
O3July 4.839117 7.597984
O3Aug 4.860275 6.535204
O3Sep 1.093177 5.260907

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 201


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

The CANCORR Procedure

Correlations Among the Original Variables

Correlations Among the VAR Variables

TempApril TempMay TempJune TempJuly TempAug TempSep

TempApril 1.0000 0.9203 0.7930 0.5688 0.8359 0.8797


TempMay 0.9203 1.0000 0.9455 0.7922 0.9151 0.9366
TempJune 0.7930 0.9455 1.0000 0.9097 0.9223 0.8799
TempJuly 0.5688 0.7922 0.9097 1.0000 0.8411 0.6887
TempAug 0.8359 0.9151 0.9223 0.8411 1.0000 0.8829
TempSep 0.8797 0.9366 0.8799 0.6887 0.8829 1.0000

Correlations Among the WITH Variables

O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

O3April 1.0000 0.6151 -0.1324 -0.2089 0.0429 0.3763


O3May 0.6151 1.0000 0.3516 0.1985 0.3100 0.3513
O3June -0.1324 0.3516 1.0000 0.8276 0.1207 -0.1941
O3July -0.2089 0.1985 0.8276 1.0000 0.1574 -0.2757
O3Aug 0.0429 0.3100 0.1207 0.1574 1.0000 0.4358
O3Sep 0.3763 0.3513 -0.1941 -0.2757 0.4358 1.0000

Correlations Between the VAR Variables and the WITH Variables

O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

TempApril 0.2729 0.0938 -0.5998 -0.7258 0.2701 0.5091


TempMay 0.1972 0.1318 -0.4098 -0.5634 0.2784 0.4440
TempJune 0.0697 0.0308 -0.2891 -0.4266 0.3322 0.3435
TempJuly -0.0997 -0.0038 -0.1424 -0.1925 0.3991 0.2114
TempAug 0.2372 0.1759 -0.3879 -0.4732 0.5371 0.4883
TempSep 0.3391 0.2501 -0.2911 -0.4673 0.3154 0.5475

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 202


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Correlation Analysis

Adjusted Approximate Squared


Canonical Canonical Standard Canonical
Correlation Correlation Error Correlation

1 0.969548 0.965315 0.007220 0.940022


2 0.751795 0.690103 0.052344 0.565195
3 0.705846 . 0.060407 0.498219
4 0.504496 0.468872 0.089746 0.254516
5 0.311509 0.236436 0.108704 0.097038
6 0.246526 . 0.113069 0.060775

Test of H0: The canonical correlations in


the current row and all
Eigenvalues of Inv(E)*H that follow are zero
= CanRsq/(1-CanRsq)
Likelihood Approximate
Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative Ratio F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

1 15.6729 14.3730 0.8481 0.8481 0.00827323 14.16 36 257.46 <.0001


2 1.2999 0.3070 0.0703 0.9185 0.13793878 6.22 25 220.68 <.0001
3 0.9929 0.6515 0.0537 0.9722 0.31724302 5.24 16 183.94 <.0001
4 0.3414 0.2339 0.0185 0.9907 0.63223377 3.42 9 148.61 0.0007
5 0.1075 0.0428 0.0058 0.9965 0.84808473 2.66 4 124 0.0357
6 0.0647 0.0035 1.0000 0.93922502 4.08 1 63 0.0477

Multivariate Statistics and F Approximations

S=6 M=-0.5 N=28

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.00827323 14.16 36 257.46 <.0001


Pillai's Trace 2.41576504 7.08 36 378 <.0001
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 18.47927951 29.12 36 156.69 <.0001
Roy's Greatest Root 15.67291262 164.57 6 63 <.0001

NOTE: F Statistic for Roy's Greatest Root is an upper bound.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 203


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Correlation Analysis

Raw Canonical Coefficients for the VAR Variables

Temp1 Temp2

TempApril 0.1059787775 -0.242586636


TempMay -0.069267267 0.2414996903
TempJune -0.047745711 -0.36759019
TempJuly -0.07862957 -0.092037538
TempAug 0.2468015051 0.1630793622
TempSep -0.11650095 0.3038222457

Raw Canonical Coefficients for the WITH Variables

Oz1 Oz2

O3April 0.0226380356 0.1081019138


O3May 0.0343880965 0.0718560625
O3June -0.074174983 0.044034583
O3July -0.058405117 0.0341561902
O3Aug 0.1018595881 -0.021140302
O3Sep -0.012926164 0.0793110957

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 204


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Correlation Analysis

Standardized Canonical Coefficients for the VAR Variables

Temp1 Temp2

TempApril 0.9150 -2.0945


TempMay -0.4597 1.6026
TempJune -0.2891 -2.2261
TempJuly -0.4215 -0.4933
TempAug 1.7163 1.1341
TempSep -0.7476 1.9498

Standardized Canonical Coefficients for the WITH Variables

Oz1 Oz2

O3April 0.1103 0.5266


O3May 0.1308 0.2732
O3June -0.4435 0.2633
O3July -0.4438 0.2595
O3Aug 0.6657 -0.1382
O3Sep -0.0680 0.4172

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 205


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Structure

Correlations Between the VAR Variables and Their Canonical Variables


Temp1 Temp2

TempApril 0.8000 -0.0025


TempMay 0.6455 0.0433
TempJune 0.5436 -0.0589
TempJuly 0.4006 -0.1436
TempAug 0.7793 0.1032
TempSep 0.5975 0.3110

Correlations Between the WITH Variables and Their Canonical Variables

Oz1 Oz2

O3April 0.3450 0.7567


O3May 0.1371 0.8450
O3June -0.6859 0.4068
O3July -0.6843 0.2849
O3Aug 0.5579 0.2236
O3Sep 0.5180 0.5285

Correlations Between the VAR Variables and the Canonical Variables of the WITH Variables

Oz1 Oz2

TempApril 0.7756 -0.0019


TempMay 0.6259 0.0325
TempJune 0.5270 -0.0443
TempJuly 0.3884 -0.1079
TempAug 0.7555 0.0776
TempSep 0.5793 0.2338

Correlations Between the WITH Variables and the Canonical Variables of the VAR Variables

Temp1 Temp2

O3April 0.3345 0.5689


O3May 0.1329 0.6353
O3June -0.6650 0.3058
O3July -0.6635 0.2142
O3Aug 0.5409 0.1681
O3Sep 0.5022 0.3974

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 206


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

1 Akron 0 64.2845 336.711 32.4186 97.2557 51.4000 61.6129 70.0667


2 Arlington 1 15.8351 160.462 16.8907 32.7258 56.7667 67.4839 74.9333
3 Atlanta 1 21.5268 206.496 21.3919 42.9862 65.3667 69.1290 75.1667
4 Austin 1 34.7171 161.644 12.1879 47.3974 72.0000 76.6452 81.9667
5 Bakersfield 1 47.6086 289.430 19.0434 66.9543 58.0667 66.6452 73.9000
6 Baton Rouge 1 22.2840 370.108 19.8618 42.1459 72.0333 74.7419 80.5000
7 Boston 1 29.5735 242.242 29.4285 59.1470 49.4000 58.4194 71.2000
8 Buffalo 1 42.5145 427.039 31.8858 74.8212 46.1333 59.8387 68.5667
9 Charlotte 1 31.7778 216.549 28.7582 60.8236 62.2333 65.9677 73.6333

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

1 76.0968 68.4516 63.7333 -2.59742 2.9776 9.3160 10.1753 -1.3167 -5.4473


2 83.2258 79.9032 70.2667 -5.77401 3.3453 6.7535 13.4359 8.1736 -6.5235
3 79.3871 82.1290 73.3000 -4.00079 2.8535 -1.9897 -0.0305 13.6344 2.2994
4 83.4516 88.5161 81.6667 8.26811 2.1398 -5.5971 -11.3581 9.2746 11.6430
5 80.2258 77.8710 77.2333 2.01369 10.1284 14.0376 13.9645 9.5357 16.2752
6 81.8710 85.2903 76.3000 4.48913 13.4318 0.1609 -3.6472 8.2088 3.4473
7 76.0323 71.6452 67.3667 6.72094 2.6733 7.3469 7.7088 3.5155 -3.5027
8 74.5806 68.0645 64.4667 2.51458 9.0380 13.3186 15.9207 1.0480 0.3954
9 79.0645 79.6774 69.3667 0.53066 2.7441 4.2031 3.6292 12.7265 -6.9343

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3

1 -14.9869 0.6743 -0.74777 3.34990 -0.46525 -0.06240 7.2086 -10.7570 -1.7173


2 1.5472 4.8813 -1.07394 -0.88940 0.67658 -1.13189 10.2075 -5.3432 -9.3266
3 7.8431 -3.0030 -1.72760 -2.23032 -0.07069 -0.11761 -6.1692 3.9501 -12.4227
4 24.1355 -2.3152 1.03536 -1.88439 -0.61332 -0.41074 -20.7477 9.3629 -1.9257
5 2.5044 0.4868 5.21203 -1.45462 2.30347 0.42333 10.9585 12.3735 2.1102
6 18.8700 -3.8101 -2.61150 0.00562 -1.30199 0.00649 -8.7079 6.3426 1.2839
7 -14.1691 2.6226 2.33049 -0.90634 -0.53725 2.55027 3.3409 -3.5435 1.8472
8 -19.3166 2.4911 2.34841 1.39937 -0.90051 -0.76557 13.2850 -2.6556 4.7551
9 1.6325 -1.6437 -3.36313 -1.80680 -0.02224 0.57017 1.0243 -0.3890 -8.4562

Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

1 0.9151 -0.65715 0.61300 -1.32495 -1.22142 -1.43513 -0.86124


2 -2.8348 1.24694 -1.56791 0.10936 0.30195 -0.51418 -1.46566
3 -0.8587 0.44206 -1.19877 1.39347 0.16513 1.38627 -1.56997
4 2.5538 1.23829 4.66429 1.53319 1.08099 2.00378 -0.00750
5 12.4493 0.56094 -0.04786 -0.72273 2.22521 -0.83176 1.98181
6 -2.4453 -3.69869 -4.76767 1.69196 -0.85869 1.42646 0.28483
7 -3.3435 1.75667 5.12471 -0.99985 -0.29346 -0.47747 0.00535
8 2.8961 0.56255 -0.71447 -1.75035 0.47834 -1.57811 0.91275
9 -8.1418 -1.55721 2.67765 1.23212 -0.83973 0.83888 -1.40342

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 207


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

10 Chicago 0 33.0126 328.191 31.1527 64.5372 49.8000 61.8710 70.5667


11 Cincinnati 0 53.2828 352.704 32.5355 85.8184 55.3000 63.7742 73.2667
12 Cleveland 0 38.3076 427.984 24.1754 62.9135 50.5667 61.2581 70.4000
13 Colorado Springs 0 43.7197 170.430 17.0236 62.0975 42.5333 53.4839 63.0333
14 ColumbusGA 1 47.7747 654.889 30.5973 78.3720 68.2667 71.8548 78.3667
15 ColumbusOH 0 39.9447 273.252 19.6449 59.8703 55.1667 65.0323 74.7333
16 Corpus Christi 1 39.8540 256.660 23.5936 63.4475 74.9000 78.8387 82.9667
17 Dallas/Fort Worth 1 30.9771 216.197 15.8576 46.9062 68.2833 73.8871 82.1167
18 Dayton 0 48.6529 348.441 31.3024 81.7441 53.8333 63.8065 72.7333

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

10 78.5806 70.5484 63.6667 1.25153 6.0385 7.6226 7.0373 -0.5158 0.0429


11 79.1935 72.9677 67.0667 -3.08945 3.1260 4.7007 5.7707 0.9676 -4.9646
12 76.4194 69.3548 65.1667 -4.30625 3.4514 9.1086 9.1632 0.2957 -4.3639
13 71.3226 69.0323 57.9000 8.53664 8.9151 5.4381 5.8312 2.1564 -2.5394
14 82.0323 84.3387 75.0833 -2.64460 2.9716 -2.1978 -5.9310 7.2687 6.1511
15 80.3548 73.3226 68.1000 -3.24023 5.2574 14.5176 7.3581 2.5967 -7.1603
16 82.9355 84.3871 79.8000 5.98796 4.8851 -5.2161 -13.0445 -5.0587 7.7383
17 86.0484 90.2097 79.2667 3.47606 5.2499 1.2840 0.5819 19.9481 9.1287
18 78.6452 71.5806 67.0000 -3.47475 2.9661 8.3600 8.3384 0.7234 -3.7851

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3

10 -13.9503 3.9212 -1.10673 2.26395 0.01041 -0.60606 2.8437 -5.1358 1.98571


11 -6.7571 1.6912 -0.99259 2.20802 -0.02399 0.88352 1.4708 -8.9052 -4.21064
12 -14.4028 1.5558 0.53504 2.33898 -0.31330 0.24892 6.6177 -9.3242 -3.52887
13 -28.9930 2.1174 -1.88199 -3.78581 -1.16758 -0.67332 0.8275 -1.6260 6.13964
14 14.0706 -1.9498 -2.17827 -1.26909 -0.23253 0.19199 -12.5384 1.9496 -7.87801
15 -4.8662 2.9176 -0.22757 2.96128 -0.22718 0.73986 9.1578 -8.1477 -2.53909
16 24.2833 -4.9156 -0.51262 3.16668 -1.16086 -0.57813 -22.6665 -3.0216 4.85090
17 21.6169 2.5418 -0.52100 -3.78982 -0.30191 0.44379 -4.7377 15.1845 -8.14898
18 -8.4739 1.8203 -0.01526 2.88076 -0.08407 0.34482 5.3642 -8.5966 -3.49200
Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

10 2.58459 -0.53973 -0.10706 -1.20631 -0.86168 -0.92325 0.01153


11 -0.56718 -0.60910 -0.67099 -0.73137 -1.35763 -0.61515 -1.26746
12 1.64395 -1.67449 -0.24452 -1.37403 -0.67440 -1.23280 -1.00379
13 -4.20728 0.59353 0.46815 -0.16745 0.31354 -0.12137 0.60709
14 3.83149 -1.66113 -0.54652 1.48881 -0.39767 1.08290 -1.18552
15 -1.11891 -7.17741 1.57135 -1.02679 -1.29567 -1.17183 -0.85268
16 5.33374 -1.29846 0.27451 0.87985 -0.65335 0.70728 -0.10422
17 -0.28154 0.71969 2.30924 1.81658 0.56940 1.91418 -0.01627
18 1.51693 -1.24442 0.37378 -1.15503 -0.99399 -1.09088 -0.97304

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 208


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

19 Denver 0 40.8828 205.978 22.1123 63.208 42.5917 54.3306 63.4167


20 El Paso 1 29.8695 199.081 17.8040 47.968 63.4333 74.3548 80.2333
21 Evansville 0 58.7476 588.639 31.4096 91.320 58.0000 65.6452 74.7667
22 Fort Wayne 0 45.8040 288.686 23.2033 69.610 51.5000 62.5806 71.6333
23 Fresno 1 35.6514 265.822 8.1310 44.158 58.7333 68.2258 76.2000
24 Grand Rapids 0 35.8676 286.941 33.6041 70.690 49.0667 61.2258 69.5667
25 Houston 1 21.0847 201.672 12.5567 33.877 73.1667 76.7742 82.1667
26 Huntsville 1 29.9964 267.076 20.5999 50.596 65.7667 69.4194 76.4667
27 Indianapolis 0 53.8088 322.272 26.2652 80.423 55.2667 64.5484 74.0000

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

19 73.1720 70.6452 58.9889 6.96790 12.1597 8.0521 11.4697 6.8247 -1.1549


20 81.3226 81.4839 75.6667 9.70463 9.3137 7.6609 5.2615 5.6874 0.4456
21 79.6452 74.6129 68.5000 -8.25527 1.0679 2.0634 2.7001 2.6426 -0.4325
22 78.6129 69.7419 64.5667 -4.89325 2.5078 6.7268 6.3050 -5.7237 -5.0256
23 80.7097 78.6452 77.4333 4.01151 12.9835 14.8018 16.4152 9.8696 13.5157
24 74.9032 68.0000 62.9667 -3.30959 3.9831 8.5222 7.1289 -6.8933 -9.5720
25 83.3226 87.0968 78.1667 6.53232 6.4918 -4.4637 -7.1414 7.2114 8.3122
26 80.7419 80.8387 74.0333 3.96797 9.1020 6.4593 3.3874 15.2416 10.0658
27 79.5161 72.6129 67.2667 -6.14490 2.6241 4.6211 4.1704 -3.3937 -2.3107

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3

19 -26.8258 3.5811 -1.70440 -4.40190 -0.36995 -1.10747 7.6369 2.9561 4.78068


20 12.1305 0.5803 1.50494 1.77481 -2.54866 -1.73902 1.5689 3.0859 5.98163
21 -2.6194 0.8553 -1.19690 2.29236 -0.39411 0.86946 -2.4794 -7.3144 -9.72390
22 -12.3593 2.8851 -0.78728 3.62074 -0.00792 0.06092 2.2770 -14.5103 -1.77495
23 4.9179 1.2236 5.08306 -0.56716 0.91284 0.44559 13.8210 12.5074 4.47701
24 -17.3701 1.2652 -0.06601 2.97193 -1.44123 -0.74919 4.4709 -16.9083 0.47614
25 22.8477 -2.9608 -2.02331 0.03371 -1.38042 -0.38197 -15.9398 6.7619 -0.19600
26 8.7691 -2.3486 -1.19596 -0.41012 0.47917 0.77058 -0.0968 13.5705 -2.47553
27 -6.1580 2.0379 -0.70043 3.06848 -0.30145 0.72111 -0.5302 -11.6557 -4.03534

Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

19 -4.01867 0.83830 -1.98533 -0.11244 0.78662 -0.11090 0.98946


20 -3.23107 -0.72043 2.11465 -0.00245 0.46940 0.10826 1.00251
21 4.00459 -0.86949 -1.74390 -0.44291 -1.44996 -0.31588 -1.87074
22 3.16558 -1.47916 -1.00664 -1.43265 -1.35583 -1.53951 -1.26278
23 9.17368 0.71421 -1.42310 -0.74166 1.74224 -0.81847 2.29438
24 -0.44865 -2.86869 -1.01336 -1.44984 -0.76180 -1.69460 -1.21422
25 1.05549 0.79779 0.07555 1.70595 -0.52735 1.61670 0.09095
26 2.67415 -1.55364 0.71884 0.84326 -0.45198 1.01853 0.81123
27 4.36755 -1.48804 -1.89348 -0.95978 -1.45894 -1.08075 -1.38930

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 209


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means
Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

28 Jackson 1 31.8979 438.596 30.3030 62.201 69.5000 71.7742 79.7000


29 Jersey City 1 28.0800 278.665 16.9137 44.994 53.5667 63.5484 74.3667
30 Johnstown 0 55.0466 706.431 30.7999 86.502 47.8000 60.3226 69.7667
31 Kansas CityKS 0 41.8034 261.588 25.3354 67.139 53.6667 64.3387 72.6167
32 Kansas CityMO 0 50.7304 310.738 29.3645 80.424 54.8000 63.6452 71.7667
33 Kingston 1 46.6951 738.682 18.5655 66.948 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778
34 Knoxville 0 53.1369 305.210 29.5787 83.239 61.4000 66.3871 75.1333
35 Lafayette 1 27.2962 262.988 23.0967 50.393 73.4000 76.9032 81.5667
36 Lake Charles 1 34.8628 326.838 31.0496 65.912 72.2333 75.1290 80.7000

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

28 82.1935 84.2258 75.3667 0.10213 3.5189 -2.0668 -5.8030 10.5212 1.56816


29 81.0968 76.5484 69.5333 4.06688 5.1239 11.9726 21.1476 9.2866 -2.58669
30 76.0000 69.0968 64.9333 0.84099 7.3021 5.8602 10.3271 -1.5896 -6.29763
31 82.0000 77.8871 65.8167 4.28449 10.5564 7.0183 11.9288 8.9702 1.99419
32 81.1613 76.5484 65.9667 -1.13202 5.7234 0.9810 5.5242 3.4300 -3.16688
33 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 8.25349 6.4617 7.5877 3.5178 -3.3418 -2.37853
34 78.8387 78.0000 70.1000 1.39910 5.3193 3.9502 -0.0561 7.6415 -0.05212
35 82.5161 85.7419 78.4333 6.51440 8.3299 -2.7520 -5.1370 5.5211 3.68539
36 82.5484 86.0968 77.8667 6.32986 3.9044 -6.4831 -12.5135 3.5228 6.41760

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3

28 15.2773 -2.2649 -2.39000 -0.62519 -0.59535 1.32246 -11.4442 2.8106 -7.90446


29 -4.3017 4.8683 0.64120 -0.60070 0.23792 1.09247 17.6271 0.8821 -0.58602
30 -16.7821 2.8679 1.58015 1.58502 -0.57091 -0.09434 5.4344 -9.2095 1.89886
31 -5.1993 5.5430 -3.10141 -1.18550 0.40062 -1.02463 7.3641 4.9395 1.23285
32 -5.9731 3.7010 -3.07946 -0.70748 1.06065 -0.43332 -0.7935 -4.8643 -3.59731
33 -5.7684 4.4769 0.92631 -0.92266 1.12864 1.14216 -0.7343 -6.2686 8.18332
34 1.4423 -1.2235 -1.82076 -0.05541 -0.79801 1.08190 -3.6708 0.7157 -3.50991
35 22.0975 -4.1566 -1.44665 0.79854 -1.15359 -0.54452 -12.7062 3.5520 1.37866
36 20.3618 -3.4715 -1.68571 -0.50229 -0.72039 -0.00694 -21.6937 2.3094 -0.24743

Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

28 -2.17045 -2.07024 0.60662 1.48789 -1.15363 1.53724 -1.27136


29 -2.65441 5.28560 2.54378 -0.50525 -0.23784 -1.00528 0.50788
30 -2.35340 1.10024 -2.68804 -1.57573 -0.07074 -0.97792 -0.38746
31 -1.24908 1.96741 -2.15609 0.22653 -0.42198 0.00092 0.75873
32 -2.00248 1.49907 -3.00209 0.15334 -0.64750 0.03637 -0.95090
33 -1.13214 -1.13959 2.85516 -0.58892 0.04545 -0.79860 0.54482
34 -1.63296 -2.75997 1.03117 0.56147 -1.11766 0.57418 -0.60817
35 -1.84587 -0.34592 -1.19942 1.44836 -0.39794 1.32311 0.03371
36 0.77883 -0.50460 1.54554 1.64004 -0.34208 1.63545 -0.46155

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 210


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

37 Las Vegas 0 45.9381 254.913 19.9162 65.854 61.2000 75.5806 85.4667


38 Lexington 0 41.8407 272.924 25.3347 67.175 56.7000 65.5161 73.6667
39 Lincoln 0 39.1544 361.180 14.3833 53.538 51.0667 61.8710 70.4000
40 Little Rock 0 74.4175 308.736 19.6418 94.059 65.6833 71.1129 78.9000
41 Los Angeles 1 30.3803 265.544 14.2027 44.804 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667
42 Louisville 0 64.0135 380.188 35.3227 99.480 59.5000 67.8065 76.5000
43 Memphis 0 32.8701 356.000 26.1847 59.278 67.2667 71.4194 79.9000
44 Miami 1 35.9019 340.691 26.0500 62.085 78.0000 78.8387 81.0667
45 Modesto 1 44.9667 293.738 14.7652 60.179 58.5167 64.8226 71.7333

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

37 88.4194 88.1935 81.9333 8.86449 15.7920 15.3006 5.3280 5.5927 -0.30987


38 79.8065 75.9355 68.9333 -6.40648 3.4592 3.4754 5.2706 7.5647 1.01188
39 80.8387 74.1935 64.1333 3.05017 3.8878 0.5766 1.2496 -3.6920 -2.70199
40 84.4677 84.2097 75.1667 2.31853 8.3827 2.2919 0.9441 16.0051 5.43948
41 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 5.58612 10.9744 9.0467 5.5017 5.2416 2.43886
42 83.4839 78.7742 72.2667 -1.95398 3.5216 3.0344 3.9898 5.7273 -1.20572
43 83.9355 82.9032 75.4333 -2.24268 3.4254 0.2333 -1.4341 11.6956 1.00112
44 84.1613 83.8065 82.1000 7.48433 7.7844 -8.5097 -12.2927 -8.1683 -2.35173
45 74.3387 74.9032 73.4167 7.20520 10.4089 8.5813 12.2299 4.5215 7.47960

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3

37 20.7651 8.9284 5.02954 -1.17045 -1.40892 -0.36416 6.8617 4.4484 9.59601


38 -2.9717 1.6754 -0.69926 0.61528 0.03219 -0.04752 0.7825 -1.7250 -9.51820
39 -10.9795 5.2255 -2.61839 -0.17325 1.22765 -0.65754 -6.1163 -9.0566 2.16021
40 13.2797 1.4361 -1.54032 -1.07223 0.67247 0.52250 -3.3808 10.9164 -5.72342
41 -10.7076 -8.8012 0.60241 0.41924 1.60640 -1.50690 2.8396 3.1610 4.52694
42 4.0509 3.2867 -0.24823 0.75575 1.16079 0.58183 -0.9086 -2.9358 -5.76434
43 13.9942 0.0735 -1.48803 0.47383 0.29931 1.39587 -6.2020 2.5917 -9.67137
44 26.1745 -7.1785 -0.22644 3.31530 2.21891 -0.22341 -22.6706 -9.5371 7.08929
45 -3.2572 -4.4020 3.57914 -1.09963 -0.21863 0.45880 6.5896 5.4737 6.46936

Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

37 -2.92322 -8.03281 -0.14906 -0.20604 1.72848 -0.25841 1.65796


38 2.61135 -0.53264 -2.01203 -0.25597 -0.42891 0.03604 -1.33859
39 -0.45485 1.38336 -0.04074 -0.39640 -0.57928 -0.38387 -0.60707
40 -1.56727 -1.39724 -0.75400 1.00791 -0.36609 1.54585 -0.06878
41 0.11684 -2.75202 -0.49262 -0.25252 1.19375 -0.11585 0.91336
42 -0.29166 -0.10300 -0.30083 -0.23005 -0.45933 0.08801 -1.05299
43 -1.50718 -1.65827 0.03661 0.79508 -1.12682 1.18213 -1.35086
44 -3.23677 -0.72945 -3.23226 0.79146 -0.21567 0.85495 -0.58800
45 4.11503 3.17868 -0.60085 -0.27025 1.37060 -0.59559 1.67208

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 211


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

46 Nashville 0 38.7793 317.780 28.4265 68.083 62.8333 67.9032 76.8000


47 New York 1 23.5229 349.159 31.2145 54.838 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778
48 Oakland 1 32.9006 257.387 11.4286 44.468 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333
49 Oklahoma City 0 50.8746 383.376 33.1593 84.337 61.5333 68.3226 75.9000
50 Omaha 0 52.4176 272.442 25.0224 78.087 51.5556 62.2581 70.8222
51 Philadelphia 0 36.3085 374.485 31.4981 67.873 53.8000 64.1613 73.1000
52 Phoenix 0 46.5798 256.498 24.3478 71.416 66.1333 80.0323 89.1333
53 Pittsburgh 0 54.4604 472.666 39.9480 94.720 52.1000 61.2581 69.6000
54 Riverside 1 49.7610 301.931 9.9004 59.726 62.9714 73.6037 79.1238

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

46 82.1935 79.6129 72.0333 5.99371 8.8557 10.2495 5.6462 11.4303 5.24058


47 80.8710 75.8495 69.5667 -0.85701 0.3905 7.4703 15.8371 6.1029 -3.16514
48 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 9.22982 8.3519 0.9472 1.2300 -2.9679 0.55751
49 82.4194 84.9677 71.3667 5.96884 11.1463 2.9474 6.2657 20.3420 5.51697
50 80.6882 73.3548 64.0889 -0.40624 0.8112 -0.8071 4.5477 -1.0881 6.44135
51 81.3871 77.7097 70.1667 7.16699 10.1299 10.4305 18.1820 10.9228 -1.09160
52 91.4516 93.2258 87.6333 7.66572 11.8096 8.4950 8.8198 9.5064 -0.63484
53 76.2581 69.1935 64.4000 -0.36179 4.9377 10.6607 14.6198 2.4950 -2.82014
54 85.4378 84.6636 80.8048 5.01962 14.2865 15.4135 8.7508 8.3247 3.63020

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3
46 5.8323 0.6114 -1.73999 0.37610 0.55476 1.33427 3.8009 8.7095 1.16876
47 -5.7684 4.4769 0.92631 -0.92266 1.12864 1.14216 10.7296 -4.5476 -5.45988
48 -25.2487 -14.5940 0.94750 -1.37670 -0.24769 0.26326 -6.6838 -3.6423 8.40027
49 7.1021 2.5404 -3.02967 -4.12054 -0.32964 -0.62708 1.5254 15.8851 -3.98917
50 -10.8258 4.7645 -2.58624 0.82901 1.04203 -0.51962 -5.3588 -4.2429 -2.13502
51 -3.5652 4.6440 0.68634 -1.73091 1.10180 -0.02564 14.5383 5.3173 2.58508
52 31.8025 9.1449 6.40235 -1.95176 -0.93171 -0.48222 6.0155 5.3737 3.75061
53 -14.3237 0.2579 -0.75469 2.47868 0.18815 0.17283 11.4396 -5.4071 -0.65916
54 15.6944 3.2134 4.19679 -1.40090 1.73116 -1.32440 9.6475 6.9283 5.37257

Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

46 0.43454 -2.56988 2.53244 0.43782 -1.17022 0.31702 0.95446


47 -0.47042 5.22026 2.61763 -0.58892 0.04545 -0.95222 -0.72274
48 -1.07375 1.88886 -0.47672 -0.06199 0.89199 -0.08518 0.64059
49 -4.60275 1.28898 -1.32890 1.69547 0.22718 1.80484 0.64951
50 7.51995 5.71575 0.11469 -0.58154 -0.89602 -0.51086 -0.47995
51 -4.49546 3.86432 0.07830 -0.27251 0.67427 -0.32803 1.11751
52 -4.85954 -0.84859 -0.50155 0.17286 2.53231 0.28121 0.95329
53 0.88714 1.38037 0.41721 -1.11114 -0.99668 -1.32215 -0.13991
54 1.04596 -6.08095 -0.82260 -0.08380 2.50876 -0.37816 1.51076

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 212


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

55 Sacramento 1 41.3568 274.214 17.8995 59.338 58.3267 64.2581 71.2067


56 San Antonio 1 29.1472 272.160 20.6758 49.967 71.4333 76.3548 82.0667
57 San Bernardino 1 43.1137 234.815 7.3124 50.602 59.2889 66.7957 71.2667
58 San Jose 1 26.6851 206.765 11.6487 38.453 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333
59 Santa Ana/Anaheim 1 29.6878 231.775 12.3670 42.301 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667
60 Shreveport 1 45.6529 352.098 27.9624 73.901 69.6333 72.1935 80.0333
61 St. Louis 0 39.9208 443.437 36.1872 76.682 58.8000 67.0323 75.0667
62 St. Petersburg 1 77.1583 483.894 32.4477 110.257 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000
63 Stockton 1 45.2450 324.345 13.1299 58.730 58.2222 64.5484 71.5667

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

55 73.6258 74.4387 73.2867 6.71122 7.9368 5.9901 7.9478 4.2798 8.03638


56 83.0968 86.4194 80.5667 6.96342 5.3762 -1.3773 -8.6641 2.1612 9.44449
57 76.7312 75.5054 72.8778 3.62120 12.9680 15.0344 8.3781 9.9923 1.10096
58 62.1935 64.0968 63.8667 8.75283 8.2189 -0.0051 1.6848 -3.9427 -1.07305
59 71.5161 70.0968 68.6000 9.37348 14.2964 10.1229 4.6612 6.4446 4.65991
60 83.1290 86.1290 75.5000 5.17327 6.0310 1.6275 -0.7434 13.2357 3.19671
61 83.1613 76.7419 69.9667 -0.48566 4.1664 1.4408 8.4464 5.2479 -1.96826
62 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.64822 6.5928 -5.1627 -2.3514 -2.4759 1.15697
63 74.1183 74.5161 73.0222 7.35334 8.1715 5.1208 7.3916 2.5567 5.34866

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3

55 -4.2394 -4.9783 3.74576 -1.27013 -0.22150 0.59792 1.4839 4.7764 4.61654


56 22.3267 -2.4535 0.90105 -0.23864 -0.87394 -0.16114 -16.4055 3.5752 2.98679
57 -1.4824 -3.3776 2.19654 -0.28886 1.09281 -1.15253 9.8365 5.9869 2.59902
58 -25.2487 -14.5940 0.94750 -1.37670 -0.24769 0.26326 -6.7042 -5.4449 8.18470
59 -10.7076 -8.8012 0.60241 0.41924 1.60640 -1.50690 2.4676 7.3684 8.35770
60 16.7778 -1.2565 -2.92769 -1.70143 -0.59517 0.99968 -5.6794 7.8358 -3.67216
61 0.9640 2.9282 -1.49833 1.83419 1.57285 0.24228 1.5574 -3.2293 -4.45290
62 23.7667 -4.8977 0.36059 2.62399 0.91225 -0.52926 -13.2175 -3.3944 6.43732
63 -3.9697 -4.4348 3.48387 -0.96896 -0.30232 0.50115 0.6929 2.3165 5.60732

Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

55 4.50366 2.99569 0.66529 -0.26958 1.42433 -0.28131 1.22994


56 4.48657 -1.15409 2.06987 1.12704 0.46810 0.91903 0.33787
57 -0.97958 -6.55217 -0.35848 -0.27952 1.54560 -0.20272 0.99957
58 -1.98515 2.48259 -1.17576 -0.06199 0.89199 -0.13469 0.44434
59 -0.32727 -3.69468 -0.64604 -0.25252 1.19375 0.14721 1.73089
60 -3.21430 -0.68288 1.97803 1.83769 -0.94244 1.42435 -0.13538
61 -1.50728 3.74971 -1.55604 -0.39042 -0.95013 -0.03763 -0.81622
62 -2.08913 4.39267 -0.82873 0.67101 0.03199 0.56854 0.20518
63 2.52557 2.97186 0.27293 -0.30675 1.27440 -0.30251 1.08221

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 213


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Temp Temp
Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June

64 Syracuse 1 53.7047 326.410 30.3740 85.179 46.8333 60.9032 69.9667


65 Tacoma 1 42.6643 271.254 18.9778 62.070 48.7667 52.0968 58.3333
66 Tampa 1 51.8546 302.518 14.9157 67.171 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000
67 Toledo 0 55.8176 391.162 23.5137 79.331 50.9000 62.8387 71.0333
68 Washington 0 24.8226 323.218 21.1517 45.974 53.1667 63.0000 71.1000
69 Wichita 0 46.3710 269.394 18.7692 65.361 56.2000 65.4516 73.3000
70 Worcester 1 46.2073 306.806 38.0844 84.558 47.3889 58.7312 68.9111

Temp
Obs July TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep

64 75.1613 69.0968 65.1000 1.04130 6.9690 12.5221 12.5066 -0.1769 1.07085


65 62.6774 65.0323 61.0333 7.19013 5.7665 -1.5010 -0.3845 -3.4556 -0.79503
66 83.8065 84.0000 81.0333 9.92602 7.3299 -4.6847 -3.0803 -2.3865 1.71172
67 77.4516 69.9677 65.3333 -5.91671 -1.5588 9.1269 8.0693 -0.3838 -3.32774
68 78.6774 75.6774 67.3333 2.21860 10.2754 12.0268 19.8456 16.1971 1.98466
69 82.5161 81.4839 67.2333 5.00061 10.3495 0.0144 9.1460 16.5816 3.67709
70 73.3978 69.3441 65.3778 6.90519 2.5181 8.5516 7.6622 -1.8237 -7.10564

Obs PCT1 PCT2 PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3

64 -17.1308 2.9873 2.38512 1.54375 -1.48368 -0.74559 9.8854 -4.1569 3.30174


65 -31.0113 -10.2201 0.51165 -4.20481 -0.53502 0.23984 -9.1854 -6.0976 5.46470
66 23.7667 -4.8977 0.36059 2.62399 0.91225 -0.52926 -13.5469 -2.7011 7.02300
67 -12.7102 2.2801 0.30406 2.89350 -0.35859 -0.60385 5.2271 -11.1895 -6.33434
68 -7.8689 2.6066 -0.55070 -1.41855 0.27215 -0.53623 17.6173 9.4381 -2.92259
69 -0.9229 5.0344 -3.81144 -3.24835 0.30498 -1.16001 1.8784 11.4890 -3.67853
70 -18.4321 1.2279 2.51117 -0.19154 -1.38912 0.50488 3.7933 -9.3615 4.59821

Obs PCO4 PCO5 PCO6 Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2

64 4.47144 -0.56280 0.29876 -1.68142 0.35830 -1.55764 0.53260


65 -1.37489 2.55729 -0.21078 0.14116 1.28945 0.02343 -0.02560
66 -1.83322 3.56576 -0.94951 0.67101 0.03199 0.60923 0.32644
67 4.09184 -0.98073 3.02210 -1.42775 -0.55076 -1.46163 -1.47791
68 -1.80935 2.65189 -1.19662 -0.12211 0.33978 -0.15314 0.85263
69 -4.63067 4.86440 -3.24336 1.06735 -0.04948 1.44561 0.39038
70 -3.98278 0.77403 5.18281 -1.25436 0.37403 -1.06255 -0.10731

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 214


Canonical Correlation using Monthly Means

Plot of Temp1*Oz1. Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.

Temp1 ‚

2.0 ˆ

‚ A A
‚ A A A
‚ A
1.5 ˆ A A A
‚ AA

‚ A
‚ A A
1.0 ˆ A
‚ A
‚ A A A
‚ B
‚ A
0.5 ˆ
‚ A

‚ AA A
‚ A A
0.0 ˆ A
‚ A BB
‚ A A A
‚ A BA AA A A
‚ AA A
-0.5 ˆ A
‚ A A A
‚ B A


-1.0 ˆ AA A
‚ A
‚ A A
‚ A A
‚ A AA A
-1.5 ˆ
‚ A
‚ A
‚ A

-2.0 ˆ

Šˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
-2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Oz1

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 215


Canonical Correlation using PCs

The CANCORR Procedure

VAR Variables 2
WITH Variables 4
Observations 70

Means and Standard Deviations

Standard
Variable Mean Deviation

PCT1 0 15.509597
PCT2 0 4.706717
PCO1 0 9.561405
PCO2 0 7.569826
PCO3 0 5.437974
PCO4 0 3.523088

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 216


Canonical Correlation using PCs

The CANCORR Procedure

Correlations Among the Original Variables

Correlations Among the VAR Variables


PCT1 PCT2

PCT1 1.0000 0.0000


PCT2 0.0000 1.0000

Correlations Among the WITH Variables

PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4

PCO1 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000


PCO2 0.0000 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000
PCO3 0.0000 0.0000 1.0000 0.0000
PCO4 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 1.0000

Correlations Between the VAR Variables and the WITH Variables

PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4

PCT1 -0.5114 0.4803 -0.1308 -0.0252


PCT2 0.5174 -0.0443 -0.3018 -0.0665

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 217


Canonical Correlation using PCs

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Correlation Analysis

Adjusted Approximate Squared


Canonical Canonical Standard Canonical
Correlation Correlation Error Correlation

1 0.832364 0.822933 0.036979 0.692830


2 0.427081 0.404912 0.098428 0.182398

Test of H0: The canonical correlations in


the current row and all
Eigenvalues of Inv(E)*H that follow are zero
= CanRsq/(1-CanRsq)
Likelihood Approximate
Eigenvalue Difference Proportion Cumulative Ratio F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

1 2.2555 2.0324 0.9100 0.9100 0.25114235 15.93 8 128 <.0001


2 0.2231 0.0900 1.0000 0.81760164 4.83 3 65 0.0042

Multivariate Statistics and F Approximations

S=2 M=0.5 N=31

Statistic Value F Value Num DF Den DF Pr > F

Wilks' Lambda 0.25114235 15.93 8 128 <.0001


Pillai's Trace 0.87522879 12.64 8 130 <.0001
Hotelling-Lawley Trace 2.47862029 19.65 8 89.135 <.0001
Roy's Greatest Root 2.25553076 36.65 4 65 <.0001

NOTE: F Statistic for Roy's Greatest Root is an upper bound.


NOTE: F Statistic for Wilks' Lambda is exact.

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 218


Canonical Correlation using PCs

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Correlation Analysis

Raw Canonical Coefficients for the VAR Variables


PCTemp1 PCTemp2

PCT1 -0.051656174 0.0385852445


PCT2 0.1271462963 0.170217691

Raw Canonical Coefficients for the WITH Variables

PCOz1 PCOz2

PCO1 0.0903925413 0.0265631367


PCO2 -0.065277284 0.0779403879
PCO3 -0.01674661 -0.137831427
PCO4 -0.006687987 -0.045426673

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 219


Canonical Correlation using PCs

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Correlation Analysis

Standardized Canonical Coefficients for the VAR Variables

PCTemp1 PCTemp2

PCT1 -0.8012 0.5984


PCT2 0.5984 0.8012

Standardized Canonical Coefficients for the WITH Variables

PCOz1 PCOz2

PCO1 0.8643 0.2540


PCO2 -0.4941 0.5900
PCO3 -0.0911 -0.7495
PCO4 -0.0236 -0.1600

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 220


Canonical Correlation using PCs

The CANCORR Procedure

Canonical Structure

Correlations Between the VAR Variables and Their Canonical Variables

PCTemp1 PCTemp2

PCT1 -0.8012 0.5984


PCT2 0.5984 0.8012

Correlations Between the WITH Variables and Their Canonical Variables

PCOz1 PCOz2

PCO1 0.8643 0.2540


PCO2 -0.4941 0.5900
PCO3 -0.0911 -0.7495
PCO4 -0.0236 -0.1600

Correlations Between the VAR Variables and the Canonical Variables of the WITH Variables

PCOz1 PCOz2

PCT1 -0.6669 0.2556


PCT2 0.4981 0.3422

Correlations Between the WITH Variables and the Canonical Variables of the VAR Variables

PCTemp1 PCTemp2
PCO1 0.7194 0.1085
PCO2 -0.4113 0.2520
PCO3 -0.0758 -0.3201
PCO4 -0.0196 -0.0684

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 221


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

1 Akron 0 64.2845 336.711 32.4186 97.2557 51.4000 61.6129 70.0667 76.0968


2 Arlington 1 15.8351 160.462 16.8907 32.7258 56.7667 67.4839 74.9333 83.2258
3 Atlanta 1 21.5268 206.496 21.3919 42.9862 65.3667 69.1290 75.1667 79.3871
4 Austin 1 34.7171 161.644 12.1879 47.3974 72.0000 76.6452 81.9667 83.4516
5 Bakersfield 1 47.6086 289.430 19.0434 66.9543 58.0667 66.6452 73.9000 80.2258
6 Baton Rouge 1 22.2840 370.108 19.8618 42.1459 72.0333 74.7419 80.5000 81.8710
7 Boston 1 29.5735 242.242 29.4285 59.1470 49.4000 58.4194 71.2000 76.0323
8 Buffalo 1 42.5145 427.039 31.8858 74.8212 46.1333 59.8387 68.5667 74.5806
9 Charlotte 1 31.7778 216.549 28.7582 60.8236 62.2333 65.9677 73.6333 79.0645

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

1 68.4516 63.7333 -2.59742 2.9776 9.3160 10.1753 -1.3167 -5.4473 -14.9869 0.6743
2 79.9032 70.2667 -5.77401 3.3453 6.7535 13.4359 8.1736 -6.5235 1.5472 4.8813
3 82.1290 73.3000 -4.00079 2.8535 -1.9897 -0.0305 13.6344 2.2994 7.8431 -3.0030
4 88.5161 81.6667 8.26811 2.1398 -5.5971 -11.3581 9.2746 11.6430 24.1355 -2.3152
5 77.8710 77.2333 2.01369 10.1284 14.0376 13.9645 9.5357 16.2752 2.5044 0.4868
6 85.2903 76.3000 4.48913 13.4318 0.1609 -3.6472 8.2088 3.4473 18.8700 -3.8101
7 71.6452 67.3667 6.72094 2.6733 7.3469 7.7088 3.5155 -3.5027 -14.1691 2.6226
8 68.0645 64.4667 2.51458 9.0380 13.3186 15.9207 1.0480 0.3954 -19.3166 2.4911
9 79.6774 69.3667 0.53066 2.7441 4.2031 3.6292 12.7265 -6.9343 1.6325 -1.6437

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

1 -0.74777 3.34990 -0.46525 -0.06240 7.2086 -10.7570 -1.7173 0.9151 -0.65715 0.61300
2 -1.07394 -0.88940 0.67658 -1.13189 10.2075 -5.3432 -9.3266 -2.8348 1.24694 -1.56791
3 -1.72760 -2.23032 -0.07069 -0.11761 -6.1692 3.9501 -12.4227 -0.8587 0.44206 -1.19877
4 1.03536 -1.88439 -0.61332 -0.41074 -20.7477 9.3629 -1.9257 2.5538 1.23829 4.66429
5 5.21203 -1.45462 2.30347 0.42333 10.9585 12.3735 2.1102 12.4493 0.56094 -0.04786
6 -2.61150 0.00562 -1.30199 0.00649 -8.7079 6.3426 1.2839 -2.4453 -3.69869 -4.76767
7 2.33049 -0.90634 -0.53725 2.55027 3.3409 -3.5435 1.8472 -3.3435 1.75667 5.12471
8 2.34841 1.39937 -0.90051 -0.76557 13.2850 -2.6556 4.7551 2.8961 0.56255 -0.71447
9 -3.36313 -1.80680 -0.02224 0.57017 1.0243 -0.3890 -8.4562 -8.1418 -1.55721 2.67765

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

1 -1.32495 -1.22142 -1.43513 -0.86124 0.85990 -0.46349 1.37643 -0.45180


2 0.10936 0.30195 -0.51418 -1.46566 0.54071 0.89058 1.44662 1.26896
3 1.39347 0.16513 1.38627 -1.56997 -0.78696 -0.20853 -0.60172 1.89524
4 1.53319 1.08099 2.00378 -0.00750 -1.54112 0.53718 -2.47146 0.32804
5 -0.72273 2.22521 -0.83176 1.98181 -0.06747 0.17950 0.06426 0.39910
6 1.69196 -0.85869 1.42646 0.28483 -1.45919 0.07956 -1.20631 0.19716
7 -0.99985 -0.29346 -0.47747 0.00535 1.06537 -0.10031 0.52473 -0.29015
8 -1.75035 0.47834 -1.57811 0.91275 1.31455 -0.32132 1.27521 -0.64105
9 1.23212 -0.83973 0.83888 -1.40342 -0.29332 -0.21680 0.31404 1.53228

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 222


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

10 Chicago 0 33.0126 328.191 31.1527 64.5372 49.8000 61.8710 70.5667 78.5806


11 Cincinnati 0 53.2828 352.704 32.5355 85.8184 55.3000 63.7742 73.2667 79.1935
12 Cleveland 0 38.3076 427.984 24.1754 62.9135 50.5667 61.2581 70.4000 76.4194
13 Colorado Springs 0 43.7197 170.430 17.0236 62.0975 42.5333 53.4839 63.0333 71.3226
14 ColumbusGA 1 47.7747 654.889 30.5973 78.3720 68.2667 71.8548 78.3667 82.0323
15 ColumbusOH 0 39.9447 273.252 19.6449 59.8703 55.1667 65.0323 74.7333 80.3548
16 Corpus Christi 1 39.8540 256.660 23.5936 63.4475 74.9000 78.8387 82.9667 82.9355
17 Dallas/Fort Worth 1 30.9771 216.197 15.8576 46.9062 68.2833 73.8871 82.1167 86.0484
18 Dayton 0 48.6529 348.441 31.3024 81.7441 53.8333 63.8065 72.7333 78.6452

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

10 70.5484 63.6667 1.25153 6.0385 7.6226 7.0373 -0.5158 0.0429 -13.9503 3.9212
11 72.9677 67.0667 -3.08945 3.1260 4.7007 5.7707 0.9676 -4.9646 -6.7571 1.6912
12 69.3548 65.1667 -4.30625 3.4514 9.1086 9.1632 0.2957 -4.3639 -14.4028 1.5558
13 69.0323 57.9000 8.53664 8.9151 5.4381 5.8312 2.1564 -2.5394 -28.9930 2.1174
14 84.3387 75.0833 -2.64460 2.9716 -2.1978 -5.9310 7.2687 6.1511 14.0706 -1.9498
15 73.3226 68.1000 -3.24023 5.2574 14.5176 7.3581 2.5967 -7.1603 -4.8662 2.9176
16 84.3871 79.8000 5.98796 4.8851 -5.2161 -13.0445 -5.0587 7.7383 24.2833 -4.9156
17 90.2097 79.2667 3.47606 5.2499 1.2840 0.5819 19.9481 9.1287 21.6169 2.5418
18 71.5806 67.0000 -3.47475 2.9661 8.3600 8.3384 0.7234 -3.7851 -8.4739 1.8203

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

10 -1.10673 2.26395 0.01041 -0.60606 2.8437 -5.1358 1.98571 2.58459 -0.53973 -0.10706
11 -0.99259 2.20802 -0.02399 0.88352 1.4708 -8.9052 -4.21064 -0.56718 -0.60910 -0.67099
12 0.53504 2.33898 -0.31330 0.24892 6.6177 -9.3242 -3.52887 1.64395 -1.67449 -0.24452
13 -1.88199 -3.78581 -1.16758 -0.67332 0.8275 -1.6260 6.13964 -4.20728 0.59353 0.46815
14 -2.17827 -1.26909 -0.23253 0.19199 -12.5384 1.9496 -7.87801 3.83149 -1.66113 -0.54652
15 -0.22757 2.96128 -0.22718 0.73986 9.1578 -8.1477 -2.53909 -1.11891 -7.17741 1.57135
16 -0.51262 3.16668 -1.16086 -0.57813 -22.6665 -3.0216 4.85090 5.33374 -1.29846 0.27451
17 -0.52100 -3.78982 -0.30191 0.44379 -4.7377 15.1845 -8.14898 -0.28154 0.71969 2.30924
18 -0.01526 2.88076 -0.08407 0.34482 5.3642 -8.5966 -3.49200 1.51693 -1.24442 0.37378

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

10 -1.20631 -0.86168 -0.92325 0.01153 1.21919 0.12919 0.54176 -0.71585


11 -0.73137 -1.35763 -0.61515 -1.26746 0.56407 0.02715 0.78856 -0.04888
12 -1.37403 -0.67440 -1.23280 -1.00379 0.94180 -0.29091 1.25495 -0.13924
13 -0.16745 0.31354 -0.12137 0.60709 1.76688 -0.75829 0.10626 -0.75986
14 1.48881 -0.39767 1.08290 -1.18552 -0.97474 0.21103 -1.15434 0.73068
15 -1.02679 -1.29567 -1.17183 -0.85268 0.62233 0.30886 1.40966 0.00902
16 0.87985 -0.65335 0.70728 -0.10422 -1.87939 0.10025 -1.96855 -1.74850
17 1.81658 0.56940 1.91418 -0.01627 -0.79346 1.26676 -1.28111 2.19361
18 -1.15503 -0.99399 -1.09088 -0.97304 0.66917 -0.01713 1.09438 -0.11514

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 223


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

19 Denver 0 40.8828 205.978 22.1123 63.208 42.5917 54.3306 63.4167 73.1720


20 El Paso 1 29.8695 199.081 17.8040 47.968 63.4333 74.3548 80.2333 81.3226
21 Evansville 0 58.7476 588.639 31.4096 91.320 58.0000 65.6452 74.7667 79.6452
22 Fort Wayne 0 45.8040 288.686 23.2033 69.610 51.5000 62.5806 71.6333 78.6129
23 Fresno 1 35.6514 265.822 8.1310 44.158 58.7333 68.2258 76.2000 80.7097
24 Grand Rapids 0 35.8676 286.941 33.6041 70.690 49.0667 61.2258 69.5667 74.9032
25 Houston 1 21.0847 201.672 12.5567 33.877 73.1667 76.7742 82.1667 83.3226
26 Huntsville 1 29.9964 267.076 20.5999 50.596 65.7667 69.4194 76.4667 80.7419
27 Indianapolis 0 53.8088 322.272 26.2652 80.423 55.2667 64.5484 74.0000 79.5161

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

19 70.6452 58.9889 6.96790 12.1597 8.0521 11.4697 6.8247 -1.1549 -26.8258 3.5811
20 81.4839 75.6667 9.70463 9.3137 7.6609 5.2615 5.6874 0.4456 12.1305 0.5803
21 74.6129 68.5000 -8.25527 1.0679 2.0634 2.7001 2.6426 -0.4325 -2.6194 0.8553
22 69.7419 64.5667 -4.89325 2.5078 6.7268 6.3050 -5.7237 -5.0256 -12.3593 2.8851
23 78.6452 77.4333 4.01151 12.9835 14.8018 16.4152 9.8696 13.5157 4.9179 1.2236
24 68.0000 62.9667 -3.30959 3.9831 8.5222 7.1289 -6.8933 -9.5720 -17.3701 1.2652
25 87.0968 78.1667 6.53232 6.4918 -4.4637 -7.1414 7.2114 8.3122 22.8477 -2.9608
26 80.8387 74.0333 3.96797 9.1020 6.4593 3.3874 15.2416 10.0658 8.7691 -2.3486
27 72.6129 67.2667 -6.14490 2.6241 4.6211 4.1704 -3.3937 -2.3107 -6.1580 2.0379

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

19 -1.70440 -4.40190 -0.36995 -1.10747 7.6369 2.9561 4.78068 -4.01867 0.83830 -1.98533
20 1.50494 1.77481 -2.54866 -1.73902 1.5689 3.0859 5.98163 -3.23107 -0.72043 2.11465
21 -1.19690 2.29236 -0.39411 0.86946 -2.4794 -7.3144 -9.72390 4.00459 -0.86949 -1.74390
22 -0.78728 3.62074 -0.00792 0.06092 2.2770 -14.5103 -1.77495 3.16558 -1.47916 -1.00664
23 5.08306 -0.56716 0.91284 0.44559 13.8210 12.5074 4.47701 9.17368 0.71421 -1.42310
24 -0.06601 2.97193 -1.44123 -0.74919 4.4709 -16.9083 0.47614 -0.44865 -2.86869 -1.01336
25 -2.02331 0.03371 -1.38042 -0.38197 -15.9398 6.7619 -0.19600 1.05549 0.79779 0.07555
26 -1.19596 -0.41012 0.47917 0.77058 -0.0968 13.5705 -2.47553 2.67415 -1.55364 0.71884
27 -0.70043 3.06848 -0.30145 0.72111 -0.5302 -11.6557 -4.03534 4.36755 -1.48804 -1.89348

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

19 -0.11244 0.78662 -0.11090 0.98946 1.84104 -0.42552 0.44417 -0.04311


20 -0.00245 0.46940 0.10826 1.00251 -0.55284 0.56683 -0.13818 -0.39549
21 -0.44291 -1.44996 -0.31588 -1.87074 0.24405 0.04451 0.38940 0.52239
22 -1.43265 -1.35583 -1.53951 -1.26278 1.00527 0.01421 1.16157 -0.96961
23 -0.74166 1.74224 -0.81847 2.29438 -0.09847 0.39803 0.29654 0.30816
24 -1.44984 -0.76180 -1.69460 -1.21422 1.05814 -0.45486 1.50289 -1.24433
25 1.70595 -0.52735 1.61670 0.09095 -1.55668 0.37761 -1.88602 0.08268
26 0.84326 -0.45198 1.01853 0.81123 -0.75159 -0.06142 -0.87103 1.27485
27 -0.95978 -1.45894 -1.08075 -1.38930 0.57720 0.10927 0.75129 -0.56474

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 224


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

28 Jackson 1 31.8979 438.596 30.3030 62.201 69.5000 71.7742 79.7000 82.1935


29 Jersey City 1 28.0800 278.665 16.9137 44.994 53.5667 63.5484 74.3667 81.0968
30 Johnstown 0 55.0466 706.431 30.7999 86.502 47.8000 60.3226 69.7667 76.0000
31 Kansas CityKS 0 41.8034 261.588 25.3354 67.139 53.6667 64.3387 72.6167 82.0000
32 Kansas CityMO 0 50.7304 310.738 29.3645 80.424 54.8000 63.6452 71.7667 81.1613
33 Kingston 1 46.6951 738.682 18.5655 66.948 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710
34 Knoxville 0 53.1369 305.210 29.5787 83.239 61.4000 66.3871 75.1333 78.8387
35 Lafayette 1 27.2962 262.988 23.0967 50.393 73.4000 76.9032 81.5667 82.5161
36 Lake Charles 1 34.8628 326.838 31.0496 65.912 72.2333 75.1290 80.7000 82.5484

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

28 84.2258 75.3667 0.10213 3.5189 -2.0668 -5.8030 10.5212 1.56816 15.2773 -2.2649
29 76.5484 69.5333 4.06688 5.1239 11.9726 21.1476 9.2866 -2.58669 -4.3017 4.8683
30 69.0968 64.9333 0.84099 7.3021 5.8602 10.3271 -1.5896 -6.29763 -16.7821 2.8679
31 77.8871 65.8167 4.28449 10.5564 7.0183 11.9288 8.9702 1.99419 -5.1993 5.5430
32 76.5484 65.9667 -1.13202 5.7234 0.9810 5.5242 3.4300 -3.16688 -5.9731 3.7010
33 75.8495 69.5667 8.25349 6.4617 7.5877 3.5178 -3.3418 -2.37853 -5.7684 4.4769
34 78.0000 70.1000 1.39910 5.3193 3.9502 -0.0561 7.6415 -0.05212 1.4423 -1.2235
35 85.7419 78.4333 6.51440 8.3299 -2.7520 -5.1370 5.5211 3.68539 22.0975 -4.1566
36 86.0968 77.8667 6.32986 3.9044 -6.4831 -12.5135 3.5228 6.41760 20.3618 -3.4715

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

28 -2.39000 -0.62519 -0.59535 1.32246 -11.4442 2.8106 -7.90446 -2.17045 -2.07024 0.60662
29 0.64120 -0.60070 0.23792 1.09247 17.6271 0.8821 -0.58602 -2.65441 5.28560 2.54378
30 1.58015 1.58502 -0.57091 -0.09434 5.4344 -9.2095 1.89886 -2.35340 1.10024 -2.68804
31 -3.10141 -1.18550 0.40062 -1.02463 7.3641 4.9395 1.23285 -1.24908 1.96741 -2.15609
32 -3.07946 -0.70748 1.06065 -0.43332 -0.7935 -4.8643 -3.59731 -2.00248 1.49907 -3.00209
33 0.92631 -0.92266 1.12864 1.14216 -0.7343 -6.2686 8.18332 -1.13214 -1.13959 2.85516
34 -1.82076 -0.05541 -0.79801 1.08190 -3.6708 0.7157 -3.50991 -1.63296 -2.75997 1.03117
35 -1.44665 0.79854 -1.15359 -0.54452 -12.7062 3.5520 1.37866 -1.84587 -0.34592 -1.19942
36 -1.68571 -0.50229 -0.72039 -0.00694 -21.6937 2.3094 -0.24743 0.77883 -0.50460 1.54554

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

28 1.48789 -1.15363 1.53724 -1.27136 -1.07713 0.20396 -1.07105 1.10314


29 -0.50525 -0.23784 -1.00528 0.50788 0.84119 0.66268 1.56334 0.73834
30 -1.57573 -0.07074 -0.97792 -0.38746 1.23154 -0.15938 1.07634 -0.72825
31 0.22653 -0.42198 0.00092 0.75873 0.97335 0.74290 0.33093 0.46742
32 0.15334 -0.64750 0.03637 -0.95090 0.77912 0.39950 0.31943 0.18658
33 -0.58892 0.04545 -0.79860 0.54482 0.86720 0.53948 0.21335 -1.58457
34 0.56147 -1.11766 0.57418 -0.60817 -0.23006 -0.15260 -0.30883 0.51623
35 1.44836 -0.39794 1.32311 0.03371 -1.66997 0.14511 -1.39116 -0.16684
36 1.64004 -0.34208 1.63545 -0.46155 -1.49320 0.19476 -2.11276 -0.39753

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 225


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

37 Las Vegas 0 45.9381 254.913 19.9162 65.854 61.2000 75.5806 85.4667 88.4194
38 Lexington 0 41.8407 272.924 25.3347 67.175 56.7000 65.5161 73.6667 79.8065
39 Lincoln 0 39.1544 361.180 14.3833 53.538 51.0667 61.8710 70.4000 80.8387
40 Little Rock 0 74.4175 308.736 19.6418 94.059 65.6833 71.1129 78.9000 84.4677
41 Los Angeles 1 30.3803 265.544 14.2027 44.804 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161
42 Louisville 0 64.0135 380.188 35.3227 99.480 59.5000 67.8065 76.5000 83.4839
43 Memphis 0 32.8701 356.000 26.1847 59.278 67.2667 71.4194 79.9000 83.9355
44 Miami 1 35.9019 340.691 26.0500 62.085 78.0000 78.8387 81.0667 84.1613
45 Modesto 1 44.9667 293.738 14.7652 60.179 58.5167 64.8226 71.7333 74.3387

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

37 88.1935 81.9333 8.86449 15.7920 15.3006 5.3280 5.5927 -0.30987 20.7651 8.9284
38 75.9355 68.9333 -6.40648 3.4592 3.4754 5.2706 7.5647 1.01188 -2.9717 1.6754
39 74.1935 64.1333 3.05017 3.8878 0.5766 1.2496 -3.6920 -2.70199 -10.9795 5.2255
40 84.2097 75.1667 2.31853 8.3827 2.2919 0.9441 16.0051 5.43948 13.2797 1.4361
41 70.0968 68.6000 5.58612 10.9744 9.0467 5.5017 5.2416 2.43886 -10.7076 -8.8012
42 78.7742 72.2667 -1.95398 3.5216 3.0344 3.9898 5.7273 -1.20572 4.0509 3.2867
43 82.9032 75.4333 -2.24268 3.4254 0.2333 -1.4341 11.6956 1.00112 13.9942 0.0735
44 83.8065 82.1000 7.48433 7.7844 -8.5097 -12.2927 -8.1683 -2.35173 26.1745 -7.1785
45 74.9032 73.4167 7.20520 10.4089 8.5813 12.2299 4.5215 7.47960 -3.2572 -4.4020

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

37 5.02954 -1.17045 -1.40892 -0.36416 6.8617 4.4484 9.59601 -2.92322 -8.03281 -0.14906
38 -0.69926 0.61528 0.03219 -0.04752 0.7825 -1.7250 -9.51820 2.61135 -0.53264 -2.01203
39 -2.61839 -0.17325 1.22765 -0.65754 -6.1163 -9.0566 2.16021 -0.45485 1.38336 -0.04074
40 -1.54032 -1.07223 0.67247 0.52250 -3.3808 10.9164 -5.72342 -1.56727 -1.39724 -0.75400
41 0.60241 0.41924 1.60640 -1.50690 2.8396 3.1610 4.52694 0.11684 -2.75202 -0.49262
42 -0.24823 0.75575 1.16079 0.58183 -0.9086 -2.9358 -5.76434 -0.29166 -0.10300 -0.30083
43 -1.48803 0.47383 0.29931 1.39587 -6.2020 2.5917 -9.67137 -1.50718 -1.65827 0.03661
44 -0.22644 3.31530 2.21891 -0.22341 -22.6706 -9.5371 7.08929 -3.23677 -0.72945 -3.23226
45 3.57914 -1.09963 -0.21863 0.45880 6.5896 5.4737 6.46936 4.11503 3.17868 -0.60085

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

37 -0.20604 1.72848 -0.25841 1.65796 0.06257 2.32099 0.18872 -0.66086


38 -0.25597 -0.42891 0.03604 -1.33859 0.36653 0.17052 0.32527 1.07962
39 -0.39640 -0.57928 -0.38387 -0.60707 1.23156 0.46582 0.00519 -1.14542
40 1.00791 -0.36609 1.54585 -0.06878 -0.50338 0.75685 -0.91186 1.62109
41 -0.25252 1.19375 -0.11585 0.91336 -0.56593 -1.91128 -0.02626 -0.30746
42 -0.23005 -0.45933 0.08801 -1.05299 0.20863 0.71575 0.20799 0.55481
43 0.79508 -1.12682 1.18213 -1.35086 -0.71353 0.55249 -0.55775 1.43874
44 0.79146 -0.21567 0.85495 -0.58800 -2.26479 -0.21195 -1.52378 -2.17562
45 -0.27025 1.37060 -0.59559 1.67208 -0.39144 -0.87497 0.10248 -0.47695
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 226
Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

46 Nashville 0 38.7793 317.780 28.4265 68.083 62.8333 67.9032 76.8000 82.1935


47 New York 1 23.5229 349.159 31.2145 54.838 53.0889 62.6237 73.0778 80.8710
48 Oakland 1 32.9006 257.387 11.4286 44.468 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935
49 Oklahoma City 0 50.8746 383.376 33.1593 84.337 61.5333 68.3226 75.9000 82.4194
50 Omaha 0 52.4176 272.442 25.0224 78.087 51.5556 62.2581 70.8222 80.6882
51 Philadelphia 0 36.3085 374.485 31.4981 67.873 53.8000 64.1613 73.1000 81.3871
52 Phoenix 0 46.5798 256.498 24.3478 71.416 66.1333 80.0323 89.1333 91.4516
53 Pittsburgh 0 54.4604 472.666 39.9480 94.720 52.1000 61.2581 69.6000 76.2581
54 Riverside 1 49.7610 301.931 9.9004 59.726 62.9714 73.6037 79.1238 85.4378

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

46 79.6129 72.0333 5.99371 8.8557 10.2495 5.6462 11.4303 5.24058 5.8323 0.6114
47 75.8495 69.5667 -0.85701 0.3905 7.4703 15.8371 6.1029 -3.16514 -5.7684 4.4769
48 64.0968 63.8667 9.22982 8.3519 0.9472 1.2300 -2.9679 0.55751 -25.2487 -14.5940
49 84.9677 71.3667 5.96884 11.1463 2.9474 6.2657 20.3420 5.51697 7.1021 2.5404
50 73.3548 64.0889 -0.40624 0.8112 -0.8071 4.5477 -1.0881 6.44135 -10.8258 4.7645
51 77.7097 70.1667 7.16699 10.1299 10.4305 18.1820 10.9228 -1.09160 -3.5652 4.6440
52 93.2258 87.6333 7.66572 11.8096 8.4950 8.8198 9.5064 -0.63484 31.8025 9.1449
53 69.1935 64.4000 -0.36179 4.9377 10.6607 14.6198 2.4950 -2.82014 -14.3237 0.2579
54 84.6636 80.8048 5.01962 14.2865 15.4135 8.7508 8.3247 3.63020 15.6944 3.2134

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

46 -1.73999 0.37610 0.55476 1.33427 3.8009 8.7095 1.16876 0.43454 -2.56988 2.53244
47 0.92631 -0.92266 1.12864 1.14216 10.7296 -4.5476 -5.45988 -0.47042 5.22026 2.61763
48 0.94750 -1.37670 -0.24769 0.26326 -6.6838 -3.6423 8.40027 -1.07375 1.88886 -0.47672
49 -3.02967 -4.12054 -0.32964 -0.62708 1.5254 15.8851 -3.98917 -4.60275 1.28898 -1.32890
50 -2.58624 0.82901 1.04203 -0.51962 -5.3588 -4.2429 -2.13502 7.51995 5.71575 0.11469
51 0.68634 -1.73091 1.10180 -0.02564 14.5383 5.3173 2.58508 -4.49546 3.86432 0.07830
52 6.40235 -1.95176 -0.93171 -0.48222 6.0155 5.3737 3.75061 -4.85954 -0.84859 -0.50155
53 -0.75469 2.47868 0.18815 0.17283 11.4396 -5.4071 -0.65916 0.88714 1.38037 0.41721
54 4.19679 -1.40090 1.73116 -1.32440 9.6475 6.9283 5.37257 1.04596 -6.08095 -0.82260

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

46 0.43782 -1.17022 0.31702 0.95446 -0.22354 0.32911 -0.24744 0.59895


47 -0.58892 0.04545 -0.95222 -0.72274 0.86720 0.53948 1.36131 0.70448
48 -0.06199 0.89199 -0.08518 0.64059 -0.55132 -3.45838 -0.49990 -1.57047
49 1.69547 0.22718 1.80484 0.64951 -0.04386 0.70646 -0.80146 2.03753
50 -0.58154 -0.89602 -0.51086 -0.47995 1.16500 0.39328 -0.22197 -0.52037
51 -0.27251 0.67427 -0.32803 1.11751 0.77464 0.65293 0.95383 0.64853
52 0.17286 2.53231 0.28121 0.95329 -0.48005 2.78374 0.16266 0.28242
53 -1.11114 -0.99668 -1.32215 -0.13991 0.77270 -0.50879 1.39212 -0.06701
54 -0.08380 2.50876 -0.37816 1.51076 -0.40215 1.15254 0.32284 0.00824

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 227


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

55 Sacramento 1 41.3568 274.214 17.8995 59.338 58.3267 64.2581 71.2067 73.6258


56 San Antonio 1 29.1472 272.160 20.6758 49.967 71.4333 76.3548 82.0667 83.0968
57 San Bernardino 1 43.1137 234.815 7.3124 50.602 59.2889 66.7957 71.2667 76.7312
58 San Jose 1 26.6851 206.765 11.6487 38.453 54.8000 55.6774 59.8333 62.1935
59 Santa Ana/Anaheim 1 29.6878 231.775 12.3670 42.301 58.8167 63.3871 65.6667 71.5161
60 Shreveport 1 45.6529 352.098 27.9624 73.901 69.6333 72.1935 80.0333 83.1290
61 St. Louis 0 39.9208 443.437 36.1872 76.682 58.8000 67.0323 75.0667 83.1613
62 St. Petersburg 1 77.1583 483.894 32.4477 110.257 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065
63 Stockton 1 45.2450 324.345 13.1299 58.730 58.2222 64.5484 71.5667 74.1183

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

55 74.4387 73.2867 6.71122 7.9368 5.9901 7.9478 4.2798 8.03638 -4.2394 -4.9783
56 86.4194 80.5667 6.96342 5.3762 -1.3773 -8.6641 2.1612 9.44449 22.3267 -2.4535
57 75.5054 72.8778 3.62120 12.9680 15.0344 8.3781 9.9923 1.10096 -1.4824 -3.3776
58 64.0968 63.8667 8.75283 8.2189 -0.0051 1.6848 -3.9427 -1.07305 -25.2487 -14.5940
59 70.0968 68.6000 9.37348 14.2964 10.1229 4.6612 6.4446 4.65991 -10.7076 -8.8012
60 86.1290 75.5000 5.17327 6.0310 1.6275 -0.7434 13.2357 3.19671 16.7778 -1.2565
61 76.7419 69.9667 -0.48566 4.1664 1.4408 8.4464 5.2479 -1.96826 0.9640 2.9282
62 84.0000 81.0333 9.64822 6.5928 -5.1627 -2.3514 -2.4759 1.15697 23.7667 -4.8977
63 74.5161 73.0222 7.35334 8.1715 5.1208 7.3916 2.5567 5.34866 -3.9697 -4.4348

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

55 3.74576 -1.27013 -0.22150 0.59792 1.4839 4.7764 4.61654 4.50366 2.99569 0.66529
56 0.90105 -0.23864 -0.87394 -0.16114 -16.4055 3.5752 2.98679 4.48657 -1.15409 2.06987
57 2.19654 -0.28886 1.09281 -1.15253 9.8365 5.9869 2.59902 -0.97958 -6.55217 -0.35848
58 0.94750 -1.37670 -0.24769 0.26326 -6.7042 -5.4449 8.18470 -1.98515 2.48259 -1.17576
59 0.60241 0.41924 1.60640 -1.50690 2.4676 7.3684 8.35770 -0.32727 -3.69468 -0.64604
60 -2.92769 -1.70143 -0.59517 0.99968 -5.6794 7.8358 -3.67216 -3.21430 -0.68288 1.97803
61 -1.49833 1.83419 1.57285 0.24228 1.5574 -3.2293 -4.45290 -1.50728 3.74971 -1.55604
62 0.36059 2.62399 0.91225 -0.52926 -13.2175 -3.3944 6.43732 -2.08913 4.39267 -0.82873
63 3.48387 -0.96896 -0.30232 0.50115 0.6929 2.3165 5.60732 2.52557 2.97186 0.27293

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

55 -0.26958 1.42433 -0.28131 1.22994 -0.41398 -1.01097 -0.28509 -0.42920


56 1.12704 0.46810 0.91903 0.33787 -1.46526 0.44385 -1.79634 -0.77261
57 -0.27952 1.54560 -0.20272 0.99957 -0.35288 -0.63214 0.46136 0.41418
58 -0.06199 0.89199 -0.13469 0.44434 -0.55132 -3.45838 -0.37437 -1.64039
59 -0.25252 1.19375 0.14721 1.73089 -0.56593 -1.91128 -0.39571 -0.49724
60 1.83769 -0.94244 1.42435 -0.13538 -1.02644 0.43350 -0.94188 1.11202
61 -0.39042 -0.95013 -0.03763 -0.81622 0.32252 0.53564 0.43623 0.47190
62 0.67101 0.03199 0.56854 0.20518 -1.85042 0.08336 -1.06702 -1.40802
63 -0.30675 1.27440 -0.30251 1.08221 -0.35881 -0.90806 -0.19937 -0.68864

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 228


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Temp Temp Temp


Obs city coast newcopd newcvd newpneu newresp April TempMay June July

64 Syracuse 1 53.7047 326.410 30.3740 85.179 46.8333 60.9032 69.9667 75.1613


65 Tacoma 1 42.6643 271.254 18.9778 62.070 48.7667 52.0968 58.3333 62.6774
66 Tampa 1 51.8546 302.518 14.9157 67.171 74.6000 78.0323 81.4000 83.8065
67 Toledo 0 55.8176 391.162 23.5137 79.331 50.9000 62.8387 71.0333 77.4516
68 Washington 0 24.8226 323.218 21.1517 45.974 53.1667 63.0000 71.1000 78.6774
69 Wichita 0 46.3710 269.394 18.7692 65.361 56.2000 65.4516 73.3000 82.5161
70 Worcester 1 46.2073 306.806 38.0844 84.558 47.3889 58.7312 68.9111 73.3978

Obs TempAug TempSep O3April O3May O3June O3July O3Aug O3Sep PCT1 PCT2

64 69.0968 65.1000 1.04130 6.9690 12.5221 12.5066 -0.1769 1.07085 -17.1308 2.9873
65 65.0323 61.0333 7.19013 5.7665 -1.5010 -0.3845 -3.4556 -0.79503 -31.0113 -10.2201
66 84.0000 81.0333 9.92602 7.3299 -4.6847 -3.0803 -2.3865 1.71172 23.7667 -4.8977
67 69.9677 65.3333 -5.91671 -1.5588 9.1269 8.0693 -0.3838 -3.32774 -12.7102 2.2801
68 75.6774 67.3333 2.21860 10.2754 12.0268 19.8456 16.1971 1.98466 -7.8689 2.6066
69 81.4839 67.2333 5.00061 10.3495 0.0144 9.1460 16.5816 3.67709 -0.9229 5.0344
70 69.3441 65.3778 6.90519 2.5181 8.5516 7.6622 -1.8237 -7.10564 -18.4321 1.2279

Obs PCT3 PCT4 PCT5 PCT6 PCO1 PCO2 PCO3 PCO4 PCO5 PCO6

64 2.38512 1.54375 -1.48368 -0.74559 9.8854 -4.1569 3.30174 4.47144 -0.56280 0.29876
65 0.51165 -4.20481 -0.53502 0.23984 -9.1854 -6.0976 5.46470 -1.37489 2.55729 -0.21078
66 0.36059 2.62399 0.91225 -0.52926 -13.5469 -2.7011 7.02300 -1.83322 3.56576 -0.94951
67 0.30406 2.89350 -0.35859 -0.60385 5.2271 -11.1895 -6.33434 4.09184 -0.98073 3.02210
68 -0.55070 -1.41855 0.27215 -0.53623 17.6173 9.4381 -2.92259 -1.80935 2.65189 -1.19662
69 -3.81144 -3.24835 0.30498 -1.16001 1.8784 11.4890 -3.67853 -4.63067 4.86440 -3.24336
70 2.51117 -0.19154 -1.38912 0.50488 3.7933 -9.3615 4.59821 -3.98278 0.77403 5.18281

Obs Temp1 Temp2 Oz1 Oz2 PCTemp1 PCTemp2 PCOz1 PCOz2

64 -1.68142 0.35830 -1.55764 0.53260 1.26474 -0.15250 1.07972 -0.71961


65 0.14116 1.28945 0.02343 -0.02560 0.30248 -2.93622 -0.51458 -1.41000
66 0.67101 0.03199 0.60923 0.32644 -1.85042 0.08336 -1.15357 -1.45509
67 -1.42775 -0.55076 -1.46163 -1.47791 0.94647 -0.10231 1.28162 -0.04608
68 -0.12211 0.33978 -0.15314 0.85263 0.73790 0.14006 1.03742 1.68859
69 1.06735 -0.04948 1.44561 0.39038 0.68777 0.82133 -0.48761 1.66273
70 -1.25436 0.37403 -1.06255 -0.10731 1.10826 -0.50219 0.90361 -1.08173

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 229


Canonical Correlation using PCs

Plot of PCTemp1*PCOz1. Legend: A = 1 obs, B = 2 obs, etc.

PCTemp1 ‚


‚ A
‚ A


‚ A A B A
‚ A A
1ˆ A A AB A
‚ A B A
‚ A A A AA A
‚ B AA
‚ A
‚ A AA
‚ A
0ˆ A AA
‚ A
‚ AA AA
‚ AA AA A
‚ A AB AA
‚ A A
‚ A A
-1 ˆ A A
‚ A

‚ A A A
‚ A A
‚ A
‚ A AA
-2 ˆ

‚ A




-3 ˆ

Šƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒ
-2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

PCOz1

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 230


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 6 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

Pooled Covariance Matrix Information

Natural Log of the


Covariance Determinant of the
Matrix Rank Covariance Matrix

6 10.49675

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 231


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Pairwise Generalized Squared Distances Between Groups

2 _ _ -1 _ _
D (i|j) = (X - X )' COV (X - X )
i j i j

Generalized Squared Distance to coast

From coast 0 1

0 0 4.41495
1 4.41495 0

Linear Discriminant Function

_ -1 _ -1 _
Constant = -.5 X' COV X Coefficient Vector = COV X
j j j

Linear Discriminant Function for coast

Variable 0 1

Constant -165.47097 -160.27862


TempApril 1.73444 1.81366
TempMay -5.54289 -5.69109
TempJune -2.10976 -2.23672
TempJuly 8.23011 7.65619
TempAug -2.62329 -2.47045
TempSep 4.23208 4.84195

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 232


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function
The DISCRIM Procedure
Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.9571 0.0429
2 1 0* 0.9258 0.0742
3 1 1 0.0930 0.9070
4 1 1 0.0102 0.9898
5 1 1 0.0295 0.9705
6 1 1 0.1012 0.8988
7 1 0* 0.5480 0.4520
8 1 0* 0.8594 0.1406
9 1 1 0.4741 0.5259
10 0 0 0.9888 0.0112
11 0 0 0.9293 0.0707
12 0 0 0.9116 0.0884
13 0 0 0.9197 0.0803
14 1 1 0.1675 0.8325
15 0 0 0.9499 0.0501
16 1 1 0.0534 0.9466
17 1 1 0.1222 0.8778
18 0 0 0.9287 0.0713
19 0 0 0.9404 0.0596
20 1 1 0.2809 0.7191
21 0 0 0.8769 0.1231
22 0 0 0.9849 0.0151
23 1 1 0.0482 0.9518
24 0 0 0.9535 0.0465
25 1 1 0.0877 0.9123
26 1 1 0.1718 0.8282
27 0 0 0.9480 0.0520
28 1 1 0.1670 0.8330

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 233


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0 * 0.8653 0.1347
30 0 0 0.9067 0.0933
31 0 0 0.9870 0.0130
32 0 0 0.9749 0.0251
33 1 0* 0.8256 0.1744
34 0 1* 0.4737 0.5263
35 1 1 0.0554 0.9446
36 1 1 0.0570 0.9430
37 0 1* 0.3337 0.6663
38 0 0 0.8226 0.1774
39 0 0 0.9919 0.0081
40 0 1* 0.4813 0.5187
41 1 1 0.0259 0.9741
42 0 0 0.8396 0.1604
43 0 1* 0.4265 0.5735
44 1 1 0.0185 0.9815
45 1 1 0.0093 0.9907
46 0 0 0.6720 0.3280
47 1 0* 0.8256 0.1744
48 1 1 0.0012 0.9988
49 0 0 0.6191 0.3809
50 0 0 0.9930 0.0070
51 0 0 0.7982 0.2018
52 0 1* 0.0785 0.9215
53 0 0 0.9248 0.0752
54 1 1 0.0821 0.9179
55 1 1 0.0063 0.9937
56 1 1 0.0226 0.9774
57 1 1 0.0526 0.9474
58 1 1 0.0012 0.9988
59 1 1 0.0259 0.9741
60 1 1 0.2061 0.7939
61 0 0 0.9499 0.0501
62 1 1 0.0335 0.9665
63 1 1 0.0106 0.9894
64 1 0* 0.8675 0.1325
65 1 1 0.0059 0.9941
66 1 1 0.0335 0.9665
67 0 0 0.9534 0.0466
68 0 0 0.8149 0.1851
69 0 0 0.9631 0.0369

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 234


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.5400 0.4600

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 235


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j
Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 27 5 32
84.38 15.63 100.00

1 8 30 38
21.05 78.95 100.00

Total 35 35 70
50.00 50.00 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1563 0.2105 0.1834


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 236


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.9529 0.0471
2 1 0* 0.9608 0.0392
3 1 1 0.1006 0.8994
4 1 1 0.0102 0.9898
5 1 1 0.0337 0.9663
6 1 1 0.1181 0.8819
7 1 0* 0.7690 0.2310
8 1 0* 0.9218 0.0782
9 1 0* 0.5372 0.4628
10 0 0 0.9885 0.0115
11 0 0 0.9230 0.0770
12 0 0 0.9039 0.0961
13 0 0 0.8906 0.1094
14 1 1 0.1826 0.8174
15 0 0 0.9452 0.0548
16 1 1 0.0630 0.9370
17 1 1 0.1479 0.8521
18 0 0 0.9227 0.0773
19 0 0 0.9201 0.0799
20 1 1 0.4571 0.5429
21 0 0 0.8637 0.1363
22 0 0 0.9843 0.0157
23 1 1 0.0548 0.9452
24 0 0 0.9459 0.0541
25 1 1 0.1024 0.8976
26 1 1 0.1850 0.8150
27 0 0 0.9430 0.0570
28 1 1 0.2004 0.7996

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 237


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.9104 0.0896
30 0 0 0.8971 0.1029
31 0 0 0.9866 0.0134
32 0 0 0.9731 0.0269
33 1 0* 0.8927 0.1073
34 0 1* 0.4085 0.5915
35 1 1 0.0623 0.9377
36 1 1 0.0620 0.9380
37 0 1* 0.1160 0.8840
38 0 0 0.8189 0.1811
39 0 0 0.9920 0.0080
40 0 1* 0.4291 0.5709
41 1 1 0.0285 0.9715
42 0 0 0.8228 0.1772
43 0 1* 0.3379 0.6621
44 1 1 0.0192 0.9808
45 1 1 0.0091 0.9909
46 0 0 0.6186 0.3814
47 1 0* 0.8927 0.1073
48 1 1 0.0006 0.9994
49 0 0 0.5007 0.4993
50 0 0 0.9931 0.0069
51 0 0 0.7720 0.2280
52 0 1* 0.0036 0.9964
53 0 0 0.9186 0.0814
54 1 1 0.1113 0.8887
55 1 1 0.0059 0.9941
56 1 1 0.0236 0.9764
57 1 1 0.0584 0.9416
58 1 1 0.0006 0.9994
59 1 1 0.0285 0.9715
60 1 1 0.2499 0.7501
61 0 0 0.9441 0.0559
62 1 1 0.0368 0.9632
63 1 1 0.0106 0.9894
64 1 0* 0.9374 0.0626
65 1 1 0.0046 0.9954
66 1 1 0.0368 0.9632
67 0 0 0.9490 0.0510
68 0 0 0.8025 0.1975
69 0 0 0.9562 0.0438

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 238


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.6338 0.3662

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 239


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 27 5 32
84.38 15.63 100.00

1 9 29 38
23.68 76.32 100.00

Total 36 34 70
51.43 48.57 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1563 0.2368 0.1965


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 240


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor
The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 6 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 241


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0* 0.8261 0.1739
3 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
7 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
8 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
9 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
10 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
14 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
15 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
20 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 242


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
29 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
30 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
31 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
32 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
33 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
34 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
40 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
43 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
47 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
50 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
51 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
52 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
53 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
54 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
60 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 0.8261 0.1739

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 243


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
70 1 1 0.4419 0.5581

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 244


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 29 3 32
90.63 9.38 100.00

1 4 34 38
10.53 89.47 100.00

Total 33 37 70
47.14 52.86 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.0938 0.1053 0.0995


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 245


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0* 1.0000 0.0000
3 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
7 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
8 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
9 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
10 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
14 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
15 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
20 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 246


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
29 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
30 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
31 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
32 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
33 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
34 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
40 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
43 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
47 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
50 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
51 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
52 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
53 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
54 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
60 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 0.8306 0.1694

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 247


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
70 1 1 0.4353 0.5647

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 248


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total


0 27 5 32
84.38 15.63 100.00

1 7 31 38
18.42 81.58 100.00

Total 34 36 70
48.57 51.43 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1563 0.1842 0.1702


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 249


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Model Information

Data Set WORK.PCCOMB


Response Variable coast
Number of Response Levels 2
Model binary logit
Optimization Technique Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Response Profile

Ordered Total
Value coast Frequency

1 0 32
2 1 38

Probability modeled is coast=0.

Model Convergence Status

Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics

Intercept
Intercept and
Criterion Only Covariates

AIC 98.526 52.633


SC 100.774 68.372
-2 Log L 96.526 38.633

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Test Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq


Likelihood Ratio 57.8930 6 <.0001
Score 37.1030 6 <.0001
Wald 12.0469 6 0.0609

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 250


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Standard Wald
Parameter DF Estimate Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept 1 -37.0462 14.4179 6.6021 0.0102


TempApril 1 -0.2165 0.1623 1.7791 0.1823
TempMay 1 0.2491 0.4558 0.2988 0.5846
TempJune 1 1.0680 0.8217 1.6892 0.1937
TempJuly 1 0.7725 0.3751 4.2401 0.0395
TempAug 1 0.0543 0.2272 0.0572 0.8109
TempSep 1 -1.5996 0.6347 6.3518 0.0117

Odds Ratio Estimates

Point 95% Wald


Effect Estimate Confidence Limits

TempApril 0.805 0.586 1.107


TempMay 1.283 0.525 3.134
TempJune 2.909 0.581 14.563
TempJuly 2.165 1.038 4.516
TempAug 1.056 0.676 1.648
TempSep 0.202 0.058 0.701

Association of Predicted Probabilities and Observed Responses

Percent Concordant 95.0 Somers' D 0.900


Percent Discordant 5.0 Gamma 0.900
Percent Tied 0.0 Tau-a 0.453
Pairs 1216 c 0.950

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 251


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

1 0 0 0.92811 0.07189 0.92811


2 1 0 0.97668 0.02332 0.97668
3 1 1 0.00568 0.99432 0.00568
4 1 1 0.00063 0.99937 0.00063
5 1 1 0.00001 0.99999 0.00001
6 1 1 0.09777 0.90223 0.09777
7 1 1 0.09259 0.90741 0.09259
8 1 1 0.32940 0.67060 0.32940
9 1 1 0.26853 0.73147 0.26853
10 0 0 0.99647 0.00353 0.99647
11 0 0 0.95144 0.04856 0.95144
12 0 0 0.73331 0.26669 0.73331
13 0 0 0.64926 0.35074 0.64926
14 1 1 0.08430 0.91570 0.08430
15 0 0 0.98444 0.01556 0.98444
16 1 1 0.01775 0.98225 0.01775
17 1 1 0.24086 0.75914 0.24086
18 0 0 0.91204 0.08796 0.91204
19 0 0 0.73067 0.26933 0.73067
20 1 1 0.41124 0.58876 0.41124
21 0 0 0.93112 0.06888 0.93112
22 0 0 0.99413 0.00587 0.99413
23 1 1 0.00018 0.99982 0.00018
24 0 0 0.93777 0.06223 0.93777
25 1 1 0.12479 0.87521 0.12479
26 1 1 0.01821 0.98179 0.01821
27 0 0 0.97953 0.02047 0.97953
28 1 1 0.17034 0.82966 0.17034
29 1 0 0.89916 0.10084 0.89916
30 0 0 0.67620 0.32380 0.67620
31 0 0 0.99926 0.00074 0.99926
32 0 0 0.99278 0.00722 0.99278
33 1 0 0.60319 0.39681 0.60319
34 0 1 0.36496 0.63504 0.36496
35 1 1 0.02343 0.97657 0.02343
36 1 1 0.01995 0.98005 0.01995
37 0 0 0.86314 0.13686 0.86314
38 0 0 0.76530 0.23470 0.76530
39 0 0 0.99832 0.00168 0.99832
40 0 0 0.57440 0.42560 0.57440
41 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
42 0 0 0.86237 0.13763 0.86237
43 0 0 0.54800 0.45200 0.54800
44 1 1 0.00008 0.99992 0.00008
45 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
46 0 0 0.70683 0.29317 0.70683
47 1 0 0.60319 0.39681 0.60319
48 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 252


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

49 0 0 0.86255 0.13745 0.86255


50 0 0 0.99881 0.00119 0.99881
51 0 0 0.55272 0.44728 0.55272
52 0 1 0.33103 0.66897 0.33103
53 0 0 0.71466 0.28534 0.71466
54 1 1 0.00150 0.99850 0.00150
55 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
56 1 1 0.00292 0.99708 0.00292
57 1 1 0.00003 0.99997 0.00003
58 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
59 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
60 1 1 0.36846 0.63154 0.36846
61 0 0 0.97295 0.02705 0.97295
62 1 1 0.00079 0.99921 0.00079
63 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
64 1 0 0.59615 0.40385 0.59615
65 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
66 1 1 0.00079 0.99921 0.00079
67 0 0 0.92914 0.07086 0.92914
68 0 0 0.56271 0.43729 0.56271
69 0 0 0.99752 0.00248 0.99752
70 1 1 0.03945 0.96055 0.03945

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 253


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The FREQ Procedure

Table of coast by predict


coast predict

Frequency‚
Percent ‚
Row Pct ‚
Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
0 ‚ 30 ‚ 2 ‚ 32
‚ 42.86 ‚ 2.86 ‚ 45.71
‚ 93.75 ‚ 6.25 ‚
‚ 85.71 ‚ 5.71 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
1‚ 5 ‚ 33 ‚ 38
‚ 7.14 ‚ 47.14 ‚ 54.29
‚ 13.16 ‚ 86.84 ‚
‚ 14.29 ‚ 94.29 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
Total 35 35 70
50.00 50.00 100.00

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 254


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 6 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

Pooled Covariance Matrix Information

Natural Log of the


Covariance Determinant of the
Matrix Rank Covariance Matrix

6 17.45328

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 255


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Pairwise Generalized Squared Distances Between Groups

2 _ _ -1 _ _
D (i|j) = (X - X )' COV (X - X )
i j i j

Generalized Squared Distance to coast

From coast 0 1

0 0 2.09628
1 2.09628 0
Linear Discriminant Function

_ -1 _ -1 _
Constant = -.5 X' COV X Coefficient Vector = COV X
j j j

Linear Discriminant Function for coast

Variable 0 1

Constant -2.37753 -1.77270


O3April -0.35218 -0.01620
O3May 0.77901 0.50974
O3June -0.13278 -0.00974
O3July 0.07060 -0.01823
O3Aug 0.05247 0.03917
O3Sep -0.21014 -0.03019

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 256


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.8569 0.1431
2 1 0* 0.9798 0.0202
3 1 0* 0.8201 0.1799
4 1 1 0.0061 0.9939
5 1 1 0.1367 0.8633
6 1 0* 0.6567 0.3433
7 1 1 0.1564 0.8436
8 1 0* 0.6687 0.3313
9 1 0* 0.7646 0.2354
10 0 0 0.5679 0.4321
11 0 0 0.8924 0.1076
12 0 0 0.9050 0.0950
13 0 1* 0.3235 0.6765
14 1 1 0.4544 0.5456
15 0 0 0.8899 0.1101
16 1 1 0.0363 0.9637
17 1 1 0.1367 0.8633
18 0 0 0.8537 0.1463
19 0 0 0.6581 0.3419
20 1 1 0.1374 0.8626
21 0 0 0.9279 0.0721
22 0 0 0.9068 0.0932
23 1 1 0.2459 0.7541
24 0 0 0.9424 0.0576
25 1 1 0.0733 0.9267
26 1 1 0.1694 0.8306
27 0 0 0.9120 0.0880
28 1 1 0.4762 0.5238

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 257


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.5994 0.4006
30 0 0 0.9159 0.0841
31 0 0 0.6802 0.3198
32 0 0 0.9091 0.0909
33 1 1 0.1329 0.8671
34 0 1* 0.4943 0.5057
35 1 1 0.2213 0.7787
36 1 1 0.0430 0.9570
37 0 1* 0.3521 0.6479
38 0 0 0.9197 0.0803
39 0 1* 0.4736 0.5264
40 0 1* 0.4773 0.5227
41 1 1 0.3728 0.6272
42 0 0 0.7814 0.2186
43 0 0 0.7089 0.2911
44 1 1 0.3200 0.6800
45 1 1 0.1857 0.8143
46 0 1* 0.1437 0.8563
47 1 0* 0.7164 0.2836
48 1 1 0.1674 0.8326
49 0 1* 0.4657 0.5343
50 0 1* 0.2849 0.7151
51 0 0 0.5958 0.4042
52 0 1* 0.4946 0.5054
53 0 0 0.7980 0.2020
54 1 1 0.4735 0.5265
55 1 1 0.1050 0.8950
56 1 1 0.0226 0.9774
57 1 0* 0.6223 0.3777
58 1 1 0.2609 0.7391
59 1 1 0.1841 0.8159
60 1 1 0.2003 0.7997
61 0 0 0.8425 0.1575
62 1 1 0.1317 0.8683
63 1 1 0.1447 0.8553
64 1 0* 0.5737 0.4263
65 1 1 0.2279 0.7721
66 1 1 0.1189 0.8811
67 0 0 0.7597 0.2403
68 0 0 0.8260 0.1740
69 0 0 0.7050 0.2950

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 258


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function
Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 1 0.2036 0.7964

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 259


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 23 9 32
71.88 28.13 100.00

1 9 29 38
23.68 76.32 100.00

Total 32 38 70
45.71 54.29 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.2813 0.2368 0.2590


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 260


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j
Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.8486 0.1514
2 1 0* 0.9944 0.0056
3 1 0* 0.8895 0.1105
4 1 1 0.0033 0.9967
5 1 1 0.1812 0.8188
6 1 0* 0.7892 0.2108
7 1 1 0.1830 0.8170
8 1 0* 0.7206 0.2794
9 1 0* 0.8786 0.1214
10 0 0 0.5516 0.4484
11 0 0 0.8882 0.1118
12 0 0 0.9005 0.0995
13 0 1* 0.2755 0.7245
14 1 0* 0.5166 0.4834
15 0 0 0.8702 0.1298
16 1 1 0.0346 0.9654
17 1 1 0.1549 0.8451
18 0 0 0.8465 0.1535
19 0 0 0.6197 0.3803
20 1 1 0.1456 0.8544
21 0 0 0.9228 0.0772
22 0 0 0.8996 0.1004
23 1 1 0.3298 0.6702
24 0 0 0.9395 0.0605
25 1 1 0.0757 0.9243
26 1 1 0.1837 0.8163
27 0 0 0.9049 0.0951
28 1 0* 0.5314 0.4686

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 261


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.7238 0.2762
30 0 0 0.9107 0.0893
31 0 0 0.6543 0.3457
32 0 0 0.9037 0.0963
33 1 1 0.1445 0.8555
34 0 1* 0.4643 0.5357
35 1 1 0.2345 0.7655
36 1 1 0.0427 0.9573
37 0 1* 0.1692 0.8308
38 0 0 0.9147 0.0853
39 0 1* 0.4398 0.5602
40 0 1* 0.4216 0.5784
41 1 1 0.3915 0.6085
42 0 0 0.7745 0.2255
43 0 0 0.6757 0.3243
44 1 1 0.4349 0.5651
45 1 1 0.2048 0.7952
46 0 1* 0.0927 0.9073
47 1 0* 0.8181 0.1819
48 1 1 0.1792 0.8208
49 0 1* 0.3600 0.6400
50 0 1* 0.1556 0.8444
51 0 0 0.5189 0.4811
52 0 1* 0.4466 0.5534
53 0 0 0.7871 0.2129
54 1 0* 0.5672 0.4328
55 1 1 0.1107 0.8893
56 1 1 0.0207 0.9793
57 1 0* 0.7227 0.2773
58 1 1 0.2895 0.7105
59 1 1 0.2033 0.7967
60 1 1 0.2162 0.7838
61 0 0 0.8307 0.1693
62 1 1 0.1453 0.8547
63 1 1 0.1520 0.8480
64 1 0* 0.6197 0.3803
65 1 1 0.2457 0.7543
66 1 1 0.1291 0.8709
67 0 0 0.7073 0.2927
68 0 0 0.7981 0.2019
69 0 0 0.6088 0.3912

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 262


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 1 0.2569 0.7431

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 263


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total


0 23 9 32
71.88 28.13 100.00

1 12 26 38
31.58 68.42 100.00

Total 35 35 70
50.00 50.00 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.2813 0.3158 0.2985


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 264


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 6 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 265


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0 * 0.8261 0.1739
3 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
7 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
8 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
9 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
10 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
14 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
15 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
20 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 266


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
29 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
30 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
31 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
32 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
33 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
34 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 1* 0.2289 0.7711
38 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
39 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
40 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
41 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
42 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
43 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.2289 0.7711
47 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
50 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
51 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
52 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
53 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
54 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
55 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
60 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 267


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
70 1 1 0.2289 0.7711

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 268


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 27 5 32
84.38 15.63 100.00

1 7 31 38
18.42 81.58 100.00

Total 34 36 70
48.57 51.43 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5


Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1563 0.1842 0.1702


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 269


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0* 1.0000 0.0000
3 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
7 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
8 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
9 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
10 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
14 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
15 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
20 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 270


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
29 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
30 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
31 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
32 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
33 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
34 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
35 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
38 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
39 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
40 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
41 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
42 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
43 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
47 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
48 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
49 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
50 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
51 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
52 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
53 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
54 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
55 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
58 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
59 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
60 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
61 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
62 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
63 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
64 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
65 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
66 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 271


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
70 1 1 0.2242 0.7758

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 272


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 26 6 32
81.25 18.75 100.00

1 12 26 38
31.58 68.42 100.00

Total 38 32 70
54.29 45.71 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1875 0.3158 0.2516


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 273


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Model Information

Data Set WORK.PCCOMB


Response Variable coast
Number of Response Levels 2
Model binary logit
Optimization Technique Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Response Profile

Ordered Total
Value coast Frequency

1 0 32
2 1 38

Probability modeled is coast=0.

Model Convergence Status

Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics

Intercept
Intercept and
Criterion Only Covariates

AIC 98.526 80.645


SC 100.774 96.385
-2 Log L 96.526 66.645

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Test Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio 29.8806 6 <.0001


Score 24.4129 6 0.0004
Wald 17.6277 6 0.0072

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 274


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Standard Wald
Parameter DF Estimate Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept 1 -1.1161 0.7210 2.3960 0.1216


O3April 1 -0.3345 0.1081 9.5860 0.0020
O3May 1 0.3177 0.1442 4.8522 0.0276
O3June 1 -0.1386 0.1024 1.8335 0.1757
O3July 1 0.1069 0.0758 1.9918 0.1582
O3Aug 1 0.00472 0.0570 0.0068 0.9341
O3Sep 1 -0.1952 0.0857 5.1891 0.0227

Odds Ratio Estimates

Point 95% Wald


Effect Estimate Confidence Limits

O3April 0.716 0.579 0.884


O3May 1.374 1.036 1.823
O3June 0.871 0.712 1.064
O3July 1.113 0.959 1.291
O3Aug 1.005 0.898 1.124
O3Sep 0.823 0.696 0.973

Association of Predicted Probabilities and Observed Responses

Percent Concordant 86.2 Somers' D 0.724


Percent Discordant 13.8 Gamma 0.724
Percent Tied 0.0 Tau-a 0.364
Pairs 1216 c 0.862
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 275
Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

1 0 0 0.82524 0.17476 0.82524


2 1 0 0.97565 0.02435 0.97565
3 1 0 0.73438 0.26562 0.73438
4 1 1 0.00282 0.99718 0.00282
5 1 1 0.10372 0.89628 0.10372
6 1 0 0.64631 0.35369 0.64631
7 1 1 0.11823 0.88177 0.11823
8 1 0 0.66766 0.33234 0.66766
9 1 0 0.68933 0.31067 0.68933
10 0 0 0.51712 0.48288 0.51712
11 0 0 0.86406 0.13594 0.86406
12 0 0 0.87987 0.12013 0.87987
13 0 1 0.31772 0.68228 0.31772
14 1 1 0.31366 0.68634 0.31366
15 0 0 0.86081 0.13919 0.86081
16 1 1 0.02246 0.97754 0.02246
17 1 1 0.08207 0.91793 0.08207
18 0 0 0.81206 0.18794 0.81206
19 0 0 0.68644 0.31356 0.68644
20 1 1 0.12310 0.87690 0.12310
21 0 0 0.88938 0.11062 0.88938
22 0 0 0.88217 0.11783 0.88217
23 1 1 0.22764 0.77236 0.22764
24 0 0 0.93542 0.06458 0.93542
25 1 1 0.04870 0.95130 0.04870
26 1 1 0.12154 0.87846 0.12154
27 0 0 0.88221 0.11779 0.88221
28 1 1 0.34917 0.65083 0.34917
29 1 0 0.57474 0.42526 0.57474
30 0 0 0.91952 0.08048 0.91952
31 0 0 0.68131 0.31869 0.68131
32 0 0 0.89751 0.10249 0.89751
33 1 1 0.11388 0.88612 0.11388
34 0 1 0.40092 0.59908 0.40092
35 1 1 0.18093 0.81907 0.18093
36 1 1 0.02488 0.97512 0.02488
37 0 1 0.37069 0.62931 0.37069
38 0 0 0.88554 0.11446 0.88554
39 0 1 0.41636 0.58364 0.41636
40 0 1 0.39374 0.60626 0.39374
41 1 1 0.35078 0.64922 0.35078
42 0 0 0.71599 0.28401 0.71599
43 0 0 0.59784 0.40216 0.59784
44 1 1 0.29713 0.70287 0.29713
45 1 1 0.17650 0.82350 0.17650
46 0 1 0.10968 0.89032 0.10968
47 1 0 0.64541 0.35459 0.64541
48 1 1 0.15801 0.84199 0.15801

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 276


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

49 0 1 0.42767 0.57233 0.42767


50 0 1 0.19994 0.80006 0.19994
51 0 0 0.61468 0.38532 0.61468
52 0 0 0.50133 0.49867 0.50133
53 0 0 0.77225 0.22775 0.77225
54 1 1 0.46826 0.53174 0.46826
55 1 1 0.08558 0.91442 0.08558
56 1 1 0.01330 0.98670 0.01330
57 1 0 0.60732 0.39268 0.60732
58 1 1 0.25702 0.74298 0.25702
59 1 1 0.18330 0.81670 0.18330
60 1 1 0.14217 0.85783 0.14217
61 0 0 0.81492 0.18508 0.81492
62 1 1 0.11686 0.88314 0.11686
63 1 1 0.12658 0.87342 0.12658
64 1 0 0.53519 0.46481 0.53519
65 1 1 0.20042 0.79958 0.20042
66 1 1 0.10590 0.89410 0.10590
67 0 0 0.64869 0.35131 0.64869
68 0 0 0.82488 0.17512 0.82488
69 0 0 0.69748 0.30252 0.69748
70 1 1 0.16601 0.83399 0.16601

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 277


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Ozone
Logistic Regression

The FREQ Procedure

Table of coast by predict

coast predict

Frequency‚
Percent ‚
Row Pct ‚
Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
0 ‚ 24 ‚ 8 ‚ 32
‚ 34.29 ‚ 11.43 ‚ 45.71
‚ 75.00 ‚ 25.00 ‚
‚ 72.73 ‚ 21.62 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
1‚ 9 ‚ 29 ‚ 38
‚ 12.86 ‚ 41.43 ‚ 54.29
‚ 23.68 ‚ 76.32 ‚
‚ 27.27 ‚ 78.38 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
Total 33 37 70
47.14 52.86 100.00

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 278


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 12 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

Pooled Covariance Matrix Information

Natural Log of the


Covariance Determinant of the
Matrix Rank Covariance Matrix

12 23.26300

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 279


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Pairwise Generalized Squared Distances Between Groups

2 _ _ -1 _ _
D (i|j) = (X - X )' COV (X - X )
i j i j

Generalized Squared Distance to coast

From coast 0 1

0 0 7.56965
1 7.56965 0

Linear Discriminant Function

_ -1 _ -1 _
Constant = -.5 X' COV X Coefficient Vector = COV X
j j j

Linear Discriminant Function for coast

Variable 0 1

Constant -240.98213 -242.86285


TempApril 6.16044 6.71952
TempMay -11.92825 -11.77997
TempJune -2.68980 -3.69295
TempJuly 6.02534 4.94120
TempAug 7.09561 8.63237
TempSep 1.25255 1.30838
O3April -0.97394 -0.68315
O3May 0.81989 -0.12855
O3June 1.84824 2.47401
O3July 2.05744 2.38877
O3Aug -4.93361 -5.41257
O3Sep -0.20421 -0.04591

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 280


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k
Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.9342 0.0658
2 1 1 0.4855 0.5145
3 1 1 0.0789 0.9211
4 1 1 0.0003 0.9997
5 1 1 0.0032 0.9968
6 1 0* 0.6539 0.3461
7 1 0* 0.7789 0.2211
8 1 0* 0.9654 0.0346
9 1 1 0.0261 0.9739
10 0 0 0.9990 0.0010
11 0 0 0.9947 0.0053
12 0 0 0.9879 0.0121
13 0 0 0.9701 0.0299
14 1 1 0.0228 0.9772
15 0 0 0.9777 0.0223
16 1 1 0.0029 0.9971
17 1 1 0.0276 0.9724
18 0 0 0.9729 0.0271
19 0 0 0.9946 0.0054
20 1 1 0.0364 0.9636
21 0 0 0.9942 0.0058
22 0 0 0.9966 0.0034
23 1 1 0.0363 0.9637
24 0 0 0.9735 0.0265
25 1 1 0.0133 0.9867
26 1 1 0.2176 0.7824
27 0 0 0.9948 0.0052
28 1 1 0.2922 0.7078

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 281


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 1 0.0793 0.9207
30 0 0 0.9998 0.0002
31 0 0 0.9940 0.0060
32 0 0 0.9973 0.0027
33 1 0* 0.5106 0.4894
34 0 0 0.6512 0.3488
35 1 1 0.0193 0.9807
36 1 1 0.0060 0.9940
37 0 0 0.8500 0.1500
38 0 0 0.9935 0.0065
39 0 0 0.9960 0.0040
40 0 0 0.9831 0.0169
41 1 1 0.0059 0.9941
42 0 0 0.9871 0.0129
43 0 0 0.9475 0.0525
44 1 1 0.0406 0.9594
45 1 1 0.0004 0.9996
46 0 1* 0.3738 0.6262
47 1 1 0.0812 0.9188
48 1 1 0.0001 0.9999
49 0 0 0.8877 0.1123
50 0 0 0.9877 0.0123
51 0 0 0.7094 0.2906
52 0 1* 0.2368 0.7632
53 0 0 0.7593 0.2407
54 1 1 0.0198 0.9802
55 1 1 0.0005 0.9995
56 1 1 0.0004 0.9996
57 1 1 0.0512 0.9488
58 1 1 0.0002 0.9998
59 1 1 0.0376 0.9624
60 1 1 0.0095 0.9905
61 0 0 0.9973 0.0027
62 1 1 0.0016 0.9984
63 1 1 0.0017 0.9983
64 1 0* 0.9304 0.0696
65 1 1 0.0008 0.9992
66 1 1 0.0028 0.9972
67 0 0 0.5892 0.4108
68 0 0 0.8608 0.1392
69 0 0 0.9994 0.0006

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 282


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 1 0.1097 0.8903

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 283


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 30 2 32
93.75 6.25 100.00

1 5 33 38
13.16 86.84 100.00

Total 35 35 70
50.00 50.00 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.0625 0.1316 0.0970


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 284


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.9141 0.0859
2 1 0* 0.9042 0.0958
3 1 1 0.1446 0.8554
4 1 1 0.0001 0.9999
5 1 1 0.0032 0.9968
6 1 0* 0.9591 0.0409
7 1 0* 0.9902 0.0098
8 1 0* 0.9930 0.0070
9 1 1 0.0465 0.9535
10 0 0 0.9990 0.0010
11 0 0 0.9942 0.0058
12 0 0 0.9862 0.0138
13 0 0 0.9443 0.0557
14 1 1 0.0326 0.9674
15 0 0 0.9653 0.0347
16 1 1 0.0029 0.9971
17 1 1 0.0390 0.9610
18 0 0 0.9689 0.0311
19 0 0 0.9933 0.0067
20 1 1 0.0930 0.9070
21 0 0 0.9932 0.0068
22 0 0 0.9963 0.0037
23 1 1 0.0704 0.9296
24 0 0 0.9607 0.0393
25 1 1 0.0162 0.9838
26 1 1 0.3490 0.6510
27 0 0 0.9940 0.0060
28 1 1 0.4178 0.5822
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 285
Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 1 0.1830 0.8170
30 0 0 0.9999 0.0001
31 0 0 0.9929 0.0071
32 0 0 0.9972 0.0028
33 1 0* 0.8983 0.1017
34 0 0 0.5480 0.4520
35 1 1 0.0237 0.9763
36 1 1 0.0066 0.9934
37 0 1* 0.3705 0.6295
38 0 0 0.9924 0.0076
39 0 0 0.9953 0.0047
40 0 0 0.9770 0.0230
41 1 1 0.0071 0.9929
42 0 0 0.9847 0.0153
43 0 0 0.9182 0.0818
44 1 1 0.1357 0.8643
45 1 1 0.0003 0.9997
46 0 1* 0.0762 0.9238
47 1 1 0.1566 0.8434
48 1 1 0.0001 0.9999
49 0 0 0.8094 0.1906
50 0 0 0.9789 0.0211
51 0 0 0.5438 0.4562
52 0 1* 0.0024 0.9976
53 0 0 0.6537 0.3463
54 1 1 0.0373 0.9627
55 1 1 0.0004 0.9996
56 1 1 0.0003 0.9997
57 1 1 0.0968 0.9032
58 1 1 0.0001 0.9999
59 1 1 0.0903 0.9097
60 1 1 0.0116 0.9884
61 0 0 0.9971 0.0029
62 1 1 0.0014 0.9986
63 1 1 0.0017 0.9983
64 1 0* 0.9843 0.0157
65 1 1 0.0005 0.9995
66 1 1 0.0027 0.9973
67 0 1* 0.2550 0.7450
68 0 0 0.7718 0.2282
69 0 0 0.9996 0.0004

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 286


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1
70 1 1 0.2269 0.7731

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 287


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 28 4 32
87.50 12.50 100.00

1 6 32 38
15.79 84.21 100.00

Total 34 36 70
48.57 51.43 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1250 0.1579 0.1414


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 288


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 12 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 289
Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
3 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
7 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
8 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
9 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
10 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
14 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
15 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
20 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 290


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1
28 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
29 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
30 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
31 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
32 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
33 1 0* 0.8261 0.1739
34 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
40 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
43 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
44 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
47 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
50 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
51 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
52 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
53 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
54 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
60 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
68 0 0 0.8261 0.1739

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 291


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
70 1 0 * 0.6404 0.3596

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 292


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors
Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 32 0 32
100.00 0.00 100.00

1 7 31 38
18.42 81.58 100.00

Total 39 31 70
55.71 44.29 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.0000 0.1842 0.0921


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 293


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
3 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
7 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
8 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
9 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
10 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
14 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
15 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
20 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 294


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
29 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
30 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
31 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
32 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
33 1 0* 1.0000 0.0000
34 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
40 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
43 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
44 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
47 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
50 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
51 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
52 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
53 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
54 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
60 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
68 0 0 0.8306 0.1694

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 295


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
70 1 0 * 0.8222 0.1778

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 296


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 31 1 32
96.88 3.13 100.00

1 8 30 38
21.05 78.95 100.00

Total 39 31 70
55.71 44.29 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total
Rate 0.0313 0.2105 0.1209
Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 297


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Model Information

Data Set WORK.PCCOMB


Response Variable coast
Number of Response Levels 2
Model binary logit
Optimization Technique Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Response Profile

Ordered Total
Value coast Frequency

1 0 32
2 1 38

Probability modeled is coast=0.

Model Convergence Status

Complete separation of data points detected.

WARNING: The maximum likelihood estimate does not exist.


WARNING: The LOGISTIC procedure continues in spite of the above warning. Results shown are
based on the last maximum likelihood iteration. Validity of the model fit is
questionable.

Model Fit Statistics

Intercept
Intercept and
Criterion Only Covariates

AIC 98.526 29.540


SC 100.774 58.770
-2 Log L 96.526 3.540

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 298


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure


WARNING: The validity of the model fit is questionable.

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Test Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio 92.9857 12 <.0001


Score 46.1398 12 <.0001
Wald 3.4545 12 0.9914

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Standard Wald
Parameter DF Estimate Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept 1 -208.0 199.1 1.0920 0.2960


TempApril 1 -4.6674 5.0114 0.8674 0.3517
TempMay 1 4.2296 9.6882 0.1906 0.6624
TempJune 1 7.7365 13.7107 0.3184 0.5726
TempJuly 1 16.2033 16.0705 1.0166 0.3133
TempAug 1 -17.6889 19.7679 0.8007 0.3709
TempSep 1 -4.8531 10.9343 0.1970 0.6572
O3April 1 0.6090 1.9657 0.0960 0.7567
O3May 1 6.0793 5.5518 1.1991 0.2735
O3June 1 -2.1634 9.4552 0.0524 0.8190
O3July 1 -5.4650 5.7307 0.9094 0.3403
O3Aug 1 7.4131 7.1973 1.0609 0.3030
O3Sep 1 -3.5295 6.2016 0.3239 0.5693

Odds Ratio Estimates

Point 95% Wald


Effect Estimate Confidence Limits

TempApril 0.009 <0.001 173.256


TempMay 68.690 <0.001 >999.999
TempJune >999.999 <0.001 >999.999
TempJuly >999.999 <0.001 >999.999
TempAug <0.001 <0.001 >999.999
TempSep 0.008 <0.001 >999.999
O3April 1.839 0.039 86.638
O3May 436.721 0.008 >999.999
O3June 0.115 <0.001 >999.999
O3July 0.004 <0.001 319.593
O3Aug >999.999 0.001 >999.999
O3Sep 0.029 <0.001 >999.999

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 299


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure


WARNING: The validity of the model fit is questionable.

Association of Predicted Probabilities and Observed Responses

Percent Concordant 86.8 Somers' D 0.868


Percent Discordant 0.0 Gamma 1.000
Percent Tied 13.2 Tau-a 0.437
Pairs 1216 c 0.934

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 300


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

1 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000


2 1 1 0.21050 0.78950 0.21050
3 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
4 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
5 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
6 1 1 0.00619 0.99381 0.00619
7 1 1 0.09764 0.90236 0.09764
8 1 1 0.23667 0.76333 0.23667
9 1 1 0.00038 0.99962 0.00038
10 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
11 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
12 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
13 0 0 0.83017 0.16983 0.83017
14 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
15 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
16 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
17 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
18 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
19 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
20 1 1 0.12059 0.87941 0.12059
21 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
22 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
23 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
24 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
25 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
26 1 1 0.00033 0.99967 0.00033
27 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
28 1 1 0.00255 0.99745 0.00255
29 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
30 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
31 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
32 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
33 1 1 0.09715 0.90285 0.09715
34 0 0 0.99881 0.00119 0.99881
35 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
36 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
37 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
38 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
39 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
40 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
41 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
42 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
43 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
44 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
45 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
46 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
47 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
48 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 301


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

49 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000


50 0 0 0.99999 0.00001 0.99999
51 0 0 0.99996 0.00004 0.99996
52 0 0 0.80695 0.19305 0.80695
53 0 0 0.68272 0.31728 0.68272
54 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
55 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
56 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
57 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
58 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
59 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
60 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
61 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
62 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
63 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
64 1 1 0.00373 0.99627 0.00373
65 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
66 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000
67 0 0 0.87513 0.12487 0.87513
68 0 0 0.99999 0.00001 0.99999
69 0 0 1.00000 0.00000 1.00000
70 1 1 0.00000 1.00000 0.00000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 302


Classification Analysis on Coast using
Monthly Average Temperature and Ozone
Logistic Regression

The FREQ Procedure

Table of coast by predict

coast predict

Frequency‚
Percent ‚
Row Pct ‚
Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
0 ‚ 32 ‚ 0 ‚ 32
‚ 45.71 ‚ 0.00 ‚ 45.71
‚ 100.00 ‚ 0.00 ‚
‚ 100.00 ‚ 0.00 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
1‚ 0 ‚ 38 ‚ 38
‚ 0.00 ‚ 54.29 ‚ 54.29
‚ 0.00 ‚ 100.00 ‚
‚ 0.00 ‚ 100.00 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
Total 32 38 70
45.71 54.29 100.00

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 303


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 2 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

Pooled Covariance Matrix Information

Natural Log of the


Covariance Determinant of the
Matrix Rank Covariance Matrix

2 8.10750

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 304


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Pairwise Generalized Squared Distances Between Groups


2 _ _ -1 _ _
D (i|j) = (X - X )' COV (X - X )
i j i j

Generalized Squared Distance to coast

From coast 0 1

0 0 2.55616
1 2.55616 0

Linear Discriminant Function

_ -1 _ -1 _
Constant = -.5 X' COV X Coefficient Vector = COV X
j j j

Linear Discriminant Function for coast

Variable 0 1

Constant -0.37664 -0.26709


PCT1 -0.03188 0.02685
PCT2 0.21061 -0.17735

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 305


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.7374 0.2626
2 1 0* 0.8447 0.1553
3 1 1 0.1499 0.8501
4 1 1 0.0813 0.9187
5 1 1 0.4831 0.5169
6 1 1 0.0632 0.9368
7 1 0* 0.8507 0.1493
8 1 0* 0.8799 0.1201
9 1 1 0.3009 0.6991
10 0 0 0.9030 0.0970
11 0 0 0.7198 0.2802
12 0 0 0.7925 0.2075
13 0 0 0.9179 0.0821
14 1 1 0.1555 0.8445
15 0 0 0.7872 0.2128
16 1 1 0.0310 0.9690
17 1 1 0.4030 0.5970
18 0 0 0.7492 0.2508
19 0 0 0.9456 0.0544
20 1 1 0.3551 0.6449
21 0 0 0.5929 0.4071
22 0 0 0.8501 0.1499
23 1 0* 0.5191 0.4809
24 0 0 0.8024 0.1976
25 1 1 0.0691 0.9309
26 1 1 0.1772 0.8228
27 0 0 0.7394 0.2606
28 1 1 0.1318 0.8682

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 306


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.8841 0.1159
30 0 0 0.8796 0.1204
31 0 0 0.9126 0.0874
32 0 0 0.8425 0.1575
33 1 0* 0.8772 0.1228
34 0 1* 0.3387 0.6613
35 1 1 0.0465 0.9535
36 1 1 0.0659 0.9341
37 0 0 0.8942 0.1058
38 0 0 0.6715 0.3285
39 0 0 0.9284 0.0716
40 0 1* 0.4177 0.5823
41 1 1 0.0524 0.9476
42 0 0 0.7166 0.2834
43 0 1* 0.2885 0.7115
44 1 1 0.0118 0.9882
45 1 1 0.1644 0.8356
46 0 1* 0.4465 0.5535
47 1 0* 0.8772 0.1228
48 1 1 0.0135 0.9865
49 0 0 0.6128 0.3872
50 0 0 0.9149 0.0851
51 0 0 0.8701 0.1299
52 0 0 0.8279 0.1721
53 0 0 0.6967 0.3033
54 1 0* 0.5536 0.4464
55 1 1 0.1428 0.8572
56 1 1 0.0853 0.9147
57 1 1 0.2087 0.7913
58 1 1 0.0135 0.9865
59 1 1 0.0524 0.9476
60 1 1 0.1705 0.8295
61 0 0 0.7251 0.2749
62 1 1 0.0321 0.9679
63 1 1 0.1684 0.8316
64 1 0* 0.8865 0.1135
65 1 1 0.0951 0.9049
66 1 1 0.0321 0.9679
67 0 0 0.8208 0.1792
68 0 0 0.7964 0.2036
69 0 0 0.8696 0.1304

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 307


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.8099 0.1901

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 308


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 28 4 32
87.50 12.50 100.00

1 10 28 38
26.32 73.68 100.00

Total 38 32 70
54.29 45.71 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1250 0.2632 0.1941


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 309


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function
Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.7298 0.2702
2 1 0* 0.8679 0.1321
3 1 1 0.1533 0.8467
4 1 1 0.0847 0.9153
5 1 1 0.4875 0.5125
6 1 1 0.0651 0.9349
7 1 0* 0.8742 0.1258
8 1 0* 0.9072 0.0928
9 1 1 0.3037 0.6963
10 0 0 0.8998 0.1002
11 0 0 0.7164 0.2836
12 0 0 0.7868 0.2132
13 0 0 0.9127 0.0873
14 1 1 0.1599 0.8401
15 0 0 0.7840 0.2160
16 1 1 0.0310 0.9690
17 1 1 0.4281 0.5719
18 0 0 0.7455 0.2545
19 0 0 0.9433 0.0567
20 1 1 0.3627 0.6373
21 0 0 0.5895 0.4105
22 0 0 0.8462 0.1538
23 1 0* 0.5258 0.4742
24 0 0 0.7953 0.2047
25 1 1 0.0716 0.9284
26 1 1 0.1808 0.8192
27 0 0 0.7362 0.2638
28 1 1 0.1359 0.8641

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 310


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.9062 0.0938
30 0 0 0.8753 0.1247
31 0 0 0.9099 0.0901
32 0 0 0.8392 0.1608
33 1 0* 0.8989 0.1011
34 0 1* 0.3267 0.6733
35 1 1 0.0476 0.9524
36 1 1 0.0680 0.9320
37 0 0 0.8826 0.1174
38 0 0 0.6686 0.3314
39 0 0 0.9261 0.0739
40 0 1* 0.3982 0.6018
41 1 1 0.0540 0.9460
42 0 0 0.7114 0.2886
43 0 1* 0.2646 0.7354
44 1 1 0.0105 0.9895
45 1 1 0.1688 0.8312
46 0 1* 0.4374 0.5626
47 1 0* 0.8989 0.1011
48 1 1 0.0104 0.9896
49 0 0 0.6051 0.3949
50 0 0 0.9122 0.0878
51 0 0 0.8667 0.1333
52 0 0 0.7894 0.2106
53 0 0 0.6885 0.3115
54 1 0* 0.5776 0.4224
55 1 1 0.1473 0.8527
56 1 1 0.0887 0.9113
57 1 1 0.2127 0.7873
58 1 1 0.0104 0.9896
59 1 1 0.0540 0.9460
60 1 1 0.1761 0.8239
61 0 0 0.7213 0.2787
62 1 1 0.0322 0.9678
63 1 1 0.1731 0.8269
64 1 0* 0.9118 0.0882
65 1 1 0.1075 0.8925
66 1 1 0.0322 0.9678
67 0 0 0.8163 0.1837
68 0 0 0.7929 0.2071
69 0 0 0.8659 0.1341

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 311


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.8377 0.1623

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 312


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 28 4 32
87.50 12.50 100.00

1 10 28 38
26.32 73.68 100.00

Total 38 32 70
54.29 45.71 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1250 0.2632 0.1941


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 313


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 2 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 314


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k
Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
2 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
3 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
6 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
7 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
8 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
9 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
10 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
13 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
14 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
15 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
20 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
21 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
22 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
23 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
24 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 315


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
29 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
30 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
31 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
32 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
33 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
34 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 0.7037 0.2963
40 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
43 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
47 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
50 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
51 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
52 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
53 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
54 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
60 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
68 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 316


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 1* 0.3725 0.6275
70 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 317


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 23 9 32
71.88 28.13 100.00

1 6 32 38
15.79 84.21 100.00
Total 29 41 70
41.43 58.57 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.2813 0.1579 0.2196


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 318


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
2 1 0* 0.5362 0.4638
3 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
6 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
7 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
8 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
9 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
10 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
13 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
14 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
15 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
20 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
21 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
22 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
23 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
24 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 319
Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
29 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
30 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
31 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
32 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
33 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
34 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
40 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
43 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
47 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
50 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
51 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
52 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
53 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
54 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
60 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
68 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 320


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1
69 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
70 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 321


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 23 9 32
71.88 28.13 100.00

1 11 27 38
28.95 71.05 100.00

Total 34 36 70
48.57 51.43 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.2813 0.2895 0.2854


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 322


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Model Information

Data Set WORK.PCCOMB


Response Variable coast
Number of Response Levels 2
Model binary logit
Optimization Technique Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70
Response Profile

Ordered Total
Value coast Frequency

1 0 32
2 1 38

Probability modeled is coast=0.

Model Convergence Status

Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics

Intercept
Intercept and
Criterion Only Covariates

AIC 98.526 68.726


SC 100.774 75.472
-2 Log L 96.526 62.726

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Test Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio 33.7992 2 <.0001


Score 27.6528 2 <.0001
Wald 18.1149 2 0.0001

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 323


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Standard Wald
Parameter DF Estimate Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept 1 -0.4978 0.3531 1.9872 0.1586


PCT1 1 -0.0446 0.0244 3.3261 0.0682
PCT2 1 0.3978 0.1093 13.2511 0.0003

Odds Ratio Estimates

Point 95% Wald


Effect Estimate Confidence Limits

PCT1 0.956 0.912 1.003


PCT2 1.489 1.202 1.844

Association of Predicted Probabilities and Observed Responses

Percent Concordant 84.5 Somers' D 0.690


Percent Discordant 15.5 Gamma 0.691
Percent Tied 0.1 Tau-a 0.347
Pairs 1216 c 0.845

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 324


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

1 0 0 0.60796 0.39204 0.60796


2 1 0 0.79819 0.20181 0.79819
3 1 1 0.11486 0.88514 0.11486
4 1 1 0.07621 0.92379 0.07621
5 1 1 0.39753 0.60247 0.39753
6 1 1 0.05443 0.94557 0.05443
7 1 0 0.76446 0.23554 0.76446
8 1 0 0.79486 0.20514 0.79486
9 1 1 0.22716 0.77284 0.22716
10 0 0 0.84345 0.15655 0.84345
11 0 0 0.61687 0.38313 0.61687
12 0 0 0.68208 0.31792 0.68208
13 0 0 0.83717 0.16283 0.83717
14 1 1 0.13002 0.86998 0.13002
15 0 0 0.70678 0.29322 0.70678
16 1 1 0.02831 0.97169 0.02831
17 1 1 0.38924 0.61076 0.38924
18 0 0 0.64661 0.35339 0.64661
19 0 0 0.89311 0.10689 0.89311
20 1 1 0.30835 0.69165 0.30835
21 0 1 0.48981 0.51019 0.48981
22 0 0 0.76871 0.23129 0.76871
23 1 1 0.44267 0.55733 0.44267
24 0 0 0.68569 0.31431 0.68569
25 1 1 0.06331 0.93669 0.06331
26 1 1 0.13907 0.86093 0.13907
27 0 0 0.64278 0.35722 0.64278
28 1 1 0.11106 0.88894 0.11106
29 1 0 0.83626 0.16374 0.83626
30 0 0 0.80081 0.19919 0.80081
31 0 0 0.87425 0.12575 0.87425
32 0 0 0.77571 0.22429 0.77571
33 1 0 0.82352 0.17648 0.82352
34 0 1 0.25946 0.74054 0.25946
35 1 1 0.04162 0.95838 0.04162
36 1 1 0.05805 0.94195 0.05805
37 0 0 0.89360 0.10640 0.89360
38 0 0 0.57474 0.42526 0.57474
39 0 0 0.88800 0.11200 0.88800
40 0 1 0.37318 0.62682 0.37318
41 1 1 0.02871 0.97129 0.02871
42 0 0 0.65227 0.34773 0.65227
43 0 1 0.25115 0.74885 0.25115
44 1 1 0.01077 0.98923 0.01077
45 1 1 0.10874 0.89126 0.10874
46 0 1 0.37411 0.62589 0.37411
47 1 0 0.82352 0.17648 0.82352
48 1 1 0.00561 0.99439 0.00561

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 325


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

49 0 0 0.54888 0.45112 0.54888


50 0 0 0.86764 0.13236 0.86764
51 0 0 0.81885 0.18115 0.81885
52 0 0 0.84839 0.15161 0.84839
53 0 0 0.56058 0.43942 0.56058
54 1 0 0.52017 0.47983 0.52017
55 1 1 0.09203 0.90797 0.09203
56 1 1 0.07804 0.92196 0.07804
57 1 1 0.14489 0.85511 0.14489
58 1 1 0.00561 0.99439 0.00561
59 1 1 0.02871 0.97129 0.02871
60 1 1 0.14859 0.85141 0.14859
61 0 0 0.65115 0.34885 0.65115
62 1 1 0.02915 0.97085 0.02915
63 1 1 0.11057 0.88943 0.11057
64 1 0 0.81068 0.18932 0.81068
65 1 1 0.03990 0.96010 0.03990
66 1 1 0.02915 0.97085 0.02915
67 0 0 0.72631 0.27369 0.72631
68 0 0 0.70889 0.29111 0.70889
69 0 0 0.82434 0.17566 0.82434
70 1 0 0.69266 0.30734 0.69266

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 326


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1 and PCT2
Logistic Regression

The FREQ Procedure

Table of coast by predict

coast predict

Frequency‚
Percent ‚
Row Pct ‚
Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
0 ‚ 27 ‚ 5 ‚ 32
‚ 38.57 ‚ 7.14 ‚ 45.71
‚ 84.38 ‚ 15.63 ‚
‚ 75.00 ‚ 14.71 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
1‚ 9 ‚ 29 ‚ 38
‚ 12.86 ‚ 41.43 ‚ 54.29
‚ 23.68 ‚ 76.32 ‚
‚ 25.00 ‚ 85.29 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
Total 36 34 70
51.43 48.57 100.00

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 327


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 4 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

Pooled Covariance Matrix Information

Natural Log of the


Covariance Determinant of the
Matrix Rank Covariance Matrix
4 14.20741

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 328


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Pairwise Generalized Squared Distances Between Groups

2 _ _ -1 _ _
D (i|j) = (X - X )' COV (X - X )
i j i j

Generalized Squared Distance to coast

From coast 0 1

0 0 1.47779
1 1.47779 0

Linear Discriminant Function

_ -1 _ -1 _
Constant = -.5 X' COV X Coefficient Vector = COV X
j j j

Linear Discriminant Function for coast

Variable 0 1

Constant -0.21775 -0.15441


PCO1 0.04755 -0.04005
PCO2 -0.05328 0.04486
PCO3 -0.08207 0.06911
PCO4 -0.04274 0.03599

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 329


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.8595 0.1405
2 1 0 * 0.9520 0.0480
3 1 0* 0.7219 0.2781
4 1 1 0.0624 0.9376
5 1 1 0.1656 0.8344
6 1 1 0.1900 0.8100
7 1 0* 0.6367 0.3633
8 1 0* 0.6021 0.3979
9 1 0* 0.8791 0.1209
10 0 0 0.5464 0.4536
11 0 0 0.8349 0.1651
12 0 0 0.8624 0.1376
13 0 1* 0.3946 0.6054
14 1 1 0.3861 0.6139
15 0 0 0.8819 0.1181
16 1 1 0.0519 0.9481
17 1 1 0.3286 0.6714
18 0 0 0.8401 0.1599
19 0 1* 0.4773 0.5227
20 1 1 0.2935 0.7065
21 0 0 0.8309 0.1691
22 0 0 0.8291 0.1709
23 1 1 0.1856 0.8144
24 0 0 0.8756 0.1244
25 1 1 0.1019 0.8981
26 1 1 0.2244 0.7756
27 0 0 0.7859 0.2141
28 1 0* 0.5060 0.4940

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 330


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.8445 0.1555
30 0 0 0.7711 0.2289
31 0 0 0.5022 0.4978
32 0 0 0.7400 0.2600
33 1 1 0.3406 0.6594
34 0 0 0.5508 0.4492
35 1 1 0.1697 0.8303
36 1 1 0.0985 0.9015
37 0 1* 0.2461 0.7539
38 0 0 0.8034 0.1966
39 0 1* 0.4997 0.5003
40 0 1* 0.3912 0.6088
41 1 1 0.3061 0.6939
42 0 0 0.7388 0.2612
43 0 0 0.6725 0.3275
44 1 1 0.1267 0.8733
45 1 1 0.2099 0.7901
46 0 1* 0.3109 0.6891
47 1 0* 0.8989 0.1011
48 1 1 0.1859 0.8141
49 0 1* 0.3721 0.6279
50 0 1* 0.4048 0.5952
51 0 0 0.6574 0.3426
52 0 1* 0.4383 0.5617
53 0 0 0.8175 0.1825
54 1 1 0.3116 0.6884
55 1 1 0.1893 0.8107
56 1 1 0.0656 0.9344
57 1 1 0.4738 0.5262
58 1 1 0.2320 0.7680
59 1 1 0.1409 0.8591
60 1 1 0.3725 0.6275
61 0 0 0.7653 0.2347
62 1 1 0.1549 0.8451
63 1 1 0.2181 0.7819
64 1 0* 0.5889 0.4111
65 1 1 0.2714 0.7286
66 1 1 0.1298 0.8702
67 0 0 0.8936 0.1064
68 0 0 0.7573 0.2427
69 0 1* 0.4736 0.5264

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 331


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.6913 0.3087

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 332


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 22 10 32
68.75 31.25 100.00

1 10 28 38
26.32 73.68 100.00

Total 32 38 70
45.71 54.29 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast


0 1 Total

Rate 0.3125 0.2632 0.2878


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 333


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.8537 0.1463
2 1 0* 0.9779 0.0221
3 1 0* 0.7933 0.2067
4 1 1 0.0620 0.9380
5 1 1 0.2119 0.7881
6 1 1 0.1965 0.8035
7 1 0* 0.6569 0.3431
8 1 0* 0.6450 0.3550
9 1 0* 0.9395 0.0605
10 0 0 0.5321 0.4679
11 0 0 0.8293 0.1707
12 0 0 0.8570 0.1430
13 0 1* 0.3546 0.6454
14 1 1 0.4278 0.5722
15 0 0 0.8782 0.1218
16 1 1 0.0497 0.9503
17 1 1 0.3737 0.6263
18 0 0 0.8343 0.1657
19 0 1* 0.4406 0.5594
20 1 1 0.3064 0.6936
21 0 0 0.8144 0.1856
22 0 0 0.8151 0.1849
23 1 1 0.2244 0.7756
24 0 0 0.8666 0.1334
25 1 1 0.1049 0.8951
26 1 1 0.2399 0.7601
27 0 0 0.7667 0.2333
28 1 0* 0.5497 0.4503

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 334


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function
Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.8877 0.1123
30 0 0 0.7604 0.2396
31 0 1* 0.4862 0.5138
32 0 0 0.7338 0.2662
33 1 1 0.3619 0.6381
34 0 0 0.5412 0.4588
35 1 1 0.1756 0.8244
36 1 1 0.1020 0.8980
37 0 1* 0.1826 0.8174
38 0 0 0.7898 0.2102
39 0 1* 0.4744 0.5256
40 0 1* 0.3416 0.6584
41 1 1 0.3124 0.6876
42 0 0 0.7319 0.2681
43 0 0 0.6428 0.3572
44 1 1 0.1395 0.8605
45 1 1 0.2231 0.7769
46 0 1* 0.2828 0.7172
47 1 0* 0.9270 0.0730
48 1 1 0.1951 0.8049
49 0 1* 0.2812 0.7188
50 0 1* 0.3323 0.6677
51 0 0 0.6191 0.3809
52 0 1* 0.3940 0.6060
53 0 0 0.8110 0.1890
54 1 1 0.3297 0.6703
55 1 1 0.1976 0.8024
56 1 1 0.0658 0.9342
57 1 1 0.4944 0.5056
58 1 1 0.2466 0.7534
59 1 1 0.1468 0.8532
60 1 1 0.3935 0.6065
61 0 0 0.7605 0.2395
62 1 1 0.1628 0.8372
63 1 1 0.2248 0.7752
64 1 0* 0.6296 0.3704
65 1 1 0.2855 0.7145
66 1 1 0.1357 0.8643
67 0 0 0.8872 0.1128
68 0 0 0.7282 0.2718
69 0 1* 0.4162 0.5838

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 335


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.7384 0.2616

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 336


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function
The DISCRIM Procedure
Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 21 11 32
65.63 34.38 100.00

1 10 28 38
26.32 73.68 100.00

Total 31 39 70
44.29 55.71 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.3438 0.2632 0.3035


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 337


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 4 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 338


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors
Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
3 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
7 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
8 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
9 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
10 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
14 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
15 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
20 1 0* 0.8261 0.1739
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 339


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
29 1 0* 0.8261 0.1739
30 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
31 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
32 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
33 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
34 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
40 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
41 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
42 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
43 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
47 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
50 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
51 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
52 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
53 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
54 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
60 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
61 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 0.6404 0.3596

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 340


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
70 1 1 0.4419 0.5581

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 341


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X
Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )
j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 29 3 32
90.63 9.38 100.00

1 8 30 38
21.05 78.95 100.00

Total 37 33 70
52.86 47.14 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.0938 0.2105 0.1521


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 342


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
3 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
6 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
7 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
8 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
9 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
10 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
14 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
15 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
20 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 343


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
29 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
30 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
31 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
32 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
33 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
34 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
38 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
39 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
40 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
41 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
42 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
43 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.2346 0.7654
47 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
50 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
51 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
52 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
53 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
54 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
55 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
60 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
61 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
64 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
65 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 344
Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
70 1 0 * 0.6343 0.3657

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 345


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 27 5 32
84.38 15.63 100.00

1 13 25 38
34.21 65.79 100.00

Total 40 30 70
57.14 42.86 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1563 0.3421 0.2492


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 346


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression
The LOGISTIC Procedure

Model Information

Data Set WORK.PCCOMB


Response Variable coast
Number of Response Levels 2
Model binary logit
Optimization Technique Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Response Profile

Ordered Total
Value coast Frequency

1 0 32
2 1 38

Probability modeled is coast=0.

Model Convergence Status

Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics

Intercept
Intercept and
Criterion Only Covariates

AIC 98.526 85.068


SC 100.774 96.310
-2 Log L 96.526 75.068

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Test Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio 21.4579 4 0.0003


Score 19.1840 4 0.0007
Wald 15.2237 4 0.0043

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 347


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Standard Wald
Parameter DF Estimate Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept 1 -0.2437 0.2868 0.7219 0.3955


PCO1 1 0.0895 0.0355 6.3396 0.0118
PCO2 1 -0.0865 0.0381 5.1565 0.0232
PCO3 1 -0.1385 0.0535 6.7067 0.0096
PCO4 1 -0.0840 0.0842 0.9954 0.3184

Odds Ratio Estimates


Point 95% Wald
Effect Estimate Confidence Limits

PCO1 1.094 1.020 1.172


PCO2 0.917 0.851 0.988
PCO3 0.871 0.784 0.967
PCO4 0.919 0.780 1.084

Association of Predicted Probabilities and Observed Responses

Percent Concordant 81.7 Somers' D 0.633


Percent Discordant 18.3 Gamma 0.633
Percent Tied 0.0 Tau-a 0.319
Pairs 1216 c 0.817

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 348


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

1 0 0 0.81644 0.18356 0.81644


2 1 0 0.93471 0.06529 0.93471
3 1 0 0.65828 0.34172 0.65828
4 1 1 0.05431 0.94569 0.05431
5 1 1 0.15831 0.84169 0.15831
6 1 1 0.17600 0.82400 0.17600
7 1 0 0.59544 0.40456 0.59544
8 1 0 0.56774 0.43226 0.56774
9 1 0 0.85025 0.14975 0.85025
10 0 1 0.49068 0.50932 0.49068
11 0 0 0.78394 0.21606 0.78394
12 0 0 0.81837 0.18163 0.81837
13 0 1 0.37140 0.62860 0.37140
14 1 1 0.31765 0.68235 0.31765
15 0 0 0.84887 0.15113 0.84887
16 1 1 0.04188 0.95812 0.04188
17 1 1 0.30404 0.69596 0.30404
18 0 0 0.79181 0.20819 0.79181
19 0 1 0.46486 0.53514 0.46486
20 1 1 0.28345 0.71655 0.28345
21 0 0 0.76451 0.23549 0.76451
22 0 0 0.76759 0.23241 0.76759
23 1 1 0.18556 0.81444 0.18556
24 0 0 0.83062 0.16938 0.83062
25 1 1 0.08981 0.91019 0.08981
26 1 1 0.21292 0.78708 0.21292
27 0 0 0.71278 0.28722 0.71278
28 1 1 0.44190 0.55810 0.44190
29 1 0 0.82652 0.17348 0.82652
30 0 0 0.72580 0.27420 0.72580
31 0 1 0.48055 0.51945 0.48055
32 0 0 0.68403 0.31597 0.68403
33 1 1 0.30879 0.69121 0.30879
34 0 1 0.49732 0.50268 0.49732
35 1 1 0.15141 0.84859 0.15141
36 1 1 0.08201 0.91799 0.08201
37 0 1 0.25008 0.74992 0.25008
38 0 0 0.74547 0.25453 0.74547
39 0 1 0.43319 0.56681 0.43319
40 0 1 0.36223 0.63777 0.36223
41 1 1 0.28908 0.71092 0.28908
42 0 0 0.67957 0.32043 0.67957
43 0 0 0.60909 0.39091 0.60909
44 1 1 0.10363 0.89637 0.10363
45 1 1 0.20276 0.79724 0.20276
46 0 1 0.29836 0.70164 0.29836
47 1 0 0.87048 0.12952 0.87048
48 1 1 0.16796 0.83204 0.16796

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 349


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

49 0 1 0.36779 0.63221 0.36779


50 0 1 0.33359 0.66641 0.33359
51 0 0 0.64945 0.35055 0.64945
52 0 1 0.43006 0.56994 0.43006
53 0 0 0.77973 0.22027 0.77973
54 1 1 0.30754 0.69246 0.30754
55 1 1 0.17630 0.82370 0.17630
56 1 1 0.05673 0.94327 0.05673
57 1 1 0.46031 0.53969 0.46031
58 1 1 0.20756 0.79244 0.20756
59 1 1 0.14304 0.85696 0.14304
60 1 1 0.34281 0.65719 0.34281
61 0 0 0.71468 0.28532 0.71468
62 1 1 0.13599 0.86401 0.13599
63 1 1 0.20249 0.79751 0.20249
64 1 0 0.54174 0.45826 0.54174
65 1 1 0.23510 0.76490 0.23510
66 1 1 0.11497 0.88503 0.11497
67 0 0 0.84881 0.15119 0.84881
68 0 0 0.74519 0.25481 0.74519
69 0 1 0.45743 0.54257 0.45743
70 1 0 0.64627 0.35373 0.64627

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 350


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

The FREQ Procedure

Table of coast by predict

coast predict

Frequency‚
Percent ‚
Row Pct ‚
Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
0 ‚ 19 ‚ 13 ‚ 32
‚ 27.14 ‚ 18.57 ‚ 45.71
‚ 59.38 ‚ 40.63 ‚
‚ 67.86 ‚ 30.95 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
1‚ 9 ‚ 29 ‚ 38
‚ 12.86 ‚ 41.43 ‚ 54.29
‚ 23.68 ‚ 76.32 ‚
‚ 32.14 ‚ 69.05 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
Total 28 42 70
40.00 60.00 100.00

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 351


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 6 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

Pooled Covariance Matrix Information

Natural Log of the


Covariance Determinant of the
Matrix Rank Covariance Matrix

6 21.13766

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 352


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure

Pairwise Generalized Squared Distances Between Groups

2 _ _ -1 _ _
D (i|j) = (X - X )' COV (X - X )
i j i j

Generalized Squared Distance to coast

From coast 0 1

0 0 3.35059
1 3.35059 0

Linear Discriminant Function

_ -1 _ -1 _
Constant = -.5 X' COV X Coefficient Vector = COV X
j j j

Linear Discriminant Function for coast

Variable 0 1

Constant -0.49370 -0.35010


PCT1 -0.04679 0.03940
PCT2 0.25256 -0.21268
PCO1 -0.03908 0.03291
PCO2 -0.01878 0.01581
PCO3 -0.06205 0.05225
PCO4 -0.04034 0.03397

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 353


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function
Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.8090 0.1910
2 1 0* 0.9382 0.0618
3 1 1 0.3952 0.6048
4 1 1 0.1090 0.8910
5 1 1 0.0747 0.9253
6 1 1 0.0431 0.9569
7 1 0* 0.9018 0.0982
8 1 0* 0.7422 0.2578
9 1 0* 0.6135 0.3865
10 0 0 0.9196 0.0804
11 0 0 0.8756 0.1244
12 0 0 0.8753 0.1247
13 0 0 0.9502 0.0498
14 1 1 0.3073 0.6927
15 0 0 0.8361 0.1639
16 1 1 0.0232 0.9768
17 1 1 0.4860 0.5140
18 0 0 0.8364 0.1636
19 0 0 0.9495 0.0505
20 1 1 0.1704 0.8296
21 0 0 0.8488 0.1512
22 0 0 0.9289 0.0711
23 1 1 0.0679 0.9321
24 0 0 0.8988 0.1012
25 1 1 0.0670 0.9330
26 1 1 0.0855 0.9145
27 0 0 0.8714 0.1286
28 1 1 0.3268 0.6732

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 354


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.8111 0.1889
30 0 0 0.9257 0.0743
31 0 0 0.8942 0.1058
32 0 0 0.9468 0.0532
33 1 0* 0.8647 0.1353
34 0 1* 0.4812 0.5188
35 1 1 0.0388 0.9612
36 1 1 0.1129 0.8871
37 0 0 0.6666 0.3334
38 0 0 0.8568 0.1432
39 0 0 0.9776 0.0224
40 0 0 0.5041 0.4959
41 1 1 0.0154 0.9846
42 0 0 0.8680 0.1320
43 0 0 0.5643 0.4357
44 1 1 0.0128 0.9872
45 1 1 0.0261 0.9739
46 0 1* 0.2492 0.7508
47 1 0* 0.9228 0.0772
48 1 1 0.0065 0.9935
49 0 0 0.6376 0.3624
50 0 0 0.9617 0.0383
51 0 0 0.7563 0.2437
52 0 0 0.6644 0.3356
53 0 0 0.6420 0.3580
54 1 1 0.1642 0.8358
55 1 1 0.0381 0.9619
56 1 1 0.0559 0.9441
57 1 1 0.0614 0.9386
58 1 1 0.0076 0.9924
59 1 1 0.0092 0.9908
60 1 1 0.2013 0.7987
61 0 0 0.8527 0.1473
62 1 1 0.0183 0.9817
63 1 1 0.0561 0.9439
64 1 0* 0.8093 0.1907
65 1 1 0.1329 0.8671
66 1 1 0.0168 0.9832
67 0 0 0.9201 0.0799
68 0 0 0.6505 0.3495
69 0 0 0.9248 0.0752

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 355


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.8627 0.1373

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 356


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j j j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 30 2 32
93.75 6.25 100.00

1 9 29 38
23.68 76.32 100.00

Total 39 31 70
55.71 44.29 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.0625 0.2368 0.1497


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 357


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 0.7897 0.2103
2 1 0* 0.9770 0.0230
3 1 1 0.4933 0.5067
4 1 1 0.1298 0.8702
5 1 1 0.1009 0.8991
6 1 1 0.0448 0.9552
7 1 0* 0.9337 0.0663
8 1 0* 0.8020 0.1980
9 1 0* 0.7648 0.2352
10 0 0 0.9132 0.0868
11 0 0 0.8681 0.1319
12 0 0 0.8656 0.1344
13 0 0 0.9397 0.0603
14 1 1 0.3580 0.6420
15 0 0 0.8181 0.1819
16 1 1 0.0228 0.9772
17 1 0* 0.5890 0.4110
18 0 0 0.8241 0.1759
19 0 0 0.9409 0.0591
20 1 1 0.1876 0.8124
21 0 0 0.8224 0.1776
22 0 0 0.9213 0.0787
23 1 1 0.0830 0.9170
24 0 0 0.8845 0.1155
25 1 1 0.0717 0.9283
26 1 1 0.0933 0.9067
27 0 0 0.8541 0.1459
28 1 1 0.3718 0.6282

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 358


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

29 1 0* 0.8760 0.1240
30 0 0 0.9209 0.0791
31 0 0 0.8853 0.1147
32 0 0 0.9443 0.0557
33 1 0* 0.9303 0.0697
34 0 1* 0.4595 0.5405
35 1 1 0.0402 0.9598
36 1 1 0.1283 0.8717
37 0 1* 0.4832 0.5168
38 0 0 0.8405 0.1595
39 0 0 0.9770 0.0230
40 0 1* 0.4410 0.5590
41 1 1 0.0148 0.9852
42 0 0 0.8617 0.1383
43 0 0 0.5015 0.4985
44 1 1 0.0105 0.9895
45 1 1 0.0265 0.9735
46 0 1* 0.2119 0.7881
47 1 0* 0.9521 0.0479
48 1 1 0.0045 0.9955
49 0 0 0.5281 0.4719
50 0 0 0.9562 0.0438
51 0 0 0.7148 0.2852
52 0 1* 0.4764 0.5236
53 0 0 0.6061 0.3939
54 1 1 0.1923 0.8077
55 1 1 0.0396 0.9604
56 1 1 0.0605 0.9395
57 1 1 0.0660 0.9340
58 1 1 0.0054 0.9946
59 1 1 0.0081 0.9919
60 1 1 0.2189 0.7811
61 0 0 0.8470 0.1530
62 1 1 0.0176 0.9824
63 1 1 0.0586 0.9414
64 1 0* 0.8643 0.1357
65 1 1 0.1753 0.8247
66 1 1 0.0160 0.9840
67 0 0 0.9103 0.0897
68 0 0 0.5737 0.4263
69 0 0 0.9100 0.0900

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 359


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using Linear Discriminant Function

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

70 1 0* 0.9119 0.0881

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 360


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: Linear Discriminant Function

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using Linear Discriminant Function

Generalized Squared Distance Function

2 _ -1 _
D (X) = (X-X )' COV (X-X )
j (X)j (X) (X)j

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

2 2
Pr(j|X) = exp(-.5 D (X)) / SUM exp(-.5 D (X))
j k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 27 5 32
84.38 15.63 100.00

1 10 28 38
26.32 73.68 100.00

Total 37 33 70
52.86 47.14 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1563 0.2632 0.2097


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 361


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure

Observations 70 DF Total 69
Variables 6 DF Within Classes 68
Classes 2 DF Between Classes 1

Class Level Information

Variable Prior
coast Name Frequency Weight Proportion Probability

0 _0 32 32.0000 0.457143 0.500000


1 _1 38 38.0000 0.542857 0.500000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 362


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
3 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
7 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
8 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
9 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
10 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
14 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
15 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
20 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 363


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
29 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
30 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
31 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
32 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
33 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
34 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
40 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
43 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.4419 0.5581
47 1 0* 0.8261 0.1739
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
50 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
51 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
52 0 0 0.6404 0.3596
53 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
54 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
60 1 1 0.4419 0.5581
61 0 0 0.8261 0.1739
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.2289 0.7711
64 1 0* 0.6404 0.3596
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 0.6404 0.3596

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 364


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
70 1 0 * 0.6404 0.3596
* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 365


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Resubstitution Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 29 3 32
90.63 9.38 100.00

1 10 28 38
26.32 73.68 100.00

Total 39 31 70
55.71 44.29 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.0938 0.2632 0.1785


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 366


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k
Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

1 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
2 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
3 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
4 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
5 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
6 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
7 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
8 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
9 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
10 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
11 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
12 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
13 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
14 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
15 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
16 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
17 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
18 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
19 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
20 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
21 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
22 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
23 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
24 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
25 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
26 1 1 0.4353 0.5647
27 0 0 1.0000 0.0000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 367


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

28 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
29 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
30 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
31 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
32 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
33 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
34 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
35 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
36 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
37 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
38 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
39 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
40 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
41 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
42 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
43 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
44 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
45 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
46 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
47 1 0* 1.0000 0.0000
48 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
49 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
50 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
51 0 0 0.6477 0.3523
52 0 1* 0.4497 0.5503
53 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
54 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
55 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
56 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
57 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
58 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
59 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
60 1 0* 0.6343 0.3657
61 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
62 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
63 1 1 0.2242 0.7758
64 1 0* 0.8222 0.1778
65 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
66 1 1 0.0000 1.0000
67 0 0 1.0000 0.0000
68 0 0 0.6477 0.3523

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 368


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Results for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Results using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Posterior Probability of Membership in coast

From Classified
Obs coast into coast 0 1

69 0 0 0.8306 0.1694
70 1 0 * 0.6343 0.3657

* Misclassified observation

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 369


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
RULE: K Nearest Neighbor

The DISCRIM Procedure


Classification Summary for Calibration Data: WORK.PCCOMB
Cross-validation Summary using 5 Nearest Neighbors

Squared Distance Function

2 -1
D (X,Y) = (X-Y)' COV (X-Y)

Posterior Probability of Membership in Each coast

m (X) = Proportion of obs in group k in 5


k nearest neighbors of X

Pr(j|X) = m (X) PRIOR / SUM ( m (X) PRIOR )


j j k k k

Number of Observations and Percent Classified into coast

From coast 0 1 Total

0 27 5 32
84.38 15.63 100.00

1 13 25 38
34.21 65.79 100.00

Total 40 30 70
57.14 42.86 100.00

Priors 0.5 0.5

Error Count Estimates for coast

0 1 Total

Rate 0.1563 0.3421 0.2492


Priors 0.5000 0.5000

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 370


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Model Information

Data Set WORK.PCCOMB


Response Variable coast
Number of Response Levels 2
Model binary logit
Optimization Technique Fisher's scoring

Number of Observations Read 70


Number of Observations Used 70

Response Profile

Ordered Total
Value coast Frequency

1 0 32
2 1 38

Probability modeled is coast=0.

Model Convergence Status

Convergence criterion (GCONV=1E-8) satisfied.

Model Fit Statistics

Intercept
Intercept and
Criterion Only Covariates

AIC 98.526 67.850


SC 100.774 83.589
-2 Log L 96.526 53.850

Testing Global Null Hypothesis: BETA=0

Test Chi-Square DF Pr > ChiSq

Likelihood Ratio 42.6757 6 <.0001


Score 32.2834 6 <.0001
Wald 15.9235 6 0.0142
18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 371
Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

The LOGISTIC Procedure

Analysis of Maximum Likelihood Estimates

Standard Wald
Parameter DF Estimate Error Chi-Square Pr > ChiSq

Intercept 1 -0.8732 0.4857 3.2325 0.0722


PCT1 1 -0.0820 0.0430 3.6264 0.0569
PCT2 1 0.5831 0.1783 10.6976 0.0011
PCO1 1 -0.0865 0.0673 1.6534 0.1985
PCO2 1 0.00680 0.0607 0.0126 0.9108
PCO3 1 -0.1632 0.0770 4.4861 0.0342
PCO4 1 -0.0139 0.1062 0.0170 0.8961

Odds Ratio Estimates

Point 95% Wald


Effect Estimate Confidence Limits

PCT1 0.921 0.847 1.002


PCT2 1.792 1.263 2.541
PCO1 0.917 0.804 1.046
PCO2 1.007 0.894 1.134
PCO3 0.849 0.730 0.988
PCO4 0.986 0.801 1.214

Association of Predicted Probabilities and Observed Responses

Percent Concordant 88.8 Somers' D 0.777


Percent Discordant 11.1 Gamma 0.778
Percent Tied 0.1 Tau-a 0.391
Pairs 1216 c 0.889

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 372


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

1 0 0 0.57903 0.42097 0.57903


2 1 0 0.92329 0.07671 0.92329
3 1 1 0.33917 0.66083 0.33917
4 1 1 0.11274 0.88726 0.11274
5 1 1 0.10196 0.89804 0.10196
6 1 1 0.01764 0.98236 0.01764
7 1 0 0.77711 0.22289 0.77711
8 1 0 0.54451 0.45549 0.54451
9 1 1 0.36266 0.63734 0.36266
10 0 0 0.87164 0.12836 0.87164
11 0 0 0.76384 0.23616 0.76384
12 0 0 0.75608 0.24392 0.75608
13 0 0 0.84699 0.15301 0.84699
14 1 1 0.30315 0.69685 0.30315
15 0 0 0.69185 0.30815 0.69185
16 1 1 0.00943 0.99057 0.00943
17 1 0 0.66473 0.33527 0.66473
18 0 0 0.71275 0.28725 0.71275
19 0 0 0.88576 0.11424 0.88576
20 1 1 0.07076 0.92924 0.07076
21 0 0 0.82293 0.17707 0.82293
22 0 0 0.85470 0.14530 0.85470
23 1 1 0.07368 0.92632 0.07368
24 0 0 0.67143 0.32857 0.67143
25 1 1 0.04612 0.95388 0.04612
26 1 1 0.07631 0.92369 0.07631
27 0 0 0.79968 0.20032 0.79968
28 1 1 0.24671 0.75329 0.24671
29 1 0 0.71728 0.28272 0.71728
30 0 0 0.79644 0.20356 0.79644
31 0 0 0.88053 0.11947 0.88053
32 0 0 0.91869 0.08131 0.91869
33 1 0 0.71323 0.28677 0.71323
34 0 1 0.31286 0.68714 0.31286
35 1 1 0.01502 0.98498 0.01502
36 1 1 0.06640 0.93360 0.06640
37 0 0 0.63231 0.36769 0.63231
38 0 0 0.85630 0.14370 0.85630
39 0 0 0.96064 0.03936 0.96064
40 0 0 0.54946 0.45054 0.54946
41 1 1 0.00226 0.99774 0.00226
42 0 0 0.84744 0.15256 0.84744
43 0 0 0.54399 0.45601 0.54399
44 1 1 0.00163 0.99837 0.00163
45 1 1 0.00801 0.99199 0.00801
46 0 1 0.18831 0.81169 0.18831
47 1 0 0.89549 0.10451 0.89549
48 1 1 0.00030 0.99970 0.00030

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 373


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

Obs coast predict phat Pcoast Pnoncoast

49 0 0 0.67194 0.32806 0.67194


50 0 0 0.96986 0.03014 0.96986
51 0 0 0.63307 0.36693 0.63307
52 0 0 0.69513 0.30487 0.69513
53 0 1 0.38215 0.61785 0.38215
54 1 1 0.12296 0.87704 0.12296
55 1 1 0.01287 0.98713 0.01287
56 1 1 0.03772 0.96228 0.03772
57 1 1 0.01904 0.98096 0.01904
58 1 1 0.00031 0.99969 0.00031
59 1 1 0.00129 0.99871 0.00129
60 1 1 0.14281 0.85719 0.14281
61 0 0 0.79349 0.20651 0.79349
62 1 1 0.00377 0.99623 0.00377
63 1 1 0.01586 0.98414 0.01586
64 1 0 0.68741 0.31259 0.68741
65 1 1 0.01201 0.98799 0.01201
66 1 1 0.00353 0.99647 0.00353
67 0 0 0.87506 0.12494 0.87506
68 0 0 0.58255 0.41745 0.58255
69 0 0 0.93808 0.06192 0.93808
70 1 0 0.56617 0.43383 0.56617

18:24 Saturday, November 21, 2009 374


Classification Analysis on Coast using
PCT1, PCT2, PCO1, PCO2, PCO3, AND PCO4
Logistic Regression

The FREQ Procedure

Table of coast by predict

coast predict

Frequency‚
Percent ‚
Row Pct ‚
Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
0 ‚ 29 ‚ 3 ‚ 32
‚ 41.43 ‚ 4.29 ‚ 45.71
‚ 90.63 ‚ 9.38 ‚
‚ 76.32 ‚ 9.38 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
1‚ 9 ‚ 29 ‚ 38
‚ 12.86 ‚ 41.43 ‚ 54.29
‚ 23.68 ‚ 76.32 ‚
‚ 23.68 ‚ 90.63 ‚
ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ
Total 38 32 70
54.29 45.71 100.00

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