www.nitie.edu
Volume 5 Issue 1
www.street.nitie.org
Bitcoin
Rohit Shah,
Founder & CEO
gettingyourich.com
The consequences of
Innovation in Financial
Products
Indian Pharmaceutical
IndustryReport
ADD
Dr. M Venkateswarlu
Asst. Professor of Finance
Patron
Prof. Ms. Karuna Jain
Director, NITIE
Convenor
Prof. M Venkateswarlu
Editorial Board
Anupam Dhamija
Apoorva Garg
Meera Mohan
Nitin Sengar
Kumar Utkarsh
Pinaki Ghosh
Rohit Chopra
Sourav Bhattacharya
Design Team
Pinaki Ghosh
Kumar Utkarsh
Editors Note
Nobel Peace Prize Nominee Leon Louw famously said Every informed
person needs to know about Bitcoin because it might be one of the worlds
most important developments. Taking a cue from it,this edition of InFIN-NITIE cuts through the noise around bitcoin and brings to you the
detailed analysis on the prospects and future of this cryptocurrency, which
for some is the next big thing.In our special column where we interview
industry bigwigs,we bring to you in this edition a candid interview with
Rohit Shah, CEO of gettingyourich.com.
In our quest to bring to our readers all the latest happenings in and around
the financial world, we dive in to other key talking points like innovation
in financial products, insight into the differences between horizontal
and vertical FDI,and a critical analysis of food security bill . Health is a
crucially important social and economic asset a cornerstone for human
development, thus dont forget to walk through our review of Indian
pharmaceutical industry.
Following the trend, we were inundated with brilliant and exotic articles
that really made us toiled hard to find the best. We extend our sincere
gratitude to all the authors who burned the midnights oil to write such
exquisite articles. In our endeavour towards continuous improvement we
invite feedback and criticism at
street.nitie@gmail.com .
Will growth be a
casualty in a battle against
fiscal deficit and CAD?
P19
Sameer Sehgal
Aniket Pallav
NMIMS
IN-FIN-NITIE
VOLUME 5 ISSUE 1
14
22
24
The matter under discussion is will growth be affected played a great role in reducing the level of current
if stringent measures are taken to bring under control account deficit. This has helped global investors
to make investment and has
both fiscal deficit and current
played a major role in keeping
account deficit. The answer is
Fiscal Deficit
(% of GDP at current market prices)
the rupee relatively stable in
both Yes and No. Let us clarify
7
the wake of fresh volatility
the situation. What leads to fiscal 6
5
in global capital flows. In the
deficit and why is it resorted to? 4
Fiscal Deficit
mean time the government
Fiscal Deficit means expenditure 3
2
(% of GDP at current
1
market prices)
attempts to boost investment
by government is more than 0
in the economy by accelerating
revenue earned and hence the
clearances on investment. In
difference/deficit in earning.
spite of deficit financing and
The graph above shows that
how government has tried to control its fiscal deficit current account deficit still prevailing at higher level,
around 5% of GDP despite heavy expenditure on in the third quarter, public investment was double of
social welfare schemes which have been major that in the second quarter, as a proportion of GDP.
burden on expenditure side of governments budget. The effect is now beginning to be felt as higher
To cover the deficit, the government resorts to credit demand, lower inventories and momentum in
borrowing funds by selling bonds, selling off public industrial production and services. The prices have
enterprises in open auction and collecting high taxes been trending down as well. It augers well, provided
by way of excise and customs as well as imposing the government does not play more populist games
import duties on imported goods. It also covers the such as food security, pensions, gas cylinders and all
difference in expenditure and revenue by borrowing such other unproductive expenses.
from money market through bonds and shares and
covering stimulus. All this results in inflation, high In the light of above observations it is crystal clear that
unemployment, and foreign investment blockage and mild degree of deficit finance does not block economic
is often detrimental to certain sectors of economy growth if it is sensibly resorted to, for investment
in core sectors such as steel, mines, roads and
which are high potential to generate employment.
bridges, irrigation facilities, making strong industrial
Trade Deficit means when exports earnings are lesser manufacturing base, restricting unproductive expenses
than expenditure on imports. The difference leads to and opening more avenues of employment through
current account deficit. Some items predominantly oil agriculture, industry, transport, trade etc. A point of
imports, gold and silver imports, imports of coal and caution is that if deficit finance is not brought under
other minerals, imports of luxury products capital control it might lead to inflation, lack of consumption
goods drive valuable foreign exchange out of the demand, setback to industrial production, higher
country leading to imbalance in our foreign exchange input cost of materials and as a result Indian economy
reserves. During the last quarter efforts have been will be uncompetitive in exports to foreign markets.
made to bring current account deficit under control Hence reasonable deficit finance and effective control
to 4.8% of GDP of last fiscal. It is expected to be 3% on unnecessary imports will ensure economic growth
of GDP this year. Of course economic slowdown is a and shall not be a deterrent to development, progress
major reason but the squeezing of gold imports has and prosperity through rapid economic growth.
MU
IM
KU
TG
BITCOIN
HA
LG
ZIA
UP
BA
TA
Reduced Prices
Currently, credit and debit card companies charge
very high commissions for their services. This seems
fit as these companies spend approximately 30%40% of their profits fighting lawsuits on fraud. This
commission cost is transferred to end consumers
leading to high prices. However, since Bitcoins cannot
be impersonated, if there is a way of transferring these
kind of transactions to Bitcoins - through smartphones
or Bitcoin cards - the costs would reduce substantially.
Transparency
When making a transfer using Bitcoin network, both
the sender and receiver are required to agree on the
terms set by them. Only then the transaction can go
through. This means that there is no unnecessary fees
that the seller can impose on the buyer without his
approval.
Jobs Lost
The acceptance of Bitcoins as national currency
would render many professions out of date. These
would include accountants, forex professionals, credit
Less Inflationary
With fiat currency the government always has and debit card companies, clearing houses and other
the option of printing more money. If a monetary financial intermediaries. Since most of these jobs are
instrument works properly, the supply changes as the dream jobs for many and are very well paying, it will
quantity demanded changes. In other words, when be difficult to find alternate means of employment.
there is more demand, it goes up, and comes down Not to forget the substantial lobbying power this
when there is less demand. This leads to increased soon-to-be-unemployed community has.
money supply followed by inflation. However, since Bubble
the maximum value of Bitcoins is capped at 21 million, Many critics view Bitcoin as a bubble that will soon
Bitcoins are partially if not entirely inflation-proof. burst. They argue that the value of a bitcoin in terms
Thus, many inflation hit countries like Argentina and of fiat currencies has been extremely volatile with the
Cyprus are seeing an increased use of Bitcoins.
price rising from US$0.30 to US$200 in just one year.
Not Based on Debt
Many governments including India are hugely
burdened by the loads of debt financing that they have
raised for government spending. With increasing
amounts of debt also comes the increased cost of
rolling over debt and accumulating interest. With
bitcoins however, the concept of debt totally vanishes.
This also reduces the cost of insurance.
The consequences of
INNOVATION
in
FINANCIAL PRODUCTS
No Backing
With regard to national currencies, a
government is required to back the money
supply with assets like gold. However,
the same does not apply to Bitcoins.
They are neither backed by hard assets
nor by faith of the government. This
makes them a risky proposition during
bankruptcy. Some analysts however
argue that Bitcoins are backed by the
processing power. This seems illogical
as there is no fundamental means of
repayment in case the process crashes.
a
rm u
a
Sh abh
j
nka m Pr nnai
Pa ira he
C
r
Sh IM,
GL
TRIVIA
Satoshi Nakamoto was presumed to be
a pseudonym for the person or people who
designed the original Bitcoin protocol in
2008 and launched the network in 2009.
Nakamoto was responsible for creating
the majority of the official Bitcoin software
and was active in making modifications
and posting technical information on the
BitcoinTalk Forum.
Socially useless is how Lord Adair Turner able to reduce the reliance upon banks for traditional
head of UKs Financial Services Authority labelled credit instruments and orthodox credit evaluations.
financial innovation.
One of the basic motto of financial innovations were
to enable the individuals or the firms to tailor the
I dont think they are evil per se. But they do let different dimensions of risk for example currency
people engage in massive mischief. Warren options and swaps, credit policies and the interest
Buffet said referring to derivatives.
rate options so as to provide assistance for the risk
management purposes more precisely and accurately
Innovation is inevitable in any industry, so is it in
than before. But the basic principles underlying
the financial world. Over the years, a number of new
todays new financial products are being extended,
financial products have born, some to last a lifetime
refined and reapplied to yield still more innovative
and some to die even before maturity. Innovation in
products to suit the target customers better.
financial products, typically happen to correct market
inefficiencies or imperfections by risk sharing. Since Over the time these new innovations in the products
the new financial products are intended at the final and services has a profound impact on all aspects of
customer who is generally a household or a corporate, the financial services industry. Like for the individual
their objective of being a good investment is also to employees, job description and the type of work a
be fulfilled. In this respect, the innovations are also typical bank lending officer used to do at major
aimed at lowering taxes or avoiding the effects of money center banks has changed to 360 degree.
regulations.
These innovations have changed not only the type of
activities that an employee in a bank does but also the
Financial innovations can be traced back to way
very definition of normal business hours is changed.
1960s in the United States and the other developed
These changes are limited not only to financial firms
economies. The changes in the financial products and
but even the nonfinancial firms are faced with a wide
services stirred a new wave of economic landscape
array of financial decisions like the new financial
across the globe. Introduction of a wide variety of
products, each with the varied risk attached to it and
new products that trade in new market settings were
improved opportunities for funding their riskier international trade and reducing the gains from trade.
credits and secure their position safely. Some of the
other benefits that exist include:
The million dollar question Is innovation a boon
or bane?
Greater international capital mobility and removes
The objective of new financial investments is to lower
the existing barriers to trade
the cost to the investors. While it is difficult to take
Leads to integration of international capital
a side as to whether innovation in financial products
markets and less segmentation
is good or bad, restricting innovation in financial
Greater similarity between cost of funds like for
products as such could be to the detriment of the
currency in emerging capital markets
investors as it reduces their ability to diversify their
portfolio and thereby reduce risk. Also innovation
2.Macroeconomic effects:
is required when the markets are going low, to kick Fewer opportunities for pursuing national
start and bring the momentum back when the existing
monetary policies using quantitative controls on
products fail to do the job. For instance, an increase in
credit availability or interest rate levels
the price of CDS (Credit
Greater impact of
Default Swap) is an
monetary
policy
indication that investors
on exchange rates
foresee credit problems,
and exchange rate
whether across the market
variability
or with institutions.
3.Integration
of
prices in international
markets:
There are mainly two
kinds of evidences that
affect the integration of
prices in international
markets.
The first is the one
price policy for international securities. This has
been observed in the past with the dramatic growth
of the Eurobonds. Due to the price differences
many companies can arbitrage the funding
differences between the offshore and onshore
markets.
The second evidence for the unification of the
international prices comes from tests of the
interest rate parity condition and the subsistence
of covered interest arbitrage profits. It has been
observed in the past that the covered interest
arbitrage integrates the short-term Eurocurrency
markets, but this has become more apparent with
the introduction of longer-term Eurocurrency
markets, commercial paper markets.
MARKET DYNAMICS
According to IMS health,
domestic pharmaceutical
market reported total
sales of US$ 1.12 billion
in July 2013. This was
at a growth % of 13.5%.
India currently exports
drug
intermediates,
Active Pharmaceutical
Ingredients
(APIs),
Finished
Dosage
Formulations
(FDFs),
Bio-Pharmaceuticals,
and Clinical Services to
the world. The exports
of pharmaceuticals from
India saw an upward
trend in the year 2012-13.
Currently it stands at US$
14.6 billion. Target set by
Ministry of Commerce is
US$ 25 billion by end of
2014. India looks to be
on track to achieve this
target.
Indian PHARMACEUTICAL
INDUSTRY Report
Debleena Banerjee
Sanket Tandon
Indian Institute of Foreign Trade
INTRODUCTION
India is one of the top emerging markets in
pharmaceutical sector. The sector is highly organized
and has seen steady growth over the years. This
has also attracted several companies to invest in
pharmaceutical sector in India as they find it a viable
and good option.
According to a major study done by McKinsey and GROWTH DRIVERS & FACTORS
Company, Indias pharmaceutical sector will touch
US$ 45 billion by 2020. During the period 2002-2012
the countrys healthcare sector has grown by almost
three folds from US$ 23 billion to US$ 70 billion.
The recent progress of the Indian pharmaceutical
sector can be gauged by the following figures:
Parameter/Year 2013
2012
Value (Cr)
72069
9.8%
16.6%
New Introductions
Gastro
Therapies
(389)
Pain Analgesics
(435)
Sales In crore
Abbott
452
Cipla
322
SunPharma
313
Zydus Cadila
268
figures in INR
KEY THERAPY AREAS
GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES
2013
2013
CONTRIBUTION %
CONTRIBUTION %
GROWTH
Acute
73%
70%
9.6%
Chronic
27%
30%
14.0%
THERAPY
65654
Growth %
NEW INTRODUCTIONS
MAJOR INVESTMENTS
PLAYERS
REGULATORY
TRIALS
BY
CHALLENGES
FOREIGN
10
FDI POLICY
VALUE
REFERENCES
1.http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/
PMC3612334/
2. http://www.livelaw.in/clinical-trials-in-india-thechances-and-challenges/
3.http://www.indialawjournal.com/volume5/
issue_4/article5.html
4 . h t t p : / / w w w. f i r s t p o s t . c o m / e c o n o m y / 1 0 0 fdi-in-pharma-sector-bad-for-country-parlcommittee-1035703.html
5. Unleashing Pharma from the R&D Value Chain
(AT Kearney)
6. Indian Pharma Inc. - CII and PwC
7. Social Media Report by Simplify360.com
INDUSTRY
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industry is getting affected by these changes.
16
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DISHA SHAH
SIMS, Pune
18
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FIN-Q-NITIE
an ultimate quiz
Q-1) Which American owned Technology Company own firm operating from the offices of his former embased in Texas, United States went from public to ployer?
private in 2013. Who were the major stake-holders
involved in the transaction?
Q-7)
Q-2) He is the founder of a global investment management firm headquartered in Newport Beach, California, in the United States which is one of the largest
active global fixed income investment management
firm in the world. He is also famously known as Mr
Bond. (a)Identify him. (b) And also name the investment firm.
Q-4) He is known as the Father of Index Fund investing. He created the first S&P 500 Index fund. Identify
this famous person?
Q-5) Company A (from Country X) purchased a
100% stake in the Company B making the deal the
largest takeover (of country X) of a foreign company
and made A the worlds fifth-largest company in its
sector.. Logo of B is
Q-9) X received his PHD in economics from the University of Pennsylvania in 1964. His thesis was titled
Variability of Demand Deposits. In 2002 he received Padma Vibhushan. He served as the governor
of Andhra Pradesh .He has also served as the governor of RBI. Identify X.
Q-10) This company was formed in 1850 as a temporary solution to a bitter feud between two transportation companies in New York. They decided to
stop their price war and found a new transportation
company which would automatically dissolve in ten
Q-6) In 1945 Hodgetts & Co.a stockbroking firm col- years. After ten years, the company was making so
lapsed in Australia, declaring bankrupt with liabili- much money that the partners did not have the heart
ties of over 80 thousands pounds and 200 unsecured to dissolve the company. Instead they sold off the ascreditors. The proprietor Henry Hodgett was found sets of the company and started a new company with
guilty of fraud and false pretences and jailed for five the same name. Which company are we referring to
years. Who was his famous employee who opened his here?
24
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