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Contents
Foreword ............................................................................................................................................... 1
Executive Summary .............................................................................................................................. 3
Advances in the Biologics Market ....................................................................................................... 4
Market Overview ...................................................................................................................................................................... 4
Sales Analysis...................................................................................................................................................................... 4
Key Biologic Products ........................................................................................................................................................................ 6
May 2014
Cancer Immunotherapy..................................................................................................................... 34
The Key Players ................................................................................................................................................................ 35
Bristol-Myers Squibb ....................................................................................................................................................................... 35
Merck & Co .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 35
Novartis ................................................................................................................................................................................................ 36
Roche .................................................................................................................................................................................................... 36
ii
May 2014
Interferons ..........................................................................................................................................69
IFN for Hepatitis Treatment ................................................................................................................................................ 69
Current Market Leaders ................................................................................................................................................ 69
Novel Investigational IFN ............................................................................................................................................. 71
Peginterferon lambda-1a .............................................................................................................................................................. 71
Clinical trials ............................................................................................................................................................................. 71
May 2014
iii
Anti-IL-5 .............................................................................................................................................................................. 83
Mepolizumab ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 83
Sales forecast ............................................................................................................................................................................ 83
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 84
Benralizumab (MEDI-563).............................................................................................................................................................. 85
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 85
Anti-IL-6 .............................................................................................................................................................................. 86
Sarilumab (REGN88, SAR153191) ............................................................................................................................................... 86
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 86
Sirukumab (CNTO 136) ................................................................................................................................................................... 87
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 88
Anti-IL-13 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 88
Lebrikizumab ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 88
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 88
Anti-IL-17 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 89
Brodalumab (MEDI6365; AMG-827; KHK4827) ...................................................................................................................... 89
Sales forecast ............................................................................................................................................................................ 89
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 90
Ixekizumab (LY2439821)................................................................................................................................................................ 90
Sales forecast ............................................................................................................................................................................ 91
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 91
Secukinumab (AIN457) ................................................................................................................................................................... 92
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 93
Anti-IL-23 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 94
Guselkumab (CNTO 1959) ............................................................................................................................................................. 94
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 95
Tildrakizumab .................................................................................................................................................................................... 96
Clinical trials .............................................................................................................................................................................. 96
iv
May 2014
May 2014
vi
May 2014
List of Tables
Blockbuster Biologics by Sales, 2013 (US$ Million) ..................................................................................................... 7
Biologics Pipeline by Therapy Area, 2014 ....................................................................................................................... 8
Biologics Pipeline by Company, 2014 ............................................................................................................................ 10
Roche Key Biologic Products by Sales, 2012-2013 (US$ Million) .......................................................................... 12
Amgen Key Biologic Products by Sales, 2012-2013 (US$ Million) ........................................................................ 13
Sanofi Key Biologic Products by Sales, 2012-2013 (US$ Million) .......................................................................... 15
AbbVie Key Biologic Products by Sales, 2012-2013 (US$ Million) ........................................................................ 16
J&J Key Biologic Products by Sales, 2012-2013 (US$ Million) ................................................................................ 17
Eli Lilly Key Biologic Products by Sales, 2012-2013 (US$ Million) ......................................................................... 19
ADC Pipeline Summary........................................................................................................................................................ 27
Cancer Immunotherapy Pipeline Summary ................................................................................................................. 41
Enbrel Sales, 2009-2013 (US$ Million) ............................................................................................................................ 60
Orencia Sales, 2009-2013 (US$ Million) ......................................................................................................................... 61
Fusion Protein and Fc-Optimised mAbs Pipeline Summary .................................................................................. 66
Sales of Leading IFN Alfa Products, 2009-2013 (US$ Million) ................................................................................ 70
Leading IFN Beta Product Sales, 2009-2013 (US$ Million) ...................................................................................... 72
Ilaris Sales, 2012-2020 (US$ Million) ................................................................................................................................ 77
Actemra/RoActemra Sales, 2009-2013 (CHF & US$ Million) ................................................................................... 78
Stelara Sales, 2010-2016 (US$ Million) ........................................................................................................................... 79
IL Inhibitors Pipeline Summary ......................................................................................................................................... 81
Humira Sales, 2009-2013 (US$ Million) .......................................................................................................................... 98
Avastin Sales, 2009-2013 (CHF & US$ Million) ............................................................................................................. 99
Erbitux Sales by Company, 2009-2013 (EUR & US$ Million) ................................................................................ 100
Remicade Sales by Company, 2009-2013 (US$ Million) ........................................................................................ 101
Lucentis Sales, 2009-2013 (CHF & US$ Million) ........................................................................................................ 102
Rituxan/MabThera Sales, 2009-2013 (CHF & US$ Million) ................................................................................... 103
Herceptin Sales, 2009-2013 (CHF & US$ Million) ..................................................................................................... 105
mAb Pipeline by Target and Indication ...................................................................................................................... 109
mAb Pipeline by Therapy Area ...................................................................................................................................... 112
Biologics in Clinical Development, 2014 .................................................................................................................... 146
May 2014
vii
List of Figures
Biologics Sales by Therapy Area, 2013 (US$ Billion) .................................................................................................... 4
Biologics Sales by Therapy Area, 2013 (%) ..................................................................................................................... 5
Biologics Sales by Company, 2013 (%) ............................................................................................................................. 5
Biologics Clinical Pipeline by Therapy Area, 2014 (%) ................................................................................................ 9
Clinical Pipeline by Development Status, 2014 (%)..................................................................................................... 9
Biologics Pipeline by Company, 2014 (%)..................................................................................................................... 11
Roche Key Biologic Products, 2013 (US$ Million)....................................................................................................... 12
Roche Key Biologic Products, 2020 (US$ Million)....................................................................................................... 13
Amgen Key Biologic Products, 2013 (US$ Million) .................................................................................................... 14
Amgen Key Biologic Products, 2020 (US$ Million) .................................................................................................... 14
Sanofi Key Biologic Products, 2013 (US$ Million)....................................................................................................... 15
Sanofi Key Biologic Products, 2020 (US$ Million)....................................................................................................... 16
AbbVie Humira Sales, 2013 & 2020 (US$ Million) ....................................................................................................... 17
J&J Key Biologic Products, 2013 (US$ Million) ............................................................................................................. 18
J&J Key Biologic Products, 2016 (US$ Million) ............................................................................................................. 18
Eli Lilly Key Biologic Products, 2013 ................................................................................................................................ 19
Eli Lilly Key Biologic Products, 2020 ................................................................................................................................ 20
Kadclya Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) ....................................................................................................... 25
Adcetris Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) ...................................................................................................... 26
Inotuzumab Ozogamacin Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) .................................................................... 28
Yervoy Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) ......................................................................................................... 39
Provenge Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million).................................................................................................... 40
Talimogene Lahaparepvec Sales Forecast, 2015-2020 (US$ Million) .................................................................. 44
Enbrel Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) .......................................................................................................... 60
Orencia Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) ....................................................................................................... 62
Eylea Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) ............................................................................................................ 63
Sales Forecast for IFN Alfa Products, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) .............................................................................. 70
Leading IFN Beta Product Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) .................................................................... 73
Plegridy Sales Forecast, 2014-2019 (US$ Million) ...................................................................................................... 74
Ilaris Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) .............................................................................................................. 77
Actemra/RoActemra Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) .............................................................................. 79
Stelara Sales Forecast, 2013-2016 (US$ Million) ......................................................................................................... 80
Daclizumab Sales Forecast, 2015-2020 (US$ Million) ............................................................................................... 82
Mepolizumab Sales Forecast, 2015-2020 (US$ Million) ........................................................................................... 84
Brodalumab Sales Forecast, 2016-2020 (US$ Million) .............................................................................................. 89
Ixekizumab Sales Forecast, 2014-2020 (US$ Million) ................................................................................................ 91
espicom BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE
viii
May 2014
May 2014
ix
Executive Summary
The global biologics market is estimated to be worth around US$175 billion. The market is
characterised by high-value products that treat chronic and often life-threatening diseases, and is
expected to continue to grow faster than the overall pharmaceutical market.
The highest revenue generators are biological medicines used in the treatment of autoimmune and
inflammatory disorders, cancer and diabetes. In terms of total biologic revenues, the leading
companies are Roche, Amgen and Sanofi. In 2013, the top three biologics by global sales value were
AbbVies Humira, with sales of US$10,659 million; MabThera/Rituxan (rituximab), which is marketed
by both Roche and Biogen Idec and had global sales of US$8,932 million; and Enbrel (etanercept),
which is marketed by Amgen and Pfizer, with combined total sales of US$8,325 million.
More than 280 potential novel biologic therapies have been identified in the clinical pipeline, almost
half of which are being evaluated for oncology indications. These include immunotherapies,
antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), bispecific T-cell engager (BiTE) antibodies (Abs) and monoclonal
Abs (mAbs).
Cancer immunotherapy has become a hot topic over the last few months as several promising
candidates have made progress through the clinical pipeline. Bristol-Myers Squibb, which has already
achieved success in this field with its breakthrough melanoma therapy, Yervoy (ipilimumab), believes
that immuno-oncology has the potential to transform the treatment of cancer and the company has
an extensive clinical pipeline and discovery programmes dedicated to maximising this field of
research.
Another advance in cancer care is the emergence of ADCs, the first of which have been approved:
Roches Kadcyla (trastuzumab emtansine) and Seattle Genetics Adcetris (brentuximab vedotin).
ADCs combine therapeutic Abs with small molecule drugs and the technology being developed in
oncology indications is designed to harness the targeting ability of mAbs to deliver cell-killing agents
directly to cancer cells. ADCs are intended to spare non-targeted cells, thereby reducing many of the
toxic effects of traditional chemotherapy, while potentially enhancing anti-tumour activity.
Bispecific-Abs bind to two different epitopes either on the same, or on different targets, which may
improve the Abs' specificity and efficacy in inactivating the disease targets. In particular, BiTE
antibodies, which are designed to direct the body's cytotoxic, or cell-destroying, T-cells against
tumour cells, represent a new therapeutic approach to cancer therapy.
In parallel to the development of novel therapies, biosimilar versions of a number of established,
blockbuster mAbs are in development. The market for the first wave of biosimilars has been relatively
small, but the potential for biosimilar mAbs has attracted investment from major pharmaceutical
companies. Recent advances include the approval of the first biosimilar infliximab in Europe in
September 2013, under the brand names Remsima and Inflectra. Originally developed by Celltrion in
South Korea as Remsima, Hospira has the rights to Inflectra in Europe and certain CIS countries, as
well as the US, Canada, Australia and New Zealand. Inflectra has been launched in a number of CIS
countries, where it is being marketed by Alvogen.
This report aims to provide a comprehensive overview of recent advances in the biologics market, the
key players and some highly successful, multi-billion dollar therapies. In this context, the report
examines promising novel therapies and the development of the next-generation of biosimilars.
May 2014
Other
43.7%
Sano/Genzyme
8.5%
MedImmune
(AstraZeneca)
6.7%
Bristol-Myers
Squibb
4.9%
Amgen
4.9%
Pzer
6.0%
GlaxoSmithKline
6.0%
May 2014
11
glembatumumab vedotin
n/a
CDX-011
Celldex Therapeutics
Phase II
Oncology
IV infusion
Locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer; metastatic melanoma
Glembatumumab vedotin (CDX-011) is a fully human mAb-drug conjugate that targets glycoprotein
NMB (GPNMB), currently being developed by Celldex Therapeutics. GPNMB is a protein overexpressed by multiple tumour types, including breast cancer and melanoma. GPNMB has been
shown to be associated with the ability of the cancer cell to invade and metastasise and to correlate
with reduced time to progression and survival in breast cancer (BC). Glembatumumab vedotin is in
development for the treatment of locally advanced or metastatic BC, with an initial focus in triplenegative disease.
The ADC technology used in glembatumumab vedotin, comprising monomethyl-auristatin E (MMAE)
and a stable linker system for attaching it to CR011, was licensed from Seattle Genetics.
Glembatumumab vedotin is designed to be stable in the bloodstream, but to release MMAE upon
internalisation into GPNMB-expressing tumour cells, resulting in a targeted cell-killing effect.
In May 2010, the FDA granted fast track designation to glembatumumab vedotin for the treatment of
advanced, refractory/resistant GPNMB-expressing BC. The compound is also in development for the
treatment of Stage III and IV melanoma.
Clinical trials
In December 2013, Celldex Therapeutics reported the launch of a randomised study (METRIC) of
glembatumumab vedotin in patients with metastatic triple-negative breast cancers (TNBCs) that
overexpress GPNMB. The trial was initiated in the US, with additional sites planned in Canada and
Australia. The study is expected to include up to 100 sites and will enrol approximately 300 patients.
METRIC is a pivotal, open-label, prospectively controlled, randomised study of glembatumumab
vedotin in patients with metastatic GPNMB-expressing TNBC. Eligible patients must have received no
more than one prior line of chemotherapy for advanced disease and therapy must have included a
taxane and anthracycline. Patients will be randomised (2:1) to receive glembatumumab vedotin or
capecitabine. Study treatment will continue until disease progression or intolerance with tumour
assessments performed at six-week intervals for six months and nine-week intervals thereafter. The
primary objective is to evaluate the anticancer activity of glembatumumab vedotin as measured by
the objective response rate (ORR) and duration of progression-free survival (PFS). The study is
designed to enable Celldex to apply for registration with positive results for either endpoint.
Secondary endpoints include duration of response, overall survival (OS), safety and tolerability. The
company will also assess improvements in quality of life and/or cancer-related pain as exploratory
endpoints.
May 2014
29
3,000
2,760
US$ Million
2,500
2,300
2,069
1,837
2,000
1,590
1,500
1,299
1,000
500
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Stelara (ustekinumab)
INN
Brand name
Companies
Market approvals:
US
EU
Therapy area
Mode of delivery
Indications
ustekinumab
Stelara
Janssen (J&J)
Sep-2009
Jan-2009
Autoimmune, inflammatory disorders
SC injection
Moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis; active psoriatic arthritis
Stelara (ustekinumab) is a human IgG1 mAb that binds with specificity to the p40 protein subunit
used by both the IL-12 and IL-23 cytokines. IL-12 and IL-23 are naturally occurring cytokines that are
involved in inflammatory and immune responses, such as natural killer cell activation and CD4+ T-cell
differentiation and activation. Stelara is indicated for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and active
psoriatic arthritis.
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
393
738
1,025
1,504
1,869
2,151
2,396
87.8
38.9
46.7
24.3
15.1
11.4
May 2014
79
Developer
Roche
Target
Abeta
Indications
Alzheimer's disease
Status
Phase III
Eli Lilly
Abeta
Alzheimer's disease
Phase III
Abeta
Alzheimer's disease
Phase II
GSK933776
BIIB037
BAN2401
Genentech
(Roche)
GlaxoSmithKline
Biogen Idec
Biogen Idec; Eisai
Phase II
Phase I
Phase II
BAN2401
Eisai
Alzheimer's disease
Phase II
bimagrumab
(BYM338)
namilumab (MT203)
MEDI4893
Novartis
Abeta
Abeta
Abeta
protofibrils
Abeta
protofibrils
ActRIIB
Phase II
Filed
Solid tumours
Influenza A
Phase I
Phase II
Phase II
vedolizumab
(MLN0002)
MEDI7183; AMG 181
MEDI3617
SAR307746
RG7745
belimumab
Takeda
MedImmune
(AstraZeneca)
Takeda
Amgen;
MedImmune
MedImmune
(AstraZeneca)
Sanofi
Genentech
(Roche)
GlaxoSmithKline
AGM-CSF
alfa toxin
alfa4-beta7
integrin
alfa4-beta7
Ang2
ANG2
Anti-influenza A
mAb
B lymphocyte
Phase I
Phase I
Phase II
Phase I
Amgen;
MedImmune
Eli Lilly
B7RP-1
BAFF
Phase III
Eli Lilly
Merck & Co
c-Met
C.difficile
Cancer
C.difficile infection
Phase II
Phase III
Novartis
Sanofi
Sanofi
C5
CA6
CD-19
Phase II
Phase I
Phase II
XmAb5871
MEDI-551
Xencor
MedImmune
(AstraZeneca)
CD19
CD19
XmAb5574; MOR208
MorphoSys
CD19
MEDI-551
MedImmune
(AstraZeneca)
Genentech
CD19
Ophthalmology
Solid tumours
B-cell refractory/relapsed
malignancies (NHL, ALL)
Rheumatoid arthritis
Chronic lymphocytic
leukaemia (CLL); diffuse large
B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL)
B-cell acute lymphoblastic
leukaemia (B-ALL); nonHodgkins lymphoma (NHL)
Multiple sclerosis (RRMS)
CD20
Phase III
ocrelizumab (RG1594)
Phase I
Phase II
Phase II
Phase II
Phase I
May 2014
109