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Periodontal Disease and Other Nontraditional Risk Factors for CKD
Monica A. Fisher, PhD, DDS, MPH,1 George W. Taylor, DMD, DrPH,2 Brent J. Shelton, PhD,3
Kenneth A. Jamerson, MD,2 Mahboob Rahman, MD, MS,1 Akinlolu O. Ojo, MD, PhD,2 and
Ashwini R. Sehgal, MD1
Periodontal Disease and Other Nontraditional Risk Factors for CKD
Monica A. Fisher, PhD, DDS, MPH,1 George W. Taylor, DMD, DrPH,2 Brent J. Shelton, PhD,3
Kenneth A. Jamerson, MD,2 Mahboob Rahman, MD, MS,1 Akinlolu O. Ojo, MD, PhD,2 and
Ashwini R. Sehgal, MD1
Periodontal Disease and Other Nontraditional Risk Factors for CKD
Monica A. Fisher, PhD, DDS, MPH,1 George W. Taylor, DMD, DrPH,2 Brent J. Shelton, PhD,3
Kenneth A. Jamerson, MD,2 Mahboob Rahman, MD, MS,1 Akinlolu O. Ojo, MD, PhD,2 and
Ashwini R. Sehgal, MD1
Periodontal Disease and Other Nontraditional Risk Factors for CKD
Monica A. Fisher, PhD, DDS, MPH,
1 George W. Taylor, DMD, DrPH, 2 Brent J. Shelton, PhD, 3 Kenneth A. Jamerson, MD, 2 Mahboob Rahman, MD, MS, 1 Akinlolu O. Ojo, MD, PhD, 2 and Ashwini R. Sehgal, MD 1 Background: Chronic kidney disease, undiagnosed in a signicant number of adults, is a public health problem. Given the systemic inammatory response to periodontal disease, we hypothesized that periodontal disease could be associated with chronic kidney disease. Study Design: Cross-sectional. Setting & Participants: We identied 12,947 adults 18 years or older with information for kidney function and at least one risk factor in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Predictor: The main predictor was periodontal status. Other nontraditional and traditional risk factors included socioeconomic status, health status, health behavior, biomarker levels, anthropometric assess- ment, and health care utilization. Outcomes & Measurements: Chronic kidney disease was dened using the Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative stages 3 and 4 with a moderate to severe decrease in kidney function (glomerular ltration rate, 15 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models assessed the associations between chronic kidney disease and periodontal disease and other nontraditional risk factors. Results: Chronic kidney disease prevalence was 3.6%; periodontal disease prevalence was 6.0%; and edentulism prevalence was 10.5%. Adults with periodontal disease and edentulous adults were twice as likely to have chronic kidney disease (adjusted odds ratio, 1.60; 95% condence interval, 1.16 to 2.21; adjusted odds ratio, 1.85; 95% condence interval, 1.34 to 2.56, respectively) after simulta- neously adjusting for other traditional and nontraditional risk factors. Limitations: Temporal association is unknown. Conclusions: Periodontal disease and its severe consequence, edentulism, were independently associated with chronic kidney disease after adjusting for other traditional and nontraditional risk factors. This model could contribute to identifying individuals at risk of chronic kidney disease and reduce its burden. Am J Kidney Dis 51:45-52. 2007 by the National Kidney Foundation, Inc. INDEX WORDS: Chronic kidney disease; diabetes mellitus; edentulism; glomerular ltration rate; hypertension; macroalbuminuria; periodontal disease. C hronic kidney disease (CKD) is a public health problem that is undiagnosed in a signicant number of those affected in the United States. 1-3 Serious sequelae related to CKD in- clude end-stage kidney failure, cardiovascular disease, and premature death, with death and cardiovascular events more common than pro- gression to kidney failure. 4-6 The risk of these serious sequelae increases as glomerular ltra- tion rate (GFR) decreases to less than 60 mL/min/ 1.73 m 2 (1.0 mL/s/1.73 m 2 ). 4-6 This level of moderate to severe decrease in kidney function corresponds to the National Kidney Foundation- Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative stages 3 and 4 CKD, dened as a GFR of 15 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m 2 (0.25 to 0.98 mL/s/1.73 m 2 ). 1 Identication of undiagnosed high-risk indi- viduals is needed to provide the opportunity for early detection and intervention to prevent or delay the onset of end-stage renal disease and cardiovascular events. Other than one recently reported prediction model, 7 high-risk subgroups for CKD typically were identied through a single traditional risk factor: age older than 60 years, 1,7,8 hypertension, 2,8,9-15 diabetes, 2,7-16 poor glycemic control, 1,11,12 obesity, 2,12-16 macroalbu- minuria, 1,3,8,17 smoking, 1,9,12,14-16 C-reactive protein level, 14,18,19 elevated total choles- terol level, 1,12,14 low high-density lipoprotein 1 From Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH; 2 University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and 3 University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY. Received June 2, 2007. Accepted in revised form Septem- ber 18, 2007. This work was done at Case Western Reserve University. Address correspondence to Monica A. Fisher, PhD, DDS, MPH, Associate Professor, Case Western Reserve Univer- sity, 10900 Euclid Ave, Cleveland, OH 44106-4905.E-mail: monica.sher@case.edu 2007 by the National Kidney Foundation, Inc. 0272-6386/07/5101-0007$34.00/0 doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2007.09.018 American Journal of Kidney Diseases, Vol 51, No 1 (January), 2008: pp 45-52 45 level, 1,10,12,15 elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, 15 race/ethnicity, 1,11,13,14,16 gen- der, 1,7,9,12,14-16 and income/poverty. 1,13 Recently, nontraditional risk factors were reported that may contribute to CKD, such as periodontal disease, 20-22 education, 13,16 and health care utili- zation. 13,23 The rationale for considering periodontal dis- ease as a nontraditional risk factor for CKD centers around the inammatory response to peri- odontal disease adding to the chronic systemic inammatory burden associated with CKD. The role of chronic inammatory burden in patients with CKD was reported through the association between C-reactive protein level and CKD. 19,24 Thus, we speculate that periodontal disease may contribute to CKD because periodontal disease, more specically chronic periodontitis, is a chronic infectious disease caused by gram- negative bacteria with a persistent host inamma- tory response. The loss of attachment of the periodontal ligament and bony support of the teeth can lead to tooth loss. In adults, periodontal disease is a major cause of edentulism. 25 The response to periodontal pathogens leads to a local tissue-destructive immunoinammatory re- sponse thought to create a chronic systemic in- ammatory burden secondary to the systemic dissemination of periodontal pathogenic bacte- ria, their products (eg, lipopolysaccharides), and locally produced inammatory mediators (eg, interleukin 1, tumor necrosis factor , interleu- kin 6, prostaglandin E 2 , and thromboxane B2). 26,27 Furthermore, an acute-phase inamma- tory response, measured by using elevated C- reactive protein level, is associated with periodon- tal disease and edentulism after controlling for other risk factors for elevated C-reactive protein level. 28 A similar focus on the systemic inammatory burden of chronic periodontal disease was hypoth- esized to contribute to endothelial injury and atherogenesis. 29 An increasing body of epidemio- logical evidence supports a signicant associa- tion between periodontal disease and cardiovas- cular diseases. 30,31 Additionally, several clinical studies involving the treatment of patients with chronic periodontitis reported an improvement in secondary end points considered important in cardiovascular disease risk, 27 including a re- cently reported randomized clinical trial show- ing a signicant improvement in endothelial func- tion after periodontal treatment. 29 Chronic inammation is one of the common risk factors for both atherosclerotic cardiovascu- lar disease and CKD. Evidence also exists to support chronic inammation contributing to the pathogenesis of hypertension and diabetes melli- tus, both major risk factors for cardiovascular disease and CKD. 32 Based on the current evi- dence that periodontal disease is a source of systemic inammatory burden, it is biologically plausible to hypothesize that periodontal disease is a risk factor for CKD. The use of single risk factors to identify sub- groups at high risk of CKD is a major limitation that can be addressed by simultaneously consid- ering a set of risk factors. Recently, Bang et al 7 proposed a multivariable prediction model for CKD and also reported that no other multivari- able method existed to predict CKD. Our study contributes to helping health care providers iden- tify patients at high risk of CKD by simulta- neously considering recognized traditional risk factors and suspected nontraditional risk factors, including periodontal disease and one of its im- portant sequelae, edentulism, in a representative sample of the US population. The objective of our study is to investigate the role of periodontal disease and other nontradi- tional risk factors in patients with CKD by: (1) describing and quantifying the relationship be- tween CKD and periodontal disease, along with the relationship between CKD and other nontra- ditional and traditional risk factors, in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Sur- vey (NHANES III) 33 ; and (2) developing a mul- tivariable model for the association between CKD and periodontal disease and other nontraditional risk factors, adjusting for traditional risk factors to identify risk factors independently associated with the presence of CKD. MATERIALS Study Population This cross-sectional study was deemed exempt by the institutional review board, and all investigators complied with the Data Use Restrictions for the NHANES III public- use data set collected by the National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. NHANES III, 1988-1994, is a complex, multistage, strati- ed, clustered sample of the civilian noninstitutionalized US population representative of the US population. NHANES Fisher et al 46 includes questionnaire, laboratory-assay, and clinical-exami- nation measures of health outcomes and explanatory vari- ables. Data used in this study are: (1) responses to questions regarding age, race/ethnicity, gender, income, education, smoking, diabetes, and hypertension; (2) laboratory assays of serum cotinine, glycated hemoglobin, plasma glucose, serum C-reactive protein, serum creatinine, serum total cholesterol, serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, se- rum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, urinary albumin, and urinary creatinine; and (3) clinical examination data for systolic and diastolic blood pressure, height, weight, and periodontal status. We identied 12,947 adults 18 years or older representing 140.2 million Americans with informa- tion for kidney function and at least one risk factor, of which 11,955 had information for kidney function and all risk factors tested in multivariable modeling. Description of Main Outcome The main outcome was stages 3 and 4 CKD with moder- ate to severe decrease in kidney function, dened as GFR of 15 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m 2 (0.25 to 0.98 mL/s/1.73 m 2 ). 1 This denition was reported to be a more precise estimate of decreased kidney function. 3 Henceforth, we refer to this denition of stages 3 and 4 CKD simply as CKD. GFR was estimated by using the 4-variable Modication of Diet in Renal Disease Study equation: GFR 186.3 (serum creatinine [mg/dL]) 1.154 age 0.203 (0.742 if female) (1.21 if black). Serum creatinine value was calibrated by subtracting the value of 0.23 to align the NHANES measures with creatinine assays in the aforementioned equation. 34 Description of Risk Factors The principal exposure or predictor for this analysis is periodontal status based on a clinical examination, and categorized as no periodontal disease, periodontal disease, or edentulous. Periodontal disease is dened as one or more sites with both 4 mm or greater loss of attachment and bleeding on the same tooth (bleeding as an indicator of active inammation). 35 Edentulous is dened as having lost all natural teeth. Other traditional and suspected nontradi- tional risk factors for CKD included in the analyses are socioeconomic status (age, race/ethnicity, gender, income, and education), health status (diabetes mellitus and systemic hypertension), health behavior and biomarker levels (smok- ing, macroalbuminuria, C-reactive protein, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipopro- tein cholesterol), anthropometric assessment (body mass index), and health care utilization (self-report of an annual physician visit or hospitalization in the past year). Lower income is dened as less than $20,000 annual household income. Diabetes mellitus status is categorized as no diabetes, diabetes with good control (7% glycated hemoglobin), and diabetes with poorer control (7% gly- cated hemoglobin). Diabetes mellitus is dened as fasting plasma glucose level of 126 mg/dLor greater (7.0 mmol/L) or 200 mg/dL or greater (11.1 mmol/L) after an oral glucose tolerance test, or self-reported physician-diagnosed diabetes. Systemic hypertension is dened as systolic blood pressure greater than 140 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure greater than 90 mm Hg, or being told on two or more different visits that one had hypertension. Macroalbuminuria is dened as urinary albumin-creatinine excretion ratio of 300 mg/g or greater. Self-reported smoking status is current, former, or never, excluding those who reported former or never smoking but were current smokers based on the gold standard of serum cotinine levels of 15 ng/mL or greater (85 nmol/L). 36 Obesity is dened as a body mass index greater than 27 kg/m 2 . High C-reactive protein level is dened as greater than 3.0 mg/dL. Statistical Analyses Tests of the hypothesis that CKD is associated with traditional and nontraditional risk factors used univariable and multivariable logistic regression modeling. Covariates were selected by using a stepwise regression approach with P value less than 0.05 as the selection criterion to enter and remain in the model. This approach simultaneously took into account the statistically signicant risk factors determined by means of univariable analyses, with statistical signi- cance reported as a 95% condence interval (CI). The independent association between CKD and risk factors, namely, socioeconomic status, health status, health behavior and biomarker levels, and health care utilization, was quanti- ed by calculating the adjusted odds ratio (OR Adj ). Model t was assessed by means of the Satterthwaite-adjusted F statistic test, accounting for the complex study design. Thus, we compared the nal full model with periodontal disease to the reduced model with all the same covariates excluding periodontal status. Analyses were conducted using SAS- Callable SUDAAN, version 9.0.1 (Research Triangle Insti- tute, Research Triangle Park, NC) 37 and SAS Systems for Windows, version 9.1 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC) to account for complex survey design and sample weights and to produce national estimates. RESULTS Overall Descriptive Summary Table 1 presents important characteristics of the study population and their unadjusted associa- tion with CKD. Overall, 3.6% of the study popu- lation had CKD, 6.0% had periodontal disease, 10.5% were edentulous, 23.5% were hyperten- sive, and 36.4% were obese. The univariable models reported in Table 1 are similar to the typical approach that reports a single risk factor without adjusting for potential confounders. For example, an adult with the nontraditional risk factor edentulism was over 10 times more likely to have CKD (odds ratio [OR Crude ], 10.38; 95% CI, 7.87 to 13.70) than an adult without periodon- tal disease. Likewise, an adult with periodontal disease was 4 times more likely to have CKD (OR Crude , 3.93; 95% CI, 2.95 to 5.24) than an adult without periodontal disease. Periodontal Disease and CKD 47 Table 1. Descriptive Summary and Association Between CKD and Periodontal Disease and Other Risk Factors No CKD CKD OR Crude Risk Factors (n 12,330; 96.4%) (n 617; 3.6%) (95% CI) Socioeconomic status Age (y) 18-59 (n 9,575; 81.4%) 83.9% 16.3% 1.00 60 (n 3,372; 18.6%) 16.1% 83.7% 26.78 (17.74-40.43)* Race/ethnicity Non-Hispanic white (n 5,051; 82.2%) 81.9% 91.3% 5.57 (3.88-8.01)* Non-Hispanic black (n 3,472; 11.5%) 11.7% 7.4% 3.18 (2.11-4.79)* Mexican-American (n 3,890; 6.3%) 6.4% 1.3% 1.00 Gender Female (n 6,922; 52.5%) 52.1% 61.8% 1.49 (1.11-1.99)* Male (n 6,025; 47.5%) 47.9% 38.2% 1.00 Lower income Yes (n 6,004; 32.0%) 31.1% 56.7% 2.90 (2.31-3.65)* No (n 6,725; 68.0%) 68.9% 43.3% 1.00 High school graduate Yes (n 7,826; 76.6%) 77.5% 53.8% 1.00 No (n 5,040; 23.4%) 22.5% 46.2% 2.95 (2.31-3.78)* Health status and health behavior Periodontal status Edentulous (n 1,610; 10.5%) 9.2% 41.8% 10.38 (7.87-13.70)* Periodontal disease (n 1,271; 6.0%) 5.8% 11.2% 3.93 (2.95-5.24)* No periodontal disease (n 10,066; 83.5%) 85.0% 47.0% 1.00 Diabetes Poor control (n 642; 3.1%) 2.8% 12.1% 5.22 (3.19-8.53)* Good control (n 512; 3.0%) 2.7% 9.7% 4.32 (2.98-6.27)* No diabetes (n 11,784; 93.9%) 94.5% 78.2% 1.00 Hypertension Yes (n 3,659; 23.5%) 21.7% 70.8% 8.73 (6.93-10.99)* No (n 9,274; 76.5%) 78.3% 29.2% 1.00 Macroalbuminuria Yes (n 231; 1.0%) 0.7% 8.4% 12.71 (7.92-20.42)* No (n 12,716; 99.0%) 99.3% 91.6% 1.00 Obesity Yes (n 5,463; 36.4%) 36.0% 47.4% 1.61 (1.27-2.03)* No (n 7,460; 63.6%) 64.0% 52.6% 1.00 High C-reactive protein Yes (n 171; 1.0%) 0.9% 2.8% 3.14 (1.56-6.33)* No (n 12,767; 99.0%) 99.1% 97.2% 1.00 High cholesterol Yes (n 2,403; 18.0%) 17.2% 38.9% 3.06 (2.45-3.83)* No (n 10,505; 82.0%) 82.8% 61.1% 1.00 Low high-density lipoprotein Yes (n 1,560; 12.9%) 12.6% 20.5% 1.78 (1.34-2.36)* No (n 11,256; 87.1%) 87.4% 79.5% 1.00 High low-density lipoprotein Yes (n 948; 16.3%) 15.8% 32.2% 2.53 (1.72-3.70)* No (n 4,600; 83.7%) 84.2% 67.8% 1.00 Smoking status Never (n 6,739; 48.2%) 48.3% 44.9% 1.96 (1.40-2.74)* Former (n 2,753; 22.4%) 21.7% 40.8% 3.95 (2.83-5.53)* Current (n 3,455; 29.4%) 30.0% 14.3% 1.00 Hospitalized in past year Yes (n 1,661; 11.3%) 10.8% 23.0% 2.45 (1.89-3.18)* No (n 11,250; 88.7%) 89.2% 77.0% 1.00 Annual physician visit Yes (n 10,190; 80.8%) 80.4% 92.2% 2.90 (1.87-4.50)* No (n 2,656; 19.2%) 19.6% 7.8% 1.00 Note: Unweighted number with weighted percent. Excludes those who reported never or former smoking with serum cotinine level indicating current smoker. Inclusion criteria were periodontal examination or edentulous. Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; OR Crude , unadjusted odds ratio for the association between CKD and the suspected/recognized risk factors; CI, condence interval. *P 0.05. Fisher et al 48 Multivariable Logistic Regression Model for the Association Between CKD and Periodontal Disease and Other Nontraditional Risk Factors Table 2 presents the most parsimonious model we estimated for the association between CKD and periodontal disease and other nontraditional risk factors, simultaneously adjusting for the listed risk factors and reporting OR Adj and 95% CI for each risk factor. Adults with periodontal disease and edentulous adults were approxi- mately twice as likely to have CKD (OR Adj , 1.60; 95% CI, 1.16 to 2.21; OR Adj , 1.85; 95% CI, 1.34 to 2.56, respectively) than adults without periodontal disease after simultaneously adjust- ing for age, race/ethnicity, gender, income, smok- ing status, macroalbuminuria, hypertension, total cholesterol level, high-density lipoprotein choles- terol level, and hospitalizations, and physician visits in the past year. It is also noted that older adults were over 10 times more likely to have CKD (OR Adj , 10.32; 95% CI, 6.97 to 15.27) than younger adults after simultaneously adjusting for the other statistically signicant risk factors or risk indicators. The t of the nal full model with periodontal status listed in Table 2 is improved compared to the reduced model with the same risk factors excluding periodontal status, based on the Satter- thwaite-adjusted F statistic P value of 0.0005. This indicates that including periodontal status in the model provides a statistically signicant con- tribution to a model that excluded periodontal status. DISCUSSION In our US population-based study, periodontal disease and edentulism, as well as the nontradi- tional risk factors that included having an annual physician visit and being hospitalized in the past year, were independently associated with CKD after simultaneously adjusting for the following traditional risk factors: age, race/ethnicity, gen- der, smoking status, income, hypertension, mac- roalbuminuria, total cholesterol level, and high- density lipoprotein cholesterol level. Our univariable unadjusted models support the previ- ous studies that described high-risk subgroups by using a single risk factor. 1-3,8-23 Additionally, our study of a sample representative of the US popu- lation provides a basis to extend the list of potential nontraditional risk factors to include periodontal disease status in a multivariable model for the outcome CKD. The ndings of this study suggest the impor- tance of simultaneously taking into account other risk factors, rather than the typical approach of identifying high-risk subgroups for CKD based on a single risk factor. By comparing the OR Crude with the OR Adj , the need to consider these other covariates is evident. For example, when age was the only risk factor considered, older adults were 27 times more likely to have CKD. How- ever, when the other risk factors were simulta- neously taken into account, older adults were 10 times more likely to have CKD. Likewise, when periodontal status was the only risk factor consid- ered, adults with edentulism were over 10 times more likely to have CKD, and adults with peri- odontal disease were 4 times more likely to have CKD. However, when the other risk factors were Table 2. Multivariable Model for the Association Between CKD and Periodontal Disease and Other Risk Factors Risk Factors Final Model OR Adj (95% CI) Age 60 y 10.32 (6.97-15.27)* Macroalbuminuria 5.13 (2.74-9.63)* Race/ethnicity Non-Hispanic white Non-Hispanic black 3.53 (2.36-5.28)* 2.40 (1.57-3.68)* Hypertension 2.12 (1.66-2.71)* Smoking status Former smoker Never smoker 1.99 (1.41-2.79)* 1.55 (1.10-2.20)* Periodontal status Edentulous Periodontal disease 1.85 (1.34-2.56)* 1.60 (1.16-2.21)* Low high-density lipoprotein 1.80 (1.24-2.60)* Hospitalized in past year 1.68 (1.24-2.27)* Low income 1.65 (1.29-2.11)* Annual physician visit 1.65 (1.10-2.50)* High cholesterol level 1.47 (1.14-1.90)* Female 1.45 (1.05-2.01)* Note: The following risk factors were not included in the nal model because they were not statistically signicant: education, diabetes status, high C-reactive protein level, and high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level. Ex- cludes those who reported never or former smoking with serum cotinine level indicating current smoker. Abbreviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; OR Adj , odds ratio for the association between CKD, simultaneously taking into account all the listed potential or recognized risk factors; CI, condence interval. *P 0.05. Periodontal Disease and CKD 49 simultaneously considered, adults with edentu- lism were almost twice as likely, and adults with periodontal disease were over 1 times more likely to have CKD. In addition, when diabetes status, obesity, C-reactive protein level, and edu- cation were considered separately, they were signicant. However, after simultaneously tak- ing into account the other risk factors, including periodontal disease status, they were no longer signicant. Although African Americans were reported to be more likely to have CKD than whites, 4,11 this was not found in our study or in a previous NHANES III study. 3 This inconsistency may be partly explained by racial disparity in survival, such that the prevalence of CKD may be greater in non-Hispanic whites than non-Hispanic blacks, whereas the incidence is greater in non-Hispanic blacks, but they do not survive as long. In addi- tion, our ndings of greater racial disparities in unadjusted than adjusted analyses indicate that results are partly explained by confounding due to health status, health behaviors, socioeconomic characteristics, and health care utilization. An important limitation of this study is its cross-sectional design, which did not allow for assessment of temporality. To establish causality, it is imperative to show that periodontal disease, as the exposure, precedes the development or progression of CKD. This cannot be determined in a cross-sectional study. Another limitation to consider is that factors that lead to CKD could also lead to periodontal disease. These are both chronic conditions that progress in severity. Simi- lar to the 5 progressive stages of CKD, periodon- tal disease progresses with increasing loss of connective tissue attachment and bony support, often ultimately resulting in tooth loss. Based on the review of traditional and nontraditional risk factors for CKD reported herein, and a thorough recent review of risk factors for periodontal disease, 38 and more recent publications, 29,30 the following potential confounders/risk factors are in common for both diseases and were consid- ered in our modeling: age, race/ethnicity, gender, income, education, poorly controlled diabetes, smoking, obesity, C-reactive protein level, cho- lesterol level, high-density lipoprotein choles- terol level, and low-density lipoprotein choles- terol level. Support for periodontal status having an independent association with CKD comes in part from our analytical modeling approach that involved the simultaneous assessment of poten- tial confounders/risk factors common to both periodontal disease and CKD. Although we make no claims of causality, several other features of this study warrant fur- ther consideration of periodontal disease as a potential risk factor for CKD. First, we found that the strength of the unadjusted association for the nontraditional risk factors edentulism and periodontal disease is similar to the unadjusted association between the traditional risk factor poorly controlled diabetes. Second, the signi- cant association we found is consistent with previous studies nding a signicant association between periodontal disease and renal dis- ease. 20-22 Third, there is biological plausibility for chronic periodontal disease as a source of systemic inammatory burden 28 contributing to the chronic inammation associated with CKD. Fourth, our results are consistent with a dose- response for periodontal status. When we as- sessed a dose-response ranging fromno periodon- tal disease to mild to moderate periodontal disease to severe periodontal disease with 6 mm or greater loss of attachment, 35 or 80th percentile of the highest percentage of teeth with periodontal disease, to edentulous, we found a dose-response in which the odds of CKD increased as the severity or extent of periodontal disease in- creased, similar to that previously reported. 20 Our study has several other strengths. First, we focused on the simultaneous assessment of recognized and suspected risk factors for CKD, nding that some previously recognized factors were no longer signicant, whereas infrequently studied nontraditional risk factors, namely peri- odontal disease and edentulism, remained signi- cant in the nal multivariable model. Second, the nal model simultaneously considered 12 risk factors for CKD rather than looking at only a single factor at a time. Third, we addressed the possibility that patients may deny smoking by incorporating an objective smoking measure (ie, serum cotinine). 39 Fourth, NHANES III sam- pling methodology is designed to represent the US population. Fifth, questionnaire, examina- tion, and laboratory data were collected in an unbiased manner such that participants were un- aware of our study of risk factors for CKD. This allowed us to investigate multiple recognized Fisher et al 50 traditional and suspected nontraditional risk fac- tors. Sixth, data were available for adults who did not have an annual physician visit, unlike other studies limited to patients who visited health care providers. The next step is to test our model in longitudi- nal studies. Periodontal therapy may be consid- ered along with the recommendation to counsel high-risk individuals to reduce their risk by modi- fying their behavior, such as smoking-cessation counseling, 40 diet modication, and exercise, along with antihypertensive drug therapy. 1,11,41 In summary, our ndings support the conclu- sion that periodontal disease and edentulism are potential nontraditional risk factors indepen- dently associated with CKD in US adults. These results support the importance of oral health because adults with periodontally diseased teeth and adults who lost all their teeth were more likely to have CKD after controlling for tradi- tional and nontraditional risk factors. As more studies of CKD assess the role of periodontal disease, data will accumulate to support or refute the inclusion of periodontal therapy in preven- tive targeted approaches to impede the increas- ing numbers of individuals with CKD. Addi- tional research is needed fromprospective studies to help assess the causal inference and from intervention studies to assess a decrease in inci- dence, progression, and complications of CKD. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Support: This study was supported by grants DE016031-03 and DE016031-04 from the National Institutes of Health. Financial Disclosure: None. REFERENCES 1. National Kidney Foundation: K/DOQI Clinical Prac- tice Guidelines for Chronic Kidney Disease: Evaluation, classication, and stratication. Am J Kidney Dis 39:S1- S266, 2002 (suppl 1) 2. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: Preva- lence of chronic kidney disease and associated risk factors United States, 1999-2004. MMWR Morbid Mortal Wkly Rep 56:161-165, 2007 3. 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