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REALIZING THE ASIAN CENTURY

THROUGH SUSTAINABLE
TRANSPORT

Presentation by Bindu N. Lohani,


Vice President for Knowledge Management
and Sustainable Development
15 September 2014
ASIA’S SHARE OF GLOBAL GDP IN 2050

28%
Asia Today

32%

Middle Income Trap Scenario

52%
Asian Century Scenario
ASIA’S RISE IS NOT PRE-ORDAINED

Increasing inequality Middle-income trap Massive urbanization

Dwindling resources Climate change


UNSUSTAINABLE TRENDS

70
Mode share (p-km)

60
50
40 Cars and motorcycles
30
20
Public transport,
10
walking, and cycling
0
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050

Source: ADB and IEA, 2011


70

60
Mode share (p-km)

50 Public
transport The trend for
40
the next 5 to 8
30 years is fixed
20 Cars and
motorcycles
10

0
2010 2020
5
TRANSPORT IS A KEY DRIVER FOR THE
ASIAN CENTURY
RURAL ROADS ECONOMIC
CORRIDORS PUBLIC TRANSPORT
AFFORDABLE PUBLIC LAND USE PLANNING
TRANSPORT MULTIMODAL HUBS

Increasing inequality Middle-income trap Massive urbanization

RESILIENT
INFRASTRUCTURE

LOW CARBON MODES

Dwindling resources Climate change


EARLY PROGRESS

Source: Strategy 2020 Midterm Review: Key


Accomplishments under Strategy 2020 infographic
ADB’S TRANSPORT TRANSFORMATION
100% 2%
12% 16%
90% 17%
30%
10%
80%
21%
70%

60%
25%
50%

40% 78% 74%


56%
30%

20% 42%

10%
7%
0%
2014-2016
2000-2009 2010-2013 2020 Target
Projections
Urban Transport (mainly public and
2% 12% 16% 30%
nonmotorized)
Railways 17% 10% 21% 25%
Water Transport 2% 2% 2%
Air Transport 1% 1% 1%
Roads 78% 74% 56% 42%
Other/Undefined 7%
TRANSPORT CORRIDORS TO
ECONOMIC CORRIDORS
Central Asia Regional Cooperation (CAREC) Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Program
Transport Corridors

Railway linking Afghanistan and


Uzbekistan
FROM ASIA TO THE WORLD

• MDBs on track to
meeting the 10 year,
$175 billion pledge

• ADB share at $30


billion, out of which $7
billion already met in
first 2 years
NEED TO DEVELOP SMART,
CLEAN, AND GREEN CITIES
• Urban areas account for 84% of
global GDP and 70% of global
GHG emissions
• By 2050, 64% of Asia’s population
will be in urban areas

Livable Cities
THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION

Bindu N. Lohani
Vice President for Knowledge Management
and Sustainable Development
Asian Development Bank

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