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The Economist Intelligence Unit has constructed the third edition of the Brazil State-Level Business Environment Index. The goal of this index is to spur debate on the factors that affect business operations. The top six states score well across most of the eight categories in the index.
The Economist Intelligence Unit has constructed the third edition of the Brazil State-Level Business Environment Index. The goal of this index is to spur debate on the factors that affect business operations. The top six states score well across most of the eight categories in the index.
The Economist Intelligence Unit has constructed the third edition of the Brazil State-Level Business Environment Index. The goal of this index is to spur debate on the factors that affect business operations. The top six states score well across most of the eight categories in the index.
A new index developed by the Economist Intelligence Unit for CLP
Findings and Methodology 2
Brazil: 2013 State-Level Business Environment Index Executive summary To gain a better understanding of the comparative business operating environments in Brazils 26 states plus the Distrito Federal (Federal District), the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has constructed the third edition of the Brazil State-Level Business Environment Index. The goal of this Index is to spur debate on the factors that affect business operations. In the context of the general elections in Brazil in October 2014, it is also intended to help shape the agenda, thereby prompting improvements in policy and programmes when state governments take office in January 2015 for a new four-year term. The Index provides a snapshot of the current business operating environment in each state at yearly intervals, starting in 2011, updated in 2012 and again this year with the latest available data. It provides companies with insights into which states offer the most opportunities and which have the most obstacles to progress. For policymakers, the index highlights where each state is performing relatively well and where improvements need to be made. As most of the indicators are of a structural nature, by conducting the research over a multi-year period, the Index aims to identify and visualise key, underlying trends that can serve as the basis for actionable decision-making. Similar to its performance in 2011 and 2012, So Paulo has the best overall score for its business environment and continues to outperform a group of five other southern and south-eastern states. Within this group Paran and Santa Catarina have moved up since 2011, overtaking Minas Gerais. The top six states score well across most of the eight categories in the Index. However, the tax system and business-opening times remain weaknesses for even the top- scoring states, which could also benefit from improvements in infrastructure and the political and security environment. Much like in 2011 and 2012, 21 states would benefit from improvements to shortcomings identified in this study, namely complex tax systems, insufficient infrastructure, inadequate quality of the bureaucracy, a small pool of qualified human resources, persistent corruption and limited investment in innovation. Although advanced economies are gradually emerging from several years of crisis, the tailwinds that propelled Brazils 2004-10 boom are fading as China slows, credit growth eases and the labour market tightens. Brazils potential annual economic growth rate is now only between 2- 3%, a level which is barely sufficient to meet its development goals. Re-igniting Brazils growth engine requires structural reforms at the national, state and local levels in order to increase investment, efficiency and productivity. Building consensus on a pro-growth development agendaand implementing it successfullyshould be among the top priorities for the authorities that take office in January 2015 at all government levels. 3 Areas of strength Despite weaker growth, Brazils market opportunities remain an attraction for investors. States in the south and south-eastern regions continue to offer the largest consumer markets and highest average per capita incomes. Consumer markets in the centre-west states continue to be strengthened by the income generated by the expansion of agricultural exports. At the same time, better economic growth in recent years, propped up by income transfers to poorer households have put states in the north and north-east on the radar for investors seeking new frontiers in consumer markets, not least as some of these have large populations and considerable catch-up potential. Foreign direct investment has held up despite weaker growth, with over US$64bn flowing into the country in the 12-month period to April 2014. A handful of states have established investment-promotion agencies, helping them attract a greater share of foreign investment. Other states can learn from these successes by channelling greater human and financial resources from their budgets into promotion activities. In the event that Brazils economic growth continues to underperforminevitably dampening FDI inflows in the longer term, efforts to attract foreign investment will become increasingly important. Overall the Brazilian environmental legislation is more than adequate in establishing the legal foundation for the conservation, protection and monitoring of the environmental as well as including punitive actions for environmental misconducts. This is reflected in the 26 states various environmental laws and decrees. The majority of the states address the main environmental themes with dedicated pieces of legislation, illustrating the importance of the issues. The most common environmental themes covered by most States include water, forestry and protected areas whilst air quality and land use are included in the overall arching states environmental policy. Areas of weakness At the national level, Brazils main areas of weakness in the business environment are the heavy financial and administrative burdens of the tax system, red tape, insufficient infrastructure, skills shortages and weak innovation. At the state level, judging by the high average number of tax- related decrees issued by each state, much still needs to be done to simplify and rationalise tax systems. One positive development to reduce red tape in the future is the introduction of online business registries through the Redesim initiative, a nationally-integrated registration system for enterprises that aims to reduce and simplify bureaucracy. Two states have already implemented both stages of the programme, cutting business opening times, while most others have now implemented the first stage and are now addressing the second. The quality of road infrastructure has deteriorated in many states since the first iteration of this study, although states that have embraced the concessions model perform better. In this context, the benefits from a handful of road concessions auctioned under the federal governments Plano Nacional de Logstica Integrada (PNLI, the national integrated logistics plan) should help to improve conditions, once they enter into operation. 4 Skills shortages persist across nearly all states, despite the federal governments flagship vocational training programme (Programa Nacional de Acesso ao Ensino Tcnico e Emprego, Pronatec), which has seen nearly 7m people enrol in training courses since its inauguration in 2011, according to the government. Authorities can also work with educators to address the skills mismatch among new graduates and the needs of the private sector. Closer ties between the public sector and universities will also be needed to spur innovation in technical areas. Noteworthy changes During the three-year study period, 10 states improved their overall rank relative to others, while 8 states saw their rank slip and 7 states were stable. While divergence in annual GSP rates played a role, the changes were mostly driven by structural factors in the Index. This indicates that state-level policy decisions and programmes have the potential to bring about improvements in the business environmentor, conversely, to lose ground vis--vis other states. Despite shortcomings in corruption standards and quality of the bureaucracy, Brazil has long been regarded by investors as having a stable political environment at the national level. This view was tested by the dramatic street protests of mid-2013, when ordinary civilians vented their frustrations over the poor quality of public services, particularly health, education and transport. Their grievances were aimed at all levels of powernational, state and local governments. The results of our Index this year still show more than two-thirds of states enjoying a satisfactory or strong level of political stability. This is consistent with the resilience that political institutions ultimately displayed during this challenging episode, as the protest movement dissipated. But a failure to deliver improvements on these fronts has the potential to cause greater political instability in the future, impairing the business environment. Most states have seen an improvement in the quality of telecommunications services during the four-year period, reflecting increased high-speed internet-penetration rates. However, states in the northern region still lag behind, indicating that a digital divide persists that policymakers should address. With more online transactions moving to mobile telephony, attention is turning to speeds and penetration rates of these technologies, although this is not currently measured in our model. In October 2012 an auction of 4G licenses was held, with roll-out of these technologies leading to 2.5m users by April 2014. 5 Category results Political Environment There is no serious threat to political stability. There will be elections at federal and state level in October 2014, and it is possible that the outcome leads to an uneasy transition in a few states. However, democratic institutions have been strengthened in Brazil after almost 20 years of direct elections. Since 2012, the high-profile trial at the Supremo Tribunal Federal (STF, the Supreme Federal Court) against corruption at federal level (the so-called Mensalo) marked the political landscape in Brazil. There is a greater awareness regarding corruption among public opinion. Nevertheless, the situation in Brazilian states (scores) has continued to deteriorate. The quality of provision of public services is generally low and below par in most states. This has motivated widespread public protests in June-July 2013 and ahead of the 2014 World Cup. Scores have generally declined further compared to 2012. Public safety has deteriorated according to the latest, consolidated data available (2011). Homicide rates in most states in Brazil score very poorly when compared to international standards. Santa Catarina, So Paulo, Piau, Minas Gerais, Rio Grande do Sul have the lowest homicide rates (in that order) ranging from 12.6 per 100,000 to 19.2. But no state enjoys rates anywhere near the global average of 6.9 (US scores 4.8 and Western Europe, 1.0). Despite improvements in security in Rio de Janeiro state, homicide levels are at an unacceptably high 28.3 per 100,000. Economic Environment Brazils modest growth in 2013 reflected weakness in services. Industry was disappointing, but agriculture outperformed, lifting those states with an agricultural base. Nevertheless, markets in all states expanded, supporting their market-size scores. This year Rio de Janeiro joined So Paulo as the only states achieving the highest score for market size, though most states, with the exception of the smallest statesAcre, Amap and Roraimaoffer attractive market opportunities, particularly as incomes continued to rise. The Distrito Federal and So Paulo are in the highest income per capita group. The next bracket features a group of three southern and south-eastern statesRio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarinaand these states have been joined this year by three from the centre-west, Gois, Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, reflecting the agriculture boom there. Amap is the only state from the north or northeast in the second highest income per capita bracket. Only two states in the southern and south-eastern regions fail to qualify for the top two bracketsMinas Gerais and Esprito Santo, which feature in the middle tier of the five income brackets in our model. Tax and Regulatory Regime This year we again took into consideration data from Thomson Reuters FISCOSoft, a tax and accounting information provider, which estimates the average number of state tax decrees issued monthly. Only four states issued an average of 7.5 or fewer changes per month, and seven issued 20 or more monthly 6 changes throughout the year, notably Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais, Paran, Pernambuco, Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul and So Paulo. While measuring the impact of each decree is beyond the scope of this research, the sheer numbers provide a snapshot of the difficulties businesses face in complying with new regulations. The research also looks at the time it takes to open a business in each state, an important element of the bureaucratic regime that firms must navigate. The scores are unchanged from last year, but most states have made efforts to streamline the process of opening a business by setting up one-stop online registries under the official Redesim initiative, including Alagoas and Minas Gerais. All of Brazils states, except for three, have now implemented the first (of two) stages of the Redesim programme. These advances are likely to affect states performance for this indicator going forward. Streamlining business opening (and closing) times would help to boost entrepreneurship in Brazil, but other reforms are also needed to improve the regulatory environment. Policy towards Foreign Investment Despite Brazils sluggish economic performance, the country continues to enjoy large foreign direct investment, with over US$64bn (2.9% of GDP) flowing into the country in the 12 months to April 2014. At the state level, Minas Gerais, Rio Grande do Sul, Rio de Janeiro, So Paulo andjoining them this yearPernambuco are all considered to have excellent investment-promotion agencies. Meanwhile, a handful of other states have been making efforts to improve their institutional capacity. In this years research we once again focused on information provided by state budget laws regarding the amount of ICMS sales tax revenue that state governments expect to set aside to attract investments. Although five states still do not publish any information on these tax breaks, all states offer investment incentives. Financing from regional development banks and funds are other types of incentives. This year six statesSo Paulo, Gois, Amazonas, Santa Catarina, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Geraistop the list, offering the greatest number of incentives. It should be noted that there is some controversy surrounding these tax breaks, as they form part of a fiscal war between states. Federal authorities are trying to harmonise tax rates and better regulate these tax breaks, which in theory have to be approved by the treasury, but this seldom happens, in practice. A recent IDB study calculated that they amounted to over 15% of the ICMS tax revenue (equivalent to 1.2% of GDP) and were twice the amount that states spent on infrastructure. Given the poor conditions of infrastructure generally, this highlights the challenges facing state policymakers to balance their development goals. Human Resources Despite tepid growth Brazils labour market remains tight, sustaining skills shortages particularly in technical and engineering fields. Much like in 2011 and 2012, four states have very good human resources and receive high scores in this categorySo Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais and Paran. This year, Gois and Amazonas have joined four other states, with good human resourcesRio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, Distrito Federal and Esprito Santo. The remaining 17 states were scored as either 7 moderate or needing improvement, owing primarily to their poor performance across the indicators evaluating availability of skilled labour and the number of university graduates. To help address Brazils human resources challenges, the government introduced Programa Nacional de Acesso ao Ensino Tcnico e Emprego (Pronatec, the National Programme for Access to Technical Education and Employment) in 2011, but the results have been mixed. Infrastructure Penetration rates of high-speed internet (greater than 2 megabytes per second) have more than tripled since 2011, although rates vary considerably and every state still has room for improvement. The Distrito Federal has the highest high-speed internet-penetration rate (15.6%) in the country (national average 5.8%), followed by a group of eight southern, south-eastern and centre-western states. Improvements have begun to materialize in most northern and north-eastern states, but a digital divide persists. With a few exceptions the quality of road infrastructure has deteriorated in several states, indicating that wear and tear from rising road use has exceeded maintenance. Highways in 20 states are assessed as being of low or very low quality. According to the Confederao Nacional do Transporte (CNT, the national transport confederation) the quality of roads adds 25% to the operational costs faced by transporters. Poor road quality also increases fuel consumption, harming the environment. Five states scores deteriorated this year compared to the 2012 Index. Two states improved, but this reflected a recovery to scores achieved in 2011, as they had slipped in 2012. On the positive side, however, more than 80% of highways in So Paulo are rated as either of good or very good quality while Paran, Rio de Janeiro and Rio Grande do Sul had at least 55% of their highways rated as being of good or very good quality. These are states that have pioneered road concessions. Under the governments Plano Nacional de Logstica Integrada (PNLI, the national integrated logistics plan) several road concessions were auctioned last year and more are planned. This should have a positive impact on the quality of infrastructure in the coming years. Innovation Much like in 2011 and 2012, So Paulo and Rio de Janeiro receive the highest scores for their overall innovation environment, performing well across most indicators in this category. So Paulo stands out as the only state having the top score for public sector R&D spending and number of patent requests. But this year the state slipped as corporate R&D spending dropped slightly in GDP terms. The state of Rio de Janeiro has been joined this year by the Distrito Federal as the two states with the highest scores for corporate R&D spendingboth above 0.6% of GSP. Paran and Santa Catarina saw increases in corporate R&D spending this year, putting them in the same spending band as Minas Gerais (between 0.4% of GSP and 0.49%). Except Amazonas and Rio Grande do Sul, company R&D spending in all other states was below 0.3% of GSP. The scores for the other indicators in this category were stable compared to last year as states struggled to make tangible improvements in the innovation space. Cear and Esprito Santo achieved minor 8 improvements in terms of patents requests, but these states still lag behind the leading six states. Moreover, institutional weaknesses at the Instituto Nacional da Propriedade Industrial (INPI, the national patents registry office) have increased approval times for these patent requests. The average approval time has risen to 10 years, four times as long as in the US. Sustainability In 2011, 15 states already had specific climate change legislations that touched upon the issues of emission reduction and climate change adaptation. By 2014, this number increased to 16 states. A similar trend is seen for renewable energy themed measures, with five states adopting new laws favouring wind and solar power. This increased importance in climate change can be traced to two federal measures approved in 2009: the national policy on climate change (law number 12.187) and the national fund for climate change (law number 12.114). It is important to note that some states such as Rondnia tackled the two themes with one measure (climate change and biodiversity together in the same law). Sustainable tourism has also received more attention, with Amap and Tocantins adopting new laws encouraging the practice in their states. Few states actually provide fiscal incentives or tax breaks for environmental purposes. The same situation continues in 2014 with the ICMS Ecolgico (Green VAT)the tax revenue sharing scheme leading the way. Other types of environmental protection and conservation incentives also stem from the ICMS (Imposto sobre Operaes relativas Circulao de Mercadorias e Servios, a value-added tax on goods and services) and climate change laws, notably the payment for environmental services, which has been adopted most recently by Santa Catarina and Paran. 9 Scoring Criteria and Categories The Brazil State-Level Business Environment Index is a dynamic scoring model of 26 indicators across eight categories. The model measures the current state of the business operating environment across 26 states and the Distrito Federal. The overall score (0100) for states in the index is a weighted average of the eight categories, where each is scored on a scale of 0 to 100, where 100=the most favourable business operating environment conditions. Each category is normalised and weighted based on sums of underlying indicators. The eight categories of the index are: Political Environment (which comprises four indicators: Political Stability, Corruption, Bureaucracy and Security Conditions; Economic Environment (which comprises four indicators: Market Size, Market Growth, Average Per Capita Income and Income Disparity); Tax and Regulatory Regime (which comprises two indicators: Consistency of Tax System and Opening a Business); Policy towards Foreign Investment (which comprises two indicators: Incentives to Invest and Policy towards Foreign Capital); Human Resources (which comprises three indicators: Availability of Skilled Labour, Labour Productivity and University Graduates); Infrastructure (which comprises two indicators: Quality of the Telecom Network and Quality of the Road Network); Innovation (which comprises five indicators: Public R&D Expenditure, Private R&D Expenditure, Presence of R&D Infrastructure, Fiscal Incentives for R&D, and Patent Requests); and Sustainability (which comprises four indicators: State Environmental Plan/Strategy, Fiscal Incentives for Sustainability, Environmental Regulator and Quality of Environmental Legislation). The categories and indicators are: 1 Political Environment 5 Human Resources 1.1 Political Stability 5.1 Availability of Skilled Labour 1.2 Corruption 5.2 Labour Productivity 1.3 Bureaucracy 5.3 University Graduates 1.4 Security Conditions 6 Infrastructure 2 Economic Environment 6.1 Quality of the Telecom Network 2.1 Market Size 6.2 Quality of the Road Network 2.2 Market Growth 7 Innovation 2.3 Average Per Capita Income 7.1 Public R&D Expenditure 2.4 Income Disparity 7.2 Private R&D Expenditure 3 Tax and Regulatory Regime 7.3 Presence of R&D Infrastructure 3.1 Consistency of Tax System 7.4 Fiscal Incentives for R&D 3.2 Opening a Business 7.5 Patent Requests 4 Policy towards Foreign Investment 8 Sustainability 4.1 Incentives to Invest 8.1 State Environmental Plan/Strategy 4.2 Policy towards Foreign Capital 8.2 Fiscal Incentives for Sustainability 8.3 Environmental Regulator 8.4 Quality of Environmental Legislation
10 Methodology a. General The Brazil State-Level Business Environment Index is comprised of categories that are related to the attractiveness of the business operating environment in each state. To score the indicators for the Index, the research team gathered data from the following sources: Primary legal texts and legal reports Academic and government publications Websites of governmental authorities, international organisations and non-governmental organisations Business organisations and business schools Interviews with experts, as needed Local and international news media reports b. Data Modelling Data were collected across 26 indicators for each state. The indicators range from rankings across three (0,1,2) to five possible levels (0,4). Each indicator is constructed such that a higher value associates with a more favourable business operating environment. For example, for the Corruption indicator, a state with very high corruption is assigned a level of 0 whereas a state with very little corruption is assigned a value of 4. The scoring scheme for each component of the Brazil State-Level Business Environment Index is listed below: 1 Political Environment Rating 0-100 (100=best) 1.1 Political Stability Rating 0-3 (3=best) 1.2 Corruption Rating 0-4 (4=best) 1.3 Bureaucracy Rating 0-4 (4=best) 1.4 Security conditions Rating 0-4 (4=best) 2 Economic Environment Rating 0-100 (100=best) 2.1 Market Size Rating 0-4 (4=best) 2.2 Market Growth Rating 0-4 (4=best) 2.3 Average Per Capita Income Rating 0-4 (4=best) 2.4 Income Disparity Rating 0-4 (4=best) 3 Tax and Regulatory Regime Rating 0-100 (100=best) 3.1 Consistency of Tax System Rating 0-4 (4=best) 3.2 Opening a Business Rating 0-4 (4=best) 4 Policy towards Foreign Investment Rating 0-100 (100=best) 4.1 Incentives to Invest Rating 0-4 (4=best) 4.2 Policy towards Foreign Capital Rating 0-3 (3=best) 11 5 Human Resources Rating 0-100 (100=best) 5.1 Availability of Skilled Labour Rating 0-4 (4=best) 5.2 Labour Productivity Rating 0-4 (4=best) 5.3 University Graduates Rating 0-4 (4=best) 6 Infrastructure Rating 0-100 (100=best) 6.1 Quality of the Telecom Network Rating 0-4 (4=best) 6.2 Quality of the Road Network Rating 0-4 (4=best) 7 Innovation Rating 0-100 (100=best) 7.1 Public R&D Expenditure Rating 0-4 (4=best) 7.2 Private R&D Expenditure Rating 0-4 (4=best) 7.3 Presence of R&D Infrastructure Rating 0-4 (4=best) 7.4 Fiscal Incentives for R&D Rating 0-2 (2=best) 7.5 Patent Requests Rating 0-4 (4=best) 8 Sustainability Rating 0-100 (100=best) 8.1 State Environmental Plan/Strategy Rating 0-4 (4=best) 8.2 Fiscal Incentives for Sustainability Rating 0-2 (2=best) 8.3 Environmental Regulator Rating 0-3 (3=best) 8.4 Quality of Environmental Legislation Rating 0-4 (4=best) c. Calculating the Index Modelling the indicators and categories in the index results in overall scores of 0-100 for each state, where 100 represents the most favourable business environment conditions and 0 the least favourable: Category score = weighted individual indicators. Indicator scores are normalised on the basis of: x = (x - Min(x)) / (Max(x) - Min(x)), where Min(x) and Max(x) are, respectively, the lowest and highest values in the 27 states for any given indicator. The normalised value is then transformed to a 0-100 score to make it directly comparable with other indicators. The overall score for each country is the weighted sum of the category scores, as determined by the weighting profile: Overall score = weighted category scores. 12 Indicator definitions and construction 1) Political Environment This category comprises four indicators: Political Stability, Corruption, Bureaucracy and Security Conditions. Indicator Indicator definitions and construction Political Environment
1.1 Political Stability This indicator looks at the level of political stability in terms of the ability of the state executive to advance legislation through the state legislature. Assessment is based on the following criteria: the level of public support for the state governor; number of seats that the governing party maintains in the state legislature; and the strength of political alliances.
Scoring: 3= Strong (governor enjoys a stable political environment) 2= Moderate (political environment is stable) 1= Low (governor does not have a strong majority and depends on alliances) 0= Very low (governor has no formal majority and has to make case-by-case agreements with other parties to pass legislation)
Scoring notes: Pre- and post-election political alliances have a significant impact on the overall level of political stability. Post-election, state legislators oftentimes support the incumbent governor in an effort to promote their own political interests. State legislators joining a ruling alliance post-election are more likely to withdraw their support in the event that the governor suffers from waning popularity or when the governors term is drawing to an end (particularly in the event that the governor is unable to stand for re-election). 1.2 Corruption This indicator looks at the pervasiveness of corruption among public officials. The assessment considers the number of corruption investigations and systems in place to prevent corrupt practices.
Scoring: 4= Very low level of corruption 3= Low level of corruption 13 2= Moderate level of corruption 1= High level of corruption 0= Very high level of corruption
Scoring notes: The EIU utilises academic and other sources in order to assess this indicator. One of the primary sources is a study entitled Government corruption in Brazil: Construction of indicators and analysis of corruption in Brazils states (A corrupo governmental no Brasil: Construo de indicadores e anlise da sua incidncia relativa nos estados Brasileiros) by Jos Luis Serafini Boll, formerly of the Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul. This study analyses a relatively small number of audits, which often take an extended period of time to complete, making annual comparisons in regards to the level of corruption difficult.
The EIU also incorporates analysis from a publication entitled Integrity Systems in Brazilian states (Sistemas de integridade nos estados brasileiros) by Bruno Wilhelm Speck and Valeriano Mendes Ferreira (2011).
Systems in place to prevent corruption are also considered in the evaluation of this indicator. In those states where rigorous systems are in place to prevent and combat graft, perceptions of corruption tend to be as high as in those states with less rigorous systems in place. This reflects the fact that effective systems often lead to the discovery of corrupt practices, which tend to be heavily publicised in the media. 1.3 Bureaucracy This indicator looks at the quality of the bureaucracy. Assessment is based on the level of institutional capacity and the bureaucracys ability to implement policies.
Scoring: 4= Very high quality of the bureaucracy 3= High quality of the bureaucracy 2= Moderate quality of the bureaucracy 1= Low quality of the bureaucracy 0= Very low quality of the bureaucracy
Scoring notes: 14 A multifaceted approach is utilised to measure the quality of each states bureaucracy. Research focuses on management of state budgets, including spending on the provision of public goods and services. The EIU also looks at the quality of the provision of public goods over time and institutional development. 1.4 Security conditions This indicator looks at whether violent crime is likely to pose a significant problem for business. Assessment is based on the number of homicides per 100,000 people.
Scoring: 4 = Fewer than 9.99 homicides per 100,000 people 3 = 10-19.99 homicides per 100,000 people 2 = 20-24.99 homicides per 100,000 people 1 = 25-34.99 homicides per 100,000 people 0 = 35 or more homicides per 100,000 people
Scoring notes: Data on homicide rates was taken from the Instituto Sangari report Mapa da violncia 2013: Homicdios e Juventude no Brasil by Julio Jacobo Waiselfisz.
2) Economic Environment This category comprises four indicators: Market size, Market growth, Average per Capita Income and Income Disparity. Indicator Indicator definitions and construction Economic Environment
2.1 Market Size The Economist Intelligence Unit estimates of Gross State Product for 2013.
Scoring: 4= Greater than R500bn 3= R150-499bn 2= R50-149bn 1= R15-49bn 0= Less than R15bn
Scoring notes: Estimates are based on data from the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatstica (IBGE, the national statistics office) and Banco Central do Brasil (BCB, the central bank). 15 2.2 Market Growth Economist Intelligence Unit estimates of annual average percentage change, year on year, of Gross State Product for 2012-2013.
Scoring: 4= Greater than 5% growth 3= 4-4.99% 2= 3-3.99% 1= 2-2.99% 0= Less than 2%
Scoring notes: Estimates are based on data from the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatstica (IBGE, the national statistics office) and Banco Central do Brasil (BCB, the central bank). 2.3 Average Per Capita Income Annual average per capita income by state in 2013.
Scoring: 4=Greater than R21,000 3=R18,000-20,999 2=R15,000-17,999 1=R12,000-14,999 0=Less than R12,000
Scoring notes: Data is taken from the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatstica (IBGE, the national statistics office) and reflects average monthly income of all employed persons 15 years or older. The EIU multiplies per capita monthly income by 12 to derive annual average per capita income by state. 2.4 Income Disparity This indicator evaluates the equality of income distribution within a state. This is measured by a Gini coefficient, which is scored on a 0-1 scale, where zero indicates perfect equality in income distribution. The score is displayed as a percentage, where 1=100%. The higher the value of the Gini coefficient, the more income disparity there is in the state.
Scoring: 4= Less than 30 3= 30-39 2= 40-49 1= 50-59 0= Greater than 60 16
Scoring notes: Data is taken from the 2011 Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domiclios (PNAD, a national household survey) by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatstica (IBGE, the national statistics office). Scoring reflects the Gini index, which captures the distribution of monthly income from all jobs held by individuals aged 10 years or older.
3) Tax and Regulatory Regime This category is comprised of two indicators: Consistency of Tax System and Opening a Business. Indicator
Tax and Regulatory Regime
3.1 Consistency of Tax System This indicator assesses the consistency and stability of the local tax system. Research considers the complexity of the tax system and the volatility in the number tax norms issued by state.
Scoring: 4= Tax system is very stable and clear 3= Tax system is stable and clear 2= Tax system is somewhat stable and clear 1= Tax system is generally not stable and/or is complex 0= Tax system is very unstable and complex
Scoring notes: According to the Instituto Brasileiro de Planejamento Tributrio (IBPT, the Brazilian Institute of Tax Planning), six tax norms are published in Brazil per business hour, which is equivalent to 275,000 in the past 23 years (at federal, state and municipal levels). At the state level, it amounts to 85,517 over the course of the past 23 years. Owing to the complexity of the data, and the difficulty in obtaining reliable and up-to- date metrics, analysis is based on primary and secondary research. This research incorporates data from Thomson ReutersFISCOSoft on the number of state tax norms issued monthly. The EIU estimates the average monthly change in tax norms per year. The assessment also considers fluctuations in tax income by state, based on ICMS revenue data as a percentage of GSP. 17 3.2 Opening a Business This indicator looks at the average number of days it takes to open a new business.
Scoring: 4= Fewer than 10 days to open a business 3= 10-14 days 2= 15-19 days 1= 20-29 days 0= 30 days or more
Scoring notes: Assessment is based on data from each states Junta Comercial (JC, the Board of Trade, a business registry). Analysis also considers the results from a survey conducted by the Departamento Nacional de Registro do Comrcio (DNRC, the national department for registering businesses). The survey was based on the World Bank criteria for opening a business, and covers the opening of businesses at the JC and registry with the fire service and other associated organisations.
4) Policy towards Foreign Investment This category is comprised of two indicators: Incentives to Invest and Policy towards Foreign Capital. Indicator Indicator definitions and construction Policy towards Foreign Investment
4.1 Incentives to Invest This indicator looks at the number and scope of investment incentives. These incentives include tax breaks from the Imposto sobre Operaes relativas Circulao de Mercadorias e Servios (ICMS, a state tax for goods and services) and financial assistance from state agencies.
Scoring: 4= Very large number of incentives offered and a high level of tax breaks and financial assistance 3= Large number of incentives offered across numerous industries; considerable tax breaks; and/or financial assistance 2= Numerous incentives that are broad in scope are offered across industries 1= Some incentives are offered 0= Very limited incentives are offered: incentives are limited in terms of industry or scope
18 Scoring notes: Assessment looks at the legislative framework in each state, focusing on the key investment incentive laws. Analysis covers information on investment incentive legislation. States typically do not publish statistics on the value of investment incentives.
The EIU also incorporates analysis of pre- announced tax breaks reported in 2012-14 state budget laws. The level of development of each state and budgetary resources (that could potentially be used for spending on incentives) is also taken into consideration. State budget data are available from the federal Ministry of Finance. 4.2 Policy towards Foreign Capital This indicator looks at state efforts to attract foreign investment. The assessment is based on institutional capacity. In particular, this research focuses on whether states have a dedicated investment promotion agency or another agency within the state government with a similar remit.
Scoring: 3= Very encouraging to foreign investment 2= Encouraging to foreign investment 1= Some efforts to encourage foreign investment 0= Few efforts to encourage investment
Scoring notes: This research focuses on whether states have a dedicated investment promotion agency (IPA), and the sophistication of the agency. A state that does not have a dedicated IPA, and instead allocates investment promotion responsibilities to other agencies or ministries does not receive the highest score. Assessment also looks at state agencies relationship with Apex, Brazils national trade and investment promotion agency. Apex has worked with a number of state governments and IPAs. Evaluation of sophistication of services is based on a review of available services and information on IPA websites.
5) Human Resources This category is comprised of three indicators: Availability of Skilled Labour, Labour Productivity and University Graduates. 19 Indicator Indicator definitions and construction Human Resources
5.1 Availability of Skilled Labour This indicator looks at the availability of skilled labour. The assessment is based on data obtained from the Ministry of Labour and the Instituto de Pesquisa Econmica Aplicada (IPEA, the Institute for Applied Economic Research).
Scoring: 4= Very good availability 3= Good availability 2= Moderate availability 1= Limited availability 0= Very limited availability
Scoring notes: Scores are based on a number of state-level and national surveys. A nation-wide survey is conducted by the IPEA and looks at state and sector-level demand for qualified labour. The IPEA defines qualified labour as individuals with work experience in a specific sector, and/or individuals with above average years of schooling. As a result, individuals with technical or university degrees as well as those with at least 9-10 years of schooling are considered to be skilled for this research. State-level surveys include those undertaken by Fundaco Dom Cabral (FDC, a business school), the Confederao Nacional de Indstrias (CNI, National Confederation of Industry). 5.2 Labour Productivity This indicator estimates the average Gross State Product produced by an employed adult by state.
Scoring: 4= Greater than R50,000 3= R40,000-49,999 2= R30,000-39,999 1= R20,000-29,999 0= Less than R20,000
Scoring notes: Calculations utilise 2012 real GSP estimates for each state and data for employed individuals aged 15 or older taken from the 2012 Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domiclios (PNAD, National Survey of Domestic Samples) by the Instituto Brasileiro de 20 Geografia e Estatstica (IBGE, the national statistics office). 5.3 University Graduates This indicator looks at the total number of students graduating from public and private higher-education institutions (municipal, state and federal) per year by state.
Scoring: 4= 50,000 or more graduates 3= 30,000-49,999 graduates 2= 15,000-29,999 graduates 1= 5,000-14,999 graduates 0= Fewer than 5,000 graduates
Scoring notes: Data is from Instituto Nacional de Estudos e Pesquisas Educacionais (INEP, the National Institute for Education Studies and Research), a federal institution with links to the Ministry of Education, and reflects the total number of graduates from public and private federal-, state- and municipal-governed institutions by state in 2011.
6) Infrastructure This category is comprised of two indicators: Quality of the Telecom Network and Quality of the Road Network. Indicator Indicator definitions and construction Infrastructure
6.1 Quality of the Telecom Network This indicator considers the state of development of mobile and fixed broadband connections and the extent of the mobile telecommunications network in each state. Assessment covers mobile broadband subscriptions by state; the number of high-speed fixed-line broadband subscriptions (at least 2 Mbps); as well as the number of mobile phone radio transmitters (indicating mobile phone coverage capacity).
Scoring: 4= Very high quality 3= High quality 2= Moderate quality 1= Low quality 0= Very low quality 21
Scoring notes: Assessment focuses on the number of high-speed fixed-line broadband subscriptions (at least 2 Mbps), owing to the assumption that high-speed Internet is crucial to business operations. The primary source for telecommunications data is the Agncia Nacional de Telecomunicaes (Anatel, the National Telecommunications Agency, the telecoms regulator). 6.2 Quality of the Road Network This indicator looks at the quality of the highways in each state. The results are based on the findings of an annual survey undertaken by the Confederao Nacional do Transporte (CNT, the National Transport Confederation).
Scoring: 4= Very high quality (at least 75% of roads are good or very good quality) 3= High quality (60-74.9% of roads are good or very good quality) 2= Moderate quality (45-59.9% of roads are good or very good quality) 1= Low quality (30-44.9% of roads are good or very good quality) 0= Very low quality (less than 30% of roads are good or very good quality)
Scoring notes: Analysis is based on data from the Pesquisa de Rodovias (Highway Research) 2011 report produced by the Confederao Nacional do Transporte (CNT, National Transport Confederation). Creation of a scoring scheme by the EIU.
7) Innovation This category is comprised of five indicators: Public R&D Expenditure, Private R&D Expenditure, Presence of R&D Infrastructure, Fiscal Incentives for R&D, and Patent Requests. Indicator Indicator definitions and construction Innovation
7.1 Public R&D Expenditure This indicator looks at state investment in research and development (R&D) as a percentage of estimated Gross State Product in 2011.
22 Scoring: 4= Greater than 0.30% 3= 0.20-0.29% 2= 0.10-0.19% 1= 0.02-0.09% 0= Less than 0.02%
Scoring notes: Public R&D expenditure figures are published by the Ministrio da Cincia, Tecnologia e Inovao (MCT, the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation). The EIU divides state-level expenditure data by 2011 GSP estimates to ascertain public R&D expenditure as a percentage of GSP. R&D spending excludes spending on scientific and technical activities related to R&D. 7.2 Private R&D Expenditure This indicator looks at private sector investment in research and development (R&D) as a percentage of Gross State Product in 2011.
Scoring: 4= Greater than 0.60% 3= 0.50-0.59% 2= 0.40-0.49% 1= 0.30-0.39% 0= Less than 0.30%
Scoring notes: Private R&D expenditure figures are taken from the Pesquisa de Inovao (PINTEC, the Brazilian Technological Innovation Survey). The EIU uses a simple calculationdividing state-level expenditure data by 2011 GSPto ascertain public R&D expenditure as a percentage of GSP. The 2011 GSP figures are produced by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatstica (IBGE, the national statistics office). State-level private R&D data is only available for 15 states: Amazonas; Bahia; Cear; Distrito Federal; Esprito Santo; Gois; Mato Grosso; Minas Gerais; Par; Paran; Pernambuco; Rio de Janeiro; Rio Grande do Sul; Santa Catarina; and So Paulo.
For all other states, the EIU assumed that private R&D expenditure was less than 0.30% of GSP. State-level totals include spending by state-owned enterprises, but exclude spending by firms that sell their R&D services. 23 7.3 Presence of R&D Infrastructure This indicator looks at the presence of research and development (R&D) infrastructure in each state. Assessment includes the number of (non- university) R&D public and private centres; the number of universities with R&D activities; and the number of individuals with a PhD in the fields of exact (mathematics and physics) and earth sciences, engineering, agriculture, biology and health.
Scoring: 4= Very strong presence of R&D infrastructure 3= Strong presence of R&D infrastructure 2= Moderate presence of R&D infrastructure 1= Weak presence of R&D infrastructure 0= Very weak or no presence of R&D infrastructure
Scoring notes: The number of (non-university) R&D public and private centres is obtained from the results of a study undertaken by the Centro de Gesto e Estudos Estratgicos (CGEE, Center for Strategic Studies and Management in Science, Technology and Innovation) that provides information on approximately 200 R&D organisations in Brazil. The number of universities with R&D activities was estimated using data from the Diretrio de Grupos de Pesquisa (Directory of Research Groups), which is managed by the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cientfico e Tecnolgico (CNPq, National Counsel of Technological and Scientific Development). The assessment also considers data from CNPq on the number of individuals with a Ph.D. in the fields of exact and earth sciences, engineering, agriculture, biology and health. 7.4 Fiscal Incentives for R&D This indicator looks at the fiscal incentives available to private or public sector entities for spending on research and development (R&D). Assessment considers the enabling framework for incentives (i.e. state innovation incentive laws).
Scoring: 2= Numerous fiscal incentives exist; 1= Some fiscal incentives are available 0= No fiscal incentives are available
Scoring notes: State innovation incentive laws are published by 24 the Ministrio da Cincia, Tecnologia e Inovao (MCT, the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation). 7.5 Patent Requests This indicator looks at the number of patents requested by entities in each state annually.
Scoring: 4= More than 2,000 patent requests 3= 500-1,999 patent requests 2= 100-499 patent requests 1= 20-99 patent requests 0= Fewer than 20 patent requests
Scoring notes: The data for patent requests is from the Instituto Nacional da Propriedade Industrial (INPI, the National Institute for Industrial Property). Assessment is based on patent requests for 2012.
8) Sustainability This category is comprised of four indicators: State Environmental Plan/Strategy, Fiscal Incentives for Sustainability, Environmental Regulator and Quality of Environmental Legislation. Indicator Indicator definitions and construction Sustainability
8.1 State Environmental Plan/Strategy This indicator looks at states' environmental plans and strategies, which illustrate a state's commitment to environmental protection. Assessment is based on whether key environmental areas are mentioned by the state's environmental policies and pieces of legislation that set the guidelines for the states environmental protection programmes and initiatives. These areas are: air quality, water quality, energy, land use, biodiversity and forestry.
Scoring: 4= Six environmental themes are covered in the state's plan/strategy for the environment 3= Five environmental themes are covered in the state's plan/strategy for the environment 2= Four environmental themes are covered in the state's plan/strategy for the environment 1= Three environmental themes are covered in the state's plan/strategy for the environment 0= Fewer than three environmental themes are 25 covered in the state's plan/strategy for the environment
Scoring Notes: At a minimum, states environmental policies/plans/strategies should include general environmental themes that are common to all the states. The policy/plan/strategy should also reflect each states unique natural resources endowment. Oftentimes, a states environmental strategy is included in its environmental legislation. 8.2 Fiscal Incentives for Sustainability This indicator looks at what states do to encourage businesses to undertake sustainability measures.
Scoring: 2=Numerous fiscal incentives exist 1= Some fiscal incentives are available 0= No fiscal incentives are available
Scoring notes: Few states provide fiscal incentives to encourage sustainable environmental practices by businesses. The chief example of a fiscal incentive is the tax revenue sharing scheme called ICMS Ecolgico (Green VAT). The aim of the scheme is to compensate municipal governments for the loss of potential tax revenue from the designation of protected areas (mainly by the state and federal government) and also to encourage better management of existing protected areas. Assessment is largely based on state decrees, environmental legislation and state constitutions. The Taxa de Controle e Fiscalizao Ambiental (TFCA, the tax on the environmental control and regulation) is a tax applied by all states as a fee and does not constitute an incentive or a tax break. As such, it was not included in the assessment. 8.3 Environmental Regulator The existence of a dedicated institution(s) to set and enforce regulations increases the likelihood that environmental regulations will be implemented and actively enforced.
Scoring: 3= Organisation exists that sets and enforces regulations and measures to ensure compliance and enforcement are clearly defined 2= Organisation exists that sets AND enforces 26 regulations, but measures to ensure compliance and enforcement are unclear or incomplete 1= Organisation exists that sets regulations; however, no state-level organisation is mandated to ensure compliance and enforce the regulations 0= No such organisation exists to set and/or enforce regulations
Scoring notes: The research focuses on institutional and regulatory capacity and transparency. Assessment considers the comprehensiveness of state legislation in regards to environmental monitoring and in the implementation of fines/punitive actions for environmental misconduct. The research also focuses on the degree of transparency of the regulatory bodies with respect to licensing, fines and types of environmental crime/misconduct. The public accessibility of the institution is also considered. Individuals should be able to report environmental issues to the regulatory body. 8.4 Quality of Environmental Legislation The implementation of environmental measures is rooted in environmental legislation. This indicator looks at the environmental legislation covering 17 key themes by state.
Scoring: 4= Very high quality (more than 14 themes covered) 3= High quality (12-14 themes covered) 2= Moderate quality (9-11 themes covered) 1= Low quality (6-8 themes covered) 0= Very low quality (fewer than six themes covered)
Scoring notes: Assessment is based on the comprehensiveness of state legislation. This indicator looked at the federal and national legislation and compared them to the states legislation while allowing for the inclusion of each states specific pool of natural resources and environmental issues.