University of Guyana

Faculty of Technology

ENGINEERING HYDROLOGY
ASSIGNMENT #3
Rainfall Intensity-Duration Analysis Statistical Series, return values and IDR curves
[30 Minutes, 6 Hours & 24 Hours Rainfall in Georgetown, up to 2004]

LECTURER: Mr.Veecock
13th October, 20147-10-

Group Members:
LEWIS, Natasha

Reg. # 14/0933/0021

EDWARDS, Eketa

Reg. # 13/0933/2194

CLARKE, Chrysann

Reg. # 13/0933/1392

CARRYL, Larry

Reg. # 13/0933/1426

TAKCHANDRA, Jaikeshan

Reg. # 13/0933/1323

LEWIS, Jayson

Reg. # 14/0933/2062

Calculations:

Tabulated Values for Xi,

, (

) , m and

For 30 Minute Readings

n= 25
Xi= 783.2
Therefore: x =
=
= 31.328
Sx, by square of derivatives =

=
=
= 9.043
Sn, for n=25, = 1.0915. [from Table A.4]
Y
n , for n=25, = 0.5309 [from Table A.4]
Therefore, finding XTr using:

When YTr = 0.3665, for 2-year period:

, are shown in the appendix.

Then: X2 = 31.328 + (

)* 9.043

= 29.966

When YTr = 1.4999, for 5-year period:

Then: X5 = 31.328 + (

)* 9.043

= 39.356

When YTr is given as: -(0.834+2.303log(log(Tr/Tr-1)))

Then, for a 30-year period: Y30= -(0.834+2.303log(log(30/30-1))) = 3.385
Then: X30 = 31.328 + (
= 54.974

)* 9.043

For 6 Hour Readings

n= 25
Xi= 2158.5
Therefore: x =
=
= 86.34
Sx, by square of derivatives =

=
=
= 21.435
Sn, for n=25, = 1.0915. [from Table A.4]
Y
n , for n=25, = 0.5309 [from Table A.4]
Therefore, finding XTr using:

When YTr = 0.3665, for 2-year period:

Then: X2 = 86.34 + (
= 86.34 + (

)* 21.435
)* 21.435

= 86.34 + (
)* 21.435
= 86.34 + (-3.228)
= 83.11

When YTr = 0.1.4999, for 5-year period:

Then: X5 = 86.34 + (
= 86.34 + (

)* 21.435
)* 21.435

= 86.34 + (
)* 21.435
= 86.34 + (19.029)
= 105.369

When YTr is given as: -(0.834+2.303log(log(Tr/Tr-1)))

Then, for a 30-year period: Y30= -(0.834+2.303log(log(30/30-1))) = 3.385
Then: X30 = 86.34 + (
= 86.34 + (

)* 21.435
)* 21.435

= 86.34 + (
)* 21.435
= 86.34 + (56.049)
= 142.389

For 24Hour Readings

n= 45
Xi= 4451.9
Therefore: x =
=
= 98.9
Sx, by square of derivatives =

=
=
= 25.638
Sn, for n=45, = 1.1519. [from Table A.4]
Y
n , for n=45, = 0.5463 [from Table A.4]
Therefore, finding XTr using:

When YTr = 0.3665, for 2-year period:

Then: X2 = 98.9 + (
= 98.9 + (

)* 25.638
)* 25.638

= 98.9 + (
)* 25.638
= 98.9 + (-4.002)
= 94.898

When YTr = 1.4999, for 5-year period:

Then: X5 = 98.9 + (
= 98.9 + (

)* 25.638
)* 25.638

= 98.9 + (
)* 25.638
= 98.9 + (21.224)
= 120.124

When YTr is given as: -(0.834+2.303log(log(Tr/Tr-1)))

Then, for a 30-year period: Y30= -(0.834+2.303log(log(30/30-1))) = 3.385
Then: X30 = 98.9 + (
= 98.9 + (

)* 25.638
)* 25.638

= 98.9 + (
)* 25.638
= 98.9 + (63.181)
= 162.081

Intensity-Duration Curves (with trendline approximation)

120.0
0.5, 109.9

Intensity (mm/hour)

100.0

80.0

0.5, 78.7

60.0

0.5, 59.9

y = 76.904e-0.107x
40.0
y = 55.67e-0.105x
6, 23.7

20.0

6, 17.6
6, 13.9

24, 6.8

y = 42.893e-0.104x

24, 5.0

24, 4.0

0.0
0

10

15

20

25

Rainfall Duration (Hours)

2-Year

5-Year

30-Year

Expon. (2-Year)

Expon. (5-Year)

Data set
Duration
(hrs)
0.5
6
24

Rainfall (mm)

Intensity (mm/hr)

29.966
83.11
94.898

59.9
13.9
4.0

2 Year Return Period

0.5
6
24

39.356
105.369
120.124

78.7
17.6
5.0

5 Year Return Period

0.5
6
24

54.974
142.389
162.081

109.9
23.7
6.8

30 Year Return Period

Expon. (30-Year)

Appendix One (Prerequisite calculations)

Year
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

Xi
61
69
83
125
141.7
93.7
96.5
119.9
85.3
97
100.8
86.6
98.9
81.5
174
106
118.1
79.8
92
73.7
104.1
110.8
100.4
68.5
93
70.7
70.2
146.2
146.3
93.2
80.2
99
74
90.2
100
153
105.3
82.8
97.3
105.4
78.2
114.2
75.5
68
141.9
4451.9

m
45
42
31
7
6
21
23
8
30
22
16
29
20
33
1
12
9
35
27
39
15
11
17
43
26
40
41
4
3
25
34
19
38
28
18
2
14
32
21
13
36
10
37
44
5

24 Hour Rainfall data

n+1/m
Xi1.0
-37.9
1.1
-29.9
1.5
-15.9
6.6
26.1
7.7
42.8
2.2
-5.2
2.0
-2.4
5.8
21.0
1.5
-13.6
2.1
-1.9
2.9
1.9
1.6
-12.3
2.3
0.0
1.4
-17.4
46.0
75.1
3.8
7.1
5.1
19.2
1.3
-19.1
1.7
-6.9
1.2
-25.2
3.1
5.2
4.2
11.9
2.7
1.5
1.1
-30.4
1.8
-5.9
1.2
-28.2
1.1
-28.7
11.5
47.3
15.3
47.4
1.8
-5.7
1.4
-18.7
2.4
0.1
1.2
-24.9
1.6
-8.7
2.6
1.1
23.0
54.1
3.3
6.4
1.4
-16.1
2.2
-1.6
3.5
6.5
1.3
-20.7
4.6
15.3
1.2
-23.4
1.0
-30.9
9.2
43.0

(Xi-X)^2
1438.8
895.9
253.8
679.6
1829.2
27.4
5.9
439.7
185.8
3.7
3.5
152.1
0.0
303.8
5635.3
50.0
367.4
366.0
48.0
636.6
26.7
140.9
2.2
926.1
35.2
797.0
825.5
2234.3
2243.8
32.8
350.9
0.0
621.6
76.2
1.1
2923.4
40.6
260.2
2.7
41.8
429.8
233.1
549.0
956.7
1846.3
28,920.48

(Xi)^2
3,721.00
4,761.00
6,889.00
15,625.00
20,078.89
8,779.69
9,312.25
14,376.01
7,276.09
9,409.00
10,160.64
7,499.56
9,781.21
6,642.25
30,276.00
11,236.00
13,947.61
6,368.04
8,464.00
5,431.69
10,836.81
12,276.64
10,080.16
4,692.25
8,649.00
4,998.49
4,928.04
21,374.44
21,403.69
8,686.24
6,432.04
9,801.00
5,476.00
8,136.04
10,000.00
23,409.00
11,088.09
6,855.84
9,467.29
11,109.16
6,115.24
13,041.64
5,700.25
4,624.00
20,135.61
469,351.89

Year
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
203
2004

Year
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004

Xi
59.8
110.7
81.3
63.7
62.1
70.7
68.8
146.2
109
89.2
73.1
100.8
97.8
113.2
87.4
95.3
89.9
114.4
76.2
74
77.8
64.1
75.5
59.1
98.4
2158.5

Xi
31.8
36.5
20.8
28.2
19.4
36
21.5
56.5
37
28
50
32
33.5
26
28.6
31.2
36.9
31
28.6
21.4
24.9
19.5
31.6
28.3
44
783.2

m
24
4
13
22
23
19
20
1
5
11
18
6
8
3
12
9
10
2
15
17
14
21
16
25
7

m
10
6
23
17
25
7
21
1
4
18
2
9
8
19
15
12
5
13
16
22
20
24
11
15
3

6 Hour Rainfall date

n+1/m
Xi-
1.1
-26.5
6.5
24.4
2.0
-5.0
1.2
-22.6
1.1
-24.2
1.4
-15.6
1.3
-17.5
26.0
59.9
5.2
22.7
2.4
2.9
1.4
-13.2
4.3
14.5
3.3
11.5
8.7
26.9
2.2
1.1
2.9
9.0
2.6
3.6
13.0
28.1
1.7
-10.1
1.5
-12.3
1.9
-8.5
1.2
-22.2
1.6
-10.8
1.0
-27.2
3.7
12.1

30 Minute Rainfall Data

n+1/m
Xi-
2.6
0.5
4.3
5.2
1.1
-10.5
1.5
-3.1
1.0
-11.9
3.7
4.7
1.2
-9.8
26.0
25.2
6.5
5.7
1.4
-3.3
13.0
18.7
2.9
0.7
3.3
2.2
1.4
-5.3
1.7
-2.7
2.2
-0.1
5.2
5.6
2.0
-0.3
1.6
-2.7
1.2
-9.9
1.3
-6.4
1.1
-11.8
2.4
0.3
1.7
-3.0
8.7
12.7

(Xi-)^2
704.4
593.4
25.4
512.6
587.6
244.6
307.7
3583.2
513.5
8.2
175.3
209.1
131.3
721.5
1.1
80.3
12.7
787.4
102.8
152.3
72.9
494.6
117.5
742.0
145.4
11,026.70

(Xi-)^2
0.223
26.750
110.839
9.784
142.277
21.828
96.590
633.630
32.172
11.076
348.644
0.452
4.718
28.388
7.442
0.016
31.047
0.108
7.442
98.565
41.319
139.902
0.074
9.169
160.580
1,963.03

(Xi)^2
3,576.04
12,254.49
6,609.69
4,057.69
3,856.41
4,998.49
4,733.44
21,374.44
11,881.00
7,956.64
5,343.61
10,160.64
9,564.84
12,814.24
7,638.76
9,082.09
8,082.01
13,087.36
5,806.44
5,476.00
6,052.84
4,108.81
5,700.25
3,492.81
9,682.56
197,391.59

(Xi)^2
1,011.24
1,332.25
432.64
795.24
376.36
1,296.00
462.25
3,192.25
1,369.00
784.00
2,500.00
1,024.00
1,122.25
676.00
817.96
973.44
1,361.61
961.00
817.96
457.96
620.01
380.25
998.56
800.89
1,936.00
26,499.12

Appendix Two (tables)