Pavla Vodov
Assistant Professor
at
Silesian University, School of Business Administration
Department of Finance
Univerzitn nm. 76
733 40 Karvin
Czech Republic
phone: +420 596 398 306
e-mail: vodova@opf.slu.cz
ABSTRACT
This paper defines what the banking crisis is, how to identify the banking crisis, enumerate
possible causes of the banking crisis and briefly characterises the banking crisis in the Czech Republic.
One of the factors that usually stand behind the banking crisis is inadequate risk management. Therefore
after the description of parts of credit risk and methods of credit risk mitigation the evolution of approach
toward the credit risk and the using of methods of credit risk mitigation in the Czech Republic are
analysed.
Keywords: banking crisis, causes of the crisis, credit risk management, nonperforming loans, collateral,
credit risk transfer
Research area: banking and finance
1. INTRODUCTION
In recent decades, many countries have experienced banking sector problems. According to
some studies, at least two-thirds of IMF member countries have gone through banking crisis in last
twenty years. The banking sector faced to banking crises in the Czech Republic as well.
One of the factors standing behind banking crises is risk management in banking, together with
risk exposure of banks. Pirner (2003) maintained that from total exposure of Czech banks credit risk
makes up 60 70 %, operational risk 20 30 % and market risk only about 10 %. Consequently this
paper will analyse the contribution of credit risk management and credit risk exposure of banking sector
to the Czech banking crisis.
The second chapter characterises what a banking crisis is and how to identify it. Possible causes
of banking crises are divided into macroeconomic and microeconomic. The description of the banking
crisis in the Czech Republic is mentioned in the third chapter.
The fourth chapter briefly discusses the problem of credit risk, its components and determinants.
Possible methods of credit risk mitigation and problems connected with these methods are characterised.
The evolution of the approach towards credit risk in the Czech Republic is described in fifth
chapter. The structure of credit portfolios of Czech big banks and methods of credit risk mitigation used
by these banks are analysed.
IMF (1998): A banking crisis refers to a situation in which actual or potential bank runs or failures
induce banks to suspend the internal convertibility of their liabilities or which compels the
government to intervene to prevent this by extending assistance on a large scale.
Slaessens, Klingebiel and Laeven (2001): A systemic banking crisis is a situation where an
economy faces large-scale financial distress within a short period.
Gupta (1996): A banking panics occurs when bank debt holders at all or many banks in the
banking system suddenly demand that banks convert their debt claims into cash to such an extent
that the banks suspend convertibility of their debt into cash.
All these definitions specify banking crisis as a situation in which most of the banking sector is
affected by the financial distress. This means that problems of an individual bank do not signify the
systemic banking crisis.
Number of bank failures usage of this indicator can be a little misguided: due to the public
intervention not all of the affected banks need to failure (especially when it comes to state-owned
banks or big banks1);
Intervention acts of the government (for example deposit guarantees, bank recapitalization plans,
deposit freezes, nationalizations etc.);
Level of nonperforming loans the applied threshold differs among studies: Caprio and Klingebiel
(1997) exercise the threshold about 5 10 % of total loans, Goldstein and Turner (1996) determine
the share as 15 20 % of total loans;
Costs of the crisis paid from the government budget the threshold differs as well: Caprio and
Klingebiel (1997) apply as the threshold 2 % of GDP, Goldstein and Turner (1996) consider that
the costs should increase 5 % of GDP in case of a banking crisis.
It is evident that the exact identification and timing of banking crisis is difficult and that is the
reason why many economists rely on expert judgement and use it in their studies.
Macroeconomic instability;
Nonperforming loans.
Although all banks in a country are exposed to the same macroeconomic conditions generally
not all of them fail. The appropriate approach of banks management can substantially reduce the
probability of financial distress. From this idea arises microeconomic causes of banking crises:
Frauds of management;
For example Goldstein and Turner (1996), Ingves (2002), Jon (1997), Polouek (1999)
3
of their bad financial situation3, the others because of mergers and sales. The share of nonperforming
loans strongly exceeded both thresholds mentioned in previous chapter (see Appendix 1).
Although the segment of small and medium sized banks has only 9 % share of the bank sector in
1993 (and it does not correspond to definitions of banking crises because 9 % share on bank market is
not large scale financial distress), the number of failure banks has substantially weakened public
confidence in the banking sector. The support of public confidence was main reason why the
Consolidation Program II4 at the end of 1995 and the Stabilization Program later were applied. These
programs should help small and medium sized banks through capital injection and transfer of
nonperforming loans from banks.
The second period of the banking crisis concerned troubles of big state owned banks. Though
the indicator number of failures has no sense to use because these banks were too big to fail, the share
of nonperforming loans exceeded 30 % in 1999 and strongly confirm the existence of systemic banking
crisis. Due to the Consolidation Program I these banks have started their enterprise with healthy balance
sheets so their following problems were produced by both macroeconomic and microeconomic causes
of banking crises (see previous chapter). Jimnez and Saurina (2002) came to the conclusion that
Spanish savings bank which have no shareholders or owners have higher level of credit risk than
Spanish banks. They explained it by problem of adverse selection. This argument can be no doubt
applied very well on Czech big state owned banks because state is an unpretentious owner. Bank
managers were those who take most advantages from this situation. It supported strongly moral hazard
of the management. Moreover the problem of moral hazard was worsened by the fact that it concerned
banks that were too big to fail and management relied on it.
The financial situation in 3 Czech big banks - esk spoitelna (S), eskoslovensk obchodn
banka (SOB) and Komern banka (KB) is documented by selected economic indicators see
following tables.
Table 1 Selected economic indicators of eskoslovensk obchodn banka
Indicator
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
13.33 %
18.16 %
20.24 %
13.70 %
15.04 %
13.99 %
ROAE
11.24 %
12.11 %
9.57 %
14.26 %
16.49 %
16.65 %
ROAA
1.15 %
1.29 %
1.11 %
1.18 %
1.05 %
1.11 %
28.55 %
19.55 %
32.17 %
24.97 %
17.61 %
10.62 %
Nonperforming loans
15 banks have problems with bad asset quality, 1 bank with liquidity. 1 bank has lost its licence due to frauds.
Consolidation Program I concerned the transfer of debts from state owned banks to a special institution
Konsolidan banka
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
8.97 %
9.20 %
13.62 %
16.00 %
16.50 %
16.80 %
ROAE
n.a.
0.20 %
7.60 %
21.40 %
ROAA
n.a.
0.01 %
0.04 %
1.10%
Nonperforming loans
n.a.
14.18 %
23.44 %
38.60 %
19.70 %
14.40 %
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
8.31 %
9.56 %
10.69 %
14.38 %
15.18 %
13.40 %
ROAE
1.72 %
11.60 %
30.60 %
ROAA
0.12 %
0.60 %
2.00 %
25.99 %
28.65 %
32.81 %
33.70 %
24.20 %
15.48 %
Nonperforming loans
being confirmed by improvement of important financial ratios, by increasing profits of banks and by
more professional and competitive services.
Risk of customer it consists in risk that the borrower will be not able or willing to meet its
obligation. To reduce this risk the bank should be able to separate bad customers from those with
low probability of default. Therefore every bank should have defined procedures of appreciation of
credit applicants (used methods of financial analysis or scoring, documents required for applicants,
etc.). In order to lower the credit risk banks should set a limit of maximum amount of money that
can be provided to one borrower. This limit can not be less strict than limits set by central bank or
other regulatory institution.
Political and territorial risks these are risks connected with providing loans to foreign borrower
and represent the situation that most entities in a country become unable to service their debts due to
some economic, social, legal or political conditions. Banks should set limits to individual countries
according to the level of their risk (macroeconomic situation, internal and external indebtedness
etc.).
Transfer risk is risk that because of global shortage of foreign currencies in a country it is impossible
to service the debts. Banks should set limits as well.
Probability that the bank would lower its loss from any kind of credit risk mitigation depends on:
Type of borrowers default. It determines not only probability of lower loss but as well costs
connected with recovering of money from the borrower. It depends on the procedure that follows
the break of the contract5.
The use of method of credit risk mitigation. Existence of some kind of risk mitigation (see chapter
4.3) minimises credit risk if it can be easily enforced at some significant value. The value depends
upon the nature and market conditions.
For example renegotiation, restructuralization of the debt, obligation to pay all outstanding balances, legal
procedures etc.
7
Historical and predicted financial statements (balance sheet, income statement and cash flow
statement) and business plan are integral parts of the credit application when companies or entrepreneurs
apply for a loan. The final decision is the result of expert evaluation of commercial and financial risk of
the borrower. Commercial risk of the borrower consists of factors as payment history of the client6,
analysis of the economic sector in which the applicant operates (its current position, future expected
position, level of competition, sensitivity to anti-dumped cycle, level of regulation in the sector etc.) and
the exact analysis of the credit application (amount and currency, collateral and maturity compared with
banks limits). The methods of financial analysis are applied in the course of assessing the level of
financial risk (the analysis of cash flow, liquidity, gearing and profitability indicates the ability to pay).
The process of evaluation an application for a loan to individual is much more simple and
standardised than in case of loans to companies. The bank has less information at the credit application at
disposal (information about average salary, length of employment) so further information are needed.
The bank can obtain information about historical payment willingness and about current outstanding
loans from credit agency or from its experience with the borrower. Decision about granting the loan is
usually made after use of scoring.
Both for applications of legal entities and individuals, the output of the credit analysis is the
classing of applicant into the appropriate risk group (internal ratings) and so to decide whether the credit
provides or not. In case of companies, the bank has (or will have in the future) the possibility to use
external rating (i.e. information from external rating agencies).
The accurate and perfect separation of good and bad borrowers becomes much harder in the
period of relatively high interest rates. Such a situation strongly deteriorates the problem of adverse
selection. The adverse selection is connected with the phase before providing the loan. It consists in the
fact that subjects with the most risky projects have the biggest interest on obtaining the loan. Applying
the thesis the higher the risk the greater the revenue it is evident that in the period of high interest rates
most of credit applicants are those with high probability of default. The increasing share of
nonperforming loans in banks portfolio brings the need of refundment of potential losses. Banks have to
create loan loss provisions; this process heightens costs, cuts profits and can lead to serious financial
distress.
After the loan is provided, it is necessary to look after the usage and repayment of it and care
about the value of the collateral (when used). The bank has to monitor also the structure and evolution of
the whole credit portfolio with the aim to eliminate the exceeding of the set limits.
Collateral or some kind of credit risk transfer
Possible kinds of assets that can be pledged as a collateral, possible of forms of credit risk
transfer and their influence on the level of credit risk are characterised in chapter 4.3.
Structure of credit portfolio
The structure of credit portfolio is determined by type of the borrower, currency and size of the
loans and by their maturity.
Type of borrowers
How can type of the borrower influences credit risk? To this issue belongs many factors, for
example the fact whether the borrower is an individual (or households) or a company, how the financial
6
Such information can be drawn from banks own experience or from special credit agencies (where exists)
8
health of the borrower is, how length the relationship between bank and borrower is etc. The roles of
some of these factors in the assessing process of credit rationing are described above.
Thanks to a close relationship between the banks and borrowers the banks can obtain extremely
valuable information about the borrower, about its financial situation. Such companies can benefit from
this situation, mainly in case of a need of credit with advantageous interest rate. According to Jimnez
and Saurina (2002) banks are willing to provide loans even to more risky borrowers if they have a close
relationship to the bank.
When it comes to the currency of provided loans, Jimnez and Saurina (2002) came to the
conclusion that the probability of default is substantially and significantly lower for loans in foreign
currency than for loans in national currency. They explained it by the fact that loans in foreign currency
create only a small part of loan portfolio of the bank so they are scored and evaluated more in details.
It is possible to look on the size of the loan in two ways. The greater the sum of money that the
bank lent to one borrower the greater the potential loss for the bank is.
On the other hand, the size of loans is usually related to the size of the borrower. The greater,
older and with more stable financial position the company is the greater the loan can be. When it comes
to small or new companies with greater risk loans tend to be smaller. Banks usually monitor higher loans
more carefully and rigorously. Moreover, the decision-making process in granting loan is more difficult
and involves large number of employees with greater experience in case of great size loan, comparing to
small loans. Most studies support this kind of approach to the size of the loan7.
Maturity
Likewise the influence of maturity on the credit risk can be reviewed in two ways. The longer
the maturity the greater the risk of borrowers encountering problems. This uncertainty is usually
penalised by higher risk premium. In a situation of asymmetric information a borrower knows much
more about his company, about credit quality of his company. Therefore the borrower with low credit
risk will prefer short-term loan: he will signal the low level of credit risk and borrow money with lower
costs.
However it is possible to look on the maturity on the contrary. Long-term loans are monitored
and evaluated in the same way as great size loans more rigorously and in more details with respect to the
risk that during the long period of duration of the contract the borrowers financial health changes
significantly. Jimnez and Saurina (2002) confirmed partly this theory: they came to conclusion that very
short-term (loans with maturity under three months, for example unauthorised overdrafts of credit frames
or current accounts etc.) and medium-term loans have greater probability of default than long-term loans.
In contrary, the theory of credit quality signalling was proved for maturity between three months and a
year (the default probability was lower than for long-term loans).
Berger and Udell (1990), Booth (1992), Jimnez and Saurina (2002), etc.
9
insureds) and those to whom the credit risk is passed on (also known as risk takers, protection sellers, risk
buyers, insurers or guarantors) see diagram 1.
Diagram 1 Stylised summary of relationships affected by credit risk transfer
Before
Borrower
Lender
Lenders creditors/shareholders
Screening, monitoring
Disclosure
After
Screening, monitoring,
moral hazard
Borrower
Disclosure
Lender/risk shedder
Screening,
monitoring
Lenders creditors/shareholders
Principal/agent problems
Incomplete contracting
Asymmetric information
Risk taker
Risk takers
Disclosure
11
The risk taker can be faced with a type of asymmetric information with adverse selection
problem. This situation could arise by overstating the credit quality of transferred exposure by the risk
shedder because the lender has better information about the creditworthiness of its borrowers. Several
steps to protect risk takers have been made:
Single name credit risk transfer instruments are traded only for corporates and sovereigns about
which a significant amount of information is available;
Risk shedder typically select loans randomly from its portfolio under the monitoring of rating
agencies of auditors in case of ABSs;
Risk takers often require risk shedders to retain some proportion of the first-loss tranche in case of
portfolio credit risk transfer;
Risk takers typically require risk shedders to disclose any material facts about the creditworthiness
of the borrowers in case of credit insurance;
The strategy of overstating the credit quality is not profitable in long term due to reputational risk
and long term interest on credit transfer.
According to the funding instruments of credit risk transfer can be classified to funded and
unfunded the distinction consists in the fact whether the risk shedder receives funds in the transaction
or not. Credit risk transfer instruments can be classified also according to the fact whether the shedder
transfers credit risk of individual borrower or portfolio. Risk can be transferred directly (between risk
shedder and risk taker) or indirectly (through a special purpose vehicle - SPV). This classification is
mentioned in Table 4.
Table 4 Characteristics of credit risk transfer instruments
Single name
Funded
Unfunded
Loan trading
Credit-linked notes
Synthetic CDOs
foreign trade operation. Loans guaranteed by individuals or legal entities are much more widened. After
an event, the third party (guarantor) repays lender face value of debt and takes over claim on the
borrower.
Credit insurance represents a kind of unfunded credit risk transfer that is suitable for single name
instruments. It is typically provided by specialist insurance companies to support trade credit and often
used by beneficiaries to obtain bank financing of the receivables. The risk shedder pays regular insurance
premiums and the risk taker pays amount depending on conditions defined in contract of insurance
(usually up to any limit) in case of a loss event.
In asset-backed securities (ABSs), an underlying pool of assets (such as mortgage loans or credit
card receivables which are homogeneous) is transfer to a special purpose vehicle that holds it as a
collateral to back the securities issued to investors. To obtain higher ratings for the securities the credit
and liquidity enhancements are used. Credit enhancements such as letters of credits or guarantees from
highly rated financial institution lower the credit risk for investors; liquidity enhancements compensate
the incomplete synchronisation of interest payments or cover rollover risk when maturities of the
underlying assets and maturity of the securities do not coincide.
Many types of derivatives belong to methods of credit risk transfer. Credit default swaps can be
used for single name loans, others for portfolio. The use of credit-linked notes and collateralised debt
obligations bring funds, other instruments are unfunded.
A credit default swap (CDS) is a bilateral financial contract in which the risk shedder pays a
fixed periodic fee in return for a contingent payment by the risk taker triggered by a credit event on a
reference asset. CDSs are based on standardised documentation to encourage trading.
In portfolio credit default swaps (unfunded synthetic securitisation) the risk transfer is achieved
without any change in legal ownership of the underlying assets either via a series of single name CDSs
or a single CDS referenced to all the loans in the portfolio. A basket credit default swap is similar to CDS
in which the credit event is the default of some combination of the credits in a specified basket of loans.
The risk shedder pays regular premiums over life of the swap; the risk taker pays amount depending on
agreed conditions in the contract after a credit event occurs.
Credit-linked notes embed credit derivatives in a security issued by the risk shedder. The
performance of the note is linked directly to the performance of the reference pool. The investor receives
coupon payments that include a risk premium and par redemption at maturity. If the risk taker wants to
avoid counterparty risk9 a special purpose vehicle may be used and then it becomes a synthetic
collateralised debt obligation.
When it comes to collateralised debt obligation (CDO), credit risk is transferred from the risk
shedder to an special purpose vehicle either by a transfer and selling of the assets (cash CDOs) or
synthetically by use of credit derivatives (synthetic CDOs). CDOs can be structured as static portfolio or
as managed pools where the portfolio manager can alter portfolio composition subject to limitations on
concentration.
The concentration of use of the credit risk transfer instruments varies across instruments and
from country to country. Although the development in credit risk transfer methods is lately very robust
and trends in this area seems to be firmly established they have only a small impact in the banking sector
as a whole (with exception of mortgages and credit card receivables in some countries) see table 5.
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
34
40
61
78
79
102
118
180
350
586
893
1189
144
287
426
395
810
1398
816
947
1114
68
80
134
85
125
167
42
71
114
26904
27221
27442
- US OCC
- Risk Magazine
Asset-backed securities
- US market (outstanding)
315
403
517
684
19
48
23424
23576
23309
26018
problem was worsened by the relatively high level of interest rates which brought the problem of adverse
selection (see figure 1) and by negative influence of frauds.
Figure 1 The evolution of nominal and real interest rates in the Czech Republic12
20,0
15,0
10,0
5,0
0,0
-5,0
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
nominal
14,9
13,0
13,2
13,4
16,2
14,7
8,6
6,1
6,3
real
-2,8
2,5
4,9
4,4
5,6
7,4
6,0
2,0
2,1
12
Annual average interest rates from new provided loans; real interest rates are deflated by CPI
15
Actually, the Czech banks have the choice between two possible ways of classification of
credits: either to classify single name loans or to classify credit portfolio. In case of single name loans
classification, credits are classified into five groups standard, watched (provisions 1 %), non-standard
(20 %), doubtful (50 %) and loss (100 %). As a credit portfolio can be classified sufficient large
portfolios of homogenous receivables (e.g. credit card receivables). The provisions are created according
to statistical estimates of expected losses of these portfolios.
The Czech central bank has set following limits of credit exposure: the net credit exposure of the
bank one subject or economic joint persons can not be higher than 25 % of banks capital and not higher
than 20 % in case of subjects with special relationship to the bank. The total amount of net credit
exposures to subjects of economic joint persons with exposure higher than 10 % of banks capital can
not exceed 800 % of banks capital.
The establishment of two special credit agencies can help to assess the creditworthiness of
borrowers better. Five Czech banks have participated on establishment of the credit agency, which has
started on 13th June 2002. Banks usually give above two thousands questions a day to the agency. The
agency contains information how instalment and non-instalment loans and credit card receivables are
repaid until four years after the end of the loan contracts but only for loans to individuals.
In contrary, the Czech central bank has started the operation of its own credit agency in
November 2002. It contains information about loans to companies and entrepreneurs. Nevertheless, this
agency is being used much less frequent see figure 2.
Figure 2 The number of answered question in credit agency of Czech national bank
600
400
200
0
Questions
XI.02
XII.02
I.03
II.03
III.03
IV.03
V.03
VI.03
XI.02
XII.02
I.03
II.03
III.03
IV.03
V.03
VI.03
199
171
257
318
382
390
423
447
Source: www.cnb.cz
16
Table 6 Credit portfolio of eskoslovensk obchodn banka (in percent of total credits)
Economic sector
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Non-financial institutions
77.2 %
81.2 %
77.7 %
66.2 %
n.a.
Insurance, Finance
17.6 %
5.9 %
7.6 %
7.9 %
n.a.
Government sector
0.2 %
0.4 %
1.8 %
11.2 %
n.a.
Non-profitable institutions
0.0 %
0.0 %
0.1 %
0.1 %
n.a.
Inhabitants
0.8 %
1.1 %
2.1 %
2.4 %
n.a.
Foreign countries
3.9 %
11.2 %
10.8 %
11.6 %
n.a.
Others
0.3 %
0.3 %
0.0 %
0.7 %
n.a.
19.55 %
32.17 %
24.97 %
17.61 %
10.62 %
Nonperforming loans
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Financial institutions
45.8 %
53.9 %
9.1 %
7.5 %
7.7 %
Inhabitants
12.3 %
13.2 %
25.3 %
19.3 %
26.8 %
Trade
8.2 %
5.6 %
13.2 %
8.7 %
5.9 %
Energetic industry
2.1 %
2.4 %
4.2 %
2.7 %
2.7 %
State institutions
2.5 %
2.0 %
4.2 %
31.6 %
27.8 %
Building industry
1.9 %
1.4 %
2.8 %
1.3 %
0.9 %
Hotels, Restaurants
1.9 %
0.9 %
1.9 %
1.0 %
0.9 %
Processing industry
5.2 %
2.0 %
15.5 %
11.5 %
10.1 %
Others
20.1 %
18.6 %
23.7 %
16.3 %
17.2 %
Nonperforming loans
14.18 %
23.44 %
38.60 %
19.70 %
14.40 %
13
With an exception of the category state institutions because it contains esk konsolidan agentura in 2001
and 2002
17
processing industry. Significant part of provided credits represents loans to trade companies. Selected
financial ratios documented the average financial positions of these economic sectors see Appendix 2.
The financial health of trading firms was not very satisfied in 1998 2000: the average firm of
this sector closed its book with a loss. Financial leverage was too high, the income was not enough to
cover the interest expenses therefore these firms could potentially have difficulties with repaying their
debts. Slightly different was the situation in processing industry: the equity ratio gained more favourable
values, as well as coverage of interests ratio. Except of 1999, this sector was on average profitable.
Although the average values do not need to reflect the real financial health of Ss borrowers,
nevertheless, they could be used as an indicator of potential cause of the huge share of nonperforming
loans in this period.
Table 8 Credit portfolio of Komern banka (in percent of total credits)
Economic sector
Agriculture
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
6.7 %
6.4 %
6.4 %
3.8 %
4.1 %
Processing industry
40.2 %
38.3 %
34.8 %
22.7 %
20.7 %
Energetic industry
3.8 %
4.2 %
5.3 %
3.9 %
4.0 %
Building industry
4.3 %
3.9 %
3.3 %
1.9 %
2.5 %
27.1 %
26.0 %
21.7 %
16.5 %
19.5 %
6.0 %
6.0 %
7.7 %
5.4 %
4.3 %
23.8 %
20.2 %
Others
11.9 %
15.1 %
20.8 %
22.0 %
24.7 %
Nonperforming loans
28.65 %
32.81 %
33.70 %
24.20 %
15.48 %
18
derivatives and securitization. Only one special institution offers the credit risk insurance. Table 9 - 11
shows, which methods are used by Czech big banks.
Table 9 Methods of credit risk mitigation used in SOB (in percent of total credits)
Instrument
Bank and state guarantee
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
42.8 %
35.7 %
15.6 %
6.8 %
5.8 %
Pledge of receivable
9.5 %
11.7 %
4.1 %
5.2 %
0.1 %
4.7 %
4.9 %
4.6 %
3.7 %
5.8 %
Pledge of deposit
0.6 %
1.4 %
0.3 %
0.3 %
0.4 %
Pledge of securities
0.3 %
0.3 %
0.2 %
0.1 %
0.3 %
1.1 %
1.6 %
0.9 %
2.7 %
0.1 %
1.3 %
0.6 %
0.2 %
0.2 %
0.3 %
0.0 %
0.0 %
45.2 %
41.5 %
0.0 %
Other
0.9 %
0.5 %
0.3 %
0.6 %
12.2 %
39.0 %
43.3 %
28.5 %
38.9 %
75.2 %
Unsecured loans
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
0.6 %
0.5 %
9.0 %
33.2 %
27.4 %
8.5 %
5.3 %
3.4 %
1.2 %
0.2 %
38.0 %
36.2 %
27.4 %
20.3 %
24.4 %
2.5 %
0.9 %
0.4 %
0.2 %
0.5 %
Pledge of deposit
0.4 %
0.1 %
1.1 %
0.7 %
0.7 %
Pledge of securities
4.1 %
3.4 %
1.3 %
0.3 %
0.7 %
Pledge of receivable
7.5 %
9.2 %
4.0 %
5.0 %
5.2 %
17.7 %
19.2 %
14.3 %
1.1 %
0.9 %
Unsecured loan
20.8 %
25.0 %
39.1 %
38.1 %
40.0 %
19
amount. The category bank and state guarantee contents the guarantee of esk konsolidan agentura,
so the share of other bank and state guarantees is not so significant. The pledge of real estates is use far
more often. The novelette of arrangement of loan classification therefore could mean the obligation to
create large volume of provisions and this could be one of the reasons of undermined financial health of
esk spoitelna.
Table 11 Methods of credit risk mitigation used in KB (in % of total nominal value of credit risk
mitigation)
Instrument
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
n.a.
3.2 %
3.4 %
20.1 %
20.1 %
Bank guarantee
n.a.
0.7 %
1.1 %
1.2 %
1.9 %
n.a.
0.5 %
0.6 %
0.5 %
0.5 %
Pledge of security
n.a.
0.0 %
0.0 %
4.3 %
0.1 %
n.a.
74.5 %
71.9 %
51.5 %
52.4 %
n.a.
1.7 %
2.6 %
3.3 %
3.6 %
n.a.
9.4 %
8.0 %
5.8 %
6.6 %
Guarantee of individual
n.a.
1.9 %
1.6 %
1.6 %
2.2 %
Pledge of receivable
n.a.
2.1 %
2.7 %
5.7 %
9.6 %
n.a.
2.2 %
2.7 %
1.7 %
1.5 %
Other
n.a.
3.8 %
5.4 %
4.4 %
1.6 %
6. CONCLUSION
Although through the Consolidation Program I the state cleaned up the banks balance sheets by
transferring of nonperforming loans to special institution Konsolidan banka, the Czech banking sector
has experienced a banking crisis. At the peak of the crisis, the share of nonperforming loans exceeded
30 % of total credits. Such a huge level of nonperforming loans was caused by a combination of several
factors working together.
Banks played a key role in process of transition from central planned to market economy. The
enormous demand for credits needed to privatization has been satisfied under the conditions of
insufficiently prepared legislative and under the lack of needed knowledge and experiences with credit
risk management and assessing of creditworthiness of borrowers. The situation was complicated by the
20
macroeconomic instability and relatively high level of interest rates, which deteriorates the problem of
adverse selection, and by the fact that the state ownership of some banks worsened the moral hazard of
the banks management.
The use of real estates as collateral has worsened the financial health of banks in two different
ways the first one was the novelette of the arrangement of credit classification in 1998, the second one
represents the existence of price asset bubble in the same period14.
The situation in the Czech banking sector seems now to be relatively stable. The share of
nonperforming loans is at its historical minimum, the prudent man rules are clearly defined. All banks
have their private owners, which should exercise their rights and manage the banks better than the state.
When it comes to methods of credit risk mitigation, the possibilities of Czech banks are a little
limited. The insufficiently developed capital market do not allow to use credit derivatives and due to the
absence of secondary market banks can not sale loans. Only one special institution offers credit risk
insurance. Despite of this, banks can use and are using guarantees (either from other banks, state, legal
entities or individuals) and collaterals (most often real estates, but movable properties, receivables and
deposits as well). But the current trend is to provide more and more unsecured loans.
14
REFERENCES
Annual reports of CS, CSOB and KB.
Bessis, J (1998), Risk Management in Banking, Wiley, Chichester.
Caprio, G and Klingebiel, D (1996), Bank insolvency: Bad Luck, Bad Policy, or Bad
Banking? The paper prepared for the World Banks Annual Bank Conference on
Development Economics, Washington, D.C., April 25-26.
Claessens, S, Klingebiel, D and Laeven, L Financial Restructuring in Banking and
Corporate Sector Crises: Which Policies to Pursue?
Demirgc-Kunt, A, Detragiache, E and Gupta, P (2000), Inside the Crisis: An Empirical
Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress, IMF Working Paper, no. 156.
Dvok, P (1998), Bankovnictv, VE, Praha.
Goldstein, M & Turner, P (1996), Banking Crises In Emerging Economies: Origins And
Policy Options, BIS Economic Paper, no. 46.
Gonzles-Hermosillo, B (1999), Developing Indicators to Provide Early Warnings of
Banking Crises, Finance and Development, no. 6.
Hampl, M and Matouek, R (2000), vrov kontrakce v R jej piny a dsledky,
Working Paper of Czech National Bank, no. 19.
Jimenz, G and Saurina, J (2002), Loan Characteristics and Credit Risk, Bank of Spain.
Jon, J (1997), Bankovn krize: zkuenosti, piny a prevence, Finance a vr, no. 8.
Jon, J (1997), Problmy bankovnho sektoru v R, Finance a vr, no. 9.
Mishkin, FS (2000), Financial Policies and the Prevention of Financial Crises in Emerging
Market Economies, WPS 2683.
Pirner, D (2003), Risk Management v eskm bankovnictv, Bankovnictv, no. 4.
Polouek, S (1999), esk bankovnictv na pelomu tiscilet, Ethics, Ostrava.
PriceWaterhouse (1994), vod do zen vrovho rizika, Management Press, Praha.
Vodov, P (2003). Causes of the Banking Crises, The paper prepared for the Fifth
International Conference Aidea Giovani, Milan, July 3-4.
Credit risk transfer, (2003) Committee on the Global Financial System, BIS.
Principles for the Management of Credit Risk, (2000) Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision.
www.cbcb.cz
www.cnb.cz
22
Appendix 1
Number of banks in the Czech Republic
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Total banks
24
37
52
55
54
53
50
47
42
40
38
36
Big banks
Small banks
14
19
22
21
18
12
11
18
21
23
25
27
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
36.53
33.04
29.33
26.98
27.10
32.15
29.83
21.53
16.89
Weighted classification
21.52
20.26
18.82
17.42
17.19
16.88
13.73
9.95
6.13
-0.28
0.10
-0.03
1.97
0.55
1.77
2.23
1.63
23
Appendix 2
Selected financial ratios of some economic sectors in the Czech Republic
Economic sector
Financial ratio
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Processing industry
ROE
Quick ratio
Equity ratio
Coverage of interests ratio
ROE
Quick ratio
Equity ratio
Coverage of interests ratio
ROE
Quick ratio
Equity ratio
Coverage of interests ratio
ROE
Quick ratio
Equity ratio
Coverage of interests ratio
ROE
Quick ratio
Equity ratio
Coverage of interests ratio
1.75 %
0.70
41.83 %
1.70
4.75 %
0.51
59.43 %
3.90
-2.23 %
0.61
27.47 %
1.37
-5.11 %
0.80
20.96 %
0.92
-14.99 %
1.03
28.74 %
-0.62
-1.15 %
0.71
39.77 %
1.53
3.17 %
0.61
56.95 %
3.04
7.05 %
0.64
29.37 %
2.84
-11.27 %
0.73
23.97 %
0.39
-5.90 %
1.28
28.49 %
0.68
6.13 %
0.71
40.70 %
3.19
4.43 %
0.53
58.18 %
3.78
11.74 %
0.79
31.77 %
6.94
-0.57 %
0.73
28.86 %
1.56
12.58 %
2.08
23.92 %
3.47
7.37 %
0.76
40.73 %
3.64
5.49 %
0.52
59.80 %
5.08
13.95 %
0.95
34.19 %
9.70
6.75 %
0.77
31.28 %
2.90
34.48 %
0.70
14.62 %
3.29
8.47 %
0.71
43.51 %
4.76
5.44 %
0.60
60.06 %
6.05
11.83 %
1.02
34.66 %
12.05
8.70 %
0.75
33.73 %
3.87
14.52 %
0.81
24.00 %
2.86
Energetic industry
Building industry
Trade, Transport
Hotels, Restaurants
Source: www.mpo.cz
24