Basic Education?
17 October 2012
NBI presentation
October 2012
In 2010 we completed a
research effort together with
the CECP with the aim of
addressing the following
future-oriented questions
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Chapter of Contents
Global Forces
Four Scenarios
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Who would have thought that we could come so far in ten years?
Cellular-telephone adoption increase from
738 million in 2000 to over 4.6 billion in 2010
SOURCE: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Sustainable Energy Finance Initiative, International
Telecommunication Union (ITU), US Chamber of Commerce, organization website
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Growth of a multipolar
global economy
Economic growth in
developed economies
increasingly dependent
on productivity gains
Insufficient supply of
highly trained talent for
rising global demand
Increasing interconnection
of markets, trade, and
technology
Significant increase in
resource demand as
emerging markets surge
Growing environmental
pressures on business
and society
Competition to attract
business activity
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The great
rebalancing
Pricing the
planet
Towards a fundamentally
different operating
environment, where
Governments struggle
to find solutions
Global grid
Productivity
revolution
Talent shortage
Market state
Trust in business is
decreasing
Businesses are
increasingly expected
to address social and
environmental issues
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Chapter of Contents
Global Forces
Four Scenarios
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Dangerous
Mismatch
Sustainable
Value Creation
Business is
Reactive on Social
Issues
Business is
Proactive on Social
Issues
Vicious
Cycle
Dual Capitalism
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60
29
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Chapter of Contents
Global Forces
Four Scenarios
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50
42
5
3
0
"More will be
expected from
market leaders and
globally successful
companies, and
those companies
who are most
involved will be most
successful, creating
an upward spiral."
Mike Duke,
President and Chief
Executive Officer,
Wal-Mart Stores,
Inc.
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Collective response
appropriate when :
Derives a competitive
advantage from being
the first among their
peers to get involved
A combined approach
can accomplish ends
that no one single
player can achieve
Has an opportunity to
play a unique catalytic
role
Must respond
immediately to protect
the company from an
impending threat
A large constituency
(of which the company
is a member) benefits
from unified action
Act alone
Social
issue
Collaborate
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Business
Billion m3/year
6,900
-40%
4,200
Municipal,
Planned
domestic, industry supply, 2030
and agriculture
demand, 2030
Forecast demand will exceed supply
in many countries unless capacity or
efficiency are improved
Solving
the water crisis
requires strong
collaboration
to ensure
connectivity,
ownership,
transparency,
accountability
and efficiency
EPC companies
Utility operators
Equipment
manufacturers
Agricultural, food
processing,
power, industrial
infrastructure
sectors
Civil society
Government
Local and
national gov.
Donor gov.
Planning
commission
Water,
agriculture,
energy,
industry
ministries
Multilaterals
NGOs
Interest groups
Academia
Think-tanks
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Setting Up Region-Specific
Partnerships
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The next decade will see the advancement of new collaborative models with
innovative groupings of partners, organization structures, and activities
Partners
Organization
structure
Activities
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11%
9%
77%
3%
0%
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Conclusion: Business has the power to shape the future and move us
toward sustainable value creation
Higher Expectations for
Business Across Geographies
Dangerous
Mismatch
Sustainable
Value Creation
Business is
Reactive on Social
Issues
Business is
Proactive on Social
Issues
Vicious
Cycle
Dual Capitalism
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1 Collaboration
Rules of the
2 game
When have you been able to push forward to help create standard
rules of the game for your industry, either through regulation or
voluntary standards? How did you do this?
3 Impact
As you reflect on the global trends we've discussed today and the
other social issues on your mind, on what issue do you hope to have
really made a difference by 2020?
"Win-win
4 solutions"
When have you been able to tackle a major social issue through your
business strategy? Do you feel it has been successful? What made
it work?
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APPENDIX
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GLOBAL GRID
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