Discontinuous innovation falls outside of existing markets or market segments, and when
successful extends and redefines the market, exposing new possibilities. As indicated by the
outward-pointing arrows, discontinuous innovation is characterized by lateral or divergent thinking,
by looking outside of defined boundaries, and by discovery of new knowledge related to both
market need and technological capability. Discontinuous innovation leads to aggregated domains of
knowledge that support new capabilities.
Success at both continuous and discontinuous innovation are driven by "forced questioning" about
the limits of existing capabilities, and by asking the right questions and probing at the edges of
existing knowledge to understand what new possibilities may exist that have not yet been
recognized or considered. It would be trite (commonplace) to say that the kinds of questions you
ask determine the kinds of answers you receive, were it not for the fact that deep, fundamental
questions are simply not being asked in so many organizations. Prevalent cultural barriers widely
preclude precisely the kinds of inquiry that are needed. Until and unless such questions are asked,
deep and fundamental answers about the evolution of companies, markets, and industries will not
be uncovered in time to do anything about it, nor will leadership be achieved.
Discontinuous innovation is more than the shift from horses to automobiles for personal
transportation, an inconceivable thought for those focused on four-legged capabilities. It includes
the shift from urban to suburban communities that offer new lifestyles created by real estate
development that is based, in turn, on new highways that also bring new patterns of traffic and new
forms of congestion,
Discontinuous innovation does not just bring change in the simple sense, but change in a deep and
systemic way that is fundamental and far-reaching. It affects not only products and services, but
also the infrastructures that are integral to their use, and the extensive chains of distribution that
may involve dozens or hundreds of affiliated and competing companies and industries.
Hence, it is the shift from family to factory farms, impossible without the tractor, the truck, the
railroad, the ship, and global markets; the shift from typewriters to personal computers, completely
unpredictable before the microprocessor; or the shift from live performance to radio and television
broadcasting for entertainment, news, and advertising, inconceivable before modern
communications.
Discontinuous innovation is dramatic, and it is also inevitable when the requirements of customers
can no longer be met within the existing framework of capability. This often happens because new
combinations or aggregations of knowledge, tools, technology, and processes change the
underlying character of customer need by changing the boundaries of what is possible. In fact, new
knowledge continually creates new realities.
But discontinuous innovation also brings with it a price in the form of entirely new rules of
competition. It invalidates entire companies and even entire industries even as it creates new ones.
There was once, for example, a global infrastructure to distribute kerosene for lighting, and another
to distribute ice for cooling. Both were highly developed, extremely sophisticated for their times, and
highly profitable for extended periods. But both are now mostly forgotten, displaced by the evolution
of technology in the shift from one dominant business model to another.
More recent examples are the rapid evolution of the computer and communications industries that
drastically impacted industry leaders IBM and AT&T. Both companies shed hundreds of thousands
of employees in the early 1990s as discontinuity reached their worlds, and both continue to
reshape themselves still. In addition to its impact in computers and telecommunications,
discontinuous innovation is reshaping the airline industry, the auto industry, banking, retail, credit
cards, securities, entertainment, and even the staid world of electrical generation and distribution.
No business can protect itself fully from the impact of discontinuous change.
In the marketplace, discontinuous innovations are successful only if a new value proposition offers
a significant improvement on at least one of the three performance axes: features, benefits, and
cost. In the words of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Dean Joe Marone, "The performance gain
must be five to ten-fold or have a 50% reduction in costs, or both."
The switch from the typewriter to the PC, for example, required not only the purchase of expensive
equipment, but also training in its use. Once a PC user attained experience with particular
application programs, the investment of additional time that was required to switch to different
programs became a significant burden, so users stayed with obsolete software rather than incur the
cost of switching to new programs, or even newer versions of the same program.
Similarly, an audiophile who switches from long-playing records to compact discs must repurchase
an entire music library, title by title.
Hence, the new economics of "increasing returns" described by Stanford Professor Brian Arthur
suggests that when an innovation does become dominant, so much knowledge is attached to it that
it gets "locked-in." The cost to switch is too high, showing that the structure of the market, its
architecture, is inseparable from the knowledge-enabled capability of end users.
While discontinuous innovations force major shifts in both architecture and capability, continuous
innovations are absorbed relatively effortlessly. They are easier to achieve, as they draw upon the
existing market framework, infrastructure, and tacit knowledge of customers, suppliers, and other
stakeholders. As they are more narrowly and incrementally focused, they do not require conceptual
leaps, massive amounts of new knowledge, nor the huge risks that accompany dealing with the
unknown. Hence, they are also more comfortable innovation targets. As Chip Holt, Corporate Vice
President of the Wilson Center for Research and Technology of Xerox has observed, "People have
a tendency to focus in on the things they're most comfortable with and work them to death."
In a stable world there would be no call for discontinuous innovation, and continuous innovation
would suffice for every need. But the reality of today is exponential change that takes many forms.
One element is the influx of new technologies that drive a positive feedback cycle from which there
is no escaping. If you want to remain viable in a competitive market, you must engage in the same
cycle of technology development that your competitors are pursuing.
Figure 1.4 - Positive feedback in technology-driven markets