■ DRH Issues 5.9 Million Shares in 4Q09; Raises $49M in the Quarter
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Meanwhile, on the Boulder Strip, revenues increased 19.0%, as table revenues fell 15.8% and slot
revenues increased 28.0%. Overall, the amount wagered was down 3.9%, while supply in this category
increased. The Downtown market reported a decline of 1.3%, with slot revenues up 3.7% and table
revenues off 13.3%. Meanwhile, North Las Vegas reported an increase of 20.3% versus the prior year,
on a 23.0% increase in slot revenue and an 8.3% increase in table revenue.
As for Las Vegas visitation, total visitors increased 2.9% in November, which compares with a YTD
decrease of 3.4%. Convention visitors decreased 13.0%, better than the YTD trend of a 24.6%
decrease, which suggests moderating decreases rather than improving trends. Accordingly, mid-week
occupancy was off 120bps, while weekend occupancy was up 100 bps. As expected, ADR was off
14.9%, which is higher than the YTD trend.
The results, which reflect continued declines, suggest that weakness remains in the market despite
comparisons generally becoming easier. Las Vegas non-gaming revenue could be down by a greater
percentage than gaming revenue, based on the decline in room rates of 21.2%, which should remain
under pressure given the large decreases in occupancy levels. Nevertheless, the data support our
cautious stance on MGM, WYNN's Las Vegas operations and BYD.
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Nov-08 Table* 158.9 (16.0%) 36.3% 12.8% -340 bps 1,242.0 6.3% 3,041 8.8% 1,742 (20.2%) 41
Baccarat 39.2 (16.4%) 9.0% 10.5% -2490 bps 375.5 182.5% 180 83.7% 7,266 (53.0%)
Slot 239.5 (15.5%) 54.7% 6.9% -110 bps 3,496.9 (2.3%) 49,808 (11.1%) 160 (1.8%)
Total 437.7 (15.8%) 100.0% 8.6% -210 bps 5,114.3 4.8% 69,134 (5.2%) 211 (8.2%)
Nov-09 Table* 150.6 (5.2%) 31.8% 12.3% -50 bps 1,224.6 (1.4%) 2,958 (2.7%) 1,697 (2.6%) 41
Baccarat 92.7 136.3% 19.6% 13.4% 300 bps 690.8 84.0% 191 6.1% 16,180 122.7%
Slot 230.5 (3.8%) 48.6% 7.2% 30 bps 3,201.4 (8.4%) 48,796 (2.0%) 157 (1.8%)
Total 473.8 8.3% 100.0% 9.3% 70 bps 5,116.9 0.0% 67,690 (2.1%) 233 10.6%
LTM
Nov-09 Table* 1,815.1 (16.9%) 32.9% 6.0% -680 bps 30,385.8 77.7% 2,945 8.6% 1,675 (23.9%) 41
Baccarat 891.6 7.6% 16.1% 10.7% -2560 bps 8,343.4 265.5% 205 134.2% 11,799 (54.3%)
Slot 2,815.4 (13.3%) 51.0% 7.0% -90 bps 40,076.0 (2.2%) 49,532 (15.9%) 154 2.6%
Total 5,522.2 (11.8%) 100.0% 7.0% -340 bps 78,805.2 30.5% 68,431 (9.1%) 219 (3.5%)
Nov-08 Table* 14.0 19.1% 29.2% 13.6% 280 bps 103.3 (5.8%) 458 2.0% 1,020 16.8% 19
Slot 34.0 (8.0%) 70.8% 6.4% 20 bps 531.1 (11.0%) 11,984 (2.1%) 95 (6.0%)
Total 48.0 (1.4%) 100.0% 7.6% 70 bps 634.3 (10.2%) 14,732 (1.4%) 105 (0.0%)
Nov-09 Table* 12.1 (13.3%) 25.6% 13.6% 0 bps 89.4 (13.4%) 460 0.4% 880 (13.7%) 19
Slot 35.2 3.7% 74.4% 7.1% 70 bps 498.6 (6.1%) 11,685 (2.5%) 101 6.4%
Total 47.4 (1.3%) 100.0% 8.1% 50 bps 588.0 (7.3%) 14,445 (1.9%) 106 0.7%
LTM
Nov-09 Table* 126.9 (15.2%) 24.0% 12.3% -60 bps 1,033.9 (11.0%) 460 1.3% 816 (20.0%) 19
Slot 401.9 (9.0%) 76.0% 6.5% 0 bps 6,153.5 (8.7%) 11,962 (1.6%) 92 (2.4%)
Total 528.9 (10.5%) 100.0% 7.4% -10 bps 7,187.5 (9.0%) 14,723 (1.1%) 98 (9.6%)
Nov-08 Table* 5.0 (20.3%) 11.9% 17.7% -100 bps 28.1 (15.6%) 303 (6.5%) 545 (14.7%) 10
Slot 36.8 (17.8%) 88.1% 6.5% -30 bps 564.8 (14.3%) 9,299 (0.3%) 132 (17.6%)
Total 41.8 (18.1%) 100.0% 7.0% -30 bps 592.9 (14.4%) 11,117 (1.4%) 125 (17.0%)
Nov-09 Table* 4.6 (7.9%) 11.6% 18.5% 80 bps 24.7 (12.0%) 278 (8.3%) 547 0.4% 10
Slot 34.9 (5.3%) 88.4% 7.3% 70 bps 480.5 (14.9%) 8,900 (4.3%) 131 (1.0%)
Total 39.5 (5.6%) 100.0% 7.8% 80 bps 505.2 (14.8%) 10,568 (4.9%) 124 (0.7%)
LTM
Nov-09 Table* 57.6 (19.3%) 11.6% 18.8% -30 bps 306.8 (18.0%) 288 (8.0%) 596 (13.2%) 10
Slot 439.3 (13.5%) 88.4% 6.8% 10 bps 6,428.5 (14.9%) 9,007 (3.1%) 134 (10.7%)
Total 496.9 (14.2%) 100.0% 7.4% 10 bps 6,735.3 (15.1%) 10,737 (4.0%) 126 (10.7%)
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Nov-08 Table* 3.0 36.5% 15.6% 13.6% 160 bps 22.2 20.3% 210 28.8% 479 6.0% 12
Slot 16.4 (6.7%) 84.4% 4.1% -50 bps 400.1 4.1% 10,263 21.1% 53 (22.9%)
Total 19.4 (1.8%) 100.0% 4.6% -30 bps 422.3 4.8% 11,523 21.9% 56 (19.5%)
Nov-09 Table* 3.3 8.3% 14.0% 16.0% 240 bps 20.5 (7.7%) 207 (1.4%) 527 9.9% 11
Slot 20.1 23.0% 86.0% 6.1% 200 bps 331.7 (17.1%) 9,502 (7.4%) 71 32.9%
Total 23.4 20.7% 100.0% 6.6% 210 bps 352.1 (16.6%) 10,744 (6.8%) 73 29.5%
LTM
Nov-09 Table* 473.8 8.3% 10.8% 14.1% 130 bps 226.6 9.0% 209 32.1% 458 (9.0%) 11
Slot 262.4 4.8% 89.2% 5.9% 40 bps 4,424.5 (2.3%) 9,738 18.4% 74 (11.0%)
Total 294.3 6.3% 100.0% 6.3% 50 bps 4,651.1 (1.8%) 10,992 19.9% 73 (11.3%)
Nov-08 Table* 11.3 (3.1%) 20.5% 13.2% -40 bps 85.3 0.2% 415 10.4% 906 (12.2%) 34
Slot 43.6 (18.2%) 79.5% 3.9% -40 bps 1,118.5 (10.3%) 20,420 1.6% 71 (19.5%)
Total 54.9 (15.5%) 100.0% 4.6% -30 bps 1,203.8 (9.6%) 22,910 2.5% 80 (17.6%)
Nov-09 Table* 9.5 (15.8%) 14.5% 8.0% -530 bps 119.4 39.9% 430 3.6% 736 (18.8%) 34
Slot 55.8 28.0% 85.5% 5.4% 150 bps 1,037.7 (7.2%) 21,967 7.6% 85 19.0%
Total 65.3 19.0% 100.0% 5.6% 110 bps 1,157.1 (3.9%) 24,547 7.1% 89 11.0%
LTM
Nov-09 Table* 103.8 (8.9%) 13.0% 10.2% -300 bps 1,020.0 17.8% 446 14.1% 687 (21.2%) 34
Slot 697.4 (4.4%) 87.0% 5.1% 0 bps 13,547.1 (4.0%) 21,534 7.7% 89 (10.9%)
Total 801.2 (5.0%) 100.0% 5.5% -10 bps 14,567.1 (2.8%) 24,211 8.4% 90 (12.3%)
Nov-08 Table* 12.5 (13.0%) 25.0% 16.5% -20 bps 75.6 (12.2%) 534 (2.9%) 780 (10.4%) 22
Slot 37.4 (14.1%) 75.0% 5.1% -20 bps 737.9 (11.4%) 13,428 (2.5%) 93 (11.9%)
Total 49.9 (13.9%) 100.0% 6.1% -20 bps 813.6 (11.5%) 16,632 (2.6%) 100 (11.5%)
Nov-09 Table* 15.6 24.7% 32.5% 21.5% 500 bps 72.3 (4.5%) 500 (6.4%) 1,038 33.2% 17
Slot 32.3 (13.6%) 67.5% 4.8% -20 bps 667.8 (9.5%) 12,286 (8.5%) 88 (5.6%)
Total 47.9 (4.0%) 100.0% 6.5% 30 bps 740.1 (9.0%) 15,286 (8.1%) 104 4.4%
LTM
Nov-09 Table* 138.1 (17.7%) 23.6% 17.2% -10 bps 800.8 (17.1%) 506 (8.0%) 819 (9.5%) 20
Slot 447.1 (15.0%) 76.4% 4.9% -30 bps 9,073.3 (9.6%) 12,506 (8.7%) 98 (6.6%)
Total 585.2 (15.6%) 100.0% 5.9% -40 bps 9,874.1 (10.2%) 15,541 (8.6%) 103 (7.7%)
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Visitor Volume (in MMs) 2.90 2.82 2.9% 36.31 37.82 (4.0%) 33.57 34.74 (3.4%)
Room inventory 141,989 137,892 3.0% 141,989 137,892 3.0% 141,989 137,892 3.0%
Conventions
Attendance 437,864 503,545 (13.0%) 4,477,904 5,905,801 (24.2%) 4,354,316 5,776,137 (24.6%)
Occupancy levels
Total 78.4% 79.2% (80 bp) 81.6% 86.8% (520 bp) 82.4% 87.1% (480 bp)
Hotel 81.7% 83.1% (140 bp) 85.4% 90.7% (520 bp) 86.2% 91.0% (470 bp)
Motel 50.5% 50.1% 40 bp 50.2% 58.4% (820 bp) 50.6% 58.9% (820 bp)
Weekend 86.9% 85.9% 100 bp 89.2% 90.3% (110 bp) 89.9% 90.6% (70 bp)
Midweek 74.7% 75.9% (120 bp) 78.3% 85.3% (700 bp) 79.0% 85.6% (660 bp)
Average Daily Room Rate $92.61 $108.80 (14.9%) $92.81 $120.13 (22.7%) $92.49 $120.84 (23.5%)
Room nights occupied 3,331,317 3,276,040 1.7% 41,999,266 43,204,231 (2.8%) 38,807,621 39,775,607 (2.4%)
Airline passengers
Total 3,234,705 3,232,985 0.1% 40,535,943 44,577,650 (9.1%) 37,371,630 40,893,961 (8.6%)
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Rating and Price Target History for: Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) as of 01-12-2010
04/27/07 06/18/07 08/01/07 10/12/07 01/14/08 02/27/08 02/27/08 04/30/08 08/04/08 09/18/08 10/24/08
SP:$54 SP:$58 SP:$53 SP:$50 I:P:$50 P:NA P:$29 P:$22 P:$14 P:$13 P:$7
60
45
30
15
0
2008 2009 2010
10/28/08 05/07/09
P:$5 P:$9
Created by BlueMatrix
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Rating and Price Target History for: MGM Mirage (MGM) as of 01-12-2010
02/15/07 05/04/07 06/21/07 08/03/07 09/04/07 10/14/07 01/14/08 02/22/08 04/07/08 05/06/08 08/06/08
SP:$66 SP:$70 OP:$98 OP:$94 OP:$93 OP:$106 I:O:$106 O:$85 P:$62 P:$59 P:$41
120
90
60
30
0
2008 2009 2010
Created by BlueMatrix
Rating and Price Target History for: Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) as of 01-12-2010
02/28/07 05/08/07 06/11/07 07/25/07 08/07/07 10/31/07 01/14/08 02/13/08 04/23/08 07/14/08 07/25/08
UP:$83 UP:$90 UP:$89 UP:$88 UP:$94 UP:$100 I:P:$101 P:$98 P:$99 P:$78 P:$79
200
160
120
80
40
0
2008 2009 2010
Created by BlueMatrix
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Rating and Price Target History for: DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH) as of 01-12-2010
20
16
12
0
2008 2009 2010
Created by BlueMatrix
Rating and Price Target History for: Isle of Capri, Inc. (ISLE) as of 01-12-2010
06/18/07 08/05/07 09/09/07 12/05/07 01/14/08 03/06/08 07/03/08 09/03/08 09/04/08 10/24/08 12/03/08
SP:$29 SP:$24 SP:$22 SP:$18 I:P:$18 P:$10 P:$6 P:$7 P:$8 P:$5 P:$3
32
24
16
0
2008 2009 2010
05/27/09 12/01/09
O:$18 O:$16
Created by BlueMatrix
All price targets displayed in the chart above are for a 12- to- 18-month period. Prior to March 30, 2004, Oppenheimer &
Co. Inc. used 6-, 12-, 12- to 18-, and 12- to 24-month price targets and ranges. For more information about target price
histories, please write to Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., 300 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10017, Attention: Equity Research
Department, Business Manager.
Outperform(O) - Stock expected to outperform the S&P 500 within the next 12-18 months.
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
Perform (P) - Stock expected to perform in line with the S&P 500 within the next 12-18 months.
Underperform (U) - Stock expected to underperform the S&P 500 within the next 12-18 months.
Not Rated (NR) - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. does not maintain coverage of the stock or is restricted from doing so due to a potential
conflict of interest.
Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Rating System prior to January 14th, 2008:
Buy - anticipates appreciation of 10% or more within the next 12 months, and/or a total return of 10% including dividend payments,
and/or the ability of the shares to perform better than the leading stock market averages or stocks within its particular industry sector.
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a perceived absence of strong dynamics that would cause volatility either to the upside or downside, and/or will perform less well than
higher rated companies within its peer group. Our readers should be aware that when a rating change occurs to Neutral from Buy,
aggressive trading accounts might decide to liquidate their positions to employ the funds elsewhere.
Sell - anticipates that the shares will depreciate 10% or more in price within the next 12 months, due to fundamental weakness
perceived in the company or for valuation reasons, or are expected to perform significantly worse than equities within the peer group.
IB Serv/Past 12 Mos.
Although the investment recommendations within the three-tiered, relative stock rating system utilized by Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. do not
correlate to buy, hold and sell recommendations, for the purposes of complying with FINRA rules, Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. has assigned
buy ratings to securities rated Outperform, hold ratings to securities rated Perform, and sell ratings to securities rated Underperform.
Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. makes a market in the securities of WYNN and ISLE.
Please log on to http://www.opco.com or write to Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., 300 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10017,
Attention: Equity Research Department, Business Manager.
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CONSUMER & BUSINESS SERVICES
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