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<Company Name>

Budget Scenario Analysis


<Date>

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Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
Budget Drivers (Best case) (Average case) (Worst case)
Probability of shipping on time 98% 95% 90%
Number of building permits released within last 6 months 25,000 30,000 35,000
Regional economic growth 3.50% 3.20% 2.00%
Competitive strength (products, pricing, promotion, placement) 7 8 9
Probability of key supplier performance 99% 95% 90%

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3


Revenue Impact (Best case) (Average case) (Worst case)
Probability of shipping on time 2.0% 0.0% -5.0%
Number of building permits released within last 6 months 5.0% 0.0% -5.0%
Regional economic growth 2.0% 0.0% -4.0%
Competitive strength (products, pricing, promotion, placement) 2.0% 0.0% -5.0%
Probability of key supplier performance 2.0% 0.0% -5.0%

Budgeted Annual Revenue Using Base Case Scenario $32,000,000

Budget Scenarios Results Base Case Variance Variance Percentage


Scenario 1: Best case $36,160,000 $4,160,000 11.50%
Scenario 2: Average case $32,000,000 — —
Scenario 3: Worst case $24,320,000 ($7,680,000) -31.58%
Scenario Comparison - Annual Revenue

$40,000,000

$35,000,000

$30,000,000

$25,000,000

$20,000,000

$15,000,000

$10,000,000

$5,000,000

$0
Scenario 1: Best case Scenario 2: Average case Scenario 3: Worst case

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