MARKET OVERVIEW
Thousands
Net Absorption
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2011
2012
2013
2014
Vacancy Rate
15.0%
14.0%
13.0%
12.0%
11.0%
10.0%
9.0%
Q4 2011
Q4 2012
Q4 2013
Q4 2014
MARKET INDICATORS
Q3 2014
Q4 2014
VACANCY
NET ABSORPTION
CONSTRUCTION
RENTAL RATE
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RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2014 | OFFICE USE | BALTIMORE METRO AREA
absorption in the 2nd half of 2014 becoming
positive for the first time in over a year. In the
past, negative absorption was attributed to the
750,000 -1 million SF of Class B product is
subject to adaptive re-use conversions.
VACANCY
Overall, vacancy rates in the Baltimore Regions
office market were relatively unchanged at 12%,
Class A office vacancy rose slightly at 12.7%,
while Class B & C space declined to 11.5%. With
little new office construction planned, vacancy is
expected to decline in the next 12 months.
NET ABSORPTION
During 2014, despite increases leasing activity in
Baltimore City, net absorption in the Class A
Baltimore Region office market was negative for
the first time in 12 months. This was due, in part,
to the reduction in sublet space. However, a
significant amount of BRAC-related space in
Harford County, and sequestration related
vacancy in Howard County is a key factor. Class
B & C space was a different story with positive
RENTAL RATES
Average full service rental rates hovered around
$21.25 PSF as it has for the past 3 years. Class A
office full service rental rates were also stagnant
at $23.50 PSF, as were Class B & C office rental
rates holding around $19.75 PSF.
$21.00
$22.50
$22.00
$19.00
$21.50
$17.00
$21.00
$15.00
Q4 2013
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
Q3 2014
Q4 2014
$20.50
$20.00
$19.50
$19.00
Q4 2013
Q1 2014
Q2 2014
Q3 2014
Q42014
LEASED SF
PROPERTY ADDRESS
CITY
25,853 sf
1 South Street
Baltimore
34,500 sf
Columbia
Maximus
33,600 sf
Woodlawn
8,500 sf
Baltimore
Bon Secours
22,780 sf
Baltimore
21,417 sf
Baltimore
OneMain Financial
109,156 sf
Baltimore
Itineris
12,600 sf
Baltimore
Sourcefire
90,744 sf
Fulton
27,433 sf
Baltimore
BUYER
SALE PRICE
SF
PRICE/SF
AiNet Corporation
$18,500,000
202,838 sf
$91.21
$7,140,000
40,000 sf
$178.50
$6,200,000
28,774 sf
$215
$130,000,000
103,323 sf
$185
$4,600,00
11,910 sf
$385
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RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2014 | OFFICE USE | BALTIMORE METRO REPORT
UPDATE: MARKET COMPARISONS
Net Absorption
New Construction
TOTAL SF
ASKING RATES
VACANT SF
VACANCY %
CURRENT
QUARTER
Annapolis
5,611,799 sf
$22.80/FS
837,845 sf
14.9%
-63,226 sf
-120,796 sf
3,622,574 sf
$19.25/FS
477,376 sf
13.2%
41,847 sf
105,426 sf
13,056,637 sf
$19.95/FS
2,143,470 sf
16.4%
53,694 sf
150,073 sf
192,000 sf
15,137,817 sf
$19.90/FS
1,811,775 sf
12.0%
39,151 sf
213,474 sf
BWI
12,875,490 sf
$24.30/FS
1,447,011 sf
11.2%
42,891 sf
119,736 sf
119,880 sf
Downtown Baltimore
13,106,119 sf
$21.75/FS
2,106,076 sf
16.07%
-160,458
40,802 sf
Harford County
4,116,499 sf
$22.90/FS
917,065 sf
22.3%
27,233 sf
-2,229 sf
Howard County
18,439,247 sf
$23.40/FS
1,981,092 sf
10.7%
103,774 sf
405,829 sf
147,000 sf
SUBMARKET/COUNTY
YTD
CURRENT
COMPLETED
TOTAL RBA
VACANT SF
VACANCY %
CURRENT Q
ABSORPTION
YTD
ABSORPTION
CURRENT
CONSTRUCTION
COMPLETED
DELIVERIES
AVERAGE
RENTAL RATES
Q4 2013
45,137,534 sf
6,327,797 sf
14%
286,525 sf
-607,319 sf
940,170 sf
138,9000 sf
$23.80/FS
Q1 2014
45,763,704 sf
5,863,724 sf
12.8%
1,090,243 sf
1,090,243 sf
464,000 sf
626,170 sf
$23.60/FS
Q2 2014
45,763,704 sf
5,586,093 sf
12.2%
277,631 sf
1,367,874 sf
464,000 sf
$23.35/FS
Q3 2014
45,763,704 sf
5,584,869 sf
12.2%
1,224 sf
1,369,098 sf
746,760 sf
$23.80/FS
Q4 2014
45,763,704 sf
5,796,430 sf
12.7%
-211,561 sf
1,157,537 sf
1,165,760 sf
$23.50/FS
Submarkets
ANNAPOLIS
The Annapolis submarket is located approximately 25 miles south of Baltimore City and 30 miles east of Washington D.C.. The local Class A & B office market
consists of 159 properties and approximately 5,600,000 square feet of space. In the 4th quarter of 2014 approximately 800,000 square feet of this space was
vacant or a 14.9% vacancy rate. Chase Brexton signed a 9,869 sf lease at 200 Hospital Drive in Glen Burnie. Plastic Surgery Specialists renewed their 7,347
sf lease at 2448 Holly Avenue. Additionally, Plan B leased 10,000 sf of space at 185 Admiral Cochrane Drive.
BALTIMORE COUNTY EAST
The Baltimore County East submarket includes Baltimore County suburban areas located east of Baltimore City, defined by the I-95 Corridor as well as I-695
and includes the local markets of White Marsh, Perry Hall, Dundalk and Essex. In the 4th quarter of 2014 the submarket included 110 Class A & B buildings
and more than 3,600,000 sf of space with approximately 480,000 square feet of that space vacant, or a 13.2% vacancy rate. Though typically not known as
an office market, proximity to major highways, and high density population, makes this submarket attractive for retail and industrial/flex users. Loomis
Armored recently signed a 50,000 sf lease at 4979 Mercantile Road in the White Marsh Business Community. Additionally, Katzen Eye Group signed a
10,000 sf lease at 7106 Ridge Road.
BALTIMORE COUNTY WEST
The Baltimore County West submarket is located in the suburban areas of Baltimore County bordering the western and northwestern portions of Baltimore
City. The submarket is defined by I-695 and Reisterstown Road corridors, and includes the local markets of Owings Mills, Pikesville, Woodlawn, Catonsville
and Arbutus. This submarket consists of 296 Class A & B buildings having approximately 13,000,000 square feet. In the 4th quarter of 2014 nearly 2,150,000
square feet of that space was vacant, representing a 16.5% vacancy rate. While there are no clear plans for redevelopment at Owings Mills Mall, other projects
nearby such as Metro Center and Foundry Row are moving along as planned. CSG Partners acquired Owings Mills Business Center and Owings Mills
Corporate Center for $13 million, while LifeBridge purchased 5400 Old Court Road and 8600 Liberty Road. Maximus Healthcare signed a 33,600 sf lease at
2555 Lord Baltimore Drive, and Novatech signed a 10,815 sf lease at 11425 Cronhill Drive.
BALTIMORE COUNTY NORTH
The Baltimore County North submarket incorporates major thoroughfares including the I-83 corridor as well as I-695. In addition to the traditional submarkets
of Towson and Timonium, the area also includes Hunt Valley, Cockeysville and Sparks. The overall Baltimore County North Class A & B office market contains
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q4 2014 | OFFICE USE | BALTIMORE METRO AREA
Submarkets (contd)
275 properties and approximately 15,000,000 square feet of space. In the 4th quarter of 2014 approximately
1,800,000 square feet of that space was vacant representing a 11.9% vacancy rate. Of the Class A buildings
in the Hunt Valley/Sparks submarket, however, that vacancy rate is much lower standing at 4.6%. As for
lease activity, Katzen Eye Group signed two leases totaling 10,000 sf at 501 and 555 Fairmount Avenue.
KatzAbosch renewed their lease in Timonium for 23,000 sf at 9690 Deerco Road. Otherwise, rumors still
swirl about McCormicks possible exit of the market, and even the state, however, any decision to move will
likely be several years in the making.
BWI
The BWI Area submarket is located around the Baltimore/Washington Thurgood Marshall International
Airport and includes Fort George Meade, NSA headquarters, Linthicum, Hanover, Glen Burnie, Elkridge and
small portions of Howard County bordering BWI Airport to the west. This market consists of 198 properties
and more than 12,800,000 square feet of space. In the 4th quarter of 2014 less than 1,460,000 square feet of
this space was vacant or 11.4%. Although this market was relatively quiet in the last quarter, Hudson Cook
signed a 20,265 sf lease at 7037 Ridge Road, and an undisclosed tenant signed a 24,000 sf lease at 795
Cromwell Park Drive.
DOWNTOWN BALTIMORE
The Baltimore City office submarket comprises the traditional Central Business District (CBD) as well as the
adjacent areas of Harbor East & Fells Point, Canton, Stadium/West, and South Baltimore. Within this expanded
downtown area there is more than 13,100,000 sf of Class A office space. In the 4th quarter of 2014 more than
2,240,000 square feet of that space was vacant for lease or sublease, or a 17.06% vacancy rate. As has been
the case in the past, office buildings on the Pratt Street corridor fare better on average, ending the year at
11.77% vacant. However, the same cannot be said for properties North of Lombard Street which currently
hold a 28.83% vacancy rate. Among the larger deals was OneMain Financial which will be relocating to
109,000 sf at 100 International Drive. Cigna Health signed a 21,417sf lease at 111 S. Calvert Street, and
Stewart Plant Blumenthal renewed their 8,500 sf lease at 7 St. Paul Street. As for sales, 2 Hopkins Plaza
is back on the market after recently being purchased a year ago, and Metro West is going through the steps
to formally being put on the market for sale. The largest sale in the city was 300 W. Lexington Street which
sold for $18,500,000. Moving forward in 2015, expect to see cranes in and around downtown Baltimore as
construction begins and continues on projects such as Exelons new headquarters in Harbor East, and MAIFs
new headquarters in Locust Point.
HARFORD COUNTY
The Harford County submarket is defined by the I-95 and Route 1 Corridors. The area includes the local
markets of Bel Air, Aberdeen (including Aberdeen Proving Grounds) and Havre de Grace. This market
consists of 131 Class A & B properties and just over 4,100,000 square feet of existing space. In the 4th quarter
of 2014 about 900,000 square feet of that space was vacant or 22%. This market which has been plagued
by oversupply and vacancy may see more vacancy as recent reports suggest that the 2020 BRAC plan could
cut as many as 4,000 more jobs in Aberdeen. COPT recently developed incubator space at 210 Research
Drive in an attempt to lower vacancy. A confidential tenant recently signed a 6,000 sf lease at 1250 Brass
Mill Road, but otherwise leasing was relatively slow. As for sales activity, the Waters Edge campus is being
marketed for sale.
HOWARD COUNTY
The Howard County submarket is located between Baltimore, MD and Washington D.C. along the interstate
I-95 Corridor comprised of 385 Class A & B buildings and about 18,400,000 square feet of space. In the 4th
quarter of 2014 just less than 2,000,000 square feet of that space was vacant or 10.8%. As space around
Columbia Town Center becomes tighter, demand is radiating to the outer edges of the submarket. Several
notable transactions occurred this quarter, in particular Cisco which leased 100,000 sf of space in Maple Lawn,
securing Maple Lawns legitimacy as an office market. Snyder Kearney signed a 11,700 sf lease at 10320 Little
Patuxent Parkway, and Microsoft took 17,000 sf at 6518 Meadowridge Road to name a few more. University
of Maryland Faculty Physicians signed on for 34,500 sf at Waterloo Crossing, which is now fully leased. As
for sales, The Howard Hughes Corporation purchased 10420 Little Patuxent Parkway for $130 million.
485 offices in
63 countries on
6 continents
United States: 146
Canada: 44
Latin America: 25
Asia Pacific: 186
EMEA: 84
$2.1
1.46
15,800
professionals
RESEARCHER:
Nadia Kahler
Vice President, Research &
Transaction Management | Baltimore
100 North Charles Street
Suite 1710
Baltimore, MD 21201
TEL +1 443 543 1222
FAX +1 443 543 0191
Accelerating success.