This report examines the financial performances of DESCO on the basis of analyzing
and calculating their five major types of ratios; Liquidity Ratio, Asset Management
Ratio, Debt Management Ratio, Profitability Ratio and Stock Market Ratio. The paper
also includes the calculations and evaluation of Du Pont Equation.
The company current ratio, quick ratio, inventory turnover ratio and total asset
turnover ratio etc. appears as better than the previous years. However, the average
collection period and average payment period has become unsatisfactory which may
lead to financial crisis as the companys only service offering is electricity supply
which is offered almost in all cases on credit. Fall in fixed asset turnover ratio
signifies that the company should utilize its fixed asset more. In this paper, slight fall
in ROA and ROE is observed. While the former urges more efficient utilization of
assets, the latter calls for an increase in return to the shareholders. The substantial
fall in EPS shows that the company is falling behind in providing return to consumers
which is not a very good sign. The company should try to return more to its
shareholders.
In a nutshell it can be said that in the recent years the company has been somewhat
efficient in utilizing, managing and maintaining resources but isnt giving back
enough to the shareholders which gives out a very grave signal.
Introduction:
Dhaka Electric Supply Co. Ltd. (DESCO) was created as a distribution company in
November 1996 under the Companies Act 1994 as a Public Limited Company with an
Authorized Capital of Tk.5.00 billion. However, the operational activities of DESCO at
the field level commenced on September 24, 1998 with the taking over of the
electric distribution system of Mirpur area (comprising Kallayanpur, Kafrul, Pallabi
Sales & Distribution Division) from the erstwhile Dhaka Electric Supply Authority
(DESA) with a consumer strength of 71,161 and a load demand of 90 MW. In the
subsequent years of successful operation and performance, the operational area of
DESCO was expanded through inclusion of Gulshan Circle in April, 2003 and Tongi
Pourashava Area in March, 2007. Today, the total consumer strength stands at
446,129 as of 30th June, 2010 with a maximum load demand of 622 MW.
The area under service of the Company is about 220 square kilometers which
comprises the areas bounded by the Mirpur Road, Agargaon Road, Rokeya Sarani,
Progati Sarani, New Airport Road, Mymenshing Road, Mohakhali Jheel, Rampura
Jheel connected with the Balu River in the South and East and the Turag River in the
West and areas under Tongi Pourashava in the North. Recently Purbachal Model
Town a Rajuk project, situated on the east side of the Balu River and adjacent to
Dakshinkhan area, has also been included under the operational area of DESCO.
DESCO incorporated under the Companies Act 1994 with its own Memorandum and
Articles of Association. The company as a whole owned by Government of
Bangladesh and DESA representing government by acquiring 100% shares. DESCO
managed by a part time Board of Directors appointed by its shareholders, they are
responsible for policy decisions. The Board of Directors appointed Managing Director
and two full time Directors and they were also members of the Board Directors after
appointment. The Company is run by a management team headed by the Managing
Director under the guidance of the Board of Directors with a view to run it efficiently
and economically with optimum overhead cost and manpower. With the expansion
of operational areas followed by increase in number of consumers and system load,
DESCO reorganized its activities into 9 (nine) Sales & Distribution (S&D) Divisions.
1. Liquidity Ratio: |
1) Liquidity Ratio | | | | | | |
| Formula | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
Current Ratio(times) | Current asset/ current liabilities | 2.64197461 | 2.65395324 |
2.58068946 | 3.23209122 | 3.64474246 |
Quick ratio(times) | (Current assets-inventories)/current liabilities | 2.14844921 |
2.37286724 | 2.39070109 | 2.25752517 | 2.65983794 |
|
* Current Ratio
Graphical representation:
CURRENT RATIO (times)
Year
Interpretation:
In 2010, this companys current assets were 3.6447 times higher than its current
liabilities.
This ratio did not fluctuate that much up to 2008. After that, it increased to a
satisfactory level in 2009 following an upward trend in 2010, which is very favorable
for the Company.
This ratio has increased from 3.23 times to 3.64 times in 2010 because the
This ratio has decreased from 1.33 times in 2009 to 1.23 times in 2010 because fixed
assets have increased from Tk.7,366,924,871 to Tk.8,805,337,136 in 2010, though
sales have also comparatively increased.
* Average Collection PeriodGraphical representation: |
|
Years
Avg. collection period (days) (((((((days(days(avg.avg.)
Interpretation:
In 2010, on an average, it took 81 days to receive the accounts receivable from the
customers.
This ratio has decreased greatly from 2006 to 2008 and then in 2009 and 2010 this
ratio has increased, which is not good.
The company should collect their dues early, so that they could easily meet their
future short term obligations. This ratio has increased from 80 days in 2009 to 81
days in 2010 because the companys accounts receivable has increased from
Tk.2,130,059,408 to Tk.2,375,140,475 in 2010.
* Average Payment PeriodGraphical representation: |
Avg. payment period (days)
|
Year
Interpretation:
Interpretation: On an average, it took 79 days to make the payment to the creditors
in 2010.
But this is less than their average collection period, which is bad for the company. So
the companys credit policy should be changed.
3. Debt Management Ratio:
| Formula | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
Debt- to- Asset Ratio (%) | (Total Debt/Total asset)* 100 | 75.8692012 | 75.7786083
| 74.9427845 | 68.742533 | 66.4293497 |
Debt- to- Total Equity Ratio (%) | Total Debt/ (Total Debt + Total Equity)*100 |
75.8692012 | 75.7786083 | 74.9427845 | 68.742533 | 66.4293497 |
Times-Interest Earned (%) | EBIT/Interest Expense | 7.38563741 | 4.51824139 |
|||||||||||
|||||||||||
|||||||||||
|
Interpretation:
In 2010, the companys EBIT was 6.94 times higher than its interest expense.
After 2006, this ratio fell significantly in 2007 but then it started to rise up and
increased gradually up to 2009 and then again in 2010, this ratio fell badly.
It has decreased from 9.77 times to 6.94 times in 2010 because the EBIT has gone
down from Tk.1,658,122,680 to Tk.1,534,280,431 and the Interest Expense has
increased from Tk.169,794,396 to Tk.221,200,045 in 2010.
4. Profitability Ratio:
In (%) | | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
Gross Profit Margin | (Gross Profit/Sales)* 100 | 23.5290734 | 21.6620832 |
24.4049657 | 21.8890356 | 21.5781971 |
Net Profit Margin | (Net Profit/Sales)* 100 | 9.1495574 | 9.63353785 | 10.8911682 |
16.4020465 | 16.5455083 |
ROA | (Net Income/Total Asset)*100 | 4.29685916 | 4.54569311 | 5.60932977 |
6.86318382 | 6.85500459 |
ROE | (Net income/Total Equity)*100 | 17.8065351 | 18.7672664 | 22.3860858 |
21.9569417 | 20.419636 |
* Gross Profit Margin:
Graphical representation:
Year
Gross profit margin (%)
Interpretation:
In 2010, for every Tk.100 sales, the gross profit of the company was Tk.21.58.
This ratio seems to fluctuate a lot. At first it decreased in 2007 compared to 2006,
then it increased in 2008 and then again decreased in 2009 and continued to
decrease in 2010, which is bad for the Company.
The ratio has decreased in 2010 compared to 2009 because the Sales of the
Company have increased but the Gross Profit has not sufficiently increased to make
the Gross Profit Margin higher. The sales of the company have gone up from
Tk.9,799,615,712 to Tk.10,810,974,226 and the gross profit has also gone up from
Tk.2,145,041,372 in 2009 to Tk.2,332,813,327 in 2010. But in order to improve the
gross profit margin, gross profit should increase more sufficiently.
* Net Profit Margin |
|
Graphical representation:
Year
Net profit margin (%)
Interpretation:
Interpretation:
In 2010, for every Tk.100 sales, the company has made a net profit of Tk.16.55.
This ratio has continuously followed an upward trend from 2006 to 2009 and though
insignificantly but increased in 2010, which is very good for the company.
Compared to 2009, this ratio has increased slightly because, as the sales of the
company increased, the net profit of the company has also sufficiently gone up to
make the ratio higher. So, as the sales rose to Tk.10,810,974,226 in 2010 from
Tk.9,799,615,713 in 2009, the net profit also went up to Tk.1,788,730,635 in 2010
from Tk.1,607,337,522 in 2009.
* ROAGraphical representation:
ROA(%)
|
Year
Interpretation:In 2010, every Tk.100 worth of total asset has generated Tk.6.855
worth of net income. Although compared to 2009, this ratio has very slightly
decreased, it has continued an upward trend throughout 2006, 07, 08 and 09.The
ratio has gone down slightly from 6.8631% to 6.8550% in 2010 because along with
the increase in the companys net income from Tk.1,607,337,522 in 2009 to
Tk.1,788,730,635 in 2010, their total assets increased from Tk.23,419,706,714 to
Tk.26,093,791,941. This means, their assets are a bit less efficient to generate more
net income. It will be better for the Company to handle its Assets at a more optimum
amount. So the company might utilize its assets in a better way in order to make this
ratio more favorable. *
ROE (%)
ROE:Graphical Representation:
Year
|
|
Interpretation:In 2010, the companys shareholders have earned Tk.20.42 for every
Tk.100 investment in the company.This ratio increased from 2006 to 2008 and then
it fell slightly in 2009 and 2010.The ratio fell from 21.96% in 2009 to 20.42% in 2010
because along with the increase in net income the total equity of the company has
subsequently increased from Tk.7,320,407,097 in 2009 to Tk.8,759,855,635 in 2010.
So the company should try to improve this situation in order to attract more
shareholder 5. Stock Market Ratio: | Formula | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010
|
EPS (taka per share) | Net income/ Total no. of share outstanding | 45.5247272 |
55.9378292 | 78.7316149 | 120.422032 | 111.676701 |
DPS**(taka per share) | Total Dividend paid/ Total no. of share outstanding | 0 | 20 |
25 | 23.8095238 | 37.5000009 |
M/B(times) | Market Value Per share/Book Value Per Share | 1.01500792 |
3.20236878 | 4.25079536 | 1.46413609 | 2.55070144 |
P/E | Market Value Per share/EPS | 5.70019891 | 17.0635867 | 18.9885601 |
6.66821502 | 12.4914148 |
(**in the year 2006, company paid no dividend, so dividend paid=0) | |
*
EPS (taka per share)
EPSGraphical representation:
Year
|
|
Interpretation:In 2010, the companys shareholders have earned Tk.111.68 for every
share they hold.The EPS has followed a good upward trend from 2006 to 2009 and
then it fell in 2010. The reason for the fall from Tk.120.42/share in 2009 to
Tk.111.68/share in 2010 is that their number of common stock has increased to a
great extent in 2010. So it will be better for the company if they increase their Net
Income more sufficiently. * DPS
DPS (taka per share)
Graphical representation: |
Year
Interpretation: In 2010, the company has paid dividend of Tk.37.50 to the
shareholders for every share they hold. The company paid both stock dividend and
cash dividend.From the graph we can see that the DPS has gradually increased from
2006 to 2008. In 2009, it fell very slightly and then again in 2010, this ratio has
increased sharply, which is good for the company.The ratio increased from
09. In 2009 and 2010, the ROA of the company was almost same. In 2010, this ratio
fell slightly by 0.01%.At present, the ROA of the Company seems to be at a stable
condition.The very slight fall in 2010 occurred due to the slight fall in the Total Asset
Turnover Ratio from 0.418434604 times in 2009 to 0.414312119 times in 2010. This
small decrease in the Total Asset Turnover Ratio occurred due to the increase in
Total Assets from Tk.23,419,706,714 in 2009 to Tk.26,093,791,941 in 2010. *
Extended/ Modified Du-Pont Equation:Return on equity (ROE) = Net profit
margin*total asset turnover*equity multiplier (EM)(Net profit/total equity) = (net
profit/sales) *(sales/total asset) * (total asset/total Stockholders
equity)
Year | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
ROE (%) | 17.8065351 | 18.7672664 | 22.3860858 | 21.9569417 | 20.419636 |
Interpretation:This ratio increased from 2006 to 2008 and fell slightly in 2009 and
then again fell by a small percentage in 2010. The ROE of the Company though fell by
a small percentage in 2010, does not seem to fluctuate much.The fall in 2010
occurred due to the slight fall in the Total Asset Turnover Ratio, which in turn was a
result of an increase in the amount of Total Assets in 2010 compared to that of 2009.
Moreover, the Equity Multiplier, which is the ratio of Total asset to Total Equity, had
decreased by a significant level in 2010 resulting in the subsequent decrease in the
ROE of 2010. The Equity Multiplier had decreased because of the increase in the
Total Equity from Tk.7,320,407,097 in 2009 to Tk.8,759,855,635 in 2010.The ROE of
the Company though fell by a small percentage in 2010, does not seem to fluctuate
much.Findings:After completing the five major types of ratio analysis for DESCO in
the year 2010, we can now evaluate the companys financial performances in terms
of its strengths and weaknesses. We found out that the Companys Profitability Ratio
was in a moderate condition i.e. neither very good nor very bad. The Sales, Net Profit
went up in 2010, although the Gross Profit went down. The Net Profit margin was
good; compared to the previous years, the ROA has followed an increasing trend up
to 2009 and remained almost unchanged in 2010; the ROE increased in 2008 and fell
vey slightly in 2009 and 2010. So the Company is in a moderate situation in
profitability. By loooking at the Asset Mangement Ratio we can say that the
Company is utilizing its Inventory very well and its Total Asset is also utilized well
though it will be better if the Company increases its Sales using lesser Fixed Assets. In
addition, the Company should also try to collect its Receivables a bit faster, since
itsAverage Payment Period is 2 days less than its Average Collection Period. But it is
good that the Companys Average Payment Period in 2010 has decreased in
comparison to the previous years.We can see that the Companys Liquidity Ratio is
following an upward trend. The Debt Mangement mostly depends on the decision of
the Managerial Body of the Company, but the Times Interest Earned has followed an
upward trend upto 2009 and fell in 2010.When we look at the Stock Market Ratios,
we can see that the Companys DPS, M/B and P/E Ratio after decreasing in 2009, all
went up to significant level in 2010. Though the EPS went down in 2010, it had been
following an upward trend.Recommendations:Finally we can recommend the
company to handle their Fixed Assets efficiently and also to update or use more
modern and productive Assets. Moreover they should reduce their Average
Collection Period. For this they can provide some discounts, which may help to
quicken the collection of receivables and lessen the chance for any bad debt. To
increase their Operating Income, they can try to reduce their Operating & Financial
Expenses. But also, we cannot deny the fact that as net income has improved so
shareholders will be happy, their earnings will increase, and this will positively reflect
the stock market.Conclusion:Analyzing the overall situation, financial performance in
2010 was good enough. Comparing with the past record it is seen that in 2010 the
performance has improvedBased on these assumptions, DESCO seems like a more or
less stable company maintaining somewhat satisfactory growth in sales revenue thus
maintaining predictable growth in their net income. Our recommendation is that
shareholders may invest in the company, but they should not expect a very high level
of return as risk is predictable and low.APPENDIX: |
1) Liquidity Ratio | | | | | | |
| Formula | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
Current Ratio(times) | Current asset/ current liabilities | (7451995528/ 2820615872)
| 8655455937/3261344547 | 10526169665/4078820730 |
16052781843/4966685880 | 17288454805/4743395449 |
Quick ratio(times) | (Current assets-inventories)/current liabilities | (74519955281392045595)/ 2820615872 | (8655455937-916718318)/ 3261344547 |
(10526169665-774928506)/ 4078820730 | (16052781843-4840363451)/
4966685880 | (17288454805-4671022906)/ 4743395449 |
2) Asset management ratio:
|||||||
|||||||
| Formula | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
Inventory Turnover Ratio(times) | Sales/ Inventory | 6324979173/4836770179 |
7381279238/5782340389 | 9189386688/6946720020 | 9799615712/4840363451 |
10810974226/4671022906 |
= 3.604%
Basic Earning Power (BEP) = (EBIT) (Total Assets)
= ($492,648) ($3,497,152)
= 14.09%
Return on Assets (ROA) = (Net Income) (Total Assets)
= ($253,584) ($3,497,152)
= 7.25%
Return on Equity (ROE) = (Net income) (Total Common Equity)
= ($253,584) ($1,952,352)
= 13%
The companys Profit Margin is expected to improve in 2003 than that of 2002, which
is a good sign. Moreover it is also above the Industry Average. Their Net Income is
expected to increase highly which caused the ratio to improve, and the relative
increase in net profit is higher than increase in sales which caused the ratio to rise.
BEP is expected to rise from -4.6% of 2002 to 14.09% in 2003, which is a good as this
would be a large increase but as it is still 5.01% below the industry average it cannot
be comment as satisfactory, they have to improve further. Because of its relative
increase in EBIT more than total assets increase the ratio improved.
ROA is also expected to improve in 2003 than that of 2002, i.e. total assets are
efficiently generating more net income. But this particular ratio is a little below the
Industry Average which leaves them with the scope to improve further, they should
have optimum amount of assets.
ROE has also improved from their past years. This is a good sign for the shareholders,
they are happy with the companys performance, which again help to grow their
confidence over the company. However this ratio is below the Industry Average,
which should be their area of concern to improve more.
Ques. (f): Calculate the 2003 PriceEarnings Ratio, PriceCash Flow Ratio and
MarketBook Ratio. Do the ratios indicate that investors are expected to have high or
low opinion of the company?
Ans. (f): Price to Earnings Ratio = (Price per Share) (Earnings per Share)
= ($12.17) ($1.014)
= 12.0019
Ans. (h): If the DSO has to improve (decrease the average number of days to collect
account receivables from customers) without changing the sales that means the
Numerator of the DSO formula, i.e. Accounts receivables has to decrease. Account
receivables decrease again means that the customers have paid their due and this
brings the same amount of cash (current asset) into the company. Therefore
ultimately there will be no change into the Balance Sheet of the company, i.e. same
amount of number is being reduced and increased within the Current Asset Section,
which thus leaves it unchanged ultimately.
For this change in DSO, there will be No Effect in the stock price.
Calculation shown:
We know, DSO= Account Receivable (Sales360)
Now, new DSO is 32days and keeping sales constant, we get,
New Account Receivables = $625.33(in thousands)
So the A/R will decrease from $878 to $625.33 by (878-625.33) = $252.77(in
thousands) and hence the current asset apart from A/R will increase by $252.67 (in
thousands) and the new total other current asset apart from A/R will be $2054.67 (in
thousands).
Putting these values into the Balance Sheet, we get,
Accounts receivable $625.33
Other current asset
2054.67
Net fixed asset
817.00
Total Asset
$3497.00
Debt
Equity
Total Debt + Equity
$1,545.00
1,952.00
$3497.00
Ques. (i): Does it appear that inventories could be adjusted, and, if so, how should
that adjustment affect D Leons profitability and stock price?
Ans. (i): Previously we saw that the inventory turnover ratio was low from their past
ratios and also below the Industry Average. This means that the company is
maintaining more inventories than required. From the income statement we found
out the company sales have increased, which means they are keeping more
inventories than required.
Keeping too much inventories in hand are associated with their high maintenances
cost, warehouse costs, utility cost can go up. This would increase their expense and
lowers net income after tax which again lowers their Profitability Ratio.
Ques. (l): What are some potential problems and limitations of financial ratio
analysis?
Ans. (l): Some potential problems of ratio analysis are:
1) Ratios that reveal deviations from the norm merely indicate symptoms of a
problem. Additional analysis is typically needed to isolate the causes of the problem.
2) A single ratio does not generally provide sufficient information from which to
judge the overall performance.
3) The ratio being compared should be calculated using financial statements dated at
the same point in time during the year. If they are not, the effects of seasonality may
produce erroneous conclusions and decisions.
4) Using audited financial statements is preferred for ratio analysis. If they are not
audited, the data in them may not reflect the firms true financial condition.
5) Results can be distorted by inflation, which can cause the book values of inventory
and depreciable assets to differ greatly from their replacement values.
Ques. (m): What are some qualitative factors analysts should consider when
evaluating a companys likely future financial performance?
Ans. (m):
I. Is the companys revenue generated through sales to one key customer? If this is
the case then the companys performance might be at risk if the customer stops
buying from that company. This will cause overall sales and hence profit to witness
dramatic fall.
II. Is the companys revenue generated through sales of one product? If this is the
scenario then this might hurt the financial performance of the business if the sales or
demand of this product falls. This can be avoided through diversification of products.
III. Is the company relying on a single supplier for its supply? Depending on a single
supplier may not be wise and may lead to unanticipated shortages in supply which
are important matters to be taken into account by a company.
IV. The degree of competition: The presence of intense competition in an industry
reduces process and profits for companies as well. Hence, a company should
consider the nature of competition it will face in order to judge its likely future
financial performance.
V. Future Prospects: The financial performance of a company also depends upon its
future prospects. The financial performance will depend upon the innovation of
products. For example, in a technology based industry, firms will have to bring
technological changes in its products to outwit rival firms.
VI. Regulatory environment: The regulatory environment under which the company
operates is a crucial determinant of financial performance. If too many regulations
such as carbon emission reduction, stringent labor laws are imposed on companies
then this will hurt companys profitability and hence financial performance.
APPENDIX:
Answer B
Ratio | Formula | 2003E |
Current Ratio | Current assets/Current liabilities | $2,680,112/$1,144,800 |
Quick Ratio | (Current assets Inventory)/Current liabilities | (2,680,1121,716,480)/1,144,800 |
Answer- C
Ratio | Formula | 2003E |
Days sales outstanding | A/R/(sales/360) | 878,000/(7,035,600/360) |
Fixed asset Turnover ratio | Sales/Fixed asset | 7,035,600/817,040 |
Total asset turn-over ratio | Sales/Total asset | 7,035,600/3,497,152 |
Inventory Turnover ratio | Sales/Inventories | 7,035,600/1,716,480 |
Answer- D
Ratio | Formula | Year 2003E |
Debt Ratio | (Total Debt/Total Assets) 100 | (1,544,800/3,497,152)100 |
TIE Ratio | (EBIT/Interest Expense) | $492,648/$70,008 |
EBITDA Coverage Ratio | (EBITDA + Lease Payments)/(Interest + Principal Payments +
Lease Payments) | ($609,608 + $40,000) ($70,008 + $0 + $40,000) |
Financial Leverage | [Total Debt / (Total Debt + Total Equity)] 100 | [$1,544,800/
($1,544,800+$1,952,352)] 100 |
Answer- E
Ratio | Formula | Year 2003E |
Net Profit Margin | (Net Profit after Tax /Sales) 100 | ($253,584) ($7,035,600) |
Basic Earning Power (BEP) | (EBIT/Total Assets) 100 | ($492,648) ($3,497,152) |
Return on Assets (ROA) | (Net Income after Tax /Total Assets) 100 | ($253,584)
($3,497,152) |
Return on Equity (ROE) | (Net Income after Tax /Total Equity) 100 | ($253,584)
($1,952,352) |
Answer-F
Ratio | Formula | Calculation |
P/E Ratio | Market price per share/Earnings per share | ($12.17) ($1.014) |
Price /cash flow | Price per share/cash flow per share | ($12.17) ($1.48) |
Cash flow per share | (Net Income +Depreciation + Amortization)/(Total Common
Share Out Standing) | ($253,584 + $116,960 + $0) (250,000) |
Market/ Book ratio | Market price per share/Book value per share | $12.17/$7.809
|