Bebidas
2010
Ch Quente
1.8%
Cerveja
8.2%
20.9%
35%
11.2%
Leite Aromatizado
0.9%
Bebidas Base de Leite
Refrescos
2.6%
2.7%
4.0%
30%
7.1%
12.5%
Bebidas Carbonatadas
Outros
Outros: Xaropes, Ch e Bebidas a Base de Caf,
Energticos & Isotnico, Suco Concentrado e em
P
15.3%
12.8%
gua
Leite Branco
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
CAGR 03 x 09
3.6%
1 270 006
2003
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
4.0%
3.1%
1 310 556
2004
1 366 418
2005
1 428 127
2006
1 487 802
2007
1 524 137
2008
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
1 567 038
2009
1 270
3.3%
6.7%
9.0%
20.4%
1 310
3.5%
6.8%
8.8%
20.5%
11.2%
11.1%
12.8%
13.2%
1 366
3.6%
6.8%
8.6%
20.6%
11.1%
13.7%
1 428
3.7%
6.9%
8.4%
20.6%
11.3%
1 488
3.9%
7.0%
8.2%
20.6%
11.5%
1 524
3.9%
7.1%
8.1%
20.6%
11.4%
CAGR
03x09
1 567
4.0%
7.1%
8.2%
20.9%
11.2%
14.2%
14.6%
15.0%
15.3%
13.3%
13.1%
12.9%
12.5%
14.0%
13.8%
13.5%
2.2%
2.8%
2.2%
2.8%
2.3%
2.8%
2.4%
2.8%
2.5%
2.7%
2.6%
2.7%
2.7%
2.6%
14.8%
14.5%
14.1%
13.7%
13.3%
13.0%
12.8%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
6.5%
Outros
4.6 %
Caf Quente
2.0%
Ch Quente
4.0%
Vinho
2.1%
Cerveja
3.6%
gua
6.6%
Bebidas Carbonatadas
1.7%
Refrescos
7.3%
Suco e Nectar
2.1%
Leite Aromatizado
4.2%
Leite Branco
1.2%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Cranberry
Manga
Abacaxi
Pessego
Uva
Mix de Frutas
Ma
16%
35%
Laranja
Sabores
Fonte: Euromonitor IMIS. Share por mio Litros 2009
Inclui: Suco e Nctares
Confidential
Category Management / April 2010
6%
7%
22%
Morango
7%
7%
7%
19%
Fruta
- 195
Pssego - 201
Ma -
8%
10%
Manga -
8%
Abacaxi -
Confidential
Category Management / April 2010
Anlise do Mercado
Global de Sucos
2010
CAGR 03 x 09
4.8%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
5.3%
4.3%
156 014
125 937
24 625
11 288
27 641
16 361
131 479
24 588
12 351
29 377
16 783
138 856
24 791
13 425
31 691
17 491
146 906
24 620
24 836
16 091
161 545
24 016
16 864
CAGR
03x09
166 577
23 495
Suco 100%
-0.8%
17 074
Nectar
7.1%
Refrescos
7.3%
Suco em P
3.5 %
14 800
34 294
17 871
14 489
37 234
39 849
42 153
18 710
19 276
20 137
Suco Concentrado
0.6%
14 600
14 612
14 814
Energticos
8.8%
15 472
16 113
16 806
Caf PPB
2.1%
Ch PPB
7.7%
14 313
14 355
14 207
10 120
11 234
12 595
13 918
17 967
19 070
20 824
22 778
25 238
26 707
28 005
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
CAGR 03 x 09
4.8%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
5.3%
4.3%
156 014
125 937
12 309
12 316
8 899
18 730
131 479
12 591
11 998
9 987
20 170
8 911
9 207
16 361
16 783
138 856
12 861
11 930
10 953
21 425
10 266
17 491
146 906
13 237
13 154
11 384
11 682
13 371
161 545
12 836
11 180
13 950
12 185
23 095
11 199
17 871
14 489
24 960
26 569
CAGR
03x09
166 577
12 380
11 115
14 110
29 374
0.1%
-1.7%
8.0%
Nectar Laranja
3.7%
7.7%
6.4%
13 280
12 779
19 276
20 137
Suco em P
14 600
14 612
14 814
Suco Concentrado
3.5 %
0.6%
15 472
16 113
16 806
Energticos
8.8%
Caf PPB
2.1%
Ch PPB
7.7%
12 274
18 710
14 313
14 355
14 207
10 120
11 234
12 595
13 918
17 967
19 070
20 824
22 778
25 238
26 707
28 005
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
10
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
CAGR 03 x 09
3.8%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
4.1%
3.4%
106,290
94,228
16,361
14,313
27,641
11
97,455
16,783
14,355
29,377
101,604
17,491
14,207
31,691
17,871
14,489
34,294
111,255
18,710
114,617
19,276
CAGR
03x09
117,672
P
3.5 %
20,137
Concentrado
14,600
37,234
14,612
39,849
14,814
42,153
16,091
16,864
17,074
11,288
12,351
13,425
14,800
24,625
24,588
24,791
24,836
24,620
24,016
23,495
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
Refresco
(at 24%
Suco)
0.6 %
7.3 %
Nectars
(25-99%
Suco)
7.1 %
Suco
(100%
Suco)
-0.8%
Categoria de Sucos
40 mercados com as maiores
contribuies de volume
Metodologia
Anlise dos principais 40 mercados e disposable income per capita
Mercados Globais
13
AUSTRALIA
$18,009
CHILE
$5,767
ARGENTINA
$4,460
USTRIA
$27,209
ITLIA
$24,581
BRASIL
$5,227
BLGICA
$28,341
RSSIA
$5,242
CHINA
$2,025
CANAD
$24,083
FRICA DO SUL
$3,285
COLMBIA
$3,415
DINAMARCA
$26,285
UCRNIA
$1,722
FINLNIDA
$25,021
FRANA
$28,789
NDIA
$823
ALEMANHA
$27,299
INDONSIA
$1,429
GRCIA
$20,868
ISRAEL
$14,917
IRLANDA
$26,859
MXICO
$5,632
JAPO
$25,374
MARROCOS
$2,107
HOLANDA
$23,661
FILIPINAS
$1,274
NOVA ZELNDIA
$14,035
POLNIA
$7,041
NORUEGA
$33,233
ROMNIA
$4,266
COREIA DO SUL
$11,247
ARBIA SAUDITA
$5,850
ESPANHA
$20,431
TAIWAN
$8,992
SUCIA
$22,013
TURQUIA
$6,293
SUA
$42,629
REINO UNIDO
$22,016
EUA
$32,915
Metodologia
78%
2.8%
53,871
2003
15
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
2.9%
2.7%
55,260
2004
57,075
2005
58,717
59,744
60,571
2006
2007
2008
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
63,526
2009
CAGR 03 x 09
2.8%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
2.9%
2.7%
CAGR (%)
63,526
53,871
59,744
60,571
26,608
27,388
28,496
32,013
23,985
24,622
25,985
8,302
8,796
9,319
10,335
10,859
11,316
11,125
21,585
21,842
21,771
21,774
21,497
20,759
20,388
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Cresc vs ano
anterior
16
55,260
57,075
58,717
2.6%
3.3%
2.9%
1.7%
1.4%
4.9%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
Refrescos
3.5%
6.4%
4.9%
Nectares
7.6%
2.5%
5.0%
0.3%
-2.2%
-0.9%
Suco 100%
2.8%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
2.9%
2.7%
CAGR (%)
63,526
53,871
5,743
10,786
18,230
57,075
55,261
6,095
5,626
12,079
11,296
19,102
18,544
58,717
59,744
60,570
6,246
6,182
6,961
12,828
13,973
14,539
20,286
20,737
20,958
7,465
16,987
20,313
Oriente
Mdio
4.0%
4.6%
4.3%
13.4%
-6.2%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
1.5%
America
Latina
2.8%
6.1%
4.5%
Asia
5.9%
9.8%
7.9%
3.6%
0.0%
1.8%
-0.1%
-1.3%
-0.7%
Africa
Oceania
Europa
17,229
2003
Crescimento
vs ano
anterior
17
17,842
17,769
2004
2005
2.6%
3.3%
17,162
2006
2.9%
16,673
2007
1.7%
15,892
2008
1.4%
16,498
2009
4.9%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
America
do
Norte
2.1%
4.2%
8.5%
2.8%
1,
36
0
5.6%
1,
52
0
-0.1%
1,
62
5
5.0%
2,
73
5
-2.5%
2,
80
6
1.6%
4,
45
5
15.5%
0.1%
-1.1%
5.4%
1.1%
13.2%
-3.3%
16.0%
18.2%
18
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Mercaods estimados. Apenas pases reportados.
*Apenas volumes negociados
65
5
62
1
ia
si
a
In
do
ne
cr
an
75
7
80
1
Tu
rq
ui
a
ia
do
Su
l
Co
re
ol
a
nd
a
84
6
93
0
di
ta
93
0
Sa
u
It
lia
bi
a
Ar
a
1,
26
9
Br
as
il
Es
pa
nh
a
C
an
ad
a
2,
20
9
2,
31
8
Ja
p
o
R
us
si
a
Fr
an
G
a
r
Be
ta
nh
a
Po
lo
ni
a
In
di
a
C
hi
na
M
ex
ic
o
Al
em
an
ha
EU
A
3,
41
6
8,
80
1
15
,2
32
-0.8%
4,
49
7
CAGR 03x09
SADE
&
SABOR
NUTRIO
REFRESCNCIA
EUA (1 em importancia)
Japo (43%)
Turquia (50%)
Canad (84%)
Egito (59%)
Grcia (21%)
Brasil (48%)
Alemanha: (85%)
Espanha (66%)
19
Foras que
afetam o
consumidor
Reao dos
consumidores
a essas foras
Internal
C.Cantoni / April 2010
Economia
Paradoxo da Sade 3
Foco entre a preocupao e a
ao
Consumidores Ansiosos 5
Foco em segurana alimentar
Simplesmente Verde
6 Consumidores no
controle
Consumidores com o poder de
deciso e cada vez mais ativos
Internal
C.Cantoni / April 2010
Pronto
para Beber
100% Juice
40 Nectars
mercados
com maior
(>25% juice)
Fruit / Flavoured Still Drinks
contribuio
Water
These sub-categories
are also grouped as
JNSD
23
CAGR 03 x 09
-0.9%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
0.3%
-2.2%
CAGR
03x09
21,585
21,842
4,240
4,549
784
599
1,471
781
613
1,502
4,294
24
4,140
21,771
21,774
4,699
4,820
783
616
1,575
762
678
1,655
4,053
4,029
21,497
20,759
20,388
4,660
4,440
715
676
1,759
707
662
1,746
3,907
3,813
4,928
Outros
0.8%
Uva
-2.1 %
689
699
1,590
Tomate
2.6%
3,724
Mix de
Frutas
1.3 %
Ma
-2.3 %
Laranja
-1.6%
10,197
10,257
10,045
9,829
9,511
9,170
9,247
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
CAGR 03 x 09
5.0%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
7.6%
2.5%
10,859
11,316
CAGR
03x09
11,125
10,335
Outros
4.8%
Manga
6.2%
Pessego
8.7 %
9,319
8,796
8,302
4,530
3,484
3,775
4,745
25
4,629
4,072
518
451
388
623
449
1,050
1,084
1,115
999
1,097
1,194
1,757
1,683
2003
2004
707
4,912
772
854
940
1,017
1,027
1,384
1,468
1,495
1,514
1,210
1,332
1,397
1,446
1,716
1,826
1,835
1,955
1,931
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Maa
5.7%
Mix de
Frutas
7.2 %
Laranja
1.6%
CAGR 03 x 09
4.9%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
3.5%
6.4%
CAGR
03x09
32,013
23,985
8,664
8,772
9,195
9,257
27,388
28,496
11,509
9,372
9,766
1,887
1,553
1,656
2,050
2,080
1,686
1,816
2,203
2,371
2,821
2,939
2,982
3,126
2,658
2,910
3,158
1,985
2,223
2,413
7,321
7,480
7,954
8,018
8,235
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2,206
1,481
2,066
2,524
2,601
1,284
26
24,622
25,985
26,608
Outros
4.8%
Uva
6.6%
Maa
0.9%
2,328
3,305
Manga
3,700
Mix de
Frutas
8,259
9,284
Laranja
2008
2009
4.6%
10.9 %
4.0%
CAGR 03 x 09
1.0%
19,275
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
0.7%
1.3%
19,420
19,715
19,673
19,581
19,385
20,462
CAGR
(%)
2003-09
7,321
1,757
7,480
1,683
7,954
1,716
8,018
1,826
8,235
1,835
8,259
1,955
9,284
1,931
10,197
10,257
10,045
9,829
9,511
9,170
9,247
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Growth vs
previous year
0.7%
27
1.5%
-0.2%
-0.5%
-1.0%
-5.6%
Refresco
4.0%
Nectar
1.6%
Suco
100%
-1.6%
Principais Mercados
Sucos, Nctares e Refrescos de Laranja
10 Pases Selecionados, 2009
5 673
100%
3 356
1 189
22.5%
31.3%
80
1 205
40.2%
1 078
901
788
784
559
492
2.0%5.4%
3.0%
17.8%
12.3%
15.2%
53.0%
61.9%
60
89.7%
81.9%
87.2%
2.2%
95.0%
11.3%
40
68.7%
57.6%
62.2%
69.9%
20
35.7%
8.6% 18.1%
Nectar
Suco 100%
28
Russia
Canada
Mexico
Brasil
Japo
Frana
Alemanha
Refresco
4.2%
Gr Betanha
EUA
China
5.2%
5.1%
32.7%
Volumes em MM LITROS
851
3,356
138
191 165
788
784
105
559
74
492
47
418
37
315
308
40
38
23
280
275
27
239
EU
A
19
236
23 29
195
156
In
di
In
do a
ne
si
a
Be
lg
ic
a
901
40
Be
ta
nh
Al
em a
an
ha
Fr
an
a
Ja
p
o
Br
as
il
M
ex
ic
Ca o
na
da
Ru
ss
ia
Es
pa
nh
a
Ar
P
ab olo
ni
ia
Sa a
Co
ud
re
ita
ia
do
Su
Au
l
st
Af
r
al
ric
ia
a
do
Su
l
1,078
41
Ch
in
a
1,205 1,189
75
152
It
l
ia
74
CAGR 03x09
-3.1%
8.6%
0.0%
-4.2%
0.3%
-2.0%
1.9%
4.3%
1.2%
8.7%
1.7%
0.7%
5.6%
-0.5%
0.7%
0.8%
13.8%
23.2%
0.1%
OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas com suco de laranja. No inclui xarope
usado em Bebidas Carbonatadas
29
-2.4%
30
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2,406
2,403
2,379
2,349
2,299
2,246
2,267
EUA
1,002
1,029
985
924
882
826
851
ALEMANHA
256
231
211
213
201
197
191
FRANA
152
147
153
158
163
162
165
GR BETANHA
146
141
141
143
140
144
138
CANAD
95
97
109
107
101
103
105
JAPO
92
97
95
95
92
76
75
RUSSIA
51
59
63
74
79
78
74
CHINA
44
42
48
56
60
68
74
ESPANHA
43
45
47
48
49
48
47
10
BRASIL
45
37
41
42
38
39
41
11
MEXICO
35
32
34
33
35
39
40
12
AUSTRALIA
38
40
40
40
40
39
40
13
COREIA DO SUL
45
43
42
40
39
39
38
14
POLONIA
40
41
40
38
36
37
37
15
HOLANDA
36
37
35
35
32
32
33
16
ITLIA
33
33
33
31
30
29
29
17
AFRICA DO SUL
23
23
25
26
28
27
27
18
ARABIA SAUDITA
15
16
17
19
21
22
23
19
SUCIA
26
24
23
24
24
23
23
20
BLGICA
22
22
23
24
24
23
23
OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas com suco de laranja. No inclui xarope
usado em Bebidas Carbonatadas
31
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2,406
2,403
2,379
2,349
2,299
2,246
2,267
21
INDIA
19
17
16
16
17
18
19
22
NORUEGA
12
13
14
15
16
17
17
23
AUSTRIA
19
18
18
17
17
16
17
24
SUA
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
25
ARGENTINA
12
13
26
IRLANDA
13
13
14
14
14
14
13
27
UCRANIA
11
12
14
15
12
28
GRCIA
12
11
12
12
11
11
11
29
DINAMARCA
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
30
CHILE
11
11
31
FINLANDIA
16
13
14
13
11
10
32
NOVA ZELANDA
33
ROMENIA
34
INDONESIA
35
TAIWAN
36
TURQUIA
37
ISRAEL
38
FILIPINAS
39
COLOMBIA
40
MARROCOS
OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas com suco de laranja. No inclui xarope
usado em Bebidas Carbonatadas
Amrica do Norte
Amrica do Norte
EUA
32
Canad
-2.0%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
-1.5%
-2.5%
7,447
7,043
7,226
6,729
2,146
1,955
11
CAGR
(%)
5,567
1,899
11
6,232
6,225
2,094
1,628
17
1,786
2003-09
1,211
17
Refresco -1.8%
Nectar
5,290
5,078
2003
2004
-3.4%
5,115
4,813
4,579
2005
2006
-1.8%
-4.8%
4,340
4,429
2007
2008
2009
-3.8%
-1.9%
Suco
100%
8.1%
-3.1%
-1.2%
1,126
6%
1,095
-3%
1,031
-7%
984
-7%
929
-11%
956
12%
CAGR 03 x 09
-2.3%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
-1.9%
-2.7%
6,922
6,633
6,522
6,151
2,129
1,926
5,679
2,071
5,673
CAGR
(%)
5,012
1,876
1,612
1,774
1,193
2003-09
Refresco
Suco
100%
4,595
2003
4,793
4,561
2004
2005
6%
-4%
4,275
4,068
2006
2007
-7%
-8%
3,819
3,899
2008
2009
-12%
-1.4%
-2.7%
13%
1,029
2.7%
34
985
924
-4.3%
-6.2%
882
826
851
-4.5%
-6.4%
3.1%
OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas com suco de
laranja. No inclui xarope usado em Bebidas Carbonatadas
Estados Unidos
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Litros de Suco de
Laranja
MM litros
6,522
6,922
6,633
6,151
5,679
5,012
5,673
FCOJ Equivalente a
66 Brix
MM Tons
1,002
1,029
985
924
882
826
851
Populao:
Estimativa Nacional
em 1 de Janeiro
'000
290,211
292,892
295,561
298,363
301,290
304,060
306,600
US$
$38,393
$40,519
$42,761
$44,908
$46,725
$47,495
$46,504
Taxa de
Desemprego
6.0%
5.5%
5.1%
4.6%
4.6%
5.8%
9.3%
Total da Renda
Disponvel
US$
Billion
$8,052,900
$8,561,900
$8,944,300
$9,435,621
US$
$27,748
$29,232
$30,262
$31,625
$32,968
$33,584
$32,915
Inflao
2.3%
2.7%
3.4%
3.2%
2.9%
3.8%
0.3%
OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas com suco de laranja. No inclui xarope
usado em Bebidas Carbonatadas
35
Europa
Europa
36
Alemanha
Espanha
RU
Romnia
Frana
Sucia
Itlia
Blgica
Turquia
Noruega
Rssia
ustria
Dinamarca
Sua
Polnia
Irlanda
Holanda
Ucrnia
Finlndia
Grcia
CAGR 03 x 09
-0.3%
6,261
1,544
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
-0.5%
-0.1%
6,049
1,470
6,022
1,497
6,164
1,531
6,137
1,556
6,162
1,607
6,146
CAGR
(%)
1,623
2003-09
Refresco
1,006
978
965
1,009
1,050
1,068
0.8%
1,084
Nectar
1.2%
Suco
100%
3,711
3,601
3,560
3,624
3,531
3,487
3,439
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-3.4%
-0.4%
2.3%
-0.4%
0.4%
-1.3%
-0.3%
891
886
909
898
895
875
-3%
-1%
3%
-1%
0%
-2%
-4.2%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
-4.9%
-3.6%
1,542
1,399
320
1,303
1,326
299
314
1,268
284
230
1,241
176
1,189
307
299
268
178
179
181
200
174
CAGR
(%)
2003-09
Refresco
-2.9%
Nectar
-4.0%
Suco
100%
992
2003
915
2004
-9.3%
830
836
784
763
740
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-6.8%
1.8%
-4.3%
-2.1%
-4.8%
-4.2%
231
211
213
201
-10%
-9%
1%
-5%
197
-2%
191
-3%
Alemanha
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Litros de Suco de
Laranja
MM litros
1,542
1,399
1,303
1,326
1,268
1,241
1,189
FCOJ Equivalente a
66 Brix
MMTons
256
231
211
213
201
197
191
Populao:
Estimativa Nacional
em 1 de Janeiro
'000
82,537
82,532
82,501
82,438
82,315
82,218
82,002
US$
29,595
33,272
33,777
26,649
40,374
44,425
40,825
Taxa de Desemprego
9.8%
9.2%
9.2%
8.1%
8.3%
7.3%
7.6%
Total da Renda
Disponvel
US$
Billion
$1,657,727
$1,851,009
$1,884,679
$1,940,979
$2,146,858
US$
$20,085
$22,428
$22,844
$23,545
$26,081
$28,640
$27,299
Inflao
1.0%
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
2.3%
2.6%
0.3%
$2,354,737 $2,238,533
OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas com suco de laranja. No inclui xarope
usado em Bebidas Carbonatadas
39
sia
sia
Japo
Coreia do Sul
China
Indonsia
ndia
Filipinas
Taiwan
40
CAGR 03 x 09
5.8%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
5.0%
6.6%
5,154
4,849
4,594
CAGR
(%)
4,258
4,025
3,677
2003-09
3,618
Refresco -0.9%
2,449
2,871
3,049
3,447
3,701
4,045
Nectar
-3.3%
2,455
Suco
100%
416
337
340
379
327
395
340
812
827
814
831
820
753
769
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-1.6%%
11.2%
5.8%
7.9%
5.6%
8.7%
7.3%
211
-1%
213
219
220
216
222
1%
3%
1%
-2%
3%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Industrias estimadas. Apenas pases reportados.
41OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas
BRIC + Mxico
BRIC
Brasil
Rssia
ndia
China
42
Mxico
CAGR 03 x 09
1.9%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
4.0%
-0.2%
792
759
704
736
710
751
CAGR
(%)
788
Refresco2003-09
3.1%
Nectar
571
626
658
689
650
658
15.3%
686
Suco
100%
-17.2%
29
104
2003
44
40
60
72
65
68
41
61
32
29
2004
2005
2006
25
2007
33
2009
1.0%
6.8%
4.4%
-7.1%
2008
2.0%
4.9%
37
41
42
38
39
41
-17%
10%
3%
-10%
4%
6%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Industrias estimadas. Apenas pases reportados.
43OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas
Brasil
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Litros de Suco de
Laranja
MMlitros
704
710
759
792
736
751
788
FCOJ Equivalente a
66 Brix
MMTons
45
37
41
42
38
39
41
Populao:
Estimativa Nacional
em 1 de Janeiro
'000
181,537
183,863
186,074
188,158
190,120
191,972
193,734
US$
$3,043
$3,610
$4,740
$5,790
$7,189
$8,536
$8,117
Taxa de Desemprego
9.7%
8.9%
9.4%
8.4%
8.2%
7.9%
8.1%
Total da Renda
Disponvel
US$
Billion
$356,311
$413,571
$543,443
$674,452
$839,460
$1,013,654
$1,012,634
US$
$1,963
$2,249
$2,921
$3,584
$4,415
$5,280
$5,227
Inflao
14.8%
6.6%
6.9%
4.2%
3.6%
5.7%
4.9%
OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas com suco de laranja. No inclui xarope
usado em Bebidas Carbonatadas
44
CAGR 03 x 09
8.7%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
12.0%
5.5%
419
492
459
460
24
27
27
CAGR
(%)
20
345
18
2003-09
360
Refresco
17
8.1%
298
272
17
240
199
305
279
Nectar
207
10.5%
167
Suco
100%
114
128
136
2003
2004
2005
15.9%
4.2%
159
163
154
161
2006
2007
2008
2009
16.4%
9.5%
0.3%
5.9%
7.0%
59
63
74
79
78
74
16%
7%
18%
7%
-1%
-6%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Industrias estimadas. Apenas pases reportados.
45OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas
13.8%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
-2.4%
32.6%
225
CAGR
(%)
236
Refresco2003-09
56.8%
142
109
10
99
11
98
2003
Crescimento vs ano anterior
93
145
154
23
88
81
78
79
80
82
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-6.1%
9.4%
-3.0%
62
101
11
-9.4%
Suco
100%
40.1%
58.8%
4.7%
17
16
16
17
18
-10%
-7%
-3%
7%
10%
19
3%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Industrias estimadas. Apenas pases reportados.
46OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas
CAGR 03 x 09
8.6%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
8.4%
8.9%
3,356
CAGR
(%)
3,088
2,886
Refresco
2,597
2003-09
10.0%
2,370
2,041
1,976
Nectar
2,700
3,010
2,590
2,259
2,100
1,701
1,720
259
172
176
2004
2005
-3%
20%
80
2003
84
95
-6.3%
Suco
100%
240
112
166
129
148
176
170
2006
2007
2008
2009
226
10%
11%
7%
13.3%
9%
42
48
56
60
68
74
-5%
14%
16%
8%
15%
8%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Industrias estimadas. Apenas pases reportados.
47OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas
Volumes in MM LITERS
CAGR 03 x 09
4.3%
CAGR 03 x 06
CAGR 06 x 09
-1.4%
10.3%
CAGR
(%)
784
738
2003-09
Refresco
642
608
603
558
584
596
484
439
478
460
642
119
125
124
136
142
142
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
-3.2%
10.0%
15.0%
6.2%
-8.2%
7.9%
Suco
100%
2.2%
506
125
4.8%
32
34
33
35
39
40
-8%
6%
-5%
9%
11%
3%
Fonte: Compass 2009 Produtos, Embalagens e Industrias estimadas. Apenas pases reportados.
48OBS: Volumes em FCOJ 66 Brix Equivalent incluem sabor multifrutas
Anlise
do
Impacto
de
100% Juice
Volume
Nectars (>25%
juice)
These sub-categories
Water
PIB PER
CAPITA
PAS
RENDA
DISPONVEL
PER CAPITA
CONTEDO DE SUCO
FATOR DE DILUIO
CONSUMO DE SUCO DE
LARANJA EM 2009
SEGMENTOS
TONS FCOJ
NECTAR
Litros 000
REFRESCO
EQUIVALENTE
A 66 BRIX
BRASIL
$8,117
$5,227
75%
20%
788
41,475
RSSIA
$8,667
$5,242
50%
13%
492
56,169
NDIA
$1,089
$823
10%
236
18,246
CHINA
$3,697
$2,025
5%
3,356
68,248
MXICO
$8,117
$5,632
9%
784
37,412
5,656
221,552
5,656
792,658
BRIC + MXICO
$5,991
25%
10%
ALEMANHA
$40,824
$27,299
4,519
588 549
$ 3,790
72%
11%
10%
62%
3,507
80%
15%
848
23%
1,301
571,105
Demanda Adicional
de 142 milhes de
caixas de laranja
50
alexandre.carvalho@tetrapak.com
51