Those words were spoken by David Avakian. a recent graduate of the new
American University of Armenia. He had recently graduated from the MBA
program and started his own business in currency trading. Now he was frustrated
by his failure to make money and his inability to use the accounting that he had
learned.
Background
The Republic of Armenia is the smallest of the former Soviet republics As
part of the Soviet Union its economy had always been based on cash with no
credit cards checking accounts and so on As such its citizens were used to dealing
in cash including an active black market in foreign currencies. Since the collapse
of the Soviet Union. Armenia had gone through dramatic political and economic
change Holding and trading foreign currencies are no longer illegal so no black
market exists. As a result many people have started businesses to take advantage
of the new opportunity. Armenias economic experience since independence, has
been tumultuous Immediately after independence it became part of the
Commonwealth of Independent States and continued to use the Soviet Ruble as
its currency. The Ruble experienced tremendous inflation from 1991 through 1993
at which time Russia dropped the Soviet Ruble in favor of a new Russian Ruble
(RR) and Armenia adopted its own currency called the Dram.
Subsequently the Russian Ruble continued to fall against most Western
Currencies. while the Dram stabilized after an initial period of devaluation.
However as a practical matter most aspects of economic activity are conducted in
any of three currencies. the Russian Ruble the Armenian Dram or the American
Dollar. These three currencies are actively traded and each is used commonly for
everyday transactions. although the Dram is required for official transactions. The
widespread availability of the three currencies has led to a very large number of
currency exchange and speculation businesses. In some areas, virtually every shop
also functions as a currency exchange In other cases a business may be strictly
engaged in currency exchange and speculation. David Avakians business was of
the latter type.
The Problem
As David expressed it to his former professor his problem seemed simple.
No matter what he did at the end of the day he never had a profit or a loss. This
result was frustrating to him for obvious reasons and he was beginning to think
about getting out of the business altogether. His professor asked him to bring in
all the information he had about a typical days transactions and to show how he
calculated his profit and loss for the day. A simplified version of the information
he provided appears as Exhibit 1 but without his calculation of income. David he
started with the equivalent of $300 although he only actually had $100 in
American currency.
Start of Day
Event 1 Russian Ruble falls 10% against
the
Dollar
Trade 1
Event 2 Dram falls 10% against the Dollar
Trade 2
End of Day
Dollars
Russian Rubles
Dram
100
400000
45000
-10
+44000
-10
80
444000
+4950
49950
START OF DAY
Dollar Equivalent
R[R[ Equivalent
Dram Equivalent
Dollars
Rubles
Dram
100
100
400000
45000
400000
100
400000
45000
45000
100
400000
945000
Dollars
Rubles
10
+44000
EVENTS
Ruble falls 10% against dollar
Trade 1
Total $300
Total 1200000
Total 135000
Dram
10
Dollars
END OF DAY
Dollar Equivalents
Total $ Equiv!end
Total $ Equiv!start
$Loss
+4950
Rubles
Dram
80
80
444000
+100.91
49950
+100.91 =$281.82
444000
444000
281.82
30000
18.18
END OF DAY
Ruble Equivalents
Total RR Equiv!end
1240000
Total RR Equiv!start
1200000
352000
RR Gain
+40000
Dram Equivalents
39600
139500
135000
49950
49950
+4500
Aggregate Income In :
Dollars: - 18.18 + 9.09 + 9.09 = 0 (-18.18+40000/4400+4500/495)
Rubles: - 79992+ 40000 + 40000 = 0 (Rounding Error)
Dram: - 9000+ 4500+ 4500 = 0
Questions
1. What principle has David overlooked ?
2. What factors should David consider in selecting his functional
currency ?
3. As far as you can tell, which currency do you think David should
select ?