-40
-40
n/c
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
-30
-50
n/c
870-880
840-870
1180-1185
-30
-40
n/c
950-970
1000-1020
1140-1150
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
-40
-40
n/c
860-880
880-900
1125-1150
-30
-30
n/c
970-1000
970-980
1200-1220
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
-40
-60
n/c
930-950
900-930
1255-1270
-30
-50
n/c
980-1020
1070-1090
1200-1220
-20
-20
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
-30
-20
830-870
860-880
-30
-30
1000.00-1040.00
1140.00-1160.00
USD/TONNE
USD/TONNE
-20
-20
860-880
880-900
-20
-30
1020.00-1030.00
1150.00-1160.00
n/c
n/c
n/c
n/c
n/c
n/c
-21
-15
NOTE: for full details on the criteria ICIS pricing uses in making these price assessments visit www.icispricing.com and click
on methodology.
Asia base oils stable-to-soft on crude slides, oversupply,
bearish sentiment
Spot prices in the Asia base oils market were assessed as
stable-to-soft during the week ended 7 November, tracking
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with the softer prices seen throughout the Asian region. The
price adjustment was heard to be effective from 6 November,
according to market sources outside the company. (see
related news)
On top of reduced list prices for Group II, weak upstream
conditions also exerted downward pressure on Group II spot
discussion levels.
The Singapore Group II ex-tank market also recorded declines
week on week, as sellers who were previously targeting selling
ideas above $1,000/tonne ex-tank largely acknowledged that
such prices were no longer workable for this week's market.
In India, November list prices for Group II material from major
local suppliers were also heard to be reduced during the week
from October, reflecting the bearish market situation for Group
II globally. (see related news)
In the Group III market, spot prices were assessed as flat,
tracking subdued trading activity heard for Group III spot lots.
In the upstream sector, December WTI prices stood at
$77.66/bbl, reflecting a drop of 25 cents/bbl, during the
morning trading session on Friday.
Going forward, market players said prices were poised to
decline into the next month, as the prospect of seeing more
deep-sea cargoes coming into Asia from regions like the US
continued to weigh on market sentiment. Traditionally, USbased refineries would export more actively towards the end of
the year in order to liquidate cargoes in their inventories to
minimise inventory taxes which they would otherwise incur.
Furthermore, some market participants added that crude oil
and gas oil price movement remained an uncertainty for the
base oils market, leading most of these market participants to
maintain a cautious wait-and-see approach.
Chinese domestic market
The Chinese domestic Group I and Group II base oils prices
largely fell, except for Group III base oils prices which
remained stable in the week ended 7 November. The buying
sentiment was sluggish, because of the Asia-Pacific Economic
Cooperation (APEC) summit that was held in Beijing on 5-11
November. During the week-long event, trucks were not
allowed to enter the capital as authorities aimed to reduce air
pollution. Therefore, few spot deals were heard concluded in
the week.
Several import traders were very pessimistic about the outlook
of the market because spot offers from Asian refiners dropped
every week. Hence, they preferred adopting a wait-and-see
approach and delayed loading of cargoes.
Majority of downstream lubricant companies bought on a needto basis in the week due to the Chinese domestic base oils
price downtrend. Therefore, trading activities remained
stagnant during the week.
Sinopec plans to supply about 13,000 tonnes of Group I and II
base oils to the domestic market in November, representing a
18% rise from October, a company source said.
Chinas Sinopec Jingmen plans to conduct a turnaround at a
100,000 tonne/year Group II base oils unit in Jingmen on 17
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Regional Asia
Group I SN150 and SN500 spot prices registered declines
while brightstock prices stood steady during the week, tracking
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Group I base oils prices largely fell during the week. SN150
and SN400 prices fell from the previous assessment in
response to the lower offers from PetroChina subsidiary Dalian
Petrochemical,
Daqing
Petrochemical
and
Fushun
Petrochemical and regional traders. However, brightstock
prices were unchanged from one week ago as supplies from
Asian refiners were tight and spot offers from Asian refiners
remained firm. Subsequently, import traders kept their BS150
prices largely stable.
Group I prices in eastern China
Grade
change
Price (CNY/tonne)
change
SN150
-200
8,350-8,400
-200
SN400
-150
8,500-8,550
-150
Brightstock
n/c
10,700-10,750
n/c
India
In the Indian market, discussions for Group I SN150 and
SN500 were heard to be ongoing at lower levels week on
week. Lower-priced talks were a result of softer offers, which
followed after crude prices dipped and offers for Russian-origin
SN150 and SN500 were reduced.
Offers for Russian-origin SN150 were heard at $750/tonne
FOB Black Sea and offers for Russian-origin SN500 stood at
$765-770/tonne FOB Black Sea.
SN500 lots of Russian-origin were subsequently heard offered
at $850/tonne CFR India, but this information could not be
confirmed immediately.
As a result, the prices of Group I SN150 and SN500 base oils
in India were assessed downwards in tandem with the broader
market by $30-40/tonne amidst the scarcity of concrete
numbers.
Talks for brightstock were subdued during the week, leading to
a stable price assessment.
GROUP II BASE OILS
Northeast Asia
In northeast Asia, continued slides in Group II spot prices
persisted on the back of poor market conditions, especially
after cuts in list prices by a few major refiners and heavy falls
in upstream crude values.
Offers made to some northeast Asian importers for November
shipment 150N cargoes stood at around $820/tonne FOB NE
Asia, while 500/600N lots were offered at around $850860/tonne FOB NE Asia. These cargoes are not subjected to
import taxes.
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ideas Offers/selling
(USD/tonne)
150N
900-940
950-990
500N/600N
900-940
950-990
ideas
India
The Indian Group II market was assessed as softer compared
with the previous week, in line with the decreases seen in the
broader northeast Asian market which also supplies material to
India.
Most market participants continued to describe the Indian
market as mixed, as a wide range of numbers were heard
during the week for Group II cargoes.
Grade
change
Price (CNY/tonne)
change
60N
-50
8,350-8,450
-50
150N
-250
8,150-8,350
-150
70N
n/c
10,050-10,100
n/c
500N
-250
8,150-8,700
-150
Some sellers said that buyers were actively talking, but actual
fixtures were scarce and most buyers maintained a cautious
GROUP III BASE OILS
Group III spot prices were assessed as flat week on week, reflecting limited demand seen from buyers. Some buyers were heard to be
holding on to expectations of price decreases. Other buyers said that while they could use Group III base oils, they preferred to focus
on Group II base oils for now.
Meanwhile on the supply front, 4cst and 6cst cargoes remained snugly supplied, while 8cst cargoes were ample.
Chinese domestic market
Group III base oils prices were steady during the week. Although the requirements from the downstream end-users were flat, the
supplies from Asian refiners were tight, apart from Group III 250N which was ample. Therefore, import traders maintained their offers
for Group III base oils in the week.
Group III prices in eastern China
Grade
change
Price (CNY/tonne)
change
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n/c
10,400-10,600
n/c
150N
n/c
10,600-10,800
n/c
250N
n/c
9,450-9,500
n/c
Related News
List prices for Group II base oils of grades 150N and 500N from a major southeast Asian refiner were reduced further this week by
$70/tonne, in line with the current Group II price downtrend seen globally, market sources said.
This is the fourth price reduction by the southeast Asia-based major refiner since September, according to market sources.
The price decrease is expected to be effective from 6 November, market sources added.
The refiner did not comment on the price adjustment.
Meanwhile, list prices for Group I base oils in the domestic Indian market extended falls into November as India-based major refiners
cut prices in tandem with declines in the broader market, market sources said.
Persistently weak market sentiment, lacklustre demand, competition from deep-sea cargoes and recent declines observed for
upstream crude values were listed by market sources as some of the factors contributing to the price decrease.
For Group I cargoes, market players said that low viscosity grades SN70 and SN150 registered declines of Indian rupees (Rs)
1.90/litre, while SN500 prices dropped by Rs2.20/litre.
Even brightstock, which saw an increase of Rs1.00/litre back in October on the back of snug supply in the Asian market, fell as ample
quantities of European and Middle Eastern origin were available to the Indian market.
Market sources said that brightstock offers were lowered by Rs0.30/litre month on month.
Meanwhile, sources added that Group II continued to soften from the previous month, with 150N and 65Ns list prices being reduced by
Rs1.90/litre respectively.
On the other hand, 500N list prices fell by Rs2.20/litre, according to market sources.
On the production front, Chinas Sinopec Jingmen plans to conduct a turnaround at a 100,000 tonne/year Group II base oils unit in
Jingmen on 17 November after shutting its hydrogenation unit, a company source said.
The hydrogenation unit is used to improve the quality of base oils.
The company is expected to suspend operations at a 200,000 tonne/year Group I base oils unit in late November, when a 3.5m
tonne/year crude distillation unit will be closed for maintenance, the source added.
The two base oils units are expected to be restarted in the middle of January 2015, according to the source.
Despite the turnarounds, Sinopec Jingmen still has 4,000 tonnes of Group I and II base oils for sale, the source also said, adding that it
had cut November Group I base oils prices by yuan (CNY) 100-150/tonne.
Currently, Group II prices are lower than Group I prices in China, and international crude prices continued to drop, the source also said.
Sinopec Jingmen mainly produces Group I SN150 and SN400 base oils and Group II N400 base oils.
Shipping
Enquiries
6,500 tonnes Baseoil South Korea/Japan 18-22 November
1,500 tonnes Baseoil South Korea/Dongguan 25-29 November
1,000 tonnes Baseoil South Korea/Tianjin 11-18 November
3,000 tonnes Baseoil Mailiao/Merak Prompt
2,000 tonnes Baseoil Sriracha/Merak December
2,000 tonnes Baseoil Sriracha/Singapore end November
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Location
Timing
Duration
Jinan Petrochemical
China
150 Group II
23 Nov
until March
China
70 Group I
26 Dec
until mid-Feb
Dalian Petrochemical
China
450 Group I
April
40 days
Sinopec Jingmen
China
100 Group II
17 Nov
until mid-Jan
Company
Location
ADNOC
H1 2014
Chevron
US
1200 Group II
Q1 2014
CNOOC
Taizhou, China
600 Group II
2015
ExxonMobil
Singapore
2015
ExxonMobil
US
2015
South Korea
650 Group II
H2 2014
Neste Oil
Not disclosed
2017
Sasol
450 GTL
2019-2020
Sinopec Maoming
Guangdong, China
2014
Sinopec Yanshan
Beijing, China
240 Group II
Mar 2014
SK Lubricants Repsol
Spain
H2 2014
Tatneft
Russia
TBC
Timing
has
successfully
passed
second
independent
audit
of
its
price
reporting
business.
ICIS is fully committed to the Price Reporting Agency (PRA) principles set out by the International Organization of Securities
Commissions (IOSCO) for oil markets. ICIS has gone further by having PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) audit 16 benchmarks across
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forecast information on production, consumption, imports, exports, capacity and utilization rates. Find out
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