Contact: Tom Swiss

(773) 485-9477
February 12, 2015

16th Ward: Foulkes New Leader

Alderman Toni Foulkes likely successor
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll for Aldertrack on Wednesday, February 11,
2015 for 16th Ward Alderman with 215 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
Cynthia Lomax
Toni Foulkes
Jose Garcia

23
97
42

10.7%
45.1%
19.5%

Stephanie Coleman

53

24.7%

Margin of Error +/- 6.82% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS
This Englewood Ward was difficult to poll because of a very high rate of disconnected phone numbers,
however Toni Foulkes lead is statistically significant. Foulkes who is currently Alderman in the 15th Ward
had decided to challenge incumbent Alderman JoAnn Thompson in the new 16th Ward. Due to the
unfortunate passing of Alderman Thompson, Foulkes has a commanding lead.
The data does not support further conclusions, such as the likelihood of a runoff or runner-up.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male
Female

85
130

39.5%
60.5%

Respondents by Age
Age 18 30
Age 31 - 45
Age 46 - 64
Age 65 plus

37
50
65
62

8.4%
23.4%
30.4%
29.0%

Respondents by Zipcode
60609 Count
60621 Count
60629 Count
60632 Count
60636 Count

22
46
54
1
92

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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