Contact: Tom Swiss

(773) 485-9477
February 13, 2015

46th Ward: Cappleman Safe

25-point lead for incumbent
CHICAGO, IL - Ogden & Fry, conducted a 1-Question Poll for Aldertrack on Friday, February 13, 2015 for
46th Ward Alderman with 433 respondents.
Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely voters.
James Cappleman
Amy Crawford
Denice Davis

243
131
59

56.1%
30.3%
13.6%

Margin of Error +/- 4.81% at 95% Confidence Interval

ANALYSIS
Incumbent Alderman James Cappleman has both a 25-point lead and an outright majority. Unseating an
incumbent in Chicago usually requires both money and a catalyst, both seem lacking for Crawford.
Since most activity in Municipal Elections occurs in the last 2 weeks, there is still room for further
development in this race.

METHODOLOGY
Ogden & Fry strives to increase the accuracy of political polling by measuring voters most likely to vote
based on voter history. Voting is a socialized behavior with predictable reliability and consistency.
Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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Ogden & Fry maintains a database with 20 years of voting history. For Chicago Aldermanic elections,
likely voters are randomly selected from voters who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 elections.

CROSSTABS
Respondents by Gender
Male
Female

225
205

52.7%
47.3%

Respondents by Age
Age 18 30
Age 31 - 45
Age 46 - 64
Age 65 plus

32
150
139
112

7.4%
34.6%
32.1%
25.9%

Respondents by Zipcode
60613 Count
60640 Count
60657 Count

219
188
26

Ogden & Fry, LLC - 1054 W. Fry St. - Chicago - 60642 - (312) 942-9161

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