SEPTEMBER 2014
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FORWARD
The Constitution of Kenya 2010 introduced significant changes to the governance
structure in Kenya that saw the creation of national and county governments each
with clear functions. To operationalize the fiscal discipline spirit within the
constitution, the Public Finance Management Act was enacted in 2012.
The Act transformed budget making process in Kenya for both level of
governments. Besides introducing reforms in the public financial management
system in the country, the PFM Act entrenched financial discipline and fiscal
responsibility principles for the respective governments.
The County Budget Review and Outlook Paper (CBROP) was prepared by the
County Treasury pursuant to the provisions of section 118 of the Public Finance
Management (PFM) Act 2012. The Act requires that the budget review and outlook
paper (BROP) is submitted to the County Executive Committee by 30 th September
of the year; the BROP being one of the budget documents meant to enhance
financial discipline and fiscal responsibilities within the countys financial
management framework.
The CBROP presents the actual fiscal performance for financial year 2013/14 and
indicating deviations from the budget appropriation for that year. In addition, it
provides details on how actual financial performance for the previous financial
year may have affected compliance with the fiscal responsibility principles.
Further, the updated macroeconomic outlook opined to in this paper also provides a
basis used to revise the 2013/14 financial year budget in the context of the
Supplementary Estimates, as well as set out the broad fiscal parameters for the next
budget.
The paper also gives an insight into the 2013/2014 budget; key government
strategies and policies for the management of revenues and expenditures; and the
medium-term outlook for government revenues and expenditures.
SHADRACK SAMBAI,
CEC, FINANCE AND ECONOMIC PLANNING
UASIN GISHU COUNTY GOVERNMENT
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Appropriation in Aid
CBROP
CFSP
CIDP
ECDE
IFMIS
NCPB
PFMA
TABLE OF CONTENTS
YFORWA
INTRODUCTION...................................................................................................5
1.1
LEGAL FRAMEWORK.......................................................................................5
1.2
2.0
2.1
OVERVIEW.........................................................................................................7
2.2
FISCAL PERFORMANCE..................................................................................8
2.2.1
Revenue.........................................................................................................8
2.2.3
Expenditure..................................................................................................10
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3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
4.0
4.1
EXPENDITURE JUSTIFICATIONS.................................................................18
4.2
4.3
EXPENDITURE DRIVERS...............................................................................19
5.0
CONCLUSION......................................................................................................20
ANNEX 1:.......................................................................................................................22
1.0 INTRODUCTION
This section presents the legal framework underpinning the county budget review
and outlook paper (CBROP). It also gives objectives of CBROP.
1.1
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
Section 118 of the Public Finance Management (PFM) Act 2012 requires the
County Treasury to prepare County Budget Review and Outlook Paper (CBROP)
for the county and the same to be submitted to the County Executive Committee by
30th September of the year. This BROP was therefore prepared by the County
Treasury in pursuant of this provision. The PFMA 2012 section 118 (1) states thus;
the county treasury shall
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prepare a County Budget Review and Outlook Paper in respect of the county
for each financial year; and
submit the paper to the County Executive Committee by the 30 th September
of that year.
The County Budget Review and Outlook Paper is required to detail the fiscal
performance for the previous financial year and to indicate how this affects the
financial objectives contained in the CFSP of that particular year. However, this is
not possible in this years CBROP because there was no CFSP for the financial
year 2013/2014 given that the county government only came into being after the 4 th
March, 2013 General
elections.
meant to lay foundation and guide the operations of the devolved structure of
governance. This CBROP cannot therefore contain information to show variations
in the forecasts in the CFSP.
Upon this background the CBROP does not make any reference to the CFSP and
only looks at the fiscal outlook of the financial year and the medium term.
The county will comply with fiscal responsibility principles and ensure
transparency and accountability by providing feedback on performance indicators
as envisaged in the Constitution 2010 and the Public Finance Management Act
2012.
1.2
The CBROP draws its objectives from Public Finance Management Act 2012
section 118 (2). The main objectives are to specify;
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a) The details of the actual fiscal performance in the previous year compared to
the budget appropriation for that year;
b) The updated economic and financial forecasts in relation to the changes from
the forecasts in the most recent County Fiscal Strategy Paper(CFSP);
c) Any changes in the forecasts compared with the CFSP;
d) How actual financial performance for the previous financial year may have
affected compliance with the fiscal responsibility principles, or the financial
objectives in the CFSP for that financial year; and
e) Reasons for any deviation from the financial objectives in the CFSP together
with proposals to address the deviation and the time estimated for doing so.
In summary, this BROP is expected to present a review of the fiscal performance
for the financial year 2013/2014. It is also expected to provide a summary of the
national macroeconomic outlook and how this affects the Countys economic
performance.
The fiscal framework presented in this document provides a strong basis for future
developments for the people of Uasin Gishu. The paper also presents an overview
of budget financing sources that includes revenue and grants. In the last section of
the document, the paper presents conclusions and the way forward.
2.0
This section reviews the actual financial performance for the FY 2013/14 and how
this might have affected compliance with the fiscal responsibility principles.
2.1
OVERVIEW
The fiscal responsibility principles are meant to ensure prudency and transparency
in the management of public resources. The principles as illustrated in the Public
Finance Management Act 2012 Section 15 require that:
a) Over the medium term, a minimum of 30% of the county budget shall be
allocated to development expenditure;
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FISCAL PERFORMANCE
2.2.1 Revenue
Table 1: Consolidated Revenue July 2013 to June 2014
ITEM
Court Fines
Financial Management Unit
Street Parking
Land Rates Management
Unit
Business Permit
Management Unit
Cess Management Unit
Home Craft Center
Management
Social Service and Housing
Management Unit
Nursery School Fees
1ST
QUARTER
1,889,425.00
2,646,965.00
13,880,010.0
0
12,481,498.0
0
2ND
QUARTER
1,593,615.00
1,856,773.00
3RD
QUARTER
1,415,672.00
4,667,942.00
4TH
QUARTER
2,005,472.00
3,943,673.00
TOTAL
6,904,184.00
13,115,353.00
18,574,890.00
19,743,925.00
20,410,422.00
72,609,247.00
9,744,392.00
70,995,531.00
30,192,120.00
123,413,541.00
4,748,481.00
653,502.00
1,065,640.00
2,967,087.00
87,567,340.00
8,135,764.00
21,013,806.00
3,281,456.00
114,395,267.00
15,037,809.00
35,400.00
34,800.00
37,300.00
32,250.00
139,750.00
9,578,174.00
261,950.00
7,826,285.00
156,700.00
10,320,502.00
329,300.00
8,662,974.00
257,500.00
36,387,935.00
1,005,450.00
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138,400.00
213,600.00
49,720.00
282,550.00
177,400.00
48,210.00
706,460.00
226,200.00
381,380.00
1,243,800.00
224,100.00
1,112,640.00
2,371,210.00
841,300.00
1,591,950.00
845,590.00
298,300.00
341,020.00
151,415.00
674,000.00
9,071,760.00
766,050.00
1,648,184.00
2,626,660.00
11,169,659.00
1,201,225.00
10,263,177.0
0
3,803,612.09
13,762,240.0
0
20,925.00
1,433,230.00
2,670,570.00
983,595.00
6,288,620.00
8,919,373.00
2,955,771.00
22,754,668.00
4,455,536.00
13,290,725.00
3,978,550.00
55,227,943.00
15,193,469.09
15,183,815.00
94,120.00
20,912,106.00
1,500,970.00
19,782,101.00
69,640,262.00
1,616,015.00
170,650.00
317,770.00
488,420.00
17,492,091.2
5
94,264,285.3
4,932,218.80
78,339,304.80
0.00
0.00
184,400.00
13,421,000.00
184,400.00
13,421,000.00
44,688,086.65
191,256,274.6
101,704,722.05
665,374,166.14
34,592,325.35
301,514,301.3
Graphical illustration of the quarterly revenue performance during the period under
review is given below:
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REVENUE (KES)
350,000,000.00
300,000,000.00
250,000,000.00
200,000,000.00
REVENUE (KES)
150,000,000.00
100,000,000.00
50,000,000.00
0.00
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Graph 1above shows graphical picture of quarterly revenue performance during the
period under review. Revenue collection dropped in the second quarter (OctoberDecember 2013) from the previous figure in the first quarter (July-September
2013). However, collections increased sharply in the third quarter (January-March
2014), before again dropping in the fourth quarter (April-June 2014). The sharp
increase in revenue collection in quarter three was because that is normally the
peak period in revenue collection. This is the time during which clients make
payments on land rates and renewal of single business permits by entrepreneurs.
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ESTIMATES
LAND RATES
316,176,614
BUSINESS PERMITS
114,733,000
CESS
56,871,362
PLOT RENTS
6,600,000
6,974,007
VARIOUS FEES
16,060,000
10,605,000
240,000
1,038,500
11,300,000
500,000
DONATIONS
17,042,560
97,131,887
HOUSING
32,166,720
SCHOOL FEES
2,000,000
3,000,000
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28,910,000
30,000,000
15,155,500
SEWERAGE ADMINISTRATION
63,274,830
1,600,000
831,380,003
2.2.3 Expenditure
Table 3: Recurrent Expenditures for the periods July 2013-June 2014
S/NO.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
RECURRENT EXPENDITURE
DEPARTMENTS
County Assembly
Office of the Governor and Deputy Governor
County Executive Committee
County Public Service
Finance
Agriculture
Environment & Natural Resources
Education, Youth Affairs & Social Services
Health Services
Physical Planning & Development
Public Works
Trade
TOTAL EXPENDITURE RECURRENT
Estimates
Expenditures Balance
563,390,967
517,173,485
46,217,482
624,103,216
520,473,296 103,629,920
33,211,214
10,389,030
22,822,184
25,689,168
3,523,085
22,166,083
345,289,730
296,579,395
48,710,335
172,229,513
156,611,638
15,617,875
76,101,804
51,584,171
24,517,633
192,936,628
95,283,645
97,652,983
614,178,573
612,118,881
2,059,692
78,926,604
60,129,005
18,797,599
239,901,708
188,969,112
50,932,596
40,278,565
15,960,142 24,318,423
3,006,237,690 2,528,794,885 477,442,805
Note: The balances indicated in the table 2 above were as a result of short fall in
revenue collection (over-budgeting).
DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE
DEPARTMENTS
Estimates
Commitments
Expenditure
Total
Payments
Commitment
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Balance
1.
12,500,000
County Assembly
Office of the Governor and
Deputy Governor
County Executive
Committee
2.
3.
12,500,000
12,500,000
5,000,000
5,000,000
5,000,000
60,000,000
5,000,000
10,000,000
0
-
4.
5.
0
Finance
5,000,000
6.
58,915,816
Agriculture
Environment & Natural
Resources
Education, Youth Affairs &
Social Services
7.
8.
60,000,000
1,084,184
140,000,000
13,076,000
126,924,000
140,000,000
170,000,000
170,000,000
92,292,925
170,000,000
120,000,000
27,707,075
120,000,000
13,800,000
1,013,000,000
80,000,000
76,868,000
-
1,410,538,
046
1,619,300
,000
9.
Health Services
Physical Planning &
Development
10.
13,800,000
13,800,000
11.
Public Works
1,013,000,000
158,762,695
12.
ICT & e-government
80,000,000
3,132,000
13.
Trade
TOTAL EXPENDITURE
1,624,300
,000
854,237,30
5
203,761,954
3.1
Global and national economic events have a direct bearing on the countys
economic performance. The world trade volume expanded in the first and second
quarter of 2014 which saw Kenyas exports register significant growth during the
period. Similarly, the national economy posted an enhanced growth of 4.6 percent
in 2013 and it impacted positively on the countys economy as well. In the first
three quarters of 2013 the economy expanded by 4.6 percent on average compared
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5,000,000
to 4.4 percent in the same period in 2012. This growth was mainly attributed to
expansions in building and construction, mining and quarrying, wholesale and
retail, manufacturing, transport and communication, financial intermediation,
agriculture and forestry sectors.
In the same period, the Uasin Gishu Countys economy experienced similar growth
largely driven by increased investments in growth potential areas of agriculture,
education; health services and physical infrastructure due to increased inflows
from national government to support devolved functions. In addition, expansion of
trade in the county as a result of favorable policies put in place by the county
government also contributed to this growth. Further, investments in the
construction industry remained robust during the period against a background of
stable interest rates coupled with ongoing county government infrastructural
projects and private sectors resilient participation in the real estate development.
3.2
The macroeconomic stability witnessed in 2013 spilled into the first quarter of
2014. This macroeconomic stability experienced during the period under review
was supported by a projected stable low inflation, moderate interest rates and
stable exchange rate which created a conducive environment for improved
economic growth. Inflation declined from double digits in 2011 towards 5 percent
in the recent months under review. On average, annual inflation declined to 5.7
percent in December 2013. In line with the decline in inflation short-term interest
rates also eased in the same period.
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However, the county economy still faced a number of internal and external risks
during the period under review. Poor rainfall experienced in the county during the
first and second quarters of 2014 which coincided with the planting season almost
dampened the agricultural sector growth. Domestic oil prices have been on an
upward trend since January 2014 despite global prices easing downwards. The
high fuel prices experienced during the period and delays in distribution of
fertilizers by NCPB also affected investments in agriculture. Furthermore, the
insufficient rains experienced in early 2014 within the water catchment regions for
hydro-power generation led to countrys dependent on thermal power generation
which pushed up the cost of energy and consequently the cost of production and
doing business. Insecurity concerns remained a key obstacle to the tourism
industry over the period which led to underperformance of the sector.
In conclusion, the county government during the period remained committed to
implementing policies as set out in the CIDP.
3.3
Over the period, the county government instituted measures to expand revenue
base and eliminate revenue collection leakages. In addition, A.I.A from devolved
functions and the automation of revenue collection was expected to enhance the
revenue yield. Further, institutionalization of public financial management systems
was anticipated to form a basis for sustained growth.
However, during the period, the county government managed to collect Kshs.
665,374,166.14, a shortfall of 20 percent against a target of kshs. 831,380,003
budgeted.
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Revenue Type
Local Revenue
Central Government
Transfer
Total
Projected Estimates
2015/2016
2016/2017
2013/14
2014/2015
Estimates
Estimates
Estimates
Estimates
1,193,421,62
1,217,290,06
1,278,154,56
4,419,574,96
4,507,966,46
4,733,364,78
5,612,996,59
5,725,256,52
6,011,519,35
665,374,166.14
3,796,628,687
4,462,002,853.14
ACCOUNT
DESCRIPTION
Estimated
Projections
2014/2015
Estimated
Projections
2015/2016
Estimated
Projections
2016/2017
12,000,000
12240000
12852000
17,000,000
17340000
18207000
500,000
510000
535500
4,000,000
4080000
4284000
8,400,000
350,000
8568000
357000
8996400
374850
150,000
153000
160650
60,000,000
61200000
64260000
10,000,000
10200000
10710000
8,000,000
8160000
8568000
200,000,000
204000000
214200000
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Penalties
Drilling calibration
Cooperative societies
Audit and
supervision
5,000,000
1,000,000
5100000
1020000
5355000
1071000
30600000
32130000
110160000
115668000
4080000
4284000
102000000
107100000
25500000
26775000
296051857.4
310854450.2
66300000
69615000
25500000
26775000
15300000
16065000
51000
53550
918000
963900
3060000
3213000
3060000
3213000
2040000
10965000
2142000
11513250
23460000
24633000
35700000
46920000
37485000
49266000
61200000
64260000
16396204.2
17216014.41
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Veterinary Services
TOTAL LOCAL REVENUE
3.4
5,000,000
5100000
5355000
1,193,421,629
1,217,290,062
1,278,154,565
Though the county government had laid most of its governance structure, there
were significant challenges that hindered proper implementation of its budget
denying the anticipated level of grass-root induced growth. It is also important to
note that during the period under review, the county did not have any deficits in its
budget.
In its bid to exercise prudency in fiscal management during the period, the county
treasury ensured there was prioritization of county public spending while cutting
on non-essential spending. In addition, the focus was to modernize revenue
collection through automation and opening new revenue streams. Borrowing was
also pursued in line with the set laws and regulations to manage cash flow issues
and expand infrastructure development.
Going forward, on the expenditure front, the county Government will continue
with rationalization of expenditure to improve efficiency and reduce overlaps and
wastage. Expenditure management will be strengthened with implementation of
the Integrated Financial Management Information System (IFMIS) and other
appropriate financial management systems across all departments. In addition, the
PFM Act, 2012 is expected to accelerate reforms in expenditure management
system at the county. Further, adoption of Programme Based Budgeting in the
budgeting process by the county Government will allow tracking of
implementation of projects and programmes.
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4.1
EXPENDITURE JUSTIFICATIONS
Future resource allocation and utilization over the medium term will be guided by
the emerging priorities, county plans and the principles of PFM Act to ensure
effective utilization of public finances. It is also important to note that sector
allocations are informed by the county goals and people's aspirations as captured in
the County Integrated Development Plan (CIDP).
Whereas expenditure cuts are targeted on the one-off expenditures that do not
require additional expenditure for the subsequent financial years, expenditure
increments are informed by core needs identified through analysis by fiscal experts
in the County as well as from insightful and welcome submissions from the county
public and submissions by individuals and organizations on the 2014/15 budget
proposals.
4.2
However, these prospects will be constrained by certain risks both in the short and
medium term. The risks to the 2014/15 financial years budget include challenges
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in revenue performance as the county continues to put structures in place, seal loop
holes and expand the revenue base. The current process of county restructuring
and rationalization of staff is expected to exert pressure on wage expenditures.
With commitment in improving infrastructure within the county, the share of
resources going to priority physical infrastructure sector, such as roads and water
will rise over the medium term.
In addition, systemic risks such as high fuel prices, high food prices, eroding
Kenya shilling against major currencies and inflation will pose a major challenge
to growth as it will constrain consumption and productivity. Other risks that need
to be addressed include declining agricultural productivity, insecurity, wage bill
pressures and transition challenges.
4.3
EXPENDITURE DRIVERS
CONCLUSION
The fiscal outlook presented herein will seek to achieve the objectives outlined in
the PFM Act and lay ground for the next financial year in terms of preparing the
CBROP and CFSP. Fiscal discipline will be important in ensuring proper
management of funds and delivery of expected output, outcome and impacts.
Effective and efficient utilization of funds especially on capacity building on
different sectors of the county will be crucial in ensuring that the county gets to
deliver on its functions.
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ANNEX 1:
RECURRENT EXPENDITURE
TITLE AND DETAILS
COUNTY ASSEMBLY
Personal Emoluments (PE)
Operations & Maintenance (OM)
TOTAL
Estimates
160,759,619
402,631,348
563,390,967
Expenditures
160,463,640
356,709,845
517,173,485
Balance
295,979
45,921,503
46,217,482
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336,822,908
287,280,308
624,103,216
328,823,920
191,649,376
520,473,296
14,901,214
18,310,000
33,211,214
1,075,949
9,313,081
10,389,030
7,998,988
95,630,932
103,629,920
13,825,265
8,996,919
22,822,184
1,291,540
2,231,545
3,523,085
1,788,128
20,377,955
22,166,083
191,904,326
104,675,069
296,576,395
4,210,357
44,499,978
48,710,335
148,832,717
7,778,921
156,611,638
4,408,839
11,209,036
15,617,875
41,494,440
10,089,731
51,584,171
15,887,663
8,629,970
24,517,633
75,265,858
20,017,787
95,283,645
57,636,795
40,016,188
97,652,983
568,372,706
43,746,175
612,118,881
863,060
1,196,632
2,059,692
3,079,668
22,609,500
25,689,168
196,114,683
149,175,047
345,289,730
153,241,556
18,987,957
172,229,513
57,382,103
18,719,701
76,101,804
132,902,653
60,033,975
192,936,628
569,235,766
44,942,807
614,178,573
23 | P a g e
67,307,498
11,619,106
78,926,604
54,168,187
5,960,818
60,129,005
13,139,311
5,658,288
18,797,599
PUBLIC WORKS
Personal Emoluments (PE)
Operations & Maintenance (OM)
TOTAL
150,117,977
89,783,731
239,901,708
101,555,412
87,413,700
188,969,112
48,562,565
2,370,031
50,932,596
TRADE
Personal Emoluments (PE)
Operations & Maintenance (OM)
TOTAL
16,292,565
23,986,000
40,278,565
8,281,326
7,678,816
15,960,142
8,011,239
16,307,184
24,318,423
3,006,237,690
2,528,794,885
477,442,805
1,624,300,000
203,769,554
1,420,530,440
4,630,537,690
2,732,564,439
1,897,973,251
TOTAL EXPENDITURE
RECURRENT
DEVELOPMENT EXPENDITURE
TOTAL EXPENDITURE
DEVELOPMENT
TOTAL EXPENDITURES
(REC+DEV)
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