Notes
Although the aff is probably not inherent, if you dont want to go for
that then you can use squo solves arguments as a way to mitigate the
risk of case and go for a DA. The asteroids advantage functionally goes
away because of this since it is predicated off of NEEMO enacting
missions, which is happening right now.
Any funding CP definitely solves the aff, but the one included is
Florida state gives money to FIU (the university that owns Aquarius).
The aff answers will be that 1) not enough funding now or 2) funding
not sustainable. To answer these, there are cards that provide
different funding mechanisms included below and also just generic
cards that talk about how Florida has $1.2 billion excess revenue after
the balancing of their budget this year. There are also cards that
support the sustainability of FIU funding (which can also be used as
squo solves cards).
T - its is also a very viable optionFIU is the owner of Aquarius in the
status quo and all the plan does is increase funding for it, not shift
control. If its is defined as ownership, the aff doesnt meet.
There are a lot of advantage CPs included to each advantage, and also
internal link takeouts to the advantages and political will arguments.
Any questions?
Email Sabrina Bajwa brinabree99@gmail.com
Bob Dai (you should bug him even though he is leaving)
bdai87@gmail.com
Ishita Kamboj ishitakamboj816@gmail.com
Good luck!!
***OFFCASE***
T Its violation
Violate Its the projects are OWNED and FUNDED by FIU
not the federal government
Clark 13 - Florida Keys Bureau Chief at The Miami Herald (Cammy, September
18, 2013, FIU begins operating Aquarius Reef Base in the Keys, Miami Herald,
http://www.miamiherald.com/2013/09/18/3635620/fiu-has-begun-operatingaquarius.html)//sb
ISLAMORADA -- A year ago, the federally owned Aquarius Reef Base the worlds only operational underwater research
habitat was on life support, doomed by budget cuts to become scrap metal or a museum piece if some entity did not
come to its rescue.
Most of the staff had already been given pink slips. A for sale sign was in front of the canal-side facility in Key Largo that
housed the land operation. After more than 20 years as its operator, the University of North Carolina-Wilmington
declared it was ending its affiliation with the program.
But those who valued the habitat did not give up, including renowned ocean explorer Sylvia Earle, known as Her
Deepness. She led what looked to be Aquarius last mission its 117th to celebrate the 50th anniversary of human
habitation on the sea floor, but mostly to use her fame and reputation to pump up support to save Aquarius.
But on Wednesday, in FIUs new Aquarius land base in the former Lady Cyana Divers shop in Islamorada, Rosenberg
gushed about the recent completion of its first saturation mission, NASAs Sea Test II. The mission had four astronauts
from three nations living and working at the 63-foot deep habitat for five days.
This makes it official, he told a group of dignitaries and media.
begun.
But for those of us children of the 60s and 70s, this is a different kind of Age of
Aquarius, he continued. One that ultimately will have a huge impact on students. Well provide students with
cutting-edge learning opportunities, worlds ahead experience that we promised at FIU.
Rosenberg said Aquarius will help raise the profile of the university. And Wednesday morning, FIU got a big publicity
boost when a live segment about the habitat aired on NBCs Today.
In November, Fabian Cousteau, the grandson of famed underwater explorer Jacques Cousteau, will undertake a recordbreaking 31-day mission at Aquarius.
But to make the habitat work financially for the long term, FIU will seek multiple funding sources, unlike UNCWilmington which relied mainly on funding provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
NOAA owns Aquarius, but it will be up to FIU to come up with the money to operate it, although NOAA kicked in $1.1
million in grant money this past year to get FIU started.
Mike Heithaus, executive director of FIUs School of Environment, Arts and Society and the associate dean who helped
land the Aquarius operation, said it will be crucial for FIU to land outside funding sources.
As an example, he cited FIUs first mission last month, in which the school-bus sized habitat was used for one day with the
pressure inside set to that of the surface so that the divers did not need to go through the long process of decompression
(when nitrogen is eliminated from the body) before surfacing.
Ben Neal, a PhD candidate at the Scripps Institute of Oceanography, wanted to use the habitat for an underwater
photography project in which he compiled images to produce a 3D look at the coral reefs. But he had no funding.
At the same time, a group in Hong Kong was looking to do a documentary at Aquarius on a project that was visual and
interesting.
The Hong Kong group footed the bill for Neals project in exchange for being allowed to do a documentary about it.
There were three winners, Heithaus said. I see a lot of that in the future of the way we fund science.
He also sees a lot of public outreach, education and Teacher in the Sea programs at Aquarius, which can house six
people for missions that can be weeks long.
On Tuesday, Heithaus was inside Aquarius, hooked up by the magic of technology to a class of third-graders in Kansas
City. While looking out the port hole, he told them: We might get to see a shark swim by if were lucky.
The kids shrieked in delight.
With Aquarius we have the ability to spark curiosity and passion for the sea, Heithaus said. We want to inspire not only
the next marine biologists, but nurses, doctors, lawyers. We want all people to understand how important the oceans are.
The possibilities are almost endless. Heithaus envisions students being taught at the habitat and teachers teaching from
there. What better place to teach about the coral reef than at the coral reef? he said.
One graduate student already is working with a faculty member at FIU on a project called the ecology of fear. Heithaus
did a similar project in Australia, where he helped determine that tiger sharks helped sea grass thrive by scaring grazers
such as sea cows and sea turtles from overeating them.
At the reefs, we dont know a lot about how important these big predators are in terms of scaring fish, he said.
appeared on a list of
government programs targeted for elimination, few noticed, except those scientists
who understood its unique potential.
NASA Astronaut Joe Acaba sets out for Aquarius as part of a five-day mission in the undersea research habitat.
It
was a tough time for us, said Aquarius Director Tom Potts. You go to bed thinking about Aquarius.
Heithaus, marine biologist and executive director of FIUs School of Environment, Arts and Society, was among those.
government funding. As the meeting progressed, it became clear to Heithaus that FIU was
being asked to save Aquarius
FIU
Florida CP
1NC
Text: The state of Florida should substantially increase
Florida International Universitys funding of the Aquarius
reef base.
Optional - with <insert tax mechanism>
FIU is in control of the Aquarius Reef Base and have a
grant to continue ownershipfunding will come from
state/local governments
Jprenaud, 13(January 15th, 2013, FIU News, FIU to operate Aquarius Reed
Base, http://news.fiu.edu/2013/01/fiu-to-operate-aquarius-reefbase/50646)//IK
FIU has been awarded a grant to continue stewardship of the
Aquarius Reef Base, the worlds only operational underwater research center. As a member of the
Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Science CIMAS, FIU received a grant to
continue maintenance and monitoring of the facility for NOAA in
2013. This will enable FIU to develop a new business model to fund
operations at Aquarius. NOAAs National Undersea Research
Program, including Aquarius, was not included in the presidents fiscal 2013 proposal, however, NOAA recognizes
that the Aquarius Reef Base is a unique and valuable asset to the scientific community . The new business
model would include research and education activities supported by
federal ,
programs and even raise taxes Floridas slowly recovering economy has
given state legislators a $1.2 billion surplus to use.
2NC
AT Budget
Aquarius only needs 3 million dollars annually
The facility
costs about $1.5 million a year for basic operations, but the cost
jumps to about $3 million when funding research projects ,
according to Potts. The federal budget didn't include money for Aquarius this year, and the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) consolidated programs in its ocean exploration program, eliminating the
undersea research program that included Aquarius.
Povich, 4/22(Elaine S., April 22nd, 2014, The Pew Charitable Trusts,
Lawmakers Jockey Over Budget Surpluses,
http://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-andanalysis/blogs/stateline/2014/04/22/lawmakers-jockey-over-budgetsurpluses//IK
In Florida, for example, the House and Senate each have approved budgets
that would spend some of the state's $1.2 billion surplus on promoting tourism
an economic mainstay for the vacation mecca. The House version of the budget included $71.3 million for VisitFlorida,
the state's tourism promotion entity. The Senate budget gave the agency $75 million. Both
proposals are
less than the $100 million Republican Gov. Rick Scott proposed , but still a
big boost. We are seeing signs of economic recovery, said Senate Appropriations
Chairman Seth McKeel, a Republican. The funding for tourism will certainly be included in the final budget at some level,
he said. We're sorting out the details.
The Associated Press found that legislators were seeking money for everything from gun ranges and a military museum to
a sexual abstinence course for teenagers. The paper found $10 million for SkyRise Miami, a building that would be the
city's tallest, some $500,000 for a livestock pavilion in Ocala and a request to move a lighthouse at Cape San Blas in the
Panhandle.
Funding Sustainable
Aquarius Foundation and DAN solves collect taxdeductible funds and act as ongoing fiscal sponsors for
the reef base
Divers Alert Network, No Date (Divers Alert Network, Aquarius Reef Base:
Preserving the future, http://www.diversalertnetwork.org/aquarius)//IK
What is the Aquarius Reef Base? Providing an extended human presence in the undersea coral reef environment,
saturation diving from Aquarius makes possible important marine research, technological innovation, and educational
opportunities. Marine Research assess long-term change, study the effectiveness of protected area management,
potential restoration techniques, impact of climate change, ultraviolet radiation, pollution and water quality, and more.
Technical Innovation provide a world-class facility to develop and test cutting edge technologies needed in ocean
observing, forecasting and modeling, training astronauts and development of technology for lunar exploration.
Educational Opportunities window into the undersea world to excite and engage students and the public learning about
the ocean, 114 missions, over 550 scientific publications and educational programs. Aquarius
Foundation
exists to ensure the future of this important scientific resource, a
crucial strategy for sustaining our oceans for future generations. How is
DAN Involved? As a part of its mission to support diving research, DAN has
agreed to act as a fiscal sponsor for the Aquarius Foundation as it
seeks to raise funds for the continued operation of the Aquarius Reef
Base. 100% of funds donated to DAN through this page shall be
study the ocean environment allowing us to gather knowledge of our changing ocean and its inhabitants. Last July, Dr.
Sylvia Earle and a team of Aquanauts spent a week at Aquarius Reef Base during One World One Oceans Mission
Aquarius focusing worldwide attention on the imminent loss of funding for the deep sea lab. Special guests Fabien
Cousteau of Plant-a-Fish, Bob Weir of Nightline and Dan Orr of DAN joined One World One Ocean and the Mission Blue
team to maximize exposure for the campaign. And
Mann 14 reporter for the Motley fool focusing on economics, politics, and sports
(Jack, National Marijuana Legalization: How Much Tax Revenue Could It Bring In,
The Motley Fool, 7/30/2014,
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/07/30/national-marijuana-legalizationhow-much-tax-reven.aspx)//BD
Wont Be Hit But Amendment 2 Will Be Fair Game, Sunshine State News, 7/30/2014,
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/medical-marijuana-wont-be-attackedamendment-2-will-be-fair-game)//BD
Opponents of Amendment 2 have their work cut out for them -- any
doubts about medical marijuanas popularity in Florida were
obliterated by a Quinnipiac poll which had 88 percent of voters
supporting it and only 10 percent opposing it. Voters of all types -old, young, Republicans, Democrats, independents -- are in favor of it.
Griswold 14 Slate writer covering business and economics (Alison, Amazon Is Now
Collecting Sales Tax in Florida, Slate, 5/1/14,
http://www.slate.com/blogs/moneybox/2014/05/01/amazon_and_sales_tax_the_onli
ne_retailer_began_collecting_sales_tax_in_florida.html)//BD
Amazon has been avoiding sales tax for years. The 21 states it is now
subject to sales tax in make up less than half of the 45 U.S. states that
collect the tax on traditional brick-and-mortar stores. In some states like
Arkansas, Louisiana, and Oklahoma, avoiding sales tax through Amazon
can save consumersand divert from governmental coffersin the
range of 9 percent of the price of purchases. If youre a financially savvy
consumer in one of those states, its foolish not to buy expensive items online.
The addition of sales tax on Amazon in Florida is expected to generate
around $80 million in revenue for the state.
DA links
Politics Link
Aquarius is politically unpopular Obama cut funding
Allen 12 Allen graduated from the University of Pennsylvania with a B.A. cum laude. As NPR's Miami correspondent,
Greg Allen reports on the diverse issues and developments tied to the Southeast. (Greg, July 17, 2012, With Funding
Gone, Last Undersea Lab Could Surface, NPR, http://www.npr.org/2012/07/17/156881457/with-funding-gone-lastundersea-lab-could-surface)//sb
Last Of Its Kind
NOAA Tradeof DA
Empirically proven that Aquarius trades of with NOAAs
satellite program
Eilperin 12 Juliet, reporter for the Washington Post, covered the impeachment of Bill
Clinton, lobbying, legislation, and four national congressional campaigns. She has
covered the environment for the national desk, reporting on science, policy and politics
in areas including climate change, oceans, and air quality. (Juliet, July 24, 2012,
Aquarius Reef Base, worlds only undersea lab, falls victim to budget ax, Washington
Post, http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/aquarius-reef-baseworlds-only-undersea-lab-falls-victim-to-budgetax/2012/07/24/gJQAKB1U6W_story.html)//sb
Sitting at a table 50 feet under the sea, legendary ocean explorer Sylvia Earle lamented what she believes is a shortsighted
federal decision to cut off funding for the worlds only undersea laboratory.
She was speaking by phone from the Aquarius Reef Base off the coast of Key Largo. She was one of a handful of
researchers participating last week in the last federally funded mission to the Aquarius .
environment. For example, working for days at a time underwater, he said, they can attach probes to tiny coral polyps to
monitor such things as the oceans acidity and the way water moves.
Were wiring up the corals to have them tell us their secrets in a way we never can in the lab, Patterson said. Its just
such a better way to do science, to do it in the ocean rather than concoct a caricature microcosm of nature in the
laboratory. ... I hope were not all crying as we turn out the lights, because working underwater is one of the most
interesting things I do.
Before the mission ended Saturday, the Aquarius hosted journalists and a film crew from the group One World One
Ocean, which produced several videos about the lab.
I think a lot of people dont know what we have here, said Shaun MacGillivray, One World One Oceans managing
director, adding that being in the Aquarius feels like youre in outer space.
Potts said he hasnt given up hope, especially after hearing Lubchenco talk about the predicaments of coral reefs at the
International Coral Reef Symposium this month in Cairns, Australia. The Aquarius sits next to Floridas Conch Reef.
Here it is, the case study, so nows not the time to pull the plug on these things, he said. Nows the time to invest.
***CASE***
Solvency (general)
Clark 13 Reporter for the Miami Herald (Cammy, FIU begins operating Aquarius
Reef Base in the Keys, Miami Herald Florida Keys, 9/18/2013,
http://www.miamiherald.com/2013/09/18/3635620/fiu-has-begun-operatingaquarius.html)//BD
This makes it official, he told a group of dignitaries and media. FIUs Age of
Aquarius has begun. But for those of us children of the 60s and 70s, this is
a different kind of Age of Aquarius, he continued. One that ultimately will have
a huge impact on students. Well provide students with cutting-edge learning
opportunities, worlds ahead experience that we promised at FIU. Rosenberg
said Aquarius will help raise the profile of the university. And Wednesday
morning, FIU got a big publicity boost when a live segment about the habitat
aired on NBCs Today. In November, Fabian Cousteau, the grandson of famed
underwater explorer Jacques Cousteau, will undertake a record-breaking 31-day
mission at Aquarius. But to make the habitat work financially for the
long term, FIU will seek multiple funding sources , unlike UNCWilmington which relied mainly on funding provided by the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration. NOAA owns Aquarius, but it will be up
to FIU to come up with the money to operate it, although NOAA
kicked in $1.1 million in grant money this past year to get FIU started.
Mike Heithaus, executive director of FIUs School of Environment, Arts and
Society and the associate dean who helped land the Aquarius operation, said it
will be crucial for FIU to land outside funding sources.
Many of you may have heard of the Aquarius Reef Base which is
currently operated by University of North Carolina Wilmington and the
National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (under
NURP), and that is located about 4 miles offshore from Key Largo, FL. What you
may not know is that it has become an endangered species of sorts. It appears
that according to Commerce, Justice and Science Appropriation Bills from the
House (H5326) and Senate (S2323). NURP originally terminated in
Presidents FY13 budget. Aquarius not restored in either bill. This is
means that the Aquarius Reef Base Program will not be continued
due to lack of funding. There is currently an effort being made by various
individuals to attempt to save the program by either lobbying congress for
refunding or by possibly privatizing the operation.
Clark 13 - Florida Keys Bureau Chief at The Miami Herald (Cammy, September
18, 2013, FIU begins operating Aquarius Reef Base in the Keys, Miami Herald,
http://www.miamiherald.com/2013/09/18/3635620/fiu-has-begun-operatingaquarius.html)//sb
ISLAMORADA -- A year ago, the federally owned Aquarius Reef Base the worlds only operational underwater research
habitat was on life support, doomed by budget cuts to become scrap metal or a museum piece if some entity did not
come to its rescue.
Most of the staff had already been given pink slips. A for sale sign was in front of the canal-side facility in Key Largo that
housed the land operation. After more than 20 years as its operator, the University of North Carolina-Wilmington
declared it was ending its affiliation with the program.
But those who valued the habitat did not give up, including renowned ocean explorer Sylvia Earle, known as Her
Deepness. She led what looked to be Aquarius last mission its 117th to celebrate the 50th anniversary of human
habitation on the sea floor, but mostly to use her fame and reputation to pump up support to save Aquarius.
While all the gloom and doom was going on in the Keys, up the road in Miami the dean and associate dean of the College
and Arts and Sciences at Florida International University were brainstorming on ways for their research institution to take
over the operation of the one-of-a-kind habitat next to the coral reef, one of the worlds most special marine environments.
At first, FIU
Mike Heithaus, executive director of FIUs School of Environment, Arts and Society and the associate dean who helped
land the Aquarius operation, said
sources .
As an example, he cited FIUs first mission last month, in which the school-bus sized habitat was used for one day with the
pressure inside set to that of the surface so that the divers did not need to go through the long process of decompression
(when nitrogen is eliminated from the body) before surfacing.
Ben Neal, a
The Hong Kong group footed the bill for Neals project in exchange for
being allowed to do a documentary about it.
There were three winners, Heithaus said. I see a lot of that in the future of
the way we fund science.
He also sees a lot of public outreach, education and Teacher in the Sea programs at Aquarius, which can house six
people for missions that can be weeks long.
On Tuesday, Heithaus was inside Aquarius, hooked up by the magic of technology to a class of third-graders in Kansas
City. While looking out the port hole, he told them: We might get to see a shark swim by if were lucky.
The kids shrieked in delight.
With Aquarius we have the ability to spark curiosity and passion for the sea, Heithaus said. We want to inspire not only
the next marine biologists, but nurses, doctors, lawyers. We want all people to understand how important the oceans are.
The possibilities are almost endless. Heithaus envisions students being taught at the habitat and teachers teaching from
there. What better place to teach about the coral reef than at the coral reef? he said.
One graduate student already is working with a faculty member at FIU on a project called the ecology of fear. Heithaus
did a similar project in Australia, where he helped determine that tiger sharks helped sea grass thrive by scaring grazers
such as sea cows and sea turtles from overeating them.
At the reefs, we dont know a lot about how important these big predators are in terms of scaring fish, he said.
One big reason FIU agreed to take over operations of Aquarius is because it has five key members of Aquarius technical
and operational braintrust working for them. The group has a combined 80 years of experience working at the challenging
and unforgiving, saltwater habitat.
It includes Otto Rutten, a 19-year veteran who is among the technicians and divers that keep the habitat operational.
Yahoo, was his reaction when he heard that he would still have a job at Aquarius. Were so fortunate to be part of
something so cool and so big, he said. Its tiring [with all the long hours], but it never gets old.
Tom Potts, the director of the reef base, has been the with the program since it relocated from St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin
Islands to Key Largo in 1991.
I always say you can build another habitat with the right type of money, but getting the right personnel to run it and
understand what arena you are operating in is very difficult, Potts said.
When the chiller (an air conditioner inside a waterproof housing) went out for the recent NASA mission, the crew was able
to fix it in 24 hours.
Few people were more happy to see the rescue of Aquarius than Bill Todd, founder of NASAs NEEMO program which
prepares astronauts for space exploration in the extreme living conditions of the sea. NASA has completed 18 missions at
the habitat since 2000.
Its pretty much a turn-key operation for us, Todd said. Weve had almost 50 astronauts go through the program.
Theres no other place like it.
Funding comes from a NOAA grant, but FIU is seeking money from other
sources as well.
"FIU has developed a robust business plan that includes research and
education activities supported by federal, state and local government
funding, as well as fees for services from science and government and
industry engineering teams that use the facility," Santana-Bravo said in
an e-mail. "Donations from private benefactors also will be a key to
ensuring the future of Aquarius."
astronauts training for weightless missions in space. But the Aquarius Reef Base itself is now endangered.
Among marine researchers, there are few people more distinguished or respected than Sylvia Earle. Former chief scientist
for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and now explorer-in-residence at National Geographic, she's no
stranger to what are called "saturation dives."
Greg Allen/NPR
Those are dives where people spend days, or even weeks, underwater. This dive, Earle says, marks
an important scientific anniversary. It's been 50 years since saturation diving was first pioneered by underwater explorers
Ed Link and Jacques Cousteau.
"This is a historic event, and I was invited," Earle said. "I didn't knock on the door; they knocked on my door, and I said,
'OK.' "
In 1970, Earle led the first team of women to conduct a saturation dive a two-week stay in an undersea lab off the Virgin
Islands. She's now 76 years old, and this week marks her 10th extended stay underwater.
Last week, at Aquarius Reef's training facility in Key Largo, Fla., Earle said she's disappointed that saturation diving and
the undersea research facilities that make it possible are still uncommon today.
For marine researchers, she says, it's all about what she calls "the gift of time."
"This difference in perspective you get when you don't have to bounce in and out you have the ability to stay for hours
and hours and watch that fish do its thing," she says, "or conduct an experiment without constantly looking at your watch
saying, 'I've got three minutes left, I've got to go.' "
Last Of Its Kind
Aquarius Reef Base is owned by the federal government but run by researchers from the University of North Carolina,
Wilmington. The base is an 85-ton, cylindrical steel chamber with windows they're called viewports and a "moon
pool" entryway where divers plunge in and out of the pressurized structure.
There are bunks, a galley area and room for six people.
"Typically, our divers stay 10 days [and] make excursions out on the reef for
about nine hours down to 95 feet," says director Tom Potts. "So we get about ... 10 times the productivity over
diving from the surface."
Last month, a team of NASA astronauts led by Dorothy Metcalf-Lindenburger spent 11 days at Aquarius Reef training
underwater in conditions that simulate the near-zero gravity of an asteroid. It was NASA's 16th mission at Aquarius Reef
Base.
At one time or another, there
Largo, an independent group, the Aquarius Foundation has started to raise money to
so that this Aquarius Reef's
117th mission won't be its last.
fund the research base's three million dollar annual budget
Its pretty much a turn-key operation for us, Todd said. Weve had
almost 50 astronauts go through the program. Theres no other place
like it.
Before Florida International University took over operation of Aquarius Reef Base in January, effectively forestalling its
closing, the world's only undersea research station was run by the University of North Carolina-Wilmington, which
abandoned it due to budget cuts.
The base, located on the ocean floor near Conch Reef about 6 miles offshore, is owned by the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration and has a life expectancy of about 10 to 15 more years.
The latest mission, which took place from Sept. 10 to Sept. 14, was dubbed SEATEST II.
Jim Fourqurean,
NASA astronaut Joe Acaba led the crew and was joined by astronauts
Kate Rubins of NASA, Andreas Mogensen of the European Space
Agency, and Soichi Noguchi of the Japan Aerospace Exploration
Agency.
The crew conducted engineering demonstrations and refined techniques in team communication. Fourqurean said the
mission allows astronauts to train on how to explore and retrieve information from asteroids or other planets.
Looking around:
Hormats 3/12 - Served Under Secretary of State for Economic Growth, Energy,
and the Environment (Robert, Science Diplomacy and Twenty-First Century
Statecraft) AAAS http://www.sciencediplomacy.org/perspective/2012/sciencediplomacy-and-twenty-first-century-statecraft) (LT)
SCIENCE diplomacy is a central component of Americas twenty-first
century statecraft agenda. The United States must increasingly recognize
the vital role science and technology can play in addressing major
challenges, such as making our economy more competitive, tackling
global health issues, and dealing with climate change. American
leadership in global technological advances and scientific research, and
the dynamism of our companies and universities in these areas, is a major
source of our economic, foreign policy, and national security strength.
Additionally, it is a hallmark of the success of the American system. While some
seek to delegitimize scientific ideas, we believe the United States should
celebrate science and see itas was the case since the time of Benjamin
Franklinas an opportunity to advance the prosperity, health, and
overall well-being of Americans and the global community. Innovation policy
is part of our science diplomacy engagement. More than ever before, modern
economies are rooted in science and technology. It is estimated that Americas
knowledge-based industries represent 40 percent of our economic
growth and 60 percent of our exports. Sustaining a vibrant knowledgebased economy, as well as a strong commitment to educational excellence
and advanced research, provides an opportunity for our citizens to
prosper and enjoy upward mobility. America attracts people from all over
the worldscientists, engineers, inventors, and entrepreneurswho want the
opportunity to participate in, and contribute to, our innovation economy. At the
same time, our bilateral and multilateral dialogues support science, technology,
and innovation abroad by promoting improved education; research and
development funding; good governance and transparent regulatory policies;
markets that are open and competitive; and policies that allow researchers and
companies to succeed, and, if they fail, to have the opportunity to try again. We
technology leaders. Over the past five years, the Department of States
International Fulbright Science & Technology Award has brought more than two
hundred exceptional students from seventy-three different countries to the
United States to pursue graduate studies. Through the Global Innovation through
Science and Technology Initiative, the United States recently invited young
innovators from North Africa, the Middle East, and Asia to post YouTube videos
describing solutions to problems they face at home. The top submissions will
receive financial support, business mentorship, and networking opportunities.
Wren 4-30 writer for AAAS (Kathy, April 30, 2014, Science Diplomacy Visit
to Cuba Produces Historic Agreement, AAAS,
http://www.aaas.org/news/science-diplomacy-visit-cuba-produces-historicagreement)//sb
HAVANA, CUBA On a 90-degree morning in April, a AAAS-led group of U.S. scientists and
policy experts stepped gratefully out of the tropical glare of a Havana
side street and into the elegant, 18th-century headquarters of the
Cuban Academy of Sciences.
As the visitors were welcomed by their Academy hosts, it would have been impossible to guess from the warm hugs and
hearty handshakes that the two groups were from countries whose governments have been at odds for over five decades.
The meeting was the first stop for the AAAS group on its three-day visit to Havana, where it would meet with a
broad assortment of scientists and physicians across the city in an
effort to further scientific collaboration between researchers in Cuba
and the United States. The group also met with Chief of Mission of the U.S. Interests Section in Havana
John Caulfield, who expressed his support for the visit.
Today, Cuba has a hardy biotechnology industry that exports a number of important vaccines, antibody-based drugs and
other biomedical technologies. Its preventative health care is widely regarded as excellent, and both infant mortality rates
and average lifespan are roughly comparable to those in the United States.
The obstacles to scientific collaboration are formidable, however. The Cuban economy, which crashed after the dissolution
of the Soviet Union, is still faltering despite modest economic reforms in recent years. The U.S. embargo blocks federal
research funding from reaching Cuban scientists. And, while non-governmental U.S. scientists are permitted to travel to
Cuba to conduct research under the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control's general license, they must apply for a specific
license to attend or organize most conferences there.
At the Academy and the rest of the AAAS team's stops, the Cubans were clearly proud of what they and their colleagues
have accomplished in a cash-strapped economy, with little access to information and resources from the United States.
But several voiced frustration that U.S. regulations make it so difficult for U.S. scientists to attend most of the scientific
meetings that take place in Cuba.
Such meetings, it was agreed, are an essential element of the scientific process in any part of the world: "In spite of
political differences, scientists can always get together and talk," said Pastrana.
Common Ground in the Life Sciences
Later that afternoon, the AAAS group visited Havana's Hospital Hermanos Ameijeiras, which towers next to the seaside
boulevard known as the Malecn. Leaders at this teaching and research hospital, which performs about 30,000 major
surgeries a year, also expressed pride in the self-reliance of Cuba's science and medical systems. Although though they can
acquire "with much effort" medicines that are produced in the United
States, one official said, some 80 percent of all therapies given to patients
are produced in Cuba.
It was clear that the Cubans are well positioned to detect emerging infectious diseases of concern to the United States,
such as dengue and chikungunya, serious mosquito-borne viral diseases for which no vaccines exist. Hospital leaders told
the U.S. group that Cuba has already implemented surveillance measures for chikungunya, which has just turned up in the
Caribbean in recent months. The virus is spreading rapidly in the region, raising fears among U.S. public health experts
that it may soon make an appearance in the States.
Infectious disease is an excellent example of an area where AAAS should be encouraging cooperation between U.S. and
of people could potentially be made sick by a disease coming up through the Caribbean, and we didn't speak up about that,
then we wouldn't be doing our job effectively."
Additional areas of common interest emerged the following day, at the Western Havana Bio-Cluster, a collection of over
50 institutions that encompasses both original research and the production and marketing of new technologies. Leaders
from several of the main institutes at this biotechnology hotspot described research highlights in fields spanning
neuroscience, agriculture and immunology.
Many Cuban accomplishments of this sector are well known; for example Cuba produces widely used vaccines for diseases
such as meningitis B and hepatitis B, among others. But the experts also described several new areas of progress. A
scientist at the Center for Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (CIGB) described a new, injectable drug for treating
severe foot ulcers associated with diabetes, which often lead to amputation. The drug has performed well in clinical trials
and is registered in a number of developed and developing countries, he said. Other CIGB scientists have developed a
vaccine for serious tick infestations that affect cattle in the southwestern United States and Mexico and said they also have
results on other diseases that are impacting U.S. agriculture, such as those affecting citrus crops and soybeans.
At the Center for Molecular Immunology, monoclonal antibodies are yielding positive results in clinical trials for a variety
of cancers, including glioma, lung cancer and prostate cancer. During the AAAS group's visit to this institute, the
importance of scientific meetings re-emerged, as an early-career researcher described an upcoming meeting she had
helped organize. Her enthusiasm was palpable as she described the unusually large number of U.S. scientists who were
expected to attend.
"What Comes Next Is Pivotal"
On the final morning of the trip, in a pink and purple meeting room in the 84-year-old Hotel Nacional, where mobsters
and movie stars once rubbed shoulders with intellectuals and heads of state, Alan Leshner, Gerald Fink, Sergio Jorge
Pastrana, and Ismael Clark Arxer, the president of the Cuban Academy of Sciences, signed the agreement that would carry
the momentum from the visit forward.
The memorandum of understanding identified four areas in the life sciences where AAAS and the Cuban
Academy of Sciences will seek opportunities for sustained cooperation:
emerging infectious diseases, brain disorders, cancer, and
antimicrobial drug resistance.
"With this signing we are providing support for communities dealing with very similar problems," said Pastrana.
Although AAAS has participated in several trips to Cuba before, in 1997, 2009 and 2011, "we had more institutional
participation this time, including AAAS' senior leadership," said Turekian. "The success or failure of this partnership will
now depend on building projects that are much more sustained, and in much greater depth."
"Each of these theme areas has the potential for a workshop or conference that is truly collaborative," where researchers
can share information and make new discoveries together, he said.
For AAAS, a key focus now will be reaching out to U.S. researchers, including those in its 258 affiliated scientific societies,
who may be interested in taking part in these efforts.
"We've opened the door. What comes next is pivotal," said Agre.
the
political will to collaborate does exist, a joint scientific project can be
a useful expression of that will. Furthermore, it can be an enlightening experience for all those
directly involved. But it is seldom a magic wand that can secure broader cooperation where none existed before. Secondly,
science
In other words, the discussion seemed to confirm that science diplomacy has a
legitimate place in the formulation and implementation of policies for science (just as there is a time and place for
exercising soft power in international relations). But the
No Political Will
Evidence of worst-case scenario climate threats already
exist and politicians are not incentivized to take action
they try to extract the last benefits from the environment
while it is still intactprefer the most recent political
outlook
Stanley-Becker, 7/27Contributor for Yale Daily News and the Pittsburgh
Post-Gazette (Isaac, July 27th, 2014, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, The politics of the
climate change debate: What does WWI have to do with, http://www.postgazette.com/news/environment/2014/07/27/The-politics-of-the-climatechange-debate/stories/201407270151)//IK
It may not happen with a bang. No guns or bombs. No political assassinations or ultimatums borne of diplomatic
alliances. The
offers a
sobering lesson for those who deny human-caused global warming, Mr.
Titley argues in his editorial, titled "Ghosts From the Past." European leaders were similarly in denial, he writes; they
refused to acknowledge imminent loss of life.
he said in a recent
interview, moments after he had finished testifying before a subcommittee of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
about the national security implications of energy and climate issues. He's not a lobbyist, he insisted, just an expert and a
concerned citizen. "I
don't see this is a partisan issue. It's just physics ," he said.
"The ice doesn't vote. It doesn't caucus. It doesn't watch Fox or
MSNBC. It just melts." Whether it's partisan, the problem is a political one, said
Joseph Otis Minott, executive director of the Clean Air Council, based in Philadelphia. He laid blame on
politicians who ignore the counsel of scientists , citing the 2007
report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that said
human actions are "very likely" responsible for global warming. He hailed
Mr. Titley's analogy as "incredibly insightful," offering a historical example of his own: "It's like Nero fiddling while Rome
burns." The
problem, Mr. Minott said, is that each actor is trying to extract the
last benefit from the environment, all at the cost of future well-being.
Meanwhile, the impacts still seem remote.
and smell it. You feel sick, and cause and effect are easier to talk about," he said. "Otherwise it's
hard for
people to understand the urgency. It's hard to find the political will ."
Understanding is indeed critical, said Tony Novosel, a historian of modern Europe at the University of Pittsburgh. An
unwillingness or inability on the part of many European leaders to
life hard for creatures with shells and skeletons and threatens to
fundamentally transform the entire marine world. Already, acidification has wiped
out billions of oyster larvae in the Pacific Northwest and is causing trouble for tiny see-through creatures called pteropods,
which are critical food for birds and fish. It poses risks for important sea life, including red king crab and many fish. But
since
at least build resistance to acidification. And Gov. Jay Inslee is seeking to curtail the states
fossil-fuel emissions, hoping to show the federal government that tamping down on CO2 can work. States can set a
precedent, said Brad Warren, a sustainable-fisheries proponent who served on a state panel of acidification experts in
2012. They can provide a way to show what works and what doesnt. But its
The
few politicians who understand the problem believe D.C. leaders are
not doing enough. A billion people around the world depend on the ocean for food and were talking about
examining the biological impacts of acidification. And right now there arent enough resources to figure it all out.
opening a hole at the bottom of the ocean-food chain, said former Rep. Bob Inglis, R-S.C., who served 12 years in
Congress before losing his primary race in 2010.Theres
7
percent of Americans knew ocean acidification was caused by seas
absorbing CO2, according to the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication. The vast majority 77
percent had never even heard the term. But even among those who understand, attempts to address acidifications
underlying cause quickly devolve into battles over approach. Murkowski
think
politicians are rational. Not until they feel that theyre going to lose
votes for not acting will they start dealing with these issues . The real story is
winning the hearts and minds of the average person and convincing them we have to stop using the sky as a sewer.
Deaton, 7/22 Correspondent for Solon Economist, North Liberty Leader, Blog
for Iowa. (Paul, July 22nd, 2014, Climate Change Is Really Political,
http://www.blogforiowa.com/2014/07/22/climate-change-is-reallypolitical/)//IK
If one didnt think the U.S. discussion of climate change was political,
think again. U.S. Rep. David McKinley (R-West Virginia), added an
amendment to a House appropriations bill to fund the Department of
Energy and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers that would prohibit the
two agencies from using funds that would design, implement,
administer or carry out specified assessments regarding climate
change. Another way to put it, from McKinleys perspective, is if you dont like
science, ban it. House Republicans took exception to the Department
of Defense addressing the recommendations of the National Climate
Assessment, and have added two agencies whose work is directly
related to mitigating the effects of extreme weather to their list. The
floor debate captured the essence of the politics of climate change:
Spending precious resources to pursue a dubious climate change
agenda compromises our clean-energy research and Americas
infrastructure, McKinley said on the House floor. Congress should not be
spending money pursuing ideologically driven experiments. Speaking
against the amendment, Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D-Ohio) said it disregards the research of the overwhelming majority of
climate scientists. The
scientists, Kaptur said. This amendment requires the Department of Energy to assume that carbon pollution isnt
harmful and that climate change wont cost a thing. Thats nothing but a fantasy.
Perplexed, he has won several honors for translating difficult scientific concepts
into language general readers can understand. His most recent book is A
Universe from Nothing. (Lawrence M., July 23rd, 2014, Climate Change: If we
pretend it isnt happening, will it go away?, http://thebulletin.org/climatechange-if-we-pretend-it-isn%E2%80%99t-happening-will-it-go-away7333)//IK
I happened to be in Canberra last week as the Australian government repealed its tax on carbon emissions, which has
required the countrys biggest emitters to pay as much as 25 Australian dollars (about $23.50, US) per metric ton of
carbon dioxide spewed into the atmosphere. With the vote in the Australian Senate, following a previous vote in the House
of Representatives, Australiaone of the worlds largest per capita emitters of carbonmoved from being well ahead of
the international curve to the back of the pack when it comes to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The
climate
change debate that has raged in the public forum in Australiaand, in
similar form, in the United Stateshas unfortunately been governed
more by politics, ideology, and money than by facts. For example, much to
my dismay, after appearing on a television program in Australia, on
which I ended up debating a senator from the governing Liberal Party
on issues that included climate change, I offered to come to his office
to show him data on climate trends, including sea level rise and ocean
acidification, with the hope that the data might affect the policies he
advocated. He told me that he wasnt interested in such a discussion,
because he had a constituency that supported his current opposition
to carbon emission controls, and that is what mattered to him . Of course, as
a scientist, I feel particularly strongly that the public is ill served by politicians who ignore empirical evidence while
making and speaking out on policy. But as
defunding amendment, this time pushed by West Virginia Republican David McKinley, would prohibit the Energy
Department from supporting climate change activities associated with the National Climate Assessment and the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report. That's right: The Energy Department would be prohibited from
responding to the two landmark reports that reflect the best international scientific scholarship available on climate
modeling and the possible impacts of human greenhouse gas production, locally, nationally, and internationally.
As the US faces record drought and an Old Testament-level pestilential heatwave in the midwest, American environmental
denialism may be starting to change. The question is: is it too late ?
is weird, too, to watch the leaves turn red earlier and earlier in the
fall in the American northeast and have absolutely everyone say, "the
weather is strange" yet never see mainstream media reflect any
interest in the connection between human industrial activity and that
strangeness. And this weather map shows how widespread and extensive that extreme weather is in the US. But
could our denial be cracking, this summer, as, in the heartland that most iconic of American landscapes broiling
temperatures injure humans and cook fish in the water? This summer a crisis has occurred (though one that, again, is
seldom reported on in terms of our outsize contribution to the disaster), as midwestern farmers lost vast swaths of their
corn crop to scalding heat and drought. In the American unconscious of wishful ignorance, this disaster and loss was to be
borne, as usual, by other people far away. But we face some serious problems in rising out of our torpor .
In
Acidification Advantage
Case Frontline
AT: Pteropods
Acidification is nonsense pH always varies, CO2 is a
weak acid, pteropods have survived multiple extinctions
Ring 14 science writer for The Nelson Mail (Jim, PH nonsense, The Nelson Mail,
3/28/2014, lexis)//BD
Where on earth did J Black (Mailbox, March 21) get the idea that, ''the pH of the
ocean has already dropped by 0.1 since the industrial revolution''? As the idea
of pH was introduced by Sorensen in 1909, and the modern scale was
formulated in 1924, this is clearly nonsense . There is no such thing as
''pH of the ocean''. The pH of seawater varies by place, by time and
by temperature. ''A move towards acidity of 30 per cent.'' More nonsense''percentage change'' cannot be used with a log scale. ''Availability of
Calcium Carbonate'' does not control shell formation. Rain, entering
the sea directly, or via rivers, is acid. This dwarfs the effect of CO2, a
very weak acid. The ocean floors are basic (alkaline) and this will
ensure sea water stays alkaline for the next few billion years, or as
long as our watery earth lasts. ''Pteropods appeared in the
Palaeocene epoch'' . As Pteropod ''no longer has a scientifically
precise use'' (Wikipedia) it is difficult to evaluate this claim.
<<insert defense and keystone species defense the aff doesnt solve
tbh>>
CCS Adv CP
1NC
Text: The United States federal government should invest
in a national CO2 sequestration pipeline infrastructure for
the purposes of carbon capture and storage.
The counterplan solves emissions solves for biodiversity loss
and warming
Haszeldine, 9-
(R. Stuart, OBE, BSc (Edin), PhD (Strath), CGeol, FRSE Scottish Power Professor of Carbon Capture & Storage, Carbon
Capture and Storage: How Green Can Black Be?, Science Magazine, Science 25 September 2009: Vol. 325 no. 5948 pp.
1647-1652)
is a lamentable
lack of financial commitment to real construction. If design and
construction of these demonstration plants does not start now, they
will not operate by 2014, and learning from these to provide commercial credibility will drift
beyond 2020. The worldwide construction of many tens to hundreds of large CCS
plantsnecessary for a substantial impact on climate mitigation will
then be delayed beyond the deadline set by climate change predictions.
hurt ocean creatures, especially corals and shellfish , because it prevents them
from properly developing their skeletons and shells. Shrinking coral reefs could dent ecotourism revenue in some coastal areas. It also could trigger a decline
in fish populations dependent on those reefs. Decreasing shellfish populations
would harm the entire ocean food chain , researchers say, particularly affecting
people who get their protein or paycheck from the sea. Globally, fish represent
about 6 percent of the protein people eat. The acidification blueprint was drafted by nine federal agencies in March 2012.
It establishes guidelines for federal research, monitoring and mitigation of ocean acidification. In reviewing the plan, the
research council, which advises the government on science policy, recommended that federal
research and
action be focused on issues with human and economic consequences .
Pacific Northwest The panel cited the Pacific Northwest as an economic example, where high acidity
levels have hampered oyster hatcheries, worth about $270 million
and 3,200 jobs to coastal communities there. It is unclear if ocean acidification is the
culprit, but it could be a harbinger of things to come, according to the report. In 2011, U.S. commercial fishers caught 10
billion pounds of seafood valued at $5.3 billion, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The
panel also suggested the plan should have a clearer mission, prioritized goals and ways to measure progress. "This plan
would cost a lot of money so there needs to be priorities and ways to prove impact," Somero said. "The federal budget
simply won't allow for everything that needs to be done." In 2009, Congress passed the Federal Ocean Acidification
Research and Monitoring Act, creating a federal program to deal with ocean acidification. Somero said the agencies will
take the recommendations and "tune up" the plan.
global problem,"
2NC Solvency
Carbon sequestration is key solve biodiversity loss
Mack and Endemann 10 - *partner in the Houston office and global Chair of
the Environmental Transactional Support Practice, provides over 25 years of
experience advising on the transactional, environmental and regulatory issues
associated with all sectors of the oil and gas industry, power (including both fossil
and renewable energy), mining and chemical industries in the United States and
abroad, in addition to the development, financing and entitlements for
telecommunications and other industrial and public infrastructure facilities in
the United States and offshore, **JD, Faculty @ USD Law, provides
comprehensive environmental counseling on energy and infrastructure projects,
and represents clients in related litigation
Joel and Buck, Making carbon dioxide sequestration feasible: Toward federal
regulation of CO2 sequestration pipelines, Energy Policy,
http://lw.com/upload/pubContent/_pdf/pub3385_1.pdf
At present, approximately 50% of the United States base load electrical energy
requirements are met by coal-red resources (ASME, 2005). While substantial
expansion of renewable energy resources will eventually diminish reliance on coal
resources, 1 coal-red power plants provide base load energy resources twentyfour hours per day, seven days a week, all year long. Base load power plants
provide energy even when the wind is not blowing or the sun is not shining. While
all power plants have the ability to generate a xed amount of full output, or
capacity, expressed in megawatts, technologies vary as to the amount of their
capacity which can be delivered over time, such as over a calendar year; this is also
known as their capacity factor. Base load plants, such as coal-red, nuclear and
many natural gas-red power plants, achieve very high capacity factors (nearly all
of their capacity can be delivered over time subject to normal maintenance,
scheduled outages or equipment failures). Some plants, such as certain natural
gas-red power plants, can be cycled (i.e., turned on or off, or their output can be
increased or decreased on short notice to match peaking loads), will have lower
capacity factors but can be matched more precisely to the demands of energy
consumers. Wind and solar plants, on the other hand, typically have much lower
capacity factors (even if they have the same overall total capacity), because their
output cannot be load-matched and their energy output is dependent on
environmental factors. As a result, a utility serving a load must blend base load,
peaking and renewable resources to meet load requirements, and cannot meet its
load requirements solely on the basis of current wind or solar technologies. 2 In
many regional markets, both energy (a plants actual, delivered product) and
capacity are tradeable commodities with an economic value, with the renewable
energy facilities providing less value in the capacity markets. Indeed, electric
utilities are generally required to maintain substantial capacity reserves to serve
expected load, and renewable resources do not generally qualify to meet these
capacity requirements As a result, and without regard to the relative merits of coal
red power versus other sources of base load power (e.g., nuclear or natural gasred power plants), considering (1) the United States large native coal resources,
(2) the lower cost of coal fuel against other base load technologies, and (3) the
substantial existing investment in coal-red power plants, it is likely that coal-red
power plants will for many decades continue to comprise a substantial part of
the United States energy generation portfolio. Indeed, the United States will have
to make policy choices regarding which base load resources to pursue, as oil, coal,
nuclear and natural gas fuels each have their own economic and environmental
benets and drawbacks. 3 Against this backdrop, both the private and public
sectors have begun to look closely at various technologies to address the high
carbon footprint of traditional coal combustion technologies. In the United States,
the average emission rate of CO2 from coal-red power generation is 2.095 pounds
per kilowatt hour, nearly double the 1.321 pounds per kilowatt hour for natural gas
(DOE, 2000). 4 Among the technologies receiving the most such attention to
reduce CO2s impacts is CO2 sequestration. CO2 sequestration involves removing
the CO2 from the fuel, either before, during, or after combustion, and then doing
something with it to avoid its release to the atmosphere. While other greenhouse
gases (e.g., methane) are more potent in terms of global warming effects per unit of
mass, the CO2 emissions of industrialized economies are so great as to dwarf
the contributions from other gases in terms of overall impact on global warming.
Hence the focus on CO2 sequestration technologies. The size and impact of this
challenge is dauntingwhile coal resources provide approximately half of the
energy generated annually in the United States, coal-red power plants emit
almost 80% (1.8 billion metric tons per year) of the total CO2 emissions from
power plants in the United States (DOE, 2000). The magnitude of this challenge
cannot be underestimated. Using the above production gures, coal-red power
plants in the United States emit approximately 900 billion cubic meters of CO2
annually. 5 The current CO2 pipeline system, though, handles only 45 million
metric tons of CO2 per year over 3500 miles of pipe (Nordhaus and Pitlick, 2009).
6 Thus, to the extent that the United States has a policy goal of sequestering and
transporting any appreciable fraction of CO2 emissions from coal-red power
plants, the required infrastructure investment will require at least a 40-fold
increase. 7 While such an undertaking presents obvious practical and economic
challenges, it demonstrates that a new vision is required if the United States is
going to develop a sequestration infrastructure to meet this challenge on any
time frame that is reasonably coincident with reducing near- to medium-term
impacts from global climate change. 8
plant in Kentucky, which will involve injection of CO2 into deep saline reservoirs in
the area, between 3,000 and 4,000 feet below the surface. If the site is determined
to be suitable, about 10,000 tons of CO2 would be injected in 2008. The
sequestration will be subject to monitoring, measurement and verification. Duke
Energys commitment to CCS also includes membership in three DOE-funded
carbon sequestration regional partnerships (the Midwest Regional Carbon
Sequestration Partnership, the Midwest Geological Sequestration Consortium and
the Southeast Regional Carbon Partnership) which are collecting, sharing and
assessing data. DOEs National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) manages a
number of regional sequestration consortia, creating a nationwide network to help
identify the best technologies, regulations and infrastructure needed for carbon
capture and storage. These partnerships will support multiple small-scale projects
that will provide invaluable information on siting, monitoring, evaluation and
public acceptability of carbon sequestration. Expanded federal financial support
will be necessary to continue the process of demonstrating geologic
sequestration. USCAP has advocated that Congress fund at least three full-scale
CO2 injection demonstration projects, each at a scale equivalent to the CO2
emissions produced by a large coal-fired power plant. 7 The MIT Future of Coal
study calls for three to five demonstration projects at a projected cost of $500
million to $1 billion over eight years. 8 In addition to proving the technology and
geology for sequestration, a number of critical regulatory and legal issues will need
to be resolved. As USCAP has stated, Congress should require the EPA to
promulgate regulations promptly to permit long-term geologic sequestration of
carbon dioxide from stationary sources. 9 In addition to developing an
appropriate regulatory system that will specify the ground rules for sequestration
projects and enhance public acceptability, Congress should also provide
appropriate protections against costly litigation and liability claims. The potential
for significant liability claims and litigation defense costs, even when facility
operators comply with all regulatory requirements, will be a significant damper on
the commercial development of sequestration facilities. Given the speed with
which we will need to put sequestration capacity into operation, we cannot simply
wait to see if the common law in each state develops in a way that acceptably
moderates these liability and litigation risks. Instead, I expect that the legal and
liability issues must be settled before any company will feel comfortable moving
forward with a large-scale CCS project. Finally, despite all the seeming activity
described above, CCS development needs a much greater sense of urgency if we
are truly to respond to the climate problem. To paraphrase an MIT economist who
has looked at this problem if CCS doesnt work, we are in big, big trouble. I
would characterize the current focus on CCS as something of a hobby. It should be
an obsession, and receive a great deal more attention and resources.
Cyrus Zarraby 12 (J.D., expected May 2012, The George Washington University Law School; B.S., 2003, Clemson
University. The author is a chemical engineer for the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), April 2012, Vol.
80 No. 3, Regulating Carbon Capture and Sequestration: A Federal Regulatory Regime to Promote the Construction of a
National Carbon Dioxide Pipeline Network, http://groups.law.gwu.edu/lr/ArticlePDF/80_3_Zarraby.pdf)
Although the technology for capturing and storing CO2 has been
proven in operation, 13 the United States does not have adequate
infrastructure to implement CCS on a national scale. Specifically, tens of thousands
of miles of CO2 pipelines must be constructed to transport the CO2 from
EPA 10
Report of the Interagency Task Force on Carbon Capture and Storage,
http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/downloads/CCS-Task-Force-Report2010.pdf
commercial-scale power and industrial plants to prove that they can be permitted
and operated safely and reliably. New power plant applications will focus on
integrating pre-combustion CO2 capture, transport, and storage with Integrated
Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) technology. Power plant retrofit and
industrial applications will demonstrate integrated post-combustion capture.
These projects, plus others supported by Federal loan guarantees, tax incentives,
and State-level drivers, cover a large group of potential CCS options. However,
some proposed demonstration projects may not proceed for economic or other
reasons. Looking toward long-term deployment, additional actions may be
required to help overcome the uncertainty of evolving climate change policy and
the high cost of applying currently available CCS technology, consistent with
addressing market failures.
In fact, these and other research and development efforts by universities and
organizations continue around the world in hopes of making scaled-up CCS
cheaper and reducing its "energy penalty." (Norway just opened what it is calling
the world's largest test lab for CCS technology.) In operating the technology that
captures carbon, the power plant gobbles up about 20 to 30 percent more energy,
so efficiency is typically lost. "We've proved under small-scale conditions that you
can cut that energy penalty in half," Ciferno said. "That has improved greatly in ten
years, though it's not yet ready for prime time." Some larger projects are still going
forward, like Shell's Quest* project in Alberta, which is supported with $865
million of Canadian provincial and federal funds. Shell CEO Peter Voser, at a
briefing with news media May 16 at a business forum in Rotterdam, the
Netherlands, said government support in Canada had made his company's
investment in the Quest CCS project feasible, but it would be difficult to advance
the technology without global commitment to cut carbon emissions. "I think if you
want as a world to achieve climate goals, then CCS, like energy efficiency, needs
to be part of the solution," Voser said. "In order to actually drive to CCS, we need
pilot projects. We have the technology components, we know they work , and
we need to pilot projects to scale up the technology.
emissions that could be produced by fossil fuels that we already know how to access at
reasonable cost. It is, therefore, necessary to either (1) convince countries with fossil fuels to leave them in the ground
unused, essentially forever, or (2) ensure
AT: Leakage/Spills
No leakage
Stephenson 8 - Director, Natural Resources and Environment @ GAO
(Federal Actions Will Greatly Affect the Viability of Carbon Capture and Storage
As a Key Mitigation Option, GAO,
http://www.gao.gov/new.items/d081080.pdf)
According to the preamble to EPAs proposed rule, improperly operated injection
activities or ineffective long-term storage could result in release of injected CO2 to
the atmosphere, resulting in the potential to impact human health. EPAs
summaries of stakeholder workshops indicate that public health concerns have
been expressed about such issues. One concern is the risk that improperly operated
injections could result in the release of CO2 , and that at very high concentrations
and with prolonged exposure, CO2 can lead to suffocation. Concerns have also
been raised that improperly injected CO2 could raise the pressure in a geologic
formation and, if it became too high, could cause otherwise dormant faults to
trigger seismic events, such as earthquakes. The IPCC has noted, however, that 99
percent of the CO2 stored in appropriately selected and managed formations is
very likely to be retained for over 100 years, 55 and EPA states in the preamble to
its proposed rule that the risk of asphyxiation and other health effects from
airborne exposure to CO2 resulting from injection activities is minimal.
No leaks or spikes
Reisinger 9 JD, Attorney @ Ohio Environmental Council
Will, RECONCILING KING COAL AND CLIMATE CHANGE: A REGULATORY
FRAMEWORK FOR CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE, Vermont Journal of
Environmental Law, http://vjel.org/journal/pdf/VJEL10107.pdf
Because CO2 is toxic at high concentrations, some fear that escaping CO2 from a
non-performing sequestration site could poison surrounding air supplies,
potentially harming humans and animals. 93 The threat of catastrophic escape is
often cited as an argument against CCS demonstration projects. The Lake Nyos
disaster of 1986, in which volcanic activity led to a massive release of naturally
occurring CO2 from beneath an African lake, is often mentioned. 94 The Lake
Nyos incident was an earth science anomaly and not analogous to commercial CCS
storage. At Lake Nyos, volcanic activity beneath the lake led to a buildup of pure
CO2, which was sequestered in the deepest waters of the lake and eventually
escaped in a large poisonous cloud. 95 By contrast, any atmospheric releases of
CO2 at a non-performing CCS site would be small and incremental , not likely
to result in harm like that at Lake Nyos. Captured CO2 is injected while in a
supercritical state (with both gaseous and liquid characteristics) and is stored as it
permeates porous rock. 96 Thus, the stored CO2 is not sequestered in vast
underground reservoirs, and it is unlikely that a massive cloud of CO2 could
escape.
two major
investment tax credits relevant to CCS are the Advanced Coal Project
Investment Credit and the Coal Gasification Investment Credit. Originally
these tax credits were introduced as part of the Energy Policy Act of 2005. This program provided up to $800m for IGCC
projects and $500m for advanced coal-based generation technologies over three years. Details of the awarded projects can
be found at [16]. 3.1.1. CCS and Coal Provisions in Bailout Bill In response to the credit crisis in 2008, the US congress
passed a
emissions. The new program also allows credit for gasification projects producing liquid fuels for transportation. The
bill also provides a new tax credit for sequestration of CO2 in secure
geological storage or for enhanced oil and gas recovery projects. For
facilities capturing more than 500,000 tonne (t) of CO2 /yr, a $20/tonne tax credit can be applied to sequestration in
secure geological storage which includes deep saline formations and unminable coal seams and a $10/tonne tax credit can
be applied to sequestration for purposes of enhanced oil and gas recovery. This credit will apply for the first 75Mt of CO2
sequestered. This
recommendations from the National Commission on Energy Policy. This bill would also establish a cap-and-trade
program for greenhouse gas emissions. The target would be to reach 1990 emissions levels by the year 2030. This bill has
a cost-containment mechanism called TAP Technology Accelerator Payment; if the market price reaches the current
TAP price, then emitters can purchase credits from the government at the TAP price. The TAP starts at $10 in 2012
increasing to ~$25 in 2030 (not including inflation). TAP proceeds would go into a fund to support energy technology
deployment. Initially, 28.6% of emissions allowances would be freely allocated to the power generation sector, with this
amount reduced to zero by 2043. Similarly to S.3036, this
3.5x in 2012 reducing to zero by 2040. These bonus allowances would be valid for the first 10 years of operation of the CCS
plant. Similar to S.3036, there will be billions in auction proceeds available for energy projects. In total, 5.5% of auction
proceeds will go to advanced coal demonstration, 5.5% to commercial CCS deployment, and 11% for early CCS
demonstration projects. 3.2.2. CCS Demonstration Support 3.2.2.1. CCS Trust Fund The
concept of a
trust fund for CCS demonstration projects has been gaining traction
recently. Popularized by Prof. Ed Rubin of Carnegie Mellon, the idea would be to charge a
small fee per kWh to every electricity consumer in the country. The
fee collected would then be put into a trust fund designated for
funding CCS demonstration projects. The first legislative
embodiment of this idea was recently proposed by Rep. Boucher of Virginia as
H.R.6258. This bill would impose a small fee on all fossil power sales for 10 years. The fee would be 0.43 mill/kWh for
coal-fired generation, 0.22 mill/kWh for gas, and 0.32 mill/kWh for oil. This fund would aggregate into about $1 billion
annually, which would be about $10 billion over 10 years. This fund would be managed by a Carbon Storage Research
Corporation, which would be a division of the Electric Power Research Institute. The managing board would be staffed by
power industry representatives, with the mission of supporting 3-5 large-scale commercial demonstrations of CCS. The
major advantage to this approach would be avoiding the political appropriations process, as well as federal procurement
requirements that a DOE-managed project would have to follow. 3.2.2.2. Energy Technology Corporation A second idea
for demonstration is an Energy Technology Corporation. Recently proposed by John Deutch, John Podesta, and Peter
Ogden [17], this corporation would be a semi-private corporation funded by a large single appropriation to fund energy
technology demonstrations for technologies like CCS and cellulosic ethanol production. The corporation would be
managed by a board appointed by President. No detail as to the level of initial funding required has been proposed.
Similar to the CCS trust fund option, this corporation would be independent of federal procurement rules and the yearly
appropriations process. One criticism of this approach is due to the problems encountered by the US Synthetic Fuels
Corporation in the early 1980s. The Synfuels Corporation was created in response to the oil shocks of the 1970s with the
mission of increasing US energy independence through coal-to-liquids technology. The Corporation was created with fixed
production targets, which ultimately led to billions of dollars of spending on projects producing fuel at a cost several times
higher than the then market-price of automotive fuel. Proponents of a new Corporation for energy projects say that
technology progress targets would either be flexible and reviewed periodically, so that demonstration priorities could be
shifted if changing market conditions justified the shift, or they could be based on cost and performance rather than
production targets, which would hopefully help avoid the problems encountered by the Synfuels Corporation. 3.2.2.3.
Clean Energy Investment Bank A
endowment for a clean energy investment bank fund from the federal government, it would act as normal investment
bank acts, by providing loan guarantees, insurance, loans, equity and security investment, and other services. This bank
would be backed by full faith and credit of US government. The bank will be managed as a bank by an executive board
appointed by the President. This bank would also modify the loan guarantee program as defined by Energy Policy Act of
2005 by taking control of this function from DOE. This bank would support several large CCS demonstrations, as well as
other promising energy technology development and demonstration. Just like the first two options, this bank would also
avoid the federal appropriations process but may not avoid the potentially difficult federal procurement rules. 3.2.2.4.
Cost Sharing - CCS Technology Act of 2008 There
regulation to reduce CO2 emissions (see e.g., Abraham, 2004), but growing
public concern about climate change has forced it to confront the
issue and to define actions to mitigate the problem. Supporting CCS
as part of the Presidents Advanced Energy Initiative appears to be a
politically convenient way to demonstrate action on climate change
without making policy decisions to ensure actual CO2 emissions
reduction (NEC, 2006). The leadership of UK Prime Minister Tony Blair is another important factor contributing
to interest in CCS technologies. In addition to being the world leader pushing hardest to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions,
in his role as G8 chairman in 2005, Blair advocated for increased governmental support for carbon abatement as a critical
part of addressing climate change (Blair, 2003). Recognizing the importance of American involvement in any strategy to
tackle the global problem of climate change, Blair has persistently tried to change the Bush administrations position.
This focus on advancing technology rather than pushing for emissionreduction policies can be interpreted as an attempt to find common
ground with the United States. Governmental Support of Research and Development
Governmental efforts to advance the development of CCS technologies through R&D support vary considerably among
countries. The potential impact of the successful deployment of CCS systems is related to a regions endemic fossil-fuel
resources and level of fossil-fuel energy reliance. As a result, different national priorities are apparent when looking at
government-supported CCS research programs. In
Asteroids Advantage
Case Frontline
No impact to asteroids big asteroids are rare and the
Earths oceans absorb the impact
Plait 2-13 Phil Plait is an astronomer, public speaker and writer for Slate.
(Phil, February, 13, 2014, When will the Earth get hit by another asteroid? Slate
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/mysteries_of_the_universe/
2014/02/anniversary_of_chelyabinsk_asteroid_impact_we_need_to_test_a_d
eflector_mission.html)//sb
Your odds of dying in an asteroid impact are about one in 700,000.
Surprising, isnt it? Thats about the same chance you have of dying in a flood or a
fireworks accident over your lifetime. It may be even more surprising when you consider that there
has never even been a confirmed human death resulting from an
impact . But this number involves something of a trick: A big enough impact will kill everyone on Earth. A smaller
impact might devastate a local region on Earth, but a big one can wipe out entire species. Just ask the dinosaurs
For a global event, you get these odds roughly by dividing the time between impacts by the average human lifespan. But
its still a little misleading because its similar to the lottery: The chance is 100 percent that someone will win the lottery,
but the chances are extremely low that you specifically will. Your odds of dying in an impact event are pretty low, but the
odds of some random person somewhere getting killed are higher.
Of course, asteroid
impacts are a lottery you get to play whether you want to or not.
Chelyabinsk impact over
Today is a good day to think about all this: Its the first anniversary of the
Russia. On Feb. 15, 2013 (it was still Feb. 14 in U.S. time), a rock the size of a house came screaming in from space. In
a single moment, its huge energy of motion was converted into light and heat. The resulting explosion was the equivalent
of a half-million tons of TNT detonating all at once. Even though it exploded
dozens of kilometers
above the Earths surface, the shock wave shook the ground, set off car alarms, and shattered windows.
More than 1,000 people were injured, some seriously, by flying glass.
Amazingly,
no one was killed , but it shows quite vividly that the threat of asteroid impacts is quite real.
So when will the Earth get hit again? And what can we do about it?
***
The Earth gets hit by about 100 tons of material every day, but thats in the form of tiny pebbles that burn up high in the
atmosphere and produce shooting stars.
Big impacts are rare . The Chelyabinsk asteroid was 19 meters (62 feet) in diameter, and, on average, we
should expect an impact from an object that size somewhere on Earth about once every 25 years. (Because most of
the planet is covered in water, many of these go unnoticed .)
Bigger impacts are more rare. In 1908 an object 30 meters or so in diameter came across the Earth, exploding high over a
swampy region of the Russian countryside near the Tunguska River. The yield was equivalent to a 15 megaton nuclear
bomb! Something like this Tunguska event (as its now called) happens every few centuries on average.
You probably know that the dinosaurs were taken out by an asteroid or comet
about 10 kilometers wide. Happily, those events are extremely rare, occurring on a
timescale of tens of millions of years . As it happens, were pretty sure theres
no dinosaur-killer on its way to Earth for the next few centuries . But the
lesson of Chelyabinsk and Tunguska is that it doesnt take a flying mountain to ruin your whole day. A hill will do nicely.
If we want to prevent asteroid impacts from happening, the first thing we need to do is spot these threats. And were
working pretty hard on that.
Astronomers have built quite a few observatories dedicated to patiently scanning the heavens looking for blips of light.
Thousands of near-Earth asteroids have been found this way, their orbits meticulously calculated, projected into the
future, and determined to be potentially threatening or not.
As things stand now, we dont have the capability to find them all. But we will, soon. The huge Pan-STARRS telescope is
looking deep for threats and is already producing data. LSST is a planned monster 8-meter telescope specifically designed
to look for near-Earth objects and is expected to catalog hundreds of thousands of them.
Plait 2-13 Phil Plait is an astronomer, public speaker and writer for Slate.
(Phil, February, 13, 2014, When will the Earth get hit by another asteroid? Slate
http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/mysteries_of_the_universe/
2014/02/anniversary_of_chelyabinsk_asteroid_impact_we_need_to_test_a_d
eflector_mission.html) //sb
Your odds of dying in an asteroid impact are about one in 700,000.
Surprising, isnt it? Thats about the same chance you have of dying in a flood or a fireworks accident over your lifetime. It
may be even more surprising when you consider that there has never even been a confirmed human death resulting from
an impact. But this number involves something of a trick: A big enough impact will kill everyone on Earth. A smaller
impact might devastate a local region on Earth, but a big one can wipe out entire species. Just ask the dinosaurs
For a global event, you get these odds roughly by dividing the time between impacts by the average human lifespan. But
its still a little misleading because its similar to the lottery: The chance is 100 percent that someone will win the lottery,
but the chances are extremely low that you specifically will. Your odds of dying in an impact event are pretty low, but the
odds of some random person somewhere getting killed are higher.
Of course, asteroid impacts are a lottery you get to play whether you want to or not.
Today is a good day to think about all this: Its the first anniversary of the Chelyabinsk impact over Russia. On Feb. 15,
2013 (it was still Feb. 14 in U.S. time), a rock the size of a house came screaming in from space. In a single moment, its
huge energy of motion was converted into light and heat. The resulting explosion was the equivalent of a half-million tons
of TNT detonating all at once. Even though it exploded dozens of kilometers above the Earths surface, the shock wave
shook the ground, set off car alarms, and shattered windows. More than 1,000 people were injured, some seriously, by
flying glass.
Amazingly, no one was killed, but it shows quite vividly that the threat of asteroid impacts is quite real.
So when will the Earth get hit again? And what can we do about it?
***
The Earth gets hit by about 100 tons of material every day, but thats in the form of tiny pebbles that burn up high in the
atmosphere and produce shooting stars.
Big impacts are rare. The Chelyabinsk asteroid was 19 meters (62 feet) in diameter, and, on average, we should expect an
impact from an object that size somewhere on Earth about once every 25 years. (Because most of the planet is covered in
water, many of these go unnoticed.)
Bigger impacts are more rare. In 1908 an object 30 meters or so in diameter came across the Earth, exploding high over a
swampy region of the Russian countryside near the Tunguska River. The yield was equivalent to a 15 megaton nuclear
bomb! Something like this Tunguska event (as its now called) happens every few centuries on average.
You probably know that the dinosaurs were taken out by an asteroid or comet about 10 kilometers wide. Happily, those
events are extremely rare, occurring on a timescale of tens of millions of years. As it happens, were pretty sure theres no
dinosaur-killer on its way to Earth for the next few centuries. But the lesson of Chelyabinsk and Tunguska is that it doesnt
take a flying mountain to ruin your whole day. A hill will do nicely.
Moskowitz 13 (Clara, December 17, 2013, U.N. Heeds Astronaut Advice on Shielding
Earth from Asteroids, Scientific American,
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/un-heeds-astronaut-advice-on-shieldingearth-from-asteroids/)//sb
When a meteor exploded over Chelyabinsk, Russia, last February, the world's space agencies found out along with the rest
of us, on Twitter and YouTube. That, former astronaut Ed Lu says, is unacceptableand the United Nations agrees.
In October the U.N.
re-upping the inspirational power of space exploration while buying the Earth a
little asteroid insurance.
Asteroids Turn
Sending Astronauts to asteroids will ensure that they
blow up the asteroid causes more danger and turns the
case
Pasternack 12 writer and the Founding Editor of Motherboard (Alex, Aug.
20, 2012, Inside NASA's Last Undersea Mission to Save Earth from an Asteroid
MotherBoard, http://motherboard.vice.com/read/motherboard-tv-inside-nasas-spectacular-undersea-mission-to-save-earth-from-an-asteroid)//sb
The possibility that Earth will be hit by an asteroid in our lifetime isnt
huge. But heres the thing: the threat is so potentially catastrophic that even a small chance of impact and the utterly
apocalyptic waves that could subsequently erase entire coastlines makes an asteroid one of those things that someone
should probably be thinking about.
And because of fresh budget cuts, the most recent installment of the mission, which we visited in June, may well be the
last.
Aquarius Reef Base
The missions are part of a space analog tradition that also sends prospective astronauts into the desert and ice caves,
tooling around in futuristic space vehicles, and swimming in a giant swimming pool at NASA headquarters in Houston, all
for the purpose of training for life out of Earths atmosphere. Since 2009, when Barack Obama came to NASA to describe
Americas new deep-space mission not back to the moon but to an asteroid, in anticipation of a trip to Mars the focus
of NEEMO has shifted from the Moon and Mars to one of the most challenging space missions ever imagined. And its
precisely the kind of mission that science boosters like Neil deGrasse Tyson consider to be valuable: re-upping the
inspirational power of space exploration while buying the Earth a little asteroid insurance.
B612 Adv CP
1NC
Text: The B612 Foundation should deploy the Sentinel
Infrared Space Telescope to mirror Venus orbit in order to
survey asteroids and other near-earth objects.
Sentinel Infrared Space Telescope solves better would
be able to detect and calculate the trajectory of asteroids
Hart 4-19 Benjamin Hart is a front-page editor at The Huffington Post.
(Benjamin, 4/19/2014, Far More Asteroids Have Hit The Earth Than We
Thought, Astronauts Say, The Huffington Post
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/04/19/asteroidscities_n_5178708.html)//sb
Bad news, earthlings. A former
2NC Solvency
Sentinel solves yields information about asteroids
orbits and their potential risks
Plait 13 Phil Plait is an astronomer, public speaker and writer for Slate. (Phil,
July 5, 2013, How toLiterallyHelp Save the World from Asteroid Impacts
Slate,
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/07/05/asteroid_impacts_b6
12_foundation_wants_to_save_the_world.html)//sb
The B612 Foundation is a group of scientists, engineers, and astronauts who want to literally save the
world from asteroid impacts. They know the first step in doing so is to build a telescope
that can spot space rocks, map their orbits, and compile a list of
potential Earth-whackers. Their Sentinel mission will do just that: It
will circle the Sun near the orbit of Venus, surveying the sky to look for potentially threatening
rocks (it will actually do some of its best prospecting right after launch, while its still near Earth). The mission is
ambitious, and funded through private donations.
Thats where you come in. B612 is using various methods to raise the funds, including auctioning some pretty cool items:
medallions, pins, and patches, some of which have flown in space! My favorite is a small flag that orbited the Earth for ten
days in 1969 on the Apollo 9 mission with astronaut (and B612 scientist) Rusty Schweickart.
Im a big supporter of B612 (along with a proposed complementary NASA mission called NEOCAM). I think this is so
important that when B612 asked me to make a short video for them about it, I happily and immediately agreed:
They also have an introductory video by my friend, astronaut Ed Lu, who is the Chairman and CEO of B612.
1908 Tunguska blast pattern on a map of Washington DC
The 1908 Tunguska asteroid impact blast pattern superposed over the Washington, DC area, to show the extent of damage
from a "small" asteroid impact..
Statistically speaking, asteroid impacts present a fairly small danger in the short term (like, in the next few decades), but
over enough time the
odds go up to certainty that one big enough to do serious damage will occur.
Because we havent mapped all the near-Earth asteroids, we simply
cant know when the next impact will be. Yet. The lesson of Chelyabinsk is that even small
rocks can be a threat, and we need to keep an eye on the sky for them.
Missions like Sentinel and NEOCAM will yield a treasure trove of information
about hazardous asteroids, giving us not just their orbits and potential
impact risks, but also scientifically valuable information about them
as well. Asteroids are fascinating, many of them as old as the solar system itself, and can tell us a lot about our
astronomical history. Some are also literal treasure troves, filled with materials astronauts on future missions can use to
survive; water, air, and other supplies can be generated from this raw matter.
These rocks are one of the biggest ironies of the solar system: If we do nothing about them, they can destroy us, but if we
take action, soon, they can open up the exploration of space and possibly provide substantial wealth in the process. Its a
win-win situation, and all we have to do is get moving. B612
national newspapers including The Times, Sunday Telegraph, and The Scotsman. Based
in Florida since 2002, she has also written for publications including the South China
Morning Post, The Australian, The Christian Science Monitor, The Globe and Mail
(Canada), and has reported for BBC radio. (Jacqui, 19 Apr 2014, Astronauts plan $250
million asteroid telescope 'to stop disaster', The Telegraph,
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/space/10776057/Astronauts-plan-250-millionasteroid-telescope-to-stop-disaster.html)//sb
As members of an elite band of cosmic explorers, they are among the few to have gone beyond the final frontier and looked
down on the Earth from space.
Now, inspired by the unique perspective they gained of their home planet and armed with startling new data about the
scale of the threat it faces from asteroid strikes a
Fourteen months after an asteroid exploded over Chelyabinsk, Russia, on a scale equivalent to 30 Hiroshima bombs, the
B612 Foundation, a non-profit group founded by Apollo 9 astronaut Rusty Schweickart and space shuttle
astronaut Ed Lu, are warning that only "blind luck" has so far saved it from
worse.
"It's a giant game of chance we're playing . It's cosmic roulette," said Dr Lu,
whose group is working towards building and launching Sentinel, a
$250 million telescope that would spot space rocks on a collision
course with the earth, giving several years or even decades worth of
notice to deflect a disaster .
"There's a saying in Vegas that 'The house never loses'. It's true; you can't just keep playing a game of chance and expect to
keep winning," added Dr Lu, the group's chief executive officer.
Data obtained by Dr Peter Brown, a planetary scientist and asteroid expert at the University of Western Ontario, in
Canada, revealed that since
2001 the earth has been rocked by atomic bombscale asteroid impacts 26 times; up to ten times more frequently than
previously thought.
On Tuesday, which is Earth Day, the B612 Foundation will hold a press conference to unveil more critical details,
including a video presentation that will for the first time reveal the locations and sizes of the multi-kiloton impacts.
"We are literally in a shooting gallery," said Mr Schweickart. "That's the message we want people to understand. It's
happening, it's ongoing, and the big ones will come. It's just a matter of when."
The video is based on information from the International Monitoring System, a network of sensors set up around the
world to verify compliance with the global ban on nuclear weapons testing. The technology detects sound waves and shock
waves above and below Earth's surface.
Since only 28 per cent of the planet's surface is land, and only one per cent is populated, the majority of asteroid strikes
are in remote regions, deserts and oceans.
"The fact that none
Chelyabinsk's unexpected visitor, a 65-foot wide rock weighing more than the Eiffel Tower. It had
gone undetected for years because it came from the same direction as the
Sun's glare, making it impossible for ground-based optical telescopes
to see it.
Sentinel, which the B612 Foundation is aiming to launch in 2018, will be positioned up to 170 million
miles from the earth, near Venus, from where its lenses would point away from
the Sun. In the first month of operation alone, it is expected to detect and track more
than 20,000 near-Earth asteroids, exceeding the discoveries made by
all other telescopes combined over the course of the last 30 years.
Over six and a half years, it will make an inventory of 98 per cent of near-Earth asteroids; the current detection level
stands at only one per cent.
Mr Schweickart, who as an astronaut on Nasa's Apollo 9 mission in March 1969 played a critical role in paving the way for
man's first landing on the Moon four months later, co-founded the B612 Foundation and now serves as chairman
emeritus.
Griggs 13 writer for USA Today and a freelance science journalist (Mary Beth,
October 6, 2013, Avoiding Armegeddon: The hunt is on for dangerous
asteroids, USA Today,
http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2013/10/06/hunt-for-dangerousasteroids/2924333/)//sb
More than 1,000 people were injured last February in Chelyabinsk, Russia, when a meteor exploded over the city. The
collision shattered windows and pelted startled residents with shards of glass and debris. In the aftermath, the world was
transfixed by extraordinary videos of the huge fireball as it streaked across the sky. Many wondered, why on earth did no
one see it coming?
"The
odds of asteroid impacts are much higher than people realize, " said
Ed Lu, a former astronaut and chief executive officer of the B612 Foundation, which searches for
asteroids that could potentially hit the Earth and cause human
devastation. He said that there is a 30 percent chance of a city-destroying
asteroid hitting the Earth in the next 100 years.
The primary source of meteors like the one that exploded over Russia is the asteroid belt between the orbits of Jupiter and
Mars. The gravitational pull of giant Jupiter causes space debris to collide repeatedly, breaking into smaller and smaller
fragments that became asteroids.
Jupiter interacts with these asteroids gravitationally, periodically throwing them out of their orbit and sending them
further out into the reaches of the solar system. Or they can be tossed inward, toward the sun and Earth. These projectiles
are the asteroids that pose a threat to Earth.
It's only recently that scientists even knew the scope of the threat posed by asteroids. "Fifty years ago, scientists, when they
looked at the moon, they thought those craters were volcanic," said James Green, director of planetary science at NASA.
Now, common knowledge holds that most of the craters on the moon were caused by asteroids. If they can hit the moon,
they can hit the Earth, too.
But how
One of those caused the Tunguska event in 1908. An asteroid approximately 37 meters in diameter exploded over the
Siberian Wilderness, leveling more than 1,000 square miles of forest, an area larger than Washington, D.C., or New York.
The recent Chelyabinsk meteor, by comparison, was only 17 meters in diameter and still caused considerable damage.
The likelihood of one of these city-killing asteroids actually hitting a city is low (most of the Earth is covered by oceans, not
major metropolitan areas) but the effects could be devastating regardless. If an asteroid of that size did hit the ocean, it
would certainly have the potential to cause a tsunami, but scientists are still trying to create accurate models for such an
event.
To try to prevent such an incident, the
"We're going to have far and away the most capable telescope in the world, and that's because it has been optimized for
finding asteroids," Lu said.
Lu compares the need for these asteroid-detecting programs to the need for hurricane preparedness in cities like New
Orleans.
City leaders and the Army Corps of Engineers once claimed that it was unnecessary to fix levees for 100-year floods. Then
Hurricane Katrina struck.
In the same way, we need to prepare now for an asteroid event. "A hurricane is really child's play compared to an asteroid
impact," Lu said. "You can't just hope for the best every year."
In August, NASA announced plans to reactivate the Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer and take up the hunt for
asteroids. While not as specialized as the proposed Sentinel, the WISE telescope has already had asteroid-hunting success
as part of a project called NEOWISE. The telescope was originally built to create a map of the night sky but has since been
tasked with finding near-Earth objects. The NEOWISE mission ended in 2011. In the next mission, NASA hopes the
telescope will locate 150 more near-Earth objects.
NASA also announced the Asteroid Grand Challenge. The agency hopes this program will be an interdisciplinary venture
that brings together private businesses, amateur astronomers, space agencies and universities around the world to tackle
the threat of asteroids.
"This is one of the only natural disasters that we have the ability to solve. We have the ability to prove that we are smarter
than the dinosaurs," said Jason Kessler of NASA's Office of the Chief Technologist.
Kessler hopes to inspire people around the world by merging two topics that are almost universally beloved in science
classrooms: dinosaurs and space.
"This is a marrying of the two. We can prove that we are smarter than the dinosaurs, and take our fate into our own
hands," Kessler said. "They (the dinosaurs) didn't have the technology to defend themselves from planetary threats of this
nature."
NASA's ASTEROID RETRIEVAL MISSION
The NASA plan to lasso an asteroid might seem to be a punchline to a space cowboy joke, but the people at work on the
program are serious about it.
"The president has set an objective that Mars is our ultimate destination, and asteroids are along that path," said James
Green, NASA's director of planetary science.
Instead of hunting one down in the asteroid belt, the plan would be to find an asteroid in near-Earth orbit, target it and
bring it between the Earth and the moon. It would be located and harnessed initially by an unmanned spacecraft. Once
securely in place between the Earth and the moon, astronauts would be sent up to visit the asteroid, taking samples and
bringing them back to Earth. The exercise might seem frivolous, but the astronauts would be practicing with technologies
and developing skills essential to any future Mars missions, when explorers would have to rely on resources gathered from
asteroids or the surface of Mars.
Budget decisions made by Congress this summer have stymied work on NASA's Asteroid Retrieval Mission.
The House Appropriations committee, concerned about the feasibility and cost of such a mission, called the proposed
mission "premature" and refused to include any budget increases associated with the mission. They recommended that
NASA "complete further concept studies, pursue the support of Congress through the authorization process and line up
support from potential international partners before seeking new resources to carry out the mission."
only is this map needed to protect the future of planet Earth, but mapping
the inner solar system is the first step to exploring our own solar
system. Just as the U.S. geological surveys and the mapping expedition of Lewis and Clark were instrumental in the
development of the American frontier, the Sentinel Map will be instrumental as humanity opens up the new frontier that
is the inner solar system. Our solar system currently is an uncharted wilderness."
Sentinel will, obviously, be an expensive endeavour.
Lu and Schweickart are being backed by corporate donors at Google and the news-sharing site reddit -- but they're
accepting donations from all members of the public.
Visit the B612 Foundation to learn more.
As someone who's taken a fair share of science classes, I know that it can be difficult to tie the daily homework
assignments of configuring compounds in chemistry or calculating velocity in physics to a broader world perspective. But
that's precisely what science does: It
national newspapers including The Times, Sunday Telegraph, and The Scotsman. Based
in Florida since 2002, she has also written for publications including the South China
Morning Post, The Australian, The Christian Science Monitor, The Globe and Mail
(Canada), and has reported for BBC radio. (Jacqui, 19 Apr 2014, Astronauts plan $250
million asteroid telescope 'to stop disaster', The Telegraph,
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/space/10776057/Astronauts-plan-250-millionasteroid-telescope-to-stop-disaster.html)//sb
here
on Earth," he said.
"The fact is, the government just isn't doing its job . It's not all that much money when you
compare it to the cost of building a university or a freeway over-pass."
On Tuesday, Dr Lu will be joined at the B612 Foundation's press conference in Seattle by Tom Jones, a four-time space
shuttle astronaut and president of the Association of Space Explorers.
Also present will be Bill Anders, a member of the three-strong Apollo 8 crew that in 1968 became the first to fly around the
Moon. Mr Anders' famous "Earthrise" photograph, which gave mankind its first ever glimpse of a fragile Earth rising over
the Moon's crater-strewn surface, will provide the backdrop.
"We began Apollo 8 thinking we were going to learn about the Moon," said Mr Anders. "Instead, we began a new
understanding of our Earth."
Dr Lu added: "For those of us who've seen the Earth from space, you can't help but make that realisation of what a fragile
and beautiful place we live in. If I could get one million people to see that view of Earth, then I could just pass the hat and
we could build Sentinel tomorrow."
B612 Foundation
unveiled its plans to build, launch, and operate the first privately
In a press conference at the California Academy of Sciences Thursday morning, the
sources, unlike UNC-Wilmington which relied mainly on funding provided by the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration.
Mike Heithaus, executive director of FIUs School of Environment, Arts and Society and the associate dean who helped
land the Aquarius operation, said
sources .
As an example, he cited FIUs first mission last month, in which the school-bus sized habitat was used for one day with the
pressure inside set to that of the surface so that the divers did not need to go through the long process of decompression
(when nitrogen is eliminated from the body) before surfacing.
Ben Neal, a
The Hong Kong group footed the bill for Neals project in exchange for
being allowed to do a documentary about it.
There were three winners, Heithaus said. I see a lot of that in the future of
the way we fund science.
He also sees a lot of public outreach, education and Teacher in the Sea programs at Aquarius, which can house six
people for missions that can be weeks long.
On Tuesday, Heithaus was inside Aquarius, hooked up by the magic of technology to a class of third-graders in Kansas
City. While looking out the port hole, he told them: We might get to see a shark swim by if were lucky.
The kids shrieked in delight.
With Aquarius we have the ability to spark curiosity and passion for the sea, Heithaus said. We want to inspire not only
the next marine biologists, but nurses, doctors, lawyers. We want all people to understand how important the oceans are.
The possibilities are almost endless. Heithaus envisions students being taught at the habitat and teachers teaching from
there. What better place to teach about the coral reef than at the coral reef? he said.
One graduate student already is working with a faculty member at FIU on a project called the ecology of fear. Heithaus
did a similar project in Australia, where he helped determine that tiger sharks helped sea grass thrive by scaring grazers
such as sea cows and sea turtles from overeating them.
At the reefs, we dont know a lot about how important these big predators are in terms of scaring fish, he said.
One big reason FIU agreed to take over operations of Aquarius is because it has five key members of Aquarius technical
and operational braintrust working for them. The group has a combined 80 years of experience working at the challenging
and unforgiving, saltwater habitat.
It includes Otto Rutten, a 19-year veteran who is among the technicians and divers that keep the habitat operational.
Yahoo, was his reaction when he heard that he would still have a job at Aquarius. Were so fortunate to be part of
something so cool and so big, he said. Its tiring [with all the long hours], but it never gets old.
Tom Potts, the director of the reef base, has been the with the program since it relocated from St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin
Islands to Key Largo in 1991.
I always say you can build another habitat with the right type of money, but getting the right personnel to run it and
understand what arena you are operating in is very difficult, Potts said.
When the chiller (an air conditioner inside a waterproof housing) went out for the recent NASA mission, the crew was able
to fix it in 24 hours.
Few people were more happy to see the rescue of Aquarius than Bill Todd, founder of NASAs NEEMO program which
prepares astronauts for space exploration in the extreme living conditions of the sea. NASA has completed 18 missions at
the habitat since 2000.
Its pretty much a turn-key operation for us, Todd said. Weve had almost 50 astronauts go through the program.
Theres no other place like it.
Stem Advantage
Case Frontline
STEM high now new data proves
Jaschik 4-7 - Scott Jaschik, Editor, is one of the three founders of Inside Higher Ed.
With Doug Lederman, he leads the editorial operations of Inside Higher Ed, overseeing
news content, opinion pieces, career advice, blogs and other features. Scott is a leading
voice on higher education issues, quoted regularly in publications nationwide, and
publishing articles on colleges in publications such as The New York Times, The Boston
Globe, The Washington Post, Salon, and elsewhere. He has been a judge or screener for
the National Magazine Awards, the Online Journalism Awards, the Folio Editorial
Excellence Awards, and the Education Writers Association Awards. Scott served as a
mentor in the community college fellowship program of the Hechinger Institute on
Education and the Media, of Teachers College, Columbia University. He is a member of
the board of the Education Writers Association. From 1999-2003, Scott was editor of
The Chronicle of Higher Education. Scott graduated from Cornell University. (Scott,
April 7, 2014, The STEM Enrollment Boom, Insider Higher Ed,
http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2014/04/07/study-finds-increased-stemenrollment-recession#sthash.PxdMLi61.dpbs)//sb
PHILADELPHIA Policy makers regularly talk about the need to encourage more undergraduates to pursue science and
technology fields. New
Those who want more STEM students should focus on attracting more female students, some of whom may not feel
encouraged in the area, rather than offering "criticism of the humanities," as a number of politicians have done lately.
He said he was pleased to find that the increase in STEM enrollments was coming from professional programs, rather
than liberal arts programs.
Teachers are arguably the single most important component of education that
can be influenced by policy. We know that teachers are not all the same, and that great teachers
expand how much and improve how well students learn. Yet, there are vast gaps in our knowledge about how to produce
great teachers and retain them. Many studies are not directly useful in policymaking, owing to inadequate or inconsistent
research design or data collection. Based on what research has emerged over the past two decades, however, we know the
most about how students learn, the next most about the characteristics of effective teaching, and the least about
characteristics of programs that are effective in producing effective teachers let alone great teachers. We briefly
elaborate on these points below. That
study, entitled Preparing Teachers: Building Evidence for Sound Policy, which examines what is known about effective
teacher preparation in mathematics, science, and reading. The report notes that there is broad agreement and clear
evidence that teachers have enormously important effects on students learning, and that the quality of teaching explains
a meaningful proportion of the variation in achievement among children.112 Various studies have demonstrated this
impact in different ways. For example, researchers have shown that teachers
taught by a series of teachers deemed exemplary for previously raising test scores learn and achieve more.114 115 Research
indicates that a teacher who has consistently raised student achievement can make a greater difference in student
outcomes than more costly interventions such as reducing class size.116 The National Mathematics Advisory Panel has
pointed to evidence showing that variation in teacher quality could account for a substantial fraction of the total variation
(as much as 12 to 14 percent) in mathematics learning by elementary students in a given school year.117 Despite the broad
agreement on the importance of teachers, the NRC report concluded that there is little solid research about precisely how
and why teachers influence student outcomes and about how teacher preparation programs should be designed to train
great teachers. How much students learn depends on many factors, both internal and external to the education system,
and it is difficult to carry out research that can definitively distinguish causation from correlation to identify the effects of
teaching. Many studies about connections between teachers and student outcomes have not yielded truly meaningful
conclusions. (We address the need for improved education implementation research in Chapter 3.)
No STEM Crisis impact is empirically denied
Galama AND Hosek, 08 Ph.D. and M.Sc. in physics AND .D. and M.A. in economics [Titus Galama Ph.D. and
M.Sc. in physics, University of Amsterdam; M.B.A. in business, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France, James Hosek Ph.D.
and M.A. in economics, University of Chicago; B.A. in English, Cornell University, U.S. Competitiveness in Science and
Technology, 2008, http://www.rand.org/pubs/monographs/2008/RAND_MG674.pdf,)//sb
Despite the rhetoric and the intensive action on the Hill, some voices called for restraint. The reports and testimony
making a case for or arguing against an S&T crisis are part of an ongoing policy debate.
One line of counterargument is that such warnings are far from unprecedented and have never
resulted in the crisis anticipated. The author of a Washington Watch article noted that
similar fears of a STEM workforce crisis in the 1980s were ultimately unfounded (Andres,
2006). Neal McCluskey, a policy analyst from the Cato Institute, noted that similar alarm
bells were sounded decades earlier (and in his view, have had underlying political agendas):
Using the threat of international economic competition to bolster federal control of
education is nothing new. It happened in 1983, after the federally commissioned report A Nation at Risk
admonished that our once unchallenged preeminence in commerce, industry, science, and technological innovation is
being overtaken by competitors throughout the world, as well as the early 1990s, when George Bush the elder
called for national academic standards and tests in order to better compete with Japan. (McCluskey, 2006)
Roger Pielke
Mervis 6-30 - Jeff reports on science policy in the United States and he's
covered science policy for more than 30 years, including a stint at Nature, and
joined Science in 1993. (Jeffrey, June 30, 2014, Data check: U.S. producing more
STEM graduates even without proposed initiatives, Science Insider,
http://news.sciencemag.org/education/2014/06/data-check-u-s-producingmore-stem-graduates-even-without-proposed-initiatives)//sb
The United States appears to be on pace to meet the Obama
administrations goal of churning out more college graduates in the socalled STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) fields.
That conclusion, based on an analysis by ScienceInsider of recent education statistics, may surprise
many people. And it is unlikely to cause scientific organizations to hold a ticker tape parade or the White House
to issue a self-congratulatory press release.
Thats because the growth
The Obama administration saw a link, however, and its Presidents Council of Advisors on Science and
Technology (PCAST) issued two related reports that, together, recommended
increasing both the number of STEM teachers and the number of
STEM graduates. In particular, its 2012 report, Engage to Excel, called for producing one million additional
college graduates with bachelor or associate degrees in STEM fields over the next decade.
For PCAST, the clock started in 2010, when the number of such graduates stood at 300,000. President Barack Obama has
cited the reports frequently in lobbying Congress for increasing federal investments in STEM education, including a
mention in his 2011 State of the Union address of the need for more STEM teachers.
Neither the PCAST report nor the TAP report explains how or why it chose a particular number of additional STEM
graduates as a goal. And both reports are supply-driven rather than demand-driven; that is, they address the production of
STEM graduates but not the likelihood of their finding good jobs. Thats a sore point for those who argue that the nation is
actually producing too many graduates in many STEM fields, which keeps wages low and creates underemployment.
Leaving aside those points, however, an
implicitly by TAP.
(Those who think the augmented number of graduates should be based on a strict 10-year span may want to start with the
263,000 STEM graduates produced in 2002. Using that base year, the size of the expanded pool falls just shy of the
100,000-a-year level needed to add 1 million over a decade.)
To be sure, these totals use PCASTs definition of a college degree, which encompasses both the bachelors and associate
level. The split is roughly six or seven to one: In 2012, for example, there were 53,000 associate degrees in STEM fields out
of the total of 355,000 graduates. (Four-fifths of the 2-year STEM degrees awarded were in computer science.)
The PCAST report does not suggest what rate of growth is preferred. In particular, it doesnt opine on whether spikes and
troughs matter. However, front-loading the increase makes it much easier to achieve the overall goal.
For example, a surge of 100,000 graduates in the first few yearssay, an extra 40,000 the first year, and then an
additional 60,000 in the second yearwould then require only miniscule increases in subsequent years to achieve the
target. In contrast, flat production for the first several years would require a huge leap in output in the latter years of the
decade.
It turns out that the steady rise in actual production over the past decade may also get you where you want to go. Based on
the NSF data, that seems like a reasonable beteven if it runs counter to the conventional narrative. For whatever reason,
it appears, U.S. students are finding their own way to a STEM degree.
your argument.
Another surprise was the apparent mismatch between earning a STEM
degree and having a STEM job. Of the 7.6 million STEM workers counted by the
Commerce Department, only 3.3 million possess STEM degrees. Viewed another way, about
15 million U.S. residents hold at least a bachelors degree in a STEM discipline, but three-fourths of them11.4 million
work outside of STEM.
The departure of STEM graduates to other fields starts early. In 2008, the NSF surveyed STEM graduates whod earned
bachelors and masters degrees in 2006 and 2007. It found that 2 out of 10 were already working in non-STEM fields.
And 10 years after receiving a STEM degree, 58 percent of STEM graduates had left the field, according to a 2011 study
from Georgetown University.
The takeaway? At least in
studies have
directly contradicted it, including reports from Duke University, the
Rochester Institute of Technology, the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation,
and the Rand Corp. A 2004 Rand study, for example, stated that there was no evidence
that such shortages have existed at least since 1990, nor that they
are on the horizon.
That report argued that the best indicator of a shortfall would be a widespread rise in salaries throughout the STEM
community. But the price of labor has not risen, as you would expect it to do if STEM workers were scarce. In computing
and IT, wages have generally been stagnant for the past decade, according to the EPI and other analyses. And over the past
30 years, according to the Georgetown report, engineers and engineering technicians wages have grown the least of all
STEM wages and also more slowly than those in non-STEM fields; while STEM workers as a group have seen wages rise
33 percent and non-STEM workers wages rose by 23 percent, engineering salaries grew by just 18 percent. The situation
is even more grim for those who get a Ph.D. in science, math, or engineering. The Georgetown study states it succinctly:
At the highest levels of educational attainment, STEM wages are not competitive.
Given all of the above, it
Wertheim Fellow
at Harvard Law School and a senior advisor to the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, has studied the
phenomenon, and he says that in the United States the anxiety dates
back to World War II. Ever since then it has tended to run in cycles that he
calls alarm, boom, and bust. He says the cycle usually starts when someone or some group sounds
the alarm that there is a critical crisis of insufficient numbers of scientists, engineers, and mathematicians and as a result
In the 1950s, he
notes, Americans worried that the Soviet Union was producing 95 000
scientists and engineers a year while the United States was producing
only about 57 000. In the 1980s, it was the perceived Japanese
economic juggernaut that was the threat, and now it is China and
India.
the country is in jeopardy of either a national security risk or of falling behind economically.
Youll hear similar arguments made elsewhere. In India, the director general of the Defence Research and Development
Organisation, Vijay Kumar Saraswat, recently noted that in his country, a meagre four persons out of every 1000 are
choosing S&T or research, as compared to 110 in Japan, 76 in Germany and Israel, 55 in USA, 46 in Korea and 8 in China.
Leaders in South Africa and Brazil cite similar statistics to show how they are likewise falling behind in the STEM race.
The government responds either with money [for research] or, more recently, with visas to increase the number of STEM
workers, Teitelbaum says. This continues for a number of years until the claims of a shortage turn out not to be true and
a bust ensues. Students who graduate during the bust, he says, are shocked to discover that they cant find jobs, or they
find jobs but not stable ones.
At the moment, were in the alarm-heading-toward-boom part of the cycle. According to a recent report from the
Government Accountability Office, the
schools, has its own STEM initiatives. The result is that many peoples fortunes are now tied to the STEM crisis, real or
manufactured.
Immigration Adv CP
1NC
Text: The United States Federal Government should
provide employment-based visas to graduates who earn a
Masters/PhD degree from a U.S. university in a STEM field
of study.
Counterplan solves STEM
Fitz and Halpinnov 11 (Marshall and John, 2011, " Entrepreneurs, Stay Out!
The Utter Idiocy of U.S. Immigration Law The Atlantic,
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2011/11/entrepreneurs-stay-outthe-utter-idiocy-of-us-immigration-law/248286/)//sb
THROWING AWAY OUR INVESTMENT IN MINDS
At the same time we
home or find an
in some of the skills needed in the modern economy. As global economic integration deepens, the source points for skill
sets will spread, such as green engineering in Holland or nanotechnology in Israel, so the breadth of skills needed to drive
innovation will expand and global labor pools must become more mobile.
Even with today's abysmal job market there is a need to access this
human capital. With national unemployment at 9%, unemployment rates in the technology industry hover far
lower at around 4%. Facilitating access to international talent and putting Americans back to work are not mutually
exclusive goals. The purpose of harnessing that talent is to fuel economic growth in industries that will create jobs. For
example, a 2010 study by the University of Washington's Economic Policy Research Center found that every job at
Microsoft supported 5.81 jobs elsewhere in the state's economy.
Arbitrary limitations on our ability to access skill sets from across the globe are
clearly self-defeating. Companies will lose out to their competitors making them
less profitable, less productive, and less able to grow; or they will move their operations abroad with all the attendant
negative economic consequences. And the federal treasury loses tens of billions of dollars in tax revenues by restricting the
opportunities for high-skilled foreign workers to remain in the United States and contribute to the national economy.
What is needed to fix the related problems of immigration and innovation?
LOOKING FOR THE NEXT EINSTEIN
The overall end goal must be a system that inherently preferences the hiring of U.S. workers but
streamlines access to foreign workers with needed skills; welcomes entrepreneurs who can garner financial backing; and
treats all workers employed in the United States on a level plane. Reforms
Similarly, our existing enforcement mechanisms are too weak to adequately prevent fraud and gaming of the immigration
system. Current regulations tie foreign workers too tightly to a single employer, which empowers employers with
disproportionate control over one class of workers. That control enables unscrupulous employers to deliberately pit one
group of workers against another to depress wage growth. Even when there is no malicious employer intent or worker
mistreatment, the restriction of labor mobility inherently affects the labor market by preventing workers from pursuing
income maximizing opportunities.
Innovation requires talented people with good ideas and a solid support network. If we want more innovation that will
create more jobs, we need to do a better job of welcoming the world's brightest and most inventive people and ensuring
that they have a chance, if desired, to put their skills and ambitions to work in our economy.
As we continue to cultivate the next homegrown Steve Jobs or Bill Gates, we should also keep in mind that the next Albert
Einstein, Jonas Salk, Andrew Grove or Sergey Brin could be right under our nose.
2NC Solvency
The counterplan solves - high-skilled immigrants are
critical to improving economic competitiveness and kickstarting new companies
Fitz and Halpinnov 11 (Marshall and John, 2011, " Entrepreneurs, Stay Out!
The Utter Idiocy of U.S. Immigration Law The Atlantic,
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2011/11/entrepreneurs-stay-outthe-utter-idiocy-of-us-immigration-law/248286/)//sb
If America wants to solve its innovation problem, solving its immigration
problem would be a good start.
People with creative ideas, intellectual talents and personal ambition drive innovation. From advances in science,
mathematics and health care to new technologies, products and companies, America
America
always has been a place where skilled and inventive people from
around the world come to realize their dreams. What's more, an
impressive body of literature indicates that diversity is positively
correlated with innovation.
Immigrants who come to the United States to study at our best
who first settled here to the multitudes of immigrant small business owners and startup founders today,
All of us benefit greatly from this surge of human energy and aptitude. Consider the following: immigrants
companies contribute directly and immediately to our nations global economic competitiveness. High-skilled
serves the nations economic interests and upholds our responsibilities in a global economy.
Of course, our current immigration policies have failed the country on many fronts beyond the high-skilled policy arena.
And the urgent need for comprehensive, systemic reforms is beyond question. The national debate has understandably
focused up to this point on the most visible and most highly charged issueending illegal immigration. Solving that riddle
and ending illegal immigration is indisputably a national imperative and must be at the heart of a comprehensive overhaul
of our system.
But reforms to our high-skilled immigration system are an important component of that broader reform and integral to a
progressive growth strategy. Science,
arena.
To be certain, educating and training a 21st century U.S. workforce is a paramount national priority and the cornerstone of
progressive growth. Improving access to topflight education for everyone in this country will be the foundation for our
continued global leadership and prosperity. But it
dollars in tax revenues by restricting the opportunities for highskilled foreign workers to remain in the United States.
Access to high-skilled foreign workers is critical to our economic competitiveness and growth, but facilitating such access
triggers equally critical flip-side considerations, in particular the potential for employers to directly or indirectly leverage
foreign workers interests against the native workforce. Current enforcement mechanisms are too weak to adequately
prevent fraud and gaming of the system. And current regulations tie foreign workers too tightly to a single employer,
which empowers employers with disproportionate control over one class of workers. That control enables unscrupulous
employers to deliberately pit one group of workers against another to depress wage growth. Even when there is no
malicious employer intent or worker mistreatment, the restriction of labor mobility inherently affects the labor market by
preventing workers from pursuing income maximizing opportunities.
The end goal must be a system that inherently preferences the hiring of U.S. workers, but streamlines access to needed
foreign workers and treats all workers employed in the United States on a level plane. Reforms that enhance legal
immigration channels for high-skilled immigrants must be complemented with reforms to ensure that a workers
immigration status cannot be used to manipulate wages and working conditions. This paper digs deeper into the structural
deficiencies and enforcement shortcomings in our high-skilled immigration system and offers a number of legislative
solutions designed to:
Target employer fraud and abuse.
Enhance worker mobility.
Establish market-based mechanism to set H-1B levels.
Raise green card caps and streamline process.
Strengthen recruitment requirements.
Restrict job shops.
The recommendations detailed in this report will enhance labor market mobility and promote economic growth while
advancing workforce stability through enforceable labor standards and protections.
According to the Dallas Morning News, STEM will only become more
important in the near future. Workforce experts have predicted that more than eight million new
STEM jobs will be available in the United States through 2018. It's also expected that
many of these jobs will be difficult to fill as they will likely have highly specialized skills necessary to perform them, which
bodes well if education efforts remain as high as possible.
What's more, STEM is becoming increasingly intertwined across the globe as
new technology continues to transform job roles in an increasing number of industries. The National Science Foundation
has said that more jobs in the near future that aren't normally considered to be related to STEM will require new science
and engineering skills. These fields can include anything from aerial robotics to 3D printing. This only further shows not
only the importance but the long-term effects that experience in these fields will have, further proving the importance of
early and detailed knowledge.
Education efforts rising
This information is made all the more important in the light of recent
educational efforts working to fight back against lower-than-hoped STEM
knowledge. The Huffington Post, in connection with CISCO, recently found that United States test scores
regarding STEM fields are lower than expected, and falling instead of rising. The Programme for International Student
Assessment scores, which measures 15-year-olds' skills in science, reading and math, found that United States scores have
remained relatively stagnant in all three fields. Specifically, the country currently ranks 28th in the world in science, while
it has fallen to 36th place in math skills.
To revamp students' skills and interests in STEM, a variety of different strategies are being deployed. For instance, schools
in Dallas are quickly adapting to the times, with one high school introducing an Academy of Engineering to its different
opportunities. Other efforts, according to The Hill, include showing students opportunities and building up standards
commonly called the "Common Core." By doing this, and investing in future STEM growth, The Hill says that it would be
easy to see returns, as such investments would create both economic value and societal value. Businesses that make
investments not only would see new pipelines of talent to fill critical jobs, but could also help societal knowledge by
sponsoring new research and equipment means.
H1B Visas CP
1NC
Text: The United States Federal Government should
increase its H-1B visas given to immigrants in STEM fields.
USs current cap on H-1B visas is insufficient raising the
cap would allow for increasing productivity and would
benefit the economy
They looked at 219 U.S. cities from 1990 to 2010, the number of H-1B STEM workers
in a city, and the effect on wages, employment, and productivity for collegeand non-college-educated native workers.
In a given city, a one percentage point increase in foreign STEM workers share of total employment raised the wage
growth of native-born Americans with a college degree by seven to eight percentage points. The wages of Americans
without a college degree rose by three to four percentage points. This translates into tens of thousands of additional
earnings over the span of a career. The authors say a one percentage point increase in foreign STEM workers share of
total employment reflects the change over the period 1990 to 2010.
Peri and his coauthors cite a vast literature that explains how important STEM advances are in creating economic growth.
They conclude that foreign STEM growth can explain between a third and a half of the average productivity growth in the
period 1990-2010.
The paper found no effect of foreign STEM workers on employment prospects for Americans. However, past research by
Peri found that increasing
Peri et al. had a very specific reason for analyzing the effect of STEM immigrants on cities instead of the nation as a whole.
They write, Tacit knowledge and face to face interactions still make a difference in the speed at which new ideas are
locally adopted. Innovative workers are more productive when they are concentrated in the same city. This is why hightech startups tend to flock toward Silicon Valleythere are positive effects to clustering around the best and brightest in
the field.
The city-based focus of the authors research could be seen by immigration advocates as reason to decentralize
immigration from the federal government. With Congress dragging its feet on comprehensive immigration reform, cities
and states in need of economic growth are looking to break the status quo on immigration.
One such state is Michigan, where Republican Governor Rick Snyder requested 50,000 special federal immigration visas
over five years to attract foreign professionals to Detroit. The city has lost over 1 million residents in the past 60 years, and
50,000 STEM immigrants would boost the struggling citys population, wages, and productivity, all without harming
locals.
Massachusetts Democratic Governor Deval Patrick proposed the Global Entrepreneur in Residence Program,
which would allow some foreign students who studied in Massachusetts to work at a participating university.
Colleges and universities are exempt from the arbitrary H-1B visa
caps and can employ as many H-1B employees as they desire . Though it
would be preferable for these immigrants to have more private sector options, the Global Entrepreneur in Residence
of 65,000 foreign nationals, plus 20,000 more for those with advanced
Act of 2013, passed out of the Senate last June with bipartisan support, would keep the yearly H-1B cap but increase it
significantly to 205,000. The Act is flawed in several ways, but would still represent an improvement on the status quo.
It is becoming increasingly clear that Americas
holding back the U.S. economy. While Congress slow-walks this exceptional economic opportunity
for immigration reform, states are taking matters into their own hands. The latest NBER study provides yet another
reason for taking action now and expanding the number of legal visas.
2NC Solvency
H-1B visas solve allows companies to employ foreign
workers in STEM fields
Patrick 13 - Michael D. Patrick is a Partner at Fragomen, Del Rey, Bernsen &
Loewy, LLP, resident in its New York office. (Michael, Dec. 18, 2013, Raising the
Cap: The Need For Increased Numbers Of H-1B Visas For Skilled Workers
http://www.metrocorpcounsel.com/articles/26825/raising-cap-need-increasednumbers-h-1b-visas-skilled-workers)//sb
Michael D. Patrick
Companies across the United States are now beginning to assess their
H-1B visa needs for the FY 2015 (10/1/14 - 9/30/15) filing season and are expecting even greater
competition for the limited number of available H-1B cap slots. Raising the number of H-1B visas available each year
would help to alleviate the growing disparity between insufficient H-1B visa availability and ever-growing U.S. business
needs. The
There is now a great need in the U.S. for a dramatic increase in H-1B
visa availability in order to meet the demand of U.S. businesses for skilled
workers. Comprehensive Immigration Reform promises some relief, as the bill passed in the Senate would increase
the baseline H-1B cap to 115,000, with 25,000 reserved for holders of U.S. advanced degrees in STEM fields, and allow for
increases in the cap up to 180,000. Similarly, the House bill raises the standard H-1B cap to 155,000, with a STEM U.S.
advanced degree exemption of 40,000. At least there is hope that Congress
understands that an
increase in the number of H-1B visas is simply good for U.S. business.
Immigration reform could help the economy grow--if done the right way.
Instead of getting bogged down in negotiations about amnesty and its various forms, conservatives should
drive the conversation toward STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) and
H1-B visas. These visas can help bring the worlds best and brightest
to America-- the kind of people who will start businesses, buy homes,
pay taxes, and contribute to society.
Conservatives can take a solutions-oriented lead in driving economic growth in Americas high-tech sector by pushing
through Rep. Darrell Issas (R-CA) Skills Visa Act independent of other legislation. The bill would make more H1-B visas
available to foreign graduates of U.S. universities with advanced STEM degrees who are already in America, allowing us to
capitalize on the investment we have made in educating these young people. By bringing this legislation to an immediate
floor vote and pressuring the Senate to do the same, House
At a briefing on immigration reform at Microsofts offices in Washington, DC, this week, some of the brightest minds in
the conservative movement discussed the tricky intersection between technology, immigration, economic growth, and
electoral politics.
Doug Holtz-Eakin, president of the conservative think tank American Action Forum, presented on the potential economic
we
are increasingly reliant on immigrants to keep our population--and
accordingly, our labor force, GDP, and economy--from declining.
benefits of immigration reform. With birth rates in America slipping toward the low levels of continental Europe,
Holtz-Eakin cautioned, however, that immigration reform must be designed to attract more skilled immigrants looking for
work. Among the industrialized nations, the U.S. grants comparatively few visas for economic reasons and by far the most
visas for family reunification reasons. For immigration reform to work, he argued, America should follow nations like the
U.K. in prioritizing work visas for immigrants with specialized knowledge.
Nowhere is this specialized knowledge more needed than in the STEM fields, where despite the Obama economys high
unemployment, there are more jobs available than qualified applicants.
According to BLS statistics, the economy creates 3 jobs requiring a B.S. in computer science for every one college student
graduating with a B.S. in computer science. These fields represent an opportunity for the brightest tech minds of the world
to help jumpstart our economy here in America.
Alex Nowrasteh, an immigration policy analyst at the CATO Institute, remarked that the system that many of our
ancestors used to enter the country in the early 20th century no longer exists. Finding a modern-day answer to Ellis Island
could help streamline legal immigration and fix our broken system.
Immigration reform also represents a ticking time bomb for the Republican Party. Whit Ayres, director of Resurgent
Republic, showed charts detailing the decreasing percentage of whites in the electorate, and the Hispanic communitys
increasing preference for Democrats. With non-Hispanic whites expected to become a minority of the population by 2040
and the Hispanic populations continued growth, Republicans simply must make inroads with nonwhite immigrants to
remain a national party.
On this point, it was encouraging to hear Dr. Barret Duke of The Ethics and Religious Liberty Commission of the Southern
Baptist Convention talk about his efforts to engage his membership in the immigration debate, and discuss the importance
of the evangelical communitys support to the success of broad immigration reform.
STEM visas may not be a magic bullet to drive minority voters to the GOP, but they represent a facet of immigration
reform that conservatives can embrace. The panelists at this event explained the multitude of reasons why these visas are
good, conservative policy, and by promoting a plan to reform immigration based around STEM, Republicans can show the
nonwhite community that they are serious about reaching out and welcoming them into the party.
IT guest
workers are on pace to make up 30-40% of the entire IT workforce, even when there
Norm Matloff, a professor of computer science at University of California at Davis, "mentioned that
are 50% more graduates than job openings in the STEM fields."
A Center for Immigration Studies report found that from 2007-2012, STEM
employment "averaged
only 105,000 jobs annually," while the U.S. admitted about 129,000
immigrants with STEM degrees. As Breitbart News reported, that means "the number of new
immigrants with STEM degrees admitted each year is by itself higher than the total growth in STEM employment." In
addition, "during that time period, the number of U.S.-born STEM graduates grew by an average of 115,00 a year."
Before House Majority Leader Eric Cantor's (R-VA) stunning defeat last week, Republicans and Democrats were signaling
that immigration legislation could come on the House floor before August. Cantor's
amnesty legislation, but it has not
continuing to
understands that an
increase in the number of H-1B visas is simply good for U.S. business.
Doesnt link to politics Republicans need to support H1B visas in order to include non-whites into their voting
base
Telford 13 - Erik Telford is Vice-President for Strategic Initiatives and Outreach. (Erik, Aug. 20, 2013, STEM visas
should be no-brainer in immigration debate, Town Hall.com,
http://townhall.com/columnists/eriktelford/2013/08/20/stem-visas-should-be-nobrainer-in-immigration-debaten1668505/page/full)//sb
STEM visas may not be a magic bullet to drive minority voters to the GOP, but they represent a
facet of immigration reform that conservatives can embrace . The panelists at
this event explained the multitude of reasons why these visas are good, conservative policy, and by promoting a plan to
reform immigration based around STEM, Republicans
Random
Gendered-Language
government can support research that goes straight to our understanding of difficult problems. Our oceans and
environment are facing a crisis. As carbon dioxide increases in our atmosphere, it simultaneously increases in our ocean.
This is making the seas more acidic, which has adverse ramifications for our ecosystems, communities, and maritime
industries like commercial fishing and tourism. Research into our oceans changing chemistry must be a priority. With
better information about ocean acidification, we can begin to understand how our marine resources and coastal
communities will be affected. This Committee has fought to increase coordination among federal agencies to monitor
ocean acidification, and will consider additional legislation during this congressional session. Current federal investments
in ocean observation are woefully inadequate and the self-inflicted budget wounds that Washington is grappling with do
not help. So we need to look for new and innovative ways to fund research that supports and improves the livelihoods of
those who rely on our oceans and also supports and improves the future of ocean research. Already the public-private
partnership model is being successfully applied to ocean research, and that is what two of our witnesses are here today to
discuss. Mr. Camerons ocean expeditions have captured Americas attention and given the ocean observation community
incredible samples that aide scientific research. He has 72 previous dives to his credit, but his dive to the Mariana Trench
is perhaps the most impressive. His expedition has potentially resulted in the discovery of several new species I dont
think many people can add that to their list of accomplishments. The one thing that might be more impressive is that Mr.
Cameron isnt satisfied with simply diving deeper than any other human. He is donating the submersible to make the
technological advances from his expeditions available for future scientific study. Given the general lack of research in
many areas of ocean observation, it is encouraging to see that private groups are forging ahead to fill in the scientific gaps.
The burden should not be on private institutions however. The federal government has a critical role to play. The first dive
to the Mariana Trench was piloted by a Navy Lieutenant more than 50 years ago. The government used to be at the
forefront of ocean observation and discovery. But fights to blindly reduce government spending have taken many victims,
including scientific research. Until we prioritize spending that will benefit future generations in this country, we will
continue to unnecessarily take victims. The private sector continues to make important investments in research to better
understand vital scientific issues. But the federal government has yet to receive the potential benefits of signing on to
public-private partnerships. These public-private partnerships present opportunities to advance scientific research,
despite our budget issues. Unfortunately, the governments unwillingness at this point to signal a serious commitment to
scientific research has turned off some potential partners. We all have a responsibility when it comes to conserving our
oceans for future generations. This responsibility begins with a commitment to federal investments in scientific research
that can help us understand how the oceans are changing. We are missing opportunities to gain crucial knowledge and
without it, we will not be able to stem the tide and reverse environmental problems that threaten ecosystems and the
economic backbones of our coastal communities.
Heithaus 13Associate Dean, College of Arts and Sciences at FIU (Michael, Statement
of Dr. Michael Heithaus Associate Dean, College of Arts and Sciences Before the Senate Commerce, Science and
Transportation Subcommittee on Oceans, Atmosphere, Fisheries and Coast Guard Subcommittee Hearing June 13,
2013 Aquarius Reef Base and Partnerships in Ocean Observations, http://government.fiu.edu/federal/dcdispatches/current/Statement-of-Dr-Michael-Heithaus.html//cc)
National Needs for Ocean Science and Education Coastal marine habitats such as coral reefs, seagrass beds and
mangroves support the highest marine biodiversity in the world. More than 500 million people worldwide depend upon
them for food (fisheries), storm protection, jobs and recreation. Their resources and services are worth an estimated 375
billion dollars each year to the global economy, yet they cover less than one percent of the Earth's surface. There is an
urgent need to develop scientifically based tools for conserving these habitats and where feasible restoring the ecosystem
services they deliver.to millions of people around the world. While the Deepwater Horizon Incident highlighted the
interconnectedness and susceptibility of marine ecosystems to human activities, global threats including climate change
and ocean acidification have the potential to cause even more wide-spread and profound damage. Coral reefs and other
coastal ecosystems that provide huge economic benefits are particularly susceptible to climate change and other human
caused stresses. The next decade will be pivotal in whether society can successfully chart a path to a sustainable ocean
future with thriving ecosystems and coastal human communities. Overcoming the threats facing ocean ecosystems while
ensuring that human needs for ocean resources are met requires a multidisciplinary approach that involves coastal ocean
observing systems to monitor ecosystems, in-ocean experiments to understand the nature of threats and to develop
solutions, development on new technologies for ocean observing and underwater industrial activities, high-value public
outreach to communicate the importance of ocean ecosystems and solutions to threats to their health, and K-12 education
programs and teacher development to inspire the next generation of STEM professionals and marine scientists. How do
we move forward to ensure that we, as a country, are able to accomplish this approach? The answer lies in diverse
partnerships, innovative technology, and human exploration and imagination. Aquarius Reef Base The Aquarius is the
only operating undersea laboratory, 43 feet long by 9 feet in diameter that houses six aquanauts on the ocean floor 60 feet
below the surface for 10-31 days at a time. The habitat, the worlds only operational marine habitat dedicated to science
and education, is a national treasure owned by NOAA. It has been sited in the Florida Keys Marine Sanctuary off Key
Largo for 20 years and has proven to be instrumental in the advancement of oceanic research, engaging Americas future
leaders through ocean-inspired learning, and serving as a catalyst for development of the next generation of marine and
extra planetary explorers and exploration technologies. Research at Aquarius has directly guided the stewardship of not
just the Florida Keys National marine Sanctuary, but other coral reef ecosystems both in the US and worldwide. An ocean
observatory Aquarius provides an ideal platform for long-term monitoring of coastal oceans and coral reefs. It will serve as
a permanent station, providing real-time and long-term data on the marine environment, which will serve as an earlywarning system for impacts to ocean ecosystems both locally and globally. Because it can provide stable power, has a
monitoring and experimentation on, among other issues, the impacts of ocean acidification on coral reefs, seagrass
meadows and a diverse array of ocean organisms. The position of Aquarius makes it particularly well-suited for studies of
ocean acidification because it sits between seagrass meadows, which remove CO2 that causes acidification, and the coral
reefs and open ocean that will be most impacted. The data generated by Aquarius will be critical for guiding policy and
conservation management to preserve these critical ecosystems and potentially mitigate acidification worldwide. Finally,
Aquarius Reef Base is, quite simply, the best platform for observing the condition of the Florida Keys National Marine
Sanctuary (FKNMS). The National Marine Sanctuaries Act was intended to identify, designate, and comprehensively
manage marine areas of national significance. National marine sanctuaries are established for the public's long-term
benefit, use, and enjoyment. As home to the largest continental coral reef ecosystem in the US, upon which the economy of
south Florida is based, the FKNMS was designated. Sanctuary status is designed, among other things, to: Enhance
resource protection through comprehensive and coordinated conservation and ecosystem management that complements
existing regulatory authorities. Support, promote, and coordinate scientific research on, and monitoring of, the marine
resources of the Florida Keys to improve management decision-making Enhance public awareness, understanding, and
the wise use of the marine environment through public interpretive, educational, and recreational programs. Aquarius is
superbly enabled to facilitate all of these goals of the FKNMS with a special emphasis on the unique interpretive and
educational programs it allows.
citizens to share in that experience through traditional media outlets as well as live over the internet, ignites the
imaginations of future scientists and educators like nothing else!
Mcguire evidence uses man-made McGuire 2002 (Bill, Professor of Geohazards at University College London and is one of Britain's leading
volcanologists, A Guide to the End of the World, p. 159-168//cc)
The Tunguska events pale into insignificance when compared to what happened off the coast of Mexico's Yucatan
Peninsula 65 million years earlier. Here a 10-kilometre asteroid or cometits exact nature is uncertaincrashed into the
sea and changed our world forever. Within microseconds, an unimaginable explosion released as much energy as billions
of Hiroshima bombs detonated simultaneously, creating a titanic fireball hotter than the Sun that vaporized the ocean and
excavated a crater 180 kilometres across in the crust beneath. Shock waves blasted upwards, tearing the atmosphere apart
and expelling over a hundred trillion tonnes of molten rock into space, later to fall across the globe. Almost immediately
an area bigger than Europe would have been flattened and scoured of virtually all life, while massive earthquakes rocked
the planet. The atmosphere would have howled and screamed as hypercanes five times more powerful than the strongest
hurricane ripped the landscape apart, joining forces with huge tsunamis to batter coastlines many thousands of kilometres
distant. Even worse was to follow. As the rock blasted into space began to rain down across the entire planet so the heat
generated by its re-entry into the atmosphere irradiated the surface, roasting animals alive as effectively as an oven grill,
and starting great conflagrations that laid waste the world's forests and grasslands and turned fully a quarter of all living
material to ashes. Even once the atmosphere and oceans had settled down, the crust had stopped shuddering, and the
bombardment of debris from space had ceased, more was to come. In the following weeks, smoke and dust in the
atmosphere blotted out the Sun and brought temperatures plunging by as much as 15 degrees Celsius. In the growing
gloom and bitter cold the surviving plant life wilted and died while those herbivorous dinosaurs that remained slowly
starved. global wildfires and acid rain from the huge quantities of sulphur injected into the atmosphere from rocks at the
site of the impact poured into the oceans, wiping out three-quarters of all marine life. After years of freezing conditions the
gloom following the so-called Chicxulub impact would eventually have lifted, only to reveal a terrible Sun blazing through
the tatters of an ozone layer torn apart by the chemical action of nitrous oxides concocted in the impact fireball: an
ultraviolet spring hard on the heels of the cosmic winter that fried many of the remaining species struggling precariously
to hang on to life. So enormously was the natural balance of the Earth upset that according to some it might have taken
hundreds of thousands of years for the post-Chicxulub Earth to return to what passes for normal. When it did the age of
the great reptiles was finally over, leaving the field to the primitive mammalsour distant ancestorsand opening an
evolutionary trail that culminated in the rise and rise of the human race. But could we go the same way1?To assess the
chances, let me look a little more closely at the destructive power of an impact event. At Tunguska, destruction of the
forests resulted partly from the great heat generated by the explosion, but mainly from the blast wave that literally pushed
the trees over and flattened them against the ground. The strength of this blast wave depends upon what is called the peak
overpressure, that is the difference between ambient pressure and the pressure of the blastwave. In order to cause severe
destruction this needs to exceed 4. pounds per square inch, an overpressure that results in wind speeds that arc over twice
the force of those found in a typical hurricane. Even though tiny compared with, say, the land area of London, the
enormous overpressures generated by a 50-metre object exploding low overhead would cause damage comparable with
the detonation of a very large nuclear device, obliterating almost everything within the city's orbital motorway. Increase
the size of the impactor and things get very much worse. An asteroid just 250 metres across would be sufficiently massive
to penetrate the atmosphere; blasting a crater 5 kilometres across and devastating an area of around 10,000 square
kilometres that is about the size of the English county of Kent. Raise the size of the asteroid again, to 650 metres, and
the area of devastation increases to 1oo,ooo square kilometresabout the size of the US state of South Carolina. Terrible
as this all sounds, however, even this would be insufficient to affect the entire planet. In order to do this, an impactor has
to be at least 1 kilometre across, if it is one of the speedier comets, or 1.5 kilometres in diameter if it is one of the slower
asteroids. A collision with one of these objects would generate a blast equivalent to 100.000 million tonnes of TNT, which
would obliterate an area 500 kilometres across say the size of Englandand kill perhaps tens of millions of people,
depending upon the location of the impact. The real problems for the rest of the world would start soon after as dust in the
atmosphere began to darken the skies and reduce the level of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface. By comparison with
the huge Chicxulub impact it is certain that this would result in a dramatic lowering of global temperatures but there is no
consensus on just how bad this would be. The chances are, however, that an impact of this size would result in appalling
weather conditions and crop failures at least as severe as those of the 'Year Without a Summer'; 'which followed the 1815
eruption of Indonesia's Tambora volcano. As mentioned in the last chapter, with even developed countries holding
sufficient food to feed their populations for only a month or so, large-scale crop failures across the planet would
undoubtedly have serious implications. Rationing, at the very least, is likely to be die result, with a worst case scenario
seeing widespread disruption of the social and economic fabric of developed nations. In the developing world, where
subsistence farming remains very much the norm, wide-spread failure of the harvests could be expected to translate
rapidly into famine on a biblical scale Some researchers forecast that as many as a quarter of the world's population could
succumb to a deteriorating climate following an impact in the 11.5 kilometre size range. Anything bigger and
photosynthesis stops completely. Once this happens the issue is not how many people will die but whether the human race
will survive. One estimate proposes that the impact of an object just 4- kilometres across will inject sufficient quantities of
dust and debris into the atmosphere to reduce light levels below those required for photosynthesis. Because we still don't
know how many threatening objects there are out there nor whether they come in bursts, it is almost impossible to say
when the Earth will be struck by an asteroid or comet that will bring to an end the world as we know it. Impact events on
the scale of the Chicxulub dinosaur-killer only occur every several tens of millions of years, so in any single year the
chances of such an impact arc tiny. Any optimism is, however, tempered by the fact that should the Shiva hypothesis be
truethe next swarm of Oort Cloud comets could even now be speeding towards the inner solar system. Failing this, we
may have only another thousand years to wait until the return of the dense part of the Taurid Complex and another
asteroidal assault. Even if it turns out that there is no coherence in the timing of impact events, there is statistically no
reason why we cannot be hit next year by an undiscovered Earth-Crossing Asteroid or by a long-period comet that has
never before visited the inner solar system. Small impactors on the Tunguska scale struck Brazil in 1931 and Greenland in
1097, and will continue to pound the Earth every few decades. Because their destructive footprint is tiny compared to the
surface area of the Earth, however, it would be very bad luck if one of these hit an urban area, and most will fall in the sea.
Although this might seem a good thing, a larger object striking the ocean would be very bad news indeed. A 500-metre
rock landing in the Pacific Basin, for example, would generate gigantic tsunamis that would obliterate just about every
coastal city in the hemisphere within 20 hours or so. The chances of this happening arc actually quite highabout 1 per
cent in the next 100 yearsand the death toll could well top half a billion. Estimates of the frequencies of impacts in the 1
kilometre size bracket range from 100,000 to 333,000 years, but the youngest impact crater produced by an object of this
size is almost a million years old. Of course, there could have been several large impacts since, which cither occurred in the
sea or have not yet been located on land. Fair enough you might say, the threat is clearly out there, but is there anything on
the horizon? Actually, there is. Some 13 asteroidsmostly quite smallcould feasibly collide with the Earth before 2100.
Realistically, however, this is not very likely as the probabilities involved arc not much greater than 1 in io;ooo although
bear in mind that these arc pretty good odds. If this was the probability of winning the lottery then my local agent would
be getting considerably more of my business. There is another enigmatic object out there, however. Of the 40 or so Near
Earth Asteroids spotted last year, one designated 2000SG344looked at first as if it might actually hit us. The object is
small, in the 100 metre size range, and its orbit is so similar to the earth that some have suggested it may be a booster
rocket that sped one of the Apollo spacecraft on its way to the Moon. Whether
object will not approach closer to the Earth than around five million kilometres. A few years ago, scientists came up with
an index to measure the impact threat, known as the Torino Scale, and so far 2000SG2144 is the first object to register a
value greater than zero. The potential impactor originally scraped into category 1, events meriting careful monitoring.
Let's hope that many years elapse before we encounter the first category 10 eventdefined as 'a certain collision with
global consequences'. Given sufficient warning we might be able to nudge an asteroid out of the Earth's way but due to its
size, high velocity, and sudden appearance, wc could do little about a new comet heading in our direction.
Brownfield evidence uses mankind Brownfield 4 (Roger, Gaishiled Project, A Million Miles a Day, Presentation at the Planetary Defense
Conference: Protecting Earth From Asteroids, 2-26, http://www.aiaa.org/content.cfm?pageid=406&gTable= Paper&g
ID=17092//cc)
Once upon a time there was a Big Bang... Cause/Effect - Cause/Effect -Cause/Effect and fifteen billion years later we have
this chunk of cosmos weighing in at a couple trillion tons, screaming around our solar system, somewhere, hair on fire at a
million miles a day, on course to the subjective center of the universe. Left to its own fate -- on impact -- this Rock would
release the kinetic energy equivalent of one Hiroshima bomb for every man, woman and child on the planet. Game Over...
No Joy... Restart Darwin's clock again. No happy ever after. There is simply no empirical logic or rational argument that
this could not be the next asteroid to strike Earth or that the next impact event could not happen tomorrow. And as things
stand we can only imagine a handful of dubious undeveloped and untested possibilities to defend ourselves with. There is
nothing we have actually prepared to do in response to this event. From an empirical analysis of the dynamics and
geometry of our solar system we have come to understand that the prospect of an Earth/asteroid collision is a primal and
ongoing process: a solar systemic status quo that is unlikely to change in the lifetime of our species. And that the
distribution of these impact events is completely aperiodic and random both their occasion and magnitude. From
abstracted averaged relative frequency estimates we can project that over the course of the next 500 million years in the
life of Earth we will be struck by approximately 100,000 asteroids that will warrant our consideration. Most will be
relatively small, 100 to 1,000 meters in diameter, millions of tons: only major city to nation killers. 1,000 or so will be over
1,000 meters, billions of tons and large enough to do catastrophic and potentially irrecoverable damage to the entire
planet: call them global civilization killers. Of those, 10 will be over 10,000 meters, trillions of tons and on impact massive
enough to bring our species to extinction. All these asteroids are out there, orbiting the sun... now. Nothing more needs to
happen for them to go on to eventually strike Earth. As individual and discrete impact events they are all, already, events
in progress. By any definition this is an existential threat. Fortunately, our current technological potential has evolved to a
point that if we choose to do so we can deflect all these impact events. Given a correspondingly evolved political will, we
can effectively manage this threat to the survival of our species. But since these events are aperiodic and random we can
not simply trust that any enlightened political consensus will someday develop spontaneously before we are faced with
responding to this reality. If we would expect to deflect the next impact event a deliberate, rational punctuated equilibrium
of our sociopolitical will is required now. The averaged relative frequency analysis described above or any derived
random-chance statistical probabilistic assessment, in itself, would be strategically meaningless and irrelevant (just how
many extinction level events can we afford?). However, they can be indirectly constructive in illuminating the existential
and perpetual nature of the threat. Given that the most critically relevant strategic increment can be narrowly defined as
the next evergreen 100 years, it would follow that the strategic expression of the existent risk of asteroid impact in its
most likely rational postulate would be for one and only one large asteroid to be on course to strike Earth in the next 100
years... If we do eventually choose to respond to this threat, clearly there is no way we can address the dynamics or
geometry of the Solar System so there is no systemic objective we can respond to here. We can not address 'The Threat of
Asteroid Impact' as such. We can only respond to this threat as these objects present themselves as discrete impending
impactors: one Rock at a time. This leaves us the only aspect of this threat we can respond to - a rationally manifest firstorder and evergreen tactical definition of this threat Which unfortunately, as a product of random-chance, includes the
prospect for our extinction. Asteroid impact is a randomly occurring existential condition. Therefore the next large
asteroid impact event is inevitable and expectable, and that inevitable expectability begins... now. The Probability is Low:
As a risk assessment: The probability for large asteroid impact in the next century is low... is irrelevant. Say the daily
random-chance probability for large asteroid impact is one in a billion. And because in any given increment of time the
chance that an impact will not happen is far greater than it will, the chance that it will happen can be characterized as low.
However, if we look out the window and see a large asteroid 10 seconds away from impact the daily random-chance
probability for large asteroid impact will still be one in a billion... and we must therefore still characterize the chance of
impact as low... When the characterization of the probability can be seen to be tested to be in contradiction with the
manifest empirical fact of the assessed event it then must also then be seen to be empirically false. Worse: true only in the
abstract and as such, misleading. If we are going to respond to these events, when it counts the most, this method of
assessment will not be relevant. If information can be seen to be irrelevant ex post it must also be seen to be irrelevant ex
ante. This assessment is meaningless. Consider the current threat of the asteroid Apophis. With its discovery we abandon
the average relative frequency derived annual random-chance probability for a rational conditional-empiric probabilistic
threat assessment derived from observing its speed, vector and position relative to Earth. The collective result is expressed
in probabilistic terms due only to our inability to meter these characteristics accurately enough to be precise to the point of
potential impact. As Apophis approaches this point the observations and resulting metrics become increasingly accurate
and the conditional-empiric probability will process to resolve into a certainty of either zero or one. Whereas the randomchance probability is unaffected by whether Apophis strikes Earth or not. These two probabilistic perceptions are
inherently incompatible and unique, discrete and nonconstructive to each other. The only thing these two methodologies
have in common is a nomenclature: probability/likelihood/chance, which has unfortunately served only to obfuscate their
semantic value making one seem rational and relevant when it can never be so. However, merely because they are non
rational does not make averaged relative frequency derived random-chance probabilities worthless. They do have some
psychological merit and enable some intuitive 'old lady' wisdom. When we consider the occasion of some unpredictable
event that may cause us harm and there is nothing tangible we can do to deflect or forestall or stop it from happening, we
still want to know just how much we should worry about it. We need to quantify chance not only in in case we can prepare
or safeguard or insure against potentially recoverable consequences after the fact, but to also meter how much hope we
should invest against the occasion of such events. Hope mitigates fear. And when there is nothing else we can do about it
only then is it wise to mitigate fear... The probability for large asteroid impact in the next century is low does serve that
purpose. It is a metric for hope. Fifty years ago, before we began to master space and tangibly responding this threat of
asteroid impact became a real course of action, hope was all we could do. Today we can do much more. Today we can hold
our hope for when the time comes to successfully deflect. And then, after we have done everything we can possibly do to
deflect it, there will still be of room for hope... and good luck. Until then, when anyone says that the probability for large
asteroid impact or Extinction by NEO is low they are offering nothing more than a metric for hope -- not rational
information constructive to metering a response or making a decision to do so or not. Here, the probability is in service to
illusion... slight-of-mind... and is nothing more than comfort-food-for-thought. We still need such probabilistic comfortfood-for-thought for things like Rogue Black Holes and Gamma Bursts where we are still imaginably defenseless. But if we
expect to punctuate the political equilibrium and develop the capability to effectively respond to the existential threat of
asteroid impact, we must allow a rational and warranted fear of extinction by asteroid impact to drive a rational and
warranted response to this threat forward. Forward into the hands and minds of those who have the aptitude and training
and experience in using fear to handle fearful things. Fear focuses the mind... Fear reminds us that there are dire negative
consequences if we fail. If we are going to concern ourselves with mounting a response and deflecting these objects and no
longer tolerate and suffer this threat, would it not be far more relevant to know in which century the probability for large
asteroid impact was high and far more effective to orient our thinking from when it will not to when it will occur? But this
probabilistic perspective can not even pretend to approach providing us with that kind of information. As such, it can
never be strategically relevant: contribute to the conduct of implementing a response. The same can be said when such
abstract reasoning is used to forward the notion that the next asteroid to strike Earth will likely be small... This leads us to
little more than a hope based Planetary Defense. If we are ever to respond to this threat well then we must begin thinking
about this threat better. Large Asteroid Impacts Are Random Events. Expect the next one to occur at any time.
case scenario, 24/7/52... forever. Doing anything less by design, would be like planning to bring a knife to a gunfight. If
we expect our technological abilities to develop and continue to shape our nascent and still politically tacit will to respond
to this threat: if we are to build an effective Planetary Defense, we must abandon the debilitating sophistry of The
probability for large asteroid impact in the next century is low in favor of rational random inevitable expectation... and its
attendant fear.
Impacts
The term man to mean human beings is sexist and
discriminatory
Word reference No date (http://www.wordreference.com/definition/manned)//sb
The use of man to mean human beings in general is often considered sexist.
Gender-neutral alternatives include human beings, people and
humankind. The verb to man can also often be replaced by to staff, to operate and related words.
lakes, and
Oh, man, where did I leave my keys? Theres manning the tables
The most insidious, from my observations, is the popular expression you guys. People like to tell me its a
regional term. But Ive heard it in Chapel Hill, New York, Chicago, San Francisco, and Montreal. Ive seen it in print in
national magazines, newsletters, and books. Ive heard it on television and in films. And even if it were regional, that
doesnt make it right. I bet we can all think of a lot of practices in our home regions wed like to get rid of.
Try making up a female-based generic, such as freshwoman, and using it with a group of male students, or calling your
male boss chairwoman. Then again, dont. There
men in the flesh are privileged over women . Some say that language merely reflects
reality and so we should ignore our words and work on changing the unequal gender arrangements that are reflected in
our language. Well, yes, in part. Its no accident that man is the anchor in our language and woman is not. And of
course we
should make social change all over the place. But the words we use can
also reinforce current realities when they are sexist (or racist or heterosexist).
Words are the tools of thought. We can use words to maintain the status quo or to
think in new wayswhich in turn creates the possibility of a new
reality. It makes a difference if I think of myself as a girl or a woman; it makes a difference if we talk about
Negroes or African Americans. Do we want a truly inclusive language or one that just pretends?
For a moment, imagine a worldas the philosopher Douglas R. Hofstadter did in his 1986 satire on sexist language
where people used generics based on race rather than gender. In that world, people would use freshwhite, chairwhite,
and, yes, you whiteys. People of color would hear all whites are created equal and be expected to feel included. In an
addendum to his article, Hofstadter says that he wrote A Person Paper on Purity in Language to shock readers: Only by
substituting white for man does it become easy to see the pervasiveness of male-based generics and to recognize that
using man for all human beings is wrong. Yet, women are expected to feel flattered by freshman, chairman, and you
guys.
And why do so many women cling to freshman, chairman, and you guys?
I think its because women want to be included in the term that refers to the higher-status group: men. But while being
labeled one of the guys might make women feel included, its only a guise of inclusion, not the reality. If women were
really included we wouldnt have to disappear into the word guys. At the same time that women in my classes throw
around you guys even here in the southern United States, where yall is an alternativethey call themselves girls.
Im not sure if this has gotten worse over the years or Ive just noticed it more. When Iwas an undergraduate in the early to
mid 1970s, wewanted to bewomen. Whowould take us seriously at college or atwork if we were girls? To many of my
students today, woman is old enough to be over the hill. A girl is youthful and thus more attractive to men than a
woman. Since they like the term so much, I suggest that we renameWomens Studies Girls Studies. And since the
Womens Center on campus provides services for them, why not call it The Girls Center. They laugh. Girls sounds
ridiculous, they say. The students begin to see that girlas a label for twenty-one-year-oldsis infantilizing, not
flattering.