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Company Name:

Student Name (s)______________

1. Financial Statements and Ratios, including analysis


Possible Scores
Professor's Comments:

2. Ratio comparison and analysis


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Professor's Comments:

3. DuPont Analysis and Interpretation (3 Years)


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Professor's Comments:

4. Value Line Spread sheet and analysis


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Professor's Comments:

5. Intrinsic Value (Forecasting) Model and Analysis with ML, OPT., PESS

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Professor's Comments:

6. Graham Model

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7. Buffett Model and Analysis with Interpretation ...


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Professor's Comments:

8. ROE Model and Analysis with Interpretation


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9. Final Analysis. Is it consistent with the resto of your analysis and inte

Does the logic flow from your previous discussion and wha
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Professor's Comments:

135 PROJECT GRADE SHEET

mpany Name:

udent Name (s)_______________________________________________________

ding analysis
2

Your Score
10

10

..
4

10

12

15

15

15

15

Years)..
1

.
4

10

12

d Analysis with ML, OPT., PESS.....

10

10

10

10

10

10

retation ....
2

ation .
2

resto of your analysis and interpretation?

r previous discussion and what is your recommendation?


4

12

16

20

TOTAL

20

100

Intel Corporation

An Analysis of Intel

Presented by: St

About I

Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits for computing and comm
desktops, servers, workstations, storage products, embedded applications, communications products, consum
integrate its core processing functionalities with other system components, such as graphics, audio, and vide
microprocessor and input, display, and storage devices, including keyboard, mouse, monitor, hard drive, and
and that has connectors for attaching devices to the bus; and wired and wireless connectivity products consis
networks. Further, the company provides NAND flash memory products primarily used in portable memory st
operating systems, middleware, and tools used to develop, run, and manage various enterprise, consumer, e
applications. Additionally, it develops computing platforms, which are integrated hardware and software com
principally to original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, PC components and other pro
strategic alliance with Scientific Conservation Inc. Intel Corporation was founded in 1968 and is based in San

Mission Statement: This decade we will create and extend computing technology to connect and enrich the li
earth.
History: Intel, founded in 1968 to build computer memory products, introduced the world's first microprocess
employee base of 82,500 (as of 2010) with about 55% of those employees living in the United States.

Objectives:
Grow PC and Datacenter business with new users and uses
Extend Intel Solutions to win in adjacent market segments
Create a continuum of secure, personal computing experiences
Care for our people, the planet, and inspire the next generation

Board of Directors

CEO: Paul S. Otellini is president and chief executive officer of Intel Corporation. He became the company's fi
succeeding Craig R. Barrett. Otellini previously had served as Intel's president and chief operating officer, pos
the same year he was elected to Intel's board of directors.

Executive Vice President: Andy D. Bryant is executive vice president, Technology, Manufacturing and Enterpri
administrative officer of Intel Corporation. He is responsible for technology development and manufacturing,
human resources, information technology and e-business functions and activities worldwide.

Executive Vice President: Sean Maloney is executive vice president and Chairman of Intel China. Pr
Maloney served as co general manager of the Intel Architecture Group since September 2009. He h
1982.

Executive Vice President: David (Dadi) Perlmutter is executive vice president and general manager
Intel Architecture Group (IAG). He is responsible for Intel's platform solutions for all computing segm
centers, desktops, laptops, netbooks, handhelds, embedded devices, and consumer electronics.

Executive Vice President: Arvind Sodhani is executive vice president of Intel Corporation and presid
Sodhani was elected vice president by the board of directors in May 1990, served as senior vice pre
2007 and was promoted to executive vice president in December 2007.

alysis of Intel Stock Potential

esented by: Student Name

About Intel

s for computing and communications industries worldwide. It offers microprocessor products used in notebooks, netbooks,
nications products, consumer electronics devices, and handhelds. The company also provides system on chip products that
graphics, audio, and video, onto a single chip. In addition, it offers chipset products that send data between the
, monitor, hard drive, and CD, DVD, or Blu-ray drives; motherboards designed for desktop, server, and workstation platform
nnectivity products consisting of network adapters and embedded wireless cards used to translate and transmit data acros
ed in portable memory storage devices, digital camera memory cards, and solid-state drives; software products comprisin
s enterprise, consumer, embedded, and handheld devices; and software development tools that enable the creation of
rdware and software computing technologies designed to offer an optimized solution. The company sells its products
components and other products users, and other manufacturers of industrial and communications equipment. It has a
1968 and is based in Santa Clara, California.

connect and enrich the lives of every person on

world's first microprocessor in 1971. Intel has an


the United States.

Values:
Customer orientation
Results orientation
Great place to work
Quality Discipline

became the company's fifth CEO on May 18, 2005,


chief operating officer, positions he held since 2002,

anufacturing and Enterprise Services, and chief


ment and manufacturing, financial operations,
orldwide.

irman of Intel China. Prior to his current role,


e September 2009. He has been with Intel since

t and general manager of Intel Corporation's


s for all computing segments including data
onsumer electronics.

Corporation and president of Intel Capital.


erved as senior vice president from 2005 to

used in notebooks, netbooks,


s system on chip products that
d data between the
erver, and workstation platforms,
nslate and transmit data across
s; software products comprising
that enable the creation of
ompany sells its products
ations equipment. It has a

Intel Corporation
RATIOS

Short term solvency ratios


Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Cash Ratio
Net Working Capital to Current Liabilities
Asset Utilization or Turnover ratios
Average Collection Period
Inventory Turnover Ratios
Receivable Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage ratios
Total Debt Ratio (TD/TA)
Debt/Equity
Equity Ratio (TE/TA)
Long-term Debt Ratio (LTD/TA)
Times Interest Earned Ratio (EBIT/TI) there are no interest payments
Profitability ratios
Gross Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin
ROA (NI/TA)
ROE (NI/TE)
ROEWGW (NI/TEWGW): This accounts for Goodwill
Market value ratios
Price/Earnings Ratio

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

2010

2009

3.3892
2.9864
2.1248
2.3892

2.7871
2.4005
1.7720
1.7871

23.6600
11.6111
15.2156
2.4372
0.6904

23.2949
11.9683
15.4540
2.0393
0.6616

0.2177
0.2783
0.7823
0.0329
0.0000

0.2145
0.2731
0.7855
0.0386
0.0000

0.6531
0.2628
0.1814
0.2319
0.2102

0.5569
0.1244
0.0823
0.1048
0.0929

10.1000

22.2000

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

Balance Sheet
Three Years Ended December 25, 2010
(In Millions, Except Par Value)
Assets
Current Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Short-term investments
Trading assets
Accounts receivable, net of allowance for doubtful accounts
($28 in 2010, $19 in 2009, and $17 in 2008)
Inventories
Deferred tax assets
Other current assets
Total current assets
Property, plant and equipment, net
Marketable equity securities
Other long-term investments
Goodwill
Other long-term assets
Total assets
Liabilities and stockholders' equity
Current Liabilities
Short-term debt
Accounts payable
Accrued compensation and benefits
Accrued advertising
Deferred income on shipments to distributors
Other accrued liabilities
Income tax payable
Total current liabilities
Long-term income taxes payable
Long-term debt
Long-term deferred tax liabilities
Other long-term liabilities
Total Liabilities
Stockholders' equity:
Preferred stock, $0.001 par value, 50 shares authorized; none issued
Common stock, $0.001 par value, 10,000 shares authorized; 5,581
issued and 5,511 outstanding (5,523 issued and outstanding in 2009)
(5,562 issued and outstanding in 2008)and capital in excess of par
value
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
Retained earnings
Total stockholders' equity
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

2010

2009

5,498
11,294
5,093
2,867

17%
36%
16%
9%

3,987
5,285
4,648
2,273

19%
25%
22%
11%

3,757
1,488
1,614
31,611
17,899
1,008
3,026
4,531
5,111
63,186

12%
5%
5%
50%
28%
2%
5%
7%
8%

2,935
1,216
813
21,157
17,225
773
4,179
4,421
5,340
53,095

14%
6%
4%
40%
32%
1%
8%
8%
10%

38
2,290
2,888
1,007
622
2,482
0
9,327
190
2,077
926
1,236
13,756

172
1,883
2,448
773
593
1,722
0
7,591
193
2,049
555
1,003
11,391

16,178
333
32,919
49,430
63,186

14,993
393
26,318
41,704
53,095

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Income Statement
Three Years Ended December 25, 2010
(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)
Net revenue
Cost of sales
Gross margin
Research and development
Marketing , general and administrative
Restructuring and asset impairment charges
Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles
Operating expenses
Operating income (EBIT)
Gains (losses) on equity method investments, net
Gains (losses) on other equity investments, net
Interest and other, net
Income before taxes
Provision for taxes
Net income
Basic earnings per common share
Diluted earnings per common share
Weighted average common shares outstanding:
Basic
Diluted

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

2010
43,623
15,132
28,491
6,576
6,309
0
18
12,903
15,588
117
231
109
16,045
4,581
11,464

2009
35,127
15,566
19,561
5,653
7,931
231
35
13,850
5,711
(147)
(23)
163
5,704
1,335
4,369

2.06
2.01

0.79
0.77

5,555
5,696

5,557
5,645

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

RATIOS
2008
2.5417
2.0628
1.4844
1.5417

16.3976
10.0390
21.9544
2.1387
0.7447

0.2165
0.2763
0.7835
0.0235
0.0000

0.5546
0.1408
0.1049
0.1338
0.1167
21.7000

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

CIAL STATEMENTS

Balance Sheet
2008

3,350
5,331
3,162
1,712
3,744
1,390
1,182
19,871
17,574
352
2,924
3,932
5,819
50,472

102
2,390
2,015
807
463
1,901
140
7,818
736
1,185
46
1,141
10,926

13,402
(393)
26,537
39,546
50,472

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

come Statement
2008
37,586
16,742
20,844
5,722
5,452
710
6
11,890
8,954
(1,380)
(376)
488
7,686
2,394
5,292
0.93
0.92
5,663
5,748

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation
RATIO COMPARISON

Solvency
Current Ratio
Quick Ratio (Acid Test)
Cash Ratio
Net. Capital to Current Liabilities

Current Assets/Current Liabilities


Current Assets - Inventory/Current Liabilities
Cash/Current Liabilities
Networking Capital/Current Liabilities
Cash as a % of Current Assets

Efficiency
Average Collection Period
Inventory Turnover
Receivable Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover

Financial Leverage Ratios


Total Debt Ratio
Debt-Equity Ratio
Equity Ratio
Long-term Debt Ratio (LTD/TA)
Times Interest Earned

Profitability
Gross Profit Margin (GPM)
Net Profit Margin (NPM)
Return on Total Assets (ROA)
Return on Equity (ROE)

Accounts Receivable/(Sales / 360)


Total Revenues/Inventory
Total Revenues/Accounts Receivable
Total Revenues/Fixed Assets
Total Revenues/Total Assets

Total Debt/Total Assets


Total Debt/Total Equity
Total Equity/Total Assets
Long-term Debt / Total Assets
EBIT/Total Interest Payments

Gross Profits/Net Operating Income


Net Profits/Net Operating Income
Net Income/Total Assets
RETURN ON EQUITY

2008

2009

2010

2.54
2.06
1.48
1.54
0.17

2.79
3.39
2.40
2.99
1.77
2.12
1.79
2.39
0.19 ### 0.17

AMD

CrossSectiona
l

TimeSeries

2.15
1.77
0.38
1.15
0.17

Good
Good
Good
Good
Good

OK
OK
OK
OK
Variable

16.40
10.04
21.95
2.14
0.74

23.29
11.97
15.45
2.04
0.66

23.66
11.61
15.22
2.44
0.69

53.66
10.28
6.71
9.28
1.31

Good
Good
Good
Bad
Bad

GOOD
Variable
Variable
Variable
Variable

0.22
0.28
0.78
0.02
0.00

0.21
0.27
0.79
0.04
0.00

0.22
0.28
0.78
0.03
0.00

0.80
3.90
0.20
0.44
4.88

Good
Good
Bad
Good
Good

OK
OK
Variable
Variable
Warning

0.55
0.14
0.10
0.13

0.56
0.12
0.08
0.10

0.65
0.26
0.18
0.23

0.46
0.07
0.09
0.46

Good
Good
Good
Bad

OK
Variable
Variable
Variable

These are restated ratios from the Financial Statements page. Make sure they are consistent.

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation
VALUE LINE

Value Line Data


Symbol: INTC

Sales per share


Cash flow per share
Earnings per share
Dividends per share
Capital Spending per share
Book value per share
Common Shares Outstanding
Average annual P/E ratio
Average price to earnings ratio
Average annual dividend yield
Sales ($mill)
Operating margin
Depreciation ($Mill)
Net profit ($Mill)
Income tax rate (%)
Net profit margin (%)
Working Capital ($Mill)
Long-term Debt ($Mill)
Shareholder equity ($Mill)
Return on equity
Average return on equity
ACRR = AVERAGE Compounded Rate of Return
Dividend payout ratio
Minimum P/E Ratio
Maximum P/E Ratio

ACRR
3.8%
5.8%
7.9%
14.5%
-0.8%
8.0%

Beta:

2005

2006

2007

$6.56
$2.20
$1.40
$0.32
$0.98
$6.11
5919.0
17.8

$6.14
$1.68
$0.86
$0.41
$1.00
$6.37
5766.0
23.3

$6.59
$1.98
$1.18
$0.45
$0.86
$7.35
5818.0
19.9

1.3%
$38,826
42.7%
$4,345.0
$8,664.0
31.3%
22.3%
$11,960.0
$2,106.0
$36,182.0
24%

2.0%
$35,382
30.8%
$4,654.0
$5,044.0
28.6%
14.3%
$9,766.0
$1,848.0
$36,752.0
14%

1.9%
$38,334
34.7%
$4,546.0
$6,976.0
23.9%
18.2%
$15,314.0
$1,980.0
$24,762.0
28%

23%

46%

38%

19.2
2.4%
1.5%
6.2%
3.7%

6.4%
18.92%

10.1
23.3

Calculations

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

2005

2006

2007

ACGR
Price per share
$24.92
$20.04
$23.48
Owners cash flow
8.6%
$7,208.38
$3,932.00
$6,518.52
Annual cash flow growth rate
-45.45%
65.78%
5 year average cash flow growth
25.9%
Annual sales growth
-8.82%
8.30%
5 year average sales growth
3.0%
VALUE ADDED
($6.34)
$3.02
Average value added
($2.05)
Owners cash flow per share
$1.22
$0.68
$1.12
SHARE PRICE/BOOK VALUE
4.08
3.15
3.19
The first 35 rows are simply restated from your Value Line Data Sheet. These numbers must be accurately trans
to provide relevant information. Make sure all information is consistent with what is found on the Financial State
the Ratio Comparison page.

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

VALUE LINE

alue Line Data


1.00

Price: $21.49

2008

2009

2010

$6.76
$1.74
$0.92
$0.55
$0.93
$7.03
5562.0
21.7

$6.36
$1.65
$0.77
$0.56
$0.82
$7.55
5523.0
22.2

$7.92
$2.92
$2.05
$0.63
$0.94
$8.97
5511.0
10.1

2.8%
$37,586
37.3%
$4,360.0
$5,292.0
31.1%
14.1%
$12,053.0
$1,886.0
$39,088.0
14%

3.3%
$35,127
29.8%
$4,744.0
$4,369.0
23.4%
12.4%
$13,566.0
$2,049.0
$41,704.0
10%

3.0%
$43,623
45.9%
$4,398.0
$11,692.0
28.7%
26.8%
$22,284.0
$2,077.0
$49,430.0
24%

59%

71%

30%

Calculations

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

2008

2009

2010

$19.96
$4,479.34
-31.28%

$17.09
$4,584.14
2.34%

$20.71
$10,909.66
137.99%

-1.93%

-6.58%

24.26%

($4.83)

($3.81)

$1.68

$0.81
$0.83
2.84
2.26
Sheet. These numbers must be accurately transcribed in order
nsistent with what is found on the Financial Statements and

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

$1.98
2.31

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation

FORECAST - MOST LIKE

INTRINSIC VALUATION MODEL - TWO-STAGE EARNING

2011

2012

Prior year cash flows (mil)


10-year growth rate (.00)
Cash flow
Discount Rate (.00)
Discount Factor (mult.)
Discounted value per annum
Sum of present value of cash flows

10,909
25.87%
13,732
0.15
0.869565
11,941
$185,409

Residual value
Cash flow in year 10
Growth rate (.00) (g)
Cash flow in year 11
Capitalization rate (k-g)
Value at end of year 10
Discount factor year 10

$108,934
0.04
$113,292
0.11
$1,029,923
0.24718

Present value of residual


Total Intrinsic Value (mil)
Number of shares (mil)
Intrinsic value per share
Intrinsic / Market
Input discount & growth rates
First 10 year growth rate
Growth Rate Year 11 in perpetuity
Discount rate
Owners cash flow (mil)

$254,581
$439,990
5,511
$79.84
3.72

25.87%
0.04
0.15
$10,909.66

13,732
25.87%
17,285
0.15
0.756144
13,070

2013
##
17,285
25.87%
21,757
0.15
0.657516
14,306

2014
##
21,757
25.87%
27,387
0.15
0.571753
15,658

4
3
2
1
0
-1

-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7

This page is all pre-determined by the information from the Value Line page. The only thing you may have to change

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

T - MOST LIKELY

O-STAGE EARNINGS GROWTH PROJECTIONS

2015
##
27,387
25.87%
34,473
0.15
0.497177
17,139

2016
##

2017
##

34,473
25.87%
43,392
0.15
0.432328
18,760

43,392
25.87%
54,620
0.15
0.375937
20,534

2018
##
54,620
25.87%
68,752
0.15
0.326902
22,475

2019
##
68,752
25.87%
86,542
0.15
0.284262
24,601

2020
86,542
25.87%
108,934
0.15
0.247185
26,927

Annual sales growth


VALUE ADDED
Owners cash flow per
share

ou may have to change is the growth rate for the three different scenarios.

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation

FORECAST - PESSIMIST

INTRINSIC VALUATION MODEL - TWO-STAGE EARNING

2011
Prior year cash flows (mil)
10-year growth rate (.00)
Cash flow
Discount Rate (.00)
Discount Factor (mult.)
Discounted value per annum
Sum of present value of cash flows

10,909
20.87%
13,186
0.15
0.869565
11,466
$144,953

Residual value
Cash flow in year 10
Growth rate (.00) (g)
Cash flow in year 11
Capitalization rate (k-g)
Value at end of year 10
Discount factor year 10

$72,633
0.04
$75,538
0.11
$686,711
0.24718

Present value of residual


Market value (mil)
Number of shares (mil)
Intrinsic value per share
Intrinsic / Market
Input discount & growth rates
First 10 year growth rate
2nd period growth rate
Discount rate
Owners cash flow (mil)

$169,745
$314,697
5,511
$57.10
2.66

20.87%
0.04
0.15
$10,909.66

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

2012
13,186
20.87%
15,939
0.15
0.756144
12,052

2013
##
15,939
20.87%
19,266
0.15
0.657516
12,668

2014
##
19,266
20.87%
23,288
0.15
0.571753
13,315

4
3
2
1
0
-1

-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

T - PESSIMISTIC

O-STAGE EARNINGS GROWTH PROJECTIONS

2015
##
23,288
20.87%
28,149
0.15
0.497177
13,995

2016
##

2017
##

28,149
20.87%
34,025
0.15
0.432328
14,710

34,025
20.87%
41,127
0.15
0.375937
15,461

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

2018
##
41,127
20.87%
49,712
0.15
0.326902
16,251

2019
##
49,712
20.87%
60,090
0.15
0.284262
17,081

2020
60,090
20.87%
72,633
0.15
0.247185
17,954

Annual sales growth


VALUE ADDED
Owners cash flow per
share

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation

FORECAST - OPTIMIST

INTRINSIC VALUATION MODEL - TWO-STAGE EARNING

2011

2012

Prior year cash flows (mil)


10-year growth rate (.00)
Cash flow
Discount Rate (.00)
Discount Factor (mult.)
Discounted value per annum
Sum of present value of cash flows

10,909
30.87%
14,277
0.15
0.869565
12,415
$237,790

Residual value
Cash flow in year 10
Growth rate (.00) (g)
Cash flow in year 11
Capitalization rate (k-g)
Value at end of year 10
Discount factor year 10

$160,819
0.04
$167,252
0.11
$1,520,469
0.24718

Present value of residual


Market value (mil)
Number of shares (mil)
Intrinsic value per share
Intrinsic / Market
Input discount & growth rates
First 10 year growth rate
2nd period growth rate
Discount rate
Owners cash flow (mil)

$375,837
$613,627
5,511
$111.35
5.18

30.87%
0.04
0.15
$10,909.66

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

14,277
30.87%
18,685
0.15
0.756144
14,129

2013
##
18,685
30.87%
24,454
0.15
0.657516
16,079

2014
##
24,454
30.87%
32,004
0.15
0.571753
18,298

4
3
2
1
0
-1

-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

T - OPTIMISTIC

O-STAGE EARNINGS GROWTH PROJECTIONS

2015
##
32,004
30.87%
41,885
0.15
0.497177
20,824

2016
##

2017
##

41,885
30.87%
54,817
0.15
0.432328
23,699

54,817
30.87%
71,742
0.15
0.375937
26,970

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

2018
##
71,742
30.87%
93,892
0.15
0.326902
30,693

2019
##
93,892
30.87%
122,880
0.15
0.284262
34,930

2020
122,880
30.87%
160,819
0.15
0.247185
39,752

Annual sales growth


VALUE ADDED
Owners cash flow per
share

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation
DuPont Analysis 2008

Income
Statement

Balance
Sheet

Sales
$37,586
Cost of Goods Sold
$16,742
Operating Expenses
$11,890
Other Inc./Exp.
($1,268)
Taxes
$2,394

Current Assets
$19,871
Net Fixed Assets
$30,601
Current Liabilities
$7,818
Long-term Debt
$3,108

Net Income
$5,292

Sales
$37,586

Sales
$37,586

Total Assets
$50,472

Total Liabilities
$10,926

Stockholders Equity
$39,546

ont Analysis 2008

Net Profit Margin


INTC
14.08%
AMD
-53.87%

Return on Assets
(ROA)
INTC
10.49%

T.A. Turnover

AMD

INTC

-40.78%

74.47%
AMD
75.70%

Return on Equity
(ROE)
INTC
13.38%

Total Liab. & Equity

AMD

INTC

-2463.78%

$50,472
AMD
$7,672

Financial Leverage
Mult. (FLM)
INTC
1.28

Stockholders Equity

AMD

INTC

60.41

$39,546
AMD
$127

COMMENTARY

Intel Corporation
DuPont Analysis 2009

Income
Statement

Balance
Sheet

Sales
$35,127
Cost of Goods Sold
$15,566
Operating Expenses
$13,850
Other Inc./Exp.
($7)
Taxes
$1,335

Current Assets
$21,157
Net Fixed Assets
$31,938
Current Liabilities
$7,591
Long-term Debt
$3,800

Net Income
$4,369

Sales
$35,127

Sales
$35,127

Total Assets
$53,095

Total Liabilities
$11,391

Stockholders Equity
$41,704

ont Analysis 2009

Net Profit Margin


INTC
12.44%
AMD
4.09%

Return on Assets
(ROA)
INTC
8.23%

T.A. Turnover

AMD

INTC

2.43%

66.16%
AMD
59.52%

Return on Equity
(ROE)
INTC
10.48%

Total Liab. & Equity

AMD

INTC

34.10%

$53,095
AMD
$9,078

Financial Leverage
Mult. (FLM)
INTC
1.27

Stockholders Equity

AMD

INTC

14.01

$41,704
AMD
$648

COMMENTARY

Intel Corporation
DuPont Analysis 2010

Income
Statement

Balance
Sheet

Sales
$43,623
Cost of Goods Sold
$15,132
Operating Expenses
$12,903
Other Inc./Exp.
$457
Taxes
$4,581

Current Assets
$31,611
Net Fixed Assets
$31,575
Current Liabilities
$9,327
Long-term Debt
$4,429

Net Income
$11,464

Sales
$43,623

Sales
$43,623

Total Assets
$63,186

Total Liabilities
$13,756

Stockholders Equity
$49,430

ont Analysis 2010

Net Profit Margin


INTC
26.28%
AMD
7.25%

Return on Assets
(ROA)
INTC
18.14%

T.A. Turnover

AMD

INTC

9.49%

69.04%
AMD
130.82%

Return on Equity
(ROE)
INTC
23.19%

Total Liab. & Equity

AMD

INTC

46.50%

$63,186
AMD
$4,964

Financial Leverage
Mult. (FLM)
INTC
1.28

Stockholders Equity

AMD

INTC

4.90

$49,430
AMD
$1,013

INTERPRETATION/COMMENTARY

Intel Corporation
Graham Analysis

Variables
Current Price
AAA Yield
Average P/E over last 3 years
Average P/E over last 8 years
Net Current Assets per Share
Total Debt per Share

Values
$21.49
4.50%
18.00
19.17
3.67
$2.50

Group A
#1 Earnings / Price
#2 Price / Earnings
#3 Price / Book
#4 Dividends / Price
#5 Price / Net Current Assets Per Share

Values
9.54%
10.5
2.31
2.93%
$5.86

Points
1.0
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0

Group B
#6 Current Ratio
#7 Total Debt / Equity
#8 Total Debt / Net Current Assets
#9 Growth for last 10 years
Growth for last 5 years
#10 Number of earnings decline

Values
3.39
0.28
0.68
4.50%
7.93%
0

Points
1.0
1.0
1.0
0.5

This Graham Analysis is based on


my presentation in class related to
the Graham model. Virtually no
stock is likely to pass this conservative criteria but it is still worth
looking at.

1.0

Results
Group
Total Points
Group A
1.5
Group B
4.5
Does Company Pass the Graham Model?
No

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation
The Buffett Model

INSTRUCTIONAL INFORMA
EPS ACGR (from Value Line)
Average ROE (8 Years)
Initial EPS Rate of Return @ Curent Price
VALUE RELATIVE TO GOVERNMENT BONDS
Projected ACRR as Equity Bond
Average Dividend Payout Ratio
Average % of Earnings Retained

7.93%
18.92%
9.54%
$51.25

Average ROE in R/E over the last 10 Years


Future Book (Equity) Value in 10 Years

13.24%
$31.11

Projected EPS in 10 Years


Average P/E Ratio
VALUE RELATIVE TO GROWING GOV'T BONDS
ACRR @ Current Price

30%
70%

$5.89
19.17
$112.81
18.03%

Projected ACRR Using Average EPS


Last Year EPS
Projected EPS in 10 Years
Projected Share Price in 10 Years
ACGR @ Current Price

2.05
$4.40
$84.25
14.64%

November 2011
Yield on T-Bonds:
Share Price:
Shares Outstanding:
Book (Equity) Value per Share:

4%
$21.49
5511
$8.97

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

! This is the average ROE from the Value L


! Equal to 2010 EPS divided by current shar
! Most recent EPS divided by yield on treas
! From Value Line, last Dividend %
! 1 minus average dividend payout ratio
! Average ROE times 59%
! Book Value times 1.1324% to the 10th
! Future book value times 10%
! Average P/E from Value Line
! Projected EPS times average P/E ratio

! From Value Line


! 10 year ACGR times last years EPS
! Projected EPS in 10 Years times average P

ACGR - Average Compounded Growth Rate in EPS from V


ACRR - Average Compounded Rate of Return

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

The Buffett Model


INSTRUCTIONAL INFORMATION
This is the average ROE from the Value Line
Equal to 2010 EPS divided by current share price
Most recent EPS divided by yield on treasury bonds
From Value Line, last Dividend %
1 minus average dividend payout ratio
Average ROE times 59%
Book Value times 1.1324% to the 10th
Future book value times 10%
Average P/E from Value Line
Projected EPS times average P/E ratio

10 year ACGR times last years EPS


Projected EPS in 10 Years times average P/E ratio

ACGR - Average Compounded Growth Rate in EPS from Value Line


ACRR - Average Compounded Rate of Return

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Intel Corporation
Projected ROE Based on P/E Ratios
The Kuhle ROE Model
Projections for 10 Year Period

Year
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Equity Value
$10.16
$11.50
$13.03
$14.75
$16.71
$18.92
$21.42
$24.26
$27.47
$31.11

Per Share Earnings


$1.70
$1.92
$2.18
$2.46
$2.79
$3.16
$3.58
$4.05
$4.59
$5.20

Price Appreciation (Low P/E)


Rate of Return on Appreciation
Annualized
With Reinvested Dividends
Annualized

$52.49
144%
9.34%
188.42%
11.17%

Input Variables
Current Price
Average ROE from Value Line
Initial Book Value
Payout Ratio
P/E High
P/E Low

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

$21.49
18.92%
$8.97
30.0%
23.30
10.10

Dividends Paidout
$0.51
$0.58
$0.65
$0.74
$0.84
$0.95
$1.07
$1.22
$1.38
$1.56
9.49
###

Reinvested Dividends
High P/E
$2.41
$2.30
$2.19
$2.09
$1.99
$1.89
$1.80
$1.72
$1.64
$1.56
19.59
###

Price Appreciation (High P/E)


Rate of Return on Appreciation
Annualized
With Reinvested Dividends
Annualized

This model is intended to present a projection


return on equity over a projected 10 year perio
assuming re-invested dividends. If dividends a
must receive the ROE rate on all dividends that
ROE's are based on the low and high P/E ratios

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

OE Based on P/E Ratios

Kuhle ROE Model


ns for 10 Year Period

Reinvested Dividends
Low P/E
$1.14
$1.18
$1.22
$1.26
$1.31
$1.36
$1.40
$1.45
$1.51
$1.56
13.38
Price Appreciation (High P/E)
Rate of Return on Appreciation
With Reinvested Dividends

Retained Earnings
$1.19
$1.35
$1.52
$1.73
$1.95
$2.21
$2.51
$2.84
$3.21
$3.64
22.14
$121.10
463.50%
18.87%
554.65%
20.67%

This model is intended to present a projection of the annual compounded


return on equity over a projected 10 year period. This projection is made
assuming re-invested dividends. If dividends are re-invested the investor
must receive the ROE rate on all dividends that are re-invested. The
ROE's are based on the low and high P/E ratios from the Value Line.

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

Intel Corporation Ratio Comparison

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, October 5, 2011

SUMMARY

Intel Corporation
Summary

Decision Summary
Model
DuPont Analysis

Intrinsic Value Analysis

The Graham Model


Buffett Model
Kuhle ROE Projections

Method
2008
2009
2010
Geometric Mean
Pessimistic
Optimistic
Most Likely
Group A
Group B
Combined
ACRR - Equity Bond
ACRR - EPS
Low P/E
High P/E

Value
13.38%
10.48%
23.19%
14.81%
2.66
5.18
3.72
1.5
4.5
6
18.03%
14.64%
11.2%
20.67%

The D
Is your decision consistent with your entire analysis?

Page 85

SUMMARY

Page 86

SUMMARY

Page 87

SUMMARY

on
COMMENTARY

Recommendation

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes

The Decision

Page 88

SUMMARY

Page 89

SUMMARY

Page 90

SUMMARY

MENTARY

Page 91

SUMMARY

Page 92

SUMMARY

Page 93

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.


RATIOS

2010

2009

2.15
1.77
0.38
1.15

1.93
1.68
0.79
0.93

53.66
10.28
6.71
9.28
1.31

49.64
9.53
7.25
1.42
0.60

Financial Leverage ratios


Total Debt Ratio (TD/TA)
Debt/Equity
Equity Ratio (TE/TA)
Long-term Debt Ratio (LTD/TA)
Times Interest Earned Ratio (EBIT/TI)

0.80
3.90
0.20
0.44
4.88

0.93
13.01
0.07
0.47
0.93

Profitability ratios
Gross Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin
ROA (NI/TA)
ROE (NI/TE)

0.46
0.07
0.09
0.46

0.42
0.04
0.02
0.34

16.20

16.20

Short term solvency ratios


Current Ratio
Quick Ratio
Cash Ratio
Net Working Capital to Current Liabilities
Asset Utilization or Turnover ratios
Average Collection Period
Inventory Turnover Ratios
Receivable Turnover
Fixed Asset Turnover
Total Asset Turnover

Market value ratios


Price/Earnings Ratio

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

Balance Sheet
Three Years Ended December 25, 2010
(In Millions, Except Par Value)
Assets
Current Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
Short-term investments
Trading assets
Accounts receivable, net
Marketable equity securities
Inventories
Deferred tax assets
Prepaid Expenses and Other current assets
Total current assets
Property, plant and equipment, net
Acquisition related to intangible assets, net
Goodwill
Other long-term assets
Total assets

2010

Liabilities and stockholders' equity


Current Liabilities
Short-term debt
Accounts payable
Accrued liabilities
Other Short-Term Obligations
Deferred income on shipments to distributors
Other current liabilities
Income tax payable
Total current liabilities
Long-term income taxes payable
Long-term debt
Long-term deferred tax liabilities
Other long-term liabilities
Total Liabilities
Stockholders' equity:
Treasury Stock, at cost
Common stock, par value $0.01; 1,500 shares authorized on December
25, 2010 and December 26, 2009; shares issued: 691on December 25,
2010 and 679 on December 26, 2009; shares outstanding: 683 on
December 25, 2010 and 671 on December 26, 2009.
Additional paid in capital
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
Retained earnings
Total stockholders' equity
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

2009

606

1,657

968
1,183
632

745
1,019
567

205
3,594
700
37
323
310
4,964

287
4,275
3,809
98
323
573
9,078

581
698
233
143
19

647
795
479
121
168

1,674

2,210

2,188

4,252

89
3,951

1,968
8,430

(102)

(98)

7
6,575
(5,467)
0
1,013
4,964

7
6,524
(5,785)
0
648
9,078

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

Income Statement
Three Years Ended December 25, 2010
(In Millions, Except Per Share Data)
Net revenue
Cost of sales
Gross margin
Research and development
Marketing , general and administrative
Legal Settlement
Amortization of acquired intangible assets
Operating expenses
Operating income
Interest Income
Interest Expense
Interest and other, net
Income before taxes
Provision for taxes
Equity in net loss of investee
Net income
Basic earnings per common share
Dilluted earnings per common share
Weighted average common shares outstanding:
Basic
Dilluted

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

2010
6,494
3,533
2,961
1,405
934
(287)
61
2,113
848
11
(199)
311
971
38
(462)
471

2009
5,403
3,131
2,272
1,721
994
(1,177)
70
1,608
664
16
(438)
166
408
112
(75)
221

0.66
0.64

0.46
0.45

711
733

673
678

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

icro Devices, Inc.

OS

2008
1.07
0.77
0.49
0.07

19.83
8.85
18.15
1.35
0.76

0.98
59.41
0.02
0.60
(5.99)

0.40
(0.54)
(0.41)
(24.64)

16.20

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

TATEMENTS

Sheet
2008

933

320
163
656
307
2,379
4,296
168
323
506
7,672

631
970
372
50
203
2,226
4,581
738
7,545
(97)

6
6,354
(6,136)
0
127
7,672

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

atement
2008
5,808
3,488
2,320
1,848
1,304
986
137
4,275
(1,955)
39
(391)
(37)
(2,344)
68
(717)
(3,129)
(5.15)
(5.15)
607
607

Intel Corporation Ratios Financial Statements

Cynthia Kenyon and Michael Davis


FIN 135, September 23, 2011

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