Subject:
VLTC - I am a seller at >$8 ... and a buyer at <$3 ... Going to be Dead Money for the
Next 3 years
Is the NOLs Value Attractive for a Potential Buyer? - Not Really, It will be a valuable Target only for Icahn
but not earlier than 3 years from now Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code (Section 382) Limits the Maximum Annual NOLs that can be
utilized by the Buyer.
Section 382 severely restricts the buyer's use of acquired NOL following a change in ownership, limiting the annual
use of such NOL to:
The total Value of VLTC is $13.01m Net Assets Value of $6.743m (Total Assets Total Liabilities as of
12/31/2014) + $6.27m FV of Tax Savings for a possible acquirer (assuming a purchase price of 78.3m).
NO ONE OTHER THAN ICHAN WOULD EVER BE INTERESTED IN ACQUIRING VLTC FOR ITS
NOLs.
Key is therefore to determine whether or not a change of Ownership as defined under Section 382 is likely to occur:
Asection382"ownershipchange"generallyoccursifthepercentageofthestockofthe"losscorporation"ownedby
oneormore"5percentshareholders"hasincreasedbymorethan50percentagepointsoverthelowestpercentage
ofstockofthelosscorporationownedbysuchshareholdersatanytimeduringtherelevant"testingperiod."I.R.C,
382(g)(1).
The"testingperiod"isgenerallythe3yearperiodendingonthe"testingdate."I.R.C.382(i)(l).
RecentstakeincreasebyIcahnEnterprisesdoesnotconstituteaChangeofOwnership.
SinceQ12012tillMarch30,2015Icahnowned0.678mVLTCshares(14.42%atitslowerspoint).Hisposition
increasedbyapprox.4.061m(52.29%ownership).
Representinga37.87percentagepointsincrease(<50percentagePoints)andthereforenotconstitutingaChangeIn
ControlasdefinesinSection382.
TotakeAdvantageoftheNOLs,Icahnneedstowait3years(meaningtillMarch30,2018)beforelaunchingatender
offerforalltheremainingoutstanding47.31%shares.
Companywillgeneratemorelossesforthenext3years(addingsomeNOLs)buttheValuereduction(loss)
willoutsizetheNOLscreationeffect(weignorebotheffects)
SomeNOLsatstateLevelstarttoexpirethisyear(weassumetheyneverexpire)
PreferredSharesValuewouldbeinthemagnitudeof>$50mby2018
2018NOLs=$477.8mwithImpliedTaxSavingof$167.23m.Assuminga20%ReturnonInvestmentsaBuyer
wouldvaluetheNOLsat$133.78m.
LessthePreferredSharesValue=$83.78m
AssumingnofurtherDilution(CurrentLiquidityof$10mwillbeenoughonlyifCoCeasesalltheOperations)anda
DiscountRateof15%,theNPVofthe2018NOLs(toIcahn)is$55.08m($6.08pershare).