September 2008
Rating scale
Currency
Rating
Rating watch
Expiry date
National
National
Kshs
Kshs
BBB+
A2
No
07/2009
Financial data:
Rating rationale
(US$m Comparative)
31/12/07 31/03/08**
Kshs/US$ (avg.)
67.8
67.7
Kshs/US$ (close)
63.9
64.2
Total assets
248.1
293.2
Tier II capital
12.9
12.7
Tier I capital
17.2
23.6
Net advances
98.6
118.8
Liquid assets
105.3
119.7
Operating income
12.1
4.0
NPAT
3.5
1.3
Market cap
n.a.
Market share*
1.6%
*
Calculated as a % of total industry assets as at
31 December 2007.
**
Relates to the first quarter results post-merger.
Relates to the calculation of regulatory capital
as per CBK submissions.
Fundamentals:
Operating under a commercial
banking license, Prime Bank Limited
(Prime) was founded in 1992. The
Kantaria family primarily owns the
bank with a 53% stake as at endMarch 2008. The bank offers a broad
range of retail and corporate banking
services, although business is
considered to be primarily corporate.
Correspondent relationships with
international banks enable Prime to
offer trade finance and foreign
exchange services. Operations were
consolidated through a merger with
its sister company Prime Capital &
Credit Limited in January 2008.
GCR contacts:
Dirk Greeff
dgreeff@globalratings.net
+27 11 784 - 1771
Paul Greeff
greeff@globalratings.net
+27 11 784 - 1771
Website: www.globalratings.net
The recent merger between Prime and its sister company, Prime
Capital & Credit (Prime Capital), saw the financier join a list of
several financial institutions that have taken the consolidation
route in cognisance of the changing regulatory environment in
Kenya. The new and larger entity is set to benefit from lower
operating costs and improved efficiencies as the need for separate
banking licenses and management teams has been eliminated.
Notwithstanding a 17% rise in risk-weighted assets over the first
quarter, capitalisation ratios remained well above statutory
requirements. In this regard, the banks core capital to risk
weighted assets, and total deposits, increased to 17% and 11%
respectively (Prime F07: 15% and 10% respectively).
Asset quality indicators for the combined entity showed mixed
results when compared to Primes pre-consolidated position. The
capital value in arrears position declined to 7.2% of gross loans
(Prime F07: 8.1%), while the proportion of net non-performing
loans (NPLs) to net loans remained unchanged at 3%. However,
net NPLs accounted for a higher 11% of total capital (Prime F07:
10%).
Key liquidity indicators weakened somewhat in response to the
banks enlarged asset base. As such, cash and liquid assets
declined to 41% and 58% as a percentage of total assets and
deposits respectively (Prime F07: 43% and 61% respectively).
Cognisance was taken of Prime Capitals poor earnings
performance in 2007 (profits declined by 44%), whilst its parent
company, Prime, recorded a 73% rise in after tax earnings
(NPAT), exceeding year-end expectations by 20%.
Financial flexibility
The bank is primarily funded via a combination of customer deposits,
retained earnings and borrowings. Following the merger, the bank
decided to settle all outstanding balances on its trade finance facilities
(totalling US$10.9m), while also reducing interbank borrowings to
negligible levels. That saw deposits emerge as the consolidated
banks main funding source with Private Banking and Corporate
deposits accounting for 74% and 26% of total funding respectively.
Overall, the banks consolidated deposit base totalled Kshs13.3bn
(Prime F07: Kshs11.1bn) as at 31 March 2008, while total capital and
reserves was recorded at Kshs2.3bn (Prime F07: Kshs1.9bn).
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in part without the written permission of Global Credit Rating Co. (GCR). The credit ratings and other opinions contained herein are,
and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any
securities. No warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability or fitness for any particular
purpose of any such rating or other opinion or information is given or made by GCR in any form or manner whatsoever.
Corporate profile
Operating environment
Economic overview
Kenyas economy grew by an estimated 6.4% in 2007
compared to 6% in 2006. Agriculture (accounting for
more than a quarter of the economy), manufacturing,
telecommunications and tourism have underpinned
growth in the past three years, albeit erratic weather
patterns significantly reduced agriculture production
at times. Whilst the economys outlook remains
positive, growth estimates for 2008 have had to be
revised downwards to 4% (previously 7%) as a direct
consequence of the disruptions caused by the postelection violence. Kenya's annual inflation reflected a
steady climb throughout 2007, buoyed by higher
food, transport and energy prices. This was despite a
marked decline in the first quarter of 2007, when the
y-o-y growth in CPI reduced to 5.9% in March 2007
from 15.6% in March 2006. Inflation soared to 12%
in December 2007. Overall, average inflation for the
year amounted to 9.8%. Key interest rates, notably
Central Bank of Kenyas (CBK) overdraft rate and
the 91-day Treasury bill (T-bill) rate displayed
mixed trends throughout 2007, with the latter
recording a 209 basis points increase between
December 2006 and November 2007, mainly on the
back of reduced liquidity in the run up to the
elections.
Savings accounts
Current accounts
FX accounts
Call deposits
Fixed deposits
Visa credit card
Corporate Banking
Current accounts
FX accounts
Call deposits
Fixed deposits
Visa credit card
Asset Finance
Other Banking
Treasury services
Custodial service
Trade Finance
Salary services
Safety deposits
Value adds
Post-merger
2008
53.4
14.6
10.7
21.3
Industry overview
Kenyas banking industry is highly fragmented and,
as at December 2007, was populated by forty three
institutions, including: forty one commercial banks
(including two development banks); one mortgage
finance company; and one building society. Total
commercial banking sector assets increased by 16.7%
to Kshs795bn over the 12-months to December 2007,
largely supported by positive economic conditions
and the availability of affordable credit facilities. The
quality of the banking sectors assets continued to
improve, with non-performing loans (NPLs)
representing a reduced 9% of total loans in December
2007, compared to 16% in the previous year. Revised
Prudential Guidelines that were issued in November
2005 became effective on 1 January 2006. Other
regulatory changes include the In Duplum rule,
which limits the amount of interest that an institution
can recover on NPLs, enacted into law during May
2007. The minimum capitalisation level, has also
been adjusted upwards from Kshs250m to Kshs1bn.
However, whilst set out in the recent budget, this has
not been ratified by Parliament. If agreed, all banks
must be compliant by 1 January 2010.
Competitive position
The following table above provides an analysis of the
bank (pre-merger) relative to its peers, focusing on
the key operational indicators for the period ending
31 December 2007. Although both CFC Bank and
Diamond Trust Bank are considerably larger then
Prime
1,925.8
238.9
15,855.7
1.6
6,298.2
1.3
11,090.5
1.5
1,580.1
376.0
14,653.9
1.5
7,000.8
1.4
9,749.9
1.3
6,013.0
924.7
47,079.4
4.9
16,702.5
3.4
22,070.9
3.0
5,478.7
740.0
40,239.4
4.2
23,181.9
4.7
29,347.3
3.9
12.1
50.3
1.7
14.7
10.8
61.0
3.6
25.6
12.8
80.6
2.2
15.9
13.6
54.3
2.6
17.7
Imperial
CFC
Diamond
Ratios (%)
Capital/Assets
Cost ratio
ROaA
ROaE
Source: Metropol.
Risk management
Following the implementation of the Basel II accord
in 2007, the central banks of Kenya, Uganda and
Tanzania have indicated that they will only
implement the new risk based principles upon
implementation of certain key prerequisites. These
include:
Composition
Frequency
Executive
Audit
Credit
Debt Management
ALCO
Operations
Source: Prime.
Bi-monthly
Quarterly
Quarterly
Quarterly
Quarterly
Bi-monthly
Credit risk
As at 31 March 2008, 71% of the consolidated
entitys balance sheet is considered exposed to the
underlying credit quality, and ultimate performance,
of third party obligors. Post-merger net advances,
primarily local currency loans, continued to account
for the majority of risk assets at 41%. This is in-line
with the banks strategy to increase its lending base.
Contingent liabilities remained significant at 12% of
total assets. Investment securities accounted for 16%
of total risk exposures, however, of this total 55% is
considered to be risk free, relating to the Kenyan
government.
Table 4: Credit risk exposure
Interbank placements
Local banks
Foreign banks
Advances*
Local currency
Foreign currency
Investment securities held
Local Treasury bills/bonds
Investment securities
Contingencies
Letters of credit & guarantees
Other contingencies
Total assets
* Net advances.
1Q F08
Kshs'm
541.6
312.2
229.4
7,629.7
6,670.4
959.3
2,992.3
1,657.4
1,334.9
2,190.8
1,613.3
577.5
18,826.4
%
2.9
1.7
1.2
40.5
35.4
5.1
15.9
8.8
7.1
11.6
8.6
3.1
70.9
Source: Prime
Liquidity risk
Although slightly lower than in previous years, key
liquidity indicators remained strong with cash and
<1
1-3
3-12
>12
Month
Months Months Months
7,682.5
1,662.7 3,302.9 1,229.3 1,434.8
342.2
491.1
412.7
9.7
67.8
9,836.3 3,715.6 1,239.0 1,844.8
Deposits
Other
Shareholders equity
Total equity and liabilities
6,383.9
119.9
6,503.8
5,454.4
837.2
6,291.6
3,332.6 (2,576.0)
3,332.6
756.6
1,371.4
95.9
1,467.3
42.2
2,330.8
2,373.0
(228.3) (528.2)
528.3
Source: Prime
Currency risk
As depicted in table 6 below, negative currency
mismatches are displayed across most major trading
currencies as at end-March 2008. However, given
that the majority of assets and liabilities are
denominated in local currency, the accumulated net
deficit across all foreign currency obligations
accounted for less than 2% of capital.
Table 6: Currency risk
analysis (Kshs'm)
GBP
US$
Other
LCY
31.3
10.9
62.5
104.7
186.8
850.6
0.6
1,038.0
30.7 7,432.9
97.1 6,670.4
39.7 1,220.8
167.5 15,324.1
Deposits
Long-term borrowings
Other
Shareholders equity
Total equity and liabilities
124.2
3.6
127.8
1,033.2
12.3
1,045.5
172.6 11,920.6
4.1 1,036.9
- 2,330.8
176.6 15,288.3
Net position
As at 31 March 2008.
(23.1)
(7.5)
(9.1)
35.8
Source: Prime
Lending operations
Gross loans and advances totalled Kshs8bn as at endMarch 2008, translating into a 21% increase over
Primes pre-consolidation position. However, when
compared to the combined loan books as at year-end
2007, the loan portfolio actually declined by 9%.
Global Credit Rating Co. Kenya Bank Credit Rating Report
By type:
Term loans
Overdrafts
Other loans
Contingencies
As at 31 March 2008.
* Excluding contingencies.
%
32.6
42.0
4.0
21.4
0.2
20.3
4.4
40.2
4.5
Largest exposures:
Single largest
Five largest
Ten largest
Twenty largest
0.3
2.9
12.9
14.3
%
2.7
11.7
20.5
32.5
Source: Prime
31 December 2007
1Q F08
Prime
Consol
Prime Cap
6,646.1
6,107.8
538.3
2,192.9
2,121.0
71.9
8,020.4
7,440.7
579.7
561.5
(23.2)
538.3
87.3
(15.4)
71.9
621.6
(41.9)
579.7
(347.0)
(56.2)
(331.6)
191.3
15.7
248.1
8.1
3.0
9.9
3.3
0.7
0.9
7.2
3.2
10.6
Source: Prime
Kshs'm
3,401.6
9,846.7
3.6
13,251.9
%
25.7
74.3
0.0
100.0
Actual
Budget
F07
Interest income
1,020.1
Interest expenditure
(464.8)
Net interest income
555.4
Other income
265.3
Total operating income
820.7
Operating expenditure*
(504.0)
NPBT
316.7
Tax
(77.9)
NPAT
238.9
* Includes the loan loss provision of Kshs92m
(Budget).
Source: Prime.
Budget
F07
(%)
933.4
109.3
(416.8)
111.5
516.6
107.5
279.0
95.1
795.6
103.2
(508.0)
99.2
287.6
110.1
(87.6)
88.9
200.0
119.4
(Actual) and Kshs78m
Actual
June F08
795.8
(501.7)
294.1
315.1
609.2
(33.6)
(292.8)
282.8
Budget
F08
1,542.8
(871.2)
671.6
653.2
1,324.8
(60.0)
(690.1)
574.7
Budget
(%)
103.2
115.2
87.6
96.5
92.0
112.0
84.9
98.4
Actual
Actual
Growth
June F08
7,629.7
13,251.9
2,330.8
16,635.7
F07
6,298.2
11,090.5
1,925.8
13,861.8
(%)
21.1
19.5
21.0
20.0
Prime Cap
2006
333.4
(165.0)
168.4
62.2
230.6
(13.5)
(58.3)
14.6
173.4
(38.2)
135.2
0.0
135.2
Prime
2006
760.8
(366.4)
394.4
207.9
602.3
(71.5)
(339.5)
0.0
191.3
(53.1)
138.1
0.0
138.1
Prime Cap
2007
357.7
(156.2)
201.5
8.4
209.9
(8.3)
(95.9)
(4.5)
101.2
(25.7)
75.5
0.0
75.5
Prime
Consolidated*
2007
1Q 2008
1,020.1
385.8
(464.8)
(175.5)
555.4
210.3
265.3
58.8
820.7
269.1
(91.5)
(18.1)
(412.4)
(121.2)
0.0
0.0
316.7
129.8
(77.9)
(40.0)
238.9
89.8
0.0
0.0
238.9
89.8
Balance Sheet
Tier I capital
Tier II capita
Total capital and reserves
Deposits, current and other accounts
Acceptances and other liabilities
Total capital and liabilities
1,462.1
0.0
1,462.1
2,309.2
206.1
3,977.4
860.7
457.1
1,317.8
8,363.7
2,876.3
12,557.9
1,807.1
0.0
1,807.1
2,123.9
134.4
4,065.4
1,099.6
826.2
1,925.8
11,090.5
2,839.3
15,855.7
1,517.1
813.7
2,330.8
13,251.9
3,243.7
18,826.4
1,716.8
2,028.2
57.3
175.1
3,977.4
4,877.8
4,880.3
0.0
2,799.8
12,557.9
1,809.6
2,136.7
51.7
67.4
4,065.4
6,731.5
6,298.2
0.0
2,826.0
15,855.7
7,682.5
7,629.7
0.0
3,514.2
18,826.4
63.3
36.8
72.1
15.8
10.5
27.0
85.1
44.5
84.6
17.4
12.1
30.6
17.6
12.4
30.5
Liquidity
Advances / Total deposits
Cash and liquid assets / Total assets
Cash and liquid assets / Total deposits
87.8
43.2
74.3
58.4
38.8
58.3
100.6
44.5
85.2
56.8
42.5
60.7
57.6
40.8
58.0
Asset quality
Loan loss provision / Average advances
Loan loss provision / Total operating income
n.a
5.9
1.7
11.9
0.4
4.0
1.6
11.2
0.3
6.7
Profitability
Net interest margin
Non interest income / Total operating income
Cost ratio
Net profit margin
Effective tax rate
ROaE
ROaA
n.a
27.0
25.3
68.9
22.0
n.a
n.a
4.8
34.5
56.4
31.8
27.8
13.4
1.3
5.2
4.0
45.7
50.4
25.4
4.9
2.0
4.9
32.3
50.3
38.6
24.6
14.7
1.7
5.9
21.9
45.0
48.2
30.8
27.5
2.1
n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
46.3
43.6
78.8
37.6
57.7
2.2
5.3
23.6
(8.0)
(44.2)
26.3
29.1
46.1
32.6
72.9
18.7
21.1
38.0
19.5
(62.4)