35
57
27
35
33
36
36
44
40
75
30
38
51
32
41
28
26
30
41
65
69
Distribucin de Weibull
Parmetro de la distribucin de Wiebull
y X W ( , )
1 X
, x 0
f ( X )= X e
0, caso contrario
Donde
F ( x )=1e x , x 0
e x =1F ( x )
x =ln ( 1F ( x ) )
x =ln ( 1F ( x ) )
ln + ln x=ln ( ln ( 1F ( x ) ) )
((
ln + ln x=ln ln
1
1F ( x )
))
28
43
37
66
34
76
Donde
((
Y =ln ln
1
1F ( x )
))
a=ln
b=
X =ln x
Asi tenemos la recta de regresin lineal
Y =a+bX
Para resolver esta ecuacin de regresin lineal usaremos el software Matlab
%
T=[34,34,41,35,57,27,35,33,36,36,44,40,75,30,38,51,32,42,28,26,...
41,65,28,43,66,34,42,29,69,37];
% ordenando los datos de menor a mayor;
T=sort(T,'ascend');
n=length(T);
F=1:n;
FF=(F-0.3)./(n+0.4);
Y=log(1./(1-FF));
X=T;
YY=log(log(1./(1-FF)));
XX=log(T);
La pendiente es
b=3.768
a=14.38
Y =14.38+3.768 X
As los parmetros sern
=b=3.768
=3.768
=e a=e14.38=0.00000056
=0.00000056
Asi tenemos la distribucin de Weibull la funcin de probabilidad densidad
es (PDF)
f ( x )= x 1 e x
3.768
F ( x )=1e x
F ( x )=1e0.00000056 x
3.768
Graficando
Asi tenemos la distribucin de Weibull la funcin de probabilidad
densidad es (PDF)
f ( x )= x 1 e x
3.768
>> T=[34,34,41,35,57,27,35,33,36,36,44,40,75,30,38,51,32,42,28,26,...
41,65,28,43,66,34,42,29,69,37];
>> T=sort(T,'ascend');
>> Y1=3.768*0.00000056.*(T.^2.768).*exp(-0.00000056.*(T.^3.768));
>> plot(T,Y1)
>> grid
>>
0.035
0.03
0.025
0.02
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
F ( x )=1e x
F ( x )=1e0.00000056 x
3.768
>> Y2=1-exp(-0.00000056.*(T.^3.768));
>> plot(T,Y2)
>> grid
>>
65
70
75
1
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
F ( x )=1e x
3.768
F ( 35 )=1e0.00000056 35
F ( 35 )=0.30811