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The global market for RFID

2010-2020

Dr Peter Harrop

Consulting Publications Conferences

© IDTechEx Ltd

RFID is a fast growing business

$bn

2005

2010

2020

Tags

1.0

2.1

9.9

Other

0.9

3.5

12

Total

1.9

5.6

21.9

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It is not all about paybacks

GOVERNMENT LAWS fit it to your cattle in Australia, Canada, Uruguay, Botswana, dogs in New Zealand, sheep and goats in Europe or go to jail

GOVERNMENT MONEY largest orders are military and local government for non stop road tolling and air

baggage in USA/Korea and city cards and national ID

card in China. E-Passports in 70 countries CRIME PREVENTION hospitals, postal service ERROR PREVENTION healthcare LIFE SAVING AND HEALTH - healthcare

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Largest orders are placed by Government

China National ID Card $6 billion HF passive

ACS for New York/ New Jersey EZ Pass $500 million UHF Active (In 2006, New Jersey Turnpike Authority spent $28 million to replace 1.1 million old E-Z

pass toll tags before their batteries ran out)

Savi Technology for US Army $500 million 433 MHz active Unisys consortium for US Army $500 million 433MHz active/UHF passive

E-Passports UK De La Rue $600 million E-passport infrastructure UK and USA $30-$65 million HF passive E-passport RFID inserts for USA $50 million HF passive

Applied Digital river readers US Army/ Bonneyville Hydro $45 m LF passive

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RFID is $5.6 billion in 2010 but fragmented

Over 1000 suppliers: top ten have half the business

Largest include these (double counting in the sales)

Gemplus RFID cards & passports NXP chips

$500 million+ $500 million

ACS Non stop road tolling and transport card

system integrators

$500 million

Assa Abloy secure access, livestock$400 million Savi military & heavy logistics systems integration $200 million

Smartrac - Passport inlays Allflex livestock tags

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$150 million

$110 million

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Passive and active RFID

Passive has no power supply in the tag - low cost, longest life tags

BIGGEST MARKET

Active has a power supply in the tag, usually a battery

First generation active is a tag that is read when near an interrogator longer range, can initiate a signal. BIG MARKET eg car keys, military, road toll

Second generation active is Real Time Locating Systems RTLS - many interrogators locating a tag from a distance eg 150 US hospitals

Third Generation Active is Wireless Sensor Networks WSN - every tag “node” can be a reader in a mesh network like the internet ie self organising, self healing and it can sense something.

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HF RFID is over 50% of market value

National ID card Passport Aircraft Security label/ page part tag and/or Memory Secure size access or
National ID
card
Passport
Aircraft
Security
label/ page
part tag
and/or
Memory
Secure
size
access or credit
card
Transit card
Transit ticket
Library
book label
Item
drug label
Retail
pallet/case
label
7 cents
Chip cost
3 dollars
Specification typically ISO 14443 or 15693

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Dropping price to 2 cents by getting rid of the chip

Kovio ink jet printed, nanosilicon RFID in the lead

*

Samples are now available

Dropping price to 2 cents by getting rid of the chip Kovio ink jet printed, nanosilicon

ISO14443

1000

transistors

RFID markets tout ça change

The world’s most popular annual analysis of RFID markets IDTechEx “RFID Forecasts, Players & Opportunities 2010-2020” finds

Largest expenditure by sector

2010

  • 1. Financial, Security, Safety

  • 2. Passenger Transport, Automotive

  • 3. Animals and Farming

2020

  • 1. Retail, Consumer Goods

  • 2. Financial, Security, Safety

  • 3. Land & Sea Logistics, Postal

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World’s largest reality check on RFID

The IDTechEx Knowledgebase of over 4100 projects in 112 countries (4150 organisations, 770 slide

shows/audio) shows:

Largest number of projects is

1.Financial, Security, Safety, nearly all HF 2.Retail and Consumer Goods, mainly UHF

However, Retail/CPG is under 5% of the money spent on RFID so there is a long way to go

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(Planned)

(Complete)

(Ongoing)

(Complete)

(Ongoing)

Planned

Ordered

event

of Concept

and Trials

roll-outs

Withdrawn

One-off Proof

Trial

Trial

Roll-out

Trial

Roll-out

Trials

Number of case studies by project status is a glimpse

of the future from the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Number of case studies
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Number of case studies

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China

France

Italy

Canada

Australia

Germany

Netherlands

United States

Kingdom

Japan

United

Here comes China

From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

1,500 1375 1,000 500 397 303 224 190 170 118 101 93 87 0 Number of
1,500
1375
1,000
500
397
303
224
190
170
118
101
93
87
0
Number of case studies

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fob)

container/ULD

Item level

Ticket

Passport

Clicker/immobiliser

Other

Conveyance

Vehicle

Pallet/case

People

Baggage

Phone

Animals

key

(inc.

Air

Card

Intermodal

Case studies by tag location

From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Number of case studies
From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Number of case studies

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Number of case studies

MHz)

KHz)

(UWB)

MHz (2.45 MHz)

GHz)

GHz)

GHz)

MHz

frequencies

433

315-333

(125-135

(5.8

Hz-100

(13.56

(868-960

Band

Microwave

Microwave

HF

Multiple

Chipless (2 LF

Wide

UHF

Ultra

HF is always the most popular frequency

(but UHF people shout loudest) 1400 1200 1000 HF is over 50% of the value of
(but UHF people shout loudest)
1400
1200
1000
HF is over 50% of the value
of the RFID market - cards,
tickets, passports, logistics
etc
World’s
800
favourite RFID
standard is HF=
600
ISO14443
(+15693)
400
200
0

Consulting Publications Conferences

Source: IDTechEx RFID Forecasts, Players & Opportunities 2009-2019

© IDTechEx Ltd

Case studies by active/passive

From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Active Passive Number of case studies
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Active
Passive
Number of case studies

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Case studies by read/write

From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Number of case studies
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Number of case studies

Read Only

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Read/Write

© IDTechEx Ltd

Postal

Airports

Automotive

Laundry

Other Goods

Military

Safety

Archiving

Farming

Healthcare

Sports

Manufacturing

Consumer

Security,

Logistics,

Leisure,

and

and

Libraries,

Transport,

Airlines

Animals

Financial,

Sea

Retail,

Books,

and

Passenger

Land

Case studies by application

From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Number of case studies
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
Number of case studies

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Key fob

Embedded

Card

Integrated

Implant

Label

Glass Bead

ticket

Wristband/Bracelet

Badge

Button

tag

mouldings

/ Bolus

Paper

Plastic

tag

Ear

/

Electronic housings

Case studies by tag shape From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Number of case studies
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Number of case studies

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Tag numbers will rocket if printed RFID with no chip is available and adopted but

unnecessarily complicated standards

must be abandoned

Number

2005

2010

2020

billion

Tags

0.7

2.4

125 mainly 2 cent chipless tags

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Passive tags remain dominant in numbers

Number

2005

2010

2020

billion

Active

0.05

0.06

0.8

Passive

0.66

2.3

124

Total

0.71

2.4

125

Passive tag systems migrate to HF and UHF

Active tag systems migrate to 2.45GHz and UWB and are more profitable

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For more read:

For more read: RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2010-2020 " We found the report to be
For more read: RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2010-2020 " We found the report to be

RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2010-2020

"We found the report to be extremely helpful and well done"

For more read: RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2010-2020 " We found the report to be

Daniel Luch, CEO, Ertek

For more read: RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2010-2020 " We found the report to be
For more read: RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2010-2020 " We found the report to be
For more read: RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2010-2020 " We found the report to be

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Cambridge UK 28-29 September

Conference

Exhibition

Masterclasses

Visits

SPEAKERS INCLUDE BMW Goodyear Gerry Weber Copenhagen Airports

Sony

NP Collection

Centre Pompidou

NYK Logistics

Cubic NXP Guide Dogs for the Blind

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