DESTINATIONS TO INVEST IN
Investment Advisory Report November 2012
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
INTRODUCTION
destinations in the
country from the
investment point of view
over the next ve
years (2013-2017)
TERM
MEANING
Metropolitan region
Zone
Destination
Destination is the most promising residential locality from the perspective of investment
Benchmark location
Property price
contour map
This map splits the geography of a city in accordance with the prevailing residential
property price. Residential markets falling within a contour line command price identied
by such line
Investor Return
It is the IRR (Internal Rate of Return) for a typical investor in residential property
Assumptions for
calculating Investor
Return
Residential Property
Price (` per sq.ft.)
The price indicates the average capital value in the residential market of the destination
and benchmark locations
Hidden Gem
Locations where we expect the real estate drivers to gather momentum beyond year 2017
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
India
Urban centres
Top 5 cities
Business activity:
Banking penetration, hotel room demand, air passenger traffic
Infrastructure development:
Current and proposed infrastructure expenditure
Zone
Employment:
Occupied office space, industrial activity
Social & physical infrastructure:
Analysis of development plan of respective
authorities and extensive field survey
Destination
Connectivity with
important locations
Access to social
infrastructure
Special factors:
Proximity to
premium office
space, land
availability,
lifestyle shift,
planned
development
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
METHODOLOGY &
APPROACH
concentration of business
activity at present and
projections of meaningful
increment in future will
have a comparative
advantage over others
that have saturated on
this
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Infrastructure
Industrial
Physical
Social
IT Sector
Manufacturing
Connectivity
Entertainment
Non IT Sector
employment generation in
the driver industry, the
nature of jobs in
accordance with its
position in the value chain
in the industry was taken
as a dierentiating
element
Selection of Destination
within zone
All the residential markets within the preferred
zone will benet on account of the growth in
employment opportunities and infrastructure
development. However, a few of these will have a
comparative advantage over others. A bottom-up
approach was adopted to analyse the existing
and proposed connectivity and social and
physical infrastructure facilities. The approach
was modelled based on our eld visits to each of
the residential markets in the preferred zone and
discussions with various stakeholders. This
primary survey coupled with our real estate
expertise helped us to arrive at the best
destinations from the perspective of investment.
The destinations have been analysed vis--vis a
benchmark location which is an established
residential locality that has attained a relatively
higher saturation level in terms of real estate
growth and infrastructure development and is
considered to be one of the most sought after
residential markets within the zone. The
.
.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
TOP INVESTMENT
DESTINATIONS RANKED IN
ORDER OF INVESTOR RETURN
DURING THE NEXT 5 YEARS
Investor returns per annum
#4 Noida
Extension
#3 Chembur
22.9%
25.5%
22.3%
#1 Ulwe
#2 Wadala
27.0%
29.0%
#5 Dwarka
Expressway
#8 Ravet
#7 Hinjewadi
#6 Medavakkam
21.2%
20.6%
20.1%
#9 Tathawade
20.0%
#10 Hebbal
#11 Pallikarnai
#12 Wakad
#13 KR Puram
18.6%
18.7%
19.1%
19.3%
.
.
.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
variation of established
residential markets is
NORTH
signicantly explained by
the changes in economic
activities
#1 Noida Extension
108%
#7 Wakad
91%
97%
#6 Ravet
100%
98%
#5 Tathawade
#4 Hinjewadi
133%
125%
#3 Chembur
#2 Wadala
#2 Dwarka Expressway
EAST
WEST
#1 Ulwe
145%
NCR
Mumbai
111%
Pune
Bangalore
#2 Hebbal
#4 KR Puram
94%
91%
#1 Medavakkam
Chennai
#3 Pallikarnai
103%
93%
SOUTH
similar impact of incremental employment
generation and new infrastructure projects, the
property price in the destination has been
forecasted by applying an estimated discount
factor on the future price movements of the
benchmark location.
Our research indicates that aordability will keep
a resistance on price movement in many
destinations. Hence, we have created an income
pyramid of the employees in the driver industry.
This pyramid is a distribution of all the employees
according to their income. Thus, a ceiling was
applied to our destination price forecast as per
the change in this pyramid for the forecast
horizon.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
availability is not a
concern, price growth
will not breach the
aordability threshold
of the target consumer
group
KEY takeaways
. With property options ranging from
.
.
.
.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
BENGALURU
BENGALURU METROPOLITAN
REGION POPULATION
Population in Millions
1991
4.84
5.2%
Population
2001
6.54
3.1%
2011
9.59
3.9%
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
BENGALURU MAP
Major Roads
Railway Line
Existing Metro
Under Construction
Proposed Metro
South Zone
West Zone
Central Zone
East Zone
North Zone
Price Contours (`/ sq.ft)
3500
CHIKKA
BOMMASANDRA
Bangalore International
Exhibition Centre
Nagasandra
Nagawara
6000
15000
Whiteeld
B Halli Terminal
MG Road
VARTUR
Mysore
Road
Kengri
Puttenahalli
Gottigere
Boomasandra
Anjanapura/NICE Junction
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Bengaluru Metropolitan
Market Overview
9.59 mn.
population in the BMR, an
increase of
98%
in the
ZONE
MAJOR RESIDENTIAL
DESTINATIONS
Central
West
North
East
South
South Bengaluru, a locale which until the mid1990s housed a strong Kannada (native language of
Karnataka) speaking population now boasts of
being a cosmopolitan region. This was mainly on
account of a huge inux of population from all over
India. Electronic City located on Hosur Road in the
south emerged as the rst IT hub of Bengaluru in
1990. Many IT giants like Infosys, HCL
Technologies, HP, Wipro, Genpact and Siemens
have setup their campuses in this region. With the
setting up of these companies, the South
Bengaluru region became a preferred commercial
as well as residential destination. The availability of
land, strong infrastructure and presence of the
middle-income segment have contributed to the
development of this zone. The residential clusters
in proximity to the Electronic City like Sarjapur,
Koramangala, Jayanagar, BTM Layout,
Bannerghatta Road and Hosur Road have attracted
a large number of immigrants especially the IT
employees. Social infrastructure like the availability
of quality hospitals, prestigious educational
institutions and retail malls are some of the major
reasons behind residential demand in this part of
Bengaluru.
This region started losing its charm since 1998
when the Government of Karnataka announced the
new international airport at Devanahalli - a town
located in the north of Bengaluru. Major IT/ITeS
companies started acquiring land closer to the
airport in the north for their expansion. They
refrained from buying any new land in this region,
hampering the overall growth of the South
Bengaluru region. In this bargain North Bengaluru
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
54,075
31,733
31,236
20,608
Launches
24,741
14,439
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
176,832
residential
2007 2008
in the BMR
2009
2010
2011
2012*
No. of Units
32%
25%
180,000
160,000
140,000
100,000
85,808
80,000
60,000
units
9%
120,000
11%
14%
5%
40,000
20,000
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
266 acres -
27%
42%
East
North
South
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
62
Employment Indicators
Infrastructure Development
Service Sector
Manufacturing Sector
Rail Network
Road Network
IT Sector
Biotech Sector
Monorail Corridor
Infrastructure Development
EXISTING ARTERIAL ROAD NETWORK
ROAD NETWORK
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
62 km.
ORR provides connectivity with all the major highways around the
city. Passing across the major suburbs viz. Hebbal - KR Puram Marathahalli - Sarjapur Rd. - Silk Board Junction
42 km.
40 km.
10 km.
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
6.7 km.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
33
116
OBSERVATIONS
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Under
Construction
2013-14
Five
consortiums
shortlisted
Post 2016
Monorail Project
41 km.
Proposed
Post 2015
Pre-feasibility
stage
Post 2016
Under
construction
2014-15
In-principle
approval
received from
the Govt. of
Karnataka.
Awaiting
approval from
the Urban
Development
Department
Ministry
Beyond 2016
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
companies present in
OBSERVATIONS
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
companies
Bengaluru generates
software exports worth
`700 bn.
650,000 IT
Pre-Feasibility
stage
Beyond 2015
Beyond 2014
Beyond 2017
professionals directly
employed in Bengaluru
Land
acquisitions
IT/ITeS SECTOR
Over 2,000 IT/ITeS companies, including more
than 100 Fortune-500 companies have
established their operations in Bengaluru. These
companies in all, generate software exports worth
`700bn. and directly employ over 650,000
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
70%
30%
BENGALURU OFFICE
SPACE DYNAMICS
160
140
120
100
80
60
JoBS TO BE GENERATED BY
2020 IN BENGALURU
40
20
2011
27%
11%
15%
36%
Central
West
South
East
North
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
USD
10
BIO-TECHNOLOGY SECTOR
bn. the size of
Indian Bio-technology
sector by 2015. Current size
USD 4 bn.
STATUTORY COSTS
AND MARKET NORMS
STATUTORY COSTS
COST
DETAILS
Stamp duty
Registration
VAT
MARKET NORMS
NORM
DETAILS
Allowed
`200-300 psf
33%
Remarks
Investor friendly market. Gains from lower Stamp Duty are taken back by
higher VAT rate. Eectively, taxes are higher in comparison to Mumbai
and Pune
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Major Roads
Proposed Metro
Airport
Railway Line
Benchmark location
HEBBAL
Top destination
Employment Hubs
KR PURAM
Whiteeld
KR Puram
B Narayanapura
B Halli Terminal
Mahadevapura
Hudi
KIADB Export
Promotion Area
CV Raman Nagar
International Technology
Park Bangalore (ITPB)
EPIP Zone
MG Road
Brookeeld
WHITEFIELD
Major Roads
Existing Metro
Proposed Metro
Monorail
Proposed
Major Roads
Airport
Railway Line
Line
Railway
Benchmark location
location
Benchmark
Top destination
destination
Top
Employment Hubs
Hubs
Employment
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PREFERRED
ZONES IN
BENGALURU
Bengaluru was a laid-back city till the mid-1990s
when the IT boom reshaped it into a major city of
India. Many large domestic IT companies as well
as the Fortune-500 companies set-up their oces
here giving a boost to the Bengaluru real estate
market. Today, Bengaluru has become the
software hub of India, commonly known as the
Silicon Valley of India. Its dominance in the KPO
(Knowledge Process Outsourcing) and BPO
(Business Process Outsourcing) sectors have won
it a place in the dictionary as Bangalored
meaning Outsourced. We believe Bengalurus
dominance in the IT/ITeS sector will continue in
the foreseeable future.
As per the fundamental economics of the real
estate sector, the price appreciation depends on
two factors - employment and infrastructure
development (connectivity). This phenomenon
has been witnessed in the South and South-East
regions of Bengaluru. In the mid-1990s, since the
growth of the IT/ITeS sector many large IT parks
and campuses have been set-up in the Electronic
City (south) and Whiteeld (south-east) region.
This attracted many software engineers to
Bengaluru consequently leading to demand for
residential real estate. Micro-markets such as
Bannerghatta Road, Kanakpura, Sarjapur Road, JP
Nagar, Jaya Nagar, Whiteeld, Varthur,
Mahadevapura, CV Raman Nagar, Uttarahalli, KR
Puram and Electronic City have emerged as
residential markets. However, South Bengaluru
destinations lost their charm post the
commencement of the Bengaluru International
Airport (BIA) near Devanahalli in North Bengaluru.
As a natural phenomenon for the real estate
sector, all focus including government,
corporates and general public at large, has now
shifted northwards a new growth corridor for
real estate.
We expect North and East Bengaluru to be the
biggest beneciaries of the BIA and expect them
to emerge as the new Central Business Districts
(CBD) of Bengaluru within the next decade. This
can be further substantiated by the numerous
infrastructure projects undertaken by the
government such as High Speed Rail Link (HSRL),
Metro Lines, monorail and the Peripheral Ring
Road that are at various stages of construction.
On completion, these projects will enhance the
connectivity of the city centre with the BIA.
NORTH
BENGALURU
The focus of the GOK over the last decade has
clearly been North Bengaluru. By shifting the
Bengaluru International Airport (BIA) near
Devanahalli in the north thereby replacing old
HAL Bengaluru International Airport, GOK has
substantiated its intention in developing North
Bengaluru. Since the new airport is 40 km.
outside the city, GOK has also planned Mass
Transit Systems (MTS) like monorail, Metro-Line
and High Speed Rail Link (HSRL) to enable
travellers to reach the airport faster. Also,
commuter rail system has been planned to
connect Devanahalli with Yeshvantpur via
Yelahanka. Additionally, widening of the NH-7
upto BIA from the existing six-lane to eight-lane is
under process. This can sustain higher trac due
to airport expansion and expected real estate
developments on either side of the NH-7. Further,
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
`1,150 bn.
Investment earmarked for
North Bengaluru
42,329
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
13,355
7,269
7,069
5,608
5,075
3,953
Launches
units
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
32%
27%
50,000
No. of Units
North Bengaluru
40,000
15%
14%
30,000
20,000
14%
12%
10,000
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Existing
Infrastructure
space of Bengaluru.
Upcoming
Infrastructure
HEBBAL TO BIA ROAD
Hebbal to BIA road project
is expected to reduce the
travel time between Hebbal
to BIA from 45 minutes to
20-25 minutes
MONORAIL
A 31 km. monorail has been proposed by the
Bengaluru Air Rail Link Ltd. (BARL) that will
connect JP Nagar (in south) with Hebbal (in the
north). After completion, this project will function
as a feeder service to the metro rail as well as to
the international airport.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
METRO-LINE
A 24 km. North-South (NS) corridor connecting
Hesaraghatta circle near Nagasandra (north) with
Puttenahalli (south) has been proposed. Along
with this, there are also plans (under Metro Phase
II) to extend the Metro line from Hesarghatta up
to the BIA. These signicant projects will add
value to the property along this route.
The region has a demand for residential,
commercial and retail spaces. With plans for the
development of an aerospace Special Economic
Employment Indicators in
North Bengaluru
4-4.5 mn. in
PROJECT NAME
MAJOR COMPANIES
IT/ITeS
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
We expect another
9.5
Over
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
2011
EAST BENGALURU
East Bengaluru had similar characteristics as that
of Bengaluru city. Being a nondescript zone until
the mid 1990s, the region gained prominence only
after the IT boom of the 1990s. Proximity to the
city centre and huge availability of land attracted
many IT/ITeS companies here. Over 30 mn. sq. ft.
of IT/ITeS space is operational as of June 2012.
Major IT/ITeS hubs like Salarpuria Hallmark, ITPB,
RMZ Ecospace, Prestige Shantiniketan and
Bagmane World Centre have made this pocket of
Bengaluru the preferred residential location by IT
population. Further, with the growth of
population, this region had a great deal of social
infrastructure to provide entertainment options to
the residents. Growth of the residential market in
this zone has been primarily along the Whiteeld
Road, KR Puram, Old Madras Road, Old Airport
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
33%
21%
25,000
No. of Units
20,000
10%
4%
15,000
10,000
4%
0%
5,000
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Existing
Infrastructure
CONNECTIVITY FROM OLD
MADRAS ROAD TO DEVANAHALLI
The distance between the Old Madras Road
(OMR) in the East and Devanahalli in the North is
over 40 km. There are two major routes that
connect the city centre in the east with the airport
near Devanahalli in the north. The rst route Baiyappanahalli Hebbal BIA is a 40 km. drive
along the ORR. The second route starts on the NH75 near Baiyappanahalli o the Old Madras Road.
It then connects with the airport via NH-648 near
the Hoskote Industrial area. This stretch has also
witnessed a lot of residential traction post the
commencement of BIA. Manyata Tech Park,
Whiteeld Road, ITPB, Hoskote Industrial Park
and other IT space on the ORR are the major
developments fuelling demand for residential
houses in this pocket.
Upcoming
Infrastructure
PERIPHERAL RING ROAD (PRR)
60
50
40
30
20
10
2011
METRO-LINE
A 15.5 km. metro rail line has been proposed
under Phase-II of the Bengaluru Metro. This
is the extension of the existing metro line
which runs between Byappanahalli and MG
Road. The new metro line stretch, a part of
East-West corridor, will start from the
Byappanahalli and terminate at Whiteeld
on the East. This corridor has 14 metro
stations - Jyothipuram, KR Puram,
Narayanapura, Mahadevapura,
Garudacharpalya, Doddanakundi,
Visvesvaraya Industrial Estate,
Kundalahalli, Vaidehi Hospital, Satyasai
Medical Institute, ITPL, Kadugodi, Ujwala
Vidyalaya and Whiteeld.
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
6,399
4,691
3,795
2,961
5,415
429
Launches
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
37
Employment Indicators in
East Bengaluru
We expect another
24
space to become
operational by 2017
PROJECT NAME
MAJOR COMPANIES
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
EMC2
Lenovo, ST Micro Electronics
ABB, Accenture, Amazon
INVESTMENT
DESTINATIONS IN
BENGALURU
Bengaluru market
Hebbal located in the northern region and KR
Puram in the eastern region are the most
promising residential destinations in Bengaluru.
Proximity to the Manyata Tech Park near Hebbal
and Whiteeld Road near KR Puram makes these
destinations an ideal residential location.
Additionally, connectivity of the eastern region
with the northern region through ORR and that of
the city centre with the airport in the north
through NH-7 (Bellary Road) have improved the
commuting experience. Further, the upcoming
PRR which is expected to connect all the
peripheral districts will ease connectivity from the
eastern region to the airport. Proposed
infrastructure projects such as the monorail,
Metro and High Speed Rail Link is expected to
further enhance the connectivity from the city
centre to the airport. These destinations will
benet immensely from the above mentioned
developments.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
More than
60% of the
Bio-technology industry in
Karnataka is estimated to
grow at 10% CAGR from USD
170mn. in 2011 to USD 272mn.
in 2017
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
721
units launched
DESTINATION
HEBBAL
2009
2010
35%
33%
1,800
No. of Units
2012*
2011
1,500
8%
1,200
900
600
1%
5%
4%
300
Stock
We forecast prices in
Hebbal to appreciate by
94%
Cumulative Absorption
2008
2009
% of Unsold Units
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
2012
2010
2011
2017E
2012*
`9,145
666
`6,350
`8,230
`4,250
372
305
110
Launches
97
55
RMV/Sanjay Nagar
Hebbal
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
are the
9,000
10%
8,000
7,000
6,000
33%
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
2007
Hebbal
2008
2009
RMV/Sanjay Nagar
2010
2011
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
Discount Margin
3BHK
5.3 - 7.9
850 - 1100
2BHK
3.6 - 4.7
Project
Developer
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
Waters
Edge
Equinox
380
Sep-11
Mar-16
Sobha
City
Sobha
Developers
498
Jun-11
Mar-15
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
DESTINATION
KR PURAM
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
29%
We forecast prices in KR
Puram to appreciate by
91%
No. of Units
25%
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
22%
17%
Stock
17%
16%
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
CONNECTIVITY TO
IMPORTANT LOCATIONS
By Road (Existing)
Whiteeld
Whiteeld
2008
2009
2010
52
mins
13
km
26
mins
2012*
1,290
1,118
13
km
2011
1,019
881
414
Distance
254
Travel time
Launches
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
`3.1 mn.
and
8,000
7,000
6,000
15%
5,000
37%
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
2007
KR Puram
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013E
2015E
2014E
2016E
2017E
Discount Margin
Whiteeld
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
2012
2017E
`7,370
Investment Options
in KR Puram
INVESTMENT TICKET SIZE
`5,175
`6,200
`3,245
Whiteeld
KR Puram
1450 - 2100
3BHK
4.7 - 6.8
950 - 1220
2BHK
3.1 - 4.0
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Developer
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
Purva
Midtown
Puravankara
306
Mar-11
Sep-14
Pashmina Pashmina
Waterfront Developers
250
Jan-12
Dec-14
Purple
Woods
135
Jan-11
Dec-13
Purple
Estates
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Yelahanka located
further north of Hebbal is
at a distance of 19 km
Destination gained
prominence only after the
commencement of
Bengaluru INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT
Bengaluru International
Airport Area Planning
Authority formed by
Government of Karnataka
HIDDEN GEM
Yelahanka
Yelahanka located further north of Hebbal is at a
distance of 19km. from the Bengaluru
International Airport (BIA). It was initially
envisaged as the satellite city of Bengaluru, but is
now a part of the BBMP The Municipal
Corporation of Bengaluru. The NH-7 provides
excellent connectivity with the airport as well as
the city centre.
The destination gained prominence only after the
commencement of BIA at Devanahalli. However,
this was the sole reason for the swift rise in the
real estate prices of Yelahanka. The current prices
have already built-in the benet arising out of the
announced projects, which we believe will see
light only after 2017. As on date, Yelahanka is still
short of social infrastructure including basic
amenities like water and electricity. Moreover, the
organised retail market is still non-existent in this
destination.
The Government of Karnataka has proposed
numerous infrastructure projects including
widening of elevated road, High Speed Rail Link
and Metro Rail to improve the connectivity
between the airport and Bengaluru City Centre.
Also, commuter rail system has been planned to
connect Devanahalli with Yeshvantpur via
Yelahanka.
Further, the Government of Karnataka has formed
Bengaluru International Airport Area Planning
Authority (BIAAPA) to ensure organized
development of Bengaluru North, Devanahalli
and Dodaballapur Taluka. A total investment of
`1,150bn. has been earmarked in order to make
North Bengaluru a self-sustaining business hub.
Some of the major investments are Information
CONNECTIVITY TO
IMPORTANT LOCATIONS
FROM YELAHANKA
* By road
HEBBAL
18
km
17
km
19
km
Distance
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
CHENNAI
Chennai, the capital of Tamil Nadu, is the fourth most populous city in
India and serves as a gateway to Southern India through its strategically
located port. Chennais urban agglomeration, also known as the Chennai
Metropolitan Region (CMR), is spread over 1,189 sq.km. and consists of
parts of Thiruvallur and Kancheepuram districts apart from Chennai city.
As per Census 2011, the total population of CMR was 8.7 mn.
The development of the CMR is entrusted to the nodal planning agency
Chennai Metropolitan Development Authority (CMDA) which prepares the
master plan for the region. CMDA in September 2008 prepared the
Second Master Plan for Chennai Metropolitan Area, 2026 outlining the
detailed development plan along with land use, transportation, housing
and other important aspects of the CMR.
1991
5.42
2.4%
Population
2001
6.56
1.9%
2011
8.70
2.9%
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
CHENNAI MAP
Major Roads
U/C Metro Corridor I
U/C Metro Corridor II
Railway Line
South Zone
West Zone
Central Zone
North Zone
Price Contours (`/ sq.ft)
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Chennai Metropolitan
Region is spread over
1,189 sq.km. with a
Market
Overview
population of
8.7 mn.
105,236
ZONE
MAJOR RESIDENTIAL
DESTINATIONS
Central
West
North
Ayanavaram, Tondiarpet,
Madhavaram, Perambur
South
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
26,152
23,803
14,441
15,505
Launches
12,702
12,633
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
25%
of
2007 2008
unsold
2009
2010
2011
No. of Units
120,000
80,000
40,000
25%
21%
100,000
60,000
2012*
7%
5%
12%
4%
20,000
Stock
33,938
units were absorbed
during 2010 and 2011
65%
of the under
construction units are
located in South Chennai
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
23%
7%
65%
Central
West
North
South
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
space in Chennai
Infrastructure Development
Service Sector
Manufacturing Sector
Rail Network
Road Network
IT Sector
Infrastructure Development
EXISTING ARTERIAL ROAD NETWORK
Currently Chennai is
CONNECTIVITY
DESCRIPTION
Chennai-Kolkata
Highway (NH 5)
Anna Salai
GST Road (NH 45)
Old Mahabalipuram
Road (OMR)
Chennai-Bangalore
Highway (NH 4)
connected through
5
major arterial roads and
4
suburban rail networks
DESCRIPTION
MRTS
South West
Line
North Line
West Line
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
CONNECTIVITY
DESCRIPTION
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Outer Ring
Road I
Under
construction
2012-13
Outer Ring
Road II
Will connect NH 205 with the ChennaiKolkata Highway (NH 5) and TPP road
at Minjur through a six-lane highway
Land
Acquisition
2016-17
projects will be
operational before
2017
IT/ITeS and
Automobile
sectors to be the driving
factors for Chennais
growth
CONNECTIVITY
DESCRIPTION
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Chennai Metro
Corridor I
Under
construction
2015
Chennai Metro
Corridor II
Chennai Central
Will connect the heavy trac route
Station between city centre and St. Thomas
Annanagar Mount
Vadapalani St. Thomas Mount
Under
Construction
2015
Chennai
Monorail
Corridor I
Vandalur Velachery
Bidding
stage
2016-17
Chennai
Monorail
Corridor II
Poonamallee Kathipara
Bidding
stage
2016-17
Chennai
Monorail
Corridor III
Poonamallee Vadapalani
Bidding
stage
2016-17
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
60.7
mn. sq.ft. of which
44.8
mn. sq.ft. is occupied
We expect another
22
mn. sq.ft. of new office
space to be operational in
the next 5 years
CHENNAI OFFICE
SPACE DYNAMICS
* Figures in mn. sq.ft
Before
2008
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2017E
6%
18%
76%
Central
West
South
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
generation in
STATUTORY COSTS
AND MARKET NORMS
North
STATUTORY COSTS
Chennai
COST
DETAILS
Stamp Duty
Registration
Nil
Service Tax
MARKET NORMS
Although
Central
NORM
DETAILS
Re-sale before
possession
Loading
Brokerage
Chennai
will also witness increase
in office space, the quantum
of it will be marginal in
Preferred Zone
in Chennai
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
South
Chennai, which
will host three-fourth of
the total oce stock, is
expected to witness
maximum growth in the
residential market over
SOUTH CHENNAI
residential
50,666
units have been absorbed
as of Q3 2012
2007 2008
No. of Units
68,914
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
Stock
2009
2010
2011
22%
11%
9%
2012*
26%
13%
6%
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
n a i ypas
B
s
Ch
NH
Anna
International
Airport
Chennai
Airport
VELACHERY
ea
epass
orr id
or
R oa
IT C
ach
PALLIKARNAI
Ve l
So
ut
he
rn
SRIPERUMBUDUR
oa
Tr u
PALLAVARAM
kR
er y
CHROMEPET
NH
Chennai By
45
Velachery Road
MEDAVAKKAM
ast
L in
k Road
Road
TAMBARAM
East C
o
oa
Old Mahabalipuram
SH
121
Gr
ea
tS
ou
t he
rn T
r un
kR
VANDALUR
ADYAR
St. Thomas
Mount
45
NH
at el Road
East Co ast R
o ad
en
Kunrathur
Sard
ar P
SITHALAPAKKAM
GUDUVANCHERI
NH
BAY
OF
BENGAL
SIRUSERI
a m a ll
12
Ol
dM
SH
a pur a m
45
45
d
Roa
ast
Eas
Ol
ea
Gr
NH
t Co
tS
ou
th
dM
ah a
b
er
alip
u
r am
nT
run
Ro a
d
kR
oa
Paranur
Proposed Monorail
Major Roads
CHENGALPATTU
ram
lapu
To M
ama
l
To M am al
la pu
lp
To C h en ga
at tu
Chengalpattu
ra m
THIRUPORUR
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Lack of social
infrastructure and
absence of organized
retail have restricted the
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
growth of residential
market on
OMR
16,740
11,889
plaza
9,185
Launches
12,505
acres
Mahindra
World City
led to a dramatic change
in the development of the
GST Road with huge
employment opportunities
being created
10,355
8,240
Existing
Infrastructure
Commencement of the 1,550
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Upcoming
Infrastructure
in South Chennai as it
connects Central Chennai
CHENNAI BEACH
PARK TOWN
VANDALUR-VELACHERY
MONORAIL
CHINTADRIPET
Perungudi
CHEPAUK
TIRUVELLIKENI
LIGHT HOUSE
TOWARDS CHENNAI
BEACH VIA MRTS
THIRUMAYILAI
MANDAVELI
GREENWAYS ROAD
KOTTURPURAM
KASTURBA NAGAR
ST. THOMAS
MOUNT
VELACHERY
INDIRA NAGAR
THIRUVANMIYUR
ADAMBAKKAM
NARAYANAPURAM
TARAMANI
PUZHUTHIVAKKAM
PERUNGUDI
VELACHERY
PERUNGALATHUR
TAMBARAM
EAST
IRUMBULIYUR
VandalurVelacher
Monorail
corridor will immensely
CAMP
ROAD
PALLIKARANAI
SEMBAKKAM
MEDAVAKKAM
GOWRIWAKKAM
VANDALUR
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Employment Indicators
30 in South Chennai
PROJECT NAME
MAJOR COMPANIES
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
OMR
TIDEL Park
Ramanujan IT Park
Ascendas International Tech Park
RMZ Millenia Business Park
SP Infocity
ELCOT SEZ
SIPCOT IT Park
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
IT/ITeS
Manufacturing
Manufacturing
GST ROAD
We forecast
18.8
mn.
sq.ft. of incremental
office space to be
absorbed in South Chennai
over the next 5 years
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Before
2008
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
59.8
mn.sq.ft. which is
expected to be
Investment
Destinations
in SOUTH
Chennai
operational in South
Chennai by 2017,
82%
will be located on
the OMR
Destinations like
Pallikarnai
and
Medavakkam
are located not only
Ma
al Airport
EZ
, Tamabram
io
n
Mah
in
TID
E
eri
us
15-18
mins
na
i Internat
8-25
mins
unction
10-15
km
ateway
6-12
km
C he
eG
Travel time
r
ar k, Si
40-50
mins
25-35
mins
Shrir am T
SIPC OT
Distance
15-21
km
23-30
mins
IT
P
36-42
km
ya Kailas
dh
hJ
15-20
km
10-18
mins
a World C
dr
hengalpet
10-20
mins
ark, Tara
,C
ity
6-12
km
4-10
km
LP
ni
ma
olingan
a
Sh
r
llu
EZ
,
* By road
ELCOT S
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
price
appreciation
in Chennais residential
market over the next 5
years
Adyar,
which is the
most established
destination in South
Chennai, has been
considered as the
benchmark for comparing
prices in this zone
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
1,684
DESTINATION
PALLIKARNAI
1,382
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
18%
16%
No. of Units
2,000
1,600
4%
1,200
2%
2%
2%
800
400
We forecast prices in
Pallikarnai to increase by
18%
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
2008
2009
2010
2011
% of Unsold Units
2012*
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft.
2012
900
2017E
`15,858
`12,000
`8,100
`4,200
230
228
181
52
Launches
94
Adyar
Pallikarnai
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
` 3.3
16,000
14,000
12,000
49%
10,000
65%
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
Before
2008
Pallikarnai
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
Discount Margin
Adyar
BHK in Pallikarnai
1325 - 2136
3BHK
5.6 - 8.9
SELECT PROJECTS
790 - 1766
571 - 623
2BHK
1BHK
3.3 - 7.4
2.4 - 2.6
Project
Developer
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
Mapleton
Appaswamy
473
Jan-11
Apr-13
Akash
Ganga
Rajkham
87
Apr-12
Dec-13
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
5,707
DESTINATION
MEDAVAKKAM
4,147
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
27%
No. of Units
26%
22%
6,000
3%
3%
4,500
3%
3,000
1,500
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
We forecast prices in
Medavakkam to increase by
103%
% of Unsold Units
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
2012
2017E
`15,858
2,411
`12,000
`7,700
`3,800
1,256
870
621
315
Launches
233
Adyar
Medavakkam
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
` 3.4
` 4.6
mn. and
mn. are the
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
51%
68%
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
Before
2008
Medavakkam
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
Discount Margin
Adyar
Medavakkam
to follow Pallikarnai in
terms of price
2450 - 2710
4BHK
9.3 - 10.3
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Developer
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
Purva
Purvankara
756
Mar-11
Mar-14
Spring
Field
Navin
Housing
280
Oct-10
Dec-14
Majestica
Vasavi
Housing
260
Jul-10
Dec-14
Indiabulls
Greens
Indiabulls
900
Sep-10 May-14
Windermere
1220 - 2161
3BHK
4.6 - 8.2
902 - 1254
2BHK
3.4 - 4.8
560 - 715
1BHK
2.1 - 2.7
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
DELHI-NCR
The National Capital Region (NCR) is spread over 33,578 sq. km. making it
one of the largest urban agglomerations in the world. It was initially
conceived under the rst Master Plan of Delhi in 1962 and conceptualized
with the foremost objective of creating a metropolitan area around Delhi,
so as to ease out the pressure on the national capital. The NCR
encompasses of the entire National Capital Territory of Delhi as well as
select urban areas from its neighbouring states of Haryana, Rajasthan
and Uttar Pradesh (UP). By virtue of this development, Gurgaon, Noida
and Greater Noida emerged as the major sub-regions of the NCR.
1991
27.36
3.2%
Population
2001
37.10
3.1%
2011
47.38
2.5%
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
DELHI-NCR MAP
DELHI
GHAZIABAD
35000
5000
12000
NOIDA
GURGAON
A National Capital Region Planning Board (NCRPB) was formed under the NCR Planning
Board Act 1985, by the Ministry of Urban Development. The central focus of the board
was to coordinate the development of the NCR with the State Governments of Haryana,
Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan. Led by Gurgaon and Noida, the NCR has witnessed
substantial growth as a centre for e-commerce associated businesses including
outsourcing and o-shoring activities. Major industries like IT/ITeS, Automobile and
Pharmaceuticals contribute the most towards the economy of this region.
Proximity to the national capital and enhanced connectivity due to the metro line
across the NCR, has positioned it as the most preferred destination for corporate and
MNCs to set up their oces. The prime ones include Microsoft, IBM, Amdocs, Norte,
Dell, Nokia, SAP, Accenture, Motorola and Ericsson. Hence, it is believed that the NCR is
on the brink of emerging as the 'knowledge' hub of India. Along the growth of the
service industry the region witnessed huge immigration. As per Census 2011, the
population of the NCR witnessed a 2.5% annual rise during the decade 2001-2011, the
total population now stands at 47.38 mn.
FARIDABAD
GREATER NOIDA
Major Roads
Major Roads
Railway Line
Railway Line
Existing Metro
Metro Corridor I
Under Construction Metro
Metro Corridor II
Delhi
South Zone
Gurgaon
West Zone
Faridabad
Central Zone
Noida
East Zone
Greater Noida
North Zone
Ghaziabad
Price Contours (`/ sq.ft)
Price Contours (`/ sq.ft)
STATE/UT
REGIONS
Delhi
1,483
Haryana
13,413
UP
Rajasthan
Alwar
Total
10,853
7,829
33,578
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
33,578
Market
Overview
sq.km.
The NCR is divided into six broad zones: Delhi,
Gurgaon, Noida/ Greater Noida, Faridabad,
Ghaziabad and Alwar.
20
ZONE
MAJOR RESIDENTIAL
DESTINATIONS
Delhi
Gurgaon
Noida/Greater
Noida
Faridabad
Ghaziabad
Alwar
mn. in
ZONE-WISE SPILT UP OF
UNDER CONSTRUCTION UNITS
18.8%
0.8%
2.0%
23.6%
21.2%
33.7%
Delhi
Noida
Faridabad
Gurgaon
Gt. Noida
Ghaziabad
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
residential
GURGAON
Gurgaon was developed to ease out the
burgeoning growth of New Delhi. It is one of the
four major satellite cities of the NCR, located 30
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
23.8%
No. of Units
518,200
19.2%
600,000
14.1%
500,000
400,000
300,000
9.4%
9%
7.8%
200,000
100,000
Supply
Demand
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
395,650 residential
units absorbed in Delhi NCR
since 2007
NOIDA
Noida city is located in the Gautam Buddha Nagar
district of Uttar Pradesh. Geographically it is
situated to the south-east of Delhi and spread
over 20,316 hectares. New Okhla Industrial
Development Authority is the nodal agency for
the overall development of this region. Noida has
emerged as one of the major satellite cities of the
NCR after Gurgaon. Noida is well connected with
Delhi, Agra, Faridabad and Ghaziabad. A 165 km.
Yamuna Expressway provides connectivity with
Agra via Mathura; an eight-lane Delhi-Noida-Delhi
(DND) Flyover connects Noida and Delhi and a
Faridabad-Noida-Ghaziabad (FNG) highway
provides connectivity with Faridabad and
Ghaziabad. Noida has the Delhi Metro facility till
the City Centre from Delhi and also up to Vaishali.
The metro will further expand in Noida and also
cover Noida Extension and Greater Noida.
145,395 residential
units launched in Noida
during 2007-12
GREATER NOIDA
FARIDABAD
Faridabad is the south-eastern district of Haryana
and the largest city of the state. Being an
industrial hub it has over 25,000 small-scale
industries. The Faridabad-Ballabgarh complex
employs over 500,000 people in approximately
15,000 manufacturing units. The region has
gained prominence due to its proximity to the
National Capital Territory (NCT) of Delhi, Gurgaon
and Greater Noida. For the ease of administration,
Faridabad district is divided into two sub
divisions viz. Faridabad and Ballabgarh.
The city is 25 km. from ISBT, Delhi and only 10 km.
from the Ashram Crossing on Mathura Road. The
Delhi-Mathura-Agra Road (NH-2) passes through
the city via Faridabad, Ballabgarh and Palwal.
Moreover, Faridabad is connected with
Delhi through the metro rail service which
currently terminates at the Delhi-Faridabad
border in Badarpur.
Faridabad houses several Indian and MNC
manufacturing companies. Motorcycles, tyres,
auto-ancillaries, refrigerators, tractors and
switch-gears are some of the major industries in
Faridabad. Larsen & Turbo (L&T), ABB, Goodyear,
Whirlpool, Eicher, JCB, Orient Fans, Bharat Gears,
Lakhani Shoes, Lafarge, Yamaha, Havell's,
Escorts and Castrol are some of the major
companies having their base in Faridabad.
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
171,261
111,649
78,222
59,176
46,605
Launches
51,288
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
GHAZIABAD
Ghaziabad forming one of the major constituents
of the NCR is strategically located 20 km. to the
east of New Delhi. It is a planned industrial city
spread over 1,933 sq. km. Moreover, it also acts
as a main entrance for the state of Uttar Pradesh.
Ghaziabad Development Authority (GDA) is the
nodal agency for the overall development of the
city. The region has gained prominence due to its
proximity to the National Capital Territory (NCT) of
Delhi, Gurgaon, Noida and Meerut. The city's real
estate market witnessed high traction with an
improvement in the physical and social
infrastructure.
Two major arterial roads NH-24 and NH-58
passing through Ghaziabad, provide connectivity
with Lucknow and Badrinath respectively. To
decongest the existing highways, the GDA has
proposed the widening of the NH-24 from the
existing four lanes to six lanes. Further, metro rail
has enhanced the connectivity with other regions
of the NCR. Further, the connectivity within
Ghaziabad will improve with the expansion of the
existing metro rail from Dilshad Garden to New
Bus Stand located near the Meerut Road
crossing. Major residential micro-markets like
Vaishali, Indirapuram, Vasundhara and Raj Nagar
Extension have emerged along these highways.
Being an industrial hub it has over 14,000 smallscale industries, majorly manufacturing defence
products, railway wagons, heavy chains, bicycles
and glassware. Besides many large multi-national
companies, banks, IT and telecom services have
set up their base here. Reliance Energy's
proposed 1,000 hectares multi-product SEZ,
existing manufacturing units of Coca-cola and ITC
have further augmented demand for residential
as well as commercial real estate in Ghaziabad.
ALWAR
Alwar is a district in Rajasthan (a state in India)
located to the south-west of Gurgaon. It is spread
over 8,380 sq.km. of which 262 sq.km. forms a
part of the National Capital Region (NCR).
Rajasthan State Industrial Development and
Investment Corporation Ltd. (RIICO) is the major
nodal agency for the development of Rajasthan.
RIICO has been a catalyst for the overall industrial
transformation of the state. Over the years with
progressive industrial policies by the state
government, the district is now able to boast of
various industrial hubs. Some of the major
commercial areas are Bhiwadi, Tapookara,
Khushkhera and Neemrana. These commercial
areas house sectors like cement, automobile,
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Employment Indicators
Infrastructure Development
Service Sectors
Manufacturing Sector
Rail Network
Road Network
IT/ITeS Sector
Auto Sector
Metro Corridor
Dwarka Expressway
Other Manufacturing
Sectors
Monorail Corridor
Yamuna Expressway
Southern Periphral Road
KMP Expressway
DELHI
GURGAON
NOIDA/
GREATER NOIDA
GHAZIABAD
Stamp duty
6% for Men
5% for Joint
4% for Women
7% for Men
6% for Joint
5% for Women
7% for Men
6% for Joint
5% for Women
8% + 2%
additional charges
Registration
`15,000 (for
properties above
`2.5mn)
`22,000
1% of market
value or `30,000
whichever is less
3.09%
3.09%
3.09%
3.09%
MARKET NORMS
ASPECTS
DELHI
GURGAON
NOIDA/
GREATER NOIDA
GHAZIABAD
Re-sale before
possession
Allowed
Allowed
Allowed
Allowed
First transfer is
sometimes free and
at times it is `100`150 per sq. ft.
`100-`150
per sq. ft.
`100-`150
per sq. ft.
Transfer charges
payable to builder
Loading
(as % of carpet)
12-20%
33-45%
20-45%
25-33%
Remarks
Speculative Market
Speculative Market
Speculative Market
Speculative
Market
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Completion of Gurgaon-
ROAD NETWORK
LENGTH
OBSERVATIONS
Delhi-Gurgaon
Expressway
28 km.
Delhi-Noida Direct
(DND) Flyway
9 km.
Yamuna Expressway
165 km.
Noida - Greater
Noida Expressway
25 km.
NH-1
22 km.
NH-2 (Delhi-Mathura
Road)
12 km.
NH-10
18 km.
Mehrauli-Gurgaon
Road
19 km.
A 19 km. stretch along the NH-236 connects Mehrauli (South Delhi) with
the Gurgaon city centre.
5 km.
Starting from the Samalkha Crossing in New Delhi, this 5 km. road runs
parallel to Delhi-Gurgaon Expressway (NH8) providing connectivity
between Delhi and Gurgaon.
Gurgaon-Faridabad
Road
25 km.
BallabhgarhSohna Road
28 km.
A two-lane 28 km. toll highway connects Faridabad and Sohna, the two
major cities of Haryana. It starts from Ballabhgarh and ends at Rewari Palwal.
Delhi-Faridabad
Skyway
4.4 km.
LENGTH
OBSERVATIONS
190 km.
22 km.
It is a part of the Delhi Metro line starting from New Delhi Railway Station to
the Dwarka Sector 21 connecting the city centre with the Indira Gandhi
International Airport.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
CONNECTIVITY
LENGTH
OBSERVATIONS
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Kundli-ManesarPalwal (KMP)
Expressway
136 km.
Under
construction
2013-14
Dwarka
Expressway
18 km.
Under
construction
2014-15
Southern
Peripheral Road
(SPR)
14 km.
Under
construction
2013-14
Faridabad-NoidaGhaziabad (FNG)
Expressway
56 km.
Under
construction
Beyond 2016
industrial centres in
Haryana
LENGTH
OBSERVATIONS
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
6.1 km.
Under
construction
2013-14
12 km.
Bid invited
Beyond 2015
BadarpurFaridabad Metro
Corridor
14 km.
Under
Construction
2016-17
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
IT/ITeS SECTOR
Over the past decade, Gurgaon, Noida and
Greater Noida have emerged as major IT/ITeS
centres of India. Proximity to Delhi, sound
infrastructure, cosmopolitan culture, availability
of skilled workforce and industry-friendly
government policies made it a favourable
destination among the IT/ITeS companies. The
thriving outsourcing industry provides direct and
indirect employment to over 500,000 people.
Prominent companies having operation in this
region are Genpact, Dell, Amdocs, Norte, HP,
Motorola, TCS, Alcatel, Siemens, HCL, Patni and
CSC.
Noida 21 mn.sq.ft.
Gurgaon has evolved as the major Peripheral
Business District of the NCR. It has over 55 mn.
sq.ft. of office stock which is primarily
concentrated in the DLF Cyber City (Phase I-V) and
micro-markets along the Golf Course Road. This
region houses many renowned tech-parks and
IT/ITeS SEZ. Micro-markets along the MG Road,
Golf Course Road, DLF Phase IV and Golf Course
Extension have evolved into self-sustaining hubs.
This is mainly on account of quality commercial
offices, superior residential developments and
well-developed organised retail markets.
Signature Towers, DLF Cyber City, Unitech
Infospace, Vatika Business Park and Global
Business Park are some of the notable
commercial buildings in Gurgaon.
Owing to its proximity to New Delhi, favourable
industrial policies and huge availability of land,
Noida has emerged as the preferred destination
for IT/ITeS companies. Over the last decade,
MANUFACTURING SECTOR
The manufacturing activity in the NCR is
concentrated in the sub-regions of Haryana, Uttar
Pradesh and Rajasthan. The manufacturing
industry in this region was boosted through the
creation of Industrial Zones and Special Economic
3.4%
57.1%
19.6%
Delhi
Gt. Noida
Noida
Gurgaon
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
100
80
60
40
20
Stock
Occupied Stock
30%
40%
15%
IT/ITeS
Manufacturing
Others
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Ol
dG
ur
ga
on
Ro
ad
GURGAON MAP
Ico Chowk
oad
di R
tau
Pa
oa
d
d
oa
si
xten
course e
Golf
Pataudi R
Major Roads
Existing Metro
Under Construction Metro
Under Construction Dwarka Expressway
Airport
Railway Line
Benchmark location
Top destination
Employment Hubs
Major Roads
Railway Line
Proposed Metro Rail
Noida
Greater Noida
Benchmark location
Top destination
Employment Hubs
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
119,404 residential
units launched in Gurgaon
during 2007-12
PREFERRED
ZONES IN
THE NCR
New Delhi being the national capital of the
country has always been the most preferred
destination in India. The dominance of the city in
business and bureaucratic oces has been the
major driver for real estate development. We
believe New Delhi as a destination will continue
with its dominance and be in demand
perpetually. The city is land-locked and as such
land is hardly available within the city limits.
Hence, to support the ever burgeoning growth of
the city, satellite cities like Gurgaon, Noida,
Ghaziabad, Faridabad and Greater Noida
emerged. However, we do not expect gains in all
the residential markets to be identical. We
believe residential markets of Gurgaon, Noida
and Greater Noida will grow at a higher
magnitude based on factors like employment
opportunities and infrastructure developments.
We have considered all these dynamics while
selecting the investment destinations.
RESIDENTIAL PROJECT
LAUNCH TREND IN GURGAON
* Till September 2012
2007
2008
GURGAON
Gurgaon is a self-sustaining real estate market
comprising all the verticals of real estate viz.
residential, retail, commercial and industrial.
Major factors like availability of huge land
parcels, quality commercial properties, proximity
to the international airport, favourable tax
policies and access to the talented workforce
lured many corporates to Gurgaon. It is not only
an industrial and nancial centre of Haryana but
2009
2010
2011
2012*
26,356
23,439
24,307
19,870
16,492
8,939
Launches
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
during 2007-12
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
17.3%
11%
140,000
No. of Units
120,000
8.1%
100,000
80,000
7.7%
60,000
40,000
7.3%
3.3%
20,000
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
Existing Infrastructure
DELHI-GURGAON EXPRESSWAY
Delhi Gurgaon Expressway is the most
breathtaking development in India's transport
history. It provides a free-owing alternative to
the congested NH-8. Since its opening in January
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
28 km. Delhi-Gurgaon
Expressway and 25-km.
Gurgaon-Faridabad Link
Road are the major
arterial roads
GURGAON-FARIDABAD ROAD
LINK
A 25 km. toll highway starting from Sector-54 of
Gurgaon and ending at the junction of Pali Bhakri
Road in Faridabad, has been built by widening
the existing two-lane road to four lanes.
toll expressway has enhanced the connectivity
between Delhi and the commercial hub, Gurgaon.
Starting from Dhaula Kaun in Delhi the
expressway terminates at Manesar and has 11
yovers and underpasses. The expressway has
four toll plazas including the 36-lane toll plaza at
the Delhi-Haryana Border.
Upcoming
Infrastructure
DWARKA EXPRESSWAY
KMP EXPRESSWAY
A 135 km. access controlled expressway
connecting Kundli with Palwal via Manesar in
Haryana is under construction. It will connect
important industrial centres of Haryana and
intersect four of India's busiest National
Highways: NH-1 near Kundli (Sonipat), NH-10 near
Bahadurgarh, NH-8 at Manesar (Gurgaon) and
NH-2 near Palwal (Faridabad). The project is
expected to be complete by 2013-14.
Employment
Indicators in
Gurgaon
Gurgaon is an industrial and nancial centre of
Haryana. It has now emerged as one of the
prominent destinations for IT/ITeS outsourcing
and o-shoring hubs, mainly due to its proximity
to the national capital coupled with huge
availability of quality commercial properties and
favourable government policies. The commercial
oce space is concentrated in North Gurgaon,
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Stock
Occupied Stock
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PROJECT NAME
LOCATION
MAJOR COMPANIES
BPTP I Park
Udyog Vihar
Cisco, Deloitte
Global Foyer
Sohna Road
JMD IT Park
Sohna Road
Gurgaon to witness
another 22.3 mn. sq.ft. of
new oce supply by 2017
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
18,649 residential
units launched in the
micro-markets along the
Dwarka Expressway since
2007
DESTINATION
DWARKA EXPRESSWAY
(Sec 103-106, 109-113)
2011
2012*
No. of Units
31%
15.6%
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
8.4%
6.5%
4.2%
0.3%
Stock
77%
OF THE RESIDENTIAL
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
RESIDENTIAL
PROJECT LAUNCH TREND IN
DWARKA EXPRESSWAY
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
2012
2017E
`17,300
7,456
6,839
`10,200
`10,200
`4,900
230
1,374
694
2,146
141
Launches
Dwarka Expressway
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
Annual average
absorption rate in the
Dwarka Expressway 3,180
units
18,000
16,000
14,000
40%
12,000
10,000
52%
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
2007
2008
2010
2009
Dwarka Expressway
2011
2012
Discount Margin
ROAD
MG
17
km
NESAR
MA
11
mins
28
km
9
km
6
mins
13
km
OL
F CO SE RO
UR
Distance
Travel time
17
mins
29
km
8
mins
CO
LA
NNA
UGHT P
CE
primarily on account of
AD
Selected destination
18
mins
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Investment
Options in Dwarka
Expressway
INVESTMENT TICKET SIZE
3BHK
1,900 - 3,447
950 - 1,460
2BHK
9.3 - 16.9
4.7 - 7.2
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Sector
Developer
No. of Units
Launch Date
Completion Date
Vedas
108
Raheja Builders
250
Nov-10
Dec-13
The Residency
103
500
Dec-10
Mar-14
to increase to `10,200/sq.ft.
Centrum
103
India Bulls
750
Mar-09
Mar-13
110
110
Apr-11
Mar-14
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Extension
GREATER
NOIDA
Builders allowed to
resume construction in
Noida Extension
RESIDENTIAL PROJECT
LAUNCH TREND IN GREATER NOIDA
* Till September 2012
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
82,150
23,619
6,121
3,035
Launches
5,638
6,860
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
37.4%
36.3%
140,000
29.8%
No. of Units
120,000
100,000
80,000
22.2%
60,000
21.4%
40,000 18%
20,000
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
Existing Infrastructure
YAMUNA EXPRESSWAY
A 165 km. six-lane expressway connecting Greater
Noida with Agra started in August-2012. This
access controlled toll expressway is a better
alternative to NH-2 which earlier used to handle
all the Agra bound trac from the NCR. The
expressway has reduced the travel time between
Noida and Agra from 5 hours to less than 2
hours.It will relieve trac congestion on the NH-2
(which runs through the cities of Faridabad,
Ballabgarh and Palwal) and Old Grand Trunk Road
(NH-91).
Upcoming Infrastructure
FARIDABAD-NOIDA-GHAZIABAD
(FNG) EXPRESSWAY
A 56 km. expressway meant to connect FaridabadNoida-Ghaziabad had been oated way back in
1993 the Haryana government did not nd this
feasible and scrapped the idea in 1998. However,
construction has begun on a stretch of 16 km.
which falls under the jurisdiction of Noida
Authority. As on date an 8 km. stretch has been
constructed. This stretch is an important link
between Noida and Ghaziabad. Currently, the
congested NH-24 is the only link between the two
cities and once the 16 km. stretch is complete, it
will provide smooth and hassle free travel
between Noida and Ghaziabad. This road will also
provide speedy access to Greater Noida.
METRO LINE
The City Centre Metro line will be extended till Eco
Village via Sector 71. Out of the planned four
stations two will be in Noida Extension. The Metro
terminal will be near Eco Village-III, which is
around 3 km. from Noida Extension roundabout.
In addition to Noida Extension, group housing
projects are also being constructed in various
areas of Noida, especially from Sectors 74 to 79,
Sectors 112 and 119. The Metro extension will even
cater to these areas where nearly 50 housing
projects are being constructed. This would be the
rst Metro Rail connecting Noida Extension with
Delhi-NCR.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Employment Indicators in
Greater Noida
Stock
Occupied Stock
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
DESTINATION
NOIDA EXTENSION
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF NOIDA EXTENSION
* Till September 2012
No. of Units
2010
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
Stock
2012*
38.4%
38.6%
30.7%
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
2011
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
2010
2011
2012*
2012
2017e
`11,260
64,890
`6,975
`3,200
14,890
Launches
1,271
`6,760
Noida Extension
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
Prices in Noida Extension
to increase to ` 6,760/ sq.ft.
12,000
10,000
40%
8,000
54%
6,000
4,000
2,000
2010
2011
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
Discount Margin
Noida Extn.
1,995 - 3,400
4BHK
6.4 - 10.9
1,480 - 2,100
3BHK
4.7 - 6.7
895 - 1,060
2BHK
2.9 - 3.4
410 - 580
1BHK
1.5 - 2.2
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Sector Developer
No. of
Units
Completion
Date
Eco Village -I 1
Supertech
5,000
Apr-15
Gaursons
3,000
Dec-14
Terrace
Homes
Amarpali
Group
3,000
Oct-14
Eco Village
II & III
16B
Supertech
8,000
Sep-14
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Hidden Gem
Neemrana
in Neemrana-Behror area
CON
T
UGH PLAC
NA
E L HI
ED
72
km
93
km
55
km
AD, GURGA
RO
ON
MG
BHIWADI
117
km
106
km
Distance
.
.
.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
An Integrated Freight
Complex covering an area
of 392 hectares has been
Hidden Gem
Narela
planned in Narela
CONNECTIVITY TO IMPORTANT
LOCATIONS
* By road
13
km
Distance
5
km
10
km
KUNDLI
8
km
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Hidden Gem
MANESAR
CONNECTIVITY TO IMPORTANT
LOCATIONS
CON
L HI
48
km
DELHI IN
ER
N
IRPORT
26
km
LA
26
km
P
GHT LACE,
AU
DE
COURSE RO
LF
AD
GO
* By road
A
AT ION
Distance
in Manesar
Manesar has tremendous opportunities to grow
as an industrial hub and the Haryana State
Industrial Development Corporation (HSIDC) is
not leaving any stone unturned in making it a
destination worth reckoning. Industrial Model
Town (IMT) a Haryana government initiative, has
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Mumbai
1991
13.45
3.38%
Population
2001
17.81
2.85%
2011
23.51
2.82%
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
MUMBAI MAP
AIROLI
VASHI
KHARGHAR
PRABHADEVI
WADALA
BELAPUR
Proposed
International Airport
ULWE
10000
20000
4000
40000
80000
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
4,355
sq.km.
Market
Overview
23.51
mn.
MAJOR RESIDENTIAL
DESTINATIONS
Island city
Western zone
Central zone
Navi Mumbai
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
112,543
72,129
69,150
44,483
37,127
Launches
41,950
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
1,12,543 units
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
24%
18%
No. of Units
41,950 units in
2012*
400,000
350,000
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
Stock
14%
8%
8%
6%
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
5%
36%
39%
Island city
Western zone
Central zone
Navi Mumbai
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Infrastructure Development
connectivity in Mumbai
Service Sectors
Road Network
Rail Network
BFSI
Western Expressway
Eastern Expressway
IT/ITeS
Air Network
Upcoming International
Airport
Upcoming Eastern
Freeway
Infrastructure Development
EXISTING ARTERIAL ROAD NETWORK
ROAD NETWORK
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
Western Expressway
25 km.
Extending from Bandra to Dahisar, this 8 lane arterial road has been
enhancing the south-north connectivity in the city instrumental in the city
Eastern Expressway
24 km.
This 6 lane arterial road between Sion and Thane provides the southnorth connectivity
25 km.
SUBURBAN TRAIN
NETWORK
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
Churchgate - Virar
60 km.
Thane - Panvel
49 km.
This suburban rail network provides connectivity with the satellite city
of Navi Mumbai
connected regions
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Mumbai Trans
Harbour Link
(MTHL)
22 km.
Planned
Beyond 2017
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PROJECT
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Eastern Freeway
16.8 km.
Under
Construction
2013
Multi-modal
Corridor (Virar Alibaug)
140 km.
Planned
Beyond 2017
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
11.40 km.
Under
construction
2013
31.90 km.
Planned
Beyond 2017
Monorail Phase I
(WadalaChembur)
8.2 km.
Under
Construction
2013
Planned
2016-17
Under
Construction
2016
Under
construction
2014
Monorail Phase II
(Jacob CircleWadala)
Navi Mumbai
suburban train
network
extension (NerulSeawood-Uran)
Navi Mumbai
Metro Rail Phase
I (Belapur to
Pendhar)
12 km.
32 km.
11.10 km.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PROJECT
DISTANCE
OBSERVATIONS
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Navi Mumbai
Metro Rail Phase
II & III (Pendhar
to Khandeshwar)
10.35 km.
Planned
2016
Western Elevated
Rail Corridor
(Oval Maidan Virar)
62.27 km.
Bidding
stage
Beyond 2017
33%
of the occupied
PROJECT
OBSERVATIONS
STATUS
EXPECTED COMPLETION
Navi Mumbai
International
Airport
Planned
Phase I by 2015
30%
21%
33%
Island city
Western zone
Central zone
Navi Mumbai
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
63%
MMR OFFICE
SPACE DYNAMICS
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
Stock
Occupied Stock
10%
STATUTORY COSTS
AND MARKET NORMS
STATUTORY COSTS
COST
DETAILS
Stamp Duty
Registration
MARKET NORMS
NORM
DETAILS
Re-sale before
possession
Allowed
55% - 80%
(Developers market the property at 55% loading on usable carpet, which includes
free of FSI and non-live-able areas like ower bed, drying area, etc. Implying an
eective loading of 55-80%.)
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PREFERRED
ZONES IN
MMR
Mumbai has gained its fair share of glory by
being the nancial capital of the country. The
dominance of the city in the business landscape
of the country has been driving the real estate
development. We expect this trend to continue in
the foreseeable future. However, we do not expect
all residential markets to reap the benets on the
same scale. The city is surrounded by the Arabian
Sea on three sides and as such land is extremely
scarce in the Mumbai city limits. Hence, the
region will grow towards the north and the
eastern territory, predominantly Navi Mumbai.
However, the magnitude of growth will vary
across these emerging markets depending on
factors like employment opportunities,
infrastructure development and connectivity. We
have factored in these dynamics in selecting the
investment destinations.
As a result of this thought process, we expect
Navi Mumbai zone and the Central zone to be the
biggest beneciaries in the next ve years. Navi
Mumbai region is primarily a hub for the IT/ITeS
industry and we estimate this momentum to
accelerate in the next ve years. This estimate is
based on the fact that it is a planned city and
there is visibility on the development of the
infrastructure projects. Relatively lower oce
rentals and large oce space options are factors
that make this zone a preferred place for the IT
industry. Strategic location on the Mumbai Pune
Expressway, that connects the Hinjewadi IT belt of
Pune, will be benecial to Navi Mumbai. Going
forward, the development of MMR's second
international airport in this zone will only
augment the cause.
Our other promising region in the MMR is the
central zone. The relocation of oce occupiers
towards the north is a trend that we expect to
continue and the central zone is expected to
emerge as a signicant beneciary of this. While
oce markets like the Bandra Kurla Complex
(BKC), Lower Parel and Worli continue to be
preferred locations for the BFSI and consulting
companies, oce developments on the LBS Road
will further fuel the growth of the residential
market in this zone. On the connectivity front,
while the Eastern Expressway has been the
lifeline of road connectivity in this zone, the
under construction Eastern Freeway project will
be a great supplement. Its connectivity with the
NAVI
MUMBAI
Developed as a planned satellite city of Mumbai,
Navi Mumbai has emerged as a self-sustaining
zone within the MMR. This zone has the presence
of industrial activity in the regions of Mahape and
Taloja. However, the last decade has witnessed a
stellar growth of the IT/ITeS industry in this zone.
Navi Mumbai provides a better quality of living at a
relatively lower price than Mumbai and hence
20% of the under construction residential
property in the MMR is contributed by this zone.
City and Industrial Development Corporation
(CIDCO) is the development body for the zone
entrusted by the state to carry out the planned
development. Besides the government's land
holding, CIDCO acquires land from farmers and
other private land owners and then auctions it as
per its city's development plan. The Navi Mumbai
zone has witnessed high growth of residential
development in the last ve years. Since 2007,
87,055 residential units have been launched
here, of which almost 65,403 units have been
absorbed. However, the consumer appetite was
hit with the soaring property prices putting a dent
on aordability since 2010. The fallout of high
RESIDENTIAL LAUNCH
TREND IN NAVI MUMBAI
* Till September 2012
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
28,247
20,220
14,011
9,585
7,141
Launches
7,850
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
POWAI
ANDHERI
JUHU
BANDRA
KHARGHAR
DADAR
BELAPUR
PANVEL
Proposed
International Airport
Airport
Major Roads
FORT
COLABA
Proposed MTHL
Railway Line
Under Construction Rail Line
Benchmark location
URAN
Top destination
Employment Hubs
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
25%
No. of Units
11%
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
6%
4%
3%
Cumulative Supply
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
Employment
Infrastructure Development
connectivity in Navi
Mumbai
IT/ITeS
Manufacturing
Road Network
Rail Network
Air Network
Thane-Belapur Road
Upcoming International
Airport
Upcoming Metro
rail network
Existing Infrastructure
THANE-BELAPUR ROAD
The 20 km. Thane-Belapur Road is the most
important road link in the zone providing both the
intra-zone as well as inter-zone connectivity with
Navi Mumbai. Towards the north it begins at
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Upcoming
Infrastructure
VASHI BRIDGE
The 6-lane Vashi Bridge also referred to as the
Sion- Panvel Expressway is a major inter-zone
link. Providing East-West connectivity within the
MMR, this road connects Navi Mumbai zone at
Vashi with the central zone at Mankhurd. At
present this link is the rst entry point and also
the shortest road network from the island city
zone to the Navi Mumbai zone.
AIROLI BRIDGE
The Airoli Bridge serves as the inter-zone
connector by connecting the Navi Mumbai zone
with the central zone. It links the Eastern
expressway at Mulund in the Central zone with
the Thane-Belapur Road at Airoli in the Navi
Mumbai zone.
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Employment Indicators in
Navi Mumbai
105%
30
in
25
20
15
10
5
Stock
Occupied Stock
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
4,805 units
DESTINATION
ULWE
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF ULWE
* Till September 2012
2009
2010
2011
2012*
27%
23%
7,000
No. of Units
6,000
5,000
12%
4,000
3,000
2,000
5%
1,000
Cumulative Supply
2015
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
2010
2011
2012*
2012
2017E
`15,802
2,675
`10,000
2,256
`9,800
`4,000
230
700
Vashi
130
Launches
Ulwe
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
infrastructure is a
concern. However,
planned development will
18,000
16,000
14,000
38%
12,000
10,000
60%
8,000
Ulwe will benefit on
account of the corollary
commercial acivity arising
from the upcoming
6,000
4,000
2,000
2009
Vashi
Ulwe
2010
2011
2012
Discount Margin
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
* By road
major oce
MAHAPE
AIROLI
TURBHE
16
km
11
km
of 22 km.
22
km
7
km
15
km
18
km
RABALE
CB
D BELAPUR
VASHI
Distance
7 km.
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
1600 - 1850
3BHK
6.9 - 8.7
Vighnaharta Shree
Complex
Siddhivinayak 126
Sep-11 Mar-14
880 - 1224
2BHK
3.6 - 5.8
Palacio
Platinum
Group
122
Jan-11
500 - 700
1BHK
2.0 - 2.9
Neelsiddhi
Joya
Neelsidhi
Group
120
Feb-12 Dec-13
Swaraj
Kingston
Swaraj
Builders
164
Dec-10 Jul-14
145%
Developer
Nov-13
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
2,625
DESTINATION
CHEMBUR
units
are sold
2007
2008 2009
2010
2011
2012*
24%
25%
19%
No. of Units
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
3%
0%
Cumulative Supply
On account of its
startegic location in the
MMR, overall growth of
employment in the city will
4%
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
2012
2017E
`55,459
1,601
`36,000
`27,000
`12,000
845
360
377
210
Launches
125
Prabhadevi
Chembur
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
60,000
54,000
48,000
51%
42,000
36,000
30,000
67%
24,000
18,000
12,000
6,000
2007
Prabhadevi
2008
Chembur
2009
2010
2011
2012
Discount Margin
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
AN
D
RLA COMP
KU
L
10
km
7
km
VASHI
KURLA
RIRO
HE
NA
AD
C)
(BK
EX
BAN
DR
* By road
13
km
22
km
12
km
8
km
AN PO
IN
RIM
T
18
km
IK
R
HR
OLI- LBS
LO
W
L
ER PARE
WORLI
Distance
125%
1600 - 1750
4BHK
16 - 19.3
1350 - 1700
3BHK
12.8 - 18.7
5 years
1000 - 1150
2BHK
9.5 - 11.5
600 - 760
1BHK
5.4 - 7.6
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Developer
Views
Dheeraj
Group
308
May-10 Jun-14
Brizo
Residency
Red Brick
132
Dec-10 Dec-14
Mangal
Moorti
Jan-10
Dec-14
Akshay
Paradise
Akshay
Corporation
Jun-11
Oct-14
70
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Of the
1,871
residential
DESTINATION
WADALA
2011
2012*
56%
56%
46%
No. of Units
2010
2000
41%
41%
1500
1000
perception of Wadala as a
residential market has
500
3%
signicantly improved
Cumulative Supply
Being strategically
located, Wadala will
benet from its
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
* Figures in `/sq.ft
connectivity with
employment hubs across
the MMR
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
2012
2017E
`55,459
1,387
`36,000
`35,000
`15,000
313
72
95
Launches
Prabhadevi
Wadala
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
60,000
54,000
48,000
37%
42,000
36,000
30,000
58%
24,000
18,000
12,000
6,000
2007
Prabhadevi
2008
Wadala
2009
2010
2011
2012
Discount Margin
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
amenities
* By road
AN
WORLI
10
km
5
km
21
km
13
km
18
km
EX
PL
BA
DR
AK
VASHI
15
km
8
km
Distance
ERI- KURLA
DH
AD
RO
WER PAR
LO
E
URLA C
OM
AD
VI
O
KH
ROLI- LBS R
NA
T
RIMAN POIN
Travel time
SELECT PROJECTS
Wadala residential
property shall appreciate
by
133%
next 5 years
1950 - 2700
4BHK
28.3 - 45.9
during the
1500 - 1900
3BHK
22.5 - 30.4
1260 -1520
2BHK
18.3 - 25.1
Project
Developer
Dosti
Ambrosia
Dosti Group
288
New Cue
Parade
Nov-10 Sep-14
Oct-11
Nov-15
Vishwachand R.K.
Sky
Developers
100
May-11
Dec-13
Zeon
164
Sep-11
Dec-15
Ajmera
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
HIDDEN GEM
Ranjanpada
connectivity of
Ranjanpada with the
* By road
AIROLI
D BELAPU
R
CB
28
km
15
km
22
km
VASHI
Distance
Suburban train
connectivity will
establish Ranjanpada as a
residential market in the
years
CONNECTIVITY TO IMPORTANT
LOCATIONS
* By road
55
km
MAN POI
RI
40
mins
45
km
ER PAR
E
OW
38
mins
NT
next
CONNECTIVITY TO IMPORTANT
LOCATIONS
NA
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PUNE
1991
2.49
4.0%
Population
2001
3.76
4.0%
2011
5.05
3.0%
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PUNE MAP
Major Roads
Railway Line
Proposed Metro Corridor I
Proposed Metro Corridor II
South Zone
West Zone
Central Zone
East Zone
North Zone
Price Contours (`/ sq.ft)
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
5.05 mn.
Market
Overview
Pune is divided into ve broad zones: Central,
North, West, South and East.
ZONE
MAJOR RESIDENTIAL
DESTINATIONS
North
Central
Development of
Hinjewadi as an
IT/ITeS destination has led
to an unprecedented
South
East
West
200,301
which
units of
154,874 units
2008
2009
2010
42,637
38,809
2011
2012*
40,452
33,104
24,866
20,433
Launches
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
200,000
10%
160,000
120,000
80,000
23%
20%
13%
9%
8%
40,000
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
33%
28%
2%
19%
Central
West
North
South
East
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
IT/ITeS, Auto
and
Employment Indicators
Infrastructure Development
Engineering
sectors are the
Service Sector
Manufacturing Sector
Rail Network
Road Network
primary employment
IT/ITeS Sector
Ring Road
Engineering
drivers
Infrastructure Development
EXISTING ARTERIAL ROAD NETWORK
CONNECTIVITY
DESCRIPTION
Mumbai-Pune
Bypass Road (NH-4)
Pune Nashik
Highway (NH-50)
Pune Solapur
Highway (NH-9)
Pune is connected
through
roads
4 major arterial
DESCRIPTION
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Outer Ring
Road I
Theur Phata
This road will provide direct
(NH-9) - Wagholi - connectivity between NH- 9 in
Chimbli (NH-50)
East Pune and NH-50 in North Pune
Feasibility study
and preparation of
a detailed project
report
2017-18
Outer Ring
Road II
Chimbali Phata
(NH-50) - NH-4 Pirangut
Feasibility study
and preparation of
a detailed project
report
2017-18
Outer Ring
Road III
Feasibility study
and preparation of
a detailed project
report
Post 2018
Outer Ring
Road IV
Feasibility study
and preparation of
a detailed project
report
Post 2018
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
CONNECTIVITY
DESCRIPTION
CURRENT
STATUS
EXPECTED
COMPLETION
Ramwadi - Pune
Station - Wanaz
Undergoing
detailed technicalfeasibility study
2017-18
Approval stage
Post 2018
expected to be completed
by
2017-18
Pune Metro
Rail Corridor I
Pune Metro
Pimpri Chinchwad - Will enhance connectivity between
Rail Corridor II Shivaji Nagar North and South Pune
Swargate
74%
of the total
oce stock
32%
46%
74%
26%
14%
3%
Central
West
North
South
East
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Before 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
2008
STATUTORY COSTS
AND MARKET NORMS
STATUTORY COSTS
26.7
space is forecasted to be
absorbed in the next 5
years
COST
DETAILS
Stamp Duty
Registration
1% on agreement value
Service Tax
MARKET NORMS
NORM
DETAILS
Loading
Brokerage
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Re-sale before
possession is not allowed
in most of the projects
The attractiveness of
Pimpri
Chinchwad
as a manufacturing hub is
slowly fading out, with
many companies shifting
their units to alternate
cheaper locations
While
PREFERRED
ZONE IN
PUNE
Pune residential market has historically been an
end-user driven market which has ensured
minimal price volatility. However, 2007 onwards
investor participation has witnessed an
increasing trend with local investors as well as
those from Mumbai buying properties in the
peripheral areas. This is despite the fact that
most of the developers discourage investor
participation by restricting re-sale before
possession.
Employment growth and infrastructure
development will be the primary drivers of the
real estate market in Pune in the coming years.
However, the impact of infrastructure
development will be comparatively low, as most
of the upcoming infrastructure projects are still at
a very nascent stage and will not be operational
before 2018. Growth in employment will be largely
from the IT/ITeS sector followed by the
manufacturing sector.
North Pune, where majority of the existing
manufacturing plants are located, will benet
from the growth in the Auto & Auto Ancillary
sector. However, the impact of this will be limited
as no new units are being set up here due to the
paucity of large vacant land parcels and high cost
of existing land. The attractiveness of Pimpri
Chinchwad as the manufacturing hub is slowly
fading out, with many companies shifting their
units to alternate cheaper locations. Most of the
new manufacturing plants are coming up along
the periphery of Pune like Chakan and
Ranjangaon which are located 32 km. and 50 km.
away from the city centre respectively. Hence, no
signicant benet of incremental employment
will be felt on North Pune.
East and West Pune will accrue the maximum
benet of incremental employment in Pune, as
more than three-fourth of the existing oce
space stock and 95% of the upcoming stock will
be located here. However, within these two
zones, the West Zone will account for majority of
the upcoming oce space. While 16.8 mn.sq.ft.
of incremental oce stock will be added to West
Zone, the East will add only 9 mn.sq.ft. In
addition to this, oces in East Pune are spread
across dierent destinations such as Hadapsar,
Kharadi, Kalyani Nagar, Magarpatta City and
Nagar Road. This distributes the demand for
residential space evenly across these
WEST PUNE
Maharashtra governments push to the IT/ITeS
sector by setting up of the Rajiv Gandhi Infotech
Park in Hinjewadi has changed the face of West
Pune. Currently, Phase I, II and III of the park are
operational with campuses of IT/ITeS majors such
as Infosys, Wipro, TCS, Tech Mahindra and
Cognizant present here. Apart from this, various
companies are operating out of the Dlf Akruti IT
SEZ, Blueridge SEZ, Embassy Techzone and
Ascendas International Tech Park which together
account for over 5 mn.sq.ft. of oce stock. Plans
for further expansion into Phase IV and V are
underway and land acquisition is already in
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
16,710
14,947
13,850
11,150
10,513
5,865
Launches
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
NH
DEHUROAD
CANTOMENT
To
h
K
a
d
n
a
la
CHIKHALI
m
Mu
iba
n
Pu
e
Ex
pr
es
sw
ay
CHINCHWAD
RAVET
NH
PIMPRI
TATHAWADE
PIMPRI
CHINCHWAD
NH
WAKAD
HINJEWADI
BALEWADI
Baner Ro
ad
BANER
AUNDH
SUS
PASHAN
LAVALE
BAVDHAN
Major Roads
PIRANGUT
Railway Line
Benchmark location
Paud Road
Paud
Road
oa
eR
rv
Ka
Top destination
Employment Hubs
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Hinjewadi is set
to become one of the
largest oce space hubs
in India
2007 2008
73,035 units
2009
2010
2011
2012*
22%
17%
No. of Units
10%
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
Stock
22%
6%
4%
5%
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
EXISTING
UPCOMING
INFRAINFRASTRUCTURE STRUCTURE
MUMBAI-PUNE BYPASS ROAD
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Residential development in
West Pune has been
centred along the various
Hinjewadi and directly connect with the MumbaiPune Expressway in north the and PuneBangalore Highway (NH-4) in the south thereby
reducing the strain on the existing Mumbai-Pune
Bypass Road.
Mumbai-
Pune Bypass
Road
EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS
IN WEST PUNE
The major employment driver in West Pune is the
IT/ITeS sector. Since 2008, more than 22 mn.
sq.ft. of office space has been constructed in this
zone including the captive offices of companies
like TCS, Infosys, Wipro and Cognizant. In the
next five years, an additional 16.8 mn. sq.ft. of
office space will become operational taking the
total office stock in West Pune to 47.3 mn. sq.ft.
by the end of 2017.
50
40
30
20
10
Before 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
2008
INVESTMENT DESTINATIONS
IN WEST PUNE
Employment opportunities in the IT/ITeS sector
will be the primary driver of the residential market
in West Pune. Although prices will rise in majority
of the destinations located in this zone, there will
be certain destinations that will outperform
others. Destinations that are in close proximity to
Hinjewadi or located along the Mumbai-Pune
Bypass Road will witness higher price
appreciation as compared to farther locations
due to the concentration of office space here.
In the last ten years, locations such as Baner,
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
We forecast an
incremental absorption of
17.6
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
We expect Hinjewadi,
Wakad, Tathawade and
Ravet to witness the
DESTINATION
HINJEWADI
2007 2008
2009
2010
2011
28%
No. of Units
20,000
15,000
24%
18%
17%
10,000
14%
12%
5,000
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
2012*
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
24%
in Hinjewadi
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
2012
4,214
3,750
2017E
4,076
`11,200
`7,800
`8,000
`4,000
1,881
975
175
Launches
Aundh
Hinjewadi
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
We forecast prices in
Hinjewadi to increase by
100% from
2012 to 2017
12,000
10,000
29%
8,000
6,000
49%
4,000
2,000
BEFORE
2008
Hinjewadi
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Discount Margin
Aundh
`3.4 mn.
for a 2 BHK
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Developer
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
1220 - 1800
3BHK
4.9 - 7.2
Megapolis
Kumar
Properties
and ABIL
4000
Mar-08 Dec-13
860 - 1370
2BHK
3.4 - 5.5
Life
Republic
Kolte Patil
Developers
2100
Feb-11
Dec-14
Oct-07
Dec-13
571 - 930
2.3 - 3.7
2000
1BHK
The Crown
Greens
TCG Real
Estate
165
Sep-11
Mar-14
Sovereign
Saarrthi
Group
172
Dec-07 Mar-13
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
15,570 units
DESTINATION
WAKAD
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
No. of Units
13%
15,000
10,000
7%
8%
7%
4%
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
Wakad to increase by
17%
5,000
Stock
We forecast prices in
2012*
years
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
2012
2017E
`11,200
4,234
`7,800
`8,600
3,081
3,077
`4,500
2,576
1,106
1,495
Aundh
Launches
Wakad
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
A drop in new launches in
12,000
10,000
23%
8,000
6,000
42%
4,000
2,000
BEFORE
2008
Wakad
2008
Aundh
2009
2010
2011
2012
Discount Margin
7.2 - 12.2
1470 - 1750
6.6 - 7.9
800 - 1500
3.6 - 6.8
580 - 950
2.6 - 4.3
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Developer
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
Pristine
Prolife
Pristine
Properties
384
Sep-11
Dec-13
Pride Purple
Park
Turquoise Group
192
Jun-11
Oct-14
Kalpataru Kalpataru
Splendour
188
May-10 Dec-13
Casa
Imperia
Jan-11
Dec-13
Elite
Homes
Mar-11
Feb-13
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
Tathawade can be
considered as an
extension of Wakad with
only
4 km. separating
them
DESTINATION
Tathawade
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF TATHAWADE
* Till September 2012
2010
2011
2012*
27%
1,400
22%
No. of Units
1,200
1,000
800
600
4%
400
200
Stock
closely
Cumulative Absorption
% of Unsold Units
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
linked
2010
2011
2012*
2012
2017E
`11,200
`7,800
876
`8,500
`4,300
305
234
Aundh
Launches
Tathawade
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
We forecast prices in
Tathawade to increase by
98%
in the coming 5
years
12,000
10,000
24%
8,000
6,000
45%
4,000
2,000
2010
Tathawade
2011
Aundh
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
Discount Margin
1250 - 1500
3BHK
5.4 - 6.5
920 - 1200
2BHK
4.0 - 5.2
590 - 950
1BHK
2.5 - 4.1
SELECT PROJECTS
Project
Developer
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
Elementa
Akshar
Developers
850
Oct-10
Dec-14
Ganga
Aurum
Park
Goel Ganga
Deployment
144
Dec-11
Jun-14
The Nook
Bhojwani
Homes
282
Jun-12
Dec-14
Palladio
Vilas
Javdekar
Group
150
Sep-11
Sep-13
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
97% in
DESTINATION
RAVET
2010
2011
2012*
2,000
30%
1,800
1,600
17%
No. of Units
1,400
16%
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
Stock
Cumulative Absorption
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in `/sq.ft
Residential activities in
Ravet started post 2010
and a total of
1,744
% of Unsold Units
since then
2010
2011
2012*
2012
757
2017E
`11,200
715
`7,800
`7,800
`3,950
272
Aundh
Launches
Ravet
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
Ticket sizeS in Ravet start
from
a 2 BHK
12,000
10,000
30%
8,000
6,000
49%
4,000
2,000
2010
Ravet
Aundh
2012
2011
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
Discount Margin
SELECT PROJECTS
1178 - 1360
3BHK
4.7 - 5.4
Project
Developer
820 - 1200
2BHK
3.2 - 4.7
Celestial
City
Mar-10
Dec-16
700 - 850
1BHK
2.8 - 3.4
Silver
Gardenia
Rohan
Construction
240
Nov-11
Dec-13
Serene
Scapes
S. D. Tapkir
138
Jun-11
Jul-13
No. of
Units
Launch Completion
Date
Date
INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
DISCLAIMER
The statements made, information and opinions
expressed or provided in this publication are intended
only as a guide to some of the important
considerations that relate to the real estate sector in
India. This report is published for general information
only and does not contain or purport to contain all the
information that any potential investor, looking to
make any investments in India may require. Neither
this report nor any other information supplied in
connection with the report is intended to provide the
basis of any evaluation and any recipient of this report
should not consider such receipt a recommendation
to make investments into the matter of this report.
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preparation of the information, analysis, views and
projections presented in this report, neither Knight
Frank nor any persons involved, including but not
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or agents in the preparation of this publication give or
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damage resultant from the contents of this document.
No decision should be made based on this report and
potential investors should consult their own nancial,
legal, tax and other professional advisors as to the
risks and investment considerations arising from an
investment in real estate sector in India and should
possess the appropriate resources to analyze such
investment and the suitability of such investment to
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investment in the real estate sector in India.
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INVESTMENT
advisory REPORT
Indias Residential Destinations
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Knight Frank India research provides development and strategic advisory to a wide range of clients
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trends in the real estate sector from the data collected through market surveys and interactions with
real estate agencies, developers, funds and other stakeholders.
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Gulam Zia
Executive Director- Advisory,
Retail & Hospitality
gulam.zia@in.knightfrank.com
samantak.das@in.knightfrank.com
Vivek Rathi
Hetal Bachkaniwala
Hitendra Gupta
vivek.rathi@in.knightfrank.com
hetal.bachkaniwala@in.knightfrank.com
hitendra.gupta@in.knightfrank.com
Yashwin Bangera
Ankita Nimbekar
Kamini Gupte
yashwin.bangera@in.knightfrank.com
ankita.nimbekar@in.knightfrank.com
kamini.gupte@in.knightfrank.com