What is inflation and how does the Federal Reserve evaluate changes in the
rate of inflation?
Inflation occurs when the prices of goods and services increase over time. Inflation
cannot be measured by an increase in the cost of one product or service, or even
several products or services. Rather, inflation is a general increase in the overall price
level of the goods and services in the economy.
Federal Reserve policymakers evaluate changes in inflation by monitoring several
different price indexes. A price index measures changes in the price of a group of goods
and services. The Fed considers several price indexes because different indexes track
different products and services, and because indexes are calculated differently.
Therefore, various indexes can send diverse signals about inflation.
The Fed often emphasizes the price inflation measure for personal consumption
expenditures (PCE), produced by the Department of Commerce, largely because the
PCE index covers a wide range of household spending. However, the Fed closely tracks
other inflation measures as well, including the consumer price indexes and producer
price indexes issued by the Department of Labor.
When evaluating the rate of inflation, Federal Reserve policymakers also take the
following steps.
First, because inflation numbers can vary erratically from month to month,
policymakers generally consider average inflation over longer periods of time,
ranging from a few months to a year or longer.
interest rate
The annualized cost of credit or debt-capital computed as the
percentage ratio of interest to the principal.
Each bank can determine its own interest rate on loans but, in practice, local
rates are about the same from bank to bank. In general, interest rates rise
in times of inflation, greater demand for credit, tight money supply,
or due to higher reserve requirements for banks. A rise in interest rates for
any reason tends to dampen business activity (because credit becomes more
expensive) and the stock market (because investors can get
better returns from bankdeposits or newly issued bonds than
from buying shares).
The interest rate of the loan was so high that the young couple was
unable to afford buying a new house of their dreams
. Exchange Rate
An exchange rate is the current market price for which one currency can be exchanged
for another. If the U.S. exchange rate for the Canadian Dollar is $1.60, this means that 1
American Dollar can be exchanged for 1.6 Canadian dollars.
Terms related to Exchange Rates:
Short Rate
Bill of Exchange
e yen tends to reduce the value of the Japanese securities because the yen value of the
securities is worth fewer dollars. Also called foreign exchange rate. See also devaluatio
n, fixed exchange rate, floating exchange rate, foreign exchange risk.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times each year to review
economic and financial conditions and decide on monetary policy. Monetary
policy refers to the actions taken that affect the availability and cost of money and credit.
At these meetings, short-term interest rate targets are determined. Using economic
indicators such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price
Indexes (PPI), the Fed will establish interest rate targets intended to keep the economy
in balance. By moving interest rate targets up or down, the Fed attempts to achieve
maximum employment, stable prices and stable economic growth. The Fed will tighten
interest rates (or increase rates) to stave off inflation. Conversely, the Fed will ease (or
decrease rates) to spur economic growth.
Investors and traders keep a close eye on the FOMC rate decisions. After each of the
eight FOMC meetings, an announcement is made regarding the Fed's decision to
increase, decrease or maintain key interest rates. Certain markets may move in advance
of the anticipated interest rate changes and in response to the actual announcements.
For example, the U.S. dollar typically rallies in response to an interest rate increase.