Se anuncian extensamente en radio y televisin, haciendo hincapi en sus bajos precios y fciles
Al propietario le gustara estudiar la relacin entre los ingresos por ventas (En unidades de 100
gastadas en publicidad (En unidades de 10000).
La tabla siguiente resume informacin de ingresos por ventas y gastos de publicidad para un det
a
Realice el anlisis de varianza y determine la validez del modelo. (Realice la prueba de hiptesis)
Segn su punto de vista, son apropiados los medios utilizados por esta empresa para dar a cono
basado en los resultados anteriores.
Considera usted, como profesional de su campo, que se debe seguir implementando este tipo de
en cuenta factores adicionales? Explique .
Observacin
X (Gastos)
Y (Ingresos)
X^2
Y^2
XY
Ygorro
26.4
80.25
696.96
6440.1
2118.60
81.89
30
87
900
7569.0
2610.00
84.45
36
90.5
1296
8190.3
3258.00
88.74
38.4
92
1474.56
8464.0
3532.80
90.45
42
92.027
1764
8469.0
3865.13
93.02
43.5
92.027
1892.25
8469.0
4003.17
94.09
48
89.5
2304
8010.3
4296.00
97.30
48
96.368
2304
9286.8
4625.66
97.30
48.9
96.368
2391.21
9286.8
4712.40
97.94
10
49.2
99.25
2420.64
9850.6
4883.10
98.15
11
49.2
99.25
2420.64
9850.6
4883.10
98.15
12
49.5
102.3
2450.25
10465.3
5063.85
98.37
13
55.2
96.25
3047.04
9264.1
5313.00
102.43
14
56
102.156
3136
10435.8
5720.74
103.01
15
56.5
98.2
3192.25
9643.2
5548.30
103.36
16
58.3
104.7
3398.89
10962.1
6104.01
104.65
17
59.1
101
3492.81
10201.0
5969.10
105.22
18
63
126
3969
15876.0
7938.00
108.00
19
63
114
3969
12996.0
7182.00
108.00
20
68
120
4624
14400.0
8160.00
111.57
21
70.8
110.5
5012.64
12210.3
7823.40
113.57
22
70.8
110.5
5012.64
12210.3
7823.40
113.57
23
75.3
115.9025
5670.09
13433.4
8727.46
116.78
24
75.6
117.75
5715.36
13865.1
8901.90
116.99
25
76
115.9025
5776
13433.4
8808.59
117.28
26
76.8
107.5
5898.24
11556.3
8256.00
117.85
27
79
118.7965
6241
14112.6
9384.92
119.42
28
79.1
115.9025
6256.81
13433.4
9167.89
119.49
29
81.2
118.7965
6593.44
14112.6
9646.28
120.99
30
83
146
6889
21316.0
12118.00
122.27
31
86.3
118.7965
7447.69
14112.6
10252.14
124.63
32
88.8
123.5
7885.44
15252.3
10966.80
126.41
33
90
126.0315
8100
15883.9
11342.84
127.27
34
92
124
8464
15376.0
11408.00
128.69
35
92.1
124.5845
8482.41
15521.3
11474.23
128.76
36
96
131.096
9216
17186.2
12585.22
131.55
37
97.6
131.096
9525.76
17186.2
12794.97
132.69
38
98
132.543
9604
17567.6
12989.21
132.97
39
98.5
132.543
9702.25
17567.6
13055.49
133.33
40
98.6
131.096
9721.96
17186.2
12926.07
133.40
41
102.3
143
10465.29
20449.0
14628.90
136.04
42
104
141
10816
19881.0
14664.00
137.25
43
104.3
136.2
10878.49
18550.4
14205.66
137.47
44
104.4
142
10899.36
20164.0
14824.80
137.54
45
105
137.6075
11025
18935.8
14448.79
137.97
46
116.4
151.5
13548.96
22952.3
17634.60
146.10
47
123.6
153
15276.96
23409.0
18910.80
151.24
48
129.6
145.5
16796.16
21170.3
18856.80
155.52
49
134.4
157.75
18063.36
24885.1
21201.60
158.95
50
138
164
19044
26896.0
22632.00
161.51
Sumas
3855.7
Suma X
Suma X^2
suma Y^2
Suma XY
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
50
63.0482532
SCT
20909.8
0.71352228
SCE
1643.2
Sxx
37843.4
SCR
19266.6
Syy
20909.8
S^2
Sxy
27002.1
DW
140
160
Tabla ANOVA
Fuente
Suma de
cuadrados
Grados de
libertad
Cuadrados
medios
Regresin
19266.6
19266.6
Error
1643.2
48
34.2
Total
20909.8
Coeficiente de correlacin
fcal
fcrit
562.7879448 4.042652
Cov(X,Y)
540.0
0.959902593
V(X)
756.9
r^2
0.921412987
V(Y)
418.196535
0.95990259
NORMALIDAD
Ho: los residuos o errores se ajustan a una distribucin normal con media = 0 y varianza
H1: los residuos o errores no se ajustan a una distribucin normal con media = 0 y varianza
n
50
# de clase
eordenados
ez
4.9
-1.60
-10.3
-1.76
0.1
2.50
-10.0
-1.71
1.80
-7.8
-1.33
s^2
1.60
-6.2
-1.06
Clase
-1.00
-5.8
-0.99
-10.3
-5.5
-2.10
-5.2
-0.89
-5.4
-0.6
-7.80
-4.7
-0.8
-0.5
4.3
-0.90
-4.2
-0.72
4.4
9.2
-1.60
-4.2
-0.72
9.3
14.1
1.10
-3.6
-0.62
14.2
19.0
1.10
-3.1
-0.53
19.1
3.90
-3.1
-0.53
-6.20
-2.9
-0.5
-0.80
-2.3
-0.39
oi
-5.20
-2.2
-0.38
0.10
-2.1
-0.36
24
-4.20
-1.6
-0.27
14
18.00
-1.6
-0.27
6.00
-1.6
-0.27
8.40
-1.4
-0.24
-3.10
-1.3
-0.22
Valor P
0.01876
-3.10
-1.2
-0.21
Pto crtico
11.34487
-0.90
-1.2
-0.21
34.2
Lmites
0.01
0.80
-1.0
-0.17
-1.40
-0.9
-0.15
-10.30
-0.9
-0.15
Observacin :
-0.60
-0.8
-0.14
-3.60
-0.8
-0.14
-2.20
-0.6
-0.1
23.70
-0.5
-0.09
-5.80
-0.4
-0.07
-2.90
-0.4
-0.07
-1.20
0.1
0.02
-4.70
0.8
0.14
-4.20
1.1
0.19
-0.50
1.1
0.19
-1.60
1.6
0.27
-0.40
1.8
0.31
-0.80
1.8
0.31
-2.30
2.5
0.43
7.00
2.5
0.43
3.70
3.7
0.63
-1.30
3.9
0.67
4.50
4.5
0.77
-0.40
5.4
0.92
5.40
6.0
1.03
1.80
7.0
1.2
-10.00
8.4
1.44
-1.20
18.0
3.08
2.50
23.7
4.05
es sobreestimada
INDEPENDENCIA
Ho: los residuos son independientes
Errores
estandarizados
(ei-ei-1)^2
ei^2
ez
2.67
-0.28
2.55
17.4834353
6.48
0.44
1.76
0.61016978
3.12
0.30
1.55
0.04513647
2.41
0.27
-0.99
6.4601382
0.98
-0.17
-2.06
1.14550658
4.24
-0.35
-7.80
32.9229254
60.80
-1.33
-0.93
47.169424
0.86
-0.16
-1.57
0.41238237
2.47
-0.27
1.10
7.11792154
1.20
0.19
1.10
1.20
0.19
3.93
8.0425745
15.46
0.67
-6.18
102.355246
38.25
-1.06
-0.85
28.4641689
0.72
-0.15
-5.16
18.5999086
26.65
-0.88
0.05
27.2031082
0.00
0.01
-4.22
18.2398849
17.79
-0.72
18.00
493.606781
323.99
3.08
6.00
144
36.00
1.03
8.43
5.91651441
71.10
1.44
-3.07
132.200839
9.40
-0.52
-3.07
9.40
-0.52
-0.87
4.80332867
0.76
-0.15
0.76
2.66813707
0.58
0.13
-1.37
4.54930042
1.89
-0.23
-10.35
80.5204327
107.06
-1.77
-0.62
94.6096849
0.38
-0.11
-3.59
8.79331383
12.85
-0.61
-2.19
1.94770835
4.80
-0.37
23.73
671.80285
563.08
4.06
-5.83
873.682665
33.97
-1.00
-2.91
8.52461487
8.46
-0.50
-1.23
2.80654053
1.52
-0.21
-4.69
11.9615304
22.02
-0.80
-4.18
0.26332064
17.47
-0.71
-0.45
13.9036744
0.20
-0.08
-1.59
1.30333194
2.53
-0.27
-0.43
1.34929386
0.19
-0.07
-0.79
0.12727851
0.62
-0.13
-2.31
2.30539349
5.32
-0.39
6.96
85.8210953
48.42
1.19
3.75
10.323291
14.03
0.64
-1.27
25.1407644
1.61
-0.22
4.46
32.8174053
19.89
0.76
-0.36
23.2383132
0.13
-0.06
5.40
33.1585493
29.14
0.92
1.76
13.2303906
3.10
0.30
-10.02
138.79511
100.42
-1.71
-1.20
77.8822678
1.43
-0.20
2.49
13.5521155
6.18
0.42
3331.8778
1643.24
0.00
DW
2.027626
y gorro
-1.64
-0.288
81.885241
2.55
0.448
84.453922
1.76
0.311
88.735055
1.55
0.273
90.447509
-0.99
-0.174
93.016189
-2.06
-0.363
94.086472
-7.80
-1.373
97.297322
-0.93
-0.164
97.297322
-1.57
-0.277
97.939493
1.10
0.193
98.153549
1.10
0.193
98.153549
3.93
0.693
98.367606
5.000
4.000
Residuos estandarizados
3.000
2.000
1.000
0.000
70
-1.000
-2.000
-3.000
90
Residuos
-6.18
-1.089
102.43468
-0.85
-0.150
103.0055
-5.16
-0.909
103.36226
0.05
0.009
104.6466
-4.22
-0.743
105.21742
18.00
3.170
108.00016
6.00
1.057
108.00016
8.43
1.485
111.56777
-3.07
-0.540
113.56563
-3.07
-0.540
113.56563
-0.87
-0.154
116.77648
0.76
0.134
116.99054
-1.37
-0.242
117.27595
-10.35
-1.822
117.84676
-0.62
-0.109
119.41651
-3.59
-0.632
119.48787
-2.19
-0.386
120.98626
23.73
4.180
122.2706
-5.83
-1.027
124.62523
-2.91
-0.512
126.40903
-1.23
-0.217
127.26526
-4.69
-0.826
128.6923
-4.18
-0.736
128.76365
-0.45
-0.079
131.54639
-1.59
-0.280
132.68803
-0.43
-0.076
132.97344
-0.79
-0.139
133.3302
-2.31
-0.406
133.40155
6.96
1.226
136.04158
3.75
0.660
137.25457
-1.27
-0.223
137.46863
4.46
0.786
137.53998
-0.36
-0.064
137.96809
5.40
0.951
146.10225
1.76
0.310
151.23961
-10.02
-1.765
155.52074
70
-1.000
-2.000
-3.000
90
-1.20
-0.211
158.94565
2.49
0.438
161.51433
s^2
n
x barra
34.2
50
77.114
Sxx
37843.4
V(A)
6.06411971
desves(A)
2.46254334
V(B)
0.00090463
desves(B)
0.03007704
t48,0,05
1.6772242
63.0482532
0.71352228
67.178
0.763968
el ingreso promedio, el intervalo de prediccin del 99% para los ingresos y el intervalo de
xo
V(Y)
39.6233239
V(Ygorro)
5.38914017
t48,0,05
2.01063476
Ingreso promedio
yo_gorro
66.61586462
79.27221934
e y la independiente.
gresos promedio.
e
-1.64
2.55
1.76
1.55
-0.99
-2.06
-7.80
-0.93
-1.57
1.10
1.10
3.93
-6.18
-0.85
-5.16
0.05
-4.22
18.00
6.00
8.43
-3.07
-3.07
-0.87
0.76
-1.37
-10.35
-0.62
-3.59
-2.19
23.73
-5.83
-2.91
-1.23
-4.69
-4.18
-0.45
-1.59
-0.43
-0.79
-2.31
6.96
3.75
-1.27
4.46
-0.36
5.40
1.76
-10.02
-1.20
2.49
valor P
3.67E-028
Fronteras
Fronteras Zi
-5.45
prob
oi
ei
-0.932
0.176
8.78
-5.45
-0.55
-0.932
-0.094
0.287
24
14.34
-0.55
4.35
-0.094
0.744
0.309
14
15.45
4.35
9.25
0.744
1.582
0.172
8.58
9.25
14.15
1.582
2.420
0.049
2.45
14.15
19.05
2.420
3.257
0.007
0.36
0.00
0.03
50
50
19.05
3.257
ei
(oi-ei)^2/ei
8.78
1.6296871
14.34
6.4995946
15.45
0.1361484
11.42
1.7119117
9.9773418
o valor P es menor que alfa rechazar Ho, o el valor de la estadstica es mayor que el punto crtico, rechazar Ho
siderar que los residuos se ajustan a una distribucin normal con los parmetros dados.
de los residuos
de los residuos
es
ndarizados
33.505306
34.234
5.00
Errores estandarizados
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
0
10
20
30
-1.00
-2.00
-3.00
Orden
40
50
60
5.000
4.000
3.000
2.000
1.000
0.000
70
90
110
-1.000
-2.000
-3.000
y gorro
130
150
170
70
90
110
-1.000
-2.000
-3.000
y gorro
130
150
170
95% para
95% para
l 95% para Y
os.